Oral Contraceptive Use and Ovarian Cancer - Library
Oral Contraceptive Use and Ovarian Cancer - Library
Oral Contraceptive Use and Ovarian Cancer - Library
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CDC-EIS: OCs <strong>and</strong> <strong>Ovarian</strong> <strong>Cancer</strong> (811-X11) - Participant’s Guide page 7<br />
The investigators used the data in Table 1 <strong>and</strong><br />
the formulas shown below to calculate an odds<br />
ratio <strong>and</strong> 95% test-based confidence limits.<br />
They also calculated a Mantel-Haenszel Chi as a<br />
test of statistical significance to evaluate the<br />
likelihood that any difference between the<br />
observed (calculated) OR <strong>and</strong> the OR under the<br />
null hypothesis could be due to chance.<br />
Measure Formula Calculation from Table 1<br />
Odds Ratio (OR)<br />
ad<br />
(93)(683)<br />
OR =<br />
= 0.77<br />
bc<br />
(959)(86)<br />
Expected Value of Cell ‘a’<br />
(E(a))<br />
H 1V<br />
E(a)=<br />
T<br />
1<br />
(1052)(179)<br />
= 103.41<br />
1821<br />
Mantel-Haenszel (MH)<br />
Variance<br />
H 1 H 0V<br />
1V<br />
MH variance=<br />
2<br />
T (T -1)<br />
0<br />
(1052)(769)(179)(1642)<br />
= 39.40<br />
2<br />
(1821 ) (1821-1)<br />
Mantel-Haenszel Chi*<br />
a - E(a)<br />
93 -103.41<br />
X MH =<br />
= -1.66<br />
MH variance<br />
39.40<br />
Test-based Confidence<br />
Limits<br />
(Note: Z values for 2-sided<br />
confidence limits are:<br />
90% = 1.645,<br />
95% = 1.96,<br />
99% = 2.58.)<br />
(1-(Z/<br />
X MH ))<br />
LOWER CL= OR<br />
(1 X ))<br />
UPPER CL = OR<br />
+(Z/ MH<br />
0.77<br />
(1(1.96 / 1.66))<br />
= 0.57<br />
(1<br />
0. (1.96 / 1.66<br />
77<br />
)) 1.05<br />
* The chi is the square root of the more commonly used chi-square. The Mantel-Haenszel chi with one<br />
degree of freedom (X MH ) is equivalent to a Z-score <strong>and</strong> can be used to find the 2-tailed p-value from a<br />
table of areas in two tails of the st<strong>and</strong>ard normal curve. In this case, p = 0.097.