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Oral Contraceptive Use and Ovarian Cancer - Library

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CDC-EIS: OCs <strong>and</strong> <strong>Ovarian</strong> <strong>Cancer</strong> (811-X11) - Participant’s Guide page 7<br />

The investigators used the data in Table 1 <strong>and</strong><br />

the formulas shown below to calculate an odds<br />

ratio <strong>and</strong> 95% test-based confidence limits.<br />

They also calculated a Mantel-Haenszel Chi as a<br />

test of statistical significance to evaluate the<br />

likelihood that any difference between the<br />

observed (calculated) OR <strong>and</strong> the OR under the<br />

null hypothesis could be due to chance.<br />

Measure Formula Calculation from Table 1<br />

Odds Ratio (OR)<br />

ad<br />

(93)(683)<br />

OR =<br />

= 0.77<br />

bc<br />

(959)(86)<br />

Expected Value of Cell ‘a’<br />

(E(a))<br />

H 1V<br />

E(a)=<br />

T<br />

1<br />

(1052)(179)<br />

= 103.41<br />

1821<br />

Mantel-Haenszel (MH)<br />

Variance<br />

H 1 H 0V<br />

1V<br />

MH variance=<br />

2<br />

T (T -1)<br />

0<br />

(1052)(769)(179)(1642)<br />

= 39.40<br />

2<br />

(1821 ) (1821-1)<br />

Mantel-Haenszel Chi*<br />

a - E(a)<br />

93 -103.41<br />

X MH =<br />

= -1.66<br />

MH variance<br />

39.40<br />

Test-based Confidence<br />

Limits<br />

(Note: Z values for 2-sided<br />

confidence limits are:<br />

90% = 1.645,<br />

95% = 1.96,<br />

99% = 2.58.)<br />

(1-(Z/<br />

X MH ))<br />

LOWER CL= OR<br />

(1 X ))<br />

UPPER CL = OR<br />

+(Z/ MH<br />

0.77<br />

(1(1.96 / 1.66))<br />

= 0.57<br />

(1<br />

0. (1.96 / 1.66<br />

77<br />

)) 1.05<br />

* The chi is the square root of the more commonly used chi-square. The Mantel-Haenszel chi with one<br />

degree of freedom (X MH ) is equivalent to a Z-score <strong>and</strong> can be used to find the 2-tailed p-value from a<br />

table of areas in two tails of the st<strong>and</strong>ard normal curve. In this case, p = 0.097.

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