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Fibonacci Numbers - Rob Booker

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<strong>Fibonacci</strong><br />

Part I<br />

By <strong>Rob</strong> <strong>Booker</strong><br />

© 2004 W. R. <strong>Booker</strong> II. Forever rights reserved and ever All. And ever.<br />

The information contained in this ebook involves math. Sorry.


<strong>Fibonacci</strong> Part I – page 2<br />

<strong>Fibonacci</strong> <strong>Numbers</strong>: Part 1<br />

________________________________________<br />

The use of <strong>Fibonacci</strong> numbers in your trading can be a powerful asset.<br />

For most traders, the meaning of these numbers, and their use, are either<br />

misunderstood or left unused. This is a shame. You’re going to add the<br />

power of these numbers to your toolbox – and you should start by getting a<br />

good background in these numbers.<br />

Leonardo Pisano (or “<strong>Fibonacci</strong>”, as he is now called) discovered a<br />

mathematical sequence of numbers with predictive value throughout<br />

nature. Fib numbers start with 0 + 1 and then progress by adding the last<br />

two numbers in the sequence as follows:<br />

0 + 1 = 1 1 + 1 = 2<br />

So 1 and 2 are two of the first Fib numbers (0 is also a Fib number).<br />

Continuing down the line by adding the last two numbers in sequence<br />

leads to the following line of numbers:


<strong>Fibonacci</strong> Part I – page 3<br />

1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144<br />

And so on. The numbers themselves, although fascinating to study in<br />

nature (just look up <strong>Fibonacci</strong> on Yahoo! or Google), really get interesting<br />

in forex charting when you start talking about their ratios.<br />

A prominent ratio develops from these numbers, simply by taking the<br />

ratio of two successive numbers and then dividing each by the number<br />

before it. This ratio is, roughly:<br />

62%<br />

The other ratios that develop, and that are important for the purpose of<br />

charting, are 38% and 50%.<br />

It’s important here not to complicate the issue. There is a ton of<br />

mathematics backing this up, with long histories of the numbers, of<br />

<strong>Fibonacci</strong> himself, of applications in nature, etc. There are even charting<br />

packages and signal providers that base everything they do on Fib numbers<br />

and ratios. But instead of complicating the issue, I want to leave it right<br />

here. Just remember that there are a few very important ratios that arise<br />

from Fib numbers, and that you can use those ratios to predict price<br />

movement, especially on pullbacks, but also on trends.<br />

Here are some readings on Fib numbers if you want a more<br />

comprehensive (and complex) background:<br />

http://www.mcs.surrey.ac.uk/Personal/R.Knott/<strong>Fibonacci</strong>/fibnat.html#golden<br />

http://www.moneytec.com/forums/_showthread/_s-<br />

55be7400a99aaa355dc59542adcb50eb/_threadid-2459<br />

The power of using <strong>Fibonacci</strong> numbers in charting is best realized on<br />

strategies that concentrate exits and entries based on price pullbacks.<br />

This is because you can use Fib tools to not only ascertain good entry<br />

points, but exit points – because Fib analysis can be one of the more<br />

accurate methods of determining price projections.<br />

Do you have to use them? No. Tomorrow’s lesson will cover how to<br />

draw them, and how to use them – and then it’s up to you. I’d say that 50%


<strong>Fibonacci</strong> Part I – page 4<br />

of the traders I work with use them for some part of their daily analysis<br />

and study.

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