northland resources - SRK Consulting UK
northland resources - SRK Consulting UK
northland resources - SRK Consulting UK
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NORTHLAND<br />
RESOURCES<br />
Northland Resources is a prospective iron-ore mining company<br />
with promising assets in Sweden and Finland. Executive<br />
Chairman, Mr Anders Hvide, talked to Eric Payne about the<br />
company's exemplary management experience and the depth<br />
of the support it has received from both the Swedish and<br />
Finnish governments, as it builds towards production.<br />
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Mr Anders Hvide<br />
Executive Chairman,<br />
Northland Resources came into<br />
being in 2004, when a company, then<br />
known as North American Gold, changed<br />
its name. Mr Hvide explains: “The company’s<br />
primary listing is on the Toronto<br />
Stock Exchange. It went for IPO on the<br />
Oslo Stock Exchange, under a secondary<br />
listing, in November 2006 – a natural<br />
move, given that all of its assets are in<br />
Scandinavia, Sweden and Finland.<br />
“The history of the company, however,<br />
really dates back to the discovery of a gold<br />
asset in Sweden, where the geological staff<br />
also identified large formations of iron-ore,<br />
running in a north-east direction, from<br />
Sweden into Finland.”<br />
Defined <strong>resources</strong><br />
“The company, which had its first<br />
defined <strong>resources</strong> published in 2006 for<br />
the Sahavaara deposit, continued with the<br />
division of <strong>resources</strong> for the Hannukainen<br />
deposit, later adding the Tapuli deposit and<br />
finally Pellivuoma,” he continues. “Based on<br />
these deposits, we have done a pre-feasibility<br />
study on the Swedish assets – Tapuli,<br />
Sahavaara and Pellivuoma – with a common<br />
or joint processing facility in co-operation<br />
with Aker Solutions.<br />
“Aker Solutions arrived on an investment<br />
of US$620 million, with an internal rate<br />
of return (IRR) of 21.1 percent. All of the<br />
permits should be in place by summer 2010<br />
– with production slated to begin in 2012 –<br />
for an initial 1.8 million tonnes, going up to<br />
five million tonnes in 2014. The products<br />
that we intend to sell will be pellet feed con-<br />
centrate, as used by pellet producers, feeding<br />
into the steel industry. The operational<br />
expenditure (OPEX) per tonne for the first<br />
10 years, delivered in port (FOB), the pricing<br />
is US$34, which we believe is low, and very<br />
competitive for a premium concentrate<br />
product. We will look to secure financing<br />
from banks and combine this with equity, or<br />
off-take financing, for a total of US$417<br />
million, as it stands right now. The remaining<br />
part of the total US$620 million will be<br />
financed by the project cash flow from<br />
the first two production years.”<br />
Northland Resources, however, believes<br />
that it can reduce this amount further still,<br />
by various means. “Firstly, the governments<br />
of Sweden and Finland are interested in<br />
building a rail link, all the way into the<br />
process centre – a total of 16 kilometres<br />
of rail – that will result in a CAPEX saving<br />
for us of US$50 million,” Mr Hvide remarks.<br />
“We also believe that we can receive more<br />
competitive bidding by the large vendors<br />
during the full feasibility study, as opposed<br />
to a pre-feasibility study when only list prices<br />
are being used, and by leasing some of our<br />
equipment – either Caterpiller or Komatsu. <br />
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In total, we believe that we can reduce that<br />
of US$620 million total investment figure<br />
by about US$100 million.”<br />
Much of this government support stems<br />
from a desire for more native iron-ore processing<br />
in Northern Europe. Mr Hvide<br />
explains: “LKAB, which is a large, stateowned<br />
company, with two mines in northern<br />
Sweden, produces around 25 million tonnes<br />
of iron-ore annually, and is the largest producer<br />
of iron-ore in Europe,” he notes.<br />
“Everything else – roughly 175 million<br />
tonnes – has to be imported. So that drives<br />
the EU to support efforts to get more mines<br />
into production.”<br />
He continues, “For example, there is a 230<br />
kilometre railway from the port of Kemi in<br />
Finland, that runs almost all the way up to<br />
our projects, which, last year, the Finnish<br />
government committed to upgrade –<br />
bringing it up to three million tonnes<br />
capacity by 2011, by which time we will be<br />
in production. This involves the government<br />
spending €84 million, with the possibility<br />
of further expansion, once we have the first<br />
mine financed.<br />
“In many ways, this is really a joint<br />
industry project between Finland, Sweden<br />
and ourselves. The support that we receive<br />
from them is truly massive, and is undoubtedly<br />
one of the unique benefits of working<br />
in this area of the world,” Mr Hvide emphasises.<br />
“The reason for their support is very<br />
natural, given the payback to them. We are<br />
going to employ 450 people at the mine site<br />
and the processing centre, another 100 on<br />
the rail and maybe 50 in the port. The possibility<br />
of another 600 jobs created is massive<br />
for these small villages, struggling with<br />
people moving away to the cities.”<br />
An expert team<br />
In its pursuit of financing and an effective<br />
mine plan for bringing its assets online,<br />
Northland Resources has turned to some of<br />
the most senior names in the iron-ore mining<br />
and processing industry, employing globally<br />
recognised industry players at both board<br />
level and senior management level. Mr<br />
Hvide tells us: “We have a total of 60 people<br />
employed, of which around 20 are geologists,<br />
25 are engineers and the rest are handling<br />
the organisational side. We have also<br />
recruited some very heavy-weight personnel<br />
on the senior management side, as<br />
well as on the middle management side,<br />
in order to execute the project.<br />
“Our President is Mr Buck Morrow,<br />
former President of Western State Minerals.<br />
He has built seven new mines over the<br />
course of his career and is a very senior engineer<br />
with a lot of management experience.<br />
William Wagener, our COO, latterly<br />
President of ARCO Coal Australia, previously<br />
headed up an operation that produced<br />
20 million tonnes of coal per year. Mr Karl-<br />
Axel Waplan is a previous CEO of the<br />
Lundin Mining Corporation, a company<br />
with five mines and a market capitalisation<br />
of around US$2 billion. He has also worked<br />
for both LKAB and Boliden before he eventually<br />
joined us, bringing with him a vast<br />
experience in iron-ore, copper, and gold.<br />
Mr Aurelian Bukatko, our CFO, has extensive<br />
experience in the steel industry, and<br />
some very useful contacts among our potential<br />
clients. And VP of Exploration, Dr<br />
Vladimir Benes, joined us last year from<br />
Barrick Gold, where he was heading up<br />
all exploration for Barrick in Russia and<br />
Eastern Europe.”<br />
Northland Resources’ boards also consists<br />
of experienced people, with backgrounds<br />
both in industry, as well as finance. “Myself,<br />
I have an investment banking background,”<br />
Mr Hvide tells us. I joined an exploration<br />
company in 1995, and took that public in<br />
Oslo, and was subsequently active in<br />
Greenland, Ghana, the Philippines and<br />
Scandinavia. I then joined Pareto Securities<br />
as MD of Metals and Mining and worked<br />
for eight years – my team raising some US$2<br />
billion of debt-equity over the last five or<br />
six years.<br />
“Mr Stuart Pettifor is an ex-CEO of Corus<br />
Steel; Mr Tuomo Mäkelä, President of<br />
Outokumpu Mining, heads up our physical<br />
mining processes and is very experienced<br />
in geology, processing and mining; and<br />
Mr Birger Solberg, who is Managing Director<br />
of Sibelco’s Nordic mining operation,” he<br />
informs. We also had Mr. Frode Teigen, one<br />
of our largest owners and a previous shipping<br />
executive, joining the board last Spring. In<br />
addition, there are many other very senior<br />
individuals, details about which are available<br />
on our website.”<br />
A strong market<br />
With respect to Northland Resources’ assets<br />
and activities, Mr Hvide tells us: “We have<br />
started a definitive feasibility study on the<br />
Swedish assets, which will be completed by<br />
June 2010 By this time, we hope to have<br />
financing in place, in order to start building<br />
the mines and the process plant in the<br />
second half of 2010 – taking about 18<br />
months to finish everything, this should see<br />
us entering into full production on the<br />
Swedish assets by the first quarter of 2012.”<br />
As far as the Finnish assets are concerned,<br />
Mr Hvide informs us: “Northland Resources<br />
has adopted a very sober approach, following<br />
the fallout of the financial crisis and the stock<br />
market devaluation. Of course, things are<br />
improving, but many of the banks are still<br />
having a hard time funding new clients and<br />
new projects.” He adds: “There is certainly a<br />
lot of interest in financing us coming from<br />
Northern Europe. However, we will not<br />
move to fully develop the Finnish assets until<br />
we either have a partner to develop them<br />
with, or financing in place for the<br />
Swedish assets.”<br />
With this in mind, the trend that<br />
Northland Resources anticipates, based<br />
on market data, is undoubtedly a positive<br />
one. Mr Hvide elaborates: “We believe that<br />
the iron-ore price is likely to increase for at<br />
least the next three to four years. Based on<br />
what BHP is saying, what CRU in London<br />
and also what AME in Australia is saying, we<br />
believe that we will have a very healthy<br />
market until at least 2015. And if China<br />
meets expectations – based on BHP projections,<br />
they are likely to double their iron-ore<br />
capacity up until 2015 – we believe that<br />
market could be very healthy and ongoing<br />
until at least 2020.<br />
“If you listen to CRU, the benchmark<br />
price right now is around US$55 per<br />
tonne, depending on the speciality of<br />
your product. But they don’t believe that<br />
any more capacity is going to be coming<br />
into the market unless we hit US$51 to<br />
US$53 per tonne – delivered in Europe –<br />
which means that with our operation at<br />
US$34, we should be in very good shape,<br />
even if we hit those lower levels. At the<br />
same time, a lot more capacity will be<br />
coming into the market, but all of those<br />
facilities are going to need to build new<br />
railroads, ports, mines and processing<br />
centres. So, we think that is going to keep<br />
the market pretty well balanced in the<br />
coming years. The three dominant players<br />
– Vale, BHP and RioTinto – which control<br />
around 75 percent of the overseas ironore<br />
market, are not going to shoot themselves<br />
in the foot by pouring in<br />
additional capacity.”<br />
The nature of the product that Northland<br />
Resources intends to produce will also<br />
give the company an added advantage<br />
over its competitors. “We will be producing<br />
a very high quality concentrate,<br />
with a 69 percent Fe content, as opposed<br />
to the normal, which is 63 percent – it<br />
will be a very clean product with very few<br />
impurities, low sulphur, aluminium and<br />
silica content,” he advises.<br />
“The future clients for us will probably<br />
be the pellet producers. It could be Corus<br />
in Europe, it could be GIIC (Gulf Industrial<br />
Investment Company) in the Middle<br />
East, or it could be Chinese pellet plants.<br />
We anticipate a lot of demand, given the<br />
very high-grade product that we can offer,<br />
extracted from very stable countries,”<br />
Mr Hvide enthuses.<br />
Forward planning<br />
Although the mine plan itself is still under<br />
development, Northland Resources already<br />
employs a very senior health and safety manager,<br />
Mr Manfred Landvall – for Vice<br />
President of Health and Safety at<br />
Boliden. “We are taking these matters<br />
very seriously indeed,” Mr Hvide remarks.<br />
“Everything that we build has to be up to UN<br />
standards, and Swedish and Finnish standards,<br />
which, as you will be aware, are some<br />
of the strictest standards in the world.<br />
“On the environmental side, we are fortunate<br />
in the sense that we do not have any<br />
specific issues that need to be addressed at<br />
any of our assets. In terms of developing a<br />
more general environmental plan, however,<br />
we have already outlined our operation and<br />
constructed flow-sheets for our planned use<br />
of the roads and the railway, noting input<br />
from local groups, including local government<br />
authorities and NGOs. These NGOs<br />
have been made aware of our scheduling<br />
and piling and, to date, we have no problems<br />
whatsoever with any of them. In fact, they<br />
have all been very supportive; we have got<br />
very good feedback from the commission<br />
that deals with environmental permitting,”<br />
he announces.<br />
With respect to technology and the application<br />
of new technology, Northland<br />
Resources has taken a conservative<br />
approach. “We are not going to be using<br />
any new high-tech methods for producing<br />
our concentrate. Because it is such a heavy<br />
item and heavy process, we, as a comparative<br />
new comer, cannot take that kind of risk. We<br />
will be using the standard equipment that<br />
we know will perform in the very demanding<br />
climatic conditions that we will face – minus<br />
30 degrees in winter, plus 30 degrees in the<br />
summer. The kind of well-proven equipment<br />
that is already being used by the likes of<br />
LKAB, Outokumpu and Boliden,” he says.<br />
Secure supply from a stable region<br />
By way of summing up, Mr Hvide comments:<br />
“Our mines are located in an area<br />
that has a long tradition of mining – LKAB,<br />
Boliden and Outokumpu are all within 200<br />
kilometres of our site; we have ample access<br />
to skilled workers; we have a very experienced<br />
and highly skilled senior management<br />
staff, and good assets with a potentially very<br />
low production cost. I think that sums it up!”<br />
As for the company’s future plans, these<br />
have obviously been outlined in greater detail<br />
throughout the article but, more specifically:<br />
“on the financial side, Northland Resources<br />
plans to try to broaden its shareholder base,<br />
especially into areas outside of Scandinavia,”<br />
Mr Hvide remarks. “We lost some of our<br />
shareholders – from hedge funds, mutual<br />
funds and retail – during the credit crisis,<br />
but we are now making efforts to broaden<br />
our investment base through a larger<br />
number of brokerage houses being active<br />
in the stock.” He adds: “We also need to<br />
re-juvenate the Toronto listing.“Apart<br />
from that,” Mr Hvide concludes, “we<br />
are going to be hiring more people on the<br />
senior management side, as well as on the<br />
middle management side, in order to prepare<br />
ourselves for production – and to<br />
negotiate the final contracts for the<br />
Swedish operation and any potential<br />
partnership agreement for the<br />
Finnish operation.” <br />
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