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Patterns of climate change across Scotland: technical report - Sniffer

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SNIFFER Project CC03: <strong>Patterns</strong> <strong>of</strong> Climate Change <strong>across</strong> <strong>Scotland</strong> April 2006<br />

Figure 36 - Annual days <strong>of</strong> ground frost for Scottish regions, 1961/61 to 2004/05, with<br />

smoothed curve.<br />

180<br />

170<br />

Annual days <strong>of</strong> ground frost<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

1962<br />

1964<br />

1966<br />

1968<br />

1970<br />

1972<br />

1974<br />

1976<br />

1978<br />

1980<br />

1982<br />

1984<br />

1986<br />

1988<br />

1990<br />

1992<br />

1994<br />

1996<br />

1998<br />

2000<br />

2002<br />

2004<br />

N <strong>Scotland</strong><br />

E <strong>Scotland</strong><br />

W <strong>Scotland</strong><br />

The number <strong>of</strong> days <strong>of</strong> air frost and snow cover are typically calculated as annual values.<br />

The trends in the gridded datasets <strong>of</strong> these quantities are mapped for 1961 to 2004 in Figure<br />

37. The percentage <strong>change</strong>s in both quantities are typically greatest for the Scottish islands<br />

or in areas close to the coast. The proximity <strong>of</strong> the sea has a moderating effect on<br />

temperatures in these regions so days <strong>of</strong> frost or snow cover are less common than for areas<br />

further inland. This means that a relatively small increase in temperature, resulting in a small<br />

reduction in these cold weather phenomena, will have a larger proportional impact. For this<br />

reason the spatial patterns <strong>of</strong> <strong>change</strong> in Figure 37 are presented in terms <strong>of</strong> numbers <strong>of</strong> days<br />

rather than as a percentage. Although the overall <strong>change</strong>s described in this section are<br />

largely reductions it should be noted that in some localised areas there has been an increase<br />

in the number <strong>of</strong> days <strong>of</strong> snow cover, particularly in northern mainland <strong>Scotland</strong>.<br />

38

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