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vision + - Opticians Association of Canada

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Playing it Too Safe<br />

You might sleep soundly knowing that your money is<br />

invested in safe, income-generating vehicles such as Guaranteed<br />

Investment Certificates (GICs). But what about the<br />

money you’re not making by playing it excessively safe?<br />

Every individual has to determine the degree <strong>of</strong> risk<br />

with which they’re comfortable (see Vision magazine,<br />

March/April 2006), but if you’re a 40-year-old whose<br />

portfolio is in fixed income and cash, you’re simply<br />

playing it too safe.<br />

While safe, low-return investment vehicles, such as<br />

GICs, can play a role in a well-balanced portfolio,<br />

investors who want to meet long-term goals should also<br />

invest in higher return potential investments, such as<br />

equities.<br />

One rule <strong>of</strong> thumb for a moderately risk-tolerant<br />

individual is to allocate "110 minus your age" to<br />

equities. That means that a 40-year-old might have 70 per<br />

cent allocated to a mix <strong>of</strong> equity-oriented mutual funds.<br />

On the other hand, investors with short time horizons<br />

might be better <strong>of</strong>f with a very modest – if any – stake<br />

in equities.<br />

Having Unrealistic Expectations<br />

While it's normal to hope for the best from your<br />

investments, you could run into some serious long-term<br />

cash flow problems if you base your future financial plans<br />

on unrealistic assumptions.<br />

According to an August 2004 Gallup poll, nearly<br />

one-third <strong>of</strong> 800 U.S. investors surveyed expected to<br />

generate pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>of</strong> 10 per cent or more in their portfolios<br />

during the coming year.<br />

Yet, based on data from Standard & Poor's and the<br />

U.S. Federal Reserve, from 1926 to 2003, a hypothetical<br />

portfolio divided equally among stocks, bonds and cash<br />

would have had an average total return <strong>of</strong> 7.3 per cent<br />

annually.<br />

Research the historical performance <strong>of</strong> appropriate<br />

investment indexes – or appropriate benchmarks – and<br />

use their average long-term returns to help maintain<br />

realistic expectations for your own investment returns. ISI

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