Intercomparison of European Fog Forecast Models - Cosmo

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False Alarm Ratio What fraction <strong>of</strong> the predicted “fog" events actually did not occur (i.e., were false alarms)? BLACK:LM-PAFOG RED:ENSEMBLE GREEN:HIRLAM MAGENTA:MOS-ARPEGE BLUE:ALADIN
Equitable Threat Score How well did the forecast “fog" events correspond to the observed “fog" events? BLACK:LM-PAFOG RED:ENSEMBLE GREEN:HIRLAM MAGENTA:MOS-ARPEGE BLUE:ALADIN
Page 1 and 2: COSMO User’s Seminar Langen, Marc
Page 3 and 4: Fog: A visibility reduction 1.4km 1
Page 5 and 6: Comparison Campaign on the Lindenbe
Page 7 and 8: Participants Statistical Model: MOS
Page 9 and 10: Turbulence: Visibility: Non-operati
Page 11 and 12: Ensemble Forecast To analyse the ba
Page 13: False Alarm Rate What fraction of t
Page 17 and 18: Visibility 2m: case I Legend: Vis 1
Page 19 and 20: Case I: Vertical profile at Lindenb
Page 21 and 22: Case I: Close to the ground
Page 23 and 24: Visibility 2m: case II Legend: Vis
Page 25 and 26: Case II: Vertical profile at Linden
Page 27 and 28: Case II: Close to the ground
Page 29: Outlooks • Adapted turbulent sche
Page 32 and 33: What is FOG ? WMO definition “Sus
Page 34 and 35: Visibility 2m: case III Legend: Vis
Page 36 and 37: Case III: Vertical profile at Linde
Page 38: Case III: Close to the ground

Intercomparison of European Fog Forecast Models - Cosmo

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