Barry Charles Ezell, Ph.D. - the Virginia Modeling, Analysis and ...

Curriculum vitae B. Ezell Updated 09.07.2011 

Barry Charles Ezell, Ph.D. 

Associate Professor of Research 

Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation Center 

Old Dominion University 

1030 University Blvd., Suffolk, Virginia 23435, 757.638.4439, 

bezell@odu.edu 

TS/SCI eligible/ DHS suitability granted 2011 

Dr. Barry Ezell is a retired military officer with 20+ years experience in applying 

operations research, risk, decision, and systems analysis in the DOD and DHS, with special 

emphasis in critical infrastructure protection, Supervisory Control Data Acquisition (SCADA) 

systems and weapons of mass destruction terrorism risk assessments for Chemical, Biological, 

Radiological, and Nuclear events. Dr. Ezell has made numerous contributions as a researcher, 

scientist and practitioner. In the Army, Dr. Ezell conducted numerous studies and analyses as a 

professor and later in his career lead the integrated analysis planning team for Future Combat 

Systems. Just months before retiring, he was appointed as Study Director by DOD and on 

behalf of the Department of State to lead a team to the Republic of Georgia to conduct a Rapid 

DOTMLPF Capability Assessment of Georgian air defenses just prior to Russian air attack. His 

most recent accomplishments in support of the Nation’s first‐ever WMD Bioterrorism Risk 

Assessment in 2006 and an integrated WMD CBRN Terrorism Risk Assessment in 2008 and 

2010. In 2010‐2011, Dr. Ezell led the effort to re‐design the DHS flagship risk assessment model 

used to inform the PPBES which resulted in nine recommendations, all accepted by the 

sponsor. Dr. Ezell was the Principal Investigator who led the Hampton Roads Full Scale Exercise, 

receiving laudatory praise from the Commonwealth of Virginia’s Secretary of Homeland 

Security and Veteran Affairs. 

Dr. Ezell is a member of Hampton Roads Urban Areas Working Group and the Hampton 

Roads Critical Infrastructure Key Resources Steering Group. He has authored 30+ papers and 

currently serves as associate editor for Military Operations Research (MOR), editor board 

member for the International Journal of Operations Research and Information Systems, 

International Journal of Critical Infrastructures Systems (IJCIS) and Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: 

Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science; and a reviewer for: (1) Risk Analysis, (2) Homeland 

Security and Emergency Management, (3) Reliability Engineering and System Safety, and (4) 

Infrastructure Systems. He is a member of the Society for Risk Analysis, Military Operations 

Research Society, American Water Works Association, Association of the United States Army, 

recipient of Society for Risk Analysis’ Best Paper in a Series, 2010 and the Distinguished 

Graduate Award from the Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems, University of 

Virginia, 1998. 

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Dr. Ezell is married to Sarah Ritchotte Ezell and has four children: Daniel (26), Michael 

(21), Reagan (15), and Lucille (4). Dr. Ezell also served as a founding member of the board of 

directors for Toby’s Dream Foundation (www.tobysdream.org) where in 2010, in its first year, 

raised $325K to provide Dreams to children with life threatening illnesses in Hampton Roads. 

He is the president of Salem Woods Civic Association with a community of 1180 homes, 2005‐ 

2008 and 2011 ‐ ongoing. 

Research and Scholarship Activities as Principal Investigator 

• Principal Investigator for Battelle National Bio‐defense Institute on bioterrorism risk 

assessment and adaptive adversary ($285K) 2008‐2011 

• Principal Investigator, Joint Agile Training Architecture ($450K) 2010‐2011 

• Principal Investigator, Hampton Roads Full Scale Exercise ($400K) 2010‐2011 

• Principal Investigator, C4ISR Assessment for Korea Institute for Defense Analysis, ($25K) 

2009‐2010 

• Principal Investigator, Hampton Roads Urban Area Security Initiative Investment 

Justification prioritization methodology and decision support ($50K) 2011‐Ongoing 

Employment History: 

2008‐ present Virginia Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation Center, Old Dominion University, 

Suffolk, VA 

Associate Professor of Research 

Responsible for leading the homeland security and military defense applied research area 

comprised of industry, government and academia provides cutting edge developments in the 

area of modeling and simulation for use by government, industry, and other academic partners 

in developing applications to support Military and Homeland Security operations. 

Principal Investigator for Battelle National Bio‐defense Institute on bioterrorism risk assessment 

and adaptive adversary 

• Principal Investigator, Joint Agile Training Architecture 

• Principal Investigator, Hampton Roads Full Scale Exercise 

• Principal Investigator, C4ISR Assessment for Korea Institute for Defense Analysis 

• Principal Investigator, Hampton Roads Urban Area Security Initiative Investment 

Justification prioritization methodology and decision support 

2005 – 2008 Army Capabilities Integration Center, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine 

Command, Fort Monroe, VA 

Deputy Chief, Studies and Analysis 

Led and governed the commitment of TRADOC analytic resources through the planning and 

prioritization of analytic activities ISO concept and capability development. 

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• Managed the execution of the TRADOC Studies & Analysis Program to ensure it addressed 

the CG, TRADOC studies and analysis priorities 

• Authored the TRADOC Studies and Analysis Plan 

• Authored the FBCT Integrated Analysis Planning Directive 

• Study Director and Authored Study Directive “BLACK SUNDAY”‐FCS, Ft Monroe, VA 

• Developed analytic methodology to integrate disparate CBRN risk assessments into one 

assessment 

• Technical expert for Department of Homeland Security on risk assessments, methodologies, 

decision analysis, systems analysis and integration. 

• Study Director (Principal Investigator) on a quick‐turn mission to Republic of Georgia to 

determine air defense capability gaps two weeks before Russian‐Georgian conflict, August 

2008. 

• Coordinated with the HQDA DCS, G‐3/5/7 (Capabilities Integration, Prioritization, and 

Analysis Directorate) and G‐8 (Force Development), USJFCOM, and other TRADOC 

organizations to determine current and future analysis priorities. 

• Coordinated with TRAC to anticipate analytic requirements, establish priorities, manage the 

commitment of analytic resources, and ensure quality results. 

• Coordinated, integrated, and recommended future analysis requirements to Dir, ARCIC that 

responded to Capability Developments needs identified through the Current Force 

Capability Gap Analysis (CGA) and the Future Force Capabilities Needs Analysis (CNA); and 

that may support OSD, Army, other Services, and joint agency analysis needs. 

• Coordinated, integrated, and recommended future study and analysis requirements in 

support of Concept Development and Experimentation priorities derived from the 

Integrated Questions List and Venue Analysis processes. 

• Provided analytic governance to studies, analyses, and experiments IAW general analytic 

principles. Governance included managing commitment of analytic resources; providing 

quality control of ongoing studies, analysis and experimentation plans ‐ to include 

associated analytic reports; and ensuring proper dissemination of results. 

• Developed and maintained policy and procedures governing the execution of analytic 

activities throughout TRADOC. ICW TRAC developed and published Analytic Codes of Best 

Practices to raise the quality of analysis across TRADOC. 

2003 ‐ 2005 The Army School System, U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command, Fort 

Monroe, VA 

Deputy Director 

Responsible to the G3/5/7 to analyze, monitor, and execute the TRADOC accreditation program 

for Reserve Component TASS training institutions; to resolve TASS accreditation and 

implementation issues and forward to appropriate agencies; and to serve as subject matter 

expert (SME) to TRADOC CG on TASS related matters. 

• Managed training ammunition requisitions in support of Reserve Component schools. 

• Managed TRADOC Title XI program; provides program and budget input for TRADOC Title XI 

support. Lead analyst, re‐balancing TRADOC, U.S. Army National Guard and U.S. Army 

Reserve The Army School System (TASS) reclassification courses for armor, infantry, 

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engineer, signal, and military intelligence instructors and student loads across 30 TRADOC 

proponent schools, 138 TASS battalion schools, and distributed across 54 States and 

territories 

• Numerous statistical analyses for G3/5/7 on ways to improve efficiency and reduce cost in 

TRADOC 

• Developed Personnel Management Data Base System to manage TASS NCOs and officers 

2000‐2001 Operations Research Center for Excellence, U.S. Military Academy, West Point, 

NY 

Deputy Director 

Responsible for staying fully engaged in current Army issues as the Operations Research Center 

was to ensure that systems engineering education at West Point remained current and 

relevant. 

• Developed GEOBLAST: a prototype for Basecamp Design and facility Layout 

• Led capstone engineering design teams 

1998‐2001 Department of Systems Engineering, U.S. Military Academy, West Point, NY 

Assistant Professor and Deputy Director, Operations Research Center 

Educated cadets in how to think critically, anticipate and respond effectively to technological, 

social, political, and economic uncertainties of a changing world and, in the process, inspired 

cadets to be leaders of character who will serve a full career as Army officers. 

• Taught courses in systems engineering, systems design, statistics, and led engineering 

capstone design teams 

• Published several papers on cyber risk to SCADA systems, infrastructure vulnerability 

• Wrote the planning directive for the 68 th Annual MORS Symposium 

1996 – 1998 Department of Systems Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 

Graduate Student 

• Pioneered research into computer systems that control our critical infrastructure; 

distinguished Graduate Award from the Center for Risk Management of Engineering 

Systems 

• Distinguished Graduate Award from the Center for Risk Management of Engineering 

Systems 

• Masters Thesis: Cyber Risk to Water Utility Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition 

Systems 

1984‐1996 Various assignments, U. S. Army 

Continuous record of success applying unit leadership, employing engineering knowledge, 

analyzing unit tactics and performance, and developing operational insight. 

• Commanded the largest separate company‐level unit in U.S. Army with 252 Soldiers 

• Number one of 40 company commanding officers assessed by 1 st Brigade, 1 st Infantry 

Division, 1996 

• Promoted to Major Below the Zone 

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• Selected to attend graduate school and teach in Systems Department at USMA 

• Best air defense battery rotation at the National Training Center in 1996 

• Graduated on the Commandant’s List at the Infantry Officer’s Advanced Course 

• Led air defense unit that destroyed numerous enemy aircraft and air defense systems 

during Operation DESERT STORM 

Membership in Professional Societies 

• Association of the United States Army (22 years) 

• Military Operations Research Society (13 years) 

• Society for Risk Analysis (11 years) 

• American Waterworks Association (3 years) 

Education: 

• BS (Honors) Mechanical Engineering Technology (University of Southern Mississippi, 1988) 

• MS Systems Engineering (University of Virginia, 1998); 

• Ph.D. Engineering Management and Systems Engineering (Old Dominion University, 2005) 

Teaching Experience: 

• Short Course: Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management, Office of Risk Management and 

Analysis (40 hours), January 2011. 

• Short Course: Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management, Office of Risk Management and 

Analysis (40 hours), December 2009. 

• Short Course: Risk and Decision Analysis (32 hours), Sandia National Laboratory, April 2010. 

• Short Course: Risk Analysis (24 Hours), Battelle National Biodefense Institute, scheduled 

summer 2011. 

• Systems Design I (United States Military Academy), spring 1998, fall 1999 and 2000. 

• Systems Design II (United States Military Academy), spring 1999, 2000, and 2001. 

• Advanced Individual Studies (United States Military Academy), spring 1999, 2000, 2001. 

• Introduction to Systems Design (United States Military Academy), fall 1998. 

• Elementary Statistics (Adjunct Professor Mount Saint Mary’s College, NY), Summer 2000 

and Spring 2001. 

• Statistical Methods in Psychology (Adjunct Professor Saint Thomas Aquinas College, NY), 

Spring 2001. 

Scholarly Publications: 

Refereed Publications – 

1. Barry C. Ezell and Andy Collins, Letter to Editor in Response to Brown and Cox, How 

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment Can Mislead Terrorism Analysts, Risk Analysis, Vol.30, 

Accepted 23 Nov 2010. 

2. Barry C. Ezell, Detlof von Winterfeldt, Steven Bennett, John Sokolowski, and Andrew J. 

Collins, Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Terrorism Risk, Risk Analysis, Vol. 30. No.1 2010. 

3. Barry C. Ezell, Response to Parnell, Smith, and Moxley, Intelligent Adversary Risk Analysis: A 

Bioterroism Risk Management Model, Risk Analysis, Vol. 30. No. 1, 2010. 

4. Rafael Diaz and Barry C. Ezell, Using Analytical Network Process Decision Methodology to 

Analyze and Allocate Resources in the Army Training Support System, Military Operations 

Research, Accepted, March 2011. 

5. Barry C. Ezell and Detlof von Winterfeldt, Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Bioterrorism Risk, 

Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science, Vol.7. No.1, March 

2009. 

6. Barry C. Ezell, Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability Assessment Model (I‐VAM), Risk Analysis, 

Vol. 27, No. 3., 2007. 

7. Barry C. Ezell and Kenneth Crowther, Philosophical Issues and Their Implications for the 

Systems Architect, Foundations of Science, June, 2007. 

8. Barry C. Ezell, Yacov Y. Haimes, and James H. Lambert, Risks of Cyber Attack to Water Utility 

Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition Systems, Military Operations Research , Vol. 6, No. 

2, 2001. 

9. Mark W. Brantley and Barry C. Ezell, Analysis Paradigms: Are you thinking on‐, in, or 

outside‐the‐box? Military Engineer, Vol. 93, No. 612, 2001. 

10. Barry C. Ezell, Mark W. Brantley, and Mark J. Davis, Base Camp Design: Developing a 

Decision Support Tool for Site Selection and Facility Layout, Military Engineer, Vol. 93, No. 

610, 2001. 

11. Barry C. Ezell, John V. Farr, and Ian Wiese, The Infrastructure Risk Analysis Model, The 

American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE): Journal of Infrastructure Systems, Vol. 6, No. 3, 

2000. 

12. Barry C. Ezell, John V. Farr, and Ian Wiese, An Infrastructure Risk Analysis of a Municipal 

Water Distribution System, The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE): Journal of 

Infrastructure Systems, Vol. 6, No. 3, 2000. 

Proceedings – 

1. Barry C. Ezell, Toward a Systems‐Based Vulnerability Assessment Methodology for Water 

Supply Systems, Engineering Foundation Conference, Risk‐Based Decision‐Making in Water 

Resources X Proceedings, February 2003. 

2. Barry C. Ezell, Base Camp Technical Report, Operations Research Center, United States 

Military Academy, West Point, NY, June 2001. 

3. Matthew U. Robertson, Barry C. Ezell, and Michael L. McGinnis, Base Camp Facility Layout, 

IEEE 2001 International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, October 2001 

Proceedings. 

4. Randall Klingaman, Ricardo O. Morales, Barry C. Ezell, and Michael L. McGinnis, Using 

Cluster Analysis to Develop a Uniformed Joint Task List For Rapid Decisive Operations, IEEE 

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2001 International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, October 2001 

Proceedings. 

5. Greg Parnell, Barry C. Ezell, Yacov Y. Haimes, Kent Schlussel and Mark Sulcoski, Designing a 

OOTW Knowledge Hierarchy for a OOTW Decision Support System for Military Planners, 

Phalanx: A Bulletin for the Military Operations Research Society, December, 2000. 

6. Barry C. Ezell, Daniel J. McCarthy, William L. Ratliff, Jr., and Michael L. McGinnis, Joint 

Military Headquarters Redesign, IEEE 2000 International Conference on Systems, Man and 

Cybernetics, October 2000 Proceedings. 

7. Barry C. Ezell, Gregory Parnell, Yacov Y. Haimes, and James H. Lambert, Designing an OOTW 

Decision Support System Military Planners, IEEE 2000 International Conference on Systems, 

Man and Cybernetics, October 2000 Proceedings. 

8. Barry C. Ezell, Mark J. Davis, and Michael L. McGinnis, Designing A Decision Support System 

For Military Base Camp Site Selection And Facility Layout, Engineering Foundation 

Conference, Risk‐Based Decision Making in Water Resources IX Proceedings, October 2000. 

9. Barry C. Ezell, Quantifying the Risk of Cyber Intrusion through Total Risk Management, the 

Proceedings of the Institution of Engineers, Australia, Western Australian Division: SCADA at 

the Crossroads 1998, (an international conference at the Sheraton Perth Hotel, Western 

Australia), November 16‐19, 1998. 

Ph.D. Dissertation and MS Thesis – 

1. Barry C. Ezell, Dissertation: Quantifying Vulnerability To Critical Infrastructure, Old 

Dominion University, December 2004. 

2. Barry C. Ezell, Thesis: Risks of Cyber Attack to Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition for 

Water Supply, University of Virginia, May 1998. 

Articles – 

1. Barry C. Ezell and Jennie Jastrzembski, How to Do a Peer Review, Phalanx, Vol. 41, No. 3., 

2008. 

2. Barry C. Ezell, Republic of Georgia Air Defense Capability Assessment Report, Office of the 

Secretary of Defense, 9 June 2008. 

3. Barry C. Ezell, Army Experimentation and Studies Information System: understanding the 

issues and the way forward for a modern content management system, Army Capabilities 

Integration Center, 29 November 2006. 

4. Barry C. Ezell, Book Review: Systems Decision Making in Systems Engineering and 

Management, Phalanx, Vol. 39, No. 4., 2006. 

5. Barry C. Ezell, Book Review: Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management, 2 nd Edition, Risk 

Analysis, Vol. 25, No. 5, 2005. 

6. Barry C. Ezell, How vulnerable is your SCADA system? Control Magazine, February 2005. 

7. Barry C. Ezell, Air Defense for the 197 th Infantry Brigade (Separate) during Operation Desert 

Shield and Storm, Arabian Knights: A Special Publication for and about our Air Defense 

Artillery Veterans of Operation Desert Storm, August 1991. 

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Awards, Select Presentations and Invited Speaking Engagements: 

1. Session Chair for three sessions, INFORMS, Charlotte, NC, November 13‐18, 2011. 

2. Presentation: “Portfolio Risk Management and Sustainment for UASI: Analytic Support to 

Hampton Roads UASI”, National Urban Area Security Initiative Conference, June 20‐24, 

2011. 

3. Presentation: “Identifying factors that influence terrorist decisions and target selection”, 3 rd 

International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, Loredo, TX, May 22‐25, 2011. 

4. Presentation: “Investment Justification Prioritization”, National Urban Area Security 

Initiative Conference, June 9‐11, 2009. 

5. Invited Speaker: Weapons of Mass Destruction: A Modeling Approach for Homeland 

Security Risk Assessment, ITEC 2009, Brussels, Belgium, 12‐14 May 2009. 

6. Invited Speaker: PRA and Terrorism, Symposium on the Theory and Application of Risk 

Analysis to Homeland Security and Defense, Los Alamos National Laboratory, 7‐9 April 2009. 

7. Invited Speaker: Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism Conference: Center for Science 

Technology and Security Policy, American Association for the Advancement of Science, 12‐ 

13 March 2009. 

8. Invited Speaker and Panel Member for Society of Risk Analysis Conference: Quantifying 

Vulnerability to Critical Infrastructure and Net‐centric Risk Analysis,4‐6 December 2006. 

9. Invited Speaker: Quantifying Vulnerability to Critical Infrastructure, Homeland Security 

Symposium, University of Southern California, 15‐16 January 2005. 

10. Invited Speaker: Keynote Address, The Amorphous Security Model: Contextual security in 

SCADA and critical infrastructure, Inaugural National SCADA Conference of New Zealand, 

28‐29 October 2003. 

11. Chairman: SCADA Security Technical Workshop, 30 October 2003. 

12. Invited Speaker: Keynote Address, A Systems‐based Vulnerability Assessment Methodology 

for Critical Infrastructure Systems, Australian SCADA Conference, Sydney, Australia, 16‐17 

June 2003. 

13. Chairman, Workshop A: Security and Risk Management in SCADA Systems, and Conference 

Chair, Day 2, Sydney, Australia, 18 June 2003. 

14. Chairman, Workshop for Technical Focus on Vulnerability to Critical Infrastructures, 

European SCADA Conference, London, England, 14‐16 February 2003. 

15. Invited Speaker, Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk‐Based Decision‐making in 

Water Resources IX, October 2002. 

16. Panel member and Invited Speaker, Society of American Military Engineers Conference June 

2001. 

17. Co‐Chairman, Working Group 24 (Measures of Effectiveness) Military Operations Research 

Society, 2001; Chairman, 2002‐2003; and Advisor 2004. 

18. Co‐chairman, Composite Working Group, Military Operations Research Society, 2004‐ 

present. 

19. Panel member and Invited Speaker, Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk‐Based 

Decision‐making in Water Resources IX, October 2000. 

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20. Recipient of the 1998 Distinguished Graduate Student Award for Outstanding Scholarship 

and Public Service from the Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems, University 

of Virginia. 

21. Invited Keynote Speaker, Institution of Engineers, Australia, Western Australian Division: 

SCADA at the Crossroads 1998, (an international conference at the Sheraton Perth Hotel, 

Western Australia), November 16‐19, 1998. 

22. Commandant’s List graduate, Infantry Officer Advance Course, 1993. 

23. Graduated with Honors, University of Southern Mississippi, 1988. 

24. Distinguished Military Graduate, University of Southern Mississippi, 1988. 

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