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THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION OF EUROPEAN SHOPPING CENTRES

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The upturn is broad-based with private consumption expected to remain positive and strengthen in 2015<br />

and into 2016 across most European countries (see Figure 2). This growth in retail spending will act as an<br />

important stimulus for the European economy as the recovery in domestic demand creates further interregional<br />

trade and employment growth. Shopping centre environments are crucial to facilitating and enticing<br />

such growth, generating efficiencies and improving productivity by providing retailers with the appropriate<br />

infrastructure and a marketplace to engage with their consumers.<br />

Figure 2: Real Private Consumption Growth: 2014 to 2016(f) (European OECD Member-States)<br />

Austria<br />

0.5<br />

0.5<br />

1.0<br />

Belgium<br />

0.7<br />

1.1<br />

1.5<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Denmark<br />

0.6<br />

1.5<br />

1.9<br />

2.3<br />

2.0<br />

2.5<br />

Estonia<br />

3.7<br />

3.8<br />

4.2<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Hungary<br />

Ireland<br />

-0.4<br />

0.2<br />

1.1<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.7<br />

1.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

1.3<br />

1.7<br />

1.1<br />

1.7<br />

1.9<br />

2.1<br />

2.3<br />

1.8<br />

1.8<br />

2014<br />

2015 (f)<br />

2016 (f)<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

0.2<br />

0.30.5<br />

1.8<br />

2.4<br />

2.8<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Poland<br />

Portugal<br />

Slovakia<br />

Slovenia<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

-0.1<br />

0.4<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.8<br />

1.0<br />

1.5<br />

2.1<br />

2.3<br />

2.7<br />

2.4<br />

2.5<br />

3.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.1<br />

1.9<br />

1.7<br />

2.4<br />

2.6<br />

3.0<br />

3.8<br />

Switzerland<br />

United Kingdom<br />

0.7<br />

1.0<br />

1.9<br />

2.1<br />

2.4<br />

2.1<br />

-1 0 1 2 3 4 5<br />

Sources: OECD (April 2015); Forecast by ICSC Research<br />

7

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