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Economic Impact of Lantana on the Australian ... - Weeds Australia

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong>Grazing IndustryFINAL REPORTDepartment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> NaturalResources & WaterFebruary 2007


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryDocument History and StatusJob ID: 14166Job Name:<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> GrazingIndustryProject Manager: Ashley PageCompany:Natural Resources and WaterJob C<strong>on</strong>tact: Tessie Tumaneng-DieteDocument Name: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Grazing EIA Final Report(b).docLast Saved: 7/06/2007 13:06:00 A6/P6Printed:7/06/2007 20:06:00 A6/P6Versi<strong>on</strong> Date Reviewed ApprovedDraft Ver 1.0 23 September, 2006Draft Ver 7.0 31 October, 2006 ARPDraft Ver 8.0 2 November, 2006 ARPFinal Draft 2 December, 2006 ARP ARPFinal Report 6 February, 2007 ARP ARPFinal Report(a) 11 May, 2007 ARP ARPFinal Report(b) 7 June, 2007 ARP ARPFINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166i


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryExecutive SummaryBackground and Objectives<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is a significant weed <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> both agricultural and natural habitats. It is believed tohave been introduced in various locati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>Australia</strong> in <strong>the</strong> early 1840s and quicklyspread bey<strong>on</strong>d domestic cultivati<strong>on</strong> to become established in <strong>the</strong> wild. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> was firstdeclared noxious around 1920, and by <strong>the</strong> 1950s had spread over more than 1,600kilometres <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Australia</strong>’s east coast (NSW Government, 2005a and 2005b).The objective <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this report is to ga<strong>the</strong>r and assess quantifiable data <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> impacts andissues associated with lantana and its subsequent c<strong>on</strong>trol throughout <strong>Australia</strong>,specifically in Queensland and New South Wales. The informati<strong>on</strong> will be used by NaturalResources and Water (NRW) and <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management Group to assess <strong>the</strong>costs and benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana <strong>on</strong> producti<strong>on</strong>, natural areas and o<strong>the</strong>r public areas.Approach and ProcessA literature review was undertaken to identify <strong>the</strong> key areas required to be targeted forinformati<strong>on</strong> ga<strong>the</strong>ring. A targeted survey was <strong>the</strong>n undertaken to identify and quantify<strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>-farm impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong> grazing sector, as well as <strong>the</strong> qualitative impactsassociated with its presence.The key data identified through <strong>the</strong> analysis included:• Current area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> and rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong>;• Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>;• O<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts:o Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing;o Increased mustering costs;o Reduced carrying capacity;o Increased maintenance expenditure; ando Land value.Key Data InputsIt is estimated that <strong>the</strong>re are approximately 2.2 milli<strong>on</strong> hectares <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> grazing land in<strong>Australia</strong> where some presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is currently recorded (based <strong>on</strong> grid mapping,approximately 1.7 milli<strong>on</strong> in Queensland and 0.5 milli<strong>on</strong> hectares in NSW). Based <strong>on</strong>CLIMEX modelling, lantana has <strong>the</strong> potential to invade up to 34.5 milli<strong>on</strong> hectares <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>grazing land (29.7 milli<strong>on</strong> in Queensland and 4.8 milli<strong>on</strong> hectares in NSW). Fur<strong>the</strong>r,<strong>the</strong>re is potential for lantana to increase <strong>the</strong> density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> coverage within already affectedareas.Landholders <strong>on</strong> average incur a total cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $42.78/ha per year 1present. The total cost c<strong>on</strong>sists <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>:where lantana is• $6.40/ha in stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing;• $5.50/ha in increased mustering costs;• $19.55/ha in reduced carrying capacity; and• $11.33/ha in increased maintenance expenditure.Where c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives are undertaken, landholders spend approximately:• $44.00 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• $3.70 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land for light infestati<strong>on</strong>s.• $62.60 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• $8.00 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land for medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s.1 All data from <strong>the</strong> survey is <strong>on</strong> a per hectare per annum basis, unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise specified.FINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166ii


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryFindingsCost <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>C<strong>on</strong>trol Cost• $75.10 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• $10.80 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land for heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in <strong>Australia</strong> costs <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector approximately$104.3 milli<strong>on</strong> (2005/06) per annum in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost productivity, and increasedmanagement expenses. This iscomprised <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately $70.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in Queenslandand $33.4 milli<strong>on</strong> in NSW.The majority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders generally c<strong>on</strong>sider <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana tobe insignificant. However, where occurring and quantified, <strong>the</strong>y equate to significantimpacts in lost producti<strong>on</strong> and increased maintenance costs. This implies thatlandholders may be underestimating <strong>the</strong> magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact that lantana has <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong>ir land.Land value is affected <strong>on</strong>ce lantana is present regardless <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> level and extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>infestati<strong>on</strong>. There is little variati<strong>on</strong> between <strong>the</strong> average reducti<strong>on</strong> in land value for <strong>the</strong>total property area ($8.54/ha) and <strong>the</strong> infested areas ($12.95/ha).There is a wide range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholder expenditure (virtually $0/ha to greater than $100/ha)<strong>on</strong> different c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques across varying densities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> and terrain types.Expenditure <strong>on</strong> current c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives by landholders is estimated to be in <strong>the</strong> order <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>$17.1 milli<strong>on</strong> per year (2005/06).C<strong>on</strong>trol techniques employed by landholders appear to reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium andlight infestati<strong>on</strong>s. However, in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques aregenerally <strong>on</strong>ly expected to slow <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> ra<strong>the</strong>r than reduce <strong>the</strong> areainfested. Individual cases <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> successful c<strong>on</strong>trol in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> heavy infestati<strong>on</strong> have beenreported.In some cases it may be highly beneficial to clear lantana for agricultural use. However,<strong>on</strong> average, <strong>the</strong>re is no financial incentive for landholders to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land,because, <strong>on</strong> average, <strong>the</strong> benefits from c<strong>on</strong>trol do not outweigh <strong>the</strong> cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol. Thisis highlighted by <strong>the</strong> indicative calculati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> following table for <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ahectare <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium infestati<strong>on</strong>.Table E.1. Calculati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Indicative Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> (Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>)Descripti<strong>on</strong>DataCost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> ($/ha) (A) -$42.78C<strong>on</strong>trol Cost ($/ha) (Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>) (B) $62.60Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> ($/ha) (C) $42.78Net Benefit From C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/ha) (D = C – B) -$19.82Note: The benefit <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol (C) is equal to <strong>the</strong> removal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> cost impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana (A).It is expected that c<strong>on</strong>tinuing with existing c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives will yield a negative netpresent value (NPV) over 30 years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately $219.7 milli<strong>on</strong>. However, whilst <strong>on</strong>average <strong>the</strong>re is no financial incentive to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana, landholders still manage andc<strong>on</strong>trol lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in strategic locati<strong>on</strong>s. Where landholders are able tosuccessfully c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> lower end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol cost pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile(reported in Secti<strong>on</strong> 3.4.3) this would likely lead to producti<strong>on</strong> benefits from c<strong>on</strong>trollinglantana in both <strong>the</strong> short and l<strong>on</strong>g term.Aside from producti<strong>on</strong> benefits, landholders also c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana for o<strong>the</strong>r intangiblebenefits, such as preventing envir<strong>on</strong>mental degradati<strong>on</strong>, ease <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management andproperty access and to preserve <strong>the</strong> future productive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land.FINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166iii


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryWhere <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program for lantana resulted in <strong>the</strong>release <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> successful c<strong>on</strong>trol agents, it is expected this would result in significantproducti<strong>on</strong> and n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> based benefits. To examine and test this, a hypo<strong>the</strong>ticalexample was developed for producti<strong>on</strong> impacts. The hypo<strong>the</strong>tical example examined abiological c<strong>on</strong>trol research program undertaken for a period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately 10 years(costing approximately $300,000 per year 2 ) with a five year establishment program thatresulted in <strong>the</strong> successful release <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agents that achieved approximately 50%effectiveness (that is, reducing <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana by 50% at <strong>the</strong> end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> year 15).This scenario was identified to be highly desirable, with <strong>the</strong> potential to return over $90for every dollar invested 3 .<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana decreases <strong>the</strong> productivity (or output) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazingsector through impacts such as stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ health and reduced carrying capacity.This subsequently reduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector to <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy through direct and flow-<strong>on</strong> (turnover <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> goods and services utilised in<strong>the</strong> agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> process) impacts. This loss in productivity is partially <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fsetby investments made by landholders in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, which also c<strong>on</strong>tributes toec<strong>on</strong>omic activity.The value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost producti<strong>on</strong> from <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector resulting from <strong>the</strong>presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is expected to be approximately $46.2 milli<strong>on</strong> annually 4 . This has atotal negative impact, direct and flow-<strong>on</strong>, to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately:• $82.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in gross output;• $42.0 milli<strong>on</strong> in value added or GDP;• $16.1 milli<strong>on</strong> in wages and salaries paid; and• 744 full time equivalent employment positi<strong>on</strong>s.Social and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sAn assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing literature <strong>on</strong> lantana suggests various social andenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts, for which <strong>the</strong>re was little quantifiable data available.In this study landholders perceived that <strong>the</strong> negative impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana outweigh <strong>the</strong>positive impacts. The most significant negative social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impactsidentified by landholders are outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Table E.2. Qualitative Negative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>WeightedAverage (a)Removes and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> 3.6Reduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.5Reduced scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.4Restricti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans 3.4Harbours feral animals 3.4Increases management stress 3.3Restricts property access 3.3Increases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire 3.0Displaces native animals 2.9<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism 2.7Note: Weighted average across a 0-5 rating scale, with a maximum score <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5.The following positive impacts were also recorded, however, <strong>the</strong>ir average scores indicate<strong>the</strong>y are c<strong>on</strong>sidered relatively insignificant.2 Estimated annual cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> two full time researchers and associated <strong>on</strong> costs.3 Assumes a 10-year research program (at $300,000/ year), 5-year establishment program (at$50,000/ year) and 50% agent efficacy.4 Net <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expenditure <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol initiativesFINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166iv


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable E.3. Qualitative Positive <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>WeightedAverage (a)Stabilising soil and preventing erosi<strong>on</strong> 2.5Aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing 2.3Improved soil for pasture renovati<strong>on</strong> 2.1Note: Weighted average across a 0-5 rating scale, with a maximum score <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5.Whilst <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mental or social impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana were rated qualitatively, no datawas identified to accurately quantify <strong>the</strong>se impacts. A study c<strong>on</strong>ducted by AECgroup(2003) examined <strong>the</strong> value and impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> envir<strong>on</strong>mental weeds in Queensland withinareas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value, such as nati<strong>on</strong>al parks. The study identified an averageenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impact value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $72.5 milli<strong>on</strong> per annum (2003 values) in Queensland.The study identified using c<strong>on</strong>tingent valuati<strong>on</strong> (dichotomous choice) by askinghouseholds <strong>the</strong>ir willingness to pay to protect areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> significance inQueensland from lantana, which was identified to be approximately $55/household peryear.Limitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> studyThe nature and extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in this study were based <strong>on</strong> availableinformati<strong>on</strong> ga<strong>the</strong>red from <strong>the</strong> survey and from <strong>the</strong> review <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing literature. Theoutcomes could be improved if <strong>the</strong> following informati<strong>on</strong> were also available:• Reduced size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> grid squares: Smaller grid squares utilised in CLIMEX modellingwould lead to increased levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detail and accuracy. Proxies were developed tomore accurately estimate <strong>the</strong> actual areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> analysis;• Improved assumpti<strong>on</strong>s surrounding <strong>the</strong> base assumpti<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> CLIMEX modelling:Anecdotal evidence suggests that perhaps some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se should be amended (forexample: maximum altitude, temperature assessments);• Validati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> CLIMEX modelling: Where <strong>the</strong> current area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> exceeded <strong>the</strong>future maximum predicted by CLIMEX modelling <strong>the</strong> current area was used andassumed to be at maximum distributi<strong>on</strong>;• Land use by area: Paucity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data relating to <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land classed as grazing usethat is actually productive land verses natural habitat or bushland;• Rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing infestati<strong>on</strong>s by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>: Would assist in<strong>the</strong> development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detailed growth models examining infestati<strong>on</strong> rates;• Rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> into new areas and establishment process: Would assist in <strong>the</strong>development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detailed growth models examining infestati<strong>on</strong> rates; and• Quantified envir<strong>on</strong>mental and social impacts: Would assist in understanding <strong>the</strong> lesstangible impacts associated with lantana in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas.FINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166v


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>tentsDOCUMENT HISTORY AND STATUS ..................................................................... IEXECUTIVE SUMMARY........................................................................................IITABLE OF CONTENTS......................................................................................... VI1. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................... 11.1 PURPOSE OF STUDY ......................................................................................... 11.2 SCOPE AND OBJECTIVES.................................................................................... 11.3 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY............................................................................ 11.4 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE .................................................................................... 21.5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS....................................................................................... 21.6 DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................. 22. LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................. 32.1 LANTANA BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW .................................................................. 32.1.1 OVERVIEW OF LANTANA ........................................................................... 32.1.2 PEST STATUS ...................................................................................... 32.1.3 GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT ..................................................................... 42.1.4 CURRENT AND POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION ....................................................... 42.2 IMPACTS ..................................................................................................... 52.2.1 BENEFITS ........................................................................................... 52.2.2 COSTS .............................................................................................. 62.3 MANAGEMENT AND CONTROL............................................................................... 72.3.1 MANUAL CONTROL ................................................................................. 82.3.2 HERBICIDES ........................................................................................ 82.3.3 MECHANICAL CONTROL............................................................................ 92.3.4 TRAMPLING AND GRAZING ........................................................................ 92.3.5 FIRE................................................................................................. 92.3.6 BIOLOGICAL CONTROL .......................................................................... 102.4 QUALITATIVE ECONOMIC, SOCIAL & ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS ..................................... 102.4.1 BENEFITS ......................................................................................... 102.4.2 COSTS ............................................................................................ 113. QUANTIFYING IMPACTS (SURVEY RESULTS) ............................................ 123.1 SAMPLE SIZE AND CONFIDENCE INTERVAL.............................................................. 123.2 RESPONDENT INFORMATION.............................................................................. 123.3 INFESTATION (EXTENT & DENSITY)..................................................................... 123.4 CONTROL................................................................................................... 133.4.1 ACTIVITIES ....................................................................................... 133.4.2 TECHNIQUES ..................................................................................... 133.4.3 COSTS ............................................................................................ 133.5 OTHER ECONOMIC IMPACTS.............................................................................. 143.6 TRIPLE BOTTOM LINE (TBL) (QUALITATIVE IMPACTS)................................................ 174. COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS.......................................................................... 184.1 SCENARIOS EXAMINED.................................................................................... 184.2 DATA INPUTS .............................................................................................. 184.2.1 CURRENT ESTIMATED AREA OF INFESTATION ................................................. 184.2.2 INFESTATION RATE .............................................................................. 194.2.3 CONTROL INFORMATION......................................................................... 204.2.4 OTHER ECONOMIC IMPACTS .................................................................... 204.2.5 LANDUSE INFORMATION......................................................................... 214.3 MODEL ..................................................................................................... 214.3.1 CONVERTING FUTURE IMPACTS TO TODAY’S VALUES ......................................... 224.4 RESULTS ................................................................................................... 234.4.1 COST OF LANTANA TO THE AUSTRALIAN GRAZING SECTOR .................................. 234.4.2 CURRENT CONTROL.............................................................................. 244.4.3 DEVELOPMENT OF A BIOLOGICAL CONTROL AGENT ........................................... 265. ECONOMIC IMPACT ................................................................................... 29FINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166vi


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry5.1 DATA INPUTS .............................................................................................. 295.2 ECONOMIC IMPACT........................................................................................ 296. KEY FINDINGS & LIMITATIONS ................................................................ 306.1 KEY FINDINGS............................................................................................. 306.1.1 COST IMPACT .................................................................................... 306.1.2 CONTROL COST .................................................................................. 306.1.3 ECONOMIC IMPACT .............................................................................. 316.1.4 SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS........................................................ 316.2 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY .............................................................................. 32REFERENCES ..................................................................................................... 33APPENDIX A: COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS ............................................................ 35APPENDIX B: INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS........................................................... 37APPENDIX C: SURVEY INSTRUMENT ................................................................. 38APPENDIX D: SURVEY ANALYSIS & RESULTS.................................................... 39FINAL REPORTJob ID: 14166vii


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry1. Introducti<strong>on</strong>1.1 Purpose <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> StudyThe AEC Group Limited (AECgroup) was commissi<strong>on</strong>ed by Queensland Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Natural Resources and Water (NRW) and <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management Group toundertake an assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara (lantana) to <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector to provide informati<strong>on</strong> for policy development and fundingdecisi<strong>on</strong>s and to identify its social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts.The purpose <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> report is to ga<strong>the</strong>r and assess quantifiable data <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> impacts andissues associated with lantana and its subsequent c<strong>on</strong>trol throughout <strong>Australia</strong>,specifically in Queensland and New South Wales. The informati<strong>on</strong> will be used by NRWand <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management Group to assess <strong>the</strong> costs and benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana<strong>on</strong> producti<strong>on</strong>, natural areas and o<strong>the</strong>r public areas.1.2 Scope and ObjectivesThe report aims to:• Assess <strong>the</strong> costs and benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing industry.• Where <strong>the</strong>re is no data, collect new informati<strong>on</strong> through landholder and stakeholdersurveys with sufficient sample size and <strong>the</strong>n provide statistically significant results.• Develop scenarios based <strong>on</strong> available informati<strong>on</strong> such as producti<strong>on</strong> impacts, c<strong>on</strong>troland research costs and maps <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana distributi<strong>on</strong>.• Develop a model, which will evaluate current and potential impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana over aspecified period.1.3 Approach and MethodologyThe project reviewed available literature and informati<strong>on</strong> to identify <strong>the</strong> key target areasfor informati<strong>on</strong> ga<strong>the</strong>ring. A targeted survey was <strong>the</strong>n undertaken to identify andquantify <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>-farm impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong> grazing sector, as well as determine <strong>the</strong>qualitative social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts associated with its presence.This informati<strong>on</strong> was <strong>the</strong>n examined in a cost benefit analysis (CBA) framework toidentify <strong>the</strong> current cost and benefits associated with c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives currently beingundertaken. An overview <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> CBA methodology is outlined in detail in Appendix A.The ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy was quantified using anInput-Output (IO) framework. An overview <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> IO methodology, key terms andlimitati<strong>on</strong>s is included in Appendix B.An outline <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> two models, and how <strong>the</strong>y interact, is provided in <strong>the</strong> following figure,with <strong>the</strong> IO model comp<strong>on</strong>ent identified by <strong>the</strong> three boxes c<strong>on</strong>nected to <strong>the</strong> rest <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>model by dotted lines.FINAL REPORT 1Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryFigure 1.1. Evaluati<strong>on</strong> FrameworkDefine Scope & BoundaryIdentify all Costs & BenefitsValue all Costs & BenefitsQuantifiable(Dollar Terms)Not Quantifiable(Likelihood & C<strong>on</strong>sequence)Tabulate Annual Costs & BenefitsCalculate Net Benefit in Dollar TermsNet Producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>Scenario & Risk AnalysisInput-Output ModelReport FindingsDirect & Indirect <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sSource: AECgroup1.4 Document StructureThis document examines <strong>the</strong> existing literature regarding lantana and its impacts andmanagement requirements. Specific impacts by stakeholder group are identified al<strong>on</strong>gwith <strong>the</strong> key findings <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> landholder survey that assessed <strong>the</strong> current and potentialimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana. These impacts are <strong>the</strong>n combined with existing and future potentialdistributi<strong>on</strong> patterns to identify <strong>the</strong> current cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazingsector as well as <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se producti<strong>on</strong> impacts within <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong>ec<strong>on</strong>omy.1.5 AcknowledgementsThe authors extend special thanks to <strong>the</strong> members <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> steering committee, TessieTumaneng-Diete, Andrew Clark and Chris Curteis, for <strong>the</strong>ir c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong>development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> report, Terrence Chen and <strong>the</strong> PestInfo network for <strong>the</strong> provisi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>distributi<strong>on</strong> mapping data, and John Hodg<strong>on</strong> and Andrew Leys for <strong>the</strong> review anddistributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> survey instrument.1.6 DisclaimerWhilst all care and diligence have been exercised in <strong>the</strong> preparati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this report, <strong>the</strong>AEC Group Limited does not warrant <strong>the</strong> accuracy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> informati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tained within andaccepts no liability for any loss or damage that may be suffered as a result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> reliance <strong>on</strong>this informati<strong>on</strong>, whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong>re has been any error, omissi<strong>on</strong> or negligence <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> AEC Group Limited or <strong>the</strong>ir employees. Any forecasts or projecti<strong>on</strong>s used in<strong>the</strong> analysis can be affected by a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> unforeseen variables, and as such nowarranty is given that a particular set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> results will in fact be achieved.FINAL REPORT 2Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry2. Literature ReviewWith lantana c<strong>on</strong>sidered as a significant weed in over 60 countries worldwide, severalresearch studies have been c<strong>on</strong>ducted regarding <strong>the</strong> effects, distributi<strong>on</strong> and c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana both domestically and internati<strong>on</strong>ally. This secti<strong>on</strong> provides a review <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong> key issues identified in relati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantanain <strong>Australia</strong>.2.1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Background and Overview2.1.1 Overview <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara (lantana) originates from tropical and subtropical America and is now amajor weed in over 60 countries. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is recognised as <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> ten worst weedsworldwide. It is a brittle, multi-branched, thicket-forming shrub, normally 2-4 metrestall but capable <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> scrambling over o<strong>the</strong>r vegetati<strong>on</strong> to 15 metres high. It is anaggregate species derived from natural and horticultural hybridisati<strong>on</strong>, and has <strong>the</strong>ability to cross-pollinate with o<strong>the</strong>r weedy and ornamental varieties to form new, moreresilient strains (CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, 2003).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is believed to have been introduced in various locati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>Australia</strong> in <strong>the</strong> early1800s and quickly spread bey<strong>on</strong>d domestic cultivati<strong>on</strong> to become established in <strong>the</strong> wild.<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> was first declared noxious around 1920, and by <strong>the</strong> 1950s had spread overmore than 1,600 kilometres <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Australia</strong>’s east coast (NSW Government, 2005a and2005b).2.1.2 Pest Status<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is recognised as a Weed <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Nati<strong>on</strong>al Significance (WoNS) due to its invasiveness,potential distributi<strong>on</strong> range and impacts <strong>on</strong> primary industries, c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> andbiodiversity.In Queensland, all lantana species are declared Class 3 pest plants under <strong>the</strong> LandProtecti<strong>on</strong> (Pest and Stock Route Management) Act 2002. Class 3 pest plants aredefined as weeds established in Queensland that have or could have adverse ec<strong>on</strong>omic,envir<strong>on</strong>mental or social impacts. Under <strong>the</strong> Act it is an <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fence to introduce, release, sellor o<strong>the</strong>rwise supply a Class 3 pest. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> species cannot be sold and landholders maybe required to c<strong>on</strong>trol <strong>the</strong>se plants if <strong>the</strong>y live next to an envir<strong>on</strong>mentally significantarea. In o<strong>the</strong>r states <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Australia</strong> lantana’s pest status is as follows:• New South Wales: Declared Class 5 throughout NSW, as well as Class 3 in three localgovernment areas (LGAs) and Class 4 in 54 LGAs primarily al<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> NSW coast. ForClass 5 weeds <strong>the</strong> requirements in <strong>the</strong> Noxious <strong>Weeds</strong> Act 1993 must be compliedwith. The growth and spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Class 4 weeds must be c<strong>on</strong>trolled according to <strong>the</strong>measures specified in a management plan published by <strong>the</strong> local c<strong>on</strong>trol authority.Class 3 weeds must be fully and c<strong>on</strong>tinuously suppressed;• Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Territory: Both Class B and Class C. The growth and spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Class Bnoxious weeds is to be c<strong>on</strong>trolled while Class C noxious weeds are not to beintroduced to <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Territory;• South <strong>Australia</strong>: Class 11+. Class 11+ plants are restricted from sale, but <strong>the</strong>irc<strong>on</strong>trol is not required;• Tasmania: Declared under <strong>the</strong> Weed Management Act 1999 (Tas.). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> may notbe imported into Tasmania, and its sale or o<strong>the</strong>r supply is not permitted.Landholders may be required to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir property;• Western <strong>Australia</strong>: Declared Class P1 under <strong>the</strong> Agriculture and Related Resources Act1976. The movement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Class P1 plants within <strong>the</strong> State is prohibited, includingFINAL REPORT 3Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industryc<strong>on</strong>taminated machinery and produce. Since October 2005 <strong>the</strong> sale <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana hasbeen banned;• Victoria: Declared as a restricted weed in November 2005, meaning lantana isbanned from sale within <strong>the</strong> State; and• <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Capital Territory: Declared as Prohibited under <strong>the</strong> Pest Plants and Animals(Pest Plants) Declarati<strong>on</strong> 2005 (No 1). Prohibited plants are banned from beingsupplied within <strong>the</strong> Territory.2.1.3 Growth and Development<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> grows in both dry and humid climates in warm regi<strong>on</strong>s, mainly <strong>on</strong> richer soils,from sea level to approximately 1,000 metres and prefers moist c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s. It is frostsensitive, has a low tolerance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil salinity but tolerates partial shading. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is aperennial shrub that is c<strong>on</strong>stantly renewed at <strong>the</strong> base and is l<strong>on</strong>g lived under favourablec<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s. Once established, it tends to die <strong>on</strong>ly under stressful c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s such asintense or prol<strong>on</strong>ged drought or shading (CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, 2003).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> seedlings germinate predominantly after <strong>the</strong> initial summer rains, althoughseedlings can germinate throughout <strong>the</strong> year where <strong>the</strong>re is sufficient moisture. Initialseedling growth is slow until <strong>the</strong> root system becomes established, after which nearbystems intertwine to form dense thickets. Approximately half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> flowers produceseeds, with typically 1-20 seeds per flower head. Mature plants can produce up to12,000 seeds per annum (CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, 2003).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> generally flowers <strong>the</strong> summer following germinati<strong>on</strong> and <strong>the</strong>n every summer<strong>the</strong>reafter from September/October until March/April. Many studies, however, haveshown that lantana can flower whenever <strong>the</strong> soil is moist and <strong>the</strong> air is warm and humid(Swarbrick et al., 1998). Each flower head c<strong>on</strong>sists <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 20-40 flowers, with a wide variety<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> colours, while <strong>the</strong> fruit has many berries that c<strong>on</strong>tain a single seed (NSWGovernment, 2005a). Table 2.1 outlines <strong>the</strong> general growth pattern for lantana.Table 2.1. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s Growth PatternJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFloweringSeed Formati<strong>on</strong>Seed DropGerminati<strong>on</strong>General growth patternSource: CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management (2003)Additi<strong>on</strong>al growth in very wet years2.1.4 Current and Potential Distributi<strong>on</strong>Following its first introducti<strong>on</strong> in 1841, lantana spread rapidly al<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> eastern coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>Australia</strong> and is now a prominent coastal and sub-coastal weed over 1,600 kilometresfrom Cairns to Sydney in altitudes between sea level and 600 metres, or excepti<strong>on</strong>ally to1,000 metres (NSW Government, 2005a and 2005b). Pars<strong>on</strong>s and Cuthberts<strong>on</strong> (2001)estimated that lantana infests approximately four milli<strong>on</strong> hectares <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> pasture in <strong>Australia</strong>,primarily al<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> eastern coast.<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is generally c<strong>on</strong>sidered to have reached its potential distributi<strong>on</strong> range, butc<strong>on</strong>tinues to invade new habitats within <strong>the</strong> range as well as increasing in density(ARMC-ANZ, 2001). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has also spread into drier areas with western infestati<strong>on</strong>sknown as far west as Surat and Rubyvale in Queensland, with lantana present in at leastFINAL REPORT 4Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry<strong>on</strong>e major westward flowing river system (C<strong>on</strong>damine Bal<strong>on</strong>ne catchment), fuellingc<strong>on</strong>cern that lantana may spread fur<strong>the</strong>r inland al<strong>on</strong>g riparian corridors in <strong>the</strong> future.Day et al. (2003) provides a detailed assessment and summary <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>different varieties <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in Queensland and elsewhere in <strong>Australia</strong>.Figure 2.1. Potential Distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in <strong>Australia</strong>2.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s2.2.1 BenefitsNote: CLIMEX has been used to estimate <strong>the</strong> potential distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana. CLIMEX is a dynamic simulati<strong>on</strong>model that uses climatic parameters to predict <strong>the</strong> potential distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a species (Sur<strong>the</strong>rst et al., 1999).M<strong>on</strong>thly l<strong>on</strong>g-term climatic averages for a variety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> locati<strong>on</strong>s are used to calculate <strong>the</strong> potential for a locati<strong>on</strong> tosupport a permanent populati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a particular organism.Source: Queensland Government (2006b)Outside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Australia</strong> lantana is widely grown as an ornamental shrub in <strong>the</strong> tropics andsub-tropics, as well as o<strong>the</strong>r warm, temperate z<strong>on</strong>es. In <strong>the</strong> tropics and sub-tropics andtemperate z<strong>on</strong>es it has established as a significant weed (Swarbrick et al., 1998).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> can spread quickly over short distances by sending roots into <strong>the</strong> soil from itsstems. Seeds are also distributed in <strong>the</strong> droppings <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fruit-eating birds and mammals,allowing <strong>the</strong> weed to spread over large distances. Day et al. (2003) suggest that lantanais allelopathic, releasing chemicals into <strong>the</strong> soil to prevent germinati<strong>on</strong> and competiti<strong>on</strong>from some o<strong>the</strong>r plant species; however, this is yet to be scientifically validated. O<strong>the</strong>rdiscussi<strong>on</strong>s imply beneficial impacts by lantana providing a layer <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> nutrients to <strong>the</strong> soilto benefit <strong>the</strong> growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<strong>the</strong>r plants. The net impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is not c<strong>on</strong>firmed.Due to its attractive colouring and low level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> maintenance requirement, lantana hasbeen extensively grown as a garden ornamental in <strong>Australia</strong>, although is now bannedfrom sale in all States and Territories. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, like native species, can provide benefitsin <strong>the</strong> form <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food and shelter to a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> native birds, animals and insects, and hasalso been effectively used to form a temporary buffer al<strong>on</strong>g forest edges for bushregenerati<strong>on</strong> projects. The weed is c<strong>on</strong>sidered to be useful in preventing soil erosi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>steep slopes and stream banks, and is able to suppress some weeds c<strong>on</strong>sidered to havea greater detrimental ecological impact (Queensland Government, 2004).FINAL REPORT 5Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry2.2.2 Costs<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>s can prevent soil compacti<strong>on</strong> and is a source <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> organic matter forpasture renovati<strong>on</strong> or improvement (Queensland Government, 2004). In India <strong>the</strong> seedshave been used for stockfeed (Swarbrick et al., 1998), however, <strong>the</strong>re is no record <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>this having occurred in <strong>Australia</strong>.Studies have shown that <strong>the</strong> mixed essential oils in lantana flowers have <strong>the</strong> potential tobe used for perfumery or beneficial drugs (Ahmad et al., 1962; Peyr<strong>on</strong> et al., 1971), butso far have not been commercialised. Given lantana’s allelopathic affects <strong>the</strong>re is alsosuggesti<strong>on</strong> that extracts could be used as a biocide (Swarbrick et al., 1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>can also be used to protect food items against various pests (Swarbrick et al., 1998).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> provides a variety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> negative ec<strong>on</strong>omic, social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts. Theprimary negative ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is to <strong>the</strong> productivity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> beef and dairypastures, although lantana is also c<strong>on</strong>sidered a serious weed <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> plantati<strong>on</strong> timberand orchard industries (Swarbrick et al., 1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> readily invades uncultivatedpastures and out-competes useful native grasses and fodders, resulting in a reducti<strong>on</strong> incarrying capacity and restricted access and movement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals, humans and vehicles(ARMC-ANZ, 2001). Data from a survey c<strong>on</strong>ducted in 1999 <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Queensland landholdersidentified that increased mustering costs due to lantana ranges from between $1 and$65 in <strong>the</strong> beef industry and between $0 and $55 in <strong>the</strong> dairy industry (see Table 2.2).Table 2.2. Increased Mustering Costs per Hectare by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>, 1999Beef ($/Ha)Dairy ($/Ha)Light Medium Heavy Light Medium HeavyMinimum $1.00 $5.00 $7.50 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Maximum $22.00 $45.00 $65.00 $15.00 $35.00 $55.00Source: Queensland Government (1999)<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unpalatable, and in large doses (approximately 1% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> total body weight) ispois<strong>on</strong>ous to stock, particularly cattle. If untreated lantana pois<strong>on</strong>ing can result in avariety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> undesirable symptoms including photosensitizati<strong>on</strong>, loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> appetite, jaundice,liver and o<strong>the</strong>r organ/tissue damage, and even death (Queensland Government, 2003).There is some anecdotal evidence to suggest that children can also be pois<strong>on</strong>ed byeating lantana berries.Culvenor (1985) estimated that annual losses to pasture based industries in Queenslandwere approximately $7.7 milli<strong>on</strong> (in 1985 dollar terms), made up <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately 1,500stock deaths ($0.5 milli<strong>on</strong>), 4.5% reduced performance ($2.0 milli<strong>on</strong>), 7.3% loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>pasture ($3.0 milli<strong>on</strong>) and $2.2 milli<strong>on</strong> in c<strong>on</strong>trol costs.Total c<strong>on</strong>trol costs by primary industries in Queensland are estimated as greater than$10 milli<strong>on</strong> per year (ARMC-ANZ, 2001). In 2004, <strong>the</strong> costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost producti<strong>on</strong> in<strong>Australia</strong> due to lantana were c<strong>on</strong>servatively estimated as greater than $22 milli<strong>on</strong> perannum as an indexed figure from Culvenor’s (1985) value estimate, including <strong>the</strong>expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> distributi<strong>on</strong> to NSW (Queensland Government, 2004).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacts <strong>on</strong> transport corridors and utility easements, where it restricts access,visual safety and imposes significant c<strong>on</strong>trol costs (ARMC-ANZ, 2001). It poses aparticular problem for railways in New South Wales where it is c<strong>on</strong>sidered <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>eight most troublesome weeds. It is also a problem al<strong>on</strong>g disturbed power lineeasements (Swarbrick et al., 1998).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is a serious invader <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> plantati<strong>on</strong> forestry, in particular commercial hoop pineplantati<strong>on</strong>s in coastal sou<strong>the</strong>ast Queensland and coc<strong>on</strong>ut plantati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> tropics.<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> competes with tree seedlings for light so significant costs can be incurred inc<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana in <strong>the</strong> early years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a plantati<strong>on</strong>. Management costs are incurred togain access to plantati<strong>on</strong>s for trimming, measuring, estimating yields and harvesting.The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana also creates <strong>the</strong> potential for a fire hazard. Annual c<strong>on</strong>trol costsin <strong>the</strong>se plantati<strong>on</strong>s exceeded $0.9 milli<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> late 1970s, but fell to around $0.5milli<strong>on</strong> by <strong>the</strong> mid-1980s (Swarbrick et al., 1998) due to a change in policy aboutc<strong>on</strong>tinued c<strong>on</strong>trol. Wells (1984) estimated that lantana c<strong>on</strong>trol costs account forFINAL REPORT 6Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industryapproximately 30% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> establishment and 25%-50% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> harvesting cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>secrops.<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is also a serious invader <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> disturbed natural ecosystems. It infests disturbedrainforest remnants <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> north coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> New South Wales, but significant stands <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>rainforest resist invasi<strong>on</strong>. It is <strong>the</strong> same in sou<strong>the</strong>ast Queensland, although it mainlyinvades areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> open eucalypt woodland where it forms dense m<strong>on</strong>o-specific thickets,greatly reducing <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value and increasing <strong>the</strong> fire hazard in <strong>the</strong>se areas(Fensham et al., 1994; Humphries and Stant<strong>on</strong>, 1992). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> produces chemicalsthat can inhibit germinati<strong>on</strong> and growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<strong>the</strong>r plants in natural ecosystems, givinglantana a competitive advantage (Gentle and Duggin, 1998 and 1997; Day et al., 2003),and has also been shown to have an allelopathic effect <strong>on</strong> citrus rootstocks (Singh andAchhireddy, 1987). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is also postulated to have an adverse affect <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> richness<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> some soil faunal assemblages, including several functi<strong>on</strong>al groups <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ant species(Cummings, 2004).There are eleven endangered ecological Communities in NSW that are at risk fromlantana (Eastern suburbs banksia scrub; Illawarra subtropical rainforest; Littoralrainforest; Lower Hunter spotted gum - Ir<strong>on</strong>bark forest; Lowland Rainforest <strong>on</strong>floodplain; Pittwater spotted gum forest; Riverflat eucalypt forest <strong>on</strong> coastal floodplains;Sub-tropical coastal floodplain forest; Swamp sclerophyll forest <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> coastalfloodplains; Swamp-oak floodplain forest; and Umina coastal sandplain woodland)(Coutts-Smith & Downey, 2006) and 20 flora species are under threat specifically fromlantana. The 2005 NSW Proposed Key Threatening Process also provides a list <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>additi<strong>on</strong>al species that may be influenced by lantana.In Queensland lantana is present in five threatened plant communities, 165 Reserves,<strong>on</strong>e Ramsar site and poses a potential threat to at least 60 plant and animal species <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> significance (ARMC-ANZ, 2001). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is also c<strong>on</strong>sidered a major threatto <strong>the</strong> Wet Tropics World Heritage Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> nor<strong>the</strong>rn Queensland, where it invadesdisturbed rainforest (Humphries and Stant<strong>on</strong>, 1992). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is an aggressive invader<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> natural ecosystems in many o<strong>the</strong>r countries as well, for example, <strong>the</strong> GalapagosIslands, many Pacific islands and South Africa (Swarbrick, 1998).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> also provides a haven and alternate host for various pests and pathogens, whileexotic birds feed <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> fruit. While no scientific research has directly linked lantana toBell Miner associated Eucalypt dieback (BMAD), literature does suggest that its presenceresults in increased canopy opening, which is suspected to be a primary cause forincreases in psyllid and Bell Miner numbers (Wardell-Johns<strong>on</strong> et al., 2006).2.3 Management and C<strong>on</strong>trolThere are a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> strategies in place for <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana at a local, regi<strong>on</strong>al,state and nati<strong>on</strong>al level. At <strong>the</strong> nati<strong>on</strong>al level, <strong>the</strong> WoNS strategy developed in 2001sets out plans for <strong>the</strong> management and c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana across <strong>Australia</strong>. The WoNSstrategy is designed to coordinate with state, regi<strong>on</strong>al and local weed and pestmanagement strategies in order to c<strong>on</strong>fr<strong>on</strong>t <strong>the</strong> problem posed by lantana in anintegrated manner. Prior to <strong>the</strong> introducti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> WoNS strategy lantana c<strong>on</strong>trol wasundertaken by numerous landholders and community groups, but <strong>the</strong>se activities weretypically not well coordinated at a regi<strong>on</strong>al, state or nati<strong>on</strong>al level. Funding for many <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong>se groups came from grants provided <strong>on</strong> an annual basis, making planning difficultand increasing disillusi<strong>on</strong>ment when funding was disc<strong>on</strong>tinued (ARMC-ANZ, 2001).A range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol methods has been utilised in <strong>the</strong> management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana throughout<strong>Australia</strong> and overseas. A mix <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se c<strong>on</strong>trol methods typically gives <strong>the</strong> best andmost ec<strong>on</strong>omical results. Since lantana is extensively established <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> east coast, andpreventi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> spread is <strong>the</strong> most cost-effective management tool, <strong>the</strong> highest priority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana c<strong>on</strong>trol in <strong>Australia</strong> is to prevent its spread into nor<strong>the</strong>rn <strong>Australia</strong> and west <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong> Great Dividing Range (CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, 2003).A nati<strong>on</strong>al survey completed by 1,021 landholders and land managers in 2003 revealed<strong>the</strong> following informati<strong>on</strong> regarding <strong>the</strong> average annual costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana.FINAL REPORT 7Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable 2.3. Average Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol per Hectare <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Property Size, 2003Property SizeAverage Annual Cost/Ha($)10,000 ha $0.86Source: Queensland Government (2004)2.3.1 Manual C<strong>on</strong>trolManual c<strong>on</strong>trol methods are highly intensive, but minimise <strong>the</strong> disturbance to <strong>the</strong> soiland desirable vegetati<strong>on</strong>, and lower <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> both erosi<strong>on</strong> and germinati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantanaseeds. Manual methods <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol include:• Hand grubbing: A mattock, chip hoe or lever is used to remove <strong>the</strong> whole plant,including its root system;• Hand cutting: Brush hooks or machetes are used to slash lantana plants, enablingaccess to heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s for carrying out o<strong>the</strong>r types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol; and• Hand pulling: Hand pulling seedlings and <strong>the</strong>ir roots is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten useful as a follow-uptreatment and is most effective when <strong>the</strong> soil is moist.Manual c<strong>on</strong>trol methods have <strong>the</strong> advantage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being able to access areas thatmachinery and vehicles cannot, and are suitable for small sized infestati<strong>on</strong>s (QueenslandGovernment, 2004).2.3.2 HerbicidesNumerous chemicals have been trialled for c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana, with a varying degree <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>success. In general, <strong>the</strong> most effective herbicide groups are <strong>the</strong> phenoxy acid based,benzoic acid based and pyridine based groups (Swarbrick, 1998). There are five mainapplicati<strong>on</strong> techniques used (Queensland Government, 2006a, CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> WeedManagement, 2003), which vary in <strong>the</strong>ir volume and c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>:• Foliar spraying: The entire plant is sprayed with chemicals. This is usually effective<strong>on</strong> plants that are less than two metres high;• Splatter gun or gas gun: Large droplets are splattered <strong>on</strong>to plant foliage at a highherbicide c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong>;• Basal bark: Herbicide is applied to <strong>the</strong> lower bark <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> stems. This technique isuseful for larger plants;• Cut stump: Herbicide is painted <strong>on</strong>to <strong>the</strong> top <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a freshly cut stump. This technique isalso usually applied <strong>on</strong> larger plants; and• Aerial: Herbicide is sprayed <strong>on</strong>to plants using a helicopter boom. This technique isgenerally <strong>on</strong>ly used to c<strong>on</strong>trol extensive areas in a short time period.Basal bark and cut stump techniques are time c<strong>on</strong>suming as <strong>the</strong>y require <strong>the</strong> treatment<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> each stem <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, making <strong>the</strong>m unpractical in large stands <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, but usefulfor c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana in sensitive areas. In many instances <strong>the</strong> high costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> chemicalc<strong>on</strong>trol can make herbicides an unec<strong>on</strong>omical management technique for largeinfestati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana.FINAL REPORT 8Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry2.3.3 Mechanical C<strong>on</strong>trol<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> can physically be removed using a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> mechanical techniques, including(Queensland Government, 2006a; CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, 2003):• Stick raking: A blade (stick rake) is attached to a bulldozer or heavy tractor to cutand remove lantana stumps and roots. This technique can result it c<strong>on</strong>siderable soildisturbance, and may leave significant material in <strong>the</strong> ground. Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, withoutimmediate revegetati<strong>on</strong>, lantana can easily reinfest stick raked land;• Mechanical grubbing: An implement is attached to a tractor, backhoe, excavator orbobcat to remove entire lantana plants from <strong>the</strong> ground;• Chain pulling: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> plants are removed by wrapping <strong>the</strong> plants in a chain attachedto a tractor, or between two dozers;• Ploughing: Disc ploughing cuts and turns over stumps and roots. This method is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>tenused as a follow-up treatment in areas that can be cultivated;• Dozing: A dozer’s blade is run across <strong>the</strong> ground to remove rootstock. A significantporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana may be left in <strong>the</strong> ground depending <strong>on</strong> maturity; and• Slashing: Slashing smashes <strong>the</strong> root stock and provides a small kill rate, butincreases a window <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> opportunity if <strong>the</strong> seas<strong>on</strong> is not c<strong>on</strong>ducive to follow-upherbicide spraying.Mechanical c<strong>on</strong>trol can be suitable for small to large sized infestati<strong>on</strong>s. Stick raking,chain-pulling, dozing or slashing are suitable for removing standing biomass, whilegrubbing is useful against small infestati<strong>on</strong>s and al<strong>on</strong>g fence lines. A significant impact<strong>on</strong> lantana can be made in a short space <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> time. Ploughing is most useful againstpreviously treated infestati<strong>on</strong>s or before seeding a competitive pasture.Mechanical c<strong>on</strong>trol like all o<strong>the</strong>r c<strong>on</strong>trols always requires follow-up. The objective isusually removal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> extensive plant biomass to allow access for o<strong>the</strong>r c<strong>on</strong>trols. Leftwithout follow-up it can lead to regrowth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> infestati<strong>on</strong> and seedling germinati<strong>on</strong>because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil disturbance. Not all sites are suitable for mechanical c<strong>on</strong>trol opti<strong>on</strong>s,such as steep inclines, gullies, riparian areas or areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wider ecological significance.2.3.4 Trampling and Grazing2.3.5 FireLivestock can be used in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana through two methods:• Trampling: Cattle can be used to trample thickets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, creating tracks andtunnels that allow access to carry out o<strong>the</strong>r c<strong>on</strong>trol methods; and• Grazing: Livestock can also be allowed to graze <strong>on</strong> lantana, however this opti<strong>on</strong> is notrecommended due to <strong>the</strong> toxic nature <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> some lantana varieties.These two methods can not c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir own and should <strong>on</strong>ly be used as anaid in management and c<strong>on</strong>trol. Good pasture management and suitable stocking ratescan discourage or prevent <strong>the</strong> establishment or spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in pastures(Queensland Government, 2004).Fire is a relatively inexpensive c<strong>on</strong>trol opti<strong>on</strong> that is well suited to dense infestati<strong>on</strong>s,although cauti<strong>on</strong> must be exercised due to <strong>the</strong> risk to people and property. Permits arerequired and fire-breaks can mitigate <strong>the</strong> spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> fire. Fire can be used prior to orpost mechanical or herbicide c<strong>on</strong>trol to improve <strong>the</strong>ir efficacy, or as a follow-up c<strong>on</strong>trolmeasure. However, as an indiscriminate c<strong>on</strong>trol method, fire is not generally suitable forlantana c<strong>on</strong>trol in rainforests (Queensland Government, 2006a) and some care needs tobe taken in o<strong>the</strong>r vegetati<strong>on</strong> communities or envir<strong>on</strong>mentally significant areas. Fire canFINAL REPORT 9Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industryalso have producti<strong>on</strong> impacts through <strong>the</strong> need to generate a suitable fuel load bylocking up paddocks, damage to fences and <strong>the</strong> loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> until pastures are reestablished.2.3.6 Biological C<strong>on</strong>trolA total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thirty biological c<strong>on</strong>trol (or bioc<strong>on</strong>trol) agents have been introduced to<strong>Australia</strong> since 1914, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which seventeen have become established, and four <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se areeffectively reducing <strong>the</strong> vigour and competitiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in certain areas. Day etal. (2003) provide a summary <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> various bioc<strong>on</strong>trol agentsthroughout <strong>Australia</strong>, lantana varieties impacted <strong>on</strong>, and <strong>the</strong> climates <strong>the</strong>y prefer. Theeffectiveness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agents varies depending <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir spread, area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> plant <strong>the</strong>y impactand seas<strong>on</strong>ality. Bioc<strong>on</strong>trol has in many cases, at least seas<strong>on</strong>ally, decreased <strong>the</strong> size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>individual plants and reduced <strong>the</strong>ir capacity to produce viable seed.Between 1914 and 1952 <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> bioc<strong>on</strong>trol program is estimated to have costapproximately $1.2 milli<strong>on</strong> in total. Since 1953, research into bioc<strong>on</strong>trol for lantana isestimated to have cost approximately $12.4 milli<strong>on</strong>, making <strong>the</strong> overall cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>lantana bioc<strong>on</strong>trol program $13.6 milli<strong>on</strong> in 2004/05 dollar terms (AEC Group Limited,2006). Each new species costs approximately 3-5 scientist years in host specificitytesting, mass rearing and releases.2.4 Qualitative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Social & Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s2.4.1 BenefitsThere were no financial benefits identified.Table 2.4. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Social and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>Issue<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Sale as ornamentalSoil improvementSubstitute food sourcePerfumery andpharmaceuticalsBiocidesFood storageDescripti<strong>on</strong>Sale <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana as an ornamental provides income to <strong>the</strong>nursery industry. However, legislati<strong>on</strong> now prohibits <strong>the</strong>sale <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana as an ornamental in all States andTerritories.Source <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> organic matter to aid pasture renovati<strong>on</strong> andimprovement, as a <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f benefit.Seeds can be used as a substitute for stockfeed, althoughthis has not been recorded as being undertaken in<strong>Australia</strong>.The mixed essential oils have <strong>the</strong> potential to be used inperfumery and beneficial drugs.Allelopathic nature suggests <strong>the</strong> chemicals it secretescould be extracted for use as a biocide.Can be used to help protect food items from variouspests, although this has not been recorded as beingundertaken in <strong>Australia</strong>.Stakeholder <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>edP C G SocialAes<strong>the</strong>tics asornamentalEmploymentUse as colourful ornamental that requires littlemaintenance.C<strong>on</strong>trol provides employment opportunities. However, thisis a diversi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> labour away from o<strong>the</strong>r, productive tasks. Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalSubstitute habitat Thickets provide substitute habitat for birds and animalswhere <strong>the</strong> natural habitat has been replaced. However,lantana is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten <strong>the</strong> cause <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> natural habitat beingreplaced, which can cause an imbalance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> native species.Food source Native birds, animals and insects eat lantana. FINAL REPORT 10Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryIssueBuffer2.4.2 CostsReduced erosi<strong>on</strong>Descripti<strong>on</strong>Can act as a buffer, preventing invasi<strong>on</strong> by grass ando<strong>the</strong>r weeds in areas such as disturbed rainforests andagricultural lands. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has successfully been used asa temporary buffer al<strong>on</strong>g forest edges during bushregenerati<strong>on</strong> projects.Stabilises soils and prevents erosi<strong>on</strong>, particularly in steepareas and al<strong>on</strong>g stream banks.Stakeholder <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>edP C G Improves soil Reduced soil compacti<strong>on</strong> and improved soil quality. Notes: Stakeholder Codes: P = Private, C = Community, G = GovernmentTable 2.5. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>, Social and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>IssueFinancialStock healthReduced carryingcapacityRestricted accessDescripti<strong>on</strong>Pois<strong>on</strong>ous to stock and if ingested can lead to reducedproductivity through illness or death.Crowds out o<strong>the</strong>r vegetati<strong>on</strong>, reducing <strong>the</strong> carryingcapacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> productive land.Restricts access to areas, increasing management andmustering/harvesting costs to pasture and plantati<strong>on</strong>forestry. O<strong>the</strong>r industries, such as tourism and utilities,can also be affected by reduced access.Stakeholder <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>edP C G C<strong>on</strong>trol By mechanical, chemical, labour, etc. Veterinary expenses Treating stock that have become ill by c<strong>on</strong>suminglantana.Transport/Utilitycompanies<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <strong>on</strong> transport corridors, particularly in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>safety and access and/or necessitating costly c<strong>on</strong>trol. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Fire hazardAllelopathicThreat to ecotourismReduces c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong>valueThickets can be a fire hazard, increasing <strong>the</strong> risks t<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>orestry plantati<strong>on</strong>s, native vegetati<strong>on</strong>, pasture,livestock, native animals and buildings.Has been shown to have an allelopathic affect <strong>on</strong> citrusrootstock, increasing <strong>the</strong> risk to <strong>the</strong>se crops.Can replace or reduce vegetative areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> significance,reducing <strong>the</strong> appeal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se areas as a tourismdestinati<strong>on</strong>.Invasi<strong>on</strong>s in woodland and forests can significantlyreduce <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se areas. Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalManagement stressHinders accessScenic amenityReduces biodiversityC<strong>on</strong>trol can be extremely time c<strong>on</strong>suming, especiallyfor large infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Thickets can significantly reduce access to recreati<strong>on</strong>aland scenic areas.Can replace or reduce vegetative areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> scenicsignificance, reducing <strong>the</strong> appeal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se areas.Native and o<strong>the</strong>r plants are out-competed andreplaced, removing <strong>the</strong> habitat for a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animalsand some soil faunal assemblages and thus reducing<strong>the</strong> biodiversity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se regi<strong>on</strong>s. Several communities<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> envir<strong>on</strong>mental and ecological significance arecurrently under threat due to lantana invasi<strong>on</strong>.Fire hazard Creates a fire hazard in forest and o<strong>the</strong>r woody areas. Hosts pests and Provides a haven and alternate host for a variety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> pathogenspests and pathogens.Notes: Stakeholder Codes: P = Private, C = Community, G = GovernmentFINAL REPORT 11Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry3. Quantifying <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (Survey Results)3.1 Sample Size and C<strong>on</strong>fidence IntervalSurvey questi<strong>on</strong>naires were sent to 502 landholders in QLD and NSW regi<strong>on</strong>, with 385resp<strong>on</strong>ses received, which equates to a resp<strong>on</strong>se rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 76.7%. Of those 385 resp<strong>on</strong>sesreceived, 376 5 resp<strong>on</strong>ses were recorded and analysed, which delivers a c<strong>on</strong>fidenceinterval <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately +/- 4.9% 6 .The survey instrument is included as Appendix C. A detailed analysis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> surveyresults is included as Appendix D, with <strong>the</strong> key points identified from <strong>the</strong> survey analysissummarised below.3.2 Resp<strong>on</strong>dent Informati<strong>on</strong>A total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 288 (76.6%) landholder surveys were returned from Queensland while a total<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 88 (23.4%) landholder surveys were returned from NSW. The greatest proporti<strong>on</strong>(28.7%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents were aged 50-59 years, followed by 60-69 years (25.5%) and40-49 years (17.3%).Table 3.1. Age Pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Resp<strong>on</strong>dentsAge %No resp<strong>on</strong>se 10.9%20 – 29 years 0.3%30 – 39 years 5.3%40 – 49 years 17.3%50 – 59 years 28.7%60-69 years 25.5%70+ years 12.0%Total 100.0%A high proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders have had lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land for 7 :• 20-50 years (31.1%);• More than 50 years (26.6%); and• 10-20 years (13.6%).The majority (57.7%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that lantana has an impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir business, while 35.6% did not c<strong>on</strong>sider that lantana impacted <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong>ir management.Approximately 49.5% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that lantana impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>irbusiness. However, 41.0% did not c<strong>on</strong>sider that lantana impacted <strong>on</strong> business pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it,indicating significant differences in opini<strong>on</strong>, regarding <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana betweenresp<strong>on</strong>dents.3.3 Infestati<strong>on</strong> (Extent & Density)On average, resp<strong>on</strong>dents estimated that:• 51.1% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir total land area is not infested;• 22.6% is lightly infested;• 15.8% is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium infestati<strong>on</strong>; and5 Nine (9) resp<strong>on</strong>ses were excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis due to landholders indicating that <strong>the</strong>y nol<strong>on</strong>ger have lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land. The total number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> surveys examined was reduced for somequesti<strong>on</strong>s as <strong>the</strong>y were <strong>on</strong>ly partially completed by resp<strong>on</strong>dents.6Calculated <strong>on</strong> an average <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 7,500 landholder populati<strong>on</strong>, assuming that between 5,000-10,000landholders are in QLD and NSW.7 However, this could also be representative <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land ownership/management.FINAL REPORT 12Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry• 10.5% is heavily infested.A higher proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that over <strong>the</strong> past five years• The area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> has decreased (46.2%); and• The density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> has increased (39.2%). However, this was <strong>on</strong>ly marginallygreater than <strong>the</strong> decrease in density (37.5%).With <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing c<strong>on</strong>trol efforts, landholders expect to reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>infestati<strong>on</strong> over <strong>the</strong> next five years, with little progress made bey<strong>on</strong>d that time.However, <strong>the</strong> density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> is expected to increase, as indicated by a:• Slight reducti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> area infested over <strong>the</strong> next five years, with little changebey<strong>on</strong>d that;• Reducti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘light’ infestati<strong>on</strong>;• Little change in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘medium’ infestati<strong>on</strong>; and• Increase in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘heavy’ infestati<strong>on</strong>.Implicati<strong>on</strong>:With almost 50% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land area infested with lantana to some degree, c<strong>on</strong>trol techniquesemployed by landholders appear to reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium and light infestati<strong>on</strong>s.However, in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques are generally <strong>on</strong>ly expected toslow <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong>, not reduce <strong>the</strong> area infested.3.4 C<strong>on</strong>trol3.4.1 ActivitiesThe most comm<strong>on</strong> areas where lantana is c<strong>on</strong>trolled are in:• Producti<strong>on</strong> areas (71.8%);• N<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas (58.8%);• Adjoining Council land (26.6%); and• Natural Reserve (21.8%).Of those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas (58.8%):• The majority (82.8%) do so to maintain <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>ment;• 77.8% do so to prevent spread to productive areas;• 9.0% do so to meet legislative requirements; and• 24.0% nominated ‘o<strong>the</strong>r’ reas<strong>on</strong>s.3.4.2 Techniques3.4.3 CostsOf all c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques utilised by landholders, <strong>the</strong> most frequently nominatedtechniques used in productive and/or n<strong>on</strong>-productive areas include:• Chemical (78.7%);• Manual Labour (69.9%); and• Mechanical (54.0%).When asked <strong>the</strong> most comm<strong>on</strong> technique used for c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana, chemical (34.3%),manual labour (26.1%) and mechanical (54.0%) were recorded as <strong>the</strong> highest.Of those resp<strong>on</strong>dents that indicated a cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling/maintaining lantana:• 26.8% indicate that <strong>the</strong>y spend less than $5 per ha per year <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana inlight infestati<strong>on</strong>s;FINAL REPORT 13Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry• 18.6% indicate that <strong>the</strong>y spend less than $5 per ha per year <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana inmedium infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• 30.6% indicate that <strong>the</strong>y spend more than $120 per ha per year <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trollinglantana in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Table 3.2. Range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol Costs Experienced by Landholders (2006)$120 TotalLight Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 26.8% 21.6% 15.0% 15.5% 8.0% 13.1% 100.0%Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 18.6% 15.7% 16.4% 13.6% 15.0% 20.7% 100.0%Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 22.4% 14.9% 6.7% 14.2% 11.2% 30.6% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>ses’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ is 43.4% in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s, 62.8% in mediuminfestati<strong>on</strong>s and 64.4% in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.The table above (Table 3.2) highlights <strong>the</strong> broad range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expenditure (cost pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile) ininfested areas, whereas Table 3.3 highlights <strong>the</strong> difference between expenditure in <strong>the</strong>treatment site and <strong>the</strong> total infested area.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $44.00 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $3.70 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $62.60 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $8.00 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $75.10 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $10.80 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.Table 3.3. Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/Ha/Yr 2006)Average Cost/TreatmentArea ($/ha/yr)Average Cost Over InfestedArea ($/ha/yr)Light Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $44.00 $3.70Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $62.60 $8.00Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $75.10 $10.80Implicati<strong>on</strong>:There is a wide range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholder expenditure (virtually $0/ha to greater than $100/ha)across varying densities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> different c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques. Where successfuland effective, expenditure in <strong>the</strong> lower end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> expenditure pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile would likely resultin highly beneficial producti<strong>on</strong> outcomes.Where landholders are able to successfully c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> lower end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol cost pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile, this would likely result in highly beneficial producti<strong>on</strong> outcomes inboth <strong>the</strong> short and l<strong>on</strong>g term.Landholders appear to treat lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in strategic locati<strong>on</strong>s ra<strong>the</strong>r than across<strong>the</strong> entire infested area and reportedly do so to maintain <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>ment and preserve<strong>the</strong> productive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land.3.5 O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sResp<strong>on</strong>dents c<strong>on</strong>sidered <strong>the</strong> financial impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in many different ways. Whilesome landholders c<strong>on</strong>sidered lantana to have a significant impact and cost across <strong>the</strong>range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacts identified, o<strong>the</strong>rs indicated that <strong>the</strong> impacts were insignificant.On <strong>the</strong> balance, few <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts nominated rated as significant with<strong>on</strong>ly ‘increased maintenance costs’ (48.9%) c<strong>on</strong>sidered by <strong>the</strong> balance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents asFINAL REPORT 14Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industryhaving a significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact. Just under half (45.8%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents c<strong>on</strong>sideredthat <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘reduced carrying capacity’ also had a significant impact.A relatively high proporti<strong>on</strong> recorded <strong>the</strong> following as having an insignificant ec<strong>on</strong>omicimpact:• Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (67.8%);• Increased mustering costs (77.0%);• O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (48.7%);• Reduced carrying capacity (48.1%); and• Land value (44.6%).Table 3.4. Perceived Significance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Producti<strong>on</strong> & Management <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s to LandholdersSignificant Insignificant Unsure TotalProducti<strong>on</strong> Losses:Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health 21.3% 67.8% 10.9% 100.0%Increased mustering costs 18.1% 77.0% 4.9% 100.0%Reduced carrying capacity 45.8% 48.1% 6.1% 100.0%Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs 48.9% 44.5% 6.6% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value 37.2% 44.6% 18.2% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts 20.8% 48.7% 30.5% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ was recorded for stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (31.6%), increased mustering costs (35.4%), reduced carrying capacity (29.8%), increasedmaintenance costs (27.7%), land value (24.2%), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (47.6%).Of those resp<strong>on</strong>dents answering this questi<strong>on</strong>, <strong>the</strong> predominant number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholdersestimate <strong>the</strong>y currently incur a cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> less than $5/ha/year from lantana for:• Increased mustering costs (62.5%);• Stock/pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (57.7%);• O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (57.6%);• Land value (35.8%); and• Increased maintenance costs (30.7%).Table 3.5. Range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Producti<strong>on</strong> & Management Costs Experienced by Landholders (2006)$120 TotalProducti<strong>on</strong> LossesStock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health 57.7% 17.9% 2.6% 5.1% 3.8% 12.8% 100.0%Increased mustering costs 62.5% 15.3% 2.8% 6.9% 1.4% 11.1% 100.0%Reduced carrying capacity 30.1% 18.3% 15.1% 9.7% 7.5% 19.4% 100.0%Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs(does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs)30.7% 21.6% 10.2% 14.8% 9.1% 13.6% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value 35.8% 9.0% 11.9% 7.5% 9.0% 26.9% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts 57.6% 15.2% 6.1% 9.1% 3.0% 9.1% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ was recorded for stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (79.3%), increased mustering costs (80.9%), reduced carrying capacity (75.3%), increasedmaintenance costs (76.6%), land value (82.2%), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (91.2%).The table above (Table 3.5) shows <strong>the</strong> spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts in infested areas,where as Table 3.6, below, highlights <strong>the</strong> difference between impacts in infested areasand impacts over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health is:o $32.70 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $3.20 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.FINAL REPORT 15Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to increased mustering costs is:o $28.10 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $0.60 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to reduced carrying capacity is:o $51.90 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $4.00 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to increased maintenance costs is:o $44.60 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $1.20 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to land value is:o $64.30 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $42.40 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts is:o $27.50 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $1.70 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.Table 3.6. Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/ Ha/Yr 2006)Average Cost OverInfested Area($/ha/yr)Average Cost OverTotal Property Area($/ha/yr)Producti<strong>on</strong> LossesStock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health $32.70 $3.20Increased mustering costs $28.10 $0.60Reduced carrying capacity $51.90 $4.00Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs(does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs)$44.60 $1.20O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value $64.30 $42.40O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts $27.50 $4.70Note: Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents for ‘Average Cost Over Infested Area’ and ‘Average Cost Over TotalProperty Area’ for each item was as follows: stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ health (78 and 54), increasedmustering costs (72 and 29), reduced carrying capacity (93 and 64), increased maintenance costs(88 and 74), land value (67 and 26), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (33 and 11).Implicati<strong>on</strong>:The majority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders generally c<strong>on</strong>sider <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana tobe insignificant. However, where occurring and quantified <strong>the</strong>y equate to significantimpacts in lost producti<strong>on</strong> and increased maintenance costs, which implies thatlandholders may underestimate <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land.FINAL REPORT 16Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry3.6 Triple Bottom Line (TBL) (Qualitative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s)The rating scale below was used to rate <strong>the</strong> impacts outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Rating Scale:0 No impact;1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unlikely to be measurable or observable;2 Detectable, but not significant;3 Observable but localised impacts;4 Observable wider and l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts; and5 Easily observed and irreversible impacts.Table 3.7. TBL <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (Q6)Weighted Average TBL AspectNegative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sRemoves and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> 3.6 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.4 SocialRestricts <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans 3.4 SocialHarbours feral animals 3.4 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalIncreases your management stress 3.3 SocialRestricts access 3.3 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Increases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire 3.0 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalDisplaces native animals 2.9 Envir<strong>on</strong>mental<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism 2.7 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Positive <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sStabilises soil and prevents erosi<strong>on</strong> 2.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalIs aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing 2.3 SocialProvides a benefit in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> improving soil for pasture renovati<strong>on</strong> 2.1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Implicati<strong>on</strong>:The negative social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana outweigh <strong>the</strong> perceivedpositive impacts, with replacement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> native vegetati<strong>on</strong>, loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> valuesrating as <strong>the</strong> most significant detrimental impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana.FINAL REPORT 17Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry4. Cost Benefit Analysis4.1 Scenarios ExaminedThe following scenarios were examined to identify <strong>the</strong> current and future potential impact<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana across various c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives.• No C<strong>on</strong>trol (Base Case): Examined <strong>the</strong> expansi<strong>on</strong> and associated impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana if all c<strong>on</strong>trol methods ceased as <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2007.• Current C<strong>on</strong>trol: Examined <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> maintaining current c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives into<strong>the</strong> future.• Increased C<strong>on</strong>trol: Examines <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives. Thisscenario was examined as a comp<strong>on</strong>ent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> sensitivity analysis for <strong>the</strong> CurrentC<strong>on</strong>trol scenario.• Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol: Examines <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expenditure that could potentially bejustified in <strong>the</strong> development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana for arange <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assumpti<strong>on</strong>s.Each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se scenarios were tested against a range (three) potential future maximumareas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>, as per CLIMEX modelling 8 .4.2 Data InputsA range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data was required to form an estimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector. The key inputs and drivers are outlined in <strong>the</strong> following tables.4.2.1 Current Estimated Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>Table 4.1. Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Current Grazing Land Infestati<strong>on</strong> (by Statistical Divisi<strong>on</strong>)StatisticalDivisi<strong>on</strong>Area(ha ‘000)Hectares Infested (‘000) Percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> SD Infested (%)Heavy Medium Light TotalAreaHeavy Medium Light TotalAreaFar North 26,900 181.3 61.8 12.3 255.4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.9%North West 13,815 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 7,976 0.0 42.5 0.9 43.4 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%Mackay 9,014 0.0 216.4 8.5 224.9 0.0% 2.4% 0.1% 2.5%Fitzroy 12,310 151.8 249.6 272.4 673.8 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 5.5%Wide Bay-Burnett 5,267 139.0 108.8 2.6 250.4 2.6% 2.1% 0.0% 4.8%Darling Downs 7,069 33.3 28.0 5.1 66.5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9%South West 6,762 0.0 0.0 2.4 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Moret<strong>on</strong> 1,838 131.1 27.5 2.3 161.0 7.1% 1.5% 0.1% 8.8%Brisbane 423 8.8 4.6 0.0 13.5 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 3.2%Queensland 91,375 645.4 739.2 306.6 1,691.2 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 1.9%Richm<strong>on</strong>d Tweed 1,029 129.5 1.0 0.7 131.2 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7%Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 7,976 0.0 42.5 0.9 43.4 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%Mid North Coast 2,547 250.6 34.8 0.2 285.5 9.8% 1.4% 0.0% 11.2%Hunter 2,583 23.3 21.8 0.4 45.5 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 1.8%Central West 451 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Sydney 1,243 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%South Eastern 2,205 4.5 0.3 0.0 4.9 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%Illawarra 850 8.8 3.8 0.6 13.2 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 1.6%NSW 18,884 416.6 104.2 2.9 523.7 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 2.8%Total 110,259 1,062 843 309 2,215 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 2.0%Source; NRW (Unpublished GIS analysis)8 Where <strong>the</strong> Climex modeling identified an area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> less than that currently infested, it wasassumed <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> had currently reached full potential area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>.FINAL REPORT 18Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTo identify <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> individual mapping grid squares actually infested with lantana,<strong>the</strong> following percentages were used for each type <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> (Heavy, Medium andLight). The analysis is c<strong>on</strong>ducted with all results reported for <strong>the</strong> maximum expectati<strong>on</strong>,which is based <strong>on</strong> available published data (BRS, 2006), however, a minimum scenario isexamined for completeness in <strong>the</strong> sensitivity secti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> analysis.Table 4.2. Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Mapping Grid Square Actually Infested with <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>Infestati<strong>on</strong> Maximum (a) Minimum (b)Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 50.0% 12.50%Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 6.6% 5.30%Light Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 1.0% 0.55%Source: (a) BRS, 2006, (b) A. Clark, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coordinator (Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management Group) pers. comm. 14November, 2006.The area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> future infestati<strong>on</strong> was identified utilising CLIMEX modelling, and examinedthree future infestati<strong>on</strong> scenarios, including:• Scenario 1 (Maximum): Sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> areas identified as being a Highly Suitable,Suitable and Marginal growth envir<strong>on</strong>ment for lantana.• Scenario 2 (Medium): Sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> areas identified as being Highly Suitable and Suitablegrowth envir<strong>on</strong>ment for lantana.• Scenario 3 (Minimum): Areas identified as being Highly Suitable grow<strong>the</strong>nvir<strong>on</strong>ment for lantana.Table 4.3. Future Suitability (infested Grazing Land by Statistical Divisi<strong>on</strong>)StatisticalAreaHectares Infested (‘000)Divisi<strong>on</strong>(ha ‘000)Scenario 1(Maximum)Scenario 2(Medium)Scenario 3(Minimum)Far North 26,900 15,877.1 4,419.2 400.9North West 13,815 2,349.0 0.0 0.0Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 7,976 2,577.1 699.0 43.4Mackay 9,014 2,615.4 1,494.0 224.9Fitzroy 12,310 2,960.1 1,470.4 1,243.1Wide Bay-Burnett 5,267 1,953.0 1,350.5 946.4Darling Downs 7,069 258.2 131.1 66.5South West 6,762 119.9 2.4 2.4Moret<strong>on</strong> 1,838 907.1 897.1 350.3Brisbane 423 93.4 93.4 86.9Queensland 91,375 29,710.3 10,557.2 3,364.8Richm<strong>on</strong>d Tweed 1,029 360.1 360.1 292.3Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 7,976 2,577.1 699.0 43.4Mid North Coast 2,547 1,207.6 998.8 914.3Hunter 2,583 461.9 249.6 225.4Central West 451 13.9 0.0 0.0Sydney 1,243 0.0 0.0 0.0South Eastern 2,205 130.2 38.0 38.0Illawarra 850 51.8 30.8 30.8NSW 18,884 4,802.5 2,376.3 1,544.3Total 110,259 34,513 12,933 4,909Note: These scenarios do not c<strong>on</strong>sider climate change.Source; NRW (Unpublished GIS analysis)4.2.2 Infestati<strong>on</strong> RateThe average annual rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> was estimated by calculating <strong>the</strong> area infested foreach property, using <strong>the</strong> proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> property infested and total property area ascollected in <strong>the</strong> survey (currently and in <strong>the</strong> future), and calculating <strong>the</strong> average annualrate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increase between <strong>the</strong>se two points.FINAL REPORT 19Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable 4.4. Infestati<strong>on</strong> RateHeavy Medium LightWithout C<strong>on</strong>trol 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%With C<strong>on</strong>trol 1.0% -0.4% -2.0%Source: AECgroup <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Survey (2006)4.2.3 C<strong>on</strong>trol Informati<strong>on</strong>The areas actively c<strong>on</strong>trolled by landholders were classified into three categories asshown below:• 12.6% for heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s;• 11.2% for medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• 7.4% for light infestati<strong>on</strong>s.The above percentages were reduced by <strong>the</strong> proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> productive land area managedby landholders who actively c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana (87.6%). This was d<strong>on</strong>e to ensure that <strong>the</strong>area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land c<strong>on</strong>trolled was not overestimated.The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per hectare in <strong>the</strong> treatment area were:• $75.10 for heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s;• $62.20 for medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s; and• $44.00 for light infestati<strong>on</strong>s.4.2.4 O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sO<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts identified through <strong>the</strong> survey analysis are outlined in <strong>the</strong> tablebelow.Table 4.5. O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> (a) $/ha % Landholders C<strong>on</strong>sidering<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> Insignificant (c)Stock Pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ Health $6.40 73.9%Increased Mustering $5.50 73.9%Reduced Carrying Capacity $19.55 49.8%Increased Maintenance (b) $11.33 32.3%Note: (a) <strong>the</strong>se impacts were reduced by <strong>the</strong> proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders that did not c<strong>on</strong>sider <strong>the</strong> impact to besignificant (<strong>the</strong>se percentages are shown in <strong>the</strong> RHS <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> table) (b) Maintenance cost was reduced by 50% dueto perceived double counting with c<strong>on</strong>trol. (c) Adjusted to include exclude those landholders that were “Unsure”.Source: AECgroup <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Survey (2006)The magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s’ is expected to vary by regi<strong>on</strong> and terraintype. Results from a previously unpublished NRW study c<strong>on</strong>ducted in 2000 were used asa proxy to adjust <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana for each Local Government Area acrossQueensland (applied by Statistical Divisi<strong>on</strong>). Adjusting <strong>the</strong> average ‘O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>’ figure identified by <strong>the</strong> 2006 survey by <strong>the</strong> factors in <strong>the</strong> following table alloweda representative impact assessment to be applied to each Local Government Area.Table 4.6. Regi<strong>on</strong>al Cost Factors from AverageStatistical Divisi<strong>on</strong> Minimum Expected MaximumBrisbane 0.24 0.71 0.94Darling Downs 0.19 0.44 0.74Far North 0.33 0.65 1.05Fitzroy 0.35 0.75 1.18Mackay 0.39 0.66 1.00Moret<strong>on</strong> 0.57 1.26 1.87Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 0.33 0.74 1.10Wide Bay-Burnett 0.54 1.30 2.20Queensland 0.44 1.00 1.57Source: NRW (unpublished)FINAL REPORT 20Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryThe impact <strong>on</strong> ‘land value’ was not included in <strong>the</strong> analysis as it is assumed to beadequately represented by <strong>the</strong> future flow <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> incomes and costs identified and, ifincluded, would result in double counting. ‘O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts’ were also excludeddue to perceived double counting in <strong>the</strong> survey resp<strong>on</strong>ses.It is interesting to note that <strong>the</strong>re is little difference between <strong>the</strong> per hectare impact <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong> land value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested areas compared to <strong>the</strong> overall property value. This implies thatland value is impacted <strong>on</strong>ce lantana is present regardless <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> level and extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>infestati<strong>on</strong>.4.2.5 Landuse Informati<strong>on</strong>The area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land within each Statistical Divisi<strong>on</strong> under grazing was estimated and appliedto each Local Government Area examined.4.3 ModelTable 4.7. Landuse Informati<strong>on</strong>Statistical Divisi<strong>on</strong>Grazing(as a % <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> total land area)Queensland (a)Darling Downs 54.9%South West 88.6%North West 92.4%Brisbane 23.1%Moret<strong>on</strong> 50.3%Far North 75.4%Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 86.0%Mackay 74.8%Fitzroy 67.3%Wide Bay-Burnett 49.0%NSW (b)Richm<strong>on</strong>d Tweed 35.0%Nor<strong>the</strong>rn 50.0%Mid North Coast 50.0%Hunter 40.0%Central West 57.5%Sydney 0.0%South Eastern 40.0%Illawarra 30.0%Source: (a) NRW (Unpublished GIS analysis). (b) A. Clark, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Coordinator (Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> ManagementGroup) pers. comm. 16 November, 2006.The CBA framework used in this analysis is described in Secti<strong>on</strong> 1.3 and Appendix A.This secti<strong>on</strong> provides an overview <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> model used in <strong>the</strong> identificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector.The net benefit (NB) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana is estimated by <strong>the</strong> equati<strong>on</strong> below:NB = RC − CWhere:NB = Net benefit <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana ($).RC = Reducti<strong>on</strong> in costs associated with having lantana <strong>on</strong> productive land areas ($).C = Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol ($).The reducti<strong>on</strong> in costs (RC) associated with having lantana <strong>on</strong> productive land areas isestimated using <strong>the</strong> equati<strong>on</strong> below:FINAL REPORT 21Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry1RC = ∑ n =Where:30[(AIN − AIW ) × ( SP + MC + CC + MT )]+hththt[( AIN mt − AIWmt) × ( SPmt+ MCmt+ CCmt+ MCmt)] +[ AIN − AIW ) × ( SP + MC + CC + MC )]( lt lt lt lt lt lthththtAINAIWSPMCCCMThmlt= Area infested (no c<strong>on</strong>trol)= Area infested (with c<strong>on</strong>trol)= Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing ($/ha)= Additi<strong>on</strong>al mustering costs ($/ha)= Reduced carrying capacity impacts ($/ha)= Additi<strong>on</strong>al maintenance costs ($/ha)= Heavy infestati<strong>on</strong> (ha)= Medium infestati<strong>on</strong> (ha)= Light infestati<strong>on</strong> (ha)= Time (Year)The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana (C) in infested areas is estimated using <strong>the</strong> equati<strong>on</strong>below:1C = ∑ ( AIWht× TAht× TCht) + ( AIWmt× TAmt× TCmt)+ ( AIWlt× TAlt× TClt)=Where:n30TATC= Treatment area (% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested area)= Treatment cost ($/ha)The area infested by lantana with c<strong>on</strong>trol (AIW) is estimated using <strong>the</strong> equati<strong>on</strong> below:AIW[ AI × (1 − TA ) × (1 + RN ) + ( AI × TA × (1 + RW ]+= ( ht − 1 ht −1ht ht −1ht −1ht )[( AI mt − 1 × (1 − TAmt−1)× (1 + RNmt) + ( AImt−1× TAmt−1× (1 + RWmt)] +[ AI (1 − TA ) × (1 + RN ) + ( AI × TA × (1 + RW )]( lt − 1 × lt −1lt lt −1lt −1ltWhere:AI = Area infested (ha)RN = Expansi<strong>on</strong> rate (no c<strong>on</strong>trol)RW = Expansi<strong>on</strong> rate (with c<strong>on</strong>trol)The area infested by lantana where <strong>the</strong>re is no c<strong>on</strong>trol (AIN) is estimated using <strong>the</strong>equati<strong>on</strong> below:AIN = ( AINht× RNht) + ( AINmt× RNmt) + ( AINlt× RNlt)4.3.1 C<strong>on</strong>verting Future <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s to Today’s ValuesBecause costs and benefits are specified over time it is necessary to reduce <strong>the</strong> stream <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>benefits and costs to present values. The present value c<strong>on</strong>cept is based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> timevalue <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey – <strong>the</strong> idea that a dollar received today is worth more than a dollar to bereceived in <strong>the</strong> future. The present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a cash flow is <strong>the</strong> value today that isequivalent to a cash flow in <strong>the</strong> future. The time value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey is determined by <strong>the</strong>given discount rate to enable <strong>the</strong> comparis<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> opti<strong>on</strong>s by a comm<strong>on</strong> measure.The selecti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> appropriate discount rates is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> particular importance because <strong>the</strong>y applyto much <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong> criteria and c<strong>on</strong>sequently <strong>the</strong> interpretati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> results. Thehigher <strong>the</strong> discount rate, <strong>the</strong> less weight or importance is placed <strong>on</strong> future cash flows.FINAL REPORT 22Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryThe choice <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> discount rates should reflect <strong>the</strong> weighted average cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> capital. For thisanalysis a base discount rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 8.0% was examined with a range from 4.0% to 10.0%examined.The formula for determining <strong>the</strong> present value is:PV=FV( 1 +nnr)Where:PV = present value todayFV = future value n periods from nowr = discount rate per periodn = number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> periodsExtending this to a series <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cash flows <strong>the</strong> present value is calculated as:PVFV FVFV=1+2+ L +12(1 + r)(1 + r)(1 + r)nn4.4 ResultsOnce <strong>the</strong> stream <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> costs and benefits have been reduced to <strong>the</strong>ir present values <strong>the</strong> netpresent value (NPV) can be calculated as <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>benefits and present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> costs. If <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits is greater than <strong>the</strong>present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> costs <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> opti<strong>on</strong> or project would have a net ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefit.Because <strong>the</strong> NPV can result from <strong>the</strong> combinati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> any magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits and costsit is not all that useful when comparing projects. A useful measure to use to comparebetween two different projects is <strong>the</strong> benefit cost ratio (BCR). The BCR is calculated bydividing <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits by <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> costs. If <strong>the</strong> resulting BCRis greater than <strong>on</strong>e (1) <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> project has a net ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefit. The higher <strong>the</strong> BCR<strong>the</strong> greater <strong>the</strong> quantified ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefits compared to <strong>the</strong> quantified ec<strong>on</strong>omic losses.Note: a BCR should form <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong> making process as it <strong>on</strong>ly indicatesa superior opti<strong>on</strong> based <strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>etary values.4.4.1 Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing SectorThe presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is estimated to decrease <strong>the</strong> productivity (or output) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector through impacts such as stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ health and reducedcarrying capacity. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is also expected to increase management requirements andexpenses through increased time and labour in mustering and additi<strong>on</strong>al farmmaintenance costs.These impacts are currently estimated to total approximately $104.3 milli<strong>on</strong>, and willc<strong>on</strong>tinue to increase as <strong>the</strong> area infested with lantana increases.Implicati<strong>on</strong>:The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in <strong>Australia</strong> is currently estimated to cost <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazingsector approximately $104.3 milli<strong>on</strong> (2005/06) per annum in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost productivity,and increased management expenses.Sensitivity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Cost AssessmentAnnual Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolThe annual cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is identified to total approximately $104.3 milli<strong>on</strong> in <strong>Australia</strong>.To examine <strong>the</strong> variability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacts between farms, regi<strong>on</strong>s and property managers, <strong>the</strong>analysis examined <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a change in <strong>the</strong> producti<strong>on</strong> losses and additi<strong>on</strong>alFINAL REPORT 23Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industrymanagement costs. The analysis identifies that even a 30% decrease in <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>-farmimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana will still result in a significant loss to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>approximately $73.0 milli<strong>on</strong> annually.The following table highlights <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a change (increase or decrease) in lostproducti<strong>on</strong> and increased management costs.Table 4.8. Annual Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in <strong>Australia</strong> (2005/06 $’s)% Change in<strong>on</strong>-farm costQueensland($M)NSW($M)<strong>Australia</strong>($M)-30% $49.6 $23.4 $73.0-20% $56.7 $26.7 $83.4-10% $63.7 $30.1 $93.8-5% $67.3 $31.8 $99.00% $70.8 $33.4 $104.35% $74.4 $35.1 $109.510% $77.9 $36.8 $114.720% $85.0 $40.1 $125.130% $92.1 $43.5 $135.5Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupArea InfestedWhere <strong>the</strong>re is no c<strong>on</strong>trol, and lantana expands at 2.1% per annum (identified fromsurvey analysis), <strong>the</strong> potential areas invaded and infested by lantana, based <strong>on</strong> CLIMEXmodelling <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> future climate suitability, could result in a present value cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>approximately $1.5 billi<strong>on</strong> (represented in 2005/06 dollar terms), which is <strong>the</strong> baseassessment c<strong>on</strong>ducted at 8.0% discount rate for <strong>the</strong> medium scenario (2). The range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>potential impacts is listed in <strong>the</strong> table below (by infestati<strong>on</strong> scenario and discount rate). Ac<strong>on</strong>servative estimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se impacts is estimated to be in <strong>the</strong>order <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $1.2 billi<strong>on</strong> and an upper estimate to be approximately $2.4 billi<strong>on</strong>.Table 4.9. Present Value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> by level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> (2005/06$’s)Discount Rate(%)Scenario 1(High) ($M)Scenario 2(Medium) ($M)Scenario 3(Low) ($M)4.0% $2,432.0 $2,398.6 $2,261.96.0% $1,922.2 $1,898.5 $1,801.08.0% $1,564.1 $1,546.8 $1,475.410.0% $1,306.1 $1,293.1 $1,239.5Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroup4.4.2 Current C<strong>on</strong>trolCurrent c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives undertaken by landholders are expected to cost in <strong>the</strong> order <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>$17.1 milli<strong>on</strong> per year (2005/06) ($12.3 milli<strong>on</strong> in Queensland and $4.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in NSW).When c<strong>on</strong>sidered in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>text <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> benefits delivered, <strong>the</strong> current c<strong>on</strong>trol initiativesare not ec<strong>on</strong>omically desirable, since <strong>the</strong> net present value (NPV) over 30 years isapproximately negative $219.7 milli<strong>on</strong> (at 8.0% discount rate for <strong>the</strong> medium scenario).This equates to a benefit cost ratio (BCR) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 0.11, or a return <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $0.11 for every dollarinvested.Table 4.10. Net Present Value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Current C<strong>on</strong>trol Initiatives (2005/06 $’s)Discount Rate PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCR(%)4.0% $52.4 $380.9 -$328.5 0.146.0% $37.4 $302.4 -$265.0 0.128.0% $27.4 $247.0 -$219.7 0.1110.0% $20.6 $207.0 -$186.4 0.10Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupFINAL REPORT 24Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryImplicati<strong>on</strong>:Expenditure <strong>on</strong> current c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives by landholders is estimated to be in <strong>the</strong> order <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>$17.1 milli<strong>on</strong> per year (2005/06).Whilst <strong>the</strong>re are expected to be individual c<strong>on</strong>trol sites that yield positive results, <strong>on</strong>average, <strong>the</strong>re is no financial incentive for landholders to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land,with existing c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives estimated to result in a negative net present value (NPV)over 30 years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately negative $219.7 milli<strong>on</strong>.Sensitivity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Current C<strong>on</strong>trol ScenarioArea InfestedThe area infested is not expected to significantly impact <strong>the</strong> results <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> analysis, ashighlighted from <strong>on</strong>ly relatively small changes in <strong>the</strong> NPV from <strong>the</strong> base case.Table 4.11. NPV for Different Maximum Potential Areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>, Current C<strong>on</strong>trol(2005/06 $’s)Discount Rate(%)Scenario 1(High) ($M)Scenario 2(Medium) ($M)Scenario 3(Low) ($M)4.0% -$329.6 -$328.5 -$323.76.0% -$265.8 -$265.0 -$261.48.0% -$220.2 -$219.7 -$216.810.0% -$186.9 -$186.4 -$184.2Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupArea C<strong>on</strong>trolledThe area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> that is c<strong>on</strong>trolled has been examined as to its impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>desirability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling lantana for grazing producti<strong>on</strong>.To examine <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increasing <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol effort, <strong>the</strong> analysis examined changes in<strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> actively c<strong>on</strong>trolled by landholders. This analysis identifies that, as<strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land c<strong>on</strong>trolled increases <strong>the</strong> net benefits decrease. For example, a 10%increase in area actively c<strong>on</strong>trolled from <strong>the</strong> shaded cell (base case) in Table 4.12 wouldresult in a $21.4 milli<strong>on</strong> decrease in NPV over 30 years.This is due to <strong>the</strong> high cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> intensive c<strong>on</strong>trol measures, <strong>the</strong> need for <strong>on</strong>goingexpenditure and <strong>the</strong> relatively small area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> productive land reclaimed following c<strong>on</strong>trolinitiatives.The following table examines <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> 30-year NPV <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a change (increase ordecrease) in <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana actively c<strong>on</strong>trolled, and highlights that <strong>the</strong>re is littleincentive for landholders to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana for agricultural producti<strong>on</strong>.Table 4.12. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Area C<strong>on</strong>trolled by Level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>, Current C<strong>on</strong>trol (2005/06$’s)% Change inarea c<strong>on</strong>trolledScenario 1(High) ($M)Scenario 2(Medium) ($M)Scenario 3(Low) ($M)-30% -$155.1 -$154.6 -$152.3-20% -$176.9 -$176.4 -$173.9-10% -$198.6 -$198.1 -$195.4-5% -$209.4 -$208.9 -$206.10% -$220.2 -$219.7 -$216.85% -$231.0 -$230.4 -$227.610% -$241.8 -$241.2 -$238.320% -$262.6 -$262.6 -$259.630% -$284.0 -$284.0 -$280.9Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupFINAL REPORT 25Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryArea <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Mapping Grid Squares Actually InfestedTable 4.2 highlights a range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> assumpti<strong>on</strong>s regarding <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> mapping grid squaresthat are actually infested, where lantana is present. The c<strong>on</strong>servative scenario, which isbelieved to underestimate <strong>the</strong> actual impact, is identified to have a current impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>approximately $50.0 milli<strong>on</strong> annually to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector. The impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>c<strong>on</strong>trol across this scenario results in a negative NPV and is outlined in <strong>the</strong> table below.Table 4.13. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a change in <strong>the</strong> Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Mapping Grid Squares Actually Infested(2005/06 $’s)Discount Rate PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCR(%)4.0% $26.8 $198.2 -$171.4 0.146.0% $19.1 $157.6 -$138.5 0.128.0% $14.0 $129.0 -$115.0 0.1110.0% $10.5 $108.3 -$97.8 0.10Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroup4.4.3 Development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol AgentIt is apparent that whilst lantana has a significant and negative impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong>grazing sector, <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omically rati<strong>on</strong>al landholder does not have sufficient incentive toundertake c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives. The development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a biological c<strong>on</strong>trol agent may assist in<strong>the</strong> fight against lantana.It is estimated that if a biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program is carried out with successful agent(s),<strong>the</strong> benefits to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> agriculture sector, and in particular grazing, would besignificant. For instance, a research program undertaken for a period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 10 years costingapproximately $300,000 per year 9 with a five year establishment program and achieving50% effectiveness (that is, reducing <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana by 50% at <strong>the</strong> end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> year 15)would result in a NPV <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $206.2 milli<strong>on</strong> and a benefit cost ratio <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately 91.4,which implies that for every dollar invested approximately $91.40 <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits would bereturned.The expected impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a successful biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program are outlined in <strong>the</strong>following table for a range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> discount rates.Table 4.14. Expected Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a Successful Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol Program (2005/06 $’s)Discount Rate PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCR(%)4.0% $426.9 $2.7 $424.2 158.56.0% $296.0 $2.5 $293.5 119.78.0% $208.5 $2.3 $206.2 91.410.0% $149.1 $2.1 $147.0 70.5Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupImplicati<strong>on</strong>:A successful biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program has <strong>the</strong> potential to return up to and over $90 <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>benefit for every dollar invested.9 Estimated annual cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> two full time researchers and associated <strong>on</strong> costs.FINAL REPORT 26Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustrySensitivity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol Agent ScenarioArea InfestedThe future potential area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> is not expected to significantly impact <strong>the</strong> benefitsassociated with <strong>the</strong> development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a successful biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program, with allscenarios returning high NPVs.Table 4.15. NPV <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Different Maximum Potential Areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>, Bio-C<strong>on</strong>trol(2005/06 $’s)Discount Rate(%)Scenario 1(High) ($M)Scenario 2(Medium) ($M)Scenario 3(Low) ($M)4.0% $428.3 $424.2 $406.66.0% $296.3 $293.5 $281.38.0% $208.2 $206.2 $197.610.0% $148.4 $147.0 $140.8Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupEfficacy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolWhilst <strong>the</strong> efficacy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall benefits delivered by <strong>the</strong> biologicalc<strong>on</strong>trol program, <strong>the</strong>re are significant benefits associated with even a relatively smalllevel <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> effective c<strong>on</strong>trol, as shown in <strong>the</strong> following table. For instance, should abiological c<strong>on</strong>trol program <strong>on</strong>ly deliver, <strong>on</strong> average, 5% efficacy across all infested areas<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> program would be estimated to return approximately $9.10 for every dollarinvested.Table 4.16. Efficacy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol Program (2005/06 $’s)Efficacy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCR(%)0% $0.0 $2.3 -$2.3 0.05% $20.9 $2.3 $18.6 9.110% $41.7 $2.3 $39.4 18.325% $104.3 $2.3 $102.0 45.750% $208.5 $2.3 $206.2 91.475% $312.8 $2.3 $310.5 137.1Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupLength <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ResearchWhilst <strong>the</strong> length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> research program impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall benefits delivered by<strong>the</strong> biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program, <strong>the</strong>re are significant benefits associated with even <strong>the</strong> 20-year research program examined.Table 4.17. Length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Research Program, Bio-C<strong>on</strong>trol (2005/06 $’s)Length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Research PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCRProgram (years)3 $358.0 $1.0 $357.0 351.15 $309.4 $1.5 $307.9 213.010 $208.5 $2.3 $206.2 91.415 $131.1 $2.8 $128.3 46.120 $71.0 $3.2 $67.7 22.0Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupCost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ResearchWhilst <strong>the</strong> annual cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> research program impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall benefits deliveredby <strong>the</strong> biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program, <strong>the</strong>re are significant benefits associated with even a2.5 times increase in annual expenditure <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> 10-year research program examined.FINAL REPORT 27Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable 4.18. Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Research Program, Bio-C<strong>on</strong>trol (2005/06 $’s)Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Research PV Benefits ($M) PV Costs ($M) NPV ($M) BCRProgram ($/year)$50,000 $208.5 $0.5 $208.0 443.5$100,000 $208.5 $0.8 $207.7 250.5$250,000 $208.5 $1.9 $206.6 108.6$300,000 $208.5 $2.3 $206.2 91.4$500,000 $208.5 $3.7 $204.8 55.9$750,000 $208.5 $5.5 $203.0 37.6Note: The base case assessment is shaded.Source: AECgroupFINAL REPORT 28Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry5. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>This secti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> report details <strong>the</strong> expected ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact to <strong>Australia</strong> as a result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lost productivity in <strong>the</strong> grazing sector from <strong>the</strong> presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana. The analysis utilisesan Input-Output (IO) methodology to identify <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost producti<strong>on</strong> andproductivity within <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector.There is some additi<strong>on</strong>al ec<strong>on</strong>omic activity generated by c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> grazingsector. The analysis assumes <strong>the</strong>se expenditures would not be reinvested in producti<strong>on</strong>basedinitiatives if lantana was not present and as such are netted <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f from <strong>the</strong>producti<strong>on</strong> impact when calculating <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy.5.1 Data InputsThe analysis examines <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost productivity through stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing or reducedcarrying capacity. The analysis does not include <strong>the</strong> cost associated with increasedmustering or maintenance as <strong>the</strong>se costs would be reinvested in general operati<strong>on</strong>alexpenditure where <strong>the</strong>y were not expended due to <strong>the</strong> presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana.These impacts comprise a total impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately $63.2 milli<strong>on</strong> (2005/06).C<strong>on</strong>sidering <strong>the</strong> $17.1 milli<strong>on</strong> expended by <strong>the</strong> grazing sector <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives, thiscreates an indicative net ec<strong>on</strong>omic loss <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $46.2 milli<strong>on</strong> (2005/06).5.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>The indicative negative ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact (net impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $46.2 milli<strong>on</strong>) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector is outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Output($M)Value Added($M)Income($M)Employment(FTE)Direct $46.2 $24.4 $7.6 525Indirect $36.6 $17.6 $8.4 219Total $82.8 $42.0 $16.1 744Source: AECgroupAn indicative estimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> detrimental impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazingsector includes <strong>the</strong> reducti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately:• $82.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in gross output, with direct 10 and indirect 11 impacts totalling $46.2milli<strong>on</strong> and $36.6 milli<strong>on</strong>, respectively;• $42.0 milli<strong>on</strong> in value added or GDP, with direct and indirect impacts totalling $24.4milli<strong>on</strong> and $17.6 milli<strong>on</strong>, respectively;• $16.1 milli<strong>on</strong> in wages and salaries paid, with direct and indirect impacts totalling$7.6 milli<strong>on</strong> and $8.4 milli<strong>on</strong>, respectively; and• 744 FTE employment positi<strong>on</strong>s, with direct and indirect impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 525 and 219 FTEs,respectively.It is expected that many <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> direct employment positi<strong>on</strong>s identified would be absorbedby existing family labour.Implicati<strong>on</strong>:The value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost producti<strong>on</strong> (net <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expenditure <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana to <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy is estimated to be significant resulting in up to $42.0 milli<strong>on</strong> lost invalue added producti<strong>on</strong> and over 744 employment positi<strong>on</strong>s.10 Direct impacts: are <strong>the</strong> first round <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> effects experienced in resp<strong>on</strong>se to expenditure <strong>on</strong> goods andservices.11 Indirect impacts: are <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>on</strong>d and subsequent round effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increased purchases bysuppliers in resp<strong>on</strong>se to increased sales. The indirect effect examined in this analysis is termed <strong>the</strong>industrial support effect.FINAL REPORT 29Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industry6. Key Findings & Limitati<strong>on</strong>s6.1 Key Findings6.1.1 Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in <strong>Australia</strong> costs <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector approximately$104.3 milli<strong>on</strong> (2005/06) per annum in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost productivity, and increasedmanagement expenses. This is comprised <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately $70.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in Queenslandand $33.4 milli<strong>on</strong> in NSW.The majority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders generally c<strong>on</strong>sider <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana tobe insignificant. However, where occurring and quantified, <strong>the</strong>y equate to significantimpacts in lost producti<strong>on</strong> and increased maintenance costs. This implies thatlandholders may not fully understand or appreciate <strong>the</strong> magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact thatlantana has <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land.Land value is impacted <strong>on</strong>ce lantana is present regardless <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> level and extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>infestati<strong>on</strong>. There is little variati<strong>on</strong> between <strong>the</strong> average reducti<strong>on</strong> in land value for <strong>the</strong>total property area ($8.54/ha) and <strong>the</strong> infested areas ($12.95/ha).6.1.2 C<strong>on</strong>trol CostThere is a wide range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholder expenditure (virtually $0/ha to greater than $100/ha)<strong>on</strong> different c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques across varying densities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>. Expenditure <strong>on</strong>current c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives by landholders is estimated to be in <strong>the</strong> order <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $17.1 milli<strong>on</strong>per year (2005/06).C<strong>on</strong>trol techniques employed by landholders appear to reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium andlight infestati<strong>on</strong>s. However, in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques aregenerally <strong>on</strong>ly expected to slow <strong>the</strong> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong>, not reduce <strong>the</strong> area infested,however, individual cases <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> successful c<strong>on</strong>trol have been reported.In some cases it may be highly beneficial to clear lantana for agricultural use, however<strong>on</strong> average, <strong>the</strong>re is no financial incentive for landholders to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land.This is because, <strong>on</strong> average, <strong>the</strong> benefits from c<strong>on</strong>trol do not outweigh <strong>the</strong> cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>c<strong>on</strong>trol. This is highlighted by <strong>the</strong> indicative calculati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> following table for <strong>the</strong>c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a hectare <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> medium infestati<strong>on</strong>.Table 6.1. Calculati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Indicative Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> (Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>)Descripti<strong>on</strong>DataCost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> ($/ha) (A) -$42.78C<strong>on</strong>trol Cost ($/ha) (Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>) (B) $62.60Benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> ($/ha) (C) $42.78Net Benefit From C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/ha) (D = C – B) -$19.82Note: The benefit <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol (C) is equal to <strong>the</strong> removal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> cost impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana (A).It is expected that c<strong>on</strong>tinuing with existing c<strong>on</strong>trol initiatives will yield a negative netpresent value (NPV) over 30 years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately $219.7 milli<strong>on</strong>. However, whilst <strong>on</strong>average <strong>the</strong>re is no financial incentive to c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana, landholders still manage andc<strong>on</strong>trol lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in strategic locati<strong>on</strong>s. Where landholders are able tosuccessfully c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> lower end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol cost pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ile(reported in Secti<strong>on</strong> 3.4.3) this would likely lead to producti<strong>on</strong> benefits from c<strong>on</strong>trollinglantana in both <strong>the</strong> short and l<strong>on</strong>g term.Aside from producti<strong>on</strong> benefits, landholders also c<strong>on</strong>trol lantana for o<strong>the</strong>r intangiblebenefits, such as preventing envir<strong>on</strong>mental degradati<strong>on</strong>, ease <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management andproperty access and to preserve <strong>the</strong> future productive capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land.FINAL REPORT 30Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryWhere <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> biological c<strong>on</strong>trol program for lantana resulted in <strong>the</strong>release <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> successful c<strong>on</strong>trol agents, it is expected this would result in significantproducti<strong>on</strong> and n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> based benefits. To examine and test this, a hypo<strong>the</strong>ticalexample was developed for producti<strong>on</strong> impacts. The hypo<strong>the</strong>tical example examined abiological c<strong>on</strong>trol research program undertaken for a period <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately 10 years(costing approximately $300,000 per year 12 ) with a five year establishment program thatresulted in <strong>the</strong> successful release <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agents that achieved approximately 50%effectiveness (that is, reducing <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana by 50% at <strong>the</strong> end <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> year 15).This scenario was identified to be highly desirable, with <strong>the</strong> potential to return over $90for every dollar invested 13 .6.1.3 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>The presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana decreases <strong>the</strong> productivity (or output) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazingsector through impacts such as stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ health and reduced carrying capacity.This subsequently reduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector to <strong>the</strong><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy through direct and flow-<strong>on</strong> (turnover <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> goods and services utilised in<strong>the</strong> agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> process) impacts. This loss in productivity is partially <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fsetby investments made by landholders in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, which also c<strong>on</strong>tributes toec<strong>on</strong>omic activity.The value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lost producti<strong>on</strong> from <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> grazing sector resulting from <strong>the</strong>presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana is expected to be approximately $46.2 milli<strong>on</strong> annually 14 . This has atotal negative impact, direct and flow-<strong>on</strong>, to <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> approximately:• $82.8 milli<strong>on</strong> in gross output;• $42.0 milli<strong>on</strong> in value added or GDP;• $16.1 milli<strong>on</strong> in wages and salaries paid; and• 744 full time equivalent employment positi<strong>on</strong>s.6.1.4 Social and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> was identified to have many social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts, for which <strong>the</strong>rewas little quantifiable data available.The negative impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana were identified to outweigh <strong>the</strong> perceived positiveimpacts. The most significant negative social and envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts identified bylandholders are outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Table 6.2. Qualitative Negative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>WeightedAverage (a)Removes and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> 3.6Reduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.5Reduced scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.4Restricti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans 3.4Harbours feral animals 3.4Increases management stress 3.3Restricts property access 3.3Increases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire 3.0Displaces native animals 2.9<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism 2.7Note: Weighted average across a 0-5 rating scale, with a maximum score <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5.The following positive impacts were also recorded; however, <strong>the</strong>ir average scores indicate<strong>the</strong>y are c<strong>on</strong>sidered relatively insignificant.12 Estimated annual cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> two full time researchers and associated <strong>on</strong> costs.13 Assumes a 10-year research program (at $300,000/ year), 5-year establishment program (at$50,000/ year) and 50% agent efficacy.14 Net <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expenditure <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol initiativesFINAL REPORT 31Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryTable 6.3. Qualitative Positive <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>WeightedAverage (a)Stabilising soil and preventing erosi<strong>on</strong> 2.5Aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing 2.3Improved soil for pasture renovati<strong>on</strong> 2.1Note: Weighted average across a 0-5 rating scale, with a maximum score <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5.Whilst <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mental or social impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana were rated qualitatively, no datawas identified to accurately quantify <strong>the</strong>se impacts. A study c<strong>on</strong>ducted by AECgroup(2003) examined <strong>the</strong> value and impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> envir<strong>on</strong>mental weeds in Queensland withinareas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value, such as nati<strong>on</strong>al parks. The study identified an averageenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impact value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $72.5 milli<strong>on</strong> per annum (2003 values) in Queensland.The study identified using c<strong>on</strong>tingent valuati<strong>on</strong> (dichotomous choice) by askinghouseholds <strong>the</strong>ir willingness to pay to protect areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> high c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> significance inQueensland from lantana, which was identified to be approximately $55/household peryear.It is interesting to note that <strong>the</strong> quantified producti<strong>on</strong> and envir<strong>on</strong>mental value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantanain Queensland <strong>on</strong> an annual basis is roughly equivalent.6.2 Limitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> studyThe nature and extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana in this study were based <strong>on</strong> availableinformati<strong>on</strong> ga<strong>the</strong>red from <strong>the</strong> survey and from <strong>the</strong> review <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing literature. Theoutcomes could be improved if <strong>the</strong> following informati<strong>on</strong> were also available:• Reduced size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> grid squares: Smaller grid squares utilised in CLIMEX modellingwould lead to increased levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detail and accuracy. Proxies were developed tomore accurately estimate <strong>the</strong> actual areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> analysis;• Improved assumpti<strong>on</strong>s surrounding <strong>the</strong> base assumpti<strong>on</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> CLIMEX modelling:Anecdotal evidence suggests that perhaps some <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se should be amended (forexample: maximum altitude, temperature assessments);• Validati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> CLIMEX modelling: Where <strong>the</strong> current area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> exceeded <strong>the</strong>future maximum predicted by CLIMEX modelling <strong>the</strong> current area was used andassumed to be at maximum distributi<strong>on</strong>;• Land use by area: Paucity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data relating to <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land classed as grazing usethat is actually productive land verses natural habitat or bushland;• Rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing infestati<strong>on</strong>s by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>: Would assist in<strong>the</strong> development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detailed growth models examining infestati<strong>on</strong> rates;• Rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> into new areas and establishment process: Would assist in <strong>the</strong>development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> detailed growth models examining infestati<strong>on</strong> rates; and• Quantified envir<strong>on</strong>mental and social impacts: Would assist in understanding <strong>the</strong> lesstangible impacts associated with lantana in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas.FINAL REPORT 32Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryReferencesAEC Group Limited (2006). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed BiologicalC<strong>on</strong>trol Effort. Report for <strong>the</strong> CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management, in print.Ahmad, M.N., Bhatty, M.K. and Karimullah (1962). Some Essential Oils from WestPakistan. Pakistan Journal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Science, 14: 12-15. 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A Field Manual: For Surveying and Mapping Nati<strong>on</strong>ally Significant <strong>Weeds</strong>.<strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Government, Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries(Bureau <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Rural Sciences) and Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and Heritage.Coutts-Smith, A. and Downey, P. (2006). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> weeds <strong>on</strong> threatened biodiversity inNew South Wales. CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management Technical Series No.11.CRC for <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Weed Management (2003). Weed Management Guide: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> –<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara. 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The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> <strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J. Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.Cummings, J. (2004). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Home: Not Sweet for All. In, Big Scrub RainforestLandcare Group Newsletter, July 2004, www.bigscrubrainforest.org.au. As CitedIn: NSW Government (2005a). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara – Proposed Key ThreateningProcess Declarati<strong>on</strong>. NSW Government, NSW Scientific Committee, Nati<strong>on</strong>alParks and Wildlife Service, Sydney.Day, M.D., Brought<strong>on</strong>, S. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es, M.A. (2003). Current distributi<strong>on</strong> andstatus <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara and its biological c<strong>on</strong>trol agents in <strong>Australia</strong>, withrecommendati<strong>on</strong>s for fur<strong>the</strong>r bioc<strong>on</strong>trol introducti<strong>on</strong>s into o<strong>the</strong>r countries.Bioc<strong>on</strong>trol News and Informati<strong>on</strong> 24(3): 63N-76N.Fensham, R.J., Fairfax, R.J. and Cannell, R.J. (1994). The invasi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L.in Forty Mile Scrub Nati<strong>on</strong>al Park, north Queensland. <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Journal <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Ecology, 19: 297-305. As Cited In: NSW Government (2005a). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara– Proposed Key Threatening Process Declarati<strong>on</strong>. NSW Government, NSWScientific Committee, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks and Wildlife Service, Sydney.Gentle, C.B. and Duggin, J.A. (1998). Interference <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Choricarpia leptopetala by <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>camara with nutrient enrichment in mesic forests <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> Central Coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> NSW.Plant Ecology, 136: 205-211. As Cited In: NSW Government (2005a). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>camara – Proposed Key Threatening Process Declarati<strong>on</strong>. NSW Government,NSW Scientific Committee, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks and Wildlife Service, Sydney.Gentle, C.B. and Duggin, J.A. (1997). Allelopathy as a competitive strategy in persistentthickets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. in three <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Forest Communities. PlantEcology, 132: 85-95. As Cited In: NSW Government (2005a). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara– Proposed Key Threatening Process Declarati<strong>on</strong>. NSW Government, NSWScientific Committee, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks and Wildlife Service, Sydney.FINAL REPORT 33Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryHumphries, S.E. and Stant<strong>on</strong>, J.P. (1992). Weed Assessment in <strong>the</strong> Wet Tropics WorldHeritage Area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Queensland. Report to <strong>the</strong> Wet Tropics ManagementAgency, Cairns. As Cited In: Swarbrick, J.T., Wils<strong>on</strong>, B.W. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es,M.A. (1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. In, Panetta, F.D., Groves, R. H. and Shepherd,R.C.H. (1998). The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> <strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J.Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.NSW Government (2005a). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara – Proposed Key Threatening ProcessDeclarati<strong>on</strong>. NSW Government, NSW Scientific Committee, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks andWildlife Service, Sydney.NSW Government (2005b). Fact Sheet: Weed Management in NSW Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks -<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>. NSW Government, Nati<strong>on</strong>al Parks and Wildlife Service, Sydney.Pars<strong>on</strong>s, W.T. and Cuthberts<strong>on</strong>, E.G. (2001). Noxious <strong>Weeds</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Australia</strong>, 2 nd Editi<strong>on</strong>.CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.Peyr<strong>on</strong>, L., Broua, M. and Roubard, M. (1971). Oil <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. from Anjouan.Soap, Perfume and Cosmetics, 44: 489-493. As Cited In: Swarbrick, J.T.,Wils<strong>on</strong>, B.W. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es, M.A. (1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. In, Panetta,F.D., Groves, R. H. and Shepherd, R.C.H. (1998). The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong><strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J. Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.Queensland Government (2006a). Facts, Pest Series: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> (<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara).Queensland Government, Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources, Mines and Water,Brisbane.Queensland Government (2006b). Climate Suitability Map. Queensland Government,Produced by Pest Management Strategy Land Protecti<strong>on</strong>, Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> NaturalResources, Mines and Water, Brisbane.Queensland Government (2004). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>: Current Management and C<strong>on</strong>trol Opti<strong>on</strong>s for<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> (<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara) in <strong>Australia</strong>. Queensland Government, Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Natural Resources, Mines and Water, Brisbane.Queensland Government (2003). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Pois<strong>on</strong>ing. Queensland Government,Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources, Mines and Water, Brisbane.Queensland Government (1999). Landholder Survey. Unpublished Data. QueenslandGovernment, Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources, Mines and Water, Brisbane.Singh, M. and Achhireddy, N.R. (1987). Influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> Growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> VariousCitrus Rootstocks. Hort Science, 22: 385-386. As Cited In: Swarbrick, J.T.,Wils<strong>on</strong>, B.W. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es, M.A. (1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. In, Panetta,F.D., Groves, R. H. and Shepherd, R.C.H. (1998). The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong><strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J. Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.Sur<strong>the</strong>rst, R.W., Maywald, G.F., Y<strong>on</strong>ow, T. and Stevens, P.M. (1999). CLIMEX 1.1 UserGuide. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.Swarbrick, J.T., Wils<strong>on</strong>, B.W. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es, M.A. (1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. In,Panetta, F.D., Groves, R. H. and Shepherd, R.C.H. (1998). The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> <strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J. Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.Wardell-Johns<strong>on</strong>, G., St<strong>on</strong>e, C., Recher, H., and Lynch, J.J. (2006). Bell MinerAssociated Dieback (BMAD) Independent Scientific Literature Review: A review<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> eucalypt dieback associated with Bell miner habitat in north-eastern NewSouth Wales, <strong>Australia</strong>. DEC NSW Occasi<strong>on</strong>al Paper DEC 2006/116.Wells, C.H. (1984). Management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Forest Plantati<strong>on</strong>s. Proceedings <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>Woody Weed C<strong>on</strong>trol Workshop, Gympie. Weed Society <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Queensland,Brisbane. As Cited In: Swarbrick, J.T., Wils<strong>on</strong>, B.W. and Hannan-J<strong>on</strong>es, M.A.(1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara L. In, Panetta, F.D., Groves, R. H. and Shepherd,R.C.H. (1998). The Biology <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> <strong>Weeds</strong>, Volume 2. R.G. and F.J.Richards<strong>on</strong>, Melbourne.FINAL REPORT 34Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryAppendix A: Cost Benefit AnalysisA cost benefit analysis (CBA) model is applied to <strong>the</strong> quantifiable comp<strong>on</strong>ents <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>projects to identify <strong>the</strong>ir return <strong>on</strong> investment.The CBA model used for each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> projects examined is also used to assess anindicative overall benefit flowing from and investment program. The process <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> steps toc<strong>on</strong>duct a CBA is summarised in Figure A.1, and <strong>the</strong> key steps <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> process, adaptedfrom Sinden and Thampapillai (1995), are discussed below.Step 1. Define Scope and BoundaryTo enable a robust determinati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> net benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> undertaking a given project, it isnecessary to specify base case and alternative case scenarios. The base case scenariorepresents <strong>the</strong> “without project” scenario and <strong>the</strong> alternative or “with project” scenarioexamines <strong>the</strong> impact with <strong>the</strong> program in place.The base case (without) scenario is represented by line NB 2 (bc) over time T 1 to T 2(Figure A.1). An investment at time T 1 is likely to generate a benefit, which isrepresented by line NB 1 (abd). Therefore <strong>the</strong> net benefit flowing from <strong>the</strong> investmentinitiative is identified by calculating <strong>the</strong> area (bcd) between NB 1 and NB 2 .Figure A.1. With and Without ScenariosBenefitSource: AECgroupNB 1dNB 2a b cT 1Step 2. Identify Costs and BenefitsT 2TimeA comprehensive quantitative specificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> benefits and costs included in <strong>the</strong>evaluati<strong>on</strong> and <strong>the</strong>ir various timings is required and includes a clear outline <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all majorunderlying assumpti<strong>on</strong>s. These impacts both positive and negative are <strong>the</strong>n tabulatedand where possible valued in dollar terms.Some impacts, such as envir<strong>on</strong>mental and social impacts may not be quantifiable.Where this occurs <strong>the</strong> impacts and <strong>the</strong>ir respective magnitudes will be examinedqualitatively for c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> overall analysis.Step 3. Value Costs and BenefitsEach impact identified should be valued for inclusi<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> CBA. Where <strong>the</strong> impact doesnot have a readily identifiable dollar value, proxies and o<strong>the</strong>r measures should bedeveloped as <strong>the</strong>se issues represent real costs and benefits. Where <strong>the</strong> applicati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>FINAL REPORT 35Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing Industrymarket or n<strong>on</strong>-market valuati<strong>on</strong> techniques is not possible, <strong>the</strong> issue should be describedqualitatively with respect to <strong>the</strong> magnitude and extent, and if it is expected to occur in<strong>the</strong> short-term or l<strong>on</strong>g-term.Step 4. Quantify <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>Each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> identified impacts should be quantified and where this is not possible due todata availability <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> impact should be discussed qualitatively to describe <strong>the</strong> natureand extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> its impact.Step 5. Tabulate Annual Costs and BenefitsThe quantifiable benefits are tabulated to identify where and how <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten <strong>the</strong>y occur.Tabulati<strong>on</strong> provides an easy method for checking that all <strong>the</strong> issues and outcomesidentified have been addressed and provides a picture <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> flow <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> costs, benefits and<strong>the</strong>ir sources.Step 6. Calculate <strong>the</strong> Net BenefitThis step adjusts for <strong>the</strong> time preference <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey to enable <strong>the</strong> comparis<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>investment opti<strong>on</strong>s by a comm<strong>on</strong> measure and requires <strong>the</strong> choice <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a suitable discountrate.The selecti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> appropriate discount rates is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> particular importance because <strong>the</strong>y applyto much <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> decisi<strong>on</strong> criteria and c<strong>on</strong>sequently <strong>the</strong> interpretati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> results. Thehigher <strong>the</strong> discount rate, <strong>the</strong> less weight or importance is placed <strong>on</strong> future cash flows.The choice <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> discount rates should reflect <strong>the</strong> weighted average cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> capital. For thisanalysis a base discount rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 8.0% was examined with a range from 4.0% to 10.0%examined.Step 7. Scenario and Risk AnalysisScenario and risk analysis allows for <strong>the</strong> testing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> key assumpti<strong>on</strong>s and <strong>the</strong>identificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> critical variables within <strong>the</strong> analysis to gain greater insight into <strong>the</strong>drivers to <strong>the</strong> case being examined. Variables such as <strong>the</strong> adopti<strong>on</strong> rate or percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>uptake may have a significant impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> outcome <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> analysis.Decisi<strong>on</strong> Criteria and Interpretati<strong>on</strong>The decisi<strong>on</strong> criteria that are investigated in <strong>the</strong> CBA include:• Net present value (NPV), which represents <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all benefits minus <strong>the</strong>present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all costs;• Benefit cost ratio (BCR), which is <strong>the</strong> present value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits divided by <strong>the</strong> presentvalue <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> costs; and• Breakeven point, which indicates value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a critical variable required for <strong>the</strong> project to“breakeven” or return a NPV <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> zero.These decisi<strong>on</strong> criteria will allow <strong>the</strong> determinati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> most ec<strong>on</strong>omically desirableinvestment alternative, as well as <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits that can be expected to flow from<strong>the</strong> investment program. These results may be applied to future expenditure to identify<strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> return that may be expected.Due to <strong>the</strong> diverse nature <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> investment programs, not all investment programs will besuited to analysis within an ec<strong>on</strong>omic framework.FINAL REPORT 36Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryAppendix B: Input-Output AnalysisExplanati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> TermsOutputValue AddedIncomeEmploymentOutput refers to <strong>the</strong> gross value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> goods and services transacted, including <strong>the</strong> costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>goods and services used in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> or manufacture <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> final product. Outputimpacts generally overstate <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts as <strong>the</strong>y count all goods and servicesused in <strong>on</strong>e stage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> as an input to later stages <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong>, hence counting<strong>the</strong>ir c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> more than <strong>on</strong>ce.Value added refers to <strong>the</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> output after deducting <strong>the</strong> cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> goods and servicesinputs in <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> process. Value added defines <strong>the</strong> true net c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> made to<strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy or Gross Regi<strong>on</strong>al Product (GRP). The GRP impact is <strong>the</strong> preferred measurefor <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a project.The income impact measures <strong>the</strong> additi<strong>on</strong>al amount <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wages and salaries paid toemployees <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> industry under c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> and to o<strong>the</strong>r industries benefiting from <strong>the</strong>project.Employment refers to <strong>the</strong> number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> new part-time and full-time jobs created by <strong>the</strong>ec<strong>on</strong>omic shock, both directly and indirectly, and is expressed in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> full timeequivalent (FTE) positi<strong>on</strong>s.Limitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Input-Output AnalysisThe key limitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> input output analysis include:• The inputs purchased by each industry are a functi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> output <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>that industry. The input functi<strong>on</strong> is generally assumed linear and homogenous <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>degree <strong>on</strong>e (which implies c<strong>on</strong>stant returns to scale and no substituti<strong>on</strong> betweeninputs).• Each commodity (or group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> commodities) is supplied by a single industry or sector<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong>. This implies that <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e method used to produce eachcommodity and that each sector has <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e primary output.• The total effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> carrying <strong>on</strong> several types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong> is <strong>the</strong> sum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> separateeffects. This rules out external ec<strong>on</strong>omies and disec<strong>on</strong>omies and is known simply as<strong>the</strong> additivity assumpti<strong>on</strong>. This generally does not reflect real world operati<strong>on</strong>s.• The system is in equilibrium at given prices. This is not <strong>the</strong> case in an ec<strong>on</strong>omicsystem subject to external influences.• In <strong>the</strong> static input-output model, <strong>the</strong>re are no capacity c<strong>on</strong>straints so that <strong>the</strong> supply<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> each good is perfectly elastic. Each industry can supply whatever quantity isdemanded <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> it and <strong>the</strong>re are no capital restricti<strong>on</strong>s. This assumpti<strong>on</strong> would come intoplay depending up<strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> magnitude <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> changes in quantities demanded.FINAL REPORT 37Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryAppendix C: Survey InstrumentFINAL REPORT 38Job ID: 14166


SURVEY INSTRUMENT1. INTRODUCTIONAEC Group Limited, <strong>on</strong> behalf <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management Strategy and <strong>the</strong> Queensland Department<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources, Mines and Water (NRMW), is c<strong>on</strong>ducting this survey to identify <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic, social andenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in <strong>Australia</strong>.This survey is expected to take approximately 15 minutes to complete.All resp<strong>on</strong>ses to this survey are c<strong>on</strong>fidential. The results <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> analysis will be published by NRMW in late2006.Please complete and return your survey via <strong>the</strong> attached reply-paid envelope before:4 th <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> August, (Friday), 20062. LAND INFORMATIONQuesti<strong>on</strong>Yes/No2.1 Do you currently have lantana <strong>on</strong> your land?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure2.2 How l<strong>on</strong>g has lantana been <strong>on</strong> your land? (Years)2.3 Does lantana impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>:(please tick <strong>on</strong>ly 1)1 50 Years6 Unsure(a) Management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your business?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(b) Pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your business?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure2.4. Is your land/enterprise predominantly:(Tick <strong>the</strong> relevant box (Yes / No) for each land use AND fill in <strong>the</strong> area (ha) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> relevant land):Land Use Yes/No Area (ha)(a) Beef1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(b) Dairy1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(c) Mixed Cropping *1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(d) Nature Reserve, etc.1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(e) Commercial Plantati<strong>on</strong>1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(f) O<strong>the</strong>r (please specify)1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(g) Total Land Area (ha) N/A__________ha__________ha__________ha__________ha__________ha__________ha__________ha* Please note - If <strong>on</strong>ly “Cropping”, <strong>the</strong>n please c<strong>on</strong>tinue to Secti<strong>on</strong> 7 (Survey Close) – page 9.1


3. INFESTATION (EXTENT & DENSITY)3.1. Over <strong>the</strong> past 5 years has <strong>the</strong>re been any change in <strong>the</strong> area infested and density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>lantana infestati<strong>on</strong>?(Tick <strong>the</strong> relevant box for BOTH (a) area infested & (b) density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>):(a)(b)Area InfestedDensity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong>Stayed <strong>the</strong> Same Increased Decreased1 2 31 2 33.2. Of your total land area, by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, what percentage would you estimate iscurrently infested?(Please enter a % figure in all boxes)Descripti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> densities:(b) Light: Scattered lantana(c) Medium: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> starts to impede your ability to walk(d) Heavy: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> prohibits any movement(a)(b)(c)Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Infestati<strong>on</strong>Not InfestedLightMediumPercent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> TotalLand Area (%)%%%(d) Heavy %(e) Total % This column should sum to 100%3.3. Of your total land area, by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, what percentage would you estimate will beinfested in 5 years if current management/c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques are maintained?(Please enter a % figure in all boxes)Descripti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> densities:(b) Light: Scattered lantana(c) Medium: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> starts to impede your ability to walk(d) Heavy: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> prohibits any movement(a)(b)(c)Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Infestati<strong>on</strong>Not InfestedLightMediumPercent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> TotalLand Area (%)%%%(d) Heavy %(e) Total % This column should sum to 100%2


3.4. Of your total land area, by density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, what percentage would you estimate will beinfested in 20 years if current management/c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques are maintained?(Please enter a % figure in all boxes)Descripti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> densities:(b) Light: Scattered lantana(c) Medium: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> starts to impede your ability to walk(d) Heavy: <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> prohibits any movement(a)(b)(c)(d)Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Infestati<strong>on</strong>Not InfestedLightMediumHeavyPercent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> TotalLand Area (%)%%%%(e) Total % This column should sum to 100%3.5. If you ceased <strong>the</strong> current level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management and maintenance what proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> yourland do you think would be infested in:(Please enter a % figure in all boxes)(a)(b)(c)Time1 Year5 Years20 Years% Infested%%%4. CONTROL4.1. Do you actively c<strong>on</strong>trol <strong>the</strong> lantana in:(Tick <strong>the</strong> relevant box for each type <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> area c<strong>on</strong>trolled [a – f]):Type <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Area C<strong>on</strong>trolledYes/No(a) Producti<strong>on</strong> areas?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(b) N<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(c) Council land?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(d) Nati<strong>on</strong>al Park?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(e) Natural Reserve?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(f) O<strong>the</strong>r public areas?1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure3


4.2. If you c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas, why do you do so?(If no c<strong>on</strong>trol in N<strong>on</strong>-productive areas proceed to questi<strong>on</strong> 4.3)Reas<strong>on</strong> for C<strong>on</strong>trolYes/No(a) To prevent spread to productive areas1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(b) To maintain envir<strong>on</strong>ment1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(c) To meet legislative requirements1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure(d) O<strong>the</strong>r reas<strong>on</strong> (please specify in area below)1 Yes 2 No 3 UnsureO<strong>the</strong>r Reas<strong>on</strong>:4.3. If you do NOT c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas, why is this?Reas<strong>on</strong>:4


4.4. What sort <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques do you use in productive and/or n<strong>on</strong>-productive areas andwhich is most comm<strong>on</strong>ly used?(Tick <strong>the</strong> relevant box for each c<strong>on</strong>trol technique [a – f] and <strong>the</strong>n tick <strong>the</strong> (1) most comm<strong>on</strong>ly used):C<strong>on</strong>trol Technique Yes/No Most Comm<strong>on</strong>ly UsedC<strong>on</strong>trol Method(Tick <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e)(a) Mechanical1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 1(b) Chemical1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 2(c) Manual Labour1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 3(d) Fire1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 4(e) Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 5(f) O<strong>the</strong>r (please specify)1 Yes 2 No 3 Unsure 6Please specify o<strong>the</strong>r c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques:4.5. What do you estimate you currently spend, <strong>on</strong> average, <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling/maintaining lantanafor each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> following infestati<strong>on</strong> densities per year?(answer ei<strong>the</strong>r by ticking <strong>the</strong> relevant category in <strong>the</strong> $ / ha / yr column, OR in <strong>the</strong> Total $/year spent)Annual Per Hectare EstimateInfested Area$/ha/year$120OR Total $/year(a)Expenditure <strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>trol in LightInfestati<strong>on</strong>s1 2 3 4 5 6$_________(b)Expenditure <strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>trol inMedium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s1 2 3 4 5 6$_________(c)Expenditure <strong>on</strong> C<strong>on</strong>trol in HeavyInfestati<strong>on</strong>s1 2 3 4 5 6 $_________5


5. OTHER ECONOMIC IMPACTS5.1. Can you please indicate whe<strong>the</strong>r lantana impacts <strong>on</strong> your business in any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> followingways, and if it is a significant or insignificant impact in relati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> overall operati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>your business?(answer ei<strong>the</strong>r by indicating whe<strong>the</strong>r each impact [a – f) is:• Significant / Insignificant; AND• Tick <strong>the</strong> relevant category in <strong>the</strong> $ / ha / yr column; OR• Indicate <strong>the</strong> Total $/year).<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>Significant/Insignificant(S/I)$/ha/year$120Total $/yearProducti<strong>on</strong> Losses:(a) Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health SignificantInsignificant1 2 3 4 5 6$_________Unsure(b)Increased musteringcostsSignificantInsignificant1 2 3 4 5 6$_________Unsure(c)Reduced carryingcapacitySignificantInsignificant1 2 3 4 5 6$_________UnsureManagement/Operati<strong>on</strong>:(d)Increased maintenancecosts (clearing fences,tracks, firebreaks, etc –does not include c<strong>on</strong>trolcosts)SignificantInsignificantUnsure1 2 3 4 5 6$_________O<strong>the</strong>r:(e) Land value SignificantInsignificantUnsure1 2 3 4 5 6$_________(f) O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts SignificantInsignificantUnsure1 2 3 4 5 6$_________Please specify O<strong>the</strong>r Financial <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s:6


6. QUALITATIVE IMPACTS (TBL)6.1. Could you please rate <strong>the</strong> following statements regarding <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana,in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact that it currently has?(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined below for both positive and negative impacts)Rating Scale:0 No impact1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unlikely to be measurable or observable2 Detectable, but not significant3 Observable but localised impacts4 Observable wider and l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts5 Easily observed and irreversible impacts<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> Rating (0-5)(a)(b)(c)<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 5Restricts access (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 5Provides a benefit in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> improving soil for pasture renovati<strong>on</strong>(positive impact) 0 1 2 3 4 56.1.1 Are <strong>the</strong>re any o<strong>the</strong>r important factors that need to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered to evaluate <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omicimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana? If yes, how would you rate <strong>the</strong>m?(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined previously: Questi<strong>on</strong> 6.1 – this page)O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s Rating (0-5)(a)(b)(c)0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 56.2. Could you please rate <strong>the</strong> following statements regarding <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mental impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>lantana, in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact that it currently has(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined previously: Questi<strong>on</strong> 6.1 – this page)<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> Rating (0-5)(a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f)Removes and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> (negative impact)Displaces native animals (negative impact)Harbours feral animals (negative impact)Reduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land (negative impact)Stabilises soil and prevents erosi<strong>on</strong> (positive impact)Increases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 57


6.2.1 Are <strong>the</strong>re any o<strong>the</strong>r important factors that need to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered to evaluate <strong>the</strong>envir<strong>on</strong>mental impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana? If yes, how would you rate <strong>the</strong>m?(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined below for both positive and negative impacts)Rating Scale:0 No impact1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unlikely to be measurable or observable2 Detectable, but not significant3 Observable but localised impacts4 Observable wider and l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts5 Easily observed and irreversible impacts(a)(b)(c)O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s Rating (0-5)0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 56.3. Could you please rate <strong>the</strong> following statements regarding <strong>the</strong> social impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana, interms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact that it currently has(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined previously: Questi<strong>on</strong> 6.2.1 – this page)(a)(b)(c)(d)<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> Rating (0-5)Reduces <strong>the</strong> scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 5Restricts <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 5Increases your management stress (negative impact)0 1 2 3 4 5Is aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing (positive impact)0 1 2 3 4 56.3.1 Are <strong>the</strong>re any o<strong>the</strong>r important factors that need to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered to evaluate <strong>the</strong> socialimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> lantana? If yes, how would you rate <strong>the</strong>m?(use <strong>the</strong> rating scale outlined previously: Questi<strong>on</strong> 6.2.1 – this page)(a)(b)(c)O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s Rating (0-5)0 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 50 1 2 3 4 58


7. SURVEY CLOSE7.1. Please complete <strong>the</strong> following stakeholder informati<strong>on</strong>.Please note all informati<strong>on</strong> provided is c<strong>on</strong>fidential and is unable to be traced back to <strong>the</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>dent.Descripti<strong>on</strong>(a) State1 Queensland(b)(c)(d)Local Government Area (Council)PostcodeAge <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> farm manager (years)(e) Indicative annual farm turnover ($)2 NSWInput________________________________________________________________________________7.2. Are <strong>the</strong>re any o<strong>the</strong>r issues that you would like to raise regarding <strong>the</strong> management andc<strong>on</strong>trol lantana or its impacts?Please specify o<strong>the</strong>r issues/impacts:Thank you for your assistance in completing this survey.Please return in <strong>the</strong> supplied reply paid envelopeORaddress to: AEC Group Ltd, Reply Paid Box 5804 MC, Townsville QLD 4810 (no stamp required)ORFax - for <strong>the</strong> “Attenti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ashley Page” <strong>on</strong> (07) 3831 3899.For clarificati<strong>on</strong> or additi<strong>on</strong>al comment regarding this survey or project, please c<strong>on</strong>tact:Ashley PageResource Ec<strong>on</strong>omist (AEC Group Ltd)PO Box 942Spring Hill QLD 4004Ph<strong>on</strong>e: (07) 3831 0577Fax: (07) 3831 3899Email: ashley@aecgroupltd.comCopyright © 2006 AECgroup Ltd – RP: 2006_14166«id» Level 5, 131 Leichhardt St T: +61 – 7 – 3831 0577SPRING HILL QLD 4000 F: +61 – 7 – 3831 3899FOR ANY QUERIES – PLEASE CONTACT:– Mr Ashley Page (Resource Ec<strong>on</strong>omist) PO BOX 942 E: ashley@aecgroupltd.comTOWNSVILLE • BRISBANE • S Y D N E Y SPRING HILL QLD 4004 W: www.aecgroupltd.com


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>Australia</strong>n</strong> Grazing IndustryAppendix D: Survey Analysis & ResultsFINAL REPORT 39Job ID: 14166


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland:Survey ResultsSurvey Findings ReportDepartment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources &Water


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsC<strong>on</strong>tentsCONTENTS .......................................................................................................... IEXECUTIVE SUMMARY........................................................................................II1. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................... 11.1 PURPOSE OF STUDY........................................................................................... 11.2 METHODOLOGY AND PROCESS ............................................................................... 11.3 SAMPLE SIZE AND CONFIDENCE INTERVAL ................................................................. 11.4 SURVEY CONTENT............................................................................................. 12. SURVEY RESULTS ........................................................................................ 22.1 LANDHOLDER .................................................................................................. 22.1.1 LAND INFORMATION ................................................................................................. 22.1.2 INFESTATION (EXTENT & DENSITY) .............................................................................. 42.1.3 CONTROL 52.1.4 OTHER ECONOMIC IMPACTS........................................................................................ 72.1.5 QUALITATIVE IMPACTS (TRIPLE BOTTOM LINE) ................................................................. 92.1.6 LANDHOLDER DETAILS .............................................................................................102.2 LAND PROTECTION OFFICER (LPO) SURVEY ANALYSIS................................................. 112.2.1 CONTROL 132.2.2 OTHER ECONOMIC IMPACTS.......................................................................................142.2.3 QUALITATIVE IMPACTS (TBL) ....................................................................................15Draft v1.0Job ID: 14233i


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsExecutive SummaryThe following comments and dot points c<strong>on</strong>solidate <strong>the</strong> findings <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> analysis.Resp<strong>on</strong>dent MixThe following percentages indicate <strong>the</strong> range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> enterprises/ land use activities <strong>the</strong>resp<strong>on</strong>dents were engaged in:• 60.9% beef;• 30.6% nature/ reserve;• 9.8% mixed cropping;• 8.0% commercial plantati<strong>on</strong>; and• 4.9% dairy.76.6% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholder resp<strong>on</strong>dents were from Queensland and 23.4% were from NSW.Infestati<strong>on</strong> (Extent and Density)For landholders undertaking c<strong>on</strong>trol measures <strong>on</strong> average:• The area infested is decreasing; and• However, <strong>the</strong> density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> infestati<strong>on</strong> is increasing.With <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing c<strong>on</strong>trol efforts, landholders expect to reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>infestati<strong>on</strong> over <strong>the</strong> next five years or so, with little progress made bey<strong>on</strong>d that time.With <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> existing c<strong>on</strong>trol efforts, whilst <strong>the</strong> total infested area is expectedto decrease, <strong>the</strong> density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> is expected to increase, as indicated by a:• Slight reducti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> area infested over <strong>the</strong> next five years, with little changebey<strong>on</strong>d that;• Reducti<strong>on</strong> in <strong>the</strong> areas ‘light’ infestati<strong>on</strong>;• Little change in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘medium’ infestati<strong>on</strong>; and• Increase in areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>.Those actively c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> expect to have reduce <strong>the</strong> area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>.Cost/Financial <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>Landholders spend <strong>on</strong> average c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>:• In light infestati<strong>on</strong>s approximately:o $44.00/ha in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $3.70/ha over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• In medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s approximately:o $62.60/ha in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $8.20/ha over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• In heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s approximately:o $75.10/ha in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $10.8/ha over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.Landholders appear to spend significantly more in both <strong>the</strong> treatment area and per area<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> than Government agencies.The impact <strong>on</strong> land values <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> having <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> appears to be disproporti<strong>on</strong>ably spread over<strong>the</strong> entire property value, perhaps due to <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong>.Draft v1.0Job ID: 14233ii


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results1. Introducti<strong>on</strong>1.1 Purpose <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> StudyThe AECgroup were commissi<strong>on</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources and Water(NRW) to undertake an assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> camara and<str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>tevidensis (collectively referred to as <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>) in Queensland to provideinformati<strong>on</strong> for policy development and funding decisi<strong>on</strong>s.The purpose <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> survey is to provide quantifiable data <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> impacts and issuesassociated with <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> and its subsequent c<strong>on</strong>trol in Queensland (QLD) and New SouthWales (NSW). The informati<strong>on</strong> will be used by NRW to assess <strong>the</strong> costs and benefits <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> producti<strong>on</strong>, natural areas and o<strong>the</strong>r public areas.1.2 Methodology and ProcessA database <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tact details <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders and key stakeholders were made available to<strong>the</strong> AECgroup by NRW at <strong>the</strong> commencement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> project.The following five-step process was utilised in <strong>the</strong> facilitati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> survey:1. Development: A mail-out survey was designed in c<strong>on</strong>juncti<strong>on</strong> with NRW.2. Recruitment: Teleph<strong>on</strong>e calls were c<strong>on</strong>ducted during August 2006 to invitelandholders with <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> to participate in <strong>the</strong> mail-out survey.3. Mail Out: The mail out survey was distributed to those landholders in QLD and NSWregi<strong>on</strong> who agreed to participate in <strong>the</strong> survey.4. Follow Up: Teleph<strong>on</strong>e reminders were undertaken to encourage a higher resp<strong>on</strong>serate.5. Analysis: Survey results were processed using <strong>the</strong> relati<strong>on</strong>al database s<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>tware,SPSS and Micros<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>t Access.1.3 Sample Size and C<strong>on</strong>fidence IntervalThe survey was sent to 502 landholders in QLD and NSW regi<strong>on</strong>, with 385 resp<strong>on</strong>sesreceived, which equates to a resp<strong>on</strong>se rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 76.7%. Of those 385 resp<strong>on</strong>ses received,376 resp<strong>on</strong>ses were recorded and analysed, which delivers a c<strong>on</strong>fidence interval <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>approximately +/- 4.9% 1 . Nine (9) resp<strong>on</strong>ses were excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis due tolandholders indicating that <strong>the</strong>y no l<strong>on</strong>ger have <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land and partialcompleti<strong>on</strong>.1.4 Survey C<strong>on</strong>tentThe survey included questi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong>:• Distributi<strong>on</strong>;• Rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> spread;• Types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits and costs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> across ec<strong>on</strong>omic, social and envir<strong>on</strong>mentalimpacts (including c<strong>on</strong>trol costs); and• Quantificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> benefits and costs, with a view <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> identifying per hectare values.The survey instrument is attached as Appendix A.1Calculated <strong>on</strong> an average <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 7,500 landholder populati<strong>on</strong>, assuming that between 5,000-10,000landholders are in QLD and NSW.Draft v1.0 1Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results2. Survey Results2.1 Landholder2.1.1 Land Informati<strong>on</strong>A high proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholders have had <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land for:• 20-50 years (31.1%);• More than 50 years (26.6%); and• 10-20 years (13.6%).However, this could also be representative <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> length <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land ownership/management.Table 2.1: How L<strong>on</strong>g Has <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Been <strong>on</strong> Your Land (Q 2.2)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)No resp<strong>on</strong>se 1.1%50 Years 26.6%Unsure 22.6%Total 100.0%The majority (57.7%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has an impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir business, while 35.6% did not c<strong>on</strong>sider that <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacted <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong>ir management.Table 2.2: Does <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> Management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Your Business (Q2.3a)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)No resp<strong>on</strong>se 4.3%Yes 57.7%No 35.6%Unsure 2.4%Total 100.0%A high proporti<strong>on</strong> (49.5%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacts <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong>ir business. However, 41.0% did not c<strong>on</strong>sider that <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacted <strong>on</strong> businesspr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it.Table 2.3: Does <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> Pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>it <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Your Business (Q2.3b)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)No resp<strong>on</strong>se 5.1%Yes 49.5%No 41.0%Unsure 4.5%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 2Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsA high proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents reported that <strong>the</strong>ir land/enterprise is predominantly:• Beef (60.9%);• Nature, Reserve (30.6%); and• Mixed cropping (9.8%).A small proporti<strong>on</strong> (4.8%) have dairy <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir land.Table 2.4: Is Your Land/Enterprise Predominantly (Q2.4):Resp<strong>on</strong>se Yes (%)Beef 60.9%Dairy 4.8%Mixed Cropping 9.8%Nature, Reserve 30.6%Commercial Plantati<strong>on</strong> 8.0%O<strong>the</strong>r 29.3%Note: Total will not sum to 100% as resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated more than <strong>on</strong>e activity.O<strong>the</strong>r comm<strong>on</strong>ly specified land use include:• Private/residential (23.6%);• Native forest/bush (10.9%); and• Horse (5.5%).Table 2.5: O<strong>the</strong>r Specified (Q2.4 specified)Resp<strong>on</strong>se Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)Private/Residential 23.6%No Resp<strong>on</strong>se 20.0%Native forest/Bush 10.9%Horse 5.5%Orchard 1.8%Hobby Farm 1.8%Community Educati<strong>on</strong> 1.8%Nursery Plant Stock 1.8%House Agestment 0.9%Sugar Cane 0.9%Macadamia 0.9%Deer Grazing 0.9%Irrigated Pasteur 0.9%Nursery 0.9%C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee Grazing 0.9%Living and Working Area 0.9%N<strong>on</strong> commercial grazing 0.9%Fruit tree 0.9%Tourism 0.9%Floriculture 0.9%Boat building Accommodati<strong>on</strong> 0.9%Roads and sheds 0.9%Sheep 0.9%Timber 0.9%Horticulture 0.9%Unproductive 0.9%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 3Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results2.1.2 Infestati<strong>on</strong> (Extent & Density)A higher proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents indicated that over <strong>the</strong> past five years• The area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> has decreased (46.2%); and• The density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong> has increased (39.2%). However, this was <strong>on</strong>lymarginally greater than <strong>the</strong> decrease in density (37.5%).This indicates that where <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is actively c<strong>on</strong>trolled, its spread can be prevented,however, where it exists, density is most likely to increase.Table 2.6: Over <strong>the</strong> Past 5 Years, Has There Been Any Change in <strong>the</strong> Area Infested andDensity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong> (Q 3.1)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Stayed <strong>the</strong> Same (%) Increased (%) Decreased (%) TotalArea Infested 23.0% 30.8% 46.2% 100.0%Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong> 23.3% 39.2% 37.5% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>ses’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ is 1.6% in area infested and 6.4% indensity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infestati<strong>on</strong>.On average, resp<strong>on</strong>dents estimated that:• 51.1% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir total land area is not infested;• 22.6% is heavily infested;• 15.8% is medium; and• 10.5% is heavily infested.Table 2.7: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate is Currently Infested (Q3.2)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Total Land Area (%)Not Infested 51.1%Light 22.6%Medium 15.8%Heavy 10.5%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.On average, resp<strong>on</strong>dents estimated that in five years time, if currentmanagement/c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques are maintained:• 56.5% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir total land area would not be infested;• 20.4% would be lightly infested;• 12.3% would be medium; and• 10.8% would be heavily infested.Table 2.8: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate Will be Infested in 5 Years if Current Management/C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques areMaintained (Q3.3)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Total Land Area (%)Not Infested 56.5%Light 20.4%Medium 12.3%Heavy 10.8%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.Draft v1.0 4Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOn average, resp<strong>on</strong>dents estimated that in 20 years time, if current management/c<strong>on</strong>troltechniques are maintained:• 57.6% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir total land area would not be infested;• 15.1% would be lightly infested;• 14.7% would be medium; and• 12.7% would be heavily infested.Table 2.9: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate Will be Infested in 20 Years if Current Management/C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques areMaintained (Q3.4)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Total Land Area (%)Not Infested 57.6%Light 15.1%Medium 14.7%Heavy 12.7%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.On average, resp<strong>on</strong>dents estimated that if <strong>the</strong>y ceased <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management andmaintenance:• 38.5% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land would be infested in 1 year;• 44.4% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land would be infested in 5 years; and• 58.8% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir land would be infested in 20 years.Table 2.10: If You Ceased <strong>the</strong> Level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management and maintenance, What Proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Your Land Do You Think Would Be Infested in (Q3.5)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Total Land Area (%)1 Year 38.5%5 Years 44.4%20 Years 58.8%Note: Potential resp<strong>on</strong>dent error as infestati<strong>on</strong> in <strong>on</strong>e year is, <strong>on</strong> average, less than in previousquesti<strong>on</strong>s.2.1.3 C<strong>on</strong>trolThe most comm<strong>on</strong> areas <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> are in:• Producti<strong>on</strong> areas (71.8%);• N<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas (58.8%);• Adjoining Council land (26.6%); and• Natural Reserve (21.8%).Table 2.11: Do you Actively C<strong>on</strong>trol <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in (Q4.1)?Yes (%)Producti<strong>on</strong> areas 71.8%N<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas 58.8%Council land 26.6%Nati<strong>on</strong>al Park 4.8%Natural Reserve 21.8%O<strong>the</strong>r public areas 11.7%Draft v1.0 5Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOf those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in n<strong>on</strong>-producti<strong>on</strong> areas:• The majority (82.8%) do so to maintain <strong>the</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>ment;• 77.8% do so to prevent spread to productive areas;• 9.0% do so to meet legislative requirements; and• 24.0% nominating ‘o<strong>the</strong>r’ reas<strong>on</strong>s.Table 2.12: If you C<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in N<strong>on</strong>-Producti<strong>on</strong> Areas, Why Do You Do So (Q4.2)?Yes (%)To prevent spread to productive areas 77.8%To maintain envir<strong>on</strong>ment 82.8%To meet legislative requirements 9.0%O<strong>the</strong>r reas<strong>on</strong> 24.0%The most frequently nominated c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques used in productive and/or n<strong>on</strong>productiveareas include:• Chemical (78.7%);• Manual Labour (69.9%); and• Mechanical (54.0%).Table 2.13: What Sort <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques do you use in Productive and/orN<strong>on</strong>-Productive Areas (Q4.4)?Yes (%)Mechanical 54.0%Chemical 78.7%Manual Labour 69.9%Fire 30.1%Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol 10.1%O<strong>the</strong>r 3.5%The most comm<strong>on</strong> method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is:• Chemical (34.3%); and• Manual labour (26.1%).Table 2.14: Which is <strong>the</strong> Most Comm<strong>on</strong> Method (Q4.4)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Most Comm<strong>on</strong> MethodNot Indicated 23.4%Mechanical 13.3%Chemical 34.3%Manual Labour 26.1%Fire 2.9%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 6Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOf those resp<strong>on</strong>dents that indicated a cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling/maintaining <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, <strong>on</strong>average, a high proporti<strong>on</strong> currently spend:• Less than $5 per ha per year <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s (26.8%);• Less than $5 per ha per year <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s(18.6%); and• More than $120 per ha per year (30.6% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents) <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> inheavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Table 2.15: What do you Estimate you Currently Spend, <strong>on</strong> Average, <strong>on</strong>C<strong>on</strong>trolling/Maintaining <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> for each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Following Infestati<strong>on</strong> DensitiesPer Year (Q4.5)?$120 TotalLight Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 26.8% 21.6% 15.0% 15.5% 8.0% 13.1% 100.0%Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 18.6% 15.7% 16.4% 13.6% 15.0% 20.7% 100.0%Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 22.4% 14.9% 6.7% 14.2% 11.2% 30.6% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>ses’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ is 43.4% in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s,62.8% in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s and 64.4% in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Table 2.15 shows <strong>the</strong> spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omic expenditure in infested areas. Table 2.16highlights <strong>the</strong> difference between expenditure in <strong>the</strong> treatment site and <strong>the</strong> total infestedarea.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $44.00 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $3.70 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $62.60 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $8.00 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $75.10 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $10.80 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.Table 2.16: Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/Ha/Yr) (Q 4.5)Average Cost/Treatment Area($/ha/yr)Average Cost Over InfestedArea ($/ha/yr)Light Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $44.00 $3.70Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $62.60 $8.00Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $75.10 $10.802.1.4 O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sOn <strong>the</strong> balance, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> those resp<strong>on</strong>dents answering this questi<strong>on</strong>, <strong>the</strong> majority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>landholders c<strong>on</strong>sider that <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has a significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact <strong>on</strong> ‘increasedmaintenance costs’ 48.9%.Just under half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents c<strong>on</strong>sidered that <strong>the</strong> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘reduced carrying capacity’also had a significant impact.Of those resp<strong>on</strong>dents answering this questi<strong>on</strong>, a relatively high proporti<strong>on</strong> recorded <strong>the</strong>following as having insignificant ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts:• Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (67.8%);• Increased mustering costs (77.0%);• O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (48.7%);• Reduced carrying capacity (48.1%); and• Land value (44.6%).Draft v1.0 7Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsTable 2.17: Can You Please Indicate Whe<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is a Significant or Insignificant<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Relati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> Overall Operati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Your Business (Q5.1)?Significant Insignificant Unsure TotalProducti<strong>on</strong> Losses:Stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health 21.3% 67.8% 10.9% 100.0%Increased mustering costs 18.1% 77.0% 4.9% 100.0%Reduced carrying capacity 45.8% 48.1% 6.1% 100.0%Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs 48.9% 44.5% 6.6% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value 37.2% 44.6% 18.2% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts 20.8% 48.7% 30.5% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ was recorded for stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (31.6%), increased mustering costs (35.4%), reduced carrying capacity (29.8%), increasedmaintenance costs (27.7%), land value (24.2%), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (47.6%).Of those resp<strong>on</strong>dents answering this questi<strong>on</strong>, <strong>the</strong> predominant number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> landholdersestimate <strong>the</strong>y currently incur a cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> less than $5/ha/yr from <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> for:• Increased mustering costs (62.5%);• Stock/pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (57.7%);• O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (57.6%);• Land value (35.8%); and• Increased maintenance costs (30.7%).Table 2.18: Can You Please Indicate Whe<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s On Your Business in Any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>the</strong> Following Ways (Q5.1)?$120 Total$60 $120Producti<strong>on</strong> LossesStock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health 57.7% 17.9% 2.6% 5.1% 3.8% 12.8% 100.0%Increased mustering costs 62.5% 15.3% 2.8% 6.9% 1.4% 11.1% 100.0%Reduced carrying capacity 30.1% 18.3% 15.1% 9.7% 7.5% 19.4% 100.0%Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs (does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs) 30.7% 21.6% 10.2% 14.8% 9.1% 13.6% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value 35.8% 9.0% 11.9% 7.5% 9.0% 26.9% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts 57.6% 15.2% 6.1% 9.1% 3.0% 9.1% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ was recorded for stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health (79.3%), increased mustering costs (80.9%), reduced carrying capacity (75.3%), increasedmaintenance costs (76.6%), land value (82.2%), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (91.2%).Table 2.18 shows <strong>the</strong> spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omic impacts in infested areas. Table 2.19highlights <strong>the</strong> difference between impacts in infested areas and impacts <strong>on</strong> a wholeproperty basis.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health is:o $32.70 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $3.20 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to increased mustering costs is:o $28.10 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $0.60 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.Draft v1.0 8Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to reduced carrying capacity is:o $51.90 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $4.00 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to increased maintenance costs is:o $44.60 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $1.20 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to land value is:o $64.30 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $42.40 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts is:o $27.50 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $1.70 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.Table 2.19: Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/ Ha/Yr) (Q5.1)Average Cost/Over Infested Area($/ha/yr)Average Cost OverTotal Property Area($/ha/yr)Producti<strong>on</strong> LossesStock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/health $32.70 $3.2Increased mustering costs $28.10 $0.60Reduced carrying capacity $51.90 $4.00Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs (does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs) $44.60 $1.20O<strong>the</strong>r:Land value $64.30 $42.40O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts $27.50 $4.70Note: Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents for ‘Average Cost Over Infested Area’ and ‘Average Cost Over TotalProperty Area’ for each item was as follows: stock pois<strong>on</strong>ing/ health (78 and 54), increasedmustering costs (72 and 29), reduced carrying capacity (93 and 64), increased maintenance costs(88 and 74), land value (67 and 26), o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts (33 and 11).2.1.5 Qualitative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (Triple Bottom Line)The below rating scale used to rate <strong>the</strong> impacts outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Rating Scale:0 No impact;1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unlikely to be measurable or observable;2 Detectable, but not significant;3 Observable but localised impacts;4 Observable wider and l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts; and5 Easily observed and irreversible impacts.Draft v1.0 9Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsTable 2.20: TBL <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (Q6)Weighted TBL AspectAverageNegative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sRemoves and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> 3.6 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.4 SocialRestricts <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans 3.4 SocialHarbours feral animals 3.4 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalIncreases your management stress 3.3 SocialRestricts access 3.3 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Increases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire 3.0 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalDisplaces native animals 2.9 Envir<strong>on</strong>mental<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism 2.7 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Positive <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sStabilises soil and prevents erosi<strong>on</strong> 2.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalIs aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing 2.3 SocialProvides a benefit in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> improving soil for pasture renovati<strong>on</strong> 2.1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>2.1.6 Landholder DetailsThe greatest proporti<strong>on</strong> (28.7%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents were aged 50-59 years, followed by 60-69 years (25.5%) and 10-49 years (17.3%).Table 2.21: Age (Q7.1d)Age %No resp<strong>on</strong>se 10.9%20 – 29 years 0.3%30 – 39 years 5.3%40 – 49 years 17.3%50 – 59 years 28.7%60-69 years 25.5%70+ years 12.0%Total 100.0%A total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 288 landholder surveys were returned from Queensland while a total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 88landholder surveys were returned from NSW.Table 2.22: State (Q7.1a)State (%)Queensland 76.6%New South Wales 23.4%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 10Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results2.2 Land Protecti<strong>on</strong> Officer (LPO) Survey AnalysisThe majority <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents have had <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir management area for:• Over 50 years (40.0%);• 20-50 years (28.0%); and• 10-20 years (24.0%).Table 2.23: How L<strong>on</strong>g Has <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Been <strong>on</strong> Your Management Area (Q2.2)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)50 Years 40.0%Unsure 4.0%Total 100.0%The size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> LPO land management area ranged from 290 ha to 725,000 ha.Table 2.24: What is <strong>the</strong> Size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Your Land Management Area (Q2.4)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se (ha) Proporti<strong>on</strong> (%)No Resp<strong>on</strong>se 4.0%290 4.0%3,425 4.0%20,000 4.0%25,000 4.0%40,000 4.0%45,000 4.0%55,000 8.0%60,000 4.0%65,000 4.0%79,000 4.0%100,000 12.0%110,000 4.0%160,000 4.0%166,000 4.0%200,000 4.0%222,000 4.0%230,000 4.0%260,000 4.0%280,000 4.0%315,000 4.0%725,000 4.0%Total 100.0%Of <strong>the</strong> resp<strong>on</strong>dents that answered this questi<strong>on</strong>, a high proporti<strong>on</strong> indicated that over <strong>the</strong>past five years, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has increased in both density and infestati<strong>on</strong>.Table 2.25: Over <strong>the</strong> Past 5 Years, Has There Been Any Change in <strong>the</strong> Area Infested andDensity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong> (Q3.1)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Stayed <strong>the</strong> Same (%) Increased (%) Decreased (%) TotalArea Infested 17.4% 56.5% 26.1% 100.0%Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Infestati<strong>on</strong> 27.3% 40.9% 31.8% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>ses’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ is 8.0% in area infested and 12.0%in density if infestati<strong>on</strong>.Draft v1.0 11Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOn average LPOs estimate that:• 85.3% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir management area is not infested;• 7.1% is lightly infested;• 5.5% is infested in a medium nature; and• 2.5% is heavily infested.Table 2.26: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate is Currently Infested (q3.2)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Total Land Area – Average (%)Not Infested 85.3%Light 7.1%Medium 5.5%Heavy 2.5%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.On average, LPOs estimate that in 5-years time, if current management/c<strong>on</strong>troltechniques are maintained:• 83.9% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir management area would not be infested;• 7.7% would be lightly infested;• 5.8% would be medium; and• 2.6% would be heavily infested.Table 2.27: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate Will be Infested in 5 Years if Current Management/C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques areMaintained (Q3.3)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Total Land Area - Average (%)Not Infested 83.9%Light 7.7%Medium 5.8%Heavy 2.6%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.On average, LPOs estimate that in 20-years time, if current management/c<strong>on</strong>troltechniques are maintained is:• 80.9% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir management area would not be infested;• 8.9% would be lightly infested;• 6.1% would be infested in a medium nature; and• 4.1% would be heavily infested.Table 2.28: Of Your Total Land Area, by Density <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, What Percentage Would YouEstimate Will be Infested in 20 Years if Current Management/C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques areMaintained (Q3.4)?Resp<strong>on</strong>se Percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Total Land Area - Average (%)Not Infested 80.9%Light 8.9%Medium 6.1%Heavy 4.1%Total 100.0%Note: Only includes those resp<strong>on</strong>dents who answered Q3.2,Q3.3 and Q3.4 to ensure c<strong>on</strong>sistency <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>results.Draft v1.0 12Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOn average, LPOs estimated that if <strong>the</strong>y ceased <strong>the</strong> level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> management andmaintenance tomorrow:• 15.1% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> management area would be infested in 1 year;• 17.9% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> management area would be infested in 5 years; and• 22.2% would be infested in 20 years.Table 2.29: If <strong>the</strong> Current Level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Management and Maintenance Activities CeasedTomorrow, What Proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Total Land Area You are Resp<strong>on</strong>sible For, Do You ThinkWould Be Infested in (Q3.5):Resp<strong>on</strong>se Percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Total Land Area - Average (%)1 Year 15.1%5 Years 17.9%20 Years 22.2%2.2.1 C<strong>on</strong>trolFrequently nominated c<strong>on</strong>trol techniques used in c<strong>on</strong>trolling <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in productive and/orn<strong>on</strong>-productive areas include:• Chemical (84.0% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents);• Manual Labour (68.0% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents); and• Fire (60.0% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> resp<strong>on</strong>dents).Table 2.30: What Sort <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol Techniques Do You Use in Productive and/orN<strong>on</strong>-Productive Areas (Q4.4)?Yes (%)Mechanical 44.0%Chemical 84.0%Manual Labour 68.0%Fire 60.0%Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol 52.0%O<strong>the</strong>r 0.0%The most comm<strong>on</strong>ly nominated method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trolling/maintaining <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> is chemicalc<strong>on</strong>trol (60.0%).Table 2.31: Which is <strong>the</strong> Most Comm<strong>on</strong> Method (Q4.4)?Most Comm<strong>on</strong> MethodNot Indicated 28.0%Chemical 60.0%Manual Labour 4.0%Fire 4.0%Biological C<strong>on</strong>trol 4.0%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 13Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsOf those LPOs nominating an investment amount for <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol/maintenance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>,<strong>the</strong> estimated expenditure <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol is most comm<strong>on</strong>ly less than $5 per ha per year inlight, medium and heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Table 2.32: What Do you Estimate you Currently Spend, On Average, <strong>on</strong>C<strong>on</strong>trolling/Maintaining <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> for each <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Following Infestati<strong>on</strong> DensitiesPer Year (Q4.5)?$120 TotalLight Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 72.7% 0.0% 18.2% 0.0% 9.1% 0.0% 100.0%Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 70.0% 10.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s 70.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%Note: Does not include ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>ses’. Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘no resp<strong>on</strong>se’ is 56.0% in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s, 60.0% inmedium infestati<strong>on</strong>s and 60.0% in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s.Table 2.33 shows <strong>the</strong> spread <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> impacts in infested areas. Table 2.34 highlights <strong>the</strong>difference between impacts in infested areas and those across a wider management area.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in light infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $14.10 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $0.40 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in medium infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $7.30 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area; ando $1.40 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in heavy infestati<strong>on</strong>s is:o $9.50 in <strong>the</strong> treatment area: ando $1.70 over <strong>the</strong> total area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> infested land.Table 2.33: Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/ Ha/Yr) (Q4.5)?Average Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Treatment Area($/ha/yr)Average Cost Over Infested Area($/ha/yr)Light Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $14.10 $0.40Medium Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $7.30 $1.40Heavy Infestati<strong>on</strong>s $9.50 $1.702.2.2 O<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sA relatively high proporti<strong>on</strong> (55.0%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> LPOs recorded increased maintenance costs ashaving a significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic impact, and did not appear to c<strong>on</strong>sider o<strong>the</strong>r financialimpacts as significant.Table 2.34: Can You Please Indicate Whe<strong>the</strong>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> Following <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s,and if it is a Significant or Insignificant <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> in relati<strong>on</strong> to Your Overall Operati<strong>on</strong>alTasks (Q5.1)?SignificantInsignificantUnsure TotalManagement/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs (does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs) 55.0% 35.0% 10.0% 100.0%O<strong>the</strong>r:O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts 9.1% 36.4% 54.5% 100.0%Draft v1.0 14Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey ResultsTable 2.35 highlights <strong>the</strong> differences between impacts in <strong>the</strong> infested areas and impactsacross <strong>the</strong> wider management area.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to increased maintenance costs is:o $30.50 in <strong>the</strong> infested area; ando $0.10 over <strong>the</strong> total property area.• The cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol per ha in relati<strong>on</strong> to o<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts is:o $2.50 in <strong>the</strong> infested area.Table 2.35: Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>trol ($/Ha/Yr) (Q5.1)Average Cost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Treatment Areal($/ha/yr)Average Cost OverInfested Area($/ha/yr)Management/Operati<strong>on</strong>:Increased maintenance costs (does not include c<strong>on</strong>trol costs) $30.50 $0.10O<strong>the</strong>r:O<strong>the</strong>r financial impacts $2.50 N/A2.2.3 Qualitative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (TBL)The below rating scale used to rate <strong>the</strong> impacts outlined in <strong>the</strong> following table.Rating Scale:0 No impact;1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> is unlikely to be measurable or observable;2 Detectable, but not significant;3 Observable but localised impacts;4 Observable wider and l<strong>on</strong>ger term impacts; and5 Easily observed and irreversible impacts.Table 2.36: Could you please rate <strong>the</strong> following statements regarding <strong>the</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omicimpacts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g>, in terms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> impact that it currently has?Weighted TBL AspectAverageNegative <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sRemoves and/or replaces native vegetati<strong>on</strong> 3.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.5 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalReduces <strong>the</strong> scenic amenity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> your land 3.2 SocialRestricts <strong>the</strong> movements <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals/humans 3.2 SocialHarbours feral animals 3.0 Envir<strong>on</strong>mental<str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>s negatively <strong>on</strong> tourism 2.1 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Restricts access 2.7 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>Displaces native animals 2.7 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalIncreases your management stress 2.7 SocialIncreases <strong>the</strong> risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire 2.9 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalPositive <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g>sIs aes<strong>the</strong>tically pleasing 2.3 SocialStabilises soil and prevents erosi<strong>on</strong> 2.4 Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalAdditi<strong>on</strong>al ec<strong>on</strong>omic factors raised in <strong>the</strong> survey resp<strong>on</strong>ses to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered in <strong>the</strong>evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> include:• C<strong>on</strong>trol efforts - use funds that could be spent elsewhere;• Increase in o<strong>the</strong>r weed species;• Grassing;Draft v1.0 15Job ID: 14233


<str<strong>on</strong>g>Ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> in Queensland – Survey Results• <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> has some positive habitat;• Biodiversity protecti<strong>on</strong>; and• Fire C<strong>on</strong>trol.Additi<strong>on</strong>al envir<strong>on</strong>mental factors raised in <strong>the</strong> survey resp<strong>on</strong>ses to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered in <strong>the</strong>evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> include:• Provide habitat for some native species (positive);• Potential to increase severity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> fire;• Diversity;• Increase in o<strong>the</strong>r weed species;• Prevents regrowth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> certain rainforest species; and• Climate change.Additi<strong>on</strong>al social factors raised in <strong>the</strong> survey resp<strong>on</strong>ses to be c<strong>on</strong>sidered in <strong>the</strong> evaluati<strong>on</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Lantana</str<strong>on</strong>g> include:• Respect for c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> employees within community;• Community percepti<strong>on</strong> that reserved land managers can not manage effectively;and• Local neighbour c<strong>on</strong>cern to infestati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> reserve.A total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 19 LPO surveys were received from QLD and a total <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 6 LPO surveys werereceived for NSW.Table 2.37: StateState (%)Queensland 76.0%New South Wales 24.0%Total 100.0%The table below lists <strong>the</strong> LPO management regi<strong>on</strong>s from which resp<strong>on</strong>ses were obtained.Table 2.38: Management Regi<strong>on</strong>Regi<strong>on</strong> %Burnett, Bundaberg City, Kolan, Perry 4.0%Caloundra Caboolture 4.0%Caloundra Maroochy 4.0%Clerm<strong>on</strong>t, Belyando Shire 4.0%C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fs Harbour, Bellinger, Nambucca 4.0%Gold coast 4.0%Dec Pwd 4.0%Isis, Burnett 4.0%Mackay, Mirani, Sarina, Broadsound 4.0%Maroochy, Cooloola, Kilcoy 4.0%Maryborough 4.0%Maryborough and Hervey Bay 4.0%Miriam Vale 4.0%M<strong>on</strong> Repos C/P 4.0%M<strong>on</strong>to 8.0%Mundubbera, Eidsvold, Gayndah 4.0%New England 4.0%Pine Rivers 4.0%Shoalhaven & Kiama 4.0%Warwick 4.0%Total 100.0%Draft v1.0 16Job ID: 14233

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