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Credit Risk Models Based on Time Changed Brownian Motion - ICMS

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C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>1 By taking Lt = X Gt with different time changes G t , <strong>on</strong>e has a richvariety of generalized Black-Cox models;2 With the simple idea of shared time-change, an interesting andcomputable “<strong>on</strong>e-factor” multifirm correlati<strong>on</strong> structure emerges.3 The extensi<strong>on</strong> to include equity is compatible with well-studiedstock price models like the VG, NIG and stochastic volatilitymodels;4 With t (2) , the martingale c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> for S t is explicitly verifiable;5 Our joint equity-credit model takes into account the influence ofstock value <strong>on</strong> default hazard rates.Tom Hurd (McMaster) <strong>Time</strong> <strong>Changed</strong> <strong>Brownian</strong> Moti<strong>on</strong> <strong>ICMS</strong> 2007 21 / 20

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