11.07.2015 Views

Some Basic Concepts in System Dynamics - Creative Learning ...

Some Basic Concepts in System Dynamics - Creative Learning ...

Some Basic Concepts in System Dynamics - Creative Learning ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

D-4894 - 7 -1.2. Simplest Feedback LoopFigure 4 shows the simplest possiblefeedback system. In the figure are twosymbols—a stock, and a flow. The stockis an accumulation, or <strong>in</strong>tegration, or level,to choose term<strong>in</strong>ology from differentfields. The flow changes the amount <strong>in</strong> thestock. The flow is determ<strong>in</strong>ed by astatement that tells how the flow iscontrolled by the value of the stock <strong>in</strong>comparison to a goal. All systems,everywhere, consist of these two k<strong>in</strong>ds ofconcepts—stocks and flows—and noneother. Such a statement, that there two andonly two k<strong>in</strong>ds of variables <strong>in</strong> a system, ispowerful <strong>in</strong> simplify<strong>in</strong>g our view of theworld. People familiar with account<strong>in</strong>gstatements, as <strong>in</strong> annual reports ofcorporations, will recognize the twoFigure 4classes of variables. A f<strong>in</strong>ancial report ispresented on two different pages—thebalance sheet and the profit and loss statement. All numbers on the balance sheetare stocks represent<strong>in</strong>g accumulations that have evolved over time. The profit andloss statement represents the flows that cause the stocks to change. There is nocomparably important third page, only the page represent<strong>in</strong>g stocks and the pagerepresent<strong>in</strong>g flows. That structure of an account<strong>in</strong>g statement represents afundamental truth about all systems. Water <strong>in</strong> a bathtub is a stock; the flow ofwater changes the stock. A person’s reputation is a stock that is changed by theflow of good and bad actions by that person. The degree of frustration <strong>in</strong> a groupis a stock that gradually changes <strong>in</strong> response to surround<strong>in</strong>g pressures.2. FROM SIMPLE TO COMPLEX SYSTEMSThe basic feedback loop <strong>in</strong> Figure 4 is too simple to represent real-worldsituations. But simple loops have more serious shortcom<strong>in</strong>gs—they are mislead<strong>in</strong>gand teach the wrong lessons. Most of our <strong>in</strong>tuitive learn<strong>in</strong>g comes from verysimple systems. The truths learned from simple systems are often completely

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!