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Causal Loop Diagram - the Department of Computer Science!

Causal Loop Diagram - the Department of Computer Science!

Causal Loop Diagram - the Department of Computer Science!

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<strong>Causal</strong> Pathways• We can reason about <strong>the</strong> influence <strong>of</strong> onevariable and ano<strong>the</strong>r variable by examining <strong>the</strong>signs along <strong>the</strong>ir causal pathway• Two negatives (whe<strong>the</strong>r adjacent or not) will actto reverse each o<strong>the</strong>r– Consider A → - B → - C• An increase to A leads B to be less than it o<strong>the</strong>rwisewould have been• B being lower than it o<strong>the</strong>rwise would have been causesC to be higher than it o<strong>the</strong>rwise would have been• (compared to what it o<strong>the</strong>rwise would havebeen)

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