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PDF version of COSPAR - Space Science Research in Canada Report

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Solar-Terrestrial and Atmospheric <strong>Research</strong>Canadian Geospace Monitor<strong>in</strong>g ProjectWhen most people hear the words “weather forecast”, they expect to hearsometh<strong>in</strong>g about clouds, ra<strong>in</strong>, snow or w<strong>in</strong>ds.But now, Canadian scientists are work<strong>in</strong>g to provide another k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> forecast—aspace weather forecast that will predict turbulent events <strong>in</strong> the highest reaches <strong>of</strong>the Earth’s atmosphere where it meets a flood <strong>of</strong> electromagnetic radiation andelectrically charged particles flow<strong>in</strong>g out from the sun.The solar radiation and particles <strong>in</strong>teract <strong>in</strong> complex ways with both the outeratmosphere and the Earth’s magnetic field, caus<strong>in</strong>g a range <strong>of</strong> effects <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gthe auroras and large geomagnetic storms that can damage satellites andspacecraft, disrupt communications around the world and overload powernetworks on the ground.Events like these make this vast and <strong>of</strong>ten tumultuous area <strong>of</strong> geospace <strong>of</strong> greateconomic as well as scientific importance. “That area <strong>of</strong> space is where there arebillions dollars <strong>of</strong> space assets,” said John Manuel, a program scientist with theCanadian <strong>Space</strong> Agency (CSA), one <strong>of</strong> the agencies fund<strong>in</strong>g the effort toimprove forecast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> space weather. “When that weather is rough, those assetscan be damaged and sometimes destroyed.”In 1989, a solar storm knocked out Hydro Quebec’s electrical grid, caus<strong>in</strong>g an<strong>in</strong>e-hour blackout and multi-million-dollar losses. In 1994, two Canadiancommunications satellites, Anik E-1 and E-2, were disabled by solar storms andhad to be replaced at a cost <strong>of</strong> hundreds <strong>of</strong> millions <strong>of</strong> dollars. Many othersatellites have malfunctioned, <strong>in</strong>terrupt<strong>in</strong>g media services and cell phone andGPS navigation systems.Manuel noted that high-fly<strong>in</strong>g aircraft, especially those that follow polar routes,are also affected by space weather and the higher levels <strong>of</strong> radiation they cancreate. “There’s an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number <strong>of</strong> flights across the North pole and thoseregions are more exposed to disturbances <strong>in</strong> space,” said Manuel.The CSA is work<strong>in</strong>g with Natural Resources <strong>Canada</strong> to improve the prediction <strong>of</strong>space weather events. “Just as we have a meteorology service that monitors theweather and climate to make forecasts so that people can prepare themselvesfor whatever’s com<strong>in</strong>g, we have the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> a space weather forecast55

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