Integration in development planning and budgeting - Regional ...

Alternative pathways toclimate change adaptation:Integration indevelopment planning and budgetingAl Dente, Sarabia Manor HotelIloilo CityMay 21-22, 2012

Note to the reader:This material was developed across the years by civil society organizations whohave worked closely with local government units in different part of the Philippines.It is now being developed into a learning material in the attempt to enablecommunities and local government units to adapt to the challenges of climate andweather-related hazards. Your reflections on how its use will enrich the material.The revised output will be developed into a toolkit and will be shared with otherLGUs.

Forecast or Prediction• When a projection is branded "most likely" itbecomes a forecast or prediction. A forecast isoften obtained using deterministic models,possibly a set of these, outputs of which canenable some level of confidence to beattached to projectionsScenario• scenario is a coherent, internally consistent andplausible description of a possible future state of theworld. It is not a forecast; rather, each scenario is onealternative image of how the future can unfold. Aprojection may serve as the raw material for ascenario, but scenarios often require additionalinformation (e.g., about baseline conditions). A set ofscenarios is often adopted to reflect, as well aspossible, the range of uncertainty in projections. Otherterms that have been used as synonyms for scenarioare "characterisation", "storyline" and "construction".

Projection• The term "projection" is used in two senses inthe climate change literature. In generalusage, a projection can be regarded as anydescription of the future and the pathwayleading to it. However, a more specificinterpretation has been attached to the term"climate projection" by the IPCC whenreferring to model-derived estimates of futureclimate.Climate Trends• Patterns in climatic parameters

Risklikelihood of harm, loss, disasterHazardphysical impact of disturbanceExposureVulnerabilityelements affected by hazardlack of capacity of community toprepare, absorb, recover from hazardRisk = Hazard x Exposure x VulnerabilityAdaptive Capacity

IPCC Vulnerability(Biophysical)• ExposureUN Risk• Hazard• Exposure• Sensitivity• Vulnerability(Inherent Vulnerability)• Adaptive Capacity• Adaptive Capacity“climate change mitigation”“climate change adaptation”“disaster mitigation”NOTE: Not a strict correspondence but a rough mapping to facilitatelinking of understanding of frameworks.

Reviewing the processIdentify climatestressor orhazardAscertainvulnerability(exposure,susceptibility,adaptivecapacity) of yourpopulation andassets in specificsectors.Do an influencediagram toascertainprobable impactWhatvulnerability/vulnerabilities doyou want toreduce? Whatcapacities do youwant to enhanceto avoid negativeimpacts?

Sample Matrix: CC, PCVA,Adaptation Options IdentificationClimateStressorExposedsectorVulnerabilitythat needs tobe addressedor capacitythat needs tobe enhancedHow?(Identifyspecificactivities,projects,program,strategy)Does theproposedactionaddress anyotherdevelopmentgoal? If yes,what?BenefitsConstraints

Transform Adaptation Option Analysisinto Development PlansIdentifiedclimatevulnerabilityPrograms,Plans andActivitiesPerformanceIndicatorsCapabilityBuildingNeedsLegislative orAdministrativePoliciesneededSupplies,Materials andResourcesNeededImplementingOfficeSchedule ofImplementationBudget(LDIP,AIP)(PERFORMANCE PLAN)(HRDPLAN)POLICIESNEEDED(ELA)(ANNUALPROCUREMENTPLAN)

LGU BUDGETS1. GENERAL FUNDLGU FUND SOURCESOBJECTS OF EXPENDITURES1.1 Personnel Services Fund Salaries & wages fro DRR/CCA staff1.2 MOOE Fund Supplies & materials for DRR-CCA office1.3 Capital Outlay Fund Infrastructure, building, equipment2. 20% LOCAL DEV’T FUND Development, resilience & adaptation3. ±5% DRRM FUND Disaster risk reduction fund4. (?) LOCAL CCA FUND Climate adaptation fund5. 10% SK FUND (for brgys. only) Youth development programs, projects6. NEW FEES AND CHARGES For DRR-CCA initiatives

@MACECSUMMARY OF THE INTEGRATION PROCESS

TIME21 May 2012ACTIVITY8:00 Registration8:30 Levelling off :Laying the down the context:CCA and DRR in the Planning Process8:45 The Adaptation Knowledge Platform and the Climate Change Adaptation Awareness Survey9:10 Policy Developments – updates: RESULTS FROM THE POLICY SCOPING WORKSHOPHow much do we know now about CCA and DRRWhere do we want to go?9:30 Coffee break9:45 Mapping the Province’s climate risks --- the way we understand itCase sharing: Provincial experience on Climate -Related Challenges10:15 Understanding climate trends, scenarios, projections: how they are not one and the sameEssential climate variables we need to know and still need to knowIloilo’s climate profile and climate projections12:00 Lunch1:00 The need to translate the projections into impacts: Case of Coastal Communities (Resilient Seas Initiative)1:45 What vulnerabilities are we talking about in the context of CCA: the UNU-EHS framework2:30 Workshop: Understanding the Province’s Vulnerabilities to Climate-related hazards3:30 Working breakPushing further: deepening our understanding of the DRR and CCA nexus --- What is the difference?Understanding the demand of adaptation: REALITY CHECKEvolving models in CCA work in the Philippines and other approaches: NCCAP, ecosystem-based, river-basin approach, UKCIP, NAS approaches4:00 Discussion and Sharing: Sector-based Adaptation Options5:00 End of Day 122 May 20128:00 Registration8:30 Recap9:00-12:00 A focus on the eco-system based approach to adaptation (UNEP)12:00 LUNCH1:00 Alternative Pathways to integrating CCA in the programs, plans and activities and budgeting process in development planning (targeting LGUs with without external support)2:00 Workshop: Crafting CCA programs/projects, plans, activities3:00 Working break3:15 Sharing3:45 Identifying fund sources Workshop: Matching potential fund sources with CCA programs/projects, plans and activities4:30 Reflection and SynthesisPost-Workshop Survey on CCA Awareness5:00 End Of Day 2

Alternative pathways toclimate change adaptation:Integration indevelopment planning and budgetingAl Dente, Sarabia Manor HotelIloilo CityMay 21-22, 201In partnership with and with support from:In cooperation with: