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Title Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction under ...

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definitions divide the poor into three groups 12 . From 1990/91 to 1995/96, the non-poor inurban <strong>and</strong> rural areas decreased from 61% to 55% <strong>and</strong> from 60.8% to 48.8%, respectively.This implies that the increase in the number of poor <strong>and</strong> moderate poor was from 18.7% to22.5% in urban areas <strong>and</strong> from 10.6% to 26.9% in rural areas. In the year of 1995/96, theultra poor made up 7.4% of the population in all of Egypt, 7.7% in urban areas, <strong>and</strong> 7.1% inrural areas.During the period from 1995/96 to 1999/2000, the Egyptian economy recorded increasedgrowth rates of 6% per year on average. In 1999/2000, the poor population fell from 13.7million people to around 11.0 million people representing 16.7% of the entire population.This period is characterized by fiscal expansion <strong>and</strong> the appreciation of the Egyptianpound above mentioned. The appreciation of the Egyptian pound (the Dutch diseasephenomenon) benefited the tourism <strong>and</strong> the manufacturing sectors that were inwardoriented <strong>and</strong> protected from external competition. Afterwards, fiscal <strong>and</strong> monetary policesbecame inconsistent <strong>under</strong> the large government expenditures on mega-projects aiming topromote growth in the regions. In addition, internal security problems <strong>and</strong> the unfavorableexternal environment had an adverse effect on the Egyptian economy in the latter half ofthe 1990s. These external factors included the economic crises in emerging markets in EastAsia <strong>and</strong> Russia.With the instability in the Middle East caused by the aftermath of September 11, 2001in estimating poverty line.12 These are the moderate (or mild) poor, the poor, <strong>and</strong> the ultra (or extreme) poor. Theborder between the non-poor <strong>and</strong> the moderately poor is the upper poverty line. Thatbetween the moderate poor <strong>and</strong> the poor is the lower poverty line. The ultra poor live belowthe food poverty line.10

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