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The Impact of Small Scale Irrigation on Household Food Security ...

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<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impact</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Small</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Scale</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Irrigati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Household</strong> <strong>Food</strong> <strong>Security</strong>: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Case<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Filtino and Godino <str<strong>on</strong>g>Irrigati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> Schemes in Ada Liben District,East Shoa, EthiopiaAb<strong>on</strong>esh Tesfaye 1 , Ayalneh Bogale 2 , Regassa E. Namara 31 Ministry <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Water Resources, 2 Haramaya University, 3 IWMI-Acraabuye_t@yahoo.comAbstractIrrigated producti<strong>on</strong> is far from satisfactory inthe country. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> country's irrigati<strong>on</strong> potential isestimated at 3.7 milli<strong>on</strong> hectare, <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which <strong>on</strong>lyabout 190,000 hectare (4.3 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thepotential) is actually irrigated. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> aim <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thispaper is to identify the impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> small-scaleirrigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> household food security based <strong>on</strong>data obtained from 200 farmers in Ada Libendistrict <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ethiopia. Different studies revealedthat access to reliable irrigati<strong>on</strong> water can enablefarmers to adopt new technologies and intensifycultivati<strong>on</strong>, leading to increased productivity,overall higher producti<strong>on</strong>, and greater returnsfrom farming. In the study area also about 70percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the irrigati<strong>on</strong> users are food securewhile <strong>on</strong>ly 20 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the n<strong>on</strong>-users are foundto be food secure. Access to irrigati<strong>on</strong> enabledthe sample households to grow crops more than<strong>on</strong>ce a year; to insure increased and stableproducti<strong>on</strong>, income and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>; andimprove their food security status. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> studyc<strong>on</strong>cludes that small-scale irrigati<strong>on</strong> is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> theviable soluti<strong>on</strong>s to secure household food needsin the study area but it did not eliminate the foodinsecurity problem.1. Introducti<strong>on</strong>1.1 BackgroundEthiopia is faced with complex poverty, which isbroad, deep and structural (MoFED, 2002).Despite the importance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agriculture in itsec<strong>on</strong>omy, the country has been a food deficitcountry for several decades, with cereal food aidaveraging 14 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> total cereal producti<strong>on</strong>(FAO, 2001). <str<strong>on</strong>g>Irrigati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> is <strong>on</strong>e means by whichagricultural producti<strong>on</strong> can be increased to meetthe growing food demand in Ethiopia(Awulachew et al., 2005). However, in Ethiopiairrigated producti<strong>on</strong> is far from satisfactory(Woldeab, 2003). While the country’s irrigati<strong>on</strong>potential is about 3.7 milli<strong>on</strong> hectares (WSDP,2002), the total irrigated area is 190,000 ha in2004, that is <strong>on</strong>ly 4.3 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the potential(FAO, 2005).It was claimed that Ethiopia can not assure foodsecurity for its populati<strong>on</strong> with rain fedagriculture al<strong>on</strong>e without a substantivec<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong>. Thus, the government<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ethiopia has prepared a water sectordevelopment program to be implemented in 15years between 2002 and 2016. this programassigned a prominent role to the development <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>irrigati<strong>on</strong> in the country for food producti<strong>on</strong>(mowr, 2001). this paper reports the results <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> astudy c<strong>on</strong>ducted to assess the efficacy <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>irrigati<strong>on</strong> led food insecurity eradicati<strong>on</strong> andpoverty reducti<strong>on</strong> policy objectives <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ethiopiabased <strong>on</strong> data collected from godino and filtinosmall scale irrigati<strong>on</strong> schemes found in ada libendistrict <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the oromia regi<strong>on</strong>al state <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ethiopia.1.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Irrigati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> and <strong>Household</strong> <strong>Food</strong> <strong>Security</strong>:some empirical evidences179


Chamber (1994) based <strong>on</strong> some empiricalstudies c<strong>on</strong>firms that reliable and adequateirrigati<strong>on</strong> increases employment, i.e., Landlesslaborers as well as small and marginal farmershave more work <strong>on</strong> more days<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the year, which ultimately c<strong>on</strong>tributes to foodsecurity. A study c<strong>on</strong>ducted in 10 Indian villagesin different agro-climatic regi<strong>on</strong>s shows thatincreasing irrigati<strong>on</strong> by 40 percent was equallyeffective in reducing poverty (reducing foodinsecurity) as providing a pair <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> bullocks,increasing educati<strong>on</strong>al level and increasing wagerates (Singh et al., 1996). Kumar (2003) alsostated that irrigati<strong>on</strong> has significantlyc<strong>on</strong>tributed to boosting India's food producti<strong>on</strong>and creating grain surpluses used as droughtbuffer. A study by Hussain et al. (2004)c<strong>on</strong>firms that access to reliable irrigati<strong>on</strong> watercan enable farmers to adopt new technologiesand intensify cultivati<strong>on</strong>, leading to increasedproductivity, overall higher producti<strong>on</strong>, andgreater returns from farming. This in turn opensup new employment opportunities; both <strong>on</strong> farmand <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f-farm, and can improve incomes,livelihood, and the quality <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> life in rural areas.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> same study identified five key dimensi<strong>on</strong>s<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> how access to good irrigati<strong>on</strong> waterc<strong>on</strong>tributes to socioec<strong>on</strong>omic uplift <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> ruralcommunities. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se are producti<strong>on</strong>, income andc<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>, employment, food security, andother social impacts c<strong>on</strong>tributing to overallimproved welfare.According to a study carried out <strong>on</strong> fiveirrigati<strong>on</strong> schemes in Zimbabwe, the schemeswere found to act as sources <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food security forthe participants and the surrounding communitythrough increased productivity, stableproducti<strong>on</strong> and incomes (Mudima, 1998). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>same study reported that farmers participating inirrigati<strong>on</strong> schemes never run out <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food unliketheir counterparts that depend <strong>on</strong> rain-fedagriculture.Ngigi (2002) disclosed that in Kenya for the twodecades agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> has not beenable to keep pace with the increasing populati<strong>on</strong>.To address this challenge the biggest potentialfor increasing agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> lies in thedevelopment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong>. According to thesame study, irrigati<strong>on</strong> can assist in agriculturaldiversificati<strong>on</strong>, enhance food self sufficiency,increase rural incomes, generate foreignexchange and provide employment opportunitywhen and where water is a c<strong>on</strong>straint. Nigigic<strong>on</strong>cluded that the major c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>irrigati<strong>on</strong> to the nati<strong>on</strong>al ec<strong>on</strong>omy are foodsecurity, employment creati<strong>on</strong>, and improvedforeign exchange earning.A study by IFAD (2005) states that in Ethiopia,the c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> small-scale irrigati<strong>on</strong>schemes has resulted in increased producti<strong>on</strong>,income and diet diversificati<strong>on</strong> in the Oromiaand Southern Nati<strong>on</strong> and Nati<strong>on</strong>alities People(SNNP) regi<strong>on</strong>s. According to this study, thecash generated from selling vegetables and otherproduce is comm<strong>on</strong>ly used to buy food to coverthe household food demand during the fooddeficit m<strong>on</strong>ths. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> same study further addedthat during an interview c<strong>on</strong>ducted with somefarmers, it was disclosed that the hungry m<strong>on</strong>thsreduced from 6 to 2 m<strong>on</strong>ths (July and August)because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> small scale irrigati<strong>on</strong>.Moreover, the increase in diversity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cropsacross the schemes and the shift from cereallivestocksystem to cereal-vegetable-livestocksystem is starting to improve the diversity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>household nutriti<strong>on</strong> through making vegetablespart <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the daily diet. A study c<strong>on</strong>ducted byWoldeab (2003) also identified that in Tigrayregi<strong>on</strong> irrigated agriculture has benefited somehouseholds by providing an opportunity toincrease agricultural producti<strong>on</strong> through doublecropping and by taking advantage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> moderntechnologies and high yielding crops that calledfor intensive farming.However, these studies were descriptive thananalytical in that they did not formally accountfor/ isolate the possible c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> otherc<strong>on</strong>founding variables such hashousehold/village characteristics, and otherpolicies and interventi<strong>on</strong>s that might have aswell c<strong>on</strong>tributed to the food security statusdifferences between irrigators and n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators.Moreover, the empirical works in this area arevery scant in Ethiopia in particular and in Africain general. Thus, the study aims to c<strong>on</strong>tribute tothe small scale irrigati<strong>on</strong>-food security literatureand to provide policy c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s and180


implicati<strong>on</strong>s for future planning <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong>systems.2. Research methodology2.1. Study area, sample size and samplingtechniquesgodino and filtino small scale irrigati<strong>on</strong> schemesare found in ada liben district and werec<strong>on</strong>structed by oromiya irrigati<strong>on</strong> developmentauthority (oida) in 1996 and 1998, respectively(oida, 2000 ). the water source for godinoirrigati<strong>on</strong> scheme is wedecha dam, which has thecapacity to irrigate about 310 ha. while the watersource for filtino irrigati<strong>on</strong> scheme is belbeladam, which has a capacity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigating 100 ha.the irrigable land in the respective commandareas is distributed to farmers by thegovernment. except few farmers who lease-inadditi<strong>on</strong>al irrigable land almost all farmers in thearea own quarter <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a hectare. the major types <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>crops grown by irrigati<strong>on</strong> are <strong>on</strong>i<strong>on</strong>, tomato,potato and chick pea am<strong>on</strong>g others.Out <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the 45 Peasant Associati<strong>on</strong>s (PA) that arefound in the Ada Liben district, two PAs namelyGodino and Quftu were purposely selectedmainly because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> availability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigati<strong>on</strong>schemes. To select sample resp<strong>on</strong>dents from thetwo PAs, first the household heads in the twoPAs were identified and stratified in to twostrata: irrigati<strong>on</strong> users and n<strong>on</strong>-users. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>n thesample resp<strong>on</strong>dents from each stratum wereselected randomly using simple randomsampling technique. Since the number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>household heads in the two groups wasproporti<strong>on</strong>al, equal number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sample is drawnfrom each group, i.e., 100 household heads wereselected from each group. In total 200household heads were interviewed.2.2. Data collecti<strong>on</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> data required for this study was collectedfrom sample resp<strong>on</strong>dents using a semi-structuredquesti<strong>on</strong>naire. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> enumerators for the datacollecti<strong>on</strong> were selected <strong>on</strong> the basis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> theireducati<strong>on</strong>al background and their ability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thelocal language. One week training was given tothe enumerators about method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data collecti<strong>on</strong>and the c<strong>on</strong>tents <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the questi<strong>on</strong>naire. Datacollecti<strong>on</strong> proper was started after pretest wasc<strong>on</strong>ducted and modificati<strong>on</strong>s were made based<strong>on</strong> the feedback from the pretest. Sec<strong>on</strong>daryinformati<strong>on</strong> that could supplement the primarydata was collected from published andunpublished documents obtained from differentgovernmental and n<strong>on</strong>-governmentalorganizati<strong>on</strong>s.2.3. Method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data analysis<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> study employed both descriptive andec<strong>on</strong>ometric techniques. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> descriptive analysiswas performed using frequencies, means, andmaximum and minimum values. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>ometric analysis employed the Heckmantwo-step procedure to identify the impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>small scale irrigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> household food securityfrom am<strong>on</strong>g possible other household foodsecurity influencing factors.Heckman two-step procedure: Evaluating theimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a project/program <strong>on</strong> an outcomevariable using regressi<strong>on</strong> analysis can lead tobiased estimate if the underlying process whichgoverns selecti<strong>on</strong> into a project/ program is notincorporated in the empirical framework. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>reas<strong>on</strong> for this is that, the effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the programmay be over (under) estimated if programparticipants are more (less) able due to certainunobservable characteristics, to derive thesebenefits compared to eligible n<strong>on</strong>-participants(Zaman, 2001).To evaluate the impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a program, a modelcomm<strong>on</strong>ly employed can be expressed as:Y = Xβ + αI+ u(1)Where Y is the outcome/impact, X is a vector <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>pers<strong>on</strong>al exogenous characteristics and I is adummy variable (I=1, if the individualparticipates in the program and 0 otherwise).From this model, the effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the program ismeasured by the estimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> α . However, thedummy variable ‘I’ can not be treated asexogenous if the likelihood <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> an individual toparticipate or not to participate in the program is181


ased <strong>on</strong> an unobserved selecti<strong>on</strong> process(Maddala, 1983). Some studies have shown thelimitati<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> applying the classical linearregressi<strong>on</strong> methodology to the analysis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>samples with selectivity bias (Heckman, 1979,Dardis et al. 1994, Sigelman and Zeng, 1999,Maddala, 1992). Applicati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the classicallinear regressi<strong>on</strong> model does not guaranteec<strong>on</strong>sistent and unbiased estimates <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> theparameter. One soluti<strong>on</strong> to this problem inec<strong>on</strong>ometrics is the applicati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Heckmantwo-step procedures. It is c<strong>on</strong>sidered as anappropriate tool to test and c<strong>on</strong>trol for sampleselecti<strong>on</strong> biases (Wooldrige, 2002).<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Heckman two step procedures involves twoequati<strong>on</strong>s. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> first equati<strong>on</strong> (i.e., the selecti<strong>on</strong>or participati<strong>on</strong> equati<strong>on</strong>) attempts to capture thefactors governing membership in a program.This equati<strong>on</strong> is used to c<strong>on</strong>struct a selectivityterm known as the ‘Mills ratio’ which isincluded as independent variable to the sec<strong>on</strong>dequati<strong>on</strong> known as resp<strong>on</strong>se or outcomeequati<strong>on</strong>. If the coefficient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the ‘selectivity’term is significant then the hypothesis that theparticipati<strong>on</strong> equati<strong>on</strong> is governed by anunobserved selecti<strong>on</strong> process or selectivity biasis c<strong>on</strong>firmed. Moreover, with the inclusi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>extra term, the coefficient in the sec<strong>on</strong>d stage‘selectivity corrected’ equati<strong>on</strong> is unbiased(Zaman, 2001). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, to evaluate theimpact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> small scale irrigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> householdfood security, we use the Heckman two-stepprocedure.Specificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Heckman two-stepprocedure:Let Zikbe a group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> K variables whichrepresent the characteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a household iwhich influences the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> participati<strong>on</strong>in irrigati<strong>on</strong> agriculture measured by a latent*variable Diandγ kare the coefficients whichreflect the effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these variables <strong>on</strong> theprobability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being an irrigati<strong>on</strong> farmer, andXisis a group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables which represent thecharacteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> household i which determinehousehold’s food security ( Ci) and β sare thecoefficients which reflect the effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thesevariables <strong>on</strong> household food security. Thus, theHeckman two-step procedure takes thefollowing form:K*Di= ∑ γkZik+ ui(2)CiSS =1Ks= 1= ∑ β X + ε Observed <strong>on</strong>ly ifisiD * i>0...(3)Where the disturbances u iand εifollow abivariate normal distributi<strong>on</strong> with a zero mean,variance σuand σεrespectively, andcovarianceσ εu. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, we define adichotomous variable Diwhich takes a value 1when a household is an irrigator and 0otherwise. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> estimator is based <strong>on</strong> thec<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>al expectati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the observed variable,household food security (C i) :E*( C / D > 0) = xβ+ σ σ λ( − γz)iiεuε(4)Where λ is the inverse Mills ratio defined asλ( − γZ) = φ( − γZ)/( 1−ϕ( − γZ)); β and γ arethe vectors <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> parameters which measure theeffect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables X and Z, φ and ϕ are thefuncti<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> density and distributi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a normal,respectively. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> expressi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>alexpectati<strong>on</strong> shows thatC iequals xβ<strong>on</strong>ly whenthe errors εiand uiare n<strong>on</strong> correlated, i.e.,σεu= 0 ; otherwise, the expectati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ciisaffected by the variable <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> equati<strong>on</strong> 2. Thus,from expressi<strong>on</strong> 4 we find that:*(i/ Di> 0) + Vi= xβ+ σu εσελ( − Z) ViCi/ Di> 0=EC/ γ + (5)WhereViis the distributed error term,( 0 , σ ( 1−σ( λ( λ − ))))NuγZε3. Results and discussi<strong>on</strong>3.1. Descriptive Resultsε182


<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables included in the model are definedin table 1. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> dependent variable for the firststage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Heckman two-step procedure isparticipati<strong>on</strong> in irrigati<strong>on</strong>. This variable is adummy variable (given a value <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1 if thehousehold participates in the irrigati<strong>on</strong> schemeand 0 otherwise) for the sec<strong>on</strong>d stage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> themodel household food security status is ac<strong>on</strong>tinuous variable measured by the annualfood expenditure in Birr <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household peradult equivalent. Before discussing theec<strong>on</strong>ometric results, however, we present someinteresting descriptive results.One <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the pervasive features <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food insecurityin Ethiopia is that it is usually seas<strong>on</strong>al. Itmainly coincides with the active agriculturalseas<strong>on</strong> or wet seas<strong>on</strong>. To this effect we havetried to see if there is discernable difference inthe timing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food inadequacy between irrigatorsand n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators. Surprisingly, there is nodifference regarding the timing <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> foodshortages between irrigators and n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators(See Figure 1). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> food shortage m<strong>on</strong>ths startas early as June (which is the beginning rainyseas<strong>on</strong> and therefore agricultural activities inthe study areas) and extends up to November(which is the beginning <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> harvest seas<strong>on</strong>). Nohousehold from the irrigators group has reportedfood shortage in June. September is the mostserious food shortage m<strong>on</strong>th am<strong>on</strong>g n<strong>on</strong>irrigators,while October is the peak foodshortage m<strong>on</strong>th for irrigators. About half <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> then<strong>on</strong>-irrigators reported food shortage in them<strong>on</strong>th <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> September. However, there is a starkdifference regarding the incidence rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>reported food shortage between the two groups.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> farmers reporting foodshortage in every m<strong>on</strong>th is significantly lowerfor irrigators group. It is interesting to note thatirrigati<strong>on</strong> has not eradicated the food insecurityproblem even in this seemingly better <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f part <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>the country indicating the depth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the problem.% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> households reporting food shortage6050403020100JuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberM<strong>on</strong>ths <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food shortageIrrigatorsN<strong>on</strong>-irrigatorsFigure 1. Incidence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> reported food shortage bym<strong>on</strong>ths<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigators and n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators have slightlydifferent copping mechanisms in the advent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>food deficit problem (See figure 2). N<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> theirrigators have reported <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f-farm employment asa coping strategy and also relatively fewerirrigators reported to have used credit as a means<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> copping with food shortage. It must be notedthat using wage employment and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>credit as a strategy to avert food insecurity isc<strong>on</strong>sidered as a distress measure or strategy inEthiopia. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Small</str<strong>on</strong>g> animals (such as sheep, goatsand chicken) is the most important coppingstrategy am<strong>on</strong>g both irrigators and n<strong>on</strong>irrigators.183


% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sample farmers reporting50454035302520151050Sales <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>CattleSales <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Small</str<strong>on</strong>g>AnimalsOff-farmEmployment<strong>Food</strong> shortage copping strategyC<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>CreditIrrigatorsN<strong>on</strong>-IrrigatorsFigure 2. <strong>Food</strong> shortage coping mechanismsBased <strong>on</strong> how households adapt to the presenceor threat <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food shortages, the overall CopingStrategy Index (CSI) has been calculated foreach <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the sample households and the resultingvalues were averaged for irrigators and n<strong>on</strong>irrigators.It was found that the average CSI forirrigator households is 11.4, while for n<strong>on</strong>irrigatorsthe corresp<strong>on</strong>ding value is 31.4. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>mean difference is statistically significant (Table2). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> higher the CSI, the more food-insecureis a household (reference). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, based <strong>on</strong>CSI the n<strong>on</strong>-irrigator households are more foodinsecure as compared to irrigator households.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> calculated food c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditureper adult equivalent values also c<strong>on</strong>firms thefood security status difference between irrigatorsand n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators (table 2). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> average foodc<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure per adult equivalentper annum for irrigati<strong>on</strong> user households is1322.4 Birr, while the corresp<strong>on</strong>ding figure forn<strong>on</strong>-users is 774.4 Birr. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> mean difference isstatistically significant. Moreover, the totalc<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure (both food and n<strong>on</strong>food)for irrigators is almost double that <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> n<strong>on</strong>irrigators.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> minimum food c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditureper adult equivalent above which a household isc<strong>on</strong>sidered to be food secure (alternativelybelow which a household is c<strong>on</strong>sidered as foodinsecure) was calculated based <strong>on</strong> the estimatedcost <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> acquiring the recommended daily calorieallowance, which was taken as 2200 kcal peradult equivalent per day 15 . This cut-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f value isestimated to be Birr 900.0 per adult equivalentper annum. Thus, households having foodc<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure per adult equivalent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>less than Birr 900 are c<strong>on</strong>sidered as foodinsecure, while those earning more than Birr 900are c<strong>on</strong>sidered to be food secure. Based <strong>on</strong> thisindicator, again there is substantial difference infood insecurity incidence rate between irrigatorand n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators households (see figure 3).Generally out <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the 200 sample households 45percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> them are food secure and 55 percent<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> them are food insecure.15 This cut-<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f value was calculated following Greer andThorbecke (1986) food energy intake method <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> measuringhousehold food security184


% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the households9080706050403020100<strong>Food</strong> Secure<strong>Food</strong>Insecure<strong>Household</strong> food securitystatusIrrigatorsN<strong>on</strong>-IrrigatorsFigure 3. <strong>Household</strong> food security status differentiated by access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>When comparing other indicators <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> welfarebetween irrigati<strong>on</strong> and n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators,statistically significant differences were detected(Table 3). For example, irrigators have smallhousehold size, higher level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> educati<strong>on</strong>, largelivestock holding size, and better quality(fertility) cultivable land. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> irrigators had alsobetter access to extensi<strong>on</strong> and credit services(Table 4). In c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>, the descriptiveanalyses indicate that irrigators are better <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f interms <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> food security status and other welfareindicators. But is this due solely to access toirrigati<strong>on</strong>? Other observable and unobservablevariables might have c<strong>on</strong>tributed to the observedfood security status difference between irrigatorsand n<strong>on</strong>-irrigators. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, we know turn tothe presentati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Heckman’s two stageregressi<strong>on</strong> model to show the impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access toirrigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> food security while c<strong>on</strong>trolling forthe effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> other observable and unobservablec<strong>on</strong>founding factors.3.2. Ec<strong>on</strong>ometric Analysis ResultsDeterminants <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> likelihood <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access toirrigati<strong>on</strong>: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> first stage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Heckman modelpredicts the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access to the irrigati<strong>on</strong>scheme <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a household. Am<strong>on</strong>g the observablehypothesized variables, those that significantlyinfluenced the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> participating inirrigati<strong>on</strong> farming include nearness to the watersource, household siz size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivated land,livestock holding, the quality <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land owned by afarmer and access to credit (Table 5). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>relati<strong>on</strong>ship between household size andparticipati<strong>on</strong> in irrigati<strong>on</strong> project is n<strong>on</strong>-linear.As the size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a household increases by <strong>on</strong>e adultequivalent, the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>decreases by 30.4% but <strong>on</strong>ly up certain pointbey<strong>on</strong>d which a unit increase in household sizestarts increasing the likelihood <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> participati<strong>on</strong>in irrigati<strong>on</strong>. As the size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivated areaincreases the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being an irrigatordecreases. This may imply that irrigators tendintensify their cultivated land, while rain-fedfarmers try to put more land under cultivati<strong>on</strong>.185


Irrigators have significantly more livestock thantheir rain-fed <strong>on</strong>ly farmers. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>y also possessmore fertile land.Determinants <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> household food security: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>significance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the lambda term in the sec<strong>on</strong>dstage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Heckman procedure, c<strong>on</strong>firms thepresence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> selectivity bias (Table 6). Asexpected, access to irrigati<strong>on</strong> had significantimpact <strong>on</strong> household food security. In the studyarea irrigati<strong>on</strong> enable households to grow cropsmore than <strong>on</strong>ce a year, to insure increased andstable producti<strong>on</strong>, income and c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>thereby improving food security status <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thehousehold. This result is c<strong>on</strong>sistent with thefinding <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Abebaw (2003). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> other variablesthat significantly enhance household foodsecurity are experience (as indicate by farmersage in years), access to extensi<strong>on</strong> service, andsize <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivated land. .<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between household size andfood security is n<strong>on</strong>-linear (see the coefficientsfor household size and its square variable). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>negative and significant coefficient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> householdsize reveals that larger household size leads t<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ood insecurity, but <strong>on</strong>ly up to a certain point.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coefficient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the variable indicates that asthe household size increases by <strong>on</strong>e adultequivalent the food c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>the household decreases by 391.9 Birr. Thisresult is c<strong>on</strong>sistent with the finding <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Mulugeta(2002) and Yilma (2005). C<strong>on</strong>trary to othersimilar studies (Belayneh, 2005), in this studyfemale headed households had better foodsecurity status than the male headed households.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coefficient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the variable shows that whenthe head <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household is male, foodc<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the householddecreases by 331.1 Birr. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> possiblejustificati<strong>on</strong> for this inverse relati<strong>on</strong>ship couldbe that though male headed households are in abetter positi<strong>on</strong> to pool resource to increaseproducti<strong>on</strong>, they might spent more m<strong>on</strong>ey <strong>on</strong>n<strong>on</strong>food expenses rather than spending <strong>on</strong> fooditems to meet the household’s food needs.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> regressi<strong>on</strong> result also shows that as thecultivated land size increases, a household isable to increase and diversify the quantity andtype <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> crop produced, which may in turn lead toincreased c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> and household foodsecurity. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coefficient <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the land size variableshows that as the household gets <strong>on</strong>e morehectare <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land food c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>the household increases by 85 Birr. This result isc<strong>on</strong>sistent with the findings <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Mulugeta (2002),Ayalew (2003), Abebaw (2003) and Yilma(2005).Access to extensi<strong>on</strong> service and nearness to thewater source are also found to have a positiverelati<strong>on</strong>ship with household food security. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>positive effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access to extensi<strong>on</strong> servicemay indicate that in the study area, thosehouseholds who get technical advice andtraining or those who participated in fielddem<strong>on</strong>strati<strong>on</strong>s are well aware <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the advantage<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> agricultural technologies and adopt newtechnologies and produce more, therebyimproving the household food security status.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> nearness to the water source may be asurrogate variable for access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>. It hasalready been shown that to the irrigati<strong>on</strong>scheme, significantly improves household’s foodsecurity status. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> possible other justificati<strong>on</strong>could be that the nearness to water source mayproxy the locati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the farms in relati<strong>on</strong> to theirrigati<strong>on</strong> water source . <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, householdswho are closer to the irrigati<strong>on</strong> scheme do notincur much cost to access their farm so they canfollow up the farm activity closely andfrequently and may get a better yield.4. C<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong> and Implicati<strong>on</strong>s<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables that significantly predict access toirrigati<strong>on</strong> are: household size, size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivatedland, livestock holding, farmers’ percepti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>soil fertility status, access to credit, nearness tothe water source and household size square. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>variables that reduce the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> access toirrigati<strong>on</strong> are large household size, largecultivated area and access to credit. Rain-fedfarmers tend to have large cultivated area. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>negative relati<strong>on</strong>ship between access to creditand access to irrigati<strong>on</strong> may be explained by thefact that: (1) in Ethiopia, the instituti<strong>on</strong>al creditsusually give priority to rain-fed agriculture, and(2) the demand for credit am<strong>on</strong>g farmers withaccess to irrigati<strong>on</strong> may be lower for they cansatisfy cash needs through sales from theirirrigated crops.186


<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables that increase the probability <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>participati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> farmers in irrigati<strong>on</strong> farminginclude large livestock holding size, ownership<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> relatively fertile land and nearness to watersource. Obviously, those households that aresituated near the water source are more likely toparticipate in irrigati<strong>on</strong> scheme. However, itdoes not mean that placement <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> an irrigati<strong>on</strong>scheme in the village is solely governed byhydrological c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong>s. It involves politicalprocess and power relati<strong>on</strong>s.In the study area the use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> small-scale irrigati<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>tributes significantly to improve householdfood security. In additi<strong>on</strong> to access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>,access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>, household size, sex <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> thehousehold head, size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivated land, andaccess to extensi<strong>on</strong> service significantlyinfluence the food security status <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a farmhousehold.<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship between a household foodsecurity status and household size is n<strong>on</strong>-linear(see the signs for the variables household sizeand the square <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> household size). As the size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>a household increases the per capita foodexpenditure decreases, but up to a point, afterwhich the per capita food expenditure starts toincrease as the household size increases.C<strong>on</strong>trary to expectati<strong>on</strong>, female headedhouseholds are less likely to be food insecure ascompared to male headed households. Thisneeds further investigati<strong>on</strong>, however, tentativelyit may be explained by differences in theexpenditure behavior <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> male and femalefarmers-female members <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a farm householdtend to spend more <strong>on</strong> food items to guaranteethe food needs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the family before anythingelse. Another possible explanati<strong>on</strong> may be thatthe male members <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a female-headed householdmay have gainful employment elsewhere thusc<strong>on</strong>tributing to household food security.Size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultivated land and household foodsecurity are positively related indicating largerfarm size improves household food security.<strong>Household</strong>s with large farm size are found to befood secure; however, there may not be apossibility <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expanding cultivated land size anymore because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> increasing family size anddegradati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the existing farm land. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore,household must be trained as to how to increaseproducti<strong>on</strong> per unit area (productivity).Access to extensi<strong>on</strong> service is also positivelyrelated to household food security. 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WSDP (Water sector Development Program).2002. Water sector development program2002-2016, Volume II: Main report. AddisAbaba, Ethiopia.Yilma Muluken. 2005. Measuring ruralhousehold food security status and itsdeterminants in the Benishangul GumuzeRegi<strong>on</strong>: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> case <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Asosa Woreda. An MSc<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>sis Presented to the School <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> GraduateStudies <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Alemaya University. pp. 134.Zaman, H. 2001. Assessing the poverty andvulnerability impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> micro credit inBangladesh. pp. 34-36. A case study <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>BRAC. Office <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the chief ec<strong>on</strong>omist andsenior vice president (DECVP). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> WorldBank.Table 1. Definiti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> model variablesVariablecodeVariabletype Variable definiti<strong>on</strong> Mean Std.ExpectedsignACCIRRG Dummy Access to irrigati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household PositiveHEADAGE C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Age <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> household head in years 48.0 13.5 PositiveHEADAGE2 C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Age <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household head square PositiveHHSIZEAE C<strong>on</strong>tinuous <strong>Household</strong> size in adult equivalent 4.7 1.7 NegativeHHSIZEAE2 C<strong>on</strong>tinuous <strong>Household</strong> size in adult equivalent square PositiveEDUCATA Category Educati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household head /illiterate,read and write, grade 1-4, grade 5-8 and grade>8/PositiveSEXHEAD Dummy Sex <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the household head (1=male, 0=female) PositiveCUTLAND C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Cultivated land size in hectare 1.5 1.2 PositiveLIVESTOC C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Total livestock holding in TLU 6.7 4.2 PositiveDISMARKE C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Distance from the market place in km 6.7 2.1 NegativeSOILFERT Dummy Farmers’ percepti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> soil fertility status (1=Positivefertile, 0= infertile)SUPPEX Dummy Access to extensi<strong>on</strong> service (1= access, 0=noPositiveaccess)CREDIT Dummy Access to credit (1=access, 0=no access) PositiveNEARNESS C<strong>on</strong>tinuous Nearness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> households to water source in km 13.0 9.7 PositiveTable 2. Comparis<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> expenditure per adult equivalent between irrigators andn<strong>on</strong>-irrigatorsUserN<strong>on</strong>userMean Std Mean StdMD t - value<strong>Food</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>expenditure 1322.3 563.4 774.4 369.7 547.8 8.0 ***Total expenditure 1,780.3 946.4 955.6 434.5 824.7 7.9 ***Coping strategy index 11.4 13.9 31.4 16.1 19.93 9.1 ***Source: survey result (2006)*** indicates significance level at 1 percent.189


Table 3. Summary <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> descriptive statistics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sample households by access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>/c<strong>on</strong>tinuous variables/UserN<strong>on</strong>userMean Std Mean StdMD t - valueHEADAGE 46.8 14.4 49.5 12.5 2.7 1.4HHSIZEAE 4.3 1.7 5.1 1.8 0.7 3.0 ***DEPRATIO 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 ***CUTLAND 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.9LIVESTOC 7.3 3.4 5.0 2.6 2.2 3.6 ***TOTPRODUC 13,689.1 21,706.8 2,255.4 3,487.0 11,433.7 5.2 ***TOTEXPEN 1,780.3 946.4 955.6 434.5 824.7 7.9 ***DISMARKE 7.3 2.2 6.1 1.9 1.2 4.0 ***Source: Survey result (2006)*** indicates significance level at 1 percent.Table 4. Summary <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> descriptive statistics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sample households by access to irrigati<strong>on</strong>/discrete variables/Variable User N<strong>on</strong>user Total χ2EDUCATAGORY 0.007***Illiterate 69 58 127Read and write 1 13 14Grade 1-4 3 7 10Grade 5-8 15 15 30Grade >8 12 7 19SEXHEAD 0.6Female 7 9 16Male 93 91 184SUPPEX 0.002***Access to extensi<strong>on</strong> 67 45 112No access to extensi<strong>on</strong> 33 55 88CREDIT 0.01***Access to credit 31 48 79No access to credit 69 52 121SOILFERT 0.001***Fertile 93 67 160Infertile 7 33 40Source: Survey result (2006)*** indicates significance level at 1 percent.190


Table 5. Estimati<strong>on</strong> result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Binary Probit model and its Marginal EffectVariable Coefficient Marginal effectCONSTANT 2.634(0.203)1.050(0.203)AGEHEAD -0.861(0.248)-0.343(0.248)HHSIZEAE -0.764(0.021) ** -0.304(0.021)SEXHEAD 0.414(0.438)0.165(0.438)EDUCATAGORY -0.293(0.764)-0.117(0.764)DISMARKE -0.324(0.673)-0.129(0.673)CUTLAND -0.604(0.004) *** -0.241(0.004)LIVESTOC 0.362(0.000) *** 0.144(0.000)SOILFERT 0.838(0.019) *** 0.334(0.019)SUPPEX -0.427(0.169)-0.170(0.169)CREDIT -0.615(0.024) ** -0.245(0.024)NEARNESS 0.403(0.008) *** 0.160(0.008)AGEHEAD2 0.722(0.302)0.288(0.302)HHSIZEAE2 0.687(0.034) ** 0.274(0.034)Dependent variableAccess to irrigati<strong>on</strong>Weighting variableOneNumber <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Observati<strong>on</strong>s 193Logliklihood functi<strong>on</strong> -69.13Restricted log likelihood -133.65Chi squared 129.03Degree <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> freedom 13Significance level 0.00Source: Model out put (2006)*** and** are level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> significance at 1 percent and 5 percent respectivelyValues in parenthesis are p values191


Table 6. Estimati<strong>on</strong> Result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Selecti<strong>on</strong> Equati<strong>on</strong> and its Marginal EffectVariable Coefficient Marginal effect1553.936576.882-331.133CONSTANT 1553.936(0.000) *** (0.000) ***ACCIRRIG 576.882(0.000) *** (0.000) ***AGEHEAD 14.918(0.348)14.918(0.348)HHSIZEAE -391.676(0.000) *** -391.676(0.000) ***SEXHEAD -331.133(0.001) *** (0.001) ***EDUCATAGORY 1.736(0.930)1.736(0.930)DISMARKE 13.567(0.378)13.567(0.378)CUTLAND 85.751(0.058) * 85.751(0.058) *LIVESTOC -5.063(0.717)-5.063(0.717)SOILFERT -47.613(0.534)-47.613(0.534)SUPPEX 117.729(0.069) * 117.729(0.069) *CREDIT -44.539(0.429)-44.539(0.429)NEARNESS 9.602(0.009) *** 9.602(0.009) ***AGEHEAD2 -0.112(0.441)-0.112(0.441)HHSIZEAE2 25.607(0.001) *** 25.607(0.001) ***LAMBDA -243.448(0.041) **Dependent variableNumber <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Observati<strong>on</strong>s 193Selecti<strong>on</strong> rule is: User =1Log-L = -1395.69Restricted (b=0) Log -L = -1489.70R-squared = 0.58Correlati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> disturbance inregressi<strong>on</strong> and selecti<strong>on</strong> criteria(Rho)Total food (Total food expenditureper adult equivalent per annum)-0.67Prob value = 0.00Source: model out put (2006)*** ** and * show level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> significance at 1percent, 5 percent and 10 percent probability level.Values in parenthesis are p values192

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