Radiology in 2020 - Aaarad.org

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Radiology 2020• “Use the Forces” ” (Free Market)• “Moving on up” (Governmental Control)• “Reverse Polarity” (Institutional Controls)NOTE THE CATCHY NAMES
Scenario I“Use the Forces”• The government, facinghealthcare costs consuming23% of the GNP, hasdecided under PresidentRoss Perot that free marketcapitalism will reign and thata new era of deregulationwill commence.
Page 1 and 2: Radiology 2020A Guiding Look AheadN
Page 3 and 4: “Study the past if you woulddefin
Page 5 and 6: Technology in 1996EV1 - first moder
Page 7 and 8: Healthcare & Radiology 1996“Cost
Page 9 and 10: Healthcare & Radiology 1996“Radio
Page 11 and 12: 1996 Predictions of the Future“Th
Page 13 and 14: “Study the past if youwould defin
Page 15 and 16: Predictions and StrategyDid notmoti
Page 17 and 18: Predictions and Strategy“Radiolog
Page 19 and 20: Predictions and Strategy“The futu
Page 21 and 22: When it comes to makingpredictions
Page 23 and 24: Punctuated Equilibriumpunctuationch
Page 25 and 26: Change is a “Step‐Function”
Page 27 and 28: And One of Prediction• When does
Page 29 and 30: It would be a mistake,however, to c
Page 31 and 32: Environmental Influences• Healthc
Page 33: Scenarios• The goal is to define
Page 37 and 38: Scenario I“Use the Forces”• T
Page 39 and 40: Scenario I“Use the Forces”• S
Page 41 and 42: Scenario I“Use the Forces”• I
Page 43 and 44: Scenario II“Moving on up”• Wi
Page 45 and 46: Scenario II“Moving on up”• Th
Page 47 and 48: Scenario II“Moving on up”• To
Page 49 and 50: Scenario II“Moving on up”• Wh
Page 51 and 52: Scenario IIIReverse Polarity• Hos
Page 53 and 54: Potential Futures…not future• L
Page 55 and 56: End with questions not answers• W
Page 57 and 58: Questions• What should our strate
Page 59 and 60: The future is a range of possible o
Page 61 and 62: modern portfolio theorydiversificat
Page 63 and 64: Leadership therefore consists incre
Page 65 and 66: Strong chairWeak chairWealthy deptP
Page 67 and 68: Jon covers IT and we should be the
Page 69 and 70: Marty says since 1988 marty has sai
Page 71: the healthcare states a directions
Page 74 and 75: Scenario IIITides Turn• the gover

Radiology in 2020 - Aaarad.org

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