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The Centennial Resilience Index: Expanding Its Coverage and ...

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THE CENTENNIAL RESILIENCE INDEX: EXPANDING ITS COVERAGE AND TESTING ITS PREDICTIVE POWER<strong>Resilience</strong> <strong>Index</strong> Variables <strong>and</strong> Sources (Sorted by Element)Private Debt• BIS & WEO: Change Over 3 Years in the Ratio of Total Foreign Claims of BIS-Reporting Banks to GDP* (floor set at -20%)• BIS & WEO: Total Foreign Claims of BIS-Reporting Banks to GDP*• BIS, IFS, & EST: Change Over 2 Years in the Ratio of Loans from BIS-Reporting Banks to Private Credit by Domestic DepositMoney Banks* (floor of -20%)• IFS, WEO, & EST: Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks to GDP*• IFS, WEO, & EST: Change over 3 years of the Ratio of Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks to GDP*Reserves• IFS, WEO, & EIU: Total Reserves Minus Gold to GDP*• IFS & WEO: Net International Investment Position to GDP*Note: A two-year moving average was applied to all Asset Quality, Capital Base, <strong>and</strong> Income Risk variables.A three-year movingaverage was applied to the first <strong>and</strong> third Private External Debt variables.Note: <strong>The</strong> types of financial firms included in the Bankscope search criteria used for for all Bankscope data are Commerical Banks,Savings Banks, Cooperative Banks, Real Estate <strong>and</strong> Mortgage Banks, Islamic Banks, Other Non-Banking Credit Institutions, Micro-Financing Institutions, <strong>and</strong> Credit Card, Factoring, <strong>and</strong> Leasing Finance Companies.

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