The Centennial Resilience Index: Expanding Its Coverage and ...

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THE CENTENNIAL RESILIENCE INDEX: EXPANDING ITS COVERAGE AND TESTING ITS PREDICTIVE POWERResilience Index Variables and Sources (Sorted by Element)Private Debt• BIS & WEO: Change Over 3 Years in the Ratio of Total Foreign Claims of BIS-Reporting Banks to GDP* (floor set at -20%)• BIS & WEO: Total Foreign Claims of BIS-Reporting Banks to GDP*• BIS, IFS, & EST: Change Over 2 Years in the Ratio of Loans from BIS-Reporting Banks to Private Credit by Domestic DepositMoney Banks* (floor of -20%)• IFS, WEO, & EST: Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks to GDP*• IFS, WEO, & EST: Change over 3 years of the Ratio of Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks to GDP*Reserves• IFS, WEO, & EIU: Total Reserves Minus Gold to GDP*• IFS & WEO: Net International Investment Position to GDP*Note: A two-year moving average was applied to all Asset Quality, Capital Base, and Income Risk variables.A three-year movingaverage was applied to the first and third Private External Debt variables.Note: The types of financial firms included in the Bankscope search criteria used for for all Bankscope data are Commerical Banks,Savings Banks, Cooperative Banks, Real Estate and Mortgage Banks, Islamic Banks, Other Non-Banking Credit Institutions, Micro-Financing Institutions, and Credit Card, Factoring, and Leasing Finance Companies.
Appendix 2List of CountriesAdvanced countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece,Hong Kong, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore,Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United StatesCentral & Eastern Europe: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Croatia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, TurkeyCommonwealth of Independent States: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Russia, UkraineDeveloping Asia: Bangladesh, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand, VietnamMiddle East and North Africa: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, United Arab EmiratesSub-Saharan Africa: Botswana, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa,Tanzania, Uganda, ZambiaWestern Hemisphere: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala,Mexico, Panama, Peru, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Venezuela
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Page 13 and 14: Figure6Average inward FDI flows by
Page 17 and 18: Figure9CRB commodity index (equally
Page 19 and 20: since weakened, bringing down growt
Page 21: Figure11Elements of the resilience
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