Progress in Developing the National Asset Database
Progress in Developing the National Asset Database
Progress in Developing the National Asset Database
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Attack (GCOA) tool. 42 This tool is an automated process for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g largenumbers of targets and attack modes to estimate, at a high level, <strong>the</strong>consequences of terrorist attacks. IP <strong>in</strong>tended to run <strong>the</strong> tool on <strong>the</strong> NADB <strong>in</strong>September 2005, but flaws <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> methodology and data quality concernsstalled <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> GCOA tool. These issues have now beenresolved, but technical concerns cont<strong>in</strong>ue to limit wide-scale implementation.At <strong>the</strong> time of our report, IP had not performed this analysis.Expert Panels. IP <strong>in</strong>tends to use expert panels consist<strong>in</strong>g mostly of privatesector representatives to review and ref<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> NADB. IP will provide panelsdata it has collected for each sector, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> results of gross consequenceof attack analysis should it become available. The panels will focus ondevelop<strong>in</strong>g a methodology to measure and compare consequence by assign<strong>in</strong>gvalues to various sector segments, such as prioritiz<strong>in</strong>g sector operations. Thepanels plan to review, sort, and rank all of <strong>the</strong>ir sector’s assets, too. Delays <strong>in</strong>process<strong>in</strong>g state-submitted data prevented <strong>the</strong> panels from conven<strong>in</strong>g last year.The first expert panel met for <strong>the</strong> chemical sector <strong>in</strong> March 2006, and IP<strong>in</strong>tends for expert panels to have concluded for all sectors by October 2006.Normalization. To develop a common risk analysis methodology that allowsfor comparability of consequence, vulnerability, threat and risk measurements,IP is develop<strong>in</strong>g a suite of tools called Risk Analysis and Management forCritical <strong>Asset</strong> Protection (RAMCAP). RAMCAP is <strong>in</strong>tended to provide assetowners and operators a means to calculate <strong>the</strong> potential consequences andvulnerability to an attack us<strong>in</strong>g a common and consistent system ofmeasurements, or <strong>the</strong> means to convert <strong>the</strong> results from prior assessmentsperformed with select approved methodologies <strong>in</strong>to results that can becompared to those obta<strong>in</strong>ed us<strong>in</strong>g RAMCAP methodologies. WithoutRAMCAP, <strong>the</strong> ability to gauge an <strong>in</strong>dividual asset’s value or compare itsimportance to that of ano<strong>the</strong>r asset will rema<strong>in</strong> subjective and dependent upon<strong>the</strong> assessor’s personal knowledge or awareness about an asset.SSAs will complete and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir own risk assessments and IP willcomplete and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> national cross-sector risk assessments. Riskassessments are ongo<strong>in</strong>g and IP does not envision a def<strong>in</strong>itive end-date when<strong>the</strong>y will be complete. IP is work<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> SSAs and o<strong>the</strong>r sector partnersto develop, implement, and validate RAMCAP consequence and vulnerabilityassessment methodologies across <strong>the</strong> 17 CI/KR sectors. Assessments us<strong>in</strong>gRAMCAP have been conducted only <strong>in</strong> some sectors, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> pilot stages of42 The contractor developed three GCOA tools: Methodology for Indirect Economic Loss Model, Methodology forCasualty and Damage Models, and Hazard Methodology.<strong>Progress</strong> <strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> <strong>Database</strong>20