J.6624-Sunday-Times-June-2015-Report

J6624 : Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll June Barometer No1 2015Q10 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?Base : All Irish Voters Total Party Support Likelihood ConstituencyFiannaFailFineGaelLabourPartyGreenPartySinnFeinIndependent /OthersDon'tKnow /WouldNotVoteWouldvoteWouldDefvoteWouldProbvoteMight/mightnotWouldnotVote5 Seats 4 Seats 3 SeatsWeighted Total 3,254 557 499 137 36 515 598 911 2,774 2,245 530 210 225 1,181 1,142 931Unweighted Total 912 158 142 42 10 151 168 241 783 637 146 51 67 327 336 249Would definitely vote 2,245 412 421 123 26 393 463 408 2,245 2,245 - - - 803 867 57469% 74% 84% 90% 70% 76% 77% 45% 81% 100% - - - 68% 76% 62%Would probably vote 530 105 64 10 5 75 85 185 530 - 530 - - 195 144 19016% 19% 13% 7% 14% 15% 14% 20% 19% - 100% - - 17% 13% 20%Might/might not vote 210 13 5 2 - 33 26 130 - - - 210 - 72 32 1066% 2% 1% 1% - 6% 4% 14% - - - 100% - 6% 3% 11%Would probably not vote 72 8 - - - 5 3 57 - - - - 72 25 34 132% 1% - - - 1% 0% 6% - - - - 32% 2% 3% 1%Would definitely not vote 154 13 8 2 6 9 8 108 - - - - 154 70 59 245% 2% 2% 2% 16% 2% 1% 12% - - - - 68% 6% 5% 3%Don’t know (DO NOT READOUT)44 7 - - - - 13 23 - - - - - 15 6 231% 1% - - - - 2% 3% - - - - - 1% 1% 2%- ANY Would Vote 2,774 516 485 133 31 468 548 593 2,774 2,245 530 - - 998 1,011 76585% 93% 97% 97% 84% 91% 92% 65% 100% 100% 100% - - 85% 89% 82%- ANY Would Not 225 20 8 2 6 13 11 164 - - - - 225 95 93 387% 4% 2% 2% 16% 3% 2% 18% - - - - 100% 8% 8% 4%Mean 4.45 4.63 4.78 4.83 4.24 4.63 4.70 3.82 4.81 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.32 4.41 4.52 4.41Standard deviation 1.04 0.80 0.63 0.63 1.43 0.79 0.70 1.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 1.10 1.05 0.94Maximum 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 5 5 5Table 12 Behaviour & Attitudes (Private & Confidential) Page 24