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Martina Schäfer, Noara Kebir, Daniel Philipp (editors) - TU Berlin

Martina Schäfer, Noara Kebir, Daniel Philipp (editors) - TU Berlin

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PROCEEDINGS Conference MPDES 2011<br />

However, overall, gasification outperformed wind and<br />

anaerobic digestion on the social criterion. This is due<br />

mainly to higher socio-economic benefits from job<br />

creation. Anaerobic digestion has the least overall ranking<br />

in social criterion. This use of human and animal wastes<br />

for biogas production and the subsequent digested sludge<br />

as a source of fertiliser faces cultural and health resistant<br />

from the community. On the environmental sustainability,<br />

wind technology suffers from visual impact (aesthetic).<br />

However, some of the stakeholders argued that wind<br />

technology executed with thoughtfulness, will blend in<br />

seamlessly with its surroundings and could be viewed as a<br />

sculptural element of the landscape. It was generally<br />

accepted that wind technologies are better neighbours than<br />

traditional energy sources and provide power generation<br />

with zero to low carbon emissions. On the impact on birds<br />

and terrestrial ecosystem, the impact from wind<br />

technology is very small compared to buildings,<br />

communication towers and transmission towers. Today’s<br />

tubular tower design gives no reason for birds to be<br />

attracted for nesting as the older scaffold design had been.<br />

Proper siting of the technology is however the most<br />

important aspect to reduce risk to birds and terrestrial<br />

ecosystem. Sites should be studied to determine the<br />

migratory and local avian patterns for sustainable<br />

development. The largest barrier for PV’s extensive<br />

utilization is its high cost. Despite the fact the cost has<br />

decreased over the years as newer technologies and<br />

advancements dictates a more economic viability for<br />

broader use, the overall cost is still unaffordable for most<br />

of the Eastern Cape rural communities.<br />

A head-to-head comparison between photovoltaic and<br />

wind, shown in Figure 4, revealed that wind technology is<br />

both environmentally and economically more sustainable<br />

than photovoltaic.<br />

Photovoltaic on the other hand is more socially and<br />

technically sustainable than wind. From the social<br />

sustainability point of view, some of the concerns raised<br />

by the community include opportunities for local<br />

employment arising from the manufacture, installation<br />

and operation due to the specialised knowledge or<br />

equipment required for wind technology and the fact that<br />

wind prospecting is still in its infancy in South Africa.<br />

The technical sustainability which entails using best<br />

practice products, services, work practices and<br />

institutional arrangements, as well as the fostering of<br />

appropriate innovation in hardware, software and<br />

institutional framework, with an appropriate balance of<br />

self-sufficiency objectives at local, regional and national<br />

levels favours the application of photovoltaic technology.<br />

This is primarily due to the locally available technology<br />

and experience with this technology. South Africa has<br />

over 20 years experience in the manufacture and<br />

distribution of PV systems. The bulk of the companies<br />

produce Balance of System (BOS) component for use as<br />

electrical controls and power storage device (GTZ, 2010).<br />

However, the mean price of electricity generated from PV<br />

is higher than wind technology.<br />

A head-to-head comparison between photovoltaic and<br />

anaerobic digestion is illustrated in Figure 5. The Figure<br />

revealed that photovoltaic is socially, environmentally and<br />

technically more sustainable, while anaerobic digestion is<br />

more economically sustainable. A central feature of both<br />

biogas and photovoltaic technology is that almost all<br />

expenses need to be financed upfront, with very low<br />

operating expenses thereafter (Amigun and von Blottnitz,<br />

2007). This is problematic where poverty is endemic.<br />

Anaerobic digestion is economically sustainable<br />

compared to photovoltaic because the technology is<br />

constructed with locally available materials such as<br />

cement, stones, and a mixture of quicklime, sand and clay<br />

and no industrially advanced materials.<br />

A sensitivity analysis was carried out to explore the<br />

stability of the alternative priority structure. Specifically,<br />

the aim was to explore the sensitivity of decision-making<br />

processes to simultaneous variations of the preference<br />

parameters. The consequence of these preferential<br />

uncertainties on the results of the analysis could then be<br />

ascertained. Figure 6 show the overall performance scores<br />

of the alternatives when the weight of the criterion under<br />

consideration is varied from 0 to 1. The vertical axis in<br />

Figure 6 represents the overall value of the alternatives<br />

and the horizontal axis represents the variation scale of the<br />

weight-from zero to one- for each criterion. The point<br />

where an alternative line intersects such a vertical line, as<br />

read from the axis on the right (labelled Alt%) indicates<br />

the priority the alternative received on that criterion.<br />

The overall priority of each alternative is where it<br />

intersects the rightmost axis. It was found that the overall<br />

ranking of PV solar was the highest when the weight of<br />

the social criterion was changed from the initial 25% to<br />

46% while, keeping the proportions among the remaining<br />

weights unchanged. This is followed by wind, gasification<br />

and lastly anaerobic digestion technology. When the<br />

weight of the technical criterion was changed to 93% from<br />

the initial 25%, wind technology moves to the second<br />

position and photovoltaic becomes the preferred<br />

electricity generation technology option. A change in the<br />

weight of the environmental criterion to 46% will only<br />

make gasification technology the third preferred<br />

technology after wind and solar PV. The change in weight<br />

to 100% does not have any significant impact on the<br />

ranking of the wind and solar PV technologies. Economic<br />

criterion has a significant impact on the order of<br />

technology ranking. Increasing the weight from the initial<br />

25% to 31% will push anaerobic digestion to the second<br />

place after wind technology. At 33% increase, PV solar<br />

was the least ranking after wind, anaerobic digestion and<br />

gasification. The sensitivity analysis indicated that<br />

economic criterion has the highest impact, followed by<br />

social criterion.<br />

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