Martina Schäfer, Noara Kebir, Daniel Philipp (editors) - TU Berlin
Martina Schäfer, Noara Kebir, Daniel Philipp (editors) - TU Berlin
Martina Schäfer, Noara Kebir, Daniel Philipp (editors) - TU Berlin
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PROCEEDINGS Conference MPDES 2011<br />
However, overall, gasification outperformed wind and<br />
anaerobic digestion on the social criterion. This is due<br />
mainly to higher socio-economic benefits from job<br />
creation. Anaerobic digestion has the least overall ranking<br />
in social criterion. This use of human and animal wastes<br />
for biogas production and the subsequent digested sludge<br />
as a source of fertiliser faces cultural and health resistant<br />
from the community. On the environmental sustainability,<br />
wind technology suffers from visual impact (aesthetic).<br />
However, some of the stakeholders argued that wind<br />
technology executed with thoughtfulness, will blend in<br />
seamlessly with its surroundings and could be viewed as a<br />
sculptural element of the landscape. It was generally<br />
accepted that wind technologies are better neighbours than<br />
traditional energy sources and provide power generation<br />
with zero to low carbon emissions. On the impact on birds<br />
and terrestrial ecosystem, the impact from wind<br />
technology is very small compared to buildings,<br />
communication towers and transmission towers. Today’s<br />
tubular tower design gives no reason for birds to be<br />
attracted for nesting as the older scaffold design had been.<br />
Proper siting of the technology is however the most<br />
important aspect to reduce risk to birds and terrestrial<br />
ecosystem. Sites should be studied to determine the<br />
migratory and local avian patterns for sustainable<br />
development. The largest barrier for PV’s extensive<br />
utilization is its high cost. Despite the fact the cost has<br />
decreased over the years as newer technologies and<br />
advancements dictates a more economic viability for<br />
broader use, the overall cost is still unaffordable for most<br />
of the Eastern Cape rural communities.<br />
A head-to-head comparison between photovoltaic and<br />
wind, shown in Figure 4, revealed that wind technology is<br />
both environmentally and economically more sustainable<br />
than photovoltaic.<br />
Photovoltaic on the other hand is more socially and<br />
technically sustainable than wind. From the social<br />
sustainability point of view, some of the concerns raised<br />
by the community include opportunities for local<br />
employment arising from the manufacture, installation<br />
and operation due to the specialised knowledge or<br />
equipment required for wind technology and the fact that<br />
wind prospecting is still in its infancy in South Africa.<br />
The technical sustainability which entails using best<br />
practice products, services, work practices and<br />
institutional arrangements, as well as the fostering of<br />
appropriate innovation in hardware, software and<br />
institutional framework, with an appropriate balance of<br />
self-sufficiency objectives at local, regional and national<br />
levels favours the application of photovoltaic technology.<br />
This is primarily due to the locally available technology<br />
and experience with this technology. South Africa has<br />
over 20 years experience in the manufacture and<br />
distribution of PV systems. The bulk of the companies<br />
produce Balance of System (BOS) component for use as<br />
electrical controls and power storage device (GTZ, 2010).<br />
However, the mean price of electricity generated from PV<br />
is higher than wind technology.<br />
A head-to-head comparison between photovoltaic and<br />
anaerobic digestion is illustrated in Figure 5. The Figure<br />
revealed that photovoltaic is socially, environmentally and<br />
technically more sustainable, while anaerobic digestion is<br />
more economically sustainable. A central feature of both<br />
biogas and photovoltaic technology is that almost all<br />
expenses need to be financed upfront, with very low<br />
operating expenses thereafter (Amigun and von Blottnitz,<br />
2007). This is problematic where poverty is endemic.<br />
Anaerobic digestion is economically sustainable<br />
compared to photovoltaic because the technology is<br />
constructed with locally available materials such as<br />
cement, stones, and a mixture of quicklime, sand and clay<br />
and no industrially advanced materials.<br />
A sensitivity analysis was carried out to explore the<br />
stability of the alternative priority structure. Specifically,<br />
the aim was to explore the sensitivity of decision-making<br />
processes to simultaneous variations of the preference<br />
parameters. The consequence of these preferential<br />
uncertainties on the results of the analysis could then be<br />
ascertained. Figure 6 show the overall performance scores<br />
of the alternatives when the weight of the criterion under<br />
consideration is varied from 0 to 1. The vertical axis in<br />
Figure 6 represents the overall value of the alternatives<br />
and the horizontal axis represents the variation scale of the<br />
weight-from zero to one- for each criterion. The point<br />
where an alternative line intersects such a vertical line, as<br />
read from the axis on the right (labelled Alt%) indicates<br />
the priority the alternative received on that criterion.<br />
The overall priority of each alternative is where it<br />
intersects the rightmost axis. It was found that the overall<br />
ranking of PV solar was the highest when the weight of<br />
the social criterion was changed from the initial 25% to<br />
46% while, keeping the proportions among the remaining<br />
weights unchanged. This is followed by wind, gasification<br />
and lastly anaerobic digestion technology. When the<br />
weight of the technical criterion was changed to 93% from<br />
the initial 25%, wind technology moves to the second<br />
position and photovoltaic becomes the preferred<br />
electricity generation technology option. A change in the<br />
weight of the environmental criterion to 46% will only<br />
make gasification technology the third preferred<br />
technology after wind and solar PV. The change in weight<br />
to 100% does not have any significant impact on the<br />
ranking of the wind and solar PV technologies. Economic<br />
criterion has a significant impact on the order of<br />
technology ranking. Increasing the weight from the initial<br />
25% to 31% will push anaerobic digestion to the second<br />
place after wind technology. At 33% increase, PV solar<br />
was the least ranking after wind, anaerobic digestion and<br />
gasification. The sensitivity analysis indicated that<br />
economic criterion has the highest impact, followed by<br />
social criterion.<br />
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