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Deep carbon reductions in California require electrification and ...

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Environ. Res. Lett. 8 (2013) 014038M Wei et alTable 1. Summary table of energy dem<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> emission <strong>in</strong>tensities for build<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>in</strong>dustry, <strong>and</strong> transportation sectors for 2011 <strong>and</strong> four 2050 cases. State population is assumed to <strong>in</strong>crease60% to 59.5 million residents <strong>in</strong> 2050 from 37.7 million residents currently.Energy supply Units20112050 frozenefficiency2050<strong>in</strong>creasedefficiencyEnergy Relative emissions <strong>in</strong>tensity relative to current (2011 = 1)2050 <strong>in</strong>creasedefficiency,low-GHGelectricity,<strong>electrification</strong>,biofuelsBuild<strong>in</strong>gs2050 compliant(<strong>in</strong>creasedefficiency,low-GHGelectricity,<strong>electrification</strong>,biofuels,conservation)2050frozenefficiency2050<strong>in</strong>creasedefficiency2050 <strong>in</strong>creasedefficiency,low-GHGelectricity,<strong>electrification</strong>,biofuels2050 compliant(<strong>in</strong>creasedefficiency,low-GHGelectricity,<strong>electrification</strong>,biofuels,conservation)Liquid, solid Tbtu 52 77 54 17 15 1 1 1 1fuelsGaseous fuel Tbtu 710 1 052 735 227 209 1 1 1 1Sum Tbtu 762 1 129 789 244 224Change 48% −30% −69% −8%Electricity GWh 176 500 288 200 178 800 213 400 196 500 1 1 0.12 0.12Change 63% −38% 19% −8%IndustryLiquid, solid Tbtu 496 611 276 130 94 1 1 0.86 0.86fuelsGaseous fuel Tbtu 1 039 1 255 604 322 232 1 1 0.94 0.94Sum Tbtu 1 535 1 866 880 452 325Change 22% −53% −49% −28%Electricity GWh 47 200 81 100 58 400 91 900 66 200 1 1 0.12 0.12Change 72% −28% 57% −28%TransportationLiquid, solidfuelsBgge 21.4 38.5 20.2 10.6 8.8 1 1 0.50 0.50Change 80% −48% −48% −17%Electricity GWh 0 0 0 97 000 80 900 1 1 0.12 0.12Change −17%5

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