Urban Growth Monitor 2012 - Part A - Western Australian Planning ...

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Urban Growth MonitorPerth Metropolitan, Peel and Greater Bunbury Regions2. IntroductionLand supply is one of the most widely discussedaspects of the Western Australian planningand development system. Maintaining asuitable stock of land for urban developmentfacilitates healthy population growth and stableeconomic development. In the context of recentglobal economic uncertainty and rapid localpopulation growth, effective management ofland supply is particularly important and is a toppriority for the Western Australian Government.The term ‘land supply’ is used often, but indifferent contexts with quite different meanings.In its broadest sense, it can refer to the amountof available broad-hectare land, regardlessof whether that land is zoned or suitable fordevelopment. It is also used to refer to theamount of land that is zoned for urban, industrialor commercial use in a region scheme and isundeveloped. From a public perspective, mostbuyers of residential land use the term ‘landsupply’ in reference to the number of developedand serviced lots that are available to purchase.The Urban Growth Monitor is prepared as acomponent of the Department of Planning’sUrban Development Program (UDP) for theWAPC to fulfil the requirements for tracking andmodelling land supply as outlined in the Planningand Development Act 2005. The Act sets out thevarious functions of the WAPC, which includedeveloping models to better understand landsupply and development, and to promote suchknowledge to the benefit of any organisation orindividual undertaking land use planning andland development.This document is one of a wider range ofdocuments produced as part of the UDPreporting on land supply, subdivision andhousing activity (see Table 2.1). More informationon the Urban Development Program and landsupply is available from the Planning WA website(www.planning.wa.gov.au).The Urban Growth Monitor reports on severalkey stages of the land supply process, however,its primary focus is the availability of landzoned for urban development. The tiered landsupply assessment model has been employedto provide a detailed analysis of the stock ofland zoned urban or urban deferred within theMetropolitan, Peel and Greater Bunbury regionschemes.In addition to this analysis of zoned land stocks,the Urban Growth Monitor also provides detailedinformation and analysis on other key stages ofthe land supply process including:• urban and urban deferred zoned land supply;• selected region scheme amendments andtheir status;• strategic planning in progress;• consumption rates of urban zoned land;• how long our current land supply will last;• subdivision approvals and activity; and• the stock of vacant subdivided lots.5
Urban Development Program other relevant publicationsPlanning and developmentstatisticsAnalysis and forecastsState of Land and Housing Supply• Up to date statistics on land and housing supply• Available online only.State Lot Activity• Subdivision approvals submitted, pending assessment,conditional approvals granted, developers’ stock ofapprovals and final approvals.Land Supply & Housing Activity• Development pipeline including subdivision approvals,housing finance, dwelling approvals, construction, lotsales and rental market.Housing Industry Forecasting Group -dwelling forecasts• Independent commentary on the housing sector anddwelling commencement forecasts.Urban Growth Monitor• Detailed modelling of supply and consumption(demand) of urban zoned land.Developers’ Intentions Survey• Intentions of land owners and developers to subdivideand develop land for all major land uses.Space Geographic coverage State (downto localgovernmentlevel)State (down tolocal governmentlevel)State, Perth,remainder of WAState, Perth,remainder of WAPerth, Peel& GreaterBunburyregionsStateTime Publication frequency Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Annual (+6 monthupdate)AnnualAs requiredFocus Past trends and current status✐ ☞ ✐Future projections / outlook✐ ☞Economy and employment✐DemandfactorsSupplypipelineInfrastructurePopulation and demographics✐Property market activity – rentals, salesand prices ✐ ☞Dwelling finance and buildingapprovals ✐ ☞Land consumption modelling✐Zoning and scheme amendments✐Subdivision applications and approvals✐ ☞ ✐ ☞Vacant lots✐ ✐ ☞Building approvals and construction✐ ☞ ✐ ☞Land supply modelling✐ ☞Physical infrastructure✐✐Community and human servicesinfrastructureDevelopment and infrastructurecoordination✐Land use Residential✐ ☞ ☞ ☞ ☞Industrial✐ ☞Commercial and retail✐ ☞✐urban growth monitor december 2012 6
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