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It has often been said that 99% of an enterprise's ... - Atomic Electricity

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LFTR’S DECENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT AS A RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PAGE 1 OF 5<strong>It</strong> <strong>has</strong> <strong><strong>of</strong>ten</strong> <strong>been</strong> <strong>said</strong> <strong>that</strong> <strong>99%</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> enterprise’s assets walk out the door everyday at fiveo’clock. This is never truer th<strong>an</strong> in a new comp<strong>an</strong>y dependent on innovation <strong>an</strong>d its successfulimplementation.Through comprehensive research, we have identified key scientists <strong>an</strong>d centers <strong>of</strong> excellence <strong>that</strong>already focus on the ‘str<strong>an</strong>ded development’ <strong>of</strong> molten salt breeder reactor technology. Theseindividuals <strong>an</strong>d centers personify mature pr<strong>of</strong>essionals committed to their working situationswith signific<strong>an</strong>t roots in their communities. We will invest in their productivity in these workingsituations where they are now, accelerating their current efforts <strong>an</strong>d generating extensiverefinements <strong>an</strong>d extensions <strong>of</strong> the two-fluid Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor [“LFTR”]intellectual property basis <strong>of</strong> our project’s world-class competitive adv<strong>an</strong>tage. This approachwill greatly accelerate the project’s velocity.The LFTR’s realization as the world’s best <strong>an</strong>d least-cost energy generation system requires ourexecution <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>agement <strong>of</strong> a complete supply chain. We have designed <strong>an</strong> IndependentPower Producer (IPP); this South Afric<strong>an</strong> enterprise will deploy <strong>an</strong>d operate LFTRs with wasteheat exploitation facilities (desalination, heat & refrigeration loops). The IPP will import LFTRs<strong>an</strong>d fuel from a strategic alli<strong>an</strong>ce comprised <strong>of</strong> a System Integrator (Indi<strong>an</strong>) enterprise <strong>an</strong>d aComponents M<strong>an</strong>ufacturer (Germ<strong>an</strong>) enterprise.Risk M<strong>an</strong>agement StrategyAn arm’s length tr<strong>an</strong>saction, in which the buyers <strong>an</strong>d sellers <strong>of</strong> a product act independently <strong>an</strong>dhave no relationship to each other is a basic ten<strong>an</strong>t <strong>of</strong> our strategy. The concept <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> arm'slength tr<strong>an</strong>saction is to ensure <strong>that</strong> both parties in the deal are acting in their own self-interest <strong>an</strong>dare not subject to <strong>an</strong>y pressure or duress from the other party.In the LFTR Supply Chain there must be demonstrable, arm’s length tr<strong>an</strong>sactions between theParties-at-Interest. This takes place in 4 distinct steps:(1) The developer <strong>has</strong> to purc<strong>has</strong>e research <strong>that</strong> c<strong>an</strong> be independently verified at a fair price <strong>that</strong>enables the researcher to survive <strong>an</strong>d flourish, but provides the developer with <strong>an</strong> output onwhich his investment c<strong>an</strong> turn a pr<strong>of</strong>it.(2) The m<strong>an</strong>ufacturer must convert these research outputs into a st<strong>an</strong>dardized mass-producedmodular LFTR working pl<strong>an</strong>t whose specifications c<strong>an</strong> be independently verified when soldat a fair price <strong>that</strong> enables the m<strong>an</strong>ufacturer to turn a pr<strong>of</strong>it on his m<strong>an</strong>ufacturing costs foreach pl<strong>an</strong>t.(3) The independent verification <strong>of</strong> the LFTR’s safety, operational, <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>agementspecifications must be conducted as <strong>an</strong> arm’s-length tr<strong>an</strong>saction by <strong>an</strong> independent systemsintegrator to the objective satisfaction <strong>of</strong> the IAEA <strong>an</strong>d federal government export authority<strong>of</strong> the systems integrator’s country <strong>of</strong> record.(4) The purc<strong>has</strong>er <strong>of</strong> the LFTR working pl<strong>an</strong>t should be able to acquire a working pl<strong>an</strong>t inaccord<strong>an</strong>ce with the independently-verified safety, operational, <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>agementspecifications agreed upon as the minimum requirements acceptable for the purc<strong>has</strong>e <strong>of</strong> thepl<strong>an</strong>t. The purc<strong>has</strong>er should be able to acquire, deploy, operate <strong>an</strong>d maintain a LFTRworking pl<strong>an</strong>t in accord<strong>an</strong>ce with the m<strong>an</strong>ufacturer-specified, <strong>an</strong>d system integrator-certifiedmethodology at a purc<strong>has</strong>e price <strong>an</strong>d operating cost <strong>that</strong> enables the LFTR system generation<strong>an</strong>d sale <strong>of</strong> electricity at the lowest cost <strong>of</strong> energy in the purc<strong>has</strong>er’s chosen energy markets.


LFTR’S DECENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT AS A RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PAGE 2 OF 5Peer review. This requires the evaluation <strong>of</strong> creative work or perform<strong>an</strong>ce by other people in thesame field in order to maintain or enh<strong>an</strong>ce the quality <strong>of</strong> the work or perform<strong>an</strong>ce in <strong>that</strong> field. <strong>It</strong>is predicated on the concept <strong>that</strong> a larger <strong>an</strong>d more diverse group <strong>of</strong> people will find moreweaknesses <strong>an</strong>d errors in a work or perform<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>an</strong>d make a more impartial evaluation <strong>of</strong> it th<strong>an</strong>just the creators alone.Peer review utilizes the independence <strong>of</strong> the reviewers in order to discourage cronyism (i.e.,favoritism shown to relatives, friends, or fellow employees <strong>of</strong> the same corporate entity) <strong>an</strong>dobtain <strong>an</strong> unbiased evaluation.Peer review for the m<strong>an</strong>ufacturer. The Scientific Advisory Committee will encompass multiplepoints <strong>of</strong> view for each development area (e.g., 1--Brayton cycle development: UC Berkeley,Czech University, Sc<strong>an</strong>dia National Labs; 2—Molten salt reprocessing: Nuclear ResearchInstitute Rez, Oak Ridge National Lab, Kim Johnson, K.Sorensen, Teledyne Brown Engineering,<strong>an</strong>d so on). Each one with a legitimately differing point <strong>of</strong> view -- the Chief Technology Officer<strong>an</strong>d the Steering Committee will select <strong>an</strong>d referee the efforts in each development area toachieve the LeBl<strong>an</strong>c LFTR design outcome cost-benefit requirements.Peer review <strong>of</strong> the LFTR. Neutronics computer codes will enable the modeling <strong>of</strong> all aspects <strong>of</strong>the LFTR. These programs will inform the development, but just as import<strong>an</strong>tly, they mustobjectively monitor <strong>an</strong>d verify each aspect <strong>of</strong> the development – build-up <strong>of</strong> noble metals / gases,TRU processing, heat exch<strong>an</strong>ger <strong>an</strong>d core / bl<strong>an</strong>ket barrier’s perform<strong>an</strong>ce, molten salt flow –each pl<strong>an</strong>t component <strong>an</strong>d behavior must be projected for regulators’ <strong>an</strong>alysis <strong>an</strong>d evaluationbefore the fact, <strong>an</strong>d proved out in real-time tests.The objective measurements <strong>of</strong> safety <strong>an</strong>d perform<strong>an</strong>ce parameters must be defined <strong>an</strong>ddemonstrated with computer modeling whose well-<strong>an</strong>notated operating methodology <strong>an</strong>dextensive results iterations c<strong>an</strong> be readily explicated <strong>an</strong>d justified to regulatory authorities. TheSystem Integrator uses its neutronics computer codes <strong>an</strong>d modeling to perform a fiduciaryreview <strong>an</strong>d verification <strong>of</strong> all regulatory issues encompassing the working pl<strong>an</strong>t. This SystemIntegrator effort must be executed contempor<strong>an</strong>eously with the development <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>ufacturingefforts so <strong>that</strong> independent process c<strong>an</strong> inform the other.These parallel <strong>an</strong>d objective processes will thus generate <strong>an</strong> optimally safe <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>ageableworking pl<strong>an</strong>t costs-benefits solution within the shortest amount <strong>of</strong> time. Performing theseprocesses serially through a singular enterprise invites reiteration <strong>of</strong> the development p<strong>has</strong>e toaddress after-the-fact regulator concerns before m<strong>an</strong>ufacturing c<strong>an</strong> commence <strong>an</strong>d LFTRworking pl<strong>an</strong>ts c<strong>an</strong> be certified for export.The regulatory authorities (IAEA <strong>an</strong>d Indi<strong>an</strong> Nuclear Export Authority) c<strong>an</strong> be educated in thesafety / operating issues <strong>an</strong>d concerns <strong>of</strong> two-fluid molten salt thorium breeder reactors. TheSystem Integrator’s modeling process will provide the regulatory authorities with a real-timeinterrogatory to inject questions <strong>an</strong>d challenges to the working pl<strong>an</strong>t as it is evolved <strong>an</strong>dtr<strong>an</strong>sformed into a mass-produced turnkey system. The third-party independence <strong>of</strong> this SystemIntegration effort is integral to its viability <strong>an</strong>d accept<strong>an</strong>ce by the regulatory authorities.Political Risks. India <strong>has</strong> org<strong>an</strong>ized its Global Centre for Nuclear Energy Partnerships todevelop new nuclear power generator designs.India <strong>has</strong> the second largest deposit <strong>of</strong> thorium in the world. India <strong>has</strong> very little ur<strong>an</strong>iumdeposits.


LFTR’S DECENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT AS A RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PAGE 3 OF 5India <strong>has</strong> focused on developing <strong>an</strong>d building <strong>an</strong> accelerator-based solid thorium fuel cyclereactor.There are several benefits from the proposed Indi<strong>an</strong> LFTR involvement:• Developing a neutronics computer coding capability to study the safety <strong>an</strong>d operations <strong>of</strong>LFTRs represents a complementary nuclear energy service for India which is intent onutilizing its vast thorium deposits.• LFTRs will provide a fuel export opportunity for India.• LFTRs will also fund the development <strong>an</strong>d deployment <strong>of</strong> a versatile neutronics computercoding enterprise <strong>that</strong> c<strong>an</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itably provide services for molten salt reactors as well as solidfuel cycle nuclear reactors.Challenges include Germ<strong>an</strong>y’s reli<strong>an</strong>ce on nuclear power pl<strong>an</strong>ts evidenced by fierce longst<strong>an</strong>dingopposition from Germ<strong>an</strong> environmentalists <strong>an</strong>d the Greens political party.“2010 was the year <strong>of</strong> the <strong>an</strong>ti-nuclear movement in Germ<strong>an</strong>y. Not since the catastrophicChernobyl meltdown 25 years ago were there as m<strong>an</strong>y people on Germ<strong>an</strong> streets protestingagainst nuclear power production as in 2010. More th<strong>an</strong> 360,000 objected to the government’sextending the operating lives <strong>of</strong> atomic power stations. But they went ahead regardless against thewill <strong>of</strong> a majority <strong>of</strong> the population…” Independent Media Centre, Australia, THr., 06J<strong>an</strong>11.“2011: An import<strong>an</strong>t Year in Germ<strong>an</strong> Politics”, 29 Dec 10, theTrumpet.com – “With seven out<strong>of</strong> Germ<strong>an</strong>y’s 16 states holding elections in 2011, next year could see some dramatic ch<strong>an</strong>ges inthe Germ<strong>an</strong> government. The opinions suggest only 37 percent <strong>of</strong> Germ<strong>an</strong>s support Germ<strong>an</strong>Ch<strong>an</strong>cellor Angela Merkel’s government. Germ<strong>an</strong>y’s SPIEGEL ONLINE reports <strong>that</strong> there ‘is ach<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>that</strong> her conservative CDU could lose every one <strong>of</strong> their votes whch would deal herauthority within the party a singing blow <strong>an</strong>d could even scupper her ch<strong>an</strong>ces <strong>of</strong> st<strong>an</strong>ding for athird term in 2013.“...Opinion polls suggest <strong>that</strong> the center-left SPD <strong>an</strong>d the Greens have a realistic ch<strong>an</strong>ce <strong>of</strong>ousting the CDU in Baden-Wurttemberg in what would be nothing less th<strong>an</strong> a politicalearthquake. The Greens are so strong in the state they could even end up as the senior partner ina coalition with the SPD. …The CDU’s coalition partner, the FDP, may have won 14.6% <strong>of</strong> thevote in the last elections, but its approval rating <strong>has</strong> shrunk to only 3% now…”Centre for Eastern Studies (http://www.osw.waw.pl) - “The Germ<strong>an</strong> energy sector: betweenpolitics <strong>an</strong>d economics”, Lukasz Antas, 1 Sep 10 – “The conflict over the extended usage <strong>of</strong>nuclear power <strong>an</strong>d the ‘price’ to be paid by the pl<strong>an</strong>t owners for this extended operation isintensifying inside the Germ<strong>an</strong> government. CDU/CSU <strong>an</strong>d the FDP tried to extend theoperational period in the coalition agreement.“However some CDU politici<strong>an</strong>s w<strong>an</strong>t this extension to be as short as possible. Less evidencesources <strong>of</strong> the dispute are the CDU’s position as a potential future coalition partner <strong>of</strong> the GreenParty” – there’s a fundamental conflict between politici<strong>an</strong>s who support ‘green technologies’ withpolitical representatives <strong>of</strong> the power utilities.”“Economic impacts from the promotion <strong>of</strong> renewable energies: The Germ<strong>an</strong> experience”,Rheinisch-Westfallsche Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung, Final Report, 2009 – “Anaggressive policy <strong>of</strong> generously subsidizing <strong>an</strong>d effectively m<strong>an</strong>dating ‘renewable’ electricitygeneration in Germ<strong>an</strong>y <strong>has</strong> led to a doubling <strong>of</strong> the renewable contribution to electricitygeneration in recent years…With a feed-in tariff <strong>of</strong> 43 Euro-Cents (USD 59 cents) per kWh in2009, solar electricity generated from PV is guar<strong>an</strong>teed the largest support <strong>of</strong> all rewnable energytechnologies. The feed-in tariff for PV is more th<strong>an</strong> 8 times higher th<strong>an</strong> the wholesale electricityprice, <strong>an</strong>d more th<strong>an</strong> 4 times the subsidy paid for electricity produced by on-shore wind turbines…


LFTR’S DECENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT AS A RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PAGE 5 OF 5• the Wassenaar Arr<strong>an</strong>gement, established to contribute to regional <strong>an</strong>d international security<strong>an</strong>d stability by promoting tr<strong>an</strong>sparency <strong>an</strong>d greater responsibility in tr<strong>an</strong>sfers <strong>of</strong> dual-usegoods <strong>an</strong>d technologies, thus preventing destabilizing accumulations,• the Z<strong>an</strong>gger Committee, whose members undertake not to provide (a) source or specialfissionable material, or (b) equipment or material especially designed or prepared for theprocessing, use or production <strong>of</strong> special fissionable materials, as well as• the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation <strong>of</strong> Nuclear Weapons (NPT).India is not a signatory to <strong>an</strong>y <strong>of</strong> the aforementioned Export Control Protocols, or the NPT aswell. Yet, India <strong>has</strong> <strong>been</strong> endorsed by the Nuclear Suppliers Group (including Germ<strong>an</strong>y). Thefollowing, taken from the India Gazette, emp<strong>has</strong>izes India’s respect for <strong>an</strong>d commitment toGerm<strong>an</strong>y’s support <strong>of</strong> India’s nuclear energy ambitions:“Visiting Indi<strong>an</strong> Prime Minister, Dr. M<strong>an</strong>moh<strong>an</strong> Singh, on Saturday, praised Germ<strong>an</strong>yfor supporting the opening <strong>of</strong> international commerce for India in the field <strong>of</strong> civilnuclear energy, adding <strong>that</strong> both sides have discussed the possibilities <strong>of</strong> entering intobilateral cooperation in civil nuclear energy. "We deeply value Germ<strong>an</strong>y's consistentsupport, including in the Nuclear Suppliers Group," <strong>said</strong> Singh in <strong>an</strong> opening statementissued during a joint press interaction here,” India Gazette, Sat., 11 Dec 2010, “SinghPraises Germ<strong>an</strong> Support For Opening Global Nuke Commerce to India”.<strong>It</strong> is in the best interests <strong>of</strong> the LFTR Supply Chain venture to minimize its regulatory pr<strong>of</strong>ileduring its early development <strong>an</strong>d m<strong>an</strong>ufacturing p<strong>has</strong>es.LFTRs must first be certified <strong>an</strong>d licensed for export by India, be fueled <strong>an</strong>d deployed in colocationwith their South Afric<strong>an</strong> local distribution grid electricity customers, <strong>an</strong>d sustain buriedoperations without incident for protracted periods. Once these steps are achieved, <strong>an</strong> elevation <strong>of</strong>the LFTR’s pr<strong>of</strong>ile c<strong>an</strong> educate the mainstream as to their enduring support <strong>of</strong> all stakeholders’prosperity.

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