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Capital Structure in the REIT Sector - Green Street Advisors

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<strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Structure</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>REIT</strong> <strong>Sector</strong> — July 1, 20095IV. What Would Miller & Modigliani Have to Say?Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani had a profound impact on modern f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>the</strong>ory, and nowherewas <strong>the</strong>ir work more pioneer<strong>in</strong>g, nor endur<strong>in</strong>g, than <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>sights <strong>the</strong>y provided on leverage. In a paper(which was <strong>in</strong>strumental <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g its authors <strong>the</strong> Nobel Prize <strong>in</strong> Economics) published <strong>in</strong> 1958, Mssrs.Miller and Modigliani (M&M) postulated that, <strong>in</strong> a perfect world, <strong>the</strong> level of debt at a company shouldhave no impact on <strong>the</strong> value of <strong>the</strong> company, i.e. <strong>the</strong> price of <strong>the</strong> stock. Put differently, <strong>the</strong> value of a firmis tied to <strong>the</strong> value of its assets (both tangible and <strong>in</strong>tangible), and how one chooses to divide this valuebetween debt holders and equity holders has no bear<strong>in</strong>g on overall value. Very simply, as debt <strong>in</strong>creases,risk-averse <strong>in</strong>vestors demand a higher return on <strong>the</strong> equity, and any improvement <strong>in</strong> net <strong>in</strong>come pershare generated by tak<strong>in</strong>g on more debt is fully offset by a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> multiple <strong>the</strong> market will award<strong>the</strong> shares.M&M: The Boost Leverage Provides to FFO is Offset by Lower Multiples$2.50FFO per ShareP/FFO Multiple14.0FFO/Sh$2.00$1.50$1.00$0.50$0.86$0.89$0.95$1.06$1.3312.010.08.06.04.02.0P/FFO Multiple$0.000% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%Leverage as % of Assets0.0In subsequent revisions to <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>itial <strong>the</strong>orem, M&M acknowledged that <strong>the</strong>ir “perfect world” assumptionwas not realistic, and that <strong>the</strong>re are two big exceptions that result <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> conclusion that an “optimalleverage ratio” exists for most companies. The two exceptions:1. Taxes: Tax laws <strong>in</strong> most countries allow companies to deduct <strong>in</strong>terest expense but not dividendpayments. This creates an “<strong>in</strong>terest tax shield” that has very real value to any taxable company thathas debt. Taken on its own, this issue would suggest that all taxable corporations should be veryhighly leveraged so as to m<strong>in</strong>imize <strong>the</strong> entity’s tax bill.2. Costs of Severe F<strong>in</strong>ancial Distress: The odds that a firm will <strong>in</strong>cur sizable costs associated with severef<strong>in</strong>ancial distress (e.g. bankruptcy) <strong>in</strong>crease as leverage goes higher. This puts a cap on howmuch leverage any firm should have and serves to offset <strong>the</strong> value of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest tax shield athigher leverage ratios.WWW.GREENSTREETADVISORS.COM© 2010, <strong>Green</strong> <strong>Street</strong> <strong>Advisors</strong>, Inc. - Use of this report is subject to <strong>the</strong> Terms of Use listed at <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> report.This report conta<strong>in</strong>s copyrighted subject matter and is covered under <strong>the</strong> <strong>Green</strong> <strong>Street</strong> <strong>Advisors</strong>' Terms of Use.<strong>Green</strong> <strong>Street</strong> <strong>Advisors</strong> reserves all rights not expressly granted.

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