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Ch 9 Interval Estimation

Ch 9. Interval Estimation

Ch 9. Interval Estimation

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<strong>Ch</strong> 9. <strong>Interval</strong> <strong>Estimation</strong><br />

Optimal theory for CI<br />

<strong>Ch</strong>apter 9<br />

Intro<br />

Finding <strong>Interval</strong><br />

Estimator<br />

Optimal theory<br />

for CI<br />

Definition (Probability of false coverage)<br />

For θ ′ ≠ θ, P θ [L(X) ≤ θ ′ ≤ U(X)]<br />

For θ ′ < θ, P θ [L(X) ≤ θ ′ ]<br />

For θ ′ > θ, P θ [θ ′ ≤ U(X)]<br />

Definition<br />

A 1 − α confidence interval with minimum probability of false<br />

coverage is called a Uniformly Most Accurate (UMA) 1 − α<br />

confidence interval.

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