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30 bgbb.PosteriorMeanDropoutRate<br />

bgbb.PosteriorMeanDropoutRate<br />

BG/BB Posterior Mean Dropout Rate<br />

Description<br />

Usage<br />

Computes the mean value of the marginal posterior value of Theta, the geometric dropout process<br />

parameter.<br />

bgbb.PosteriorMeanDropoutRate(params, x, t.x, n.cal)<br />

bgbb.rf.matrix.PosteriorMeanDropoutRate(params, rf.matrix)<br />

Arguments<br />

params<br />

x<br />

t.x<br />

n.cal<br />

rf.matrix<br />

BG/BB parameters - a vector with alpha, beta, gamma, and delta, in that order.<br />

Alpha and beta are unobserved parameters for the beta-Bernoulli transaction<br />

process. Gamma and delta are unobserved parameters for the beta-geometric<br />

dropout process.<br />

number of repeat transactions a customer made in the calibration period, or a<br />

vector of calibration period transaction frequencies.<br />

recency - the last transaction opportunity in which a customer made a transaction,<br />

or a vector of recencies.<br />

number of transaction opportunities in the calibration period, or a vector of calibration<br />

period transaction opportunities.<br />

recency-frequency matrix. It must contain columns for frequency ("x"), recency<br />

("t.x"), and the number of transaction opportunities in the calibration period<br />

("n.cal"). Note that recency must be the time between the start of the calibration<br />

period and the customer’s last transaction, not the time between the customer’s<br />

last transaction and the end of the calibration period.<br />

Details<br />

Value<br />

E(Theta | alpha, beta, gamma, delta, x, t.x, n).<br />

bgbb.PosteriorMeanLmProductMoment.<br />

This is calculated by setting l=0 and m=1 in<br />

x, t.x, and n.cal may be vectors. The standard rules for vector operations apply - if they are not<br />

of the same length, shorter vectors will be recycled (start over at the first element) until they are as<br />

long as the longest vector. It is advisable to keep vectors to the same length and to use single values<br />

for parameters that are to be the same for all calculations. If one of these parameters has a length<br />

greater than one, the output will be also be a vector.<br />

The posterior mean dropout rate.

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