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Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Technologies

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means that if you actually​do ​have the ability to predict the future <strong>and</strong> want to prove it, you must<br />

prove that you are timestamping ​one specific prediction​rather than that multiple predictions. If you<br />

are publishing hash‐based commitments, this is difficult to do. This is especially true in <strong>Bitcoin</strong>, since<br />

our secure timestamping system does not tie commitments to any individual’s public identity. If you<br />

don’t reveal them, it is easy to publish a large number of commitments <strong>and</strong> the ones you never reveal<br />

cannot easily be traced back to you.<br />

Figure 9.1:​A Twitter account which attempted to “prove” that the 2014 FIFA Men’s World Cup Final<br />

was rigged by “predicting” the outcome of the match. The first, third <strong>and</strong> fourth tweets ended up<br />

being true, the rest were deleted after the match.<br />

Secure timestamping the old‐fashioned way. ​Here’s a simple low‐tech way to do secure<br />

timestamping: publish the hash of your data in a newspaper, or some other media which is widely<br />

seen by the public, by purchasing an advertisement. Archives of old newspaper issues are maintained<br />

at libraries <strong>and</strong> online. This method provides a high degree of assurance that you knew that data on<br />

the day the newspaper was published. Later, when you want to reveal the data you committed, you<br />

can even take out a second advertisement to publish the data in the same newspaper.<br />

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