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Proposed Short-Lived Climate Pollutant Reduction Strategy

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levels of ozone pollution and provide additional climate, health, and other<br />

benefits. 76,77,78<br />

Regional ozone concentrations reflect contributions from both ozone formed from<br />

criteria pollutant emissions (NO X and volatile organic compounds [VOCs]) on a regional<br />

scale, and ozone transported on hemispheric scales (global background levels of<br />

ozone). Due to its low reactivity, methane emissions do not affect regional scale ozone<br />

production that occurs over hours to days. However, regional methane emissions which<br />

are fairly well-mixed in the atmosphere contribute to the global abundance of methane,<br />

which in turn contributes to global background levels of ozone. About two-thirds of the<br />

rise in global levels of tropospheric background ozone can be attributed to methane<br />

emissions. Studies have also shown that the global background ozone concentrations<br />

can approach 40 parts per billion and have been increasing in recent years. Increases<br />

in background ozone make it harder to attain the health-based ambient air quality<br />

standards set by U.S. EPA and California.<br />

C. Fluorinated Gases (Hydrofluorocarbons)<br />

Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) are synthetic gases used in refrigeration, air conditioning,<br />

insulating foams, solvents, aerosol products, and fire protection. They are primarily<br />

produced for use as substitutes for ozone-depleting substances, including<br />

chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), which are being<br />

phased out under the Montreal Protocol. Currently, HFCs are a small fraction of the<br />

total climate forcing, but they are the fastest growing source of GHG emissions in<br />

California and globally, primarily driven by the increased demand for refrigeration and<br />

air conditioning.<br />

HFCs vary significantly in their ability to influence climate. Their differing ability is<br />

mostly due to differences in their atmospheric lifetimes, which determine how much they<br />

accumulate in the atmosphere. The mix of HFCs in current use, weighted by usage<br />

(tonnage), has an average atmospheric lifetime of 15 years. HFCs are also potent<br />

GHGs, with a warming effect hundreds to thousands of times more powerful than CO 2.<br />

The average 100-year GWP of the current mix of HFCs being used is about 1600, and<br />

the average 20-year GWP is about 3500. The major concern with respect to HFCs is<br />

that their contribution to climate forcing is expected to increase rapidly in the future as<br />

76 Fiore, A. M., J. J. West, L. W. Horowitz, V. Naik, and M. D. Schwarzkopf (2008) Characterizing the<br />

tropospheric ozone response to methane emission controls and the benefits to climate and air quality, J.<br />

Geophys. Res., 113, D08307, doi:10.1029/2007JD009162.<br />

77 West, J. J., A. M. Fiore, L. W. Horowitz, and D. L. Mauzerall (2006), Global health benefits of mitigating<br />

ozone pollution with methane emission controls, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 103, 3988–3993.<br />

78 Fiore, A. M., F. J. Dentener, O. Wild, C. Cuvelier, M. G. Schultz, P. Hess, C. Textor, M. Schulz, R. M.<br />

Doherty, L. W. Horowitz, I. A. MacKenzie, M. G. Sanderson, D. Shindell, D. S. Stevenson, S. Szopa, R.<br />

Van Dingenen, G. Zeng, C. Atherton, D. J. Bergmann, I. Bey, G. Carmichael, W. J. Collins, B. Duncan, G.<br />

Faluvegi, G. Folberth, M. Gauss, S. Gong, D. Hauglustaine, T. Holloway, I. S. A. Isaksen, D. Jacob, J. E.<br />

Jonson, J. W. Kaminski, T. J. Keating, A. Lupu, E. Marmer, V. Montanaro, R. J. Park, G. Pitari, K. J.<br />

Pringle, J. A. Pyle, S. Schroeder, M. G. Vivanco, P. Wind, G. Wojcik, S. Wu, and A. Zuber (2009),<br />

Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution, J. Geophys.<br />

Res., 114, D04301, doi:10.1029/2008JD010816.<br />

38 April 11, 2016

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