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Issue 3 | <strong>Spring</strong>/<strong>Summer</strong> <strong>2016</strong><br />

13<br />

We believe this level of functionality must go into the<br />

regulations on how automated cars are built. Maybe the<br />

ADI will accept level three with all its complications,<br />

and maybe we will want to move directly to the more<br />

straightforward landscape presented by level four. Until<br />

we have the right information, though, it is impossible to<br />

say which direction will be taken.<br />

Looking ahead to the longer term, the ADI can only see the<br />

level of claims falling substantially. In the next ten years<br />

we estimated there will be 40 or 50% fewer claims.<br />

Looking ahead to the longer term, the<br />

ADI can only see the level of claims<br />

falling substantially. In the next ten years<br />

we estimated there will be 40 or 50%<br />

fewer claims.<br />

The risk element and cost will no longer be around the<br />

driver, but the vehicle. Volvo and Audi say they will accept<br />

liability if someone is using their vehicles in driverless mode,<br />

but most manufacturers are not big enough to provide this<br />

service so we are likely to see other models that involve<br />

customers buying insurance with their car. The upshot is<br />

that information on safety systems must be made available<br />

upfront to insurers.<br />

The next ten years will see impressive acceleration in the<br />

conversion to driverless cars. However, the number of<br />

variables in technology, regulation and insurers’ attitudes to<br />

risk mean we will not be able to take anything for granted<br />

along the way.<br />

Matthew Avery, Thatcham Research,<br />

Director of Insurance Research

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