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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Alzahra university<br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Tehran, Alzahra University


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

ISBN: 978-600-5002-53-9


Table of content<br />

firm Characteristics And Stock Price Reaction To Sox 404 Compliance ...... 1<br />

Earnings Management In Delisted Companies: Case Of Iran..................... 49<br />

Benchmarking The Research Productivity Of <strong>Accounting</strong> Doctorates….74<br />

The Usefulness Of Activity Based Costing And Traditional Costing In<br />

Banking Industry: Evidence From A Bank In Iran .................................. 139<br />

Empirical Examination Of The Relationship Between "Intellectual Capital"<br />

With " The Operating Cash Flow And Weighted Average Cost Of Capital"<br />

........................................................................................................... 150<br />

The Competitive Pricing Of Audit Services In A Non-Big 4 Market........ 171<br />

Market Incentive’s Ability To Predict Forecasts Management................. 204


Alzahra University<br />

The 10th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Firm Characteristics And Stock Price Reaction To<br />

Sox 404 Compliance<br />

Abstract<br />

Zabihollah Rezaee �<br />

The University of Memphis, Professor of Accountancy<br />

Reza Espahbodi<br />

Professor of <strong>Accounting</strong>, Indiana University South Bend<br />

Pouran Espahbodi & Hassan Espahbodi<br />

Professors of Accountancy, Western Illinois University<br />

This study examines the stock price reaction to the internal control reporting<br />

as required under Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 for three<br />

distinct groups of firms. After controlling for the general stock price movements,<br />

we find that stock returns are most negative for firms that delay filing of their<br />

internal control reports, continue to be negative for firms with ineffective internal<br />

controls, and are positive for firms with effective internal controls. The decrease<br />

in stock prices of the first two groups is more pronounced for those with a lower<br />

return on assets, higher growth rate in sales, and no prior disclosure of their<br />

internal controls weaknesses. Our results indicate that market participants value<br />

the reliability of financial information resulted from Section 404 compliance<br />

irrespective of firm size and debt proportion, consistent with the SEC recent<br />

release of Section 404 compliance for smaller public companies.<br />

Keywords: Capital market; Security price reaction; Corporate governance;<br />

Internal control.<br />

JEL Classification: G14; G18; M42.<br />

*Corresponding Author: zrezaee@memphis.edu<br />

The authors would like to thank Lynn Turner for his invaluable comments and<br />

suggestions and the Glass Lewis & Co. for data assistance.


Alzahra University<br />

I. Introduction<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Failure of internal controls to prevent and detect high-profile<br />

financial scandals contributed to the passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley<br />

Act of 2002 (hereafter SOX) that requires “reports on internal control<br />

over financial reporting under Section 404” (hereafter SOX 404<br />

compliance). SOX 404 compliance, pursuant to the Securities and<br />

Exchange Commission (SEC) rules and Auditing Standard (AS) No. 2<br />

of the Public Company <strong>Accounting</strong> Oversight Board (PCAOB 2004),<br />

requires public disclosure of management’s assessment of the<br />

effectiveness of internal control, the auditor’s report on the fairness of<br />

management’s assessment, and the auditor’s opinion on the<br />

effectiveness of internal control. 1 These requirements provide a<br />

unique research setting to investigate the value-relevance of SOX 404<br />

compliance, which should be of interest to policymakers, regulators,<br />

financial statements users, and researchers in the United States and<br />

abroard.<br />

SOX 404 compliance has been controversial. 2 On the one hand,<br />

SOX 404 compliance has been criticized for its excessive costs,<br />

stealing the focus of key executives away from strategic thinking,<br />

inhibiting risk-taking and reducing innovation and creativity, and<br />

increasing the cost of being public and thus hampering the growth of<br />

the financial market. On the other hand, compliance has been praised<br />

for preventing/reducing cases of improprieties, improving the<br />

accuracy and reliability of financial reporting, and restoring investor<br />

confidence in financial reporting by public companies. For example,<br />

the 2008 Glass Lewis study reports a positive impact of Section 404<br />

compliance on the accuracy and reliability of financial reporting as<br />

evidenced by a substantial decline in the number of financial<br />

restatements, disclosed material weaknesses, and auditor adverse<br />

opinion on internal control since 2005 (Glass Lewis 2008). Gordon et<br />

al. (2006) show that SOX had a positive impact on the voluntary<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

disclosure of information security activities by corporations. Such<br />

security is “an implicit requirement of the internal control structure<br />

and procedures mandated by Sections 302 and 404 of SOX” (Gordon<br />

et al. 2006, 507) which improves the reliability of financial reports.<br />

Variations of SOX 404 compliance have also been adopted worldwide<br />

in countries such as Canada, China, France, and Japan (Healey 2007).<br />

In this paper, we examine the relation between SOX 404<br />

compliance and the behavior of stock returns (proxy for the equity<br />

market reaction). Identifying the nature and extent of this relation<br />

contributes to the ongoing debate in the regulatory, business, and<br />

academic communities over the costs and benefits of SOX 404<br />

compliance. After controlling for the general stock price movements,<br />

we find that stock returns are most negative for firms that delay filing<br />

of their internal control reports (delinquent firms), continue to be<br />

negative for firms with ineffective internal controls, and are positive<br />

for firms with effective internal controls. This finding suggests that<br />

while SOX 404 compliance is rather costly, investors value and<br />

reward effective internal control (reliable financial data).<br />

Our results also show that the decrease in stock prices of the first<br />

two groups of firms is more pronounced for those with a lower return<br />

on assets, higher growth rate in sales, and no prior disclosure of their<br />

internal control weaknesses. This suggests that the capital markets<br />

perceive control weaknesses for different groups of firms differently,<br />

and distinguishes our paper from others that emphasize the type of<br />

control problems.The fact that size and debt-to-asset ratio are not<br />

significantly related to the stock price reaction to SOX 404<br />

compliance suggests that market participants value the reliability of<br />

financial information irrespective of the firm size and debt proportion.<br />

Overall, our results are consistent with and support recent initiatives<br />

by lawmakers for not making SOX 404 compliance optional for<br />

smaller firms, and by regulators (SEC) and standard setters (PCAOB)<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

for maintaining in AS No. 5 the principles and benefits of SOX 404<br />

compliance to protect investors, while making it more cost-effective,<br />

efficient, and scalable.<br />

This study is not the only one to address internal control reporting<br />

as required by SOX. There are quite a few recent and concurrent<br />

studies in this area, each making a unique contribution to the<br />

literature, but they are all different from ours. One set of papers (Ge<br />

and McVay 2005, Doyle et al. 2007a, Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2007,<br />

and Zhang et al. 2007) deals with the characteristics of firms reporting<br />

internal control weaknesses/deficiencies. We use many of the<br />

characteristics (variables) that are found to be significant determinants<br />

of internal control weaknesses across these studies in testing our<br />

hypotheses. A second set of papers (Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2008, and<br />

Doyle et al. 2007b) posits that an effective internal control system<br />

reduces both intentional and unintentional misstatements in financial<br />

reports, and shows that effective internal control increases the quality<br />

of accruals and thus enhances the reliability of financial reporting.<br />

Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2006) take the reliability issue one step<br />

further and hypothesize that the increase in reliability of financial<br />

reporting decreases the information risk to investors and thus reduces<br />

the risk (both idiosyncratic and systematic) and the cost of equity<br />

capital. 3 They conclude that their results are consistent with the<br />

assertion that effective internal control is valued by the capital market.<br />

We take an alternative approach to testing the value-relevance of SOX<br />

404 compliance by examining the stock price changes around the<br />

internal control reporting date. Schwert (1981) suggests that the<br />

analysis of market data is more powerful than other methods because<br />

price movements incorporate all value-relevant information as it<br />

becomes available. Most companies also admit in their SEC filings<br />

that failure to achieve and maintain effective internal control could<br />

result in a negative market reaction.<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Four papers (De Franco et al. 2005; Beneish et al. 2008;<br />

Hammersley et al. 2008; and Cheng et al. 2006) examine and find a<br />

negative market reaction to the disclosure of internal control<br />

weaknesses under Section 302 or Section 404. (Beneish et al. find a<br />

significantly negative market reaction to Section 302 disclosures, but<br />

no market response to Section 404 disclosures.) Hammersley et al.<br />

study the market reaction to Section 302 of SOX, and the papers by<br />

De Franco et al. and Beneish et al. span over both Section 302 and 404<br />

regimes. Wilkinson and Clements (2006) examine the market reaction<br />

to “early” filing of CEO certification under Section 302; they find no<br />

reaction to early filing for the market as a whole, but show that the<br />

market reaction is influenced by the existence of corporate governance<br />

mechanisms.<br />

The reporting by management of internal control deficiencies<br />

under Section 302 is motivated by certain firm characteristics<br />

(Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2007), while SOX 404 compliance requires<br />

both an auditor’s report on the fairness of management’s assessment<br />

and an auditor’s opinion on the effectiveness of internal control. As<br />

Lord & Benoit (2006a) report, only one in twelve (eight) companies<br />

with ineffective Section 404 controls reported ineffective Section 302<br />

controls in the previous year (quarter). Thus, combining disclosure of<br />

internal control weaknesses under the two regimes (or only<br />

considering those under Section 302) biases the market reaction<br />

results as many companies did not report their internal control<br />

weaknesses. 4 To the extent that only firms with severe internal control<br />

problems reported weaknesses under Section 302, the market reaction<br />

to the disclosure of such weaknesses would be overstated, while the<br />

differential market impact on the two groups (those with reported<br />

weaknesses in their internal control or no reported weaknesses) would<br />

be understated.<br />

5


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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

By contrast, we focus exclusively on SOX 404 compliance,<br />

pursuant to the SEC-related rules and PCAOB AS No. 2, which has<br />

been criticized for high compliance costs, insufficient guidance for<br />

internal control assessment and audit, and a potentially negative<br />

impact on the U.S. capital market competitiveness. Our study,<br />

therefore, does not suffer from the bias mentioned above. However,<br />

since it is very possible that the market’s assessment of risk<br />

incorporates Section 302 reports and expectations about internal<br />

control risks based on observable firm characteristics such as<br />

corporate governance mechanisms (as suggested by Ashbaugh-Skaife<br />

et al. 2006, Wilkinson and Clements 2006, and Zhang et al. 2007), our<br />

results are biased against finding a significant market reaction to<br />

internal control weaknesses. 5 Thus, our finding of a significant market<br />

reaction to disclosure of internal control weaknesses under Section<br />

404 confirms that the market had not (at least fully) adjusted for these<br />

weaknesses prior to such disclosures, and that Section 404 disclosures<br />

have information content above and beyond those under Section 302.<br />

This finding is in contrast to Beneish et al. (2008) and may be<br />

attributed to the power of our test, as discussed in the methodology.<br />

While Cheng et al. (2006) also focus on Section 404 exclusively,<br />

our study is different from theirs and those of De Franco et al. (2005),<br />

Beneish et al. (2008), and Hammersley et al. (2008) in at least two<br />

other ways (besides the methodology and thus the power of our test,<br />

discussed in Section IV). First, none of the above studies examines the<br />

value relevance of delinquency in internal control reporting (reflecting<br />

increased uncertainty in the market). Second, we focus on firm<br />

characteristics rather than the type of reported control weaknesses<br />

(e.g., Hammersley et al. 2008). We investigate the firm-specific<br />

characteristics that could possibly attenuate or exacerbate the market<br />

reaction to disclosed control deficiencies. We posit that a material<br />

weakness does not have the same consequence for every firm and thus<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

the market perceives disclosed control weaknesses differently<br />

depending on the firm characteristics.<br />

The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section II<br />

includes a discussion of SOX 404 compliance. Our hypotheses are<br />

presented in Section III. Section IV explains the sample design, data,<br />

and methodology. Section V presents the results, and the summary<br />

and implications are discussed in Section VI.<br />

II. SOX 404 COMPLIANCE<br />

SOX, among other things, requires executive certification of<br />

internal control’s effectiveness under Section 302, and evaluation and<br />

reporting on the effectiveness of internal control under Section 404.<br />

Executive certification of internal control reporting under Section 302<br />

requires that management document the effectiveness of internal<br />

control through testing related control activities, and specify inherent<br />

limitations.<br />

Management’s reporting of internal control weaknesses, however,<br />

was not judged to be effective in a report to the SEC by Lord &<br />

Benoit (2006a). That report concluded that only one in twelve (eight)<br />

companies with ineffective Section 404 controls reported ineffective<br />

Section 302 controls in the previous year (quarter). Similarly, Glass<br />

Lewis & Co. (2005) reports that about 87 percent of companies that<br />

disclosed internal control deficiencies in the first three months of 2005<br />

(in compliance with Section 404) certified the effectiveness of their<br />

internal controls in the previous quarter (under Section 302).<br />

Section 404 is intended to improve the effectiveness of the design<br />

and operation of internal control, and compliance with Section 404 is<br />

required for large U.S. public companies (with equity market<br />

capitalization in excess of $75 million, known as accelerated filers)<br />

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Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

for fiscal years ending on or after November 15, 2004. For other<br />

public companies (nonaccelerated filers), the first management report<br />

will be due after June 15, 2010. On October 2, 2009, the SEC<br />

announced that small public companies with less than $75 milion<br />

maket capitalization will begin complying with Section 404 after June<br />

2010 (SEC, 2009).<br />

Section 404 requires that management state its responsibility for<br />

designing and maintaining effective internal control and assess the<br />

effectiveness of such control as of the end of the company’s most<br />

recent fiscal year. More importantly, Section 404 requires that the<br />

independent auditor attest to and report on management’s assessment<br />

of the company’s internal control, and evaluate and opine on the<br />

effectiveness of internal control. SOX 404 compliance is thus more<br />

costly than Section 302 compliance. However, the additional cost is<br />

associated with the benefit of independent assurance on the<br />

effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting and hence the<br />

protection provided to investors. Section 404, therefore, allows a more<br />

powerful test of the value-relevance of internal control reporting as<br />

compared to Section 302. If investors believe that compliance with<br />

Section 404 imposes a dead weight cost on firms, then all firms should<br />

experience a negative market reaction. On the other hand, if investors<br />

value the effectiveness of internal control more than the imposed cost,<br />

firms with effective internal controls should experience a positive<br />

market reaction.<br />

Section 404 directs the PCAOB to issue guidance on the auditor<br />

report on internal control. This guidance is contained in PCAOB AS<br />

No. 2, “An Audit of Internal Control over Financial Reporting<br />

Performed in Conjunction with an Audit of Financial Statements.”<br />

Based on AS No. 2, in expressing an opinion on internal control, the<br />

independent auditor must perform tests of internal control to evaluate:<br />

(1) management’s assessment of the effectiveness of internal control<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

by gathering sufficient competent evidence about both the process<br />

used and the conclusion reached by management; and (2) the<br />

effectiveness of both the design and operation of internal control. Any<br />

deficiencies found in internal control must be evaluated in terms of<br />

their possible effects on misstatements of an account balance or<br />

disclosure.<br />

The auditor opinion on internal control may be: (1) an unqualified<br />

opinion when there is no material weakness in internal control; (2) an<br />

adverse opinion when there is at least one material weakness; or (3) a<br />

disclaimer of opinion when the auditor cannot express an opinion due<br />

to scope limitation. Note that there may be some circumstances where<br />

management concludes that the company’s internal control is<br />

ineffective, so the auditor issues an unqualified opinion on<br />

management’s assessment but renders an adverse opinion on the<br />

effectiveness of internal control. Theoretically, there may also be<br />

situations where management reports that the company’s internal<br />

control is effective, but the independent auditor discovers material<br />

weaknesses and issues an adverse opinion on the effectiveness of the<br />

company’s internal control. Empirically, however, available data<br />

suggest that, with a few exceptions, management and auditors are<br />

always in agreement on the effectiveness of internal control.<br />

Based on the existence and nature of their compliance with Section<br />

404, therefore, firms can be classified into three groups, as depicted in<br />

Figure 1. Group 1 consists of firms whose management or auditors did<br />

not report on internal control in a timely manner (delinquent<br />

reporters). Group 2 includes those who received adverse or disclaimer<br />

opinions on the effectiveness of their internal control due to identified<br />

material weaknesses or scope limitation. The final category, Group 3,<br />

consists of firms with no material weaknesses in their internal control,<br />

whose auditors’ opinions on internal control effectiveness are<br />

unqualified.<br />

9


Alzahra University<br />

III. Hypotheses<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Insert Figure 1<br />

The SEC has decided not to take any immediate actions (impose<br />

fines or penalties) against a public company with reported ineffective<br />

internal control, provided that the audit opinion on the company’s<br />

financial statement is unqualified and all other reporting obligations<br />

are satisfied on a current and timely basis. Thus, companies with<br />

reported ineffective internal control would not likely be prevented<br />

from registering stocks or offering debt. Nevertheless, noncompliant<br />

companies are expected to be subject to more scrutiny by regulators,<br />

standard-setters, the public, and the press because of potential<br />

problems with reliability and transparency of financial statements and<br />

management’s integrity; significant costs to remediate internal control<br />

problems; higher risk of hostile takeovers; higher cost of debt capital;<br />

and higher audit fees. Thus, as suggested by Bear Stearns (2004),<br />

“investors ordinarily should demand a higher risk premium when<br />

investing in a company that has ineffective or deficient controls.” The<br />

higher discount rate should result in reduced stock prices for these<br />

firms.<br />

In general, the equity market is expected to react negatively when:<br />

(1) either management or the auditor does not report on internal<br />

control in a timely manner, i.e., when firms are delinquent in reporting<br />

on their internal control; or (2) management and/or the auditor identify<br />

one or more material weaknesses in internal control or a scope<br />

limitation exists, i.e., when firms have ineffective internal control. We<br />

predict the most negative stock market reaction for the first group<br />

(delinquent firms) for several reasons. First, delinquent firms are more<br />

likely to have material weaknesses that are difficult to remediate.<br />

According to Moody’s (2006), delinquent filers have been largely<br />

unsuccessful in remediation of their problems. In our sample, of the<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

50 firms in Group 1, all of whom subsequently received an<br />

adverse/disclaimer of opinion on the effectiveness of their internal<br />

control, 38 continued to receive an adverse/disclaimer opinion in the<br />

following year. Second, late reporting on internal control creates<br />

uncertainty in the markets, potentially having an adverse effect on<br />

stock prices. Third, delinquent filers often face loan covenant<br />

violations and thus either lose access to capital markets or incur an<br />

increase in cost of capital. This is evident from about 20 Moody’s<br />

rating actions in the first year of internal control reporting, the vast<br />

majority of which involved delinquent firms (Moody’s 2006). Finally,<br />

delinquent firms may become subject to adverse regulatory<br />

consequences and sanctions by the SEC for violations of their<br />

exchange listing rules, and breach of the covenants under credit<br />

agreements (defaulting on bank loans.(<br />

The negative equity market reaction for Group 2 should be less<br />

pronounced than that for Group 1 since market participants are more<br />

likely to be aware of the extent and nature of internal control<br />

weaknesses. Furthermore, Group 2 firms are more likely to be<br />

successful in remediation of their internal control weaknesses<br />

(Moody’s 2006). In our sample, of the 50 firms in Group 2, only nine<br />

received an adverse/disclaimer of opinion on their internal control<br />

effectiveness in the following year.<br />

Effective internal controls enhance investor confidence to the<br />

extent that they help users assess the reliability and quality of financial<br />

statements. Capital markets view firms with effective internal controls<br />

(Group 3 firms) as a sign that these companies are “in control” in<br />

managing their risk, achieving their business objectives, and creating<br />

sustainable shareholder value. 6 The market reaction to SOX 404<br />

compliance for Group 3, however, depends on whether the market<br />

expects or rewards effective internal control. If the market expects<br />

effective internal control and reliable financial reporting from all<br />

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public companies, there should be no market reaction (a negative<br />

market reaction may be observed for this group if market participants<br />

believe Section 404 places a dead weight cost on companies). On the<br />

other hand, if the market rewards effective internal control (values<br />

effective internal controls more than the imposed cost), the market<br />

reaction should be positive. A priori, we believe that the market<br />

expects effective internal control (reliable financial reports), so no<br />

market reaction is predicted for Group 3. These predictions can be<br />

summarized by the following hypotheses.<br />

Hypothesis 1: Firms that did not have their internal control<br />

evaluated either by management or the auditors on<br />

a timely basis (Group 1, delinquent firms)<br />

experienced the most significantly negative market<br />

reaction.<br />

Hypothesis 2: Firms that received adverse or disclaimer<br />

opinions on their internal control (Group 2)<br />

experienced<br />

reaction.<br />

a significantly negative market<br />

Hypothesis 3: Firms that reported effective internal control<br />

(Group 3) experienced no market reaction.<br />

The extent of the negative market reaction to receiving an<br />

adverse/disclaimer opinion (Group 2 firms) or to delinquency in<br />

reporting (Group 1 firms) on the effectiveness of internal control is<br />

not expected to be the same for every firm. This reaction depends on<br />

prior disclosure, remediation plans, and firms’ attributes. Prior<br />

disclosure refers to any disclosure by a company about its internal<br />

control weaknesses prior to the effective date of Section 404. Prior<br />

disclosure may have occurred through reporting on internal controls<br />

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under Section 302 (requiring company executives to certify in their<br />

10-K and 10-Q filings the effectiveness of internal control), through<br />

various filings with the SEC, or through news releases. Since capital<br />

market participants may view prior disclosure as management’s ability<br />

or willingness to remediate internal control weaknesses on a timely<br />

basis, and since the stock prices of these firms may have already<br />

partially impounded the effect of the upcoming material weaknesses<br />

when current weaknesses are the same as those previously disclosed,<br />

we test the following hypothesis.<br />

Hypothesis 4: Firms that disclosed their internal control<br />

weaknesses prior to reporting on the effectiveness<br />

of their internal control in compliance with SOX<br />

404 experienced less significant decreases in their<br />

stock prices.<br />

Among the firms that identified material weaknesses in their<br />

internal control, stock prices of those with remediation plans should<br />

be less adversely affected because these companies portray to the<br />

market the will to correct their weaknesses. 7 That market values<br />

remediation is a reasonable conjecture because firms that remediated<br />

their reported material weaknesses in year two of SOX 404<br />

compliance outperformed (experienced higher stock prices than) those<br />

that continued to show material weaknesses (Lord and Benoit 2006b).<br />

However, this conjecture might not be true if the market does not<br />

believe that control problems can be remediated given the<br />

availability/adequacy of resources or the firm attributes, including<br />

management’s credibility. Thus, our next hypothesis is as follows.<br />

Hypothesis 5: Firms that reported remediation plans to correct<br />

identified material weaknesses in their internal<br />

control prior to or when reporting on the effectiveness<br />

of their internal control in compliance with SOX 404<br />

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may have experienced less significant decreases in<br />

their stock prices.<br />

Restatements of prior years’ earnings resulting from discovery of<br />

errors and fraud by management, the auditor, or the regulators are<br />

often associated with inadequate or ineffective internal control. Glass<br />

Lewis & Co. (2007) reports that about 66 percent of firms that restated<br />

in 2006 also disclosed material weaknesses. Also, firms that have<br />

recently restated their financial statements portray a lower earnings<br />

quality and a higher probability that their internal controls and<br />

auditors do not identify and correct errors and irregularities in the<br />

future, requiring further restatements. 8 We test these arguments with<br />

the following hypothesis.<br />

Hypothesis 6: Firms that restated their earnings in the recent past<br />

experienced more significant decreases in their stock<br />

prices.<br />

One of the arguments against SOX was that it may reduce or delay<br />

access to the capital markets (The Committee on Capital Markets<br />

Regulation, 2006). Moody’s, for example, took a negative rating<br />

action on about 20 percent of firms that disclosed internal control<br />

weaknesses or were delinquent in Section 404 compliance (Moody’s,<br />

2006). If access or terms of access to the capital market is affected, the<br />

contracting cost hypothesis suggests that firms that are close to<br />

violating their debt covenants will have a more difficult time raising<br />

capital (Watts and Zimmerman 1978, 1986, & 1990). We use a debtto-asset<br />

ratio to proxy for the existence and tightness of debt covenant<br />

restrictions. Similar proxies have been used in prior research (see, e.g.,<br />

Leftwich 1981 and Salatka 1989). In addition, Duke and Hunt (1990)<br />

find support for debt ratios as proxies for the existence and tightness<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

of the two most prevalent types of accounting based debt covenant<br />

restrictions (retained earnings and working capital). The following<br />

hypothesis is tested.<br />

Hypothesis 7: Firms with higher fractions of debt-to-assets<br />

experienced more significant decreases in their stock<br />

prices.<br />

Another argument against SOX was the excessive cost of<br />

compliance with Section 404, especially for smaller firms (The<br />

Committee on Capital Markets Regulation 2006). Larger and resource<br />

rich companies usually maintain more sophisticated control systems<br />

and are less likely to suffer from control problems. This argument<br />

suggests that smaller firms and those with inadequate resources<br />

(negative/low profitability or negative cash flows) may have more<br />

difficulty maintaining an effective internal control system or<br />

correcting their internal control weaknesses (including but not limited<br />

to segregation of duties). We measure availability/adequacy of<br />

resources by the sign of cash flow 9 and return on assets. Size is<br />

measured by the natural logarithm of the market value of common<br />

equity. 10 The conjecture that larger and more resource-rich companies<br />

are better able to absorb the extra cost of SOX 404 compliance and<br />

have more resources to remediate material weaknesses leads to the<br />

following hypothesis.<br />

Hypothesis 8: Larger firms and those with adequate resources<br />

measured in terms of higher return on assets and<br />

positive free cash flow experienced less significant<br />

decreases in their stock prices.<br />

Both the difficulty and the cost of developing and subsequently<br />

maintaining an effective internal control system increase with the<br />

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complexity of the firm and the required controls (Ashbaugh-Skaife, et<br />

al. 2007). We measure complexity in three ways: (1) involvement in<br />

acquisition activity; (2) an above average number of business<br />

segments; and (3) high growth in sales. 11 Developing an effective<br />

internal control system for different companies, different segments,<br />

and managing growth is definitely more difficult and costly. The<br />

likelihood that the market fears or considers that maintenance and<br />

remediation of internal controls will be relatively more difficult for<br />

firms with higher complexity leads to the following hypothesis.<br />

Hypothesis 9: Firms with high complexity measured in terms of<br />

involvement in acquisition activities, a greater<br />

number of segments, and higher growth rates in sales<br />

experienced more significant decreases in their stock<br />

prices.<br />

IV. Sample, Data, And Methodology<br />

Sample<br />

Firms in Group 1 are identified by a Glass Lewis & Co.<br />

publication (2005) and by a search through the Edgar database. 12 A<br />

list of firms in Groups 2 and 3 are obtained from the Audit Analytics<br />

database. The following criteria are imposed for firms in all groups:<br />

(1) they should be listed on the DataStream daily returns and the<br />

Compustat <strong>Annual</strong> Industrial files; (2) they must have the required<br />

firm-specific data (discussed later) available in Compustat, Audit<br />

Analytics, or Edgar databases; (3) they must not be financial<br />

institutions or utility companies; and (4) the delinquency<br />

announcement or internal control reporting date could not be<br />

simultaneous with that of other SEC filings such as 10-K reports or<br />

other announcements, except for announcements by delinquent firms<br />

regarding the late filing of their 10-K reports due to not having (fully)<br />

16


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

assessed the effectiveness of their internal controls. 13 The first two<br />

criteria are designed to ensure data availability to test our hypotheses.<br />

The third criterion excludes financial institutions and utilities because:<br />

(a) these firms’ equity prices may react differently to SOX 404<br />

compliance 14 ; and (b) one of the required firm-specific data is not<br />

available for these companies. The last criterion ensures that the<br />

market reaction to SOX 404 compliance is not confounded by other<br />

events or 10-K information such as earnings announcements or audit<br />

opinions on financial statements. 15<br />

The above criteria result in a sample of 50 firms for Group 1. To<br />

ensure that no confounding event occurred during the announcement<br />

period and to gather some of the firm characteristics (e.g., prior<br />

disclosure and remediation announcements), we search through all<br />

news releases and SEC filings in the Edgar database. To reduce this<br />

search and to be consistent with Group 1, we randomly select<br />

companies one by one from our list of Groups 2 and 3 until a sample<br />

of 50 firms that meet our selection criteria is identified for each group.<br />

We also check the Audit Analytics and Edgar databases to ensure that<br />

no firm in Group 3 had reported any material weaknesses under<br />

Section 302 requirements; otherwise, the market reaction to SOX 404<br />

compliance for this group may be a correction of the previous market<br />

reaction to reporting material weaknesses. The SIC distribution of the<br />

subsamples is fairly similar (Group 1 includes more service firms and<br />

fewer manufacturers, while Group 2 has a few more retailers, than the<br />

other groups).<br />

Data<br />

To test the first three hypotheses, daily return data are collected<br />

from the DataStream database. 16 For Hypotheses 4–9, additional data<br />

are obtained from the Compustat, Audit Analytics, and/or Edgar<br />

databases to measure the following attributes of sample firms: (1) size,<br />

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measured as the natural log of the market value of equity; (2) debt<br />

constraint—total debt over total assets and long-term debt over total<br />

assets; (3) cash flow—free cash flow and cash flow from operations;<br />

(4) return on assets; (5) prior disclosure; (6) remediation; (7) prior<br />

restatement of earnings; (8) three- and five-year growth rate in sales;<br />

(9) complexity; and (10) acquisition activity. 17 In addition to these<br />

variables, we include a corporate governance variable in our test of<br />

Hypotheses 4–9 to control for the financial reporting environment of<br />

firms relating to the effectiveness of the board. This variable is<br />

defined as the fraction of board members that are not officers, and is<br />

calculated from the list of directors and officers in the Disclosure<br />

database and checked against proxy statements or 10-K reports in the<br />

Edgar database for the fiscal year before the internal control reporting<br />

or delinquency announcement date. All other variables are measured<br />

as of the end of fiscal year 2004, ending on or after November 15,<br />

2004, when Section 404 requirements went into effect unless<br />

otherwise indicated. A list of these variables, their sources and<br />

definitions, and the expected sign of their relations with abnormal<br />

security returns, are shown in Table 1.<br />

Insert Table 1<br />

As explained in the last section, smaller firms and those with<br />

inadequate resources are more likely to have internal control<br />

weaknesses and less likely to be able to remediate such weaknesses<br />

when discovered. Consistent with prior research, the natural logarithm<br />

of the market value of common equity (the multiplication of<br />

Compustat items 24 & 25) is used as a proxy for size (SIZE).<br />

Adequacy of resources is measured by return on assets and cash flow.<br />

Cash flow is measured by two variables: the base variable is the free<br />

cash flow (FCF), which is the cash flow from operations minus cash<br />

dividends minus capital expenditures (Compustat item 308 minus item<br />

18


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

127 minus item 128); the alternative variable, OCF, is simply the cash<br />

flow from operations (item 308). Both variables take a value of one if<br />

a firm experienced a negative cash flow in fiscal years 2003 and/or<br />

2004 and zero otherwise. Return on assets (ROA) is measured as<br />

income before extraordinary items over total assets in percent<br />

(Compustat item 18 divided by item 6, multiplied by 100). Based on<br />

the above definitions, size and return on assets are expected to be<br />

positively (cash flow negatively) related to security returns around the<br />

internal control reporting or delinquency announcement date.<br />

Debt constraint is considered because some argue that Section 404<br />

reduces or delays access to the capital markets. It is measured by<br />

leverage, defined as total debt over total assets (TDOA, Compustat<br />

items 9 plus 34, divided by Compustat item 6). As an alternative<br />

proxy, we also use long-term debt over total assets, LTDOA<br />

(Compustat item 9 divided by item 6). Debt over total assets is<br />

expected to be negatively related to security returns around the<br />

internal control reporting date.<br />

We posit that firms that previously disclosed their internal control<br />

weaknesses, or have plans to remediate their problems, experience a<br />

less significant decrease in their security prices. This explanation may<br />

not hold for remediation (REMED) if the market does not believe<br />

remediation is possible given company resources or management’s<br />

credibility; thus, the direction of the relation between REMED and the<br />

market reaction to SOX 404 compliance is uncertain. REMED is an<br />

indicator variable, taking a value of one if the company identified<br />

plans to remediate its control problems prior to or at the time of<br />

internal control reporting or delinquency announcement and zero<br />

otherwise. Prior disclosure is measured by two alternative indicator<br />

variables: disclosure pursuant to Section 302 (PDIS, the base<br />

variable), or through other SEC filings or news releases (WARN, the<br />

alternate variable). Each indicator variable is set equal to one if<br />

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material weaknesses were disclosed prior to reporting under Section<br />

404 and zero otherwise. A positive relation is expected between prior<br />

disclosure and the security returns around the internal control<br />

weakness date. Neither REMED/WARN nor PDIS is defined for<br />

Group 3 (firms with effective internal control) as there cannot be any<br />

prior disclosure or remediation if there are no control problems.<br />

Restatement of prior years’ financial statements normally reflects<br />

lack of sufficient controls. Thus, security prices of companies that<br />

restated their prior years’ earnings are expected to be more negative<br />

around the internal control reporting or delinquency announcement<br />

date. We use an indicator variable (RESTATE) that takes a value of<br />

one if the company has announced a restatement of its past earnings<br />

between January 1, 2002, and the internal control reporting or<br />

delinquency announcement date and zero otherwise; and expect a<br />

negative relation between RESTATE and security prices.<br />

The last three variables are associated with increased control<br />

problems, namely that maintaining effective controls would be more<br />

difficult for firms with a higher sales growth, a larger number of<br />

segments, and acquisition activities. Sales growth is measured as<br />

either the three-year least-squares growth rate (GRO3) or alternatively<br />

as the five-year growth rate (GRO5). The other two variables are<br />

indicator variables. Complexity (COMP) takes a value of one if the<br />

number of business segments for a firm is greater than the average<br />

number of segments for the 150 firms in the sample and zero<br />

otherwise. Acquisition activity (ACQ) takes a value of one if the firm<br />

was involved in acquisition activities during 2003 and/or 2004 and<br />

zero otherwise. A negative relation is expected between each of these<br />

variables and the security returns around the internal control reporting<br />

date.<br />

20


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Table 2 presents the Pearson correlation coefficients between the<br />

15 variables (10 base variables, four alternatives, and the corporate<br />

governance variable). While the pair-wise correlations are not<br />

extremely high, many are statistically significant at the .01 or .05<br />

level, indicating some (although not severe) multicollinearity between<br />

variables. Similarly, the latent roots of the independent variables<br />

indicate some multicollinearity among variables.<br />

Insert Table 2<br />

Table 3 reports the mean, median, and standard deviation of the 10<br />

base variables and the corporate governance variable for the full<br />

sample and the three subsamples to provide a better understanding of<br />

the characteristics of these firms and why they could be affected by<br />

SOX 404 compliance. The descriptive statistics in this table show that<br />

Group 3 has the highest mean and median SIZE, return on assets<br />

(ROA) and three-year sales growth (GRO3), and the lowest mean and<br />

median negative free cash flow indicator (FCF). Although the greater<br />

sales growth should make establishing effective controls more<br />

difficult, the higher resources (profitability) should facilitate better<br />

internal control. The portfolio return for this group, therefore, should<br />

not be negatively affected unless the market believes that Section 404<br />

imposes a dead weight cost on firms. The other two groups, however,<br />

should be negatively affected to various degrees by SOX 404<br />

compliance.<br />

Table 3 also shows that although Group 1 is larger than Group 2 in<br />

terms of mean and median SIZE, it has a much lower return on assets<br />

and a greater incidence of negative free cash flow. Given the<br />

low/negative profitability, a much greater sales growth for Group 1<br />

should make it more difficult to maintain an effective internal control<br />

system, exacerbating the effect of the uncertainty due to delinquency<br />

in SOX 404 compliance. Thus, Group 1 is expected to experience a<br />

21


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more significantly negative return as compared to Group 2. The<br />

degree to which any of the portfolio (Group) returns are actually<br />

influenced by SOX 404 compliance, however, depends on whether the<br />

equity prices of firms in the corresponding portfolio systematically<br />

reacted to the delinquency announcements or the internal control<br />

reports.<br />

Insert Table 3<br />

Methodology<br />

Hypotheses 1–3 relate to the average impact of SOX 404<br />

compliance on stock prices of groups of firms. Regardless of whether<br />

a mean effect is observed for a group, stock returns may vary crosssectionally<br />

with the firm characteristics. Hypotheses 4–9, therefore,<br />

examine the effect of firm characteristics and other important factors<br />

on the stock market reaction to SOX 404 compliance.<br />

Hypotheses 1–3 are tested by employing a Multivariate Regression<br />

Model (MVRM) proposed by Schipper and Thompson (1983). 18 The<br />

standard event study methodology assumes that the residuals are<br />

identically and independently distributed across firms. Because the<br />

magnitude of the unsystematic risk differs across firms, however, the<br />

variance of abnormal returns will vary across firms (Fama, 1976). In<br />

addition, security returns for firms in the same industry are<br />

contemporaneously correlated because such firms will react similarly<br />

to any unanticipated event (Schwert, 1981). The MVRM incorporates<br />

both the cross sectional heteroscedasticity and the contemporaneous<br />

correlation of the residuals into the estimation process, allowing joint<br />

hypotheses to be tested utilizing the F statistic defined by Rao (1973).<br />

The joint hypothesis tests are of special importance in this study since<br />

as discussed earlier, firms are expected to be differentially affected by<br />

SOX 404 compliance.<br />

22


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

The MVRM model conditions the return generating process on the<br />

occurrence or nonoccurrence of an event (SOX 404 compliance) by<br />

adding a zero one dummy variable to the market model. This dummy<br />

variable is set equal to one for the three-day event period<br />

corresponding to trading days t=–1, t=0, and t=+1 relative to the<br />

internal control reporting date (as the exact timing of the information<br />

release is unknown), and equal to zero otherwise. The internal control<br />

reporting date is the filing date with the SEC or the announcement day<br />

for delinquent firms. The coefficient of this dummy variable measures<br />

the impact of SOX 404 compliance on stock returns. The model is a<br />

system of three portfolio return equations—one for each group of<br />

firms. The equation for each portfolio is:<br />

where:<br />

R ~ jt = αj + βj R ~ mt + γj Dt + ˜ejt<br />

R ~ jt = the return on portfolio j (j=1, 2, 3) on day t (t=1, 2, ..., T).<br />

T=241, the total number of daily return observations from 120<br />

days prior to the internal control reporting date to 120 days<br />

after. Returns for each portfolio are weighted based on the full<br />

estimated covariance matrix of residuals in order to increase<br />

the efficiency of parameter estimates. Specifically,<br />

R ~ jt = P'j Rijt, where<br />

Rijt = the vector of returns on all i firms in portfolio j on day t,<br />

P'j= the transpose of portfolio j weights, Pj,<br />

Pj = (1'Sj –1 1) –1 Sj –1 1,<br />

1 = a vector of ones, and<br />

Sj = the full estimated variance-covariance matrix of residuals from<br />

first-pass OLS regressions similar to Equation (1), but on each<br />

firm in portfolio j;<br />

23<br />

(1)


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R ~ mt = the simple average of returns on the Standard and Poor’s 500<br />

Index on day t (t=1, 2, ..., T); since the internal control<br />

reporting dates vary somewhat among firms (although they are<br />

clustered, the reason for using Schipper and Thompson (1983)<br />

methodology), day t is relative to the internal control reporting<br />

date and R ~ mt is the simple average of market returns on day t<br />

for all firms in portfolio j;<br />

αj = intercept coefficient for portfolio j;<br />

βj = risk coefficient for portfolio j;<br />

γj = the effect of SOX 404 compliance on portfolio j;<br />

Dt = dummy variable which equals 1 during the three-day period<br />

(t= –1, t= 0, and t= +1) relative to the internal control<br />

reporting or delinquency announcement date and zero<br />

otherwise; and,<br />

˜ejt = random disturbance which is assumed to be normal and<br />

independent of R ~ mt and Dt.<br />

Following Theil (1971, p. 306), the system of regressions in<br />

Equation (1) can be generalized as:<br />

�<br />

�<br />

�<br />

R<br />

�~<br />

�<br />

~R~<br />

R<br />

or<br />

3<br />

1<br />

2<br />

where:<br />

�<br />

~<br />

� X<br />

� �<br />

� � � 0<br />

� �<br />

� �<br />

0<br />

0<br />

~<br />

X<br />

0<br />

0 � ��<br />

1 � �e<br />

~<br />

1 �<br />

� � �<br />

� �~<br />

0<br />

�<br />

� * � e<br />

� 2 2<br />

~ � � �<br />

� ~<br />

X<br />

�<br />

��<br />

� ��<br />

��<br />

e3<br />

�<br />

3 �<br />

24<br />

(2)<br />

R ~ = X ~ β + ˜e, (3)


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

R ~ j = T x 1 vector, (the elements of the vector are R ~ j1, R ~ j2, ...,<br />

R ~ jT);<br />

X ~ = T x 3 matrix of independent variables which is the same<br />

for each equation in the system of regressions. The first<br />

column of this matrix is of ones, the second column is of<br />

the average daily returns on R ~ m, and the last column is of<br />

the dummy variable for SOX 404 compliance;<br />

βj = 3 x 1 vector of coefficients; and,<br />

˜ej = T x 1 vector of disturbances.<br />

Estimation of the multivariate regression model in Equation<br />

(3) assumes that the residuals are independently, identically<br />

distributed within each equation. As Smith et al. (1986) suggest,<br />

however, this is not likely to be true. The estimation of the system in<br />

Equation (3), therefore, must be adjusted for possible time-series<br />

heteroscedasticity (see Smith et al. 1986, 477, for a detailed discussion<br />

of this situation). To correct for time-series heteroscedasticity, i.e., to<br />

obtain efficient estimates of the coefficients in Equation (3), the<br />

generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation is used.<br />

To test the effect of firm characteristics and other factors on stock<br />

market reaction to SOX 404 compliance (i.e., to test Hypotheses 4–9<br />

for Groups 1 and 2), we regress the abnormal returns percentage on<br />

firm characteristics (the 10 base variables and the corporate<br />

governance variable in Table 1). 19 This regression is only based on the<br />

100 firms in Groups 1 and 2 because two variables (prior disclosure<br />

and remediation) are not defined for Group 3 (those with effective<br />

internal control) and because the direction of the market reaction to<br />

SOX 404 compliance is different for Group 3 versus the other two<br />

groups. Abnormal return for each firm (the dependent variable in this<br />

regression) is the dummy variable coefficient in an OLS regression of<br />

security return for that firm on the market return and a dummy<br />

variable corresponding to SOX 404 compliance (an OLS regression<br />

25


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similar to Equation (1) for that firm). The dummy variable equals one<br />

during the three-day period (t=–1, t=0, and t=1) relative to the internal<br />

control reporting or delinquency announcement date, and zero<br />

otherwise.<br />

V. Results<br />

Table 4 reports the portfolio abnormal returns for the three-day<br />

period (t=–1, t=0, and t=1) relative to the internal control reporting or<br />

delinquency announcement date based on the Multivariate Regression<br />

Model (MVRM) for the three groups. T-Values and their associated<br />

significance levels are also reported in that table. The groups are<br />

subsamples of all the firms in the sample (150 firms), as discussed<br />

before in Table 3. The estimates in Table 4 are the coefficients of the<br />

dummy variable in a regression of portfolio returns (weighted based<br />

on the full estimated covariance matrix of residuals) on the market<br />

return and a dummy variable corresponding to SOX 404 compliance<br />

(represented by Equation (3)). Each dummy variable equals one<br />

during the three-day period (t=–1, t=0, and t=1) relative to the internal<br />

control reporting date, and zero otherwise.<br />

Insert Table 4<br />

The abnormal returns are significant for each of the subsamples,<br />

positive for Group 3 and negative for Groups 1 and 2. 20 Overall, the<br />

results support Hypotheses 1 and 2, suggesting that market<br />

participants penalize delinquent firms and those with ineffective<br />

internal control. The positive and significant abnormal return for<br />

Group 3 suggests that market participants value effective internal<br />

control (reliable financial reporting) despite the high SOX 404<br />

compliance cost. This result supports the notion that the market<br />

rewards an effective internal control system rather than expecting or<br />

demanding it (as predicted a priori). The estimated coefficient of the<br />

dummy variables for Group 1 is more significantly negative than that<br />

26


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

for Group 2. The estimated coefficient (t-statistic) associated with<br />

Group 1 is –.505 (–8.66); the corresponding value for Group2 is –.171<br />

(–3.62). The F-statistics (not reported in Table 4) show that<br />

differences between the coefficients for firms in the three groups are<br />

significant at the .01 level. These results indicate that, although the<br />

coefficients for Groups 1 and 2 are both significantly negative,<br />

delinquent companies (Group 1) experienced a more significant<br />

decline in their stock prices than those with ineffective internal<br />

controls.<br />

Table 5 allows for testing Hypotheses 4–9 by reporting the<br />

estimated coefficients of independent variables, their T-statistics, and<br />

significance levels, in an OLS regression of abnormal returns % on<br />

firm characteristics. As discussed before, this regression is only based<br />

on the 100 firms in Groups 1 and 2. Abnormal return for each firm<br />

(the dependent variable in this regression) is the dummy variable<br />

coefficient in an OLS regression of security return for that firm on the<br />

market return and a dummy variable corresponding to SOX 404<br />

compliance (an OLS regression similar to Equation (1) for that firm).<br />

The dummy variable equals one during the three-day period (t=–1,<br />

t=0, and t=1) relative to the internal control reporting or delinquency<br />

announcement date, and zero otherwise. The coefficients in Table 5<br />

estimate the change in abnormal return % as a result of a unit change<br />

in a given variable. For example, a one percent increase in sales<br />

growth reduces estimated abnormal return by .014%; the coefficient of<br />

2.082 for prior disclosure (PDIS) means that firms that previously<br />

disclosed their internal control weaknesses (for whom PDIS = 1) are<br />

estimated to experience 2.082% more positive (or less negative)<br />

abnormal returns than firms with no prior disclosure of their<br />

weaknesses (PDIS = 0).<br />

Insert Table 5<br />

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The estimated coefficients reported in Table 5 are significant for<br />

the corporate governance variable and four main variables: prior<br />

disclosure (PDIS), return on assets (ROA), remediation (REMED),<br />

and growth (GRO3). 21 None of the other coefficients are significant at<br />

any meaningful level, and all significant coefficients have the<br />

expected sign. 22 The coefficient for prior disclosure is positive and<br />

significant at the .003 level, indicating that firms that reported their<br />

internal control weaknesses pursuant to Section 302 experienced less<br />

significant decreases in their stock prices. This result may imply that<br />

the market views prior disclosure as management’s ability or<br />

willingness to take a corrective course of action on a timely basis to<br />

remediate internal control weaknesses. It is also plausible that the<br />

positive coefficient for prior disclosure (i.e., a lower negative market<br />

reaction to disclosure under Section 404) indicates that the<br />

information about internal control problems for these firms has<br />

already been incorporated into stock prices pursuant to disclosure of<br />

material weaknesses under Section 302 requirements. This alternative<br />

explanation assumes that the current weaknesses are the same as those<br />

previously disclosed under Section 302, which is less likely because<br />

the reported weaknesses under Section 404 were fairly the same for<br />

only seven firms out of the 23 in Groups 1 and 2 who previously<br />

reported weaknesses in their internal control.<br />

The coefficient for the return on assets is also positive and<br />

significant at the .000 level. This result indicates that firms with more<br />

resources at their disposal experienced a lower decline in their stock<br />

prices, as they are expected to be able to remediate their internal<br />

control weaknesses. The coefficient of the dummy variable for the<br />

sales growth is negative and significant at the .096 level, indicating<br />

that firms with higher sales growth experienced a more significant<br />

decline in their stock prices. This result is expected as growth<br />

increases the difficulty and cost of developing and maintaining an<br />

effective internal control system that is associated with an increase in<br />

28


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

the complexity of the firm. Finally, the coefficient for the remediation<br />

is also negative and significant at the .053 level. This result may be<br />

interpreted in two ways. First, many plans to remediate control<br />

weaknesses lack specificity. For example, MarkWest Energy Partners<br />

LP states, “we are in the process of addressing our internal control<br />

over financial reporting.” The market may perceive lack of specific<br />

plans to remediate control weaknesses as lack of management<br />

commitment to do so. Alternatively, the market may perceive the<br />

firm’s remediation plan as a sign that severe internal control problems<br />

exist which could not possibly be remediated given the resources<br />

available to the firm.<br />

Based on the relative size of the t-statistics reported in Table 5,<br />

return on assets, prior disclosure, remediation and growth are the firm<br />

characteristics that have the most significant relation with stock price<br />

reaction to SOX 404 compliance. In particular, security prices of firms<br />

with a simple control environment, previously disclosed internal<br />

control weaknesses, and resources to remediate their problems, are<br />

less negatively affected by SOX 404 compliance. On the other hand,<br />

having remediation plans exacerbate the negative effect of ineffective<br />

internal control on stock prices.<br />

Size and debt-to-asset ratio are not significantly related to the<br />

stock price reaction to SOX 404 compliance. There are two<br />

implications here. (1) To the extent that quality of accounting<br />

information increases with size and smaller companies have more<br />

difficulty maintaining an effective internal control system because of<br />

inadequacy of resources, SOX 404 compliance should be at least as<br />

useful for smaller companies as it is for larger firms in increasing<br />

investors’ confidence in financial reports. Thus, the calls for<br />

eliminating SOX 404 compliance for nonaccelerated filers may be<br />

premature. Further research is needed to examine the impact of SOX<br />

404 compliance on stock prices of nonaccelerated filers. (2) The<br />

results provide indirect evidence of no association between SOX 404<br />

29


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

compliance and the cost of debt capital, which contradicts one of the<br />

major objections to SOX: reducing or delaying access to the capital<br />

markets. Future research can examine the direct association between<br />

SOX 404 compliance and the cost of debt capital by investigating<br />

changes in debt covenants resulting from SOX 404 compliance.<br />

VI. Summary And Implications<br />

This study examines the stock price reaction to SOX 404<br />

compliance and the relation between abnormal returns and firmspecific<br />

characteristics. Identifying the nature and extent of this<br />

relation contributes to the ongoing debate over the value-relevance of<br />

SOX 404 compliance. Recent research (Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2006)<br />

and anecdotal evidence (e.g., Donaldson 2005; Moody’s 2005)<br />

suggest that internal control reporting is value-relevant to investors in<br />

assessing the quality, reliability, and transparency of financial<br />

reporting. We test the value-relevance of SOX 404 compliance by<br />

examining the stock price changes around the internal control<br />

reporting date. Schwert (1981) suggests that the analysis of market<br />

data is more powerful than other methods because price movements<br />

incorporate all value-relevant information as it becomes available.<br />

Most companies also admit in their SEC filings that failure to achieve<br />

and maintain effective internal control could result in a negative<br />

market reaction. While De Franco et al. (2005), Cheng et al. (2006),<br />

and Beneish et al. (2008), also examine the stock price reaction to<br />

SOX 404 compliance, our methodology provides a more powerful test<br />

of the value relevance of such compliance and our study is the only<br />

one considering the stock price reaction to delinquency in SOX 404<br />

compliance and identifying the firm characteristics that explain the<br />

cross-sectional variation in abnormal returns.<br />

Specifically, our results indicate that firms that either reported<br />

internal control weaknesses or were not able to report on the<br />

30


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

effectiveness of their internal control on a timely basis experienced<br />

significantly negative abnormal returns around the internal control<br />

reporting date. In contrast, firms with effective internal control and<br />

timely reports experienced significant and positive abnormal returns.<br />

These results imply that SOX 404 compliance is value-relevant and<br />

perceived by investors as improving the quality of financial reporting.<br />

Our results also show that the negative abnormal returns were more<br />

pronounced for firms with higher growth in sales (a measure of<br />

complexity) and less pronounced for firms that previously disclosed<br />

their weaknesses or had higher resources (return on assets). Size and<br />

debt-to-asset ratio are not significantly related to the stock price<br />

reaction to SOX 404 compliance, suggesting: (1) that the market<br />

values effective internal controls regardless of firm size; and (2) that<br />

Section 404 may not have affected the cost of debt capital.<br />

Overall, our results suggest that investors perceive that costeffective,<br />

efficient, and scalable regulations such as SOX Section 404<br />

can create a sound and safe environment for public companies to<br />

improve the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting<br />

and thus the accuracy and reliability of financial reports. Our findings<br />

are also consistent with Lord & Benoit’s (2006a) report, arguing that<br />

making internal control reporting voluntary or requiring only the<br />

reporting of disclosure controls and procedures by management would<br />

not serve the best interests of investors. Finally, our findings<br />

corroborate the recent decision by the SEC requiring smaller public<br />

companies to comply with Section 404 as of June,2010 and<br />

initiatives taken by regulators in other counties to madate internal<br />

control reporting for public companies . These findings should be<br />

useful to regulators and policymakers in contemplating further<br />

revisions, simplifications, and modifications of SOX 404 compliance<br />

for nonaccelerated filers and foreign issuers, and to countries<br />

worldwide in considering mandating comparable SOX 404<br />

compliance.<br />

31


Alzahra University<br />

Endnotes<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

1 On May 23, 2007, the SEC approved its interpretive guidance, which eliminates the<br />

auditor’s opinion on management’s assessment of internal controls (SEC 2007). The<br />

PCAOB adopted AS No. 5 on May 24, 2007, which supersedes AS No. 2. Our test period,<br />

however, only covers SOX 404 compliance requirements under AS No. 2.<br />

2 Other provisions of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act have also been controversial. For example,<br />

Cullinan et al. (2006) show that prohibition of loans to executives under Section 402 of<br />

SOX has reduced financial misstatements and improved the accuracy and reliability of<br />

financial reporting. On the other hand, Ascioglu et al. (2005) find only weak evidence that<br />

auditor compensation lowers firm disclosure quality and market liquidity, underscoring the<br />

need to revisit the rationale and scope of restrictions on non-audit services imposed under<br />

Section 201 of SOX.<br />

3 Schneider and Church (2008) suggest that adverse internal control opinions weaken the<br />

importance assigned to financial reports in assessing companies’ creditworthiness and<br />

reduce lenders’ confidence that financial statements are presented fairly, thereby increasing<br />

the cost of debt capital. Contrary to Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2006), however, Ogneva et al.<br />

(2007), find slightly higher cost of equity capital for firms disclosing material weaknesses<br />

under Section 404, which disappears after controlling for firm characteristics associated<br />

with disclosure of material weaknesses. Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. (2006) attribute this<br />

difference in findings to differences in sample, design choices and cost of capital proxy;<br />

more specifically, suggesting that by controlling for the effects of risk, Ogneva et al.<br />

remove part of the information quality effect on the cost of capital.<br />

4 This problem also applies to the studies cited in the previous paragraph.<br />

5 This bias also exists for the other event studies cited above. The bias in our study is larger<br />

because 22% of the firms in our sample reporting internal control weaknesses under Section<br />

404 also reported deficiencies under Section 302.<br />

6 These statements are supported by an Ernst & Young (2007) survey of executives showing:<br />

(1) 86 percent said they achieved a better understanding of major risk areas; (2) 89 percent<br />

reported improvement in their business processes and underlying control structures; and<br />

(3) more than 50 percent believed there were positive impacts on investor confidence.<br />

7 Examples of remediation plans are: hiring additional qualified personnel, replacing existing<br />

personnel, providing additional training, increasing IT security, implementing new software<br />

system and tax consolidation process, reducing the number of taxable entities and third<br />

party trust companies, adding additional procedures and reviews, expanding internal audit<br />

department, and engaging outside experts.<br />

8 It is possible that certain firm characteristics, including prior restatements of earnings,<br />

increase the market’s expectation of material weaknesses and thus reduce the market<br />

reaction at the time of the announcement of such weaknesses. We decided against using a<br />

market expectation model such as that used by Cheng et al. (2006), however, due to the<br />

measurement error in such a variable.<br />

32


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

9 We also use a continuous measure of cash flow, defined as free cash flow divided by sales<br />

averaged over the years 2003 and 2004. Results are practically the same as those reported in<br />

Table 5.<br />

10 Size is related to many variables/factors. For example, size is related to our measures of<br />

resource availability/adequacy (profitability), as well as to debt and complexity, as indicated<br />

in Table 2.<br />

11 Consistent with Cheng et al. (2006), we also use the natural log of (1 + the number of<br />

business segments) as a measure of complexity, but the results are practically identical to<br />

our main model as reported in Table 5, except size becomes important at .102 level. Using<br />

the effect of current year’s acquisitions on prior year’s sales (Compustat item # A249),<br />

rather than an acquisition code, slightly decreases the T-Values for GOV and REMED and<br />

increases that for growth in sales (GRO3).<br />

12 Not all the firms identified by Glass Lewis & Co. are used in this study, as the search<br />

through the Edgar database indicated that some of the delinquencies related to Section 302<br />

of SOX and some of the firms had confounding events during the event window.<br />

13 We made this exception as delinquent firms did not expect to complete their assessment of<br />

internal control in time without unreasonable expenses, which led many of them to believe<br />

and announce that the filing of their 10-K reports would also be delayed. Since the delay in<br />

assessing their internal control weaknesses was the cause of announcements regarding late<br />

reporting of 10-K, we considered any price adjustment (market reaction) for Group 1 firms<br />

to be due to late reporting on internal control and not to the delay in 10-K filing.<br />

Nevertheless, we found 26 firms that: (1) only announced delays in their 10-K filing<br />

between January 1, 2005 and May 1, 2005 (the delinquency announcement date range for<br />

most firms in Group 1); (2) had no confounding event around such announcements; (3)<br />

were not financial institutions or utility companies; and (4) on which CRSP data was<br />

available (this was the limiting factor). We compared the average three day abnormal return<br />

for these 26 firms with that of Group 1. The three day average abnormal return for these 26<br />

control firms, based on the Schipper and Thompson (1983) methodology, was –.142%, with<br />

a T-Value of –.34 (significant at .731), compared with the abnormal return of –.505% with a<br />

T-Value of –8.66 (significant at .000) for Group 1. This result suggests that the significantly<br />

negative abnormal return for Group 1 is related to delinquency in SOX 404 compliance and<br />

not to delay in 10-K filings.<br />

14 Financial institutions with assets greater than $150MM have been subject to internal control<br />

reporting under the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Act of 1991. Utility firms can be<br />

allowed more revenues by regulators to cover the cost of SOX 404 compliance.<br />

15 The auditor opinion on internal control could be (but does not have to be) integrated with<br />

the opinion on the financial statements in the 10-K report. Indeed, out of the 2,965 clean<br />

opinions on internal control, 2,234 were separate from opinions on financial statements;<br />

similarly, out of the 492 adverse opinions on internal control, 398 were separate from<br />

opinions on financial statements.<br />

16 CRSP data were not available in early 2005, when we started this research.<br />

17 Many of these variables are found in prior research on internal control reporting to be<br />

associated with the likelihood of firms reporting an internal control problem (e.g., Ge and<br />

33


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

McVay 2005, Ashbaugh-Skaife et al. 2006 and 2008, Doyle et al. 2007a). The severity of<br />

the underlying weaknesses is not used as a variable because: (1) it adds subjectivity to the<br />

process; and (2) the underlying weaknesses are not (at least fully) known for delinquent<br />

firms, as their assessment of internal control has not been completed as of the delinquency<br />

announcement date.<br />

18 The use of the standard event methodology (running an OLS regression for each firm) in<br />

our study results in a positive, although insignificant, mean abnormal return for Group 2 and<br />

an insignificantly negative mean abnormal return for Group 3; T-Values are .613 and –.348<br />

respectively. [The OLS result for Group 1 is consistent with our MVRM, although the T-<br />

Value is much lower: –2.533 for OLS compared to –8.66 reported in Table 4 for Group 1.]<br />

The result for Group 2 is consistent with finding of no significant market reaction to<br />

reporting internal control weaknesses under Section 404 by Beneish et al. (2008) and shows<br />

that the standard event methodology is a less powerful test of market reaction when event<br />

dates are clustered.<br />

19 Ordinarily, we would use the Sefcik and Thompson (1986) methodology to account for the<br />

cross-correlation and cross-sectional heteroscedasticity as well as potential<br />

multicollinearity. In our case, however, the highest variance inflation factor was about 1.5,<br />

so multicollinearity was not severe and the two sets of results were not significantly<br />

different (please see endnote 21). Thus, we used a cross-sectional OLS regression.<br />

20 The negative (positive) market reaction for Groups 1 and 2 (Group 3) could not be<br />

explained by simultaneous release of bad (good) news due to criterion 4 of sample<br />

selection. However, the significant abnormal returns reported in Table 4 could have been<br />

driven by a few outliers. To rule out this possibility, the number of significant three-day<br />

abnormal returns for each of the three subsamples was determined. These numbers were all<br />

significant at the .01 level based on binomial tests, suggesting that results reported in Table<br />

4 are not driven by outliers.<br />

21 The Sefcik and Thompson (1986) methodology results in the same variables being<br />

significant, although the T-Values increase slightly for GOV and REMED; and decrease<br />

slightly for return on assets (ROA), prior disclosure (PDIS), and growth in sales (GRO3).<br />

This result shows that although the multicollinearity problem was not severe in our study, it<br />

did exist.<br />

22 Alternative specifications of debt constraints, cash flow, prior disclosure, and growth did<br />

not generally influence our findings. Debt constraint defined as long-term debt over total<br />

assets (LTDOA) slightly reduced the significance level for remediation (REMED) to .082<br />

based on a t-value of –1.758, but did not change the importance of the other variables. With<br />

cash flow defined as operating cash flow (OCF), the coefficients and t-statistics were almost<br />

identical. Growth defined as five-year growth in sales (GRO5) produced almost identical<br />

results except the t-statistics were slightly lower (e.g., –1.809 rather than –1.960 for<br />

remediation) so the significance levels were slightly higher (.074 rather than .053 for<br />

remediation). Finally, prior disclosure defined as disclosure of internal control weaknesses<br />

through other SEC filings or news releases (WARN) was not significant.<br />

34


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

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40


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

No material<br />

weaknesses<br />

Effective assessment of<br />

int ernal control, separate<br />

from F. S. reports *<br />

1. Meet<br />

expectations<br />

2. No<br />

excess returns<br />

3. No<br />

market reaction<br />

GROUP 3<br />

Compliant<br />

firms<br />

FIGURE 1: Section 404 Compliance<br />

Section 404<br />

Material<br />

weaknesses<br />

Adverse or<br />

disclaimer of opinion<br />

on internal cont rol,<br />

separate from F. S.<br />

reports *<br />

1.<br />

Uncertainty<br />

2. Risk<br />

premium<br />

GROUP 2<br />

* Delinquency announcement or internal control reporting date is required to be distinct from<br />

that of other SEC filings or news releases for all groups (except for announcements by<br />

delinquent firms regarding the late filing of their 10-K reports due to not having (fully)<br />

assessed the effectiveness of their internal controls) to ensure that the market reaction to<br />

internal control reporting is not confounded by other events.<br />

Table 1<br />

41<br />

Noncompliant firms<br />

Delinquency<br />

announcement, separate<br />

from F. S. reports *<br />

1. More<br />

uncertainty<br />

2. Higher<br />

risk premium<br />

3. More<br />

negative<br />

market<br />

reaction<br />

GROUP 1


Alzahra University<br />

Variable<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

List of Variables<br />

42<br />

Variable<br />

Abbrevia<br />

tion<br />

Expected<br />

Sign a<br />

<strong>Annual</strong><br />

Compustat Data<br />

Items/Other<br />

Sources<br />

Size—natural log of market value of equity SIZE + 24*25<br />

Debt Constraint—debt over total asset<br />

(alternative)<br />

Total Debt over Total Assets<br />

Long-term Debt over Total Assets<br />

Cash Flow—one if cash flow is negative in<br />

2003 and/or 2004; zero otherwise<br />

Free Cash Flow—cash flow from<br />

operations minus cash<br />

dividends minus capital<br />

expenditures<br />

Cash Flow from Operations<br />

(alternative)<br />

Return on Assets—income before<br />

extraordinary items over total assets in<br />

percent<br />

Prior disclosure—one if company<br />

previously disclosed its internal control<br />

weaknesses; zero otherwise<br />

Pursuant to Section 302 of the<br />

Sarbanes-Oxley Act<br />

Through Other SEC Filings or<br />

News Releases (alternative)<br />

Remediation Plan—one if the company<br />

identified plans to remediate its internal<br />

control weaknesses prior to or at the time<br />

of control weakness or delinquency<br />

announcement; zero otherwise<br />

Prior Restatement of Earnings—one if the<br />

company has announced a restatement of<br />

its past earnings between January 1, 2002,<br />

and the internal control reporting or<br />

delinquency announcement date; zero<br />

otherwise<br />

TDOA<br />

LTDOA<br />

FCF<br />

OCF<br />

–<br />

–<br />

–<br />

–<br />

(9+ 34)/6<br />

9/6<br />

308 – 127 – 128<br />

308<br />

ROA + 100*(18/6)<br />

PDIS<br />

WARN<br />

+<br />

+<br />

Audit Analytics<br />

Edgar database<br />

REMED ? Edgar database<br />

RESTAT<br />

E<br />

–<br />

Audit Analytics<br />

and Edgar<br />

database


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Growth—growth rate in sales<br />

Three-year least-squares growth<br />

rate in sales<br />

Five-year least-squares growth<br />

rate in sales (alternative)<br />

Complexity—one if the number of<br />

business segments for a firm is greater than<br />

the average for the whole sample; zero<br />

otherwise<br />

Acquisition Activity—one if engaged in<br />

acquisition activities during 2003 and/or<br />

2004; zero otherwise<br />

Corporate Governance—fraction of board<br />

members that are not officers<br />

43<br />

GRO3<br />

GRO5<br />

–<br />

–<br />

GSALE3<br />

GSALE5<br />

COMP – SEGNUM<br />

ACQ – AQSF<br />

GOV N/A<br />

Disclosure/Edgar<br />

database<br />

a A positive sign implies that greater values of a given variable are associated with less<br />

negative reaction to SOX 404 compliance. All variables are measured as of the end of<br />

fiscal year 2004, ending on or after November 15, 2004, when Section 404<br />

requirements went into effect unless otherwise indicated.


Variable<br />

SIZ<br />

E<br />

TABLE 2<br />

Pearson Correlations between Firm Characteristics for the Full Sample (N=150) a<br />

T DO<br />

A<br />

FCF<br />

RO<br />

A<br />

PDIS<br />

REM<br />

ED<br />

RESTA<br />

T E<br />

44<br />

GRO<br />

3<br />

Comp ACQ GOV<br />

SIZE 1.00 .228 c<br />

–<br />

.318<br />

.379 c –.058 –.099 –.009 .064 .317 c .077 .125 .206 d –.342 c –.058 .096<br />

T DOA 1.00 .090 .053 .074 .261 c .106 –.048 .262c –.052 .084 .964c –.043 .108 –.043<br />

FCF 1.00 –.40 c .069 .015 .025 .094 –.104 –.089 –.048 .094 .608 c .115 .011<br />

ROA 1.00 –.25 d –.024 –.118 –.078 .162 d .101 .080 .078 –.496 c –.041 –.064<br />

PDIS 1.00 .235 d –.001 .119 –.010 –.009 –.036 .100 .147 .224 d .118<br />

REMED 1.00 .092 –.121 .256 d –.014 .148 .297 c .002 .489 c –.102<br />

RESTAT<br />

E<br />

LT DO<br />

A b<br />

OCF b<br />

WAR<br />

N b<br />

GRO5<br />

b<br />

1.00 –.063 .054 –.069 –.065 .028 .036 –.016 .017<br />

GRO3 1.00 –.125 .097 .043 –.044 .156 –.193 .539 c<br />

COMP 1.00 .028 .113 .233 c –.158 .074 –.121<br />

ACQ 1.00 .106 –.049 –.065 .030 .048<br />

GOV 1.00 .093 –.018 .052 –.095<br />

LT DOA b 1.00 –.096 .172 –.040<br />

OCF b<br />

1.00 .030 .047<br />

WARN b 1.00 –.138<br />

GRO5 b 1.00<br />

a Correlations for PDIS, WARN, and REMED are based on 100 observations, as these variables are not applicable to Group 3 (firms with no material<br />

weaknesses in t heir internal control). All variables, including PDIS, WARN, and REMED are defined in T able 1.<br />

b Alternative measures.<br />

c Significant at .01 level (2-tailed).<br />

d Significant at .05 level (2-tailed).


TABLE 3<br />

Mean, Median, and Standard Deviation (Std. Dev.) of Selected Variables for the Full Sample and Subsamples<br />

Sample a Variable b SIZE T DOA FCF ROA PDIS REMED REST AT E GRO3 COMP ACQ GOV<br />

Full Sample<br />

(N=150; 100 for PDIS &<br />

REMED)<br />

Group 1,<br />

Delinquent Firms<br />

(N=50)<br />

Group 2,<br />

Firms with Ineffective<br />

Controls (N=50)<br />

Mean 6.214 .183 .560 –3.473 .230 .570 .453 18.492 .427 .160 .746<br />

Median 5.925 .130 1.000 1.268 .000 1.000 .000 7.131 .000 .000 .778<br />

Std. Dev. 1.595 .212 .498 17.828 .423 .498 .499 60.821 .496 .368 .125<br />

Mean 6.110 .214 .620 –7.180 .240 .660 .720 19.081 .440 .120 .712<br />

Median 5.821 .190 1.000 –1.155 .000 1.000 1.000 7.047 .000 .000 .721<br />

Std. Dev. 1.491 .213 .490 18.758 .431 .479 .454 40.964 .501 .328 .138<br />

Mean 5.777 .126 .560 –4.896 .220 .480 .500 4.489 .360 .240 .751<br />

Median 5.553 .065 1.000 .921 .000 .000 .500 5.810 .000 .000 .778<br />

Std. Dev. 1.444 .153 .501 18.445 .418 .505 .505 18.187 .485 .431 .115<br />

Mean<br />

Group 3,<br />

Firms with Effective Controls Median<br />

6.755<br />

6.430<br />

.208<br />

.157<br />

.500<br />

.500<br />

1.657<br />

5.923<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

.140<br />

.000<br />

31.906<br />

9.960<br />

.480<br />

.000<br />

.120<br />

.000<br />

.775<br />

.800<br />

(N=50) Std. Dev. 1.710 .251 .505 15.213 N/A N/A .351 94.105 .505 .328 .115<br />

a T he full sample is composed of all the firms in the sample. Other samples are a subset of these 150 firms. Specifically, Group 1 firms are firms whose<br />

management or auditor did not report on internal control in a timely manner; Group 2 firms are t hose who received adverse or disclaimer opinions on the<br />

effectiveness of their internal control due to identified material weaknesses or scope limitation; and Group 3 consists of firms with no material weaknesses in<br />

their internal control, whose auditors’ opinions on internal control effectiveness were unqualified.<br />

b Variables are defined in Table 1. PDIS and REMED are not applicable to Group 3.<br />

45


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

TABLE 4<br />

Test of Hypotheses 1–3<br />

Portfolio abnormal returns (in %), T-Values and their significance level, for the<br />

three subsamples. a These estimates are the coefficients of the dummy variables in a<br />

regression of portfolio returns (weighted based on the full estimated covariance<br />

matrix of residuals) on the market return and a dummy variable corresponding to<br />

SOX 404 compliance (represented by Equation (3)). The dummy variable equals one<br />

during the three-day period (t=–1, t=0, and t=1) relative to the internal control<br />

reporting date or the delinquency announcement date, and zero otherwise.<br />

Group 1,<br />

Delinquent<br />

Firms<br />

(N = 50)<br />

Group 2,<br />

Firms with<br />

Ineffective Controls<br />

(N= 50)<br />

46<br />

Group 3,<br />

Firms with<br />

Effective Controls<br />

(N= 50)<br />

Abnormal<br />

Return –.505 –.171 .284<br />

T-Value –8.66<br />

–3.62 2.39<br />

Significance<br />

Level .000 .000 .018<br />

a Groups 1–3 are a subset of the 150 firms in the sample. Specifically, Group 1<br />

firms are firms whose management or auditor did not report on internal control in a<br />

timely manner; Group 2 firms are those who received adverse or disclaimer opinions<br />

on the effectiveness of their internal control due to identified material weaknesses or<br />

scope limitation; and Group 3 consists of firms with no material weaknesses in their<br />

internal control, whose auditors’ opinions on internal control effectiveness are<br />

unqualified.


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

TABLE 5<br />

Test of Hypotheses 4–9<br />

Estimated coefficients of independent variables, their T-Values, and significance levels, in an<br />

OLS regression a of abnormal returns % on firm characteristics. The coefficients estimate the<br />

change in abnormal return % as a result of a unit change in a given variable. Abnormal return<br />

for each firm (the dependent variable in this regression) is the dummy variable coefficient in<br />

an OLS regression of security return for that firm on the market return and a dummy variable<br />

corresponding to SOX 404 compliance (an OLS regression similar to Equation (1) for that<br />

firm). The dummy variable equals one during the three-day period (t=–1, t=0, and t=1)<br />

relative to the internal control reporting date or the delinquency announcement date, and zero<br />

otherwise.<br />

Variable Expected<br />

Sign<br />

Coefficient T-Values Significance<br />

Level<br />

Constant –1.156 –.553 .581<br />

Size (SIZE) + –.350 –1.573 .119<br />

Debt Constraint (TDOA) – –.123 –.078 .938<br />

Cash Flow (FCF) – –.153 –.258 .797<br />

Return on Assets (ROA) + .067 4.007 .000<br />

Prior disclosure (PDIS) + 2.082 3.083 .003<br />

Remediation (REMED) ? –1.198 –1.960 .053<br />

Restatement (RESTATE) – .534 .914 .363<br />

Growth (GRO3) – –.014 –1.680 .096<br />

Complexity (COM P) – .648 1.072 .287<br />

Acquisition (ACQ) – –.889 –1.217 .227<br />

Corporate Governance<br />

N/A 4.310 2.003 .048<br />

(GOV)<br />

a The regression is based on the 100 firms in Groups 1 and 2 only. Group 1 firms are<br />

delinquent firms (firms whose management or auditor did not report on internal control in a<br />

timely manner); and Group 2 firms are those who received adverse or disclaimer opinions on<br />

the effectiveness of their internal control due to identified material weaknesses or scope<br />

limitation. Variables are defined in Table 1. Significant T-Values are in bold.<br />

47


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Earnings Management in Delisted Companies: Case<br />

of Iran<br />

Abstract<br />

Jamal Roudaki �<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> PhD<br />

Faculty of Commerce, Lincoln University, New Zealand<br />

Over three years of 2007 to 2009 one hundred eight companies<br />

delisted from the <strong>Iranian</strong> financial market which forms about one third of<br />

total companies continuously listed in the same period. This paper<br />

investigates earnings management (EM) statue in relation to firm<br />

characteristics such as leverage, size and ROA in a sample of these<br />

companies. Voluntary disclosure about state of corporate governance is<br />

also included in the analysis. Results from financial reports of one and two<br />

years before delisting indicate that managers are extensively managing<br />

their earnings. Further inquiry reveals that while numbers of delisted<br />

companies that manage their earnings upward or downward are equal, in<br />

companies with negative EM profitability exhibit strong statistical relation<br />

with DACC (proxy for EM). Inquiries about corporate governance<br />

indicate that five directors (board size) on board of directors is common<br />

(68 from 73 firms reported 5 members). The mean number of independent<br />

board members is more than 3 directors, and institutional ownership is<br />

widespread that 79.5% of firms reported more than 50% of such shares.<br />

Keyword: Iran earnings management, delisted companies,<br />

distressed companies, firm characteristics<br />

*Corresponding Author: Jamal.Roudaki@lincoln.ac.nz


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Introduction<br />

Earnings management in companies at distressed companies are more<br />

likely. A recent study about the <strong>Iranian</strong> delisted companies by Etemadi,<br />

Dastgir, Momeni and Farajzadeh Dekhordi (2012) reveals that discretionary<br />

accruals manipulation are at the highest a year before filing bankruptcy<br />

among the last the five years prior to such incident. Such firms negatively<br />

manage their earnings before delisted as a result of unprofitable period.<br />

However, as Ahmad (2005) suggested empirical evidence about financial<br />

information including those related to earnings management of distressed<br />

companies are limited. Such information either removed from data bases as<br />

the company no longer listed or active, or the financial information are never<br />

published to avoid any formal or informal reaction. In the case of <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

delisted companies from 108 companies that delisted during three years of<br />

2007-9 only 77 financial reports are available from the related website.<br />

These financial reports are not complete and include minimal financial<br />

information that satisfies needs of the current research.<br />

Unlike early studies (i.e. DeFond & Jiambalvo, 1994; Dechow et al.,<br />

1995; Dechow, Sloan, & Sweeney, 1996) that consider only total accruals in<br />

investigating earnings management, recent studies (i.e. Grove & Basilico,<br />

2008; Rosner, 2003) consider financial indices and discretionary accruals to<br />

explain state of earnings management. Therefore this study includes<br />

discretionary accruals and financial indices to develop earnings management<br />

literature in this area. This study designed to use limited financial<br />

information to investigate earnings management in the <strong>Iranian</strong> delisted<br />

companies one year before such incident. The motivation of this study is<br />

based on fact that managers manage earnings before major event such as<br />

delisting. Beside earnings management information as financial variables,<br />

corporate governance data brings about non-financial aspect to this study.<br />

The other objective of this paper is to investigate the status of corporate<br />

governance in delisted companies over two years end up with delisted.<br />

Voluntary provided corporate governance data from published financial<br />

reports of delisted firms are the most reliable source for this study in the<br />

absence of comprehensive corporate governance guidelines. This paper<br />

intended to develop the literature of earnings management and corporate<br />

governance in developing countries. The result will benefit regulators and<br />

49


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

stock market in development of regulation related to listing requirements and<br />

corporate governance guidelines.<br />

The paper proceeds as follows. Section two explains background<br />

of the study that will formed foundation of hypothesis developed in<br />

section three. Section four then provides research methodology while<br />

results of empirical data analysis are presented in section five.<br />

Conclusions and remarks are included in the last section of the paper.<br />

Background of the Study<br />

Discretionary accruals of <strong>Iranian</strong> listed firms investigated by<br />

Etamadi, et al. (2012). This study, for the first time compares<br />

distressed and healthy companies and concludes that during the<br />

distressed period or filling bankruptcy, such companies manage their<br />

earnings more than their healthy counterparts while the highest<br />

downward discretionary accruals reported at the year before delisted.<br />

Mashayekhi (2008) research examines the corporate governance and<br />

earnings management in the <strong>Iranian</strong> listed companies from 2003-2005.<br />

She provides evidence about relationship between corporate<br />

governance characteristics (board size, independence, number of<br />

meeting, financial expertise, and ownership) with earning<br />

management. She also considers two other characteristics of CEO<br />

duality, independent audit committee in her research. In the same area<br />

of relationship of corporate governance characteristics and earnings<br />

management, Hashemi and Rabiee (2011) investigate role of corporate<br />

governance and real earnings management in Iran. They use data from<br />

2004 to 2010 of 1398 firm year of listed companies. The same the<br />

previous research, board size and board independence are independent<br />

variable with dependent variable of real earnings management in<br />

Hashemi and Rabiee (2011) study. They found that aforementioned<br />

board characteristics are contributed to limit real earning management.<br />

Another research by Rahnamy Roodposhti and Nabavi Chasmi (2010)<br />

is a survey of effect of corporate governance characteristics on earning<br />

50


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

management in 196 <strong>Iranian</strong> listed firms for the period of 2004-08.<br />

They reported a negative association between earning management<br />

with ownership concentration and CEO duality (CEO as chairman of<br />

the board) while they observed a positive relationship between earning<br />

management and control variables of firm specification (i.e. leverage<br />

and size). Board composition, CEO duality, size, and independence in<br />

relationship with earning management was centre of focus in a<br />

research study by Badavar Nahandi, Mahmoudizadeh Baghbani and<br />

Bolour (2011). Their findings are opposite to previous research that<br />

they found a positive relation between earning management and CEO<br />

act as board chairman. This research states the relationship between<br />

earning management and board independence is not significant.<br />

However, the results of these studies should be interpreted consider<br />

that in the absence of formal corporate governance rules in the <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

capital market, any information disclosed tend to be voluntary. It is<br />

worth to mention that corporate governance information are not<br />

normally reported fully by majority of companies while it is voluntary<br />

based. Availability of such information is a challenge not only for<br />

aforementioned research studies but for all research projects<br />

considering <strong>Iranian</strong> financial market information including the present<br />

research.<br />

Hypothesis Development<br />

Research studies about earnings management in distressed<br />

companies are limited since empirical evidences are not widely<br />

available (Ahmed, 2005). Literature in this area is primarily used data<br />

from developed countries stock markets mostly from the USA.<br />

Charitou, lambertides and Trigeogis (2011) study earning quality of<br />

companies with different financial health and growth characteristics in<br />

15,049 US companies over ten years end by 2004. They found that<br />

financially distressed companies exhibited low level of earnings<br />

timeliness when facing bad news and vice versa for good news while<br />

51


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

healthy companies behave opposite. Lee (2000) investigates distressed<br />

companies behaviour in three stages of: 1) reducing dividend, 2) debt<br />

contract violation, and 3) distressed debt rearrangement. They<br />

conclude that in the first stage (reducing dividend) companies tend to<br />

decrease reported discretionary accruals either to control further drop<br />

in financial performance or window dressing by removing negative<br />

items from financial reports. Successful companies in the debt<br />

contract violation stage exercise decreasing discretionary accruals<br />

while unsuccessful companies behave opposite. As companies<br />

experience trouble debt restructuring (stage 3) they highlight the<br />

financial hardship by decreasing discretionary actuals to position<br />

company in upper hand in debt negotiation. Lee’s (2000) study<br />

suggests that distressed firms’ behaviour towards manipulating<br />

discretionary accruals is depend on the managers expectation on debt<br />

contracts. In the same area Ahmed (2005) investigates reported<br />

discretionary accruals of Malaysian distressed companies in the period<br />

of debt renegotiation. He concludes that such companies manipulate<br />

their earnings downwards. Koch (2003) study explains bias and<br />

credibility when forecasting voluntary earnings and concludes that<br />

distressed companies have greater intention for such behaviour. His<br />

empirical results support that distressed firms unlike healthy<br />

counterparts manipulate earnings upward and consequently financial<br />

analyst attach less credit to the quality of earnings included in such<br />

financial reports. Nevertheless, Adu-Boateng (2011) concludes that<br />

accountants’ choice unethical behaviour related to reporting earnings<br />

management is attributed to situation factors and moral reasoning. He<br />

shows accountants in financial distressed firms are more vulnerable to<br />

unethical behaviour in earning management. A survival analysis<br />

examination of financial distressed firms performed by Hou and<br />

Chuang (2007), they consider data from 1996 to 2006 of 4,356<br />

Taiwanese listed companies. Their empirical results indicate that firms<br />

that manage their earnings, demonstrate lower profitability are more<br />

52


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

subject to became financially distressed. As explained before the only<br />

research study in the literature about <strong>Iranian</strong> distressed companies is<br />

Etemadi et al. (2012) paper. They find that during distressed period (5<br />

years before filing bankruptcy) firms manage their earnings more than<br />

non-distressed counterparts. This research reports that adverse<br />

discretionary accruals observed in the highest point at the year before<br />

bankruptcy announcement.<br />

Literature related to Earnings management is well developed<br />

around the world. Motivations for studies in this area are ranged from<br />

capital market, and contractual, to regulatory motivations (Healy and<br />

Wahlen, 1999). In these studies total discretionary accruals is<br />

considered as proxy for earnings management and consider as a<br />

dependent variable. This research follows the same approach but<br />

population of the study is delisted companies of the Tehran Stock<br />

Exchange. Therefore the first null-hypothesis is:<br />

H1: There is no earnings management in companies delisted from<br />

TSE board.<br />

Relationship between firm characteristics of size, return on assets<br />

(ROA) and leverage are focus of interest of many research studies (for<br />

example; Jones and Sharma, 2001; Dechow and Dichev, 2002; Bédard<br />

et al., 2004; Jaggi and Leung, 2007). From the time that Watts and<br />

Zimmerman (1986) hypothesized that, managers of large companies<br />

more likely to manage their earnings to the recent years, there are<br />

many research studies that report contradictory results. Some scholars<br />

like Gu, Lee, and Rosett (2005), Benkel et al. (2006), and Dechow and<br />

Dichev (2002),and Jordon et al (2008) conclude that managers of<br />

small firms manage their earnings while other such as Warfield et al.<br />

(1995) provide empirical evidence to agree with Watts and<br />

Zimmerman (1986). However in the recent studies a statistically<br />

significant relationship between firm size (total or log of assets as<br />

proxy) and earning management is reported by Davidson et al. (2005),<br />

53


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Ebrahim (2007), Jaggi and Leung (2007), Niu (2006), and Park and<br />

Shin, (2004). Even lack of sufficient evidence to explain the<br />

relationship between firm size and earnings management is reported<br />

by some other scholars (for example; Bédard et al.; 2004 & Klien,<br />

2002).<br />

It is reported that when a firm exercises low profitability (ROA or<br />

ROE as proxy), manipulation of earnings tend to occur to cover<br />

negative results (Burgstahler & Dichev, 1997). Jordon et al. (2008)<br />

provide a contrary result that firm with negative earnings avoid<br />

earnings management, earnings manipulation occurs in firms with<br />

positive earnings. However, a positive relationship is reported by<br />

Klien (2002) and Davidson et al. (2005). A negative relationship<br />

between profitability and earnings management is presented by<br />

comparison of the companies by some scholars (i.e. Ashari, Koh, Tan,<br />

& Wong, 1994, Bédard et al., 2004, and Sun & Rath, 2009). In this<br />

study profitability is considered as return on assets (ROA).<br />

Leverage is another firm characteristic that draw attention of<br />

scholars studying relation of earnings management. High leverage<br />

firms are considered to have more intensive to manage their earnings<br />

(Ahorany et al., 1993; Defond & Jimbalvo, 1994; Glaum, Lichtblau &<br />

Linderman, 2004; Klein, 2002; Davidson et al., 2005; Jaggi and<br />

Leung, 2007). One the other hand in the firm with high ratio of debt to<br />

total assets chance of manipulating earnings is lower than high<br />

leveraged firm as explained by Park and Shin (2004), Chen, Lin and<br />

Zhou (2005), and Niu (2006). A contradict results are reported by<br />

Jordon et al. (2008). Like other firm characteristics scholars such as<br />

Sun and Rath (2009), Abdul Rahman, Dowds and Cahan (2005),<br />

Bédard et al. (2004), and Jones and Sharma (2001) said that they did<br />

not find an statistical significant relationship between manage<br />

earnings and leverage of the companies under investigation.<br />

Considering and combining the above contradict results about the<br />

54


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

effect of firm size, profitability, and leverage, this study hypothesis<br />

that:<br />

H2: There is no relationship between earning management and firm<br />

characteristics of size, profitability, and leverage of the companies<br />

delisted from TSE board.<br />

Methodology<br />

The objective of this study is to determine the extent of earnings<br />

management of delisted companies in from Tehran Stock Exchange in<br />

2007 and 2008. To persuade this objective among four earnings<br />

management models, Performance Matched Model that developed by<br />

Kothari Leano and Wasley (2005) considered appropriate for the<br />

propose of the study. This earnings management model is<br />

contemporary and comprehensive model that emphasises on firm<br />

performance. Khatori, et al. (2005) found that discretionary accruals<br />

estimated in their model is more powerful and inferior to early<br />

earnings management models (i.e. Jones and Modified Jones Models),<br />

because discretionary accruals are adjusted for a performance matched<br />

discretionary accruals ( i.e. return on assets) and possibly avoid a large<br />

estimated discretionary accruals whenever a firm experiences extreme<br />

growth. Therefore, non-discretionary accruals is calculated using the<br />

below model.<br />

NDACit/TAit-1 = α0 + αi[1/TAit-1] + β1[(∆REVit - ∆RECit)/TAit-1] +<br />

β2PPEit/TAit-1 + β3ROAit-1<br />

In the above model, year t is the one year before (2008 or 2007<br />

where applicable) the firm be delisted and t-1 is two years before of<br />

the firm be delisted. NDACit is stand for non-discretionary accruals at<br />

year t while TAit-1 is total assets of two year before of delisting. In the<br />

same way ∆REV and ∆REC are respectively changes in revenue and<br />

account receivables from one year to two years before that firm be<br />

delisted. In the same way PPE and ROA are property, plant and<br />

55


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equipment and return on assets of the firm. Total Accruals for each<br />

company calculated as difference of net income before tax and cash<br />

flow from operating activities. Intercept and coefficient of α and β are<br />

estimated cross-sectional for one year before delisting using the above<br />

OLS regression model and plugged into the model to estimate<br />

unexpected accruals of each delisted firm considering one year and<br />

two years before delisting. Therefore discretionary accrual (DACC) is<br />

calculated as differences between total accruals (TACC) divided by<br />

total assets (TA) and non-discretionary accruals (NADC) in the<br />

following formula.<br />

DACCit = (TACCit/TAit-1) – NDACit<br />

In this study three firm characteristics of size, profitability, and<br />

leverage are used as independent variables. Following the related<br />

literature, total assets and more precisely log of total assets is used as<br />

proxy of size while return on asset (ROA) is used for profitability<br />

variable. There are many approaches in calculating leverage; the most<br />

popular is the product of debt to equity which is considered relevant in<br />

this study.<br />

Population of the Study and Data Collection<br />

All delisted companies during 2007 and 2008 (1386 and 1387<br />

<strong>Iranian</strong> calendar) are population of this study. Therefore data for the<br />

study are collected from financial statements of one year and two<br />

years before (2006 and 2005 where applicable) the year that company<br />

is delisted. Out of 108 companies that delisted in these two years; 60<br />

and 13 companies are delisted in 2007 and 2008 respectively while 35<br />

did not provide sufficient information or no financial report for the<br />

year under consideration. Table 1 presents detailed information about<br />

the population of the study. Financial reports of listed companies<br />

56


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

downloaded from Research Development Islamic Studies database<br />

which is affiliated to <strong>Iranian</strong> Islamic Capital Market.<br />

Table 1: Delisted Companies from Tehran Stock Exchange, 2007-8<br />

2008/1387 2007/1386 Total<br />

Usable 13 60 73<br />

Per cent 17.8 82.2 100<br />

Information not provided or not complete 35<br />

Total 108<br />

Table 2 shows number of years that companies were listed before<br />

delisted from the main board of Tehran Stock Exchange. A<br />

considerable number of reputable companies are delisted in 2007 and<br />

2008 as 58.9% of such companies have been listed with at least 11 and<br />

maximum of 20 years listing history while sixteen companies<br />

(21.92%) even have more than 21 years listing status. According to<br />

second section of table 2 minimum and maximum years of listed<br />

status for these companies are 5 and 36 years respectively with mean<br />

of 17.3 years. Positive while close to one skewness figure indicates<br />

that numbers of years of listed status for delisted companies are<br />

skewed to the less than average. As it is appear in table 2 there are<br />

three patterns in the number of years that these companies are listed<br />

before delisted. The first pattern is 5 to 18 years listing status that<br />

includes about 52 companies. The second pattern is 19 to 30 years<br />

(about 11 years) listing status that there is no company fall into this<br />

category. The last pattern includes 21 companies with 31 to 35 years<br />

listing status. Considering that Tehran Stock Exchange have been<br />

inactive from 1979 to early 1990’s (about 12 years) explaining the<br />

reason for no observation in the second pattern. In the results<br />

discussion we will see how these companies manage their earnings to<br />

cover profitability and inefficiency to avoid being delisted.<br />

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Table 2: Reputation of delisted companies 2007-8<br />

Years of listing Number Percentage<br />

Less than 10 years 14 19.18<br />

11-20 Years 43 58.90<br />

21-30 years 0 0.00<br />

More Than 31 16 21.92<br />

Total 73 100<br />

Min Max Mean STD Variance Skewness<br />

58<br />

Statistic Std. Error<br />

5.00 36.00 17.3 8.99951 80.991 .964 .281<br />

Results<br />

Information about corporate governance is not provided in the<br />

financial reports of the delisted companies. Since corporate<br />

governance regulations or rules are not yet developed officially in the<br />

<strong>Iranian</strong> financial market thus companies are not required to address<br />

such firm characteristics in their published financial reports, all they<br />

report is voluntary in nature. Disclosure about board size of board of<br />

directors, CEO duality, number of independent directors and<br />

institutional ownership are extractable from published financial<br />

statement of delisted companies.<br />

Table 3 summarises descriptive statistics about board of directors’<br />

size. In terms of Board size, five board members model is dominated<br />

as 68 out of 73 companies formed their boards having this number of<br />

directors on board. Only two companies have three or four members<br />

and three companies have three directors on their boards. Common<br />

number of 5 members on board is not encouraging further<br />

investigation about relationship of board size and earnings<br />

management.<br />

Table 3: Number of directors on board of directors


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Board Size 3 and 4 5 6 and 7 Total<br />

Number of firm 2 68 3 73<br />

Min Max Mode Mean STD<br />

Descriptive statistics 3 7 5 5.026 0.486<br />

Duality is not the case in delisted companies, since there is no<br />

CEO act as chairman of board of directors. However, in 55 companies<br />

CEO is member of the Board. Previous research studies (i.e. Badavar<br />

Nahandi, Mahmoudizadeh Baghbani & Bolour, 2011; Rahnamy<br />

Roodposhti & Nabavi Chasmi, 2010b; Mashayekhi, 2008) investigate<br />

the relationship between CEO duality and earning management in the<br />

<strong>Iranian</strong> listed companies; however the results as explained in the<br />

literature review are contradictory. This research found no<br />

researchable data in the delisted companies since none of CEOs in<br />

these companies acting as chairman of board.<br />

Table 4 presents descriptive statistics about independent members<br />

of board of directors. As it was expected voluntary information about<br />

board independent is not reported by all companies in published<br />

financial reports, 59 companies choose to be silent and among other<br />

14 companies nine companies reported that they have four<br />

independent board members while others have one or two such<br />

members. Other research (i.e. Mashayekhi, 2008; Hashemi and<br />

Rabiee, 2011b; Rahnamy Roodposhti & Nabavi Chasmi, 2010 and<br />

201; Badavar Nahandi et al., 2011) that use recent data from <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

financial market reported the same results. Mashayekhi (2008) reports<br />

proportion of board independence as 0.2, 0.5 as minimum and<br />

maximum respectively. However, lack of sufficient number of<br />

companies that provide information about independent directors is a<br />

challenge for earning management research studies.<br />

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Table 4: Number of independent board of directors’ members<br />

Board independent 1 to 3 4 and 5 Silent Total<br />

Number of firm 4 10 59 73<br />

Min Max Mode Mean STD<br />

Descriptive statistics 1 5 4 3.533 1.06<br />

Institutional ownership is important when investigating earnings<br />

management. Table 5 presents structure of institutional ownership of<br />

delisted companies. The descriptive statistics in table 5 are for one<br />

year and two years before the company being delisted. Mean of<br />

institutional ownership of all delisted companies is 73.43 per cent for<br />

one year before delisted. More than 51% of shares of 58 companies<br />

are in the hands of other companies or institutions and only 15<br />

companies reported less than 50% institutional ownership in one year<br />

before delisted. Considering the first two columns of Table 5 reveal<br />

that institutional ownership is about 70% (43.84 + 26.03) of<br />

companies reported more than 70% institutional ownership. These<br />

data should be read considering minimum (zero) maximum (100) and<br />

mode (100) with high standard deviation. Heavy intuitional ownership<br />

that is appear in table 5 hamper further regression analysis of<br />

relationship between institutional ownership, DACC, and firm<br />

characteristics.<br />

As it was anticipated in the voluntary environment of Iran stock<br />

market, disclosure about board expertise and remuneration are not<br />

included in the published financial reports of most of delisted<br />

companies that the data is not valid to be reported.<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Institutional<br />

Ownership<br />

Table 5: Institutional Ownership of delisted companies<br />

Over<br />

90.1%<br />

Between<br />

70.1%-<br />

90.9%<br />

61<br />

Between<br />

50.1%-<br />

79.9%<br />

Sub<br />

Total<br />

Below<br />

50%<br />

Total<br />

Number of firm 32 19 07 58 15 73<br />

Percentage 43.84 26.03 09.59 79.46 20.55 100<br />

Descriptive<br />

Statistics<br />

Min Max Mode Mean STD<br />

One year before 0 100 100 73.43 30.94<br />

delisted<br />

2 Years before 0 100 100 72.92 31.24<br />

delisted<br />

In terms of earning management variables, Table 6 presents results<br />

of descriptive analysis of DACC and firm characteristics. According<br />

to this table, while mean of DACC is slightly above one million Rials<br />

(0.1099 million Iran currency) the minimum and maximum of this<br />

amount are -2.39 and 4.11 million Rials with positive skweness.<br />

Further investigation reveals that 36 companies have positive and 37<br />

reported negative DACC, implies that numbers of companies<br />

manipulating their earnings upward or downward are almost the same.<br />

Minimum and maximum of leverage (total debt over equity) are 0.51<br />

and 5.24 with 1.4909 mean and positive skewness. In addition the<br />

minimum and maximum of ROAs of them are -2.35 and 0.37 with<br />

mean of -0.1617 and negative skewness. These results support the<br />

argument that these companies while manipulating their earning are<br />

suffering from low profitability. Considering mean and maximum of<br />

leverage of these companies implies that these companies are highly<br />

leverage and excessively involved in borrowing that may not able to<br />

repay while their profit abilities are too low, such condition justify the<br />

delisting status consequently presence of earning management<br />

motivation.


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Table 6: Descriptive statistics of DACC and firm characteristics of<br />

delisted companies<br />

Firm<br />

Characteristics<br />

Min Max Mean STD Skewness<br />

DACC -2.39 4.11 0.1099 .80585 2.674<br />

Leverage 0.51 5.24 1.4909 .98212 1.886<br />

ROA -2.35 0.37 -0.1617 .36813 -3.225<br />

Log of Total Assets 3.20 6.43 5.0867 .58790 0.034<br />

Table 7 presents regression analysis between dependent variable of<br />

DACC of one year before delisting and predictors of as included in the<br />

study OLS. In this table, R square is 0.332 and Durbin-Watson 1.806.<br />

Using rule of thumb Durbin-Watson around two is an indication of<br />

independence observation and absent of autocorrelation in the<br />

statistical test (Garson, 2007). The immediate conclusion is that<br />

delisted companies ménage their earning in the year before delisting.<br />

However the results of statistical analysis related to null hypothesis<br />

one will be explained with more detail the following paragraphs.<br />

Table 7: Regression analysis delisted companies one year before<br />

delisted (Model Summary b )<br />

Adjusted<br />

R<br />

Square<br />

Std. Error<br />

of the<br />

Estimate<br />

R<br />

Square<br />

Change<br />

62<br />

Change Statistics<br />

R R<br />

F<br />

Sig. F Durbin-<br />

Square<br />

Change df1 df2 Change Watson<br />

.576 a .332 .285 .68928 .332 7.058 4 68 .000 1.806<br />

a. Predictors: (Constant), Dummy IOS One year before, PPE(1St year)/TA(2St year),<br />

1/TA(2St year), ROA(2St year), [(REV(1St year) – REV(2St year)) – (REC(1St year) –<br />

REC(2St year))]/ TA(2St year)<br />

b. Dependent Variable: DACC one year before<br />

Table 8 presents results of regression analysis in two lines. In the<br />

first line figures are related to relationship of DACC with firm<br />

characteristics of one year before delisting while line two is related to<br />

regression analysis of TACC with the same firm characteristics. The


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

first line of Table 8 shows a weak R square indicating that<br />

discretionary accruals of one year before delisting have a weak<br />

relationship (R 2 0.191) with leverage, profitability and size of the<br />

companies. The second line of this table shows stronger R square<br />

(0.457) between Total accruals and firm characteristics. These<br />

relationships will be investigated with correlation in the following<br />

paragraphs. TACC shows strong R square with firm characteristics<br />

which indicates that total accruals.<br />

Table 8: Regression analysis one year before delisted (Model<br />

Summary b )<br />

Change Statistics<br />

R Adjusted Std. Error of<br />

R<br />

Square F<br />

Sig. F Durbin-<br />

R Square R Square the Estimate Change Change df1 df2 Change Watson<br />

.437 b .191 .156 .74046 .191 5.426 3 69 .002 1.998<br />

.676 a .457 .434 90487.12202 .457 19.368 3 69 .000 2.282<br />

a. Predictors: (Constant), Log TA, Leverage, ROA<br />

b. Dependent Variable: DACC or TACC<br />

Statistical relationship of DACC one year before delisting and<br />

ROA (0.309 at 0.01 level, 2-tailed) of the same year is significant<br />

while this relation is not existed with firm size (log of total assets as<br />

proxy). DACC has adverse significant relationship with leverage (-<br />

0.24 at 0.05 level 2-tailed), implies that highly leverage companies<br />

have less discretionary accruals consequently low level of managing<br />

their earnings. In the contrary more profitable companies manage their<br />

earnings may in the hop not to be delisted or influence stakeholders.<br />

Table 9 shows the results of correlation analysis of DACC and firm<br />

characteristics of one year before delisting. Null hypothesis two could<br />

be divided into three sub hypotheses of relation between DACC in one<br />

hand and three firm characteristics of 1) leverage, 2) profitability, and<br />

3) size in the other hand. Based on results in Table 9 first and third sub<br />

hypotheses cannot be accepted while the second one is verifiable. Not<br />

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surprising, adverse significant relationship between profitability and<br />

leverage (-0.514 at 0.01 level, 2-tailed) indicate that in these more<br />

profitable companies are less leverage. As an additional to this<br />

finding, 0.222 correlation between log of total assets and profitability<br />

indicates that big companies are relatively more profitable<br />

consequently more vulnerable to earning management manipulation<br />

which support above discussion about relationship between manage<br />

earnings DACC, profitability and size. The results of this study<br />

confirm Rahnamy Roodposhti & Nabavi Chasmi, 2010 results in<br />

terms of association between firm size and leverage with earnings<br />

management.<br />

Table 9: Correlation analysis of DACC and firm Characteristics one<br />

year before delisting<br />

DACC Leverage ROA Log TA<br />

DACC Pearson Correlation 1 -.240* .399 ** -.086<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .041 .000 .470<br />

Leverage Pearson Correlation 1 .514 ** .216<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .066<br />

ROA Pearson Correlation 1 .222<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .059<br />

Log TA Pearson Correlation 1<br />

Sig. (2-tailed)<br />

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).<br />

*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).<br />

Further investigating performed by dividing companies in two<br />

categories of 36 positive and 37 negative DACCs. Strong R square for<br />

companies with positive DACCs indicates companies aggressively<br />

increase their earnings. R square for these companies is higher than all<br />

companies presented at table 10 that explain high correlation for all<br />

companies is related to companies with positive DACCS that<br />

aggressively manage their earnings. In the contrary, companies with<br />

negative DACCs exhibit low R square (0.035) and low Durbin-<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Watson (0.186) that indicates these companies are not manage their<br />

earnings and their counterparts. Table 10 shows regression analysis<br />

results for companies with positive and negative DACC in the year<br />

before being delisted.<br />

Table 10: Regression analysis delisted companies with positive or<br />

negative DACCs<br />

DAC<br />

C R<br />

Positi .71<br />

ve 6 a<br />

Negati .52<br />

ve 3 a<br />

Adjust<br />

ed R<br />

Squar<br />

e<br />

Std.<br />

Error<br />

of the<br />

Estim<br />

ate<br />

R<br />

Squa<br />

re<br />

Chan<br />

ge<br />

65<br />

Change Statistics<br />

Durbi<br />

n-<br />

Wats<br />

on<br />

R<br />

F Sig. F<br />

Squa<br />

Chan df df Chan<br />

re<br />

ge 1 2 ge<br />

.512 .431 .67907 .512 6.305 5 30 .000 1.567<br />

.274 .157 .41460 .274 2.340 5 31 .065 .887<br />

a. Predictors: (Constant), Dummy IOS One year before, PPE(1St year)/TA(2St year),<br />

1/TA(2St year), ROA(2St year), [(REV(1St year) – REV(2St year)) – (REC(1St year) –<br />

REC(2St year))]/ TA(2St year)<br />

b. Dependent Variable: DACC(Pos) or Dependent Variable: DACC(Neg)<br />

Table 11 presents correlation analysis of firm characteristics and<br />

DACC of delisted companies with positive and negative DACCs<br />

separately. According to this table DACC in companies with positive<br />

DACC is not correlated with firm characteristics (leverage, ROA, and<br />

Size). In the line of all companies in these companies ROA and<br />

Leverage are highly correlated while relationship of ROA and size is<br />

weak. In the contrary companies with negative DACCs exhibited a<br />

strong adverse correlation between DACC and ROA (-0.718 at 0.01<br />

level, 2-tailed). These results indicate that as profitability decreases<br />

the possibility of earnings management decreases. Size and leverage<br />

have not statistical relationship with DACC in companies with<br />

negative DACCs. Nevertheless, in companies with negative DACCs<br />

profitability is a good predictor for DACCs but not for their<br />

counterpart companies.


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The same significant adverse relationship between profitability and<br />

leverage repeated for companies with negative DACC (-0.377 at 0.05,<br />

2-tailed). In these companies size and leverage are not correlated.<br />

Table 11: Correlation analysis of firm characteristics and DACC<br />

(positive and negative)<br />

Companies with positive DACC<br />

DACCs<br />

(Pos) Leverage ROA Log TA<br />

DACC Pearson Correlation 1 -.181 -.009 -.258<br />

(Pos) Sig. (2-tailed) .290 .958 .128<br />

Leverage Pearson Correlation 1 -.651 ** -.157<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .361<br />

ROA Pearson Correlation 1 .328<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .051<br />

Log TA Pearson Correlation<br />

Sig. (2-tailed)<br />

1<br />

Companies with negative DACC<br />

DACCs<br />

(Neg) Leverage ROA Log TA<br />

DACC Pearson Correlation 1 .071 -.718<br />

(Neg)<br />

** .005<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .678 .000 .978<br />

Leverage Pearson Correlation 1 -.377 * .224<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .021 .183<br />

ROA Pearson Correlation 1 -.135<br />

Sig. (2-tailed) .427<br />

Log TA Pearson Correlation 1<br />

Sig. (2-tailed)<br />

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).<br />

*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).<br />

While previous literature is dominated by studies consider accruals<br />

as the dependent variable explaining earnings management, recent<br />

studies such as Grove and Basilico (2008) and Rosner (2003) focused<br />

on financial ratios for investigating such statistical relationship.<br />

Therefore, three major earnings management indices of Days’ sales in<br />

receivables, sales growth, and leverage are calculated to verify above<br />

results. These indices basically are showing annual changes in relation<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

with earnings management. Table 12 presents descriptive analysis of<br />

findings in relation to these three indices. Days’ sales in receivables<br />

index (DSRI) expose the changes in the amount of sales over the last<br />

your years before the company delisted. It is anticipated that delisted<br />

firms change their credit policy to manipulate reported sales or change<br />

revenue (sales) to affect earnings (Beneish, 1999). A considerable<br />

large increase in receivables could be related to earnings overstated.<br />

The mean of this index is 2.5 with maximum of 34.1 and minimum of<br />

0.12 while median is 1.2 and skewness is positive. It seems that<br />

companies are managing their earnings by pushing their sales upward<br />

in most cases.<br />

Sales growth index (SGI) is another earnings management index<br />

that considered relevant in the study. SGI flags companies’<br />

performance which is low for delisted companies in this study. Mean<br />

and median while close are low (0.98 and 0.97 respectively), more<br />

over standard deviation is low and skewness is positive. These results<br />

indicate that companies as expected are suffering from poor<br />

performance that motivates earnings management.<br />

Leverage index (LVI) is included in this study to investigate<br />

incentives for using debt agreements to affect earnings management as<br />

explained by Beneish (1999). As included in Table 12, LVI is between<br />

maximum 77.2 to minimum 0.21 that the standard deviation is high<br />

enough to explain the diversity between the companies. Mean is 2.1<br />

that stand above median indicating that leverage is high in these<br />

companies. By rule of thumb LVI more than one is clear increase in<br />

leverage in this case over the last two years ended by delisting.<br />

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Table 12: Descriptive analysis of Earnings management indices<br />

68<br />

DSRI SGI LVI<br />

Mean 2.5 .98 2.1<br />

Median 1.2 .97 1.0<br />

Std. Deviation 5.158 .5395 8.977<br />

Skewness 4.73 1.48 8.53<br />

Minimum .12 .03 .21<br />

Maximum 34.1 3.2 77.7<br />

Correlation analysis of aforementioned indices, DACC and TACC<br />

of one year before delisted shows that only LVI is significantly related<br />

(-0.233, at the 0.05 level, 2-tailed) to total accruals (TACC) of one year<br />

before delisted and not significant relation to DACC. Regression<br />

analysis indicates also a low R square either when DACC or TACC<br />

are considered as dependent variables (0.026 and 0.074 respectively).<br />

Conclusion and remarks<br />

The objective this paper was to investigate the state of earnings<br />

management and corporate governance in the <strong>Iranian</strong> companies<br />

delisted from the national stock market. Dependent variables of firm<br />

characteristics are used to structure hypotheses. Results indicate that<br />

while these companies manage their earnings extensively, profitability<br />

is statistically significant related to DACC in firms that manage their<br />

earnings downward. Leverage and total assets (proxy for firm sixe)<br />

exhibit no statistical relationship with positive or negative DACC.<br />

While there is no official corporate governance rules are in place by<br />

the stock market, voluntary disclosure about corporate governance<br />

indicates that board of directors with five members is common in<br />

delisted companies. Having more than 3 in average independent


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

directors on board of directors and highly concentrated institutional<br />

ownership are reported by these companies.<br />

This study like other research in the area of distressed companies,<br />

suffers from lack of reliable financial information related to earnings<br />

management and corporate governance. Results of this study suggest<br />

that authorities should take remedial steps in establishment of<br />

corporate governance guideline, encouraging companies’ disclosure<br />

about such rules to affect unjustifiable earnings management and<br />

bring about transparency. Impassioning corporate governance rules<br />

provide learning opportunity for management, government regulators,<br />

investors, and a basis for auditors to develop early warning system.<br />

References<br />

Abdul Rahman, U. M., Dowds, J., & Cahan, S. F. (2005). Earnings<br />

Management Practices Among Muslim and Non-Muslim Managers in<br />

Malaysia. IIUM Journal of Economics and Management, 13(2), 189-208.<br />

Adu-Boateng, D. (2011). A theoretical construct for explaining the impact of<br />

financial distress on unethical earnings management decisions. Journal of<br />

American Academy of Business, Cambridge, 16(2), 89-95. Retrieved<br />

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Management & Organization, 38(3), 10.<br />

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Management Literature and Its Implication for Standard Setting.<br />

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in taiwan: Application of survival analysis. The Business Review,<br />

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earnings management by audit committees: Evidence from Hong Kong.<br />

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Australia's 'Old' and 'New' Economies. Managerial Finance, 27(12), 18-<br />

39.<br />

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Evidence from Iran, Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

(AAJFA), Volume 1 - Issue 2, p 180-198.<br />

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management in Canada. Journal of Corporate Finance, 10(3), 431-457.<br />

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board composition and ownership concentration on earnings<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Rosner, R. L. (2003). Earnings manipulation in failing firms*.<br />

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Alzahra University<br />

The 10th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Benchmarking The Research Productivity Of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Doctorates<br />

James R. Hasselbac<br />

Mary Ball Washington Eminent Scholar, College of Business, University of West Florida<br />

Alan Reinstein<br />

George R. Husband Professor of <strong>Accounting</strong>, Department of <strong>Accounting</strong>, School of Business<br />

Administration<br />

Mohammad Abdolmohammadi *<br />

John E. Rhodes Professor of <strong>Accounting</strong>, Bentley University<br />

Abstract<br />

Increasing attention to faculty research productivity suggests a need for<br />

reliable benchmarks, which the literature has provided. We add to this<br />

literature by providing alternative benchmarks based on records of 5,604<br />

accounting doctoral graduates from 1971-2005. We measure research<br />

productivity in four ways: (1) unadjusted number of published articles in the<br />

Best 3, Best 13, Best 24, and Best 40 journals, (2) published articles adjusted<br />

for journal quality scores, (3) published articles adjusted for coauthorship,<br />

and (4) published articles adjusted for both coauthorship and journal quality.<br />

We find evidence that average publication productivity of accounting faculty<br />

per year has steadily increased over the 35 years under study. We present<br />

benchmark measures based on faculty productivity in four sets of journals<br />

both from 1971-2005 and for each year of 2001-2005. The former shows<br />

that a significant proportion of faculty have never published in any of the 40<br />

journals studied. The latter shows nine years of productivity in the most<br />

* Corresponding Author: mabdolmo@bentley.edu


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

recent years. This data can be useful as a benchmark for promotion and<br />

tenure decisions. We also present productivity percentiles as another<br />

benchmark. Finally, we present data on the research productivity of the top<br />

10 most productive faculty (based on the most conservative measure of<br />

published articles adjusted for both coauthorship and journal quality) from<br />

1971-2005 to identify another comparison benchmark .<br />

Further correlation analysis indicates that productive researchers rank<br />

about the same regardless of the productivity measure used to evaluate them.<br />

Multivariate tests also reveal effects for gender (male faculty generally<br />

scoring higher than female faculty), school of affiliation (faculty at doctoral<br />

granting institutions as significantly more productive—especially in the<br />

higher level journals—than their counterparts at non-PhD schools),<br />

professorial rank (professors scoring higher than those in administrative and<br />

other roles), and teaching years since doctorate (those with 10 years or less<br />

of service since doctoral year being more productive than those with 11<br />

years or more).<br />

The benchmarks identified in the study can help with tenure, promotion,<br />

merit pay, appointment and renewal of chaired professorships, and other<br />

resource allocation decisions .<br />

Keywords: Benchmark, Research Productivity, Faculty Recruiting<br />

1. Introduction.<br />

The accounting literature provides many studies that use<br />

accounting faculty research productivity to rank accounting programs<br />

(e.g., Hasselback and Reinstein 1995; Glover et al. 2006); doctoralgranting<br />

programs (e.g., Everett et al. 2004, Chan et al. 2007) and<br />

individuals (e.g., Brown and Gardner 1985A; Hasselback et al. 2000<br />

and 2003). More recently, in a series of papers, Coyne and his<br />

coauthors (e.g., Coyne et al. 2010) have introduced multiple<br />

benchmarks for doctoral programs and individuals by topical area and<br />

research methodology. The literature suggests that benchmarks are<br />

often used as critical evidence for (1) promotion and tenure (P&T) and<br />

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merit pay purposes; (2) prospective students selecting doctoral<br />

programs; and (3) accounting programs deciding on their slates of<br />

doctoral recruiting schools. Focusing on individual research<br />

benchmarks (percentile analysis and the top-ten researchers overall<br />

and by the year of graduation) can help to identify (1) the research<br />

productivity of faculty members’ national peers (e.g., to help them set<br />

their personal research goals); (2) criteria for awarding new faculty<br />

members ranks of associate professor or full professor, or tenure; and<br />

(3) standards to select or retain chaired professors.<br />

Hasselback’s <strong>Accounting</strong> Faculty Directory 2011-2012 shows<br />

that U.S. accounting doctoral programs produced annually about 200<br />

graduates from 1991-1994; about 110 from 2000 – 2003; and about<br />

140 from 2007 – 2010. The huge time and cost demands to earn such<br />

degrees probably have contributed greatly to the lower enrollments in<br />

recent years, while, as presented later, faculty members publish evergreater<br />

numbers of research papers in various journals, a phenomenon<br />

that may be related to increasing requirements to earn P&T. The<br />

decreasing number of doctoral graduates led the 70 largest accounting<br />

firms, 47 state societies of CPAs, and others to commit $17 million<br />

dollars to the <strong>Accounting</strong> Doctoral Scholars (ADS) program to help<br />

fund 120 incremental enrollments in accounting doctoral programs in<br />

areas of particularly high faculty shortage—auditing and tax (<br />

American Institute of CPAs Foundation 2011). Research benchmarks<br />

can help prospective ADS students, and the universities seeking ADS<br />

students and funding, to develop realistic expectations for their<br />

research productivity.<br />

Research benchmarks are also important in light of American<br />

Assembly of Collegiate Schools of Business (AACSB, 2010) 1<br />

guidelines asking member schools to adhere to their mission<br />

statements, including research productivity standards that have led<br />

many accounting programs to develop journal ranking lists. Lucertini<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

et al. (1995) urge schools to seek benchmarks to “continuously search,<br />

measure, and compare” their competitors’ best practices.<br />

Several benchmarking studies rank research outlets or examine<br />

research productivity, which generally show three measures of<br />

research productivity: (1) qualitative rank-ordering of accounting and<br />

related journals, (2) quantitative measures of total and average faculty<br />

research productivity and (3) quantitative measures of total and<br />

average research productivity of faculty according to where they<br />

earned their doctoral degrees. These studies generally face such<br />

challenges as: (1) how many journals to count and how many points to<br />

assign to each one; (2) how many journals to place into each journal<br />

quality category; (3) how to weigh coauthored articles, (e.g., 1/n credit<br />

for n-person articles, or full credit for each author); and (4) how to<br />

measure time since doctorate, thus enabling more valid comparison<br />

between years of doctoral graduation (e.g., 1990 compared with 2010<br />

graduates).<br />

Hasselback and Reinstein [H&R] (1995A; 1995B) and<br />

Hasselback, Reinstein, and Schwan [HRS] (2000; 2003) examined<br />

about 40 journals for up to 30 years, giving each coauthor both full<br />

and partial credit to develop benchmarks for individual, school, and<br />

doctoral-granting programs. Given the decline in doctoral enrollments<br />

and that eight years have elapsed since performing the most recent of<br />

these studies, we updated the datasets analyzed for this study. We<br />

examine the quality and quantity of research productivity of the 5,604<br />

accounting faculty graduates of U.S. accounting doctoral programs<br />

from 1971 and 2005, and who published their research in 40 highly<br />

rated accounting and business journals through 2009. We first present<br />

unadjusted raw numbers (i.e., full-credit) of articles published by<br />

doctoral graduates through 2009. We then assign coauthorship<br />

weights and journal quality weights using methodologies of prior<br />

studies to develop four measures of productivity. A Spearman<br />

correlation analysis of the non-zero publication data indicates that the<br />

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May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

four measures are very highly correlated, providing similar rankings<br />

of productive researchers. Our multivariate linear regression analysis<br />

investigates the sensitivity of the overall results to demographic<br />

variables The results indicate significant effects for associations<br />

between research productivity (as the dependent variable) and gender,<br />

doctoral vs. non-doctoral institutions’ professorial vs. administrative<br />

roles, and teaching experience (10 years or less vs. 11 years or more).<br />

2. Literature Review<br />

Benchmarking studies first must determine which journals to<br />

consider and what weights to assign to them. Benjamin and Brenner<br />

(1974), Brown and Heffner (1994), Hall and Ross (1991), Howard and<br />

Nikolai (1983), Hull and Wright (1990), Jolly et al. (1995), Reinstein<br />

and Calderon (2006), Herron and Hall (2004), Barniv and Fetyko<br />

(2007), among others have surveyed accounting faculty,<br />

administrators, or practitioners to assess the quality of academic and<br />

practitioner journals. Other studies (e.g., Herron and Hall, 2004) have<br />

developed benchmarks by accounting research discipline (e.g.,<br />

auditing and tax).<br />

Everett et al. (2004) ranked U.S. doctoral programs based on the<br />

1992-1996 publication productivity of 30 highly rated academic<br />

accounting journals. They focused on the breadth and depth of faculty<br />

members’ achievements (e.g., proportion of tenured and tenure-track<br />

faculty members publishing in these journals) based on their rank on<br />

the 30 journals investigated. Bean and Bernardi (2005) analyzed the<br />

journal’s acceptance rates and time in existence, and its audiences to<br />

assess journal quality, which Matherly and Shortridge (2009) improved<br />

by including journal Social Science Index (SSCI) scores, submission<br />

fees, availability on electronic search engines (e.g., ABI-Inform), and<br />

page length. After synthesizing the Best 25 accounting journals from six<br />

other studies and conducting their own survey, Barniv and Fetyko<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

(2007) developed a set of journal quality rankings. Herron and Hall<br />

(2004) ranked the best accounting journals by surveying 616 accounting<br />

faculty nationwide and compared their results to prior studies. Coyne et<br />

al. (2010) examined the research productivity of faculty publishing in 11<br />

high-quality accounting journals from 1990 through 2009 to help rank<br />

the top accounting doctoral programs, and Pickerd et al. (2011) used a<br />

similar methodology to rank individual faculty members by topical area<br />

and methodology. HRS (2000; 2003) used several of these studies to<br />

rank 40 journals into four strata.<br />

Overall, the benchmarking studies of faculty research productivity<br />

have used three general methods: (1) count the number of articles<br />

written; (2) perform citation analysis; or (3) survey key constituents<br />

(e.g., faculty members, deans). These methods have had certain<br />

limitations. For example, Dwyer (1994), Zivney et al. (1995), Glover<br />

et al. (2006), Stephens et al. (2011), and Coyne et al. (2010) count the<br />

number of a faculty member’s or program’s publications to rate<br />

programs; but they assess the published material’s quantity, not its<br />

quality, including only articles appearing in the most prestigious<br />

journals.<br />

Problems also arise in identifying the journals to “count” and<br />

whether to (1) consider notes, letters to the editors, and other types of<br />

published works; (2) give full or partial credit (or disclose both<br />

results) for coauthored articles; and (3) allow publication credit to the<br />

faculty member's present institution or to the affiliation when the<br />

article was written. For example, Englebrecht et al. (2008) analyze<br />

the 1979-2004 coauthorship patterns for eight premier accounting and<br />

four premier non-accounting business journals. They find increased<br />

coauthorship rates over time and that coauthorship within premier<br />

non-accounting business journals has long exceeded those of<br />

accounting journals. The authors considered only12 journals and did<br />

not calculate individual yearly research output data. Danielson and<br />

Heck (2010) examined the publication patterns of the authors of 15<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

“high-impact” accounting journals, finding that the same sets of<br />

authors dominate both the first- and second-tier of such journals, and<br />

listed the “Best” authors in each of these 15 journals. They ignored<br />

the authors’ time since earning their doctorates, thereby placing more<br />

experienced authors generally ahead of less experienced ones.<br />

Citation analysis measures how often other articles reference<br />

(“cite”) articles, authors, or journals, presuming that high quality<br />

articles and journals are cited more often than low quality ones.<br />

Garfield’s (1955) early study developed this method to track an<br />

article’s “history.” Recent technological advances have led to<br />

extensive progress using this method, where SSCI data bases show the<br />

frequency of citation by a SSCI-listed article. However, this method<br />

considers, perhaps unequally, only about 10 accounting journals,<br />

ignoring, for example, the Journal of the American Tax Association<br />

[JATA] but including Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory<br />

[AJPT]. McRae (1974) first used citation analysis on accounting<br />

publications to measure the frequency of citations of 17 articles, while<br />

Brown and Gardner (1985A) used it to assess the research<br />

contributions of accounting faculty and doctoral programs. Brown<br />

and Gardner (1985A) and Chan et al. (2009) also used it to measure<br />

the impact of high level publications.<br />

Citation frequency is presumed to have the valued attribute of<br />

objectivity—either an article is cited or it is not, ignoring the article's<br />

quality or reasons for making the citation. The author's reputation, the<br />

contentiousness of the subject matter, and the journal's circulation,<br />

coverage, and timeliness can all influence citation frequency. Further,<br />

the efficacy of citation analysis depends greatly on the<br />

representativeness of the publications used to conduct the frequency<br />

analysis of cited works. Reinstein et al. (2011) point out many<br />

problems in relying on citation counts to assess the quality of<br />

scholarly research in accounting.<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Surveys of faculty, administrators, or practitioners to assess<br />

academic and practitioner journal quality also present challenges, such<br />

as non-response bias; proper ordinal, interval, or ratio scales to use in<br />

ranking journals relative to an “anchor;” and whether respondents can<br />

competently assess the journals listed.<br />

H&R (1995A; 1995B) and HRS (2000; 2003) addressed many<br />

of these issues in assessing individual and accounting and doctoral<br />

programs’ quality based upon publication records in 40 accounting<br />

and business journals. Their comprehensive accounting faculty<br />

benchmarks relate publication expectations to both the quantity of<br />

articles and the quality of journals. They based journal quality on a<br />

composite of five other studies; weighted their results by the number<br />

of coauthors and journal quality to develop a quality composite index;<br />

and considered all 2,708 graduates from 73 U.S. doctoral programs in<br />

1978-1992.<br />

Stephens et al. (2011) examined the research records of 1990<br />

to 2000 accounting doctoral graduates publishing their articles in 11<br />

major academic journals for both their first three and first six years<br />

after graduation. They used their data to rank doctoral programs, by<br />

examining the faculty authors’ topical and research methodologies.<br />

Stephens et al. (2011) weighed the 11 journals equally and ignored<br />

that larger programs have more graduates available to publish than<br />

smaller programs.<br />

The research questions we seek to address in the current study are as<br />

follows:<br />

RQ1: What is the faculty research productivity for 1971-2005<br />

doctoral graduates?<br />

Hasselback et al. (2011) report that 1999-2003 U.S. accounting<br />

doctoral graduates had greater research productivity than their 1989-<br />

1993 counterparts. We investigate this issue for 1971-2005 doctoral<br />

graduates by using the following research question:<br />

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RQ2: What is the trend in faculty research productivity over<br />

the years 1971-2005?<br />

Finally, we develop the following research question to help<br />

identify faculty research productivity benchmarks.<br />

RQ3: What are benchmarks for accounting faculty research<br />

productivity?<br />

3. Research Method<br />

Hasselback’s Database of Publications served as the source of<br />

data for faculty publication records in our Best 40 journals. We<br />

adjusted individual faculty publication records for coauthorship and<br />

journal quality to derive several sets of benchmarks and to formulate<br />

trends in coauthorship and publication quality over time (e.g., time in<br />

grade). We also list the Best 10 researchers based on the number of<br />

publications adjusted for coauthorship and journal quality for 1971 –<br />

2005. We compare these researchers based on their Best 40 journal<br />

ranks, their coauthor adjusted ranks, and their coauthored and journal<br />

quality ranks to investigate the sensitivity of these ranks to<br />

coauthorship and journal quality.<br />

To analyze the research productivity of all 5,604 graduates from<br />

U.S. accounting doctoral programs from 1971 and 2005, we first<br />

reviewed HRS’ (2000; 2003) methodologies to select and rank the<br />

journals to include in our study. We then reassessed this database of<br />

30 academic, five business, and five practitioner journals by reviewing<br />

Glover et al. (2006), Barniv and Fetyko (2007), Chan et al. (2008),<br />

Matherly and Shortridge (2009), and other new ranking studies. We<br />

examined no post-2005 graduates in order to give them time to amass<br />

research records through 2009.<br />

Some changes from the HRS (2003) list include (1) replacing<br />

Journal of Business (which ceased publication) with Decision<br />

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Sciences; (2) adding Review of <strong>Accounting</strong> Studies, since Advances in<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Advances in International <strong>Accounting</strong> merged into<br />

one journal; (3) replacing <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing & Accountability and<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Finance with the Journal of International <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Auditing & Tax and the <strong>Accounting</strong> Historians Journal for the lowest<br />

category; and (4) moving Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory<br />

[AJPT] from Category 3 to 2 and <strong>Accounting</strong> Horizons from Category<br />

4 to 3.<br />

Exhibit 1 presents the 40 journals under study arranged in a<br />

descending order of their ratings from previous studies. Similar to<br />

Morris et al. [1990] and Glover et al. [2006] we assign each journal to<br />

a category. As the first column in Exhibit 1 shows we use four<br />

categories to organize the journals. In category I we include the top<br />

three journals of accounting (JAR, TAR, and JAE), followed by 10<br />

journals in category II that has Journal of Finance and AJPT in it.<br />

The third category contains 11 journals (e.g., Decision Sciences,<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and Public Policy), followed by category IV<br />

that contains 16 journals (e.g., Financial Analysts Journal, Issues in<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Education). We also list each journal’s publication period<br />

in Column 2.<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 1 ABOUT HERE]<br />

To identify each faculty member’s published journal articles, we<br />

created a database of journals, authors, and publication dates from<br />

each selected journal’s tables of contents used in this study. Including<br />

all articles in the 40 journals through 2009, we resolved problems such<br />

as author name changes, author misspellings, using initials rather than<br />

first names, and cases where authors shared the same name by<br />

checking the actual articles or author vitae.<br />

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4. Results<br />

In this section we present the results organized by the study’s three<br />

research questions. This is followed by a section on additional<br />

analyses, to address the sensitivity of the main results to some<br />

alternative quality measures and several demographic variables.<br />

4.1 Faculty Research Productivity (RQ1)<br />

In the first two columns of Exhibit 2, we present the total number<br />

of 1971-2005 doctoral graduates for each year, followed by the next<br />

four columns that report the total number of articles published in the<br />

best 40 journals by year of graduation. The “Full Credit” category<br />

counts all articles published regardless of journal quality or<br />

coauthorship. Journal quality (Q1) and authorship (Q2) adjustments,<br />

are reported in the next three columns as Q1, Q2 and Q1&Q2. Q1<br />

indicates that the raw number of publications is adjusted for the<br />

quality of the journals in which they were published per Exhibit 1. Q2<br />

makes adjustments to full credit articles for coauthorship, where each<br />

of n coauthors receives 1/n credit for a coauthored article. Nathan et<br />

al. (1998) found that the vast majority of programs give full credit for<br />

coauthored publications. Englebrecht et al. (2008) add that such factors<br />

as each coauthor bringing specialized talents and the time requirements<br />

for sole-authored articles required to meet increasingly competitive<br />

publication standards leads to increases of coauthorships. Our “Full<br />

Credit” measurement gives full credit to each coauthor. Using Q2, we<br />

also provide data for programs that may use proportional (1/n) credit for<br />

coauthored articles that have n authors.<br />

Q1&Q2 is the fourth measure that adjusts full credit articles<br />

for both journal quality and coauthorship, and is repeated in the next<br />

four columns in Exhibit 2, which identifies the average numbers of<br />

articles per faculty. The last four columns report these measures<br />

scaled by the number of years since doctoral graduation. The<br />

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denominators for the number of years since graduation are the<br />

differences between the year 2009 and the years since graduation. For<br />

example, we divided the number of articles published by 1971 graduates<br />

by 39, 1972 by 38, and so on to develop faculty productivity per year. 2<br />

To illustrate, an author with one sole authored article in Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> & Economics (JAE) and one single co-authored article in<br />

Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory (AJPT) would accumulate<br />

to: 1 TIMES 2.00 points (for JAE) + 0.5 TIMES 1.6 points (for<br />

AJPT), for a total of 2.8 points.<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 2 ABOUT HERE]<br />

As shown in the final row of Exhibit 2 the 5,604 graduates of<br />

1971-2005 have published 22,581 articles in the Best 40 journals<br />

through 2009. Adjusted for coauthorship and journal quality, the<br />

publication credit indicates 31,047.45 measure for journal quality<br />

(Q1), 11,714.94 measure for coauthored articles (Q2), and 16,072.92<br />

measure for both journal quality and coauthorship (Q1&Q2). Scaling<br />

this data by the number of faculty (i.e., doctoral graduates) renders<br />

4.03 papers per faculty over the years (5.54, 2.09, and 2.87,<br />

respectively when adjusted for Q1, Q2, and Q1&Q2). Further scaling<br />

of these data renders 0.20 Full Credit, 0.28 Q1, 0.10 Q2, and 0.14<br />

Q1&Q2 publications per faculty per year. In summary, the last line in<br />

Exhibit 2 shows that on average each faculty member wrote 0.20<br />

articles per year, with a 0.28 weight when considering journal quality,<br />

but only 0.10 when considering coauthorship and 0.14 when<br />

considering both journal quality and coauthorship.<br />

4.2 Trends in Faculty Research Productivity (RQ2)<br />

The scaled data for articles per faculty per year in Exhibit 2 reveal<br />

great variation from 1971-2005. For example, the mean “Full Credit”<br />

articles per faculty per year indicates a range from 0.09 for the 1971<br />

graduates to 0.29 for the 1998 graduates. Using Analysis of Variance<br />

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(ANOVA) to investigate the statistical significance of variation<br />

observed in Exhibit 2, the results (not tabulated) indicated highly<br />

significant differences for each of the four productivity measures in<br />

Exhibit 2 at the p


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respected journals, we developed a database of faculty publications for<br />

the Best 13 journals (top three plus next 10) shown in Exhibit 1—four<br />

of which are “business” rather than “accounting” journals. To more<br />

broadly describe journal quality, we developed a database of faculty<br />

publications for the Best 24 journals (top three plus next 10 plus next<br />

11) that incorporates about half of the journals shown in Exhibit 1.<br />

These journals are still selective and well respected overall, as they<br />

appear in most of the above listings of high quality research journals<br />

(e.g. Stephens et al. 2011, Coyne et al. 2010).<br />

We also recognize that our database of publications in 40 journals<br />

does not contain all accounting faculty publications, only the best 40<br />

of over 100 considered journals. Thus, the Best 40 benchmark offers<br />

a level of quality in the top half of all journals to help generalize our<br />

benchmarks, including five “business” and five “practitioner”<br />

journals. These benchmarks tend to be most useful for teaching<br />

institutions and those interested in the quantity of faculty research. In<br />

particular, they include several journals, such as Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Education and Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education that are<br />

widely read by those interested in pedagogical issues.<br />

Per Panel A in Exhibit 4, 75% of all 1971-2005 graduates<br />

published no articles in the best three journals, 10.3% published only<br />

one article, 4.8% published two articles, 2.8% published three articles,<br />

1.7% published five articles, and only 1.4% published three articles.<br />

The ratio of those publishing six or more articles in the Best 3 journals<br />

dropped below 1%. As expected, Exhibit 4, Panel A shows that when<br />

including more journals, the number of faculty not publishing in the<br />

journals decreases. For example, while 75% of faculty do not publish<br />

in the Best 3, 61.5% do not publish in the Best 13, 52.6% in the Best<br />

24, and 32% in the Best 40. Thus, a significant proportion of<br />

accounting faculty publishes no articles in any Best 40 journal.<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 4 ABOUT HERE]<br />

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In Panel B of Exhibit 4, we report the results of an analysis that<br />

parallels Panel A of Exhibit 4, but does so at the year level for each of<br />

the five years 2001-2005. Since our database traces publications to<br />

the year 2009, the analysis by the year of PhD graduation provides<br />

faculty productivity for 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9 years. This analysis can be<br />

helpful as a benchmark for faculty P & T decisions. Similar to Panel<br />

A, this data shows that a significant proportion of faculty has never<br />

published in the Best three, Best 13, Best 24, or Best 40 journals. For<br />

example, for year 2001, 81.6% never published in the Best three,<br />

62.4% never published in the Best 13, 54.4% never published in the<br />

Best 24, and 31.2% never published in the Best 40. This lack of<br />

publication left only 22.4% of the PhDs that published one article,<br />

13.6% who published two articles, and 8.8% who published three<br />

papers in the Best 40 journals. 3<br />

The four levels of journal quality allow decision-makers to “count”<br />

articles published in certain journals rather than make quality<br />

adjustments for each article written, which also considers that many<br />

doctoral programs and research-focused institutions count only certain<br />

articles in top tier journals and often ignore those written in lower<br />

level journals. Other institutions make relative evaluations by looking<br />

at their faculty productivity relative to their nationwide peers. To help<br />

with this process, Exhibit 5 shows research productivity benchmarks<br />

by using percentiles of all faculty publishing in the Best 3, 13, 24, and<br />

40 journals. As shown in Panel A, the first quartile is zero for these<br />

journals, indicating that 25% of faculty publish no articles in any<br />

journal category. Except for the Best 40 journals, the same conclusion<br />

arises for the second quartile. Only when considering the Best 40<br />

category does the second quartile show publications, with only two<br />

publications. The third quartile shows one article in the Best 13, two<br />

in the Best 24, and six in the Best 40 journals, but no publications in<br />

the Best 3. Only when considering the 90 th percentile one finds<br />

publications in all four categories of best journals (2, 5, 7, 11<br />

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respectively). The 99 th percentile data found in the final row in Panel<br />

A of Exhibit 5 shows that only one percent of faculty has achieved 11,<br />

18, 22, 28 publications respectively in the Best 3, Best 13, Best 24,<br />

and Best 40 journals.<br />

Panel B in EXHIBIT 5 presents similar data for the number of<br />

publications in the Best 40 journals (Full Credit) per faculty per year, as<br />

well as Q1, Q2, and Q1&Q2 adjusted numbers. As reported in the<br />

bottom, at the 99 th percentile, faculty members have published 1.23<br />

papers per year (full credit), 2.02 Q1-adjusted, 0.62 Q2-adjusted, and<br />

0.98 Q1&Q2 Adjusted. At the 25 th percentile, the number of<br />

publications is zero and for 50 th percentile, they are 0.09, 010. 0.05, and<br />

0.05 publications, respectively.<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 5 HERE]<br />

We now identify the top ten productive faculty as a new faculty<br />

productivity comparison benchmark. We list the top 10 faculty in<br />

Exhibit 6 (Column 1) from 1971-2005 arranged in a 1-10 rank order<br />

by the most conservative measure of quality (Q1&Q2) that appears in<br />

the last column. We also report faculty productivity ranks using the<br />

remaining three productivity measures (i.e., Full credit, Q1, and Q2)<br />

that correspond to the 1-10 ranks. Column 2 presents the number of<br />

articles in each of the four categories of journals per Exhibit 1.<br />

Column 3 in Exhibit 6 presents the number of publications adjusted<br />

for each of Q1, Q2, and Q1&Q2, the current institution or affiliation<br />

(Column 4), and university that granted the doctoral degree (Column<br />

5).<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 6 HERE]<br />

The resulting top 10 faculty members in Exhibit 6 provide<br />

benchmarks for accounting programs aspiring to compete at the<br />

highest productivity level. For example, in 1971, Professor Ross<br />

Watts ranked No. 1 under productivity measures of Best 40, Q1, and<br />

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Q1&Q2. Only for Q2 (number of articles adjusted for coauthorship)<br />

did he rank below number 1. Professor Edward McIntyre ranked<br />

number 9 under the Q1&Q2 measure, but number 27, 17, and 18<br />

respectively for the Best 40, Q1, and Q2 measures.<br />

As expected, Exhibit 6 shows that while many of the top-ten<br />

ranked faculty regularly publish in the Best 3 premier journals, many<br />

others do not, which is consistent with the data in Exhibit 4, Panel A<br />

indicating that over 75% of all faculty have published no articles in<br />

the Best 3 journals. These results may indicate that limiting<br />

publication in the Best 3 journals as a research productivity<br />

benchmark may be too limiting, and thus is likely to be useful<br />

primarily for the highest rated institutions, which likely will expect<br />

their faculty to publish in the top journals only.<br />

Expanding the discussion of those publishing in premier journals<br />

to include Category II (the next 10) journals—four of which are<br />

“business” journals—generates a broader coverage to help set<br />

benchmarks for schools focusing on strong, but not the Best 3 premier<br />

academic journals. Finally, disclosing the number of faculty<br />

publishing articles in the Best 24 and the Best 40 journals should help<br />

establish benchmarks for programs encouraging their faculty to<br />

publish in a broader set of journals, including practitioner and<br />

educational publications. These exhibits could provide benchmarks<br />

for institutions that place equal emphasis on teaching and research.<br />

For the critical periods of tenure and promotion (P & T), perhaps 6 to<br />

10 years, an institution desiring to place in the Best third of all<br />

institutions could, say, set a benchmark of two or three articles in the<br />

best 40 journals. The productivity measures of the past several years<br />

(say 2001-2005) may be particularly helpful in assessing faculty<br />

productivity in their first several years in the professoriate.<br />

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4.5 Sensitivity Analysis<br />

This section further analyzes the robustness of the results<br />

discussed above. The first analysis appears in Exhibit 7 which<br />

presents a nonparametric bivariate Spearman correlation matrix of the<br />

four productivity measures for the entire 35 years under study (1971-<br />

2005). Only the non-zero publication data are included in this<br />

analysis (n=3,812). The coefficients are all in the 0.9 plus level, with<br />

a minimum of 0.928 representing the relationship between Q1 and Q2,<br />

and all coefficients are highly significant at


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contains 4,093 male and 1,503 female faculty members. In the<br />

absence of theory predicting difference between genders, we do not<br />

make a signed predication.<br />

We expected to find significant differences in research<br />

productivity between faculty serving at doctoral-granting (n=1,134)<br />

compared to non-doctoral (n=4,470) programs, expecting those<br />

working at the former to publish more, and in higher level journals<br />

than those at the later ones. We also expect that faculty in professorial<br />

ranks (i.e., assistant, associate, or full professor, n=2,745) will have<br />

significantly higher research productivity than those in administrative<br />

or other roles (n=2,859). We next included the “Teaching Years since<br />

Doctorate” variable. Assuming that many faculty members work to<br />

achieve tenure and promotion to the ranks of associate and full<br />

professor in their first 10 years after doctoral year, we argue that<br />

faculty members in their first 10 years (n = 731) are more motivated to<br />

be productive than those with 11 or more years (n = 4,873).<br />

The results from our regression analysis are presented in Exhibit 8.<br />

For this analysis we report the results of the regression analysis with<br />

Q1&Q2 as its dependent variable because this measure is the most<br />

conservative measure of productivity. We also used Full Credit, Q1,<br />

and Q2 measures as dependent variables and estimated the regression<br />

model, but we do not tabulate these results because they are generally<br />

consistent with the Q1&Q2 regression results.<br />

[PLEASE PLACE EXHIBIT 8 HERE]<br />

As Exhibit 8 shows, the regression model is highly significant (Fstatistic<br />

= 464.27, p


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significant (p


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We introduce multiple benchmark measures for faculty use. One<br />

measure is nine years of productivity in the most recent years, which<br />

can serve as a useful benchmark for promotion and tenure decisions.<br />

Productivity percentiles add another benchmark for faculty to identify<br />

their corresponding productivity percentile. For example, schools<br />

who are interested in the 75 th percentile productivity can compare their<br />

faculty with the top 75% by consulting our benchmark in this paper.<br />

Panel A of Exhibit 5 shows that at this level of productivity faculty<br />

has published one article in the Best 13, two in the Best 24, and six in<br />

the Best 40 journals, but none in the Best 3. At the 90 th percentile, we<br />

find faculty publishing 2, 5, 7, 11 articles respectively) in the best<br />

journals. Thus only 10 percent of faculty publish 11 articles or more<br />

in the Best 40 journals since their doctoral years, which improves to<br />

22 articles at the 99 th percentile. Panel B in Exhibit 5 shows percentile<br />

data for Full Credit, Q1, Q2, and Q1&Q2 publications in the Best 40<br />

journals.<br />

As another benchmark we present the top-10 productive faculty<br />

based on their publications in the Best 40 journals, adjusted for journal<br />

quality and coauthorship (see Exhibit 6). We list these faculty<br />

members by their rank of productivity according to the most<br />

conservative Q1&Q2 measure, and identify their ranks according to<br />

the other three measures (Full Credit, Q1, and Q2). Using the<br />

nonparametric Spearman correlation of non-zero productivity<br />

measures, we find that productive researchers rank about the same<br />

regardless of the productivity measure used to evaluate them<br />

Finally, we use multivariate linear regression to investigate the<br />

sensitivity of our productivity measures to the effects of several<br />

demographic variables (Exhibit 8). We find that gender has a<br />

significant effect in the regression with Q1&Q2 as dependent variable,<br />

indicating that male faculty were a bit more productive than female<br />

faculty. For example, under the Q1&Q2 measure, the mean<br />

productivity per year for men is 0.1428 and for women is 0.1299,<br />

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which, given the large sample sizes, indicates statistically significant<br />

differences. However, while the same result was observed for “Full<br />

Credit” as the dependent variable, gender became less significant for<br />

Q1and Q2 as the dependent variables. These results suggest a need for<br />

further research on gender differences in research productivity in<br />

accounting. Kirchmeyer et al. (2000) suggest that future research in<br />

this area should investigate such variables as gender similarity among<br />

department colleagues and graduation from a highly ranked doctoral<br />

program.<br />

Other results from our regression analysis were generally<br />

expected, suggesting that (1) faculty serving at doctoral-granting<br />

programs significantly outperform those serving at non-PhD-granting<br />

institutions; (2) faculty holding professorial ranks outperform their<br />

colleagues in administrative positions; and (3) more recent graduates<br />

(over the past 10 years or less) on average have higher levels of<br />

productivity than those with 11 or more years since their doctoral<br />

graduation.<br />

5.2. Limitations and Extensions<br />

As with prior studies measuring faculty research productivity,<br />

this study has limitations. First, we compiled data from only 40<br />

journals, omitting data from many other journals and publication<br />

outlets (e.g., monographs) where accounting faculty might publish.<br />

We also omitted notes and commentaries appearing in the 40 journals<br />

of the study and ignored the productivity of accounting faculty who<br />

earned doctoral degrees outside accounting.<br />

We developed four measures of the quantity and quality of<br />

research productivity to evaluate faculty research productivity. These<br />

measures may be sensitive to the accurate perceptions of those who<br />

rated the quality of journals. While perceived journal quality is a<br />

surrogate for the quality of specific articles, we note that journals of<br />

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lower perceived quality often publish seminal articles, and not all<br />

articles in premier journals are of high quality.<br />

Our multiple benchmark measures (proportion publishing 1, 2,<br />

3, or more articles in Best 3, 13, 24, and 40 journals in the five most<br />

recent years of PhD graduation, percentiles associated with<br />

productivity, and top 10 faculty) should help accounting programs<br />

evaluate their faculty for merit and P&T decision purposes in<br />

comparison with their peers nationwide. However, some schools<br />

should recognize that a large proportion of faculty that do not publish,<br />

or publish very few articles in our journal lists. Other schools with<br />

distinct research missions and resources may make their own<br />

customized adjustments to the benchmarks in our study. Our data<br />

may also be limited for comparisons among non-doctoral and<br />

doctoral-granting programs, and among research institutions and<br />

teaching institutions. Also, while productive researchers in our study<br />

rank about the same regardless of the productivity measure used to<br />

evaluate them, other productivity methodologies may produce<br />

different results.<br />

5.3 Conclusions<br />

The limitations aside, our results can help (1) faculty compare<br />

themselves to their national colleagues; (2) administrators assess the<br />

required number and quality of articles for P&T and merit pay<br />

purposes; and (3) justify granting associate/full professor or tenure to<br />

outside candidates, or chaired professorships to current or external<br />

faculty members. We also note some significant differences by year<br />

for publication productivity (Exhibit 2), with a general increasing<br />

trend over time (Exhibit 3) that could reflect more programs<br />

demanding increased levels of faculty research. Extrapolating this<br />

trend can help indicate future levels of expected productivity may be a<br />

fruitful avenue for future research.<br />

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Future research can also extend our list of 40 journals and examine<br />

the research records of accounting faculty who have earned doctoral<br />

degrees in fields outside of accounting, or from non-U.S. programs.<br />

Analyzing these data by the schools that authors earned their doctoral<br />

degrees can provide productivity rankings of doctoral and nondoctoral<br />

granting accounting programs.<br />

Endnotes:<br />

1 Lewis (2008) notes that the AACSB International found that about 40% of its<br />

members created internal journal lists to assess their faculty’s research quality.<br />

2 We recognize the limitation of not adjusting our results for faculty who left<br />

academe, e.g., by retirement or death.<br />

3 We thank the Associate Editor for a suggestion leading to this analysis.<br />

REFERENCES<br />

1. American Assembly of Collegiate Schools of Business (AACSB). 2010.<br />

Accreditation Standards. (St. Louis, Missouri: AACSB).<br />

2. American Institute of CPAs (AICPA) Foundation. 2011. <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Doctoral Scholars Program: <strong>Annual</strong> Review 2010. (Durham, North<br />

Carolina: AICPA)<br />

3. Barniv, R., and D. Fetyko. 2007. Perceived quality of accounting<br />

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4. Bean, D.F., and R.A. Bernardi. 2005. Estimating the ratings of journals<br />

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5. Benjamin, J.J and V.C. Brenner. 1974. Perceptions of Journal Quality.<br />

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6. Bonner, S., Hesford, A., Van der Stede, W.A. and S. M. Young. 2006.<br />

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7. Brown, L. D. and J. C. Gardner. 1985A. Applying citation analysis to<br />

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RESEARCH NOTE. ACCOUNTING, ORGANIZATIONS AND SOCIETY 34:<br />

875-885<br />

11. Coyne, J. G., S.L. Summers, B. Williams, and D.A. Wood. 2010.<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> program research rankings by topical area and<br />

methodology. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education25 (4): 631-654.<br />

12. Danielson, M. G. and J. L. Heck. 2010. Giving credit where credit is<br />

due: Summary analysis of the most prolific authors in 15 high-impact<br />

accounting journals. Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong>: Incorporating Advances<br />

in International <strong>Accounting</strong> 26(2): 195-206.<br />

13. Dwyer, P.D. 1994. Gender differences in the scholarly activities of<br />

accounting academics: an empirical investigation. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Education 9(2): 231-246.<br />

14. Englebrecht, T.D., S. A. Hanke and Y. Kuang. 2008. An assessment of<br />

co-authorship within premier journals for U.S. and international<br />

accountants: evidence from 1979-2004. Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong> 24:<br />

172-181.<br />

15. Everett, T.O., B. Klamm, and R. Stoltzfus. 2004. Developing<br />

benchmarks for evaluating publication records at doctoral programs in<br />

accounting. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Education 22(3): 229-252.<br />

16. Garfield, E. 1955. Citation indexes for science: A new dimension in<br />

documentation through association of ideas. Science 122 (3159): 108-<br />

111.<br />

98


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

17. Glover, S.M., D. Prawitt and D.A. Wood. 2006. Publication records of<br />

faculty promoted at the top75 accounting research programs. Issues in<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Education 21(3): 195-218.<br />

18. Hall, T.W. and W.R. Ross. 1991. Contextual Effect in Measuring<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Faculty Perceptions of <strong>Accounting</strong> Journals: An Empirical<br />

Test and Updated Journal Rankings, Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong> (1991):<br />

161-182.<br />

19. Hasselback, J.R. 2011.<strong>Accounting</strong>FacultyDirectory 2011-2012<br />

(Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall).<br />

20. Hasselback, J. R. and A. Reinstein. 1995A. A proposal for measuring<br />

scholarly productivity of accounting faculty. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Education, 10(2): 269-306.<br />

21. Hasselback, J. R. and A. Reinstein. 1995B. Assessing accounting<br />

doctoral programs by their graduates' research productivity. Advances in<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong>, 13(1): 61-86.<br />

22. Hasselback, J. R, A. Reinstein and P. M. J. Reckers. 2011. A<br />

Longitudinal Study of the Research Productivity of Graduates of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Doctoral Programs. Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong>, 27 (1): 10-16.<br />

23. Hasselback, J.R, A. Reinstein and E.S. Schwan. 2000. Benchmarks for<br />

evaluating the research productivity of accounting faculty. Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Education 18: 79-97.<br />

24. Hasselback, J.R, A. Reinstein and E.S. Schwan. 2003. Prolific authors<br />

of accounting literature. Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong> 20: 95-125.<br />

25. Herron, T. L. and T. W. Hall. 2004. Faculty perceptions of journals:<br />

quality and publishing feasibility. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Education<br />

22(3): 175-210.<br />

26. Howard, T.P. and L.A. Nikolai. 1983. Attitude Measurement and<br />

Perceptions of <strong>Accounting</strong> Faculty Publication Outlets. The <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Review (October): 765-776.<br />

27. Hull, R.P. and G.B. Wright. 1990. Faculty Perceptions of Journal<br />

Quality: An Update," <strong>Accounting</strong> Horizons (March): 77-98.<br />

28. Jolly, S.A., R.G. Schroeder, and R.K. Spear. 1995. An empirical<br />

investigation of the relationship between journal quality ratings and<br />

99


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

promotion and tenure decisions. <strong>Accounting</strong> Educators Journal (Fall):<br />

47-68.<br />

29. Kirchmeyer, C., A. Reinstein and J. Hasselback. 2000. Relational<br />

demography and career outcomes among male and female academic<br />

accountants. Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong> Behavioral Research 3: 177-197.<br />

30. Lewis, B. 2008.Judging the journals. BizEd. (November/December):<br />

42-45.<br />

31. Lucertini, M., F. Nicolo, and D. Telmon. 1995. Integration of<br />

benchmarking and benchmarking of integration. International Journal<br />

of Production Economics (1995): 51-61.<br />

32. Matherly, M. and R. T. Shortridge. 2009. A pragmatic model to<br />

estimate journal quality in accounting. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Education<br />

27(1): 14-29<br />

33. Morris, J.L., R.M. Cudd, and J.L. Crain. 1990. A study of the potential<br />

bias in accounting journal ratings: implications for promotion and<br />

tenure decisions. <strong>Accounting</strong> Educator's Journal: 46-55.<br />

34. Nathan, S., D.R. Hermanson and R.H. Hermanson. 1998. Co-authoring<br />

in Refereed Journals: Views of <strong>Accounting</strong> Faculty and Department<br />

Chairs. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education 13 (1): 79-92.<br />

35. Pickerd, J., S.L. Summers, N. Stephens, G., and D.A. Wood. 2011.<br />

Individual accounting faculty research rankings by topical area and<br />

methodology. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education 26 (3): 471-506..<br />

36. Reinstein, A. and T. G. Calderon. 2006. Examining accounting<br />

departments' rankings of accounting journals. Critical Perspectives on<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> 17(4): 457-490.<br />

37. Reinstein, A., J.R. Hasselback, M.E. Riley and D. H. Sinason. 2011.<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> academia using citation indices for promotion and tenure<br />

decisions. Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education 26 (1): 99-132.<br />

38. Stephens, N.M., S.L. Summers, B. Williams, and D.A. Wood. 2011.<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> doctoral program rankings based on research productivity<br />

of program graduates. <strong>Accounting</strong> Horizons 25 (1): 149-181.<br />

100


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

EXHIBIT 1<br />

BEST 40 JOURNALS QUALITY WEIGHTS & YEARS EXAMINED<br />

Category Journal Name Rating<br />

I. Top three<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research [1971-2009]<br />

2.25<br />

The <strong>Accounting</strong> Review [1971-2009]<br />

2.25<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and Economics [1979-2009]<br />

2.00<br />

II. Next 10<br />

III. Next 11<br />

IV. Next 16<br />

Jurnal of Finance [1971-2009]<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong>, Organizations and Society [1976-2009]<br />

Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory [1981-2009]<br />

Contemporary <strong>Accounting</strong> Research [1984-2009]<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing and Finance [1977-2009]<br />

Journal of the American Taxation Association [1979-2009]<br />

Journal of Finance and Quantitative Analysis [1971-2009]<br />

Journal of Financial Economics [1974-2009]<br />

Management Science [1971-2009]<br />

Review of <strong>Accounting</strong> Studies [1996-2009]<br />

Decision Sciences [1971-2009]<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and Public Policy [1982-2009]<br />

Journal of Business, Finance and <strong>Accounting</strong> [1974-2009]<br />

Journal of Taxation [1971-2009]<br />

National Tax Journal [1971-2009]<br />

Abacus [1971-2009]<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Business Research [1971-2009]<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Horizons [1987-2009]<br />

Behavioral Research in <strong>Accounting</strong> [1989-2009]<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Literature [1982-2009]<br />

Journal of Management <strong>Accounting</strong> Research [1989-2009]<br />

Financial Analysts Journal [1971-2009]<br />

Issues in <strong>Accounting</strong> Education [1983-2009]<br />

Journal of Accountancy [1971-2009]<br />

Advances in <strong>Accounting</strong>/Advances in International <strong>Accounting</strong> [1984/1987-2009]<br />

Advances in Taxation [1987-2009]<br />

101<br />

2.00 1<br />

1.60<br />

1.60<br />

1.60<br />

1.60<br />

1.60<br />

1.60 1<br />

1.60 1<br />

1.60 1<br />

1.60<br />

1.35 1<br />

1.35<br />

1.35<br />

1.35 2<br />

1.35<br />

1.15<br />

1.15<br />

1.15<br />

1.15<br />

1.15<br />

1.15<br />

1.00 2<br />

1.00<br />

1.00 2<br />

.95<br />

.95


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

The International Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> [1971-2009]<br />

Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Education [1983-2009]<br />

Journal of International <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing and Taxation [1992-<br />

2009]<br />

The Journal of Information Systems [1986-2009]<br />

Research in <strong>Accounting</strong> Regulation [1987-2009]<br />

Research in Governmental and Nonprofit <strong>Accounting</strong> [1985-2009]<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Educators' Journal [1988-2009]<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Historians Journal [1974-2009]<br />

Critical Perspectives on <strong>Accounting</strong> [1990-2009]<br />

Strategic Finance/Management <strong>Accounting</strong> [1971-2009]<br />

The CPA Journal [1971-2009]<br />

1 Top five rated business journals<br />

2 Top five recognized practitioner journals<br />

102<br />

.95<br />

.95<br />

.90<br />

.90<br />

.90<br />

.90<br />

.85<br />

.85<br />

.85<br />

.85 2<br />

.85 2<br />

.85 2<br />

.85 2


EXHIBIT 2<br />

DOCTORAL RESEARCH PRODUCTIVIT Y BY YEAR OF DOCTORAL DEGREE<br />

PhD Graduates Number of Articles in Best 40 Articles per Faculty in Best 40 Articles per Faculty per Year in Best 40<br />

Degree No. of Full Q1 Q2 Q1&Q2 Full Q1 Q2 Q1&Q2 Full Q1 Q2 Q1&Q2<br />

Year Grads Credit Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted Credit Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted Credit Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted<br />

1971 140 518 684.95 319.71 423.80 3.70 4.89 2.28 3.03 0.09 0.13 0.06 0.08<br />

1972 142 621 868.95 401.73 564.68 4.37 6.12 2.83 3.98 0.12 0.16 0.07 0.10<br />

1973 152 648 924.90 384.21 551.54 4.26 6.08 2.53 3.63 0.12 0.16 0.07 0.10<br />

1974 167 723 1011.00 413.68 575.58 4.33 6.05 2.48 3.45 0.12 0.17 0.07 0.10<br />

1975 152 749 1010.25 419.29 563.86 4.93 6.65 2.76 3.71 0.14 0.19 0.08 0.11<br />

1976 135 649 804.60 378.26 471.81 4.81 5.96 2.80 3.49 0.14 0.18 0.08 0.10<br />

1977 133 803 1156.05 437.81 638.91 6.04 8.69 3.29 4.80 0.18 0.26 0.10 0.15<br />

1978 179 1162 1552.65 635.77 844.12 6.49 8.67 3.55 4.72 0.20 0.27 0.11 0.15<br />

1979 131 621 838.60 330.37 451.48 4.74 6.40 2.52 3.45 0.15 0.21 0.08 0.11<br />

1980 137 760 1052.50 388.25 542.56 5.55 7.68 2.83 3.96 0.18 0.26 0.09 0.13<br />

1981 174 890 1167.80 461.68 608.88 5.11 6.71 2.65 3.50 0.18 0.23 0.09 0.12<br />

1982 176 964 1280.75 501.37 670.99 5.48 7.29 2.85 3.81 0.20 0.26 0.10 0.14<br />

1983 163 821 1136.60 420.96 582.26 5.04 6.97 2.58 3.57 0.19 0.26 0.10 0.13<br />

1984 162 740 1040.50 375.79 532.46 4.57 6.42 2.32 3.29 0.18 0.25 0.09 0.13<br />

1985 173 734 991.80 384.98 514.62 4.24 5.73 2.23 2.97 0.17 0.23 0.09 0.12<br />

1986 187 865 1165.20 438.48 581.80 4.63 6.23 2.34 3.11 0.19 0.26 0.10 0.13<br />

1987 199 925 1187.20 477.21 608.38 4.65 5.97 2.40 3.06 0.20 0.26 0.10 0.13<br />

1988 207 844 1173.15 425.89 594.56 4.08 5.67 2.06 2.87 0.19 0.26 0.09 0.13<br />

1989 216 871 1161.05 450.77 595.39 4.03 5.38 2.09 2.76 0.19 0.26 0.10 0.13<br />

1990 175 863 1289.65 409.82 612.28 4.93 7.37 2.34 3.50 0.25 0.37 0.12 0.17<br />

1991 198 753 962.55 384.45 485.59 3.80 4.86 1.94 2.45 0.20 0.26 0.10 0.13<br />

1992 201 762 1044.65 357.17 484.83 3.79 5.20 1.78 2.41 0.21 0.29 0.10 0.13<br />

1993 205 577 746.00 272.45 349.31 2.81 3.64 1.33 1.70 0.17 0.21 0.08 0.10<br />

103


1994 196 767 1044.00 366.86 499.46 3.91 5.33 1.87 2.55 0.24 0.33 0.12 0.16<br />

1995 170 649 921.00 302.12 431.84 3.82 5.42 1.78 2.54 0.25 0.36 0.12 0.17<br />

1996 163 506 717.75 246.41 345.42 3.10 4.40 1.51 2.12 0.22 0.31 0.11 0.15<br />

1997 159 552 751.20 259.31 351.88 3.47 4.72 1.63 2.21 0.27 0.36 0.13 0.17<br />

1998 152 536 813.15 249.15 376.03 3.53 5.35 1.64 2.47 0.29 0.45 0.14 0.21<br />

1999 129 324 490.90 153.75 231.46 2.51 3.81 1.19 1.79 0.23 0.35 0.11 0.16<br />

2000 107 300 449.50 145.83 216.16 2.80 4.20 1.36 2.02 0.28 0.42 0.14 0.20<br />

2001 125 285 395.15 140.62 193.97 2.28 3.16 1.12 1.55 0.25 0.35 0.12 0.17<br />

2002 114 225 319.45 108.85 155.97 1.97 2.80 0.95 1.37 0.25 0.35 0.12 0.17<br />

2003 105 208 319.90 93.72 140.35 1.98 3.05 0.89 1.34 0.28 0.44 0.13 0.19<br />

2004 142 210 321.75 103.02 159.67 1.48 2.27 0.73 1.12 0.25 0.38 0.12 0.19<br />

2005 138 156 249.35 75.20 121.02 1.13 1.81 0.54 0.88 0.23 0.36 0.11 0.18<br />

Tot al 5604 22581 31047.45 11714.94 16072.92 4.03 5.54 2.09 2.87 0.20 0.28 0.10 0.14<br />

1. Full credit refers to giving equal credit for each publication in the best 40 journals<br />

2. Q1 denotes the number of art icles adjusted for journal quality per Exhibit 1<br />

3. Q2 denotes the number of art icles adjusted for co-authorship (if n authors, then each author receives 1/n crdit)<br />

4. Q1&Q2 denotes the product of Q1 and Q2, i.e., considering both artilces adjusted for journal quality and adjusted for co-authorship.<br />

104


EXHIBIT 3<br />

RESEARCH PRODUCTIVIT Y OF DOCTORAL GRADUATES OF 1971-2005<br />

MEAN NUMBER OF ARTICLES IN BEST 40 JOURNALS PER FACULT Y PER YEAR<br />

105<br />

1. Full credit are articles per faculty per year (APFPY) in the best 40<br />

journals.<br />

2. Q1 is APFPY adjusted for journal quality.<br />

3. Q2 is APFPY adjusted for coauthorship, where an article with n authors<br />

brings 1/n credit for publication per faculty.<br />

4. Q1&Q2 is APFPY adjusted for journal quality and coauthorship.


EXHIBIT 4<br />

ARTICLES PUBLISHED IN BEST JOURNALS<br />

Panel A: Number and Proportion of Faculty Publishing in<br />

Best n Journals for the Entire 35 Years under Study (1971-2005)<br />

Number of Faculty (Percent of Tot al)<br />

No. of Articles Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 4205 (75.0%) 3444 (61.5%) 2947 (52.6%) 1792 (32.0%)<br />

1 578 (10.3%) 763 (13.6%) 830 (14.8%) 861 (15.4%)<br />

2 266 (4.8%) 365 (6.5%) 443 (7.9%) 557 (9.9%)<br />

3 156 (2.8%) 225 (4.0%) 288 (5.1%) 426 (7.6%)<br />

4 93 (1.7%) 154 (2.7%) 191 (3.4%) 328 (5.8%)<br />

5 77 (1.4%) 118 (2.1%) 167 (3.0%) 234 (4.2%)<br />

6 48 (0.9%) 95 (1.7%) 113 (2.0%) 238 (4.2%)<br />

7 41 (0.7%) 88 (1.6%) 113 (2.0%) 188 (3.2%)<br />

8 28 (0.5%) 60 (1.1%) 81 (1. 5%) 155 (2.8%)<br />

9 21 (0.4%) 48 (0.9%) 57 (1.0%) 121 (2.2%)<br />

10 20 (0.4%) 40 (0.70%) 62 (1.1%) 127 (2.3%)<br />

11-15 44 (0.8%) 110 (2.00%) 158 (2.8%) 291 (5.2%)<br />

16-20 20 (0.4%) 54 (1.0%) 87 (1.5%) 147 (2.6%)<br />

21-30 7 (0.1%) 31 (0.5%) 47 (0.8%) 91 (1.6%)<br />

Over 30 0 (0.0%) 9 (0.2%) 20 (0.4%) 48 (0.9%)<br />

Total 5604 (100.0%) 5604 (100.0%) 5604 (100.0%) 5604 (100.0%)<br />

106


Panel B: Number and Proportion of Faculty Publishing in<br />

Best n Journals for the Most Recent Five PhD Years (i.e., 5-9 years of productivity)<br />

2005 Productivity to 2009 (Five Years, N=138)<br />

No. of Articles Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 103 (74.6%) 84 (60.9%) 78 (56.5%) 62 (44.9%)<br />

1 20 (14.5%) 29 (21.0%) 30 (21.7%) 34 (24.6%)<br />

2 11 (8.0%) 14 (10.1%) 16 (11.6%) 20 (14.5%)<br />

3 2 (1.4%) 6 (4.3%) 9 (6.5%) 13 (9.4%)<br />

4 1 (0.7%) 4 (2.9%) 4 (2.9%) 6(4.3%)<br />

5 2(1.4%)<br />

8 1 (0.7%) 1 (0.7%)<br />

9 1(0.7) 1(0.7%)<br />

Total 138 (100.0%) 138 (100.0%) 138 (100.0%) 138 (100.0%)<br />

2004 Productivity to 2009 (Six Years, N=142)<br />

No. of Articles Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 101 (71.1%) 85 (59.9%) 81 (57.0%) 54 (38.0%)<br />

1 24 (16.9%) 26 (18.3%) 25 (17.6%) 36 (25.4%)<br />

2 9 (6.3%) 15 (10.6%) 16 (11.3%) 23 (16.2%)<br />

3 4 (2.8%) 10 (7.0%) 12 (8.5%) 12 (8.5%)<br />

4 3 (2.1%) 3 (2.1%) 3 (2.1%) 5 (3.5%)<br />

5 1 (0.7%) 1(0.7%) 5 (3.5%)<br />

6 3 (2.1%) 2 (1.4%) 3 (2.1%)<br />

7 2 (1.4%) 3 (2.1%)<br />

8 1 (0.7%)<br />

Total 142(100.0%) 142(100.0%) 142(100.0%) 142(100.0%)<br />

107


2003 Productivity to 2009 (Seven Years, N=105)<br />

No. of Articles Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 81 (77.1%) 70 (66.7%) 60 (57.1%) 43 (41.0%)<br />

1 8 (7.6%) 11 (10.5%) 14 (13.3%) 23 (21.9%)<br />

2 7 (6.7%) 8 (7.6%) 9 (8.6%) 9 (8.6%)<br />

3 2 (1.9%) 6 (5.7%) 11 (10.5%) 9 (8.6%)<br />

4 2 (1.9%) 3 (2.9%) 3 (2.9%) 7 (6.7%)<br />

5 3 (2.9%) 1 (1.0%) 1 (1.0%) 4 (3.8%)<br />

6 1 (1.0%)<br />

7 1 (1.0%) 3 (2.9%) 2 (1.9%) 5 (4.8%)<br />

8 1 (1.0%) 1 (1.0%) 1 (1.0%) 1 (1.0%)<br />

10 1(1.0%) 2 (1.9%)<br />

12 1 (1.0%) 1(1.0%) 1 (1.0%)<br />

17 1(1.0%) 1 (1.0%)<br />

Total 105(100.0%) 105(100.0%) 105(100.0%) 105(100.0%)<br />

108


2002 Productivity to 2009 (Eight Years, N=114)<br />

No. of Articles Best Three Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 94 (82.5%) 76 (66.7%) 61 (53.5%) 38 (33.3%)<br />

1 7 (6.1%) 16 (14.0%) 19 (16.7%) 24 (21.1%)<br />

2 2 (1.8%) 8 (7.0%) 13 (11.4%) 19 (16.7%)<br />

3 5 (4.4%) 4 (3.5%) 7 (6.1%) 10 (8.8%)<br />

4 3 (2.6%) 3 (2.6%) 6 (5.3%) 9 (7.9%)<br />

5 3 (2.6%) 4 (3.5%) 5 (4.4%) 6 (5.3%)<br />

6 1 (0.9%) 1 (0.9%) 2 (1.8%)<br />

7 2 (1.8%)<br />

8 2 (1.8%) 1 (0.9%) 1 (0.9%)<br />

9 1 (0.9%)<br />

10 1(1.0%)<br />

11 1 (0.9%)<br />

12 1(1.0%)<br />

13 1 (0.9%)<br />

17<br />

Total 114(100%) 114(100%) 114(100%) 114(100%)<br />

109


2001 Productivity to 2009 (Nine Years)<br />

No. of Articles Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

0 102 (81.6%) 78 (62.4%) 68 (54.4%) 39 (31.2%)<br />

1 8 (6.4%) 19 (15.2%) 19 (15.2%) 28 (22.4%)<br />

2 3 (2.4%) 9 (7.2%) 13 (10.4%) 17 (13.6%)<br />

3 7 (5.6%) 6 (4.8%) 7 (5.6%) 11 (8.8%)<br />

4 3 (2.4%) 6 (4.8%) 5 (4.0%) 9 (7.2%)<br />

5 2 (1.6%) 1 (0.8%) 4 (3.2%) 4 (3.2%)<br />

6 2 (1.6%) 4 (3.2%) 7 (5.6%)<br />

7 4 (3.2%) 3 (2.4%) 2 (1.6%)<br />

8 1 (0.8%) 3 (2.4%)<br />

9 2 (1.6%)<br />

10 1 (0.8%)<br />

11 1 (0.8%)<br />

12<br />

13 1 (0.8%)<br />

1 (0.8%)<br />

Total 125(100%) 125(100%) 125(100%) 125(100%)<br />

EXHIBIT 5<br />

Panel A: Percentile Measures of Faculty Productivity:<br />

Full Credit in Best N Journals 1971-2005<br />

Percentile Best T hree Best 13 Best 24 Best 40<br />

25 th 0 0 0 0<br />

50 th 0 0 0 2<br />

75 th 0 1 2 6<br />

90 th 2 5 7 11<br />

95 th 5 9 11 16<br />

99 th 11 18 22 28<br />

110


Panel B: Percentile Measures of Faculty Productivity<br />

Per Faculty per year 1971-2005<br />

Percentile Full<br />

Q1<br />

Q2 Q1&Q2<br />

Credit Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted<br />

25 th 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />

50 th 75<br />

0.09 0.10 0.05 0.05<br />

th 0.28 0.35 0.14 0.18<br />

90 th 0.57 0.82 0.28 0.41<br />

95 th 0.75 1.16 0.38 0.58<br />

99 th 1.23 2.02 0.62 0.98<br />

1. Full credit refers to giving equal credit for each publication in the best 40 journals.<br />

2. Q1 denotes the number of articles adjusted for journal quality per Exhibit 1.<br />

3. Q2 denotes the number of articles adjusted for co-authorship (if n authors, then each author receives 1/n credit).<br />

4. Q1&Q2 denotes the product of Q1 and Q2, i.e., considering both artilces adjusted for journal quality and adjusted for coauthorship.<br />

111


1971<br />

1<br />

EXHIBIT 6<br />

MOST PRODUCTIVE ACCOUNT ING DOCTORATES<br />

BY PUBLICATION IN THE BEST 40 JOURNALSFOR THE YEARS 1971-2005<br />

2. Research Productivity<br />

(Full Credit) 3. Quality Adjustment s 4 5<br />

Best<br />

40 I II III IV<br />

Q1<br />

112<br />

Q2<br />

Q1Q<br />

2<br />

Affiliation<br />

Doctoral<br />

Program<br />

6. Top Ranks by Four<br />

Measures<br />

Watts, Ross L. 28 19 6 3 0 54.60 14.65 27.13 MIT Chicago 1 1 2 1<br />

Miller, P aul B. W. 28 0 0 4 24 27.10 21.00 20.20 Colorado Spr. Tx-Austin 2 4 1 2<br />

Graham, John R. 22 2 15 3 2 37.25 11.83 20.06 Arkansas 4 2 4 3<br />

Largay, James A. III 19 3 3 5 8 25.65 10.67 15.29 Lehigh Cornell 5 5 5 4<br />

Bailey, Andrew D. Jr. 19 7 7 0 5 31.50 7.92 13.45 Illinois Ohio St 6 3 10 5<br />

Salamon, Gerald L. 12 7 1 4 0 22.30 7.00 13.18 Indiana Ohio St 10 6 13 6<br />

Greer, Willis R. Jr. 12 2 2 4 4 16.55 9.00 12.47 No Iowa Michigan 9 10 7 7<br />

Sundem, Gary L. 10 5 2 2 1 18.60 6.17 12.07 U Washington Stanford 15 8 15 8<br />

McIntyre, Edward V. 6 5 1 0 0 12.85 5.50 11.72 Florida St N Carol 27 14 18 9<br />

Reichardt, Karl E. 23 0 0 0 23 19.55 12.33 10.48 Valparaiso Missouri 3 7 3 10<br />

Bes<br />

t 40<br />

Q1<br />

Q<br />

2<br />

Q1Q<br />

2


1972<br />

Ohlson, James A. 51 21 28 2 0 95.60 36.50 67.46 New York U Berkeley 1 1 2 1<br />

Riahi-Belkaoui, Ahmed 41 3 5 15 18 51.50 37.33 47.32 Ill-Chicago Syracuse 3 4 1 2<br />

Abdel-khalik, A. Rashad 30 19 7 2 2 58.60 23.83 46.35 Illinois Illinois 5 3 4 3<br />

Ball, Raymond J. 32 20 8 3 1 61.65 18.50 35.30 Chicago Chicago 4 2 5 4<br />

Previts, Gary John 51 1 2 9 39 51.05 29.50 28.54 Case Western Florida 2 5 3 5<br />

Deakin, Edward B. 16 10 0 2 4 28.50 11.67 21.47 Texas Illinois 10 6 7 6<br />

Choi, Frederick D. S. 19 1 1 2 15 19.85 17.00 17.80 New York U U Wash 6 11 6 7<br />

Lusk, Edward J. 12 6 2 4 0 21.50 9.50 16.52 SUNY-Plattsb Nrthwstrn 14 9 12 8<br />

Hagerman, Robert L. 17 6 5 1 5 27.75 10.17 16.31 SUNY-Buffalo Rochester 8 7 9 9<br />

Granof, Michael H. 14 3 1 4 6 18.60 9.83 12.65 Texas-Austin Michigan 12 12 11 10<br />

1973<br />

Sunder, Shyam 37 19 7 9 2 66.90 27.67 48.29 Yale<br />

113<br />

Car<br />

Mellon 2 1 1 1<br />

Ashton, Robert H. 31 17 8 3 3 57.40 21.33 39.82 Duke Minnesota 3 2 2 2<br />

Gordon, Lawrence A. 38 3 8 23 4 53.60 20.42 27.97 Maryland Rensselaer 1 4 3 3<br />

Imhoff, Eugene A. Jr. 25 9 5 5 6 39.20 17.67 26.18 Michigan Mich St 5 5 4 4<br />

Collins, Daniel W. 28 20 6 0 2 54.10 12.08 23.22 Iowa Iowa 4 3 7 5


Uecker, Wilfred C. 14 11 3 0 0 29.55 8.33 17.61 Rice Tx-Austin 13 7 12 6<br />

Schnee, Edward J. 24 0 4 10 10 28.70 12.83 15.48 Alabama Mich St 7 8 6 7<br />

Boatsman, James R. 19 11 2 4 2 34.40 8.92 15.27 Arizona St Tx-Austin 10 6 11 8<br />

Scott, William R. 10 4 4 2 0 17.90 8.00 14.83 U Waterloo Chicago 18 16 14 9<br />

Warren, Carl S. 11 6 2 0 3 19.55 7.50 14.07 Georgia Mich St 15 14 15 10<br />

1974<br />

Libby, Robert 40 28 10 1 1 81.00 20.50 41.52 Cornell Illinois 1 1 1 1<br />

Hughes, John S. 35 19 15 1 0 66.85 16.07 31.37 UCLA Purdue 2 2 3 2<br />

Zimmerman, Jerold L. 25 22 1 0 2 50.45 15.40 30.74 Rochester Berkeley 4 3 4 3<br />

Ferris, Kenneth R. 34 3 13 7 11 46.85 19.92 27.93 Arizona St Ohio St 3 5 2 4<br />

Baiman, Stanley 24 17 6 1 0 48.75 12.42 24.65 Pennsylvania Sanford 5 4 7 5<br />

Magee, Robert P. 18 13 4 1 0 36.50 11.58 24.43 Northwestern Cornell 10 6 9 6<br />

Griffin, Paul A. 17 8 4 4 1 29.55 11.17 18.99 Cal-Davis Ohio St 13 8 10 7<br />

Liao, Woody M. 20 4 1 9 6 27.05 12.67 17.59 Cal-Riverside Florida 7 9 5 8<br />

Holder, William W. 21 1 3 1 16 23.05 12.17 14.19 So Calif Oklahoma 6 12 8 9<br />

Blocher, Edward J. 18 3 4 1 10 23.55 11.00 14.18 No Carolina Tx-Austin 11 11 11 10<br />

114


1975<br />

Foster, George 28 12 9 6 1 49.20 19.33 35.00 Sanford Sanford 4 3 1 1<br />

Dirsmith, Mark W. 42 0 25 7 10 57.85 19.17 26.16 Penn State Nrthwstrn 1 1 2 2<br />

Vickrey, Don W. 21 5 1 12 3 30.95 14.33 20.75 Arizona St Tx-Austin 7 8 5 3<br />

Fellingham, John C. 33 7 10 10 6 50.30 12.95 20.11 Ohio State UCLA 2 2 6 4<br />

Wright, William F. 16 3 8 3 2 25.45 12.17 19.05 Berkeley 11 10 8 5<br />

Harrell, Adrian M. 24 2 11 6 5 33.95 12.58 17.54 So Carolina Tx-Austin 5 6 7 6<br />

Givoly, Dan 20 10 5 2 3 35.15 9.67 17.08 Penn State NYU 8 5 11 7<br />

Baker, C. Richard 20 2 1 2 15 21.90 14.83 17.02 Adelphi UCLA 9 13 4 8<br />

Lorek, Kenneth S. 23 11 2 3 7 38.65 9.58 16.68 No Arizona Illinois 6 4 12 9<br />

Flesher, Dale L. 31 1 3 3 24 31.85 16.33 16.43 Mississippi Cincinnati 3 7 3 10<br />

1976<br />

Maples, Larry 32 0 0 10 22 33.95 23.33 25.48 Tenn State Miss St 3 5 1 1<br />

Dillard, Jesse F. 28 1 6 8 13 33.40 17.25 20.98 Portland St S Carol 4 6 4 2<br />

Englebrecht, Ted D. 42 1 4 4 33 42.40 20.33 20.41 Louisiana Te S Carol 2 1 3 3<br />

Bloom, Robert 43 0 1 3 39 41.15 20.58 19.75 John Carroll NYU 1 2 2 4<br />

Gibbins, Michael 21 7 11 3 0 36.80 10.25 18.27 Univ Alberta Cornell 7 3 8 5<br />

115


Porcano, T homas M. 22 1 4 1 16 24.75 14.58 17.52 Miami U-Ohio Indiana 6 9 5 6<br />

Ro, Byung T . 17 5 5 6 1 27.60 10.33 17.48 Purdue Mich St 9 7 7 7<br />

Pastena, Victor S. 18 11 6 0 1 34.60 7.92 15.39 SUNY-Buffalo NYU 8 4 10 8<br />

Graham, Lynford E. 23 0 8 0 15 26.35 13.50 14.44 Penn 5 8 6 9<br />

Patton, James M. 15 6 1 2 6 22.85 8.08 12.94 Pittsburgh Wash U 10 10 9 10<br />

1977<br />

Ingram, Robert W. 44 13 4 9 18 64.45 22.75 34.31 Alabama Tx Tech 1 2 1 1<br />

Dhaliwal, Dan S. 42 17 15 9 1 73.35 19.33 33.10 Arizona Arizona 2 1 2 2<br />

Schipper, Katherine 26 14 6 6 0 47.20 12.53 22.35 Duke Chicago 3 3 8 3<br />

Prat t, Jamie H. 23 10 8 1 4 40.30 12.00 20.08 Indiana Indiana 8 5 9 4<br />

Ketz, J. Edward 26 3 4 6 13 32.35 14.83 19.32 Penn State Va T ech 4 7 4 5<br />

Jiambalvo, James J. 21 8 11 1 1 37.10 10.08 18.36 U Washington Ohio St 11 6 11 6<br />

Grimlund, Richard A. 17 6 7 3 1 29.35 10.42 18.24 U Washington 16 10 10 7<br />

Williams, Paul F. 20 2 6 1 11 24.80 13.83 18.12 N Carol St N Carol 12 17 5 8<br />

McEnroe, John E. 24 0 2 10 12 26.25 16.17 17.88 DePaul Kentucky 6 13 3 9<br />

Wolfson, Mark A. 23 12 6 3 2 42.40 9.75 17.84 Sanford Tx-Austin 9 4 14 10<br />

116


1978<br />

Wallace, Wanda A. 53 3 8 4 38 58.60 42.92 47.40 Wm & Mary Florida 2 5 1 1<br />

Penman, Stephen H. 34 16 15 3 0 63.35 24.17 43.62 Columbia Chicago 8 4 3 2<br />

Reckers, Philip M. J. 79 5 20 20 34 99.80 34.67 42.90 Arizona St Illinois 1 1 2 3<br />

Larcker, David F. 49 29 13 7 0 93.10 22.08 41.89 Sanford Kansas 3 2 5 4<br />

Shields, Michael D. 43 7 23 11 2 67.10 20.25 31.21 Michigan St Pittsburgh 4 3 7 5<br />

Pany, Kurt J. 38 7 8 7 16 51.60 15.67 21.58 Arizona St Illinois 6 6 8 6<br />

Merchant, Kenneth A. 24 4 11 4 5 35.95 14.75 21.49 So Calif Berkeley 10 11 9 7<br />

Hopwood, William S. 23 15 5 1 2 44.70 10.33 20.45 Fla Atlantic Florida 11 7 13 8<br />

Ratcliffe, Thomas A. 37 0 1 1 35 33.40 22.42 20.19 Troy Alabama 7 12 4 9<br />

Munt er, Paul 42 1 1 2 38 38.95 21.33 19.44 KPMG Colorado 5 8 6 10<br />

1979<br />

Wright, Arnold M. 57 6 23 13 15 79.35 30.08 42.34 Northeastern S Calif 1 1 1 1<br />

Raman, K. K. 38 5 12 13 8 55.30 20.17 29.99 North T exas Indiana 2 2 2 2<br />

Messier, William F. Jr. 29 6 17 4 2 47.45 14.25 22.93 Nev-L Vegas Indiana 3 3 3 3<br />

Mensah, Yaw M. 21 5 3 12 1 32.20 13.00 20.85 Rutgers-N Br Illinois 6 6 4 4<br />

Brownell, Peter 14 8 5 1 0 27.15 10.50 20.58 Berkeley 11 8 7 5<br />

117


Solomon, Ira 25 8 10 6 1 42.05 11.00 18.68 Illinois Tx-Austin 5 4 6 6<br />

Covaleski, Mark A. 28 0 18 6 4 39.95 11.92 17.16 Wisconsin Penn St 4 5 5 7<br />

Baldwin, Bruce A. 16 4 0 0 12 20.55 10.08 13.58 Ariz St-West Ariz St 9 11 8 8<br />

Ashton, Alison Hubbard 8 6 1 0 1 16.10 6.33 13.50 Duke Tx-Austin 24 16 15 9<br />

Smith, David B. 19 8 4 2 5 30.55 7.48 12.70 Nebraska Illinois 8 7 12 10<br />

1980<br />

Banker, Rajiv D. 54 17 24 6 7 88.80 22.03 35.66 Temple Harvard 1 1 1 1<br />

DeAngelo, Linda E. 24 8 15 0 1 44.21 13.50 24.87 S Calif U Wash 4 2 3 2<br />

Baber, William R. 20 11 2 6 1 35.20 10.67 18.78 George Wash N Carol 7 5 6 3<br />

Smieliauskas, Wally 16 5 9 2 0 28.89 10.33 18.65 Univ Toronto Wisconsin 12 10 7 4<br />

Holthausen, Robert W. 19 13 6 0 0 37.56 9.42 18.62 Pennsylvania Rochester<br />

Car<br />

8 4 10 5<br />

Evans, John H. III 24 13 3 6 2 42.65 10.00 17.85 Pittsburgh Mellon 5 2 8 6<br />

Bamber, E. Michael 23 3 10 3 7 32.70 11.25 16.13 Georgia Ohio St 6 6 4 7<br />

Left wich, Richard W. 16 10 6 0 0 31.25 7.83 15.47 Chicago Rochester 13 8 14 8<br />

Silhan, P eter A. 12 5 2 3 2 20.30 8.83 14.93 Illinois Tennessee 18 16 12 9<br />

Un Hong<br />

Biddle, Gary C. 16 9 5 2 0 30.05 7.67 14.68 Kong Chicago 14 9 15 10<br />

118


1981<br />

Chow, Chee W. 68 8 13 17 30 87.35 30.42 40.37 San Diego St Oregon 1 1 1 1<br />

Knechel, W. Robert 31 6 12 8 5 47.65 19.58 29.33 Florida N Carol 3 2 3 2<br />

Knight, Lee G. 47 0 0 5 42 44.90 22.33 21.38 Wake Forest Alabama 2 3 2 3<br />

Waller, William S. 21 10 9 1 1 38.90 11.17 21.06 Arizona U Wash 8 5 8 4<br />

Smith, Abbie J. 17 12 5 0 0 33.90 8.75 17.32 Chicago Cornell 12 6 12 5<br />

Murray, Dennis F. 21 4 5 6 6 29.50 12.00 17.27 Colo-Denver Mass 9 10 6 6<br />

Antle, Rick 16 9 5 2 0 30.95 8.50 16.97 Yale Stanford 14 9 13 7<br />

Stone, Mary S. 24 5 3 9 7 33.40 12.40 16.66 Alabama Illinois 5 7 5 8<br />

Robinson, John R. 26 4 10 9 3 40.05 10.25 15.96 Texas-Austin Michigan 4 4 9 9<br />

Burgstahler, David C. 18 11 2 3 2 32.95 8.17 14.96 U Washington Iowa 11 8 15 10<br />

1982<br />

Kaplan, Steven E. 55 2 19 21 13 72.15 27.17 36.02 Arizona St Illinois 1 1 1 1<br />

Palmrose, Zoe-Vonna 18 11 4 1 2 34.25 13.58 25.74 So Calif U Wash 13 7 5 2<br />

Lys, Thomas Z. 27 18 8 1 0 50.90 12.40 23.31 Northwestern Rochester 4 2 6 3<br />

Lambert, Richard A. 19 16 1 2 0 38.80 9.83 20.13 Pennsylvania Sanford 10 5 12 4<br />

119


Bernard, Victor L. 18 10 6 1 1 34.35 10.50 20.01 Michigan Illinois 14 6 9 5<br />

Stout, David E. 46 0 0 3 43 43.55 19.40 18.32 Youngstown Pittsburgh 2 3 2 6<br />

Pincus, Morton 18 10 4 2 2 32.80 10.50 18.16 Calif-Irvine Wash U 15 8 10 7<br />

Abdolmohammadi,<br />

Mohammad 24 1 5 7 11 28.70 14.08 17.30 Bentley Indiana 6 10 4 8<br />

Schneider, Arnold 20 3 2 8 7 26.40 11.58 16.44 Georgia T ech Ohio St 8 15 7 9<br />

Borthick, A. Faye 29 1 1 1 26 28.70 15.67 15.28 Georgia St Tennessee 3 11 3 10<br />

1983<br />

Penno, Mark C. 16 9 3 4 0 29.85 11.58 22.22 Iowa Nrthwstrn 16 10 3 1<br />

T se, Senyo Y. 17 7 9 1 0 31.45 8.75 16.56 Texas A&M Berkeley 12 7 8 2<br />

Bamber, Linda Smith 21 6 7 2 6 33.15 9.17 15.64 Georgia Ohio St 5 3 6 3<br />

Healy, Paul M. 18 10 5 2 1 32.50 8.58 15.57 Harvard Rochester 9 4 10 4<br />

Wild, John J. 16 8 5 3 0 29.85 8.33 15.54 Wisconsin Wisconsin 17 11 12 5<br />

Hassell, John M. 31 7 2 2 20 40.05 11.50 15.23 Indiana-Indy Indiana 2 1 4 6<br />

Palepu, Krishna G. 17 9 6 1 1 31.25 8.25 14.87 Harvard MIT 13 8.5 13 7<br />

Smith, L. Murphy 32 0 2 1 29 30.25 15.50 14.69 Texas A&M La T ech 1 8.5 1 8<br />

Knapp, Michael C. 15 2 3 1 9 19.00 11.00 14.40 Oklahoma Oklahoma 18 25 5 9<br />

Sullivan, Julie H. 19 7 7 3 2 32.45 8.50 14.37 Cal-San Diego Florida 7 5 11 10<br />

120


1984<br />

Landsman, Wayne R. 40 19 10 8 3 70.65 16.58 28.79 No Carolina Sanford 1 1 1 1<br />

Waymire, Gregory B. 26 17 6 3 0 51.05 13.67 27.64 Emory Chicago 3 3 2 2<br />

McNichols, Maureen F. 27 17 7 2 1 52.20 12.75 24.68 Sanford UCLA 2 2 3 3<br />

Easton, P eter 23 14 3 6 0 43.45 12.50 23.37 Notre Dame Berkeley 4 4 4 4<br />

Jain, Prem C. 17 6 9 0 2 30.35 10.87 20.04 Georgetown Florida 9 6 5 5<br />

T homas, Jacob K. 20 11 7 1 1 37.70 10.33 19.88 Yale Michigan 7 5 7 6<br />

Srinidhi, Bin N. 19 3 8 7 1 29.75 10.83 16.74 SUNY-Albany Columbia 8 7 6 7<br />

Swenson, Charles W. 16 4 5 5 2 25.65 9.50 15.11 So Calif So Calif 11 9 9 8<br />

Williams, David D. 17 3 7 5 2 25.95 8.50 12.99 Ohio State Penn St 10 8 11 9<br />

Read, William J. 23 0 2 6 15 24.55 10.12 10.72 Bentley Va T ech 5 10 8 10<br />

1985<br />

Shaw, Wayne H. 18 7 10 1 0 34.70 10.33 19.82 So Methodist Tx-Austin 6 5 4 1<br />

Bedard, Jean C. 31 7 13 4 7 47.60 12.17 19.38 Bentley Wisconsin 1 1 3 2<br />

Zarowin, Paul A. 18 10 8 0 0 34.95 10.00 19.04 New York U Chicago 7 4 5 3<br />

Rezaee, Zabihollah 30 2 4 2 22 32.90 18.58 18.99 Memphis Miss 2 6 1 4<br />

121


Strawser, Jerry R. 29 1 5 12 11 34.95 14.42 17.66 Texas A&M Tx A&M 3 4 2 5<br />

Datar, Srikant M. 24 11 11 0 2 43.60 8.70 15.92 Harvard Sanford 4 2 10 6<br />

Lipe, Marlys Gascho 13 5 4 0 4 21.65 8.33 13.58 Oklahoma Chicago 12 11 11 7<br />

Melumad, Nahum D. 15 7 7 0 1 27.95 7.00 13.17 Columbia Berkeley 9 7 14 8<br />

Pownall, Grace 13 7 4 2 0 24.45 6.17 11.88 Emory Chicago 13 8 16 9<br />

Chen, Kevin C. W. 13 5 4 3 1 22.45 6.67 11.44 Hong Kong Sc Illinois 14 9 15 10<br />

1986<br />

Kothari, S. P . 40 24 15 0 1 75.95 16.73 31.60 MIT Iowa 1 1 1 1<br />

Shevlin, Terry 30 17 10 3 0 55.20 13.33 24.70 U Washington Sanford 2 2 4 2<br />

King, Ronald R. 28 10 14 4 0 49.20 13.50 24.28 Wash Univ Arizona 3 3 3 3<br />

Krishnan, Gopal V. 22 1 9 7 5 29.85 13.58 18.70 Lehigh North T x 4 5 2 4<br />

Balakrishnan, Ramji 22 4 10 5 3 33.75 12.00 18.33 Iowa Columbia 5 4 6 5<br />

Hite, Peggy A. 22 1 6 3 12 26.65 12.58 14.79 Indiana Colorado 6 7 5 6<br />

O'Leary, Daniel E. 12 0 2 4 6 14.05 11.50 13.57 So Calif Case Wes 22 31 7 7<br />

Gaver, Jennifer J. 15 8 4 3 0 27.25 7.00 12.58 Georgia Arizona 13 6 14 8<br />

Viator, Ralph E. 17 0 5 3 9 19.70 10.33 12.32 Texas Tech Tx A&M 10 15 8 9<br />

Church, Bryan K. 20 2 5 7 6 26.40 9.00 12.12 Georgia T ech Florida 7 9 9 10<br />

122


1987<br />

Lundholm, Russell J. 20 10 8 2 0 38.00 12.25 23.01 Michigan Iowa 7 4 4 1<br />

Francis, Jennifer 25 22 2 1 0 52.05 10.70 22.62 Duke Cornell 4 1 6 2<br />

Hand, John R. M. 17 8 8 1 0 32.05 9.58 19.25 No Carolina Chicago 11 5 12 3<br />

DeFond, Mark L. 22 14 6 1 1 41.35 9.92 18.53 So Calif U Wash 5 3 10 4<br />

Cohen, Jeffrey R. 36 1 10 9 16 44.40 15.50 18.45 Boston Coll Mass 1 2 2 5<br />

Beneish, Messod D. 18 6 5 5 2 30.40 10.50 16.96 Indiana Chicago 10 6 7 6<br />

T yson, Thomas N. 26 0 0 4 22 23.85 17.33 15.86 St John Fshr Geo St 3 10 1 7<br />

Patten, Dennis M. 13 1 5 5 2 18.30 10.00 14.28 Illinois St Nebraska 15 17 9 8<br />

Bricker, Robert J. 20 2 7 5 6 27.90 10.42 14.23 Case Western Case Wes 8 7 8 9<br />

Roberts, Robin W. 19 1 5 2 11 22.55 10.83 12.47 Cen Florida Arkansas 9 13 5 10<br />

1988<br />

Geiger, Marshall A. 36 1 9 5 21 42.00 18.62 21.27 Richmond Penn St 1 2 1 1<br />

Ryan, Stephen G. 23 12 7 1 3 42.10 11.58 21.05 New York U Sanford 2 1 2 2<br />

Bonner, Sarah E. 19 11 5 2 1 36.05 9.33 16.92 So Calif Michigan 4 4 5 3<br />

Sivaramakrishnan, K. 21 9 8 4 0 37.60 9.42 16.52 Houston Nrthwstrn 3 3 4 4<br />

123


Kaplan, Steven N. 14 0 14 0 0 25.20 9.33 16.47 Chicago Harvard 12 7 6 5<br />

Ali, Ashiq 18 10 6 2 0 33.80 7.83 14.85 Texas-Dallas Columbia 5 5 9 6<br />

Kachelmeier, Steven J. 18 7 6 3 2 30.85 8.92 14.71 Texas-Austin Florida 6 6 7 7<br />

Clinch, Gregory J. 13 9 2 2 0 24.95 7.00 13.20 U Melbourne Stanford 16 8 12 8<br />

Ely, Kirsten M. 11 5 4 2 0 20.15 6.67 12.67 Sonoma State Chicago 24 17 15 9<br />

Roberts, Michael L. 15 0 5 4 6 18.40 8.83 11.34 Colo-Denver Geo St 8 22 8 10<br />

1989<br />

Skinner, Douglas J. 30 19 9 1 1 56.45 18.32 33.60 Chicago Rochester 3 2 2 1<br />

Barth, Mary E. 40 23 9 6 2 73.75 18.25 33.35 Sanford Sanford 1 1 3 2<br />

Fogart y, T imothy J. 37 0 7 6 24 40.20 19.50 21.53 Case Western Penn St 2 3 1 3<br />

Bartov, Eli 19 11 8 0 0 36.95 10.00 19.67 New York U Berkeley 5 6 5 4<br />

Khurana, Inder K. 24 6 8 5 5 37.50 9.89 15.77 Missouri Ariz St 4 4 6 5<br />

Bushman, Robert M. 18 14 4 0 0 37.05 7.50 15.57 No Carolina Minnesota 6 5 11 6<br />

Ponemon, Lawrence A. 16 1 7 1 7 20.95 11.33 14.73 Union-NY 8 11 4 7<br />

Indjejikian, Raffi J. 15 12 3 0 0 30.80 6.92 14.44 Michigan Penn 10 7 13 8<br />

Frost, Carol A. 12 6 3 2 1 21.35 7.83 14.03 North T exas Michigan 15 10 9 9<br />

Warfield, Terry D. 18 5 1 5 7 25.00 8.08 11.17 Wisconsin Iowa 7 8 7 10<br />

124


1990<br />

Sansing, Richard C. 28 10 14 4 0 49.55 18.14 32.17 Dartmouth Tx-Austin 3 4 2 1<br />

Raghunandan, K. 53 3 21 15 14 70.95 21.17 28.53 Fla Internat Iowa 1 1 1 2<br />

Rajan, Madhav V. 26 17 8 1 0 52.40 12.33 25.25 Sanford Car Mellon 4 2 3 3<br />

Nelson, Mark W. 26 14 10 2 0 49.80 11.58 21.94 Cornell Ohio St 5 3 4 4<br />

Shackelford, Douglas A. 23 14 6 3 0 43.95 10.17 19.70 No Carolina Michigan 6 5 6 5<br />

Lee, Charles M. C. 20 7 11 1 1 37.95 9.83 18.69 Sanford Cornell 9 9 7 6<br />

Lang, Mark H. 21 15 5 1 0 42.55 9.08 18.44 No Carolina Chicago 8 7 10 7<br />

Guenther, David A. 16 11 3 1 1 30.55 9.67 18.38 Oregon U Wash 12 12 8 8<br />

Koonce, Lisa 22 8 10 3 1 38.15 9.50 16.54 Texas-Austin Illinois 7 8 9 9<br />

Sridhar, Sri S. 16 9 6 1 0 30.70 8.33 16.21 Northwestern Pittsburgh 13 11 12 10<br />

1991<br />

Amir, Eli 16 7 6 3 0 29.15 8.33 15.69 London Bus Berkeley 3 2 5 1<br />

Young, Joni J. 16 0 8 0 8 19.70 12.33 15.31 New Mexico Illinois 4 10 1 2<br />

Balsam, Steven 20 4 6 6 4 29.30 10.67 14.83 Temple Baruch 1 1 3 3<br />

Ghosh, Dipankar 16 0 3 11 2 20.25 11.50 14.33 Oklahoma Penn St 5 9 2 4<br />

125


Huddart , Steven J. 13 7 4 2 0 22.70 7.83 13.33 Penn State Yale 9 5 7 5<br />

Krishnan, Jagan 14 2 7 5 0 21.65 6.67 10.84 Temple Ohio St 7 6 10 6<br />

T utt le, Brad M. 17 0 8 6 3 22.80 8.00 10.72 So Carolina Ariz St 2 4 6 7<br />

Wahlen, James M. 13 7 4 1 1 24.30 5.33 10.17 Indiana Michigan 10 3<br />

16.<br />

17 8<br />

Cullinan, Charles P. 14 0 1 5 8 15.10 9.08 9.76 Bryant Kentucky 8 5 4 9<br />

Ramsay, Robert J. 15 1 5 6 3 21.35 6.58 9.52 Kentucky Indiana 6 8 13 10<br />

1992<br />

Sloan, Richard G. 28 20 8 0 0 55.45 12.83 25.55 Cal-Berkeley Rochester 1 1 1 1<br />

Ittner, Christopher D. 21 10 7 4 0 37.75 9.25 16.22 Pennsylvania Harvard 3 2 4 2<br />

Beatty, Anne 18 12 4 1 1 34.00 8.83 16.16 Ohio State MIT 4 3 6 3<br />

Cloyd, C. Bryan 17 5 7 4 1 28.80 8.83 15.53 Virg Tech Indiana 6 6 7 4<br />

Luft, Joan L. 16 5 5 6 0 25.90 8.92 14.10 Michigan St Cornell 7 8 5 5<br />

Gigler, Frank B. 13 12 1 0 0 28.35 6.25 13.72 Minnesota Minnesota 10 7 11 6<br />

Lowe, D. Jordan 27 1 6 9 11 32.70 10.31 12.30 Arizona St Ariz St 2 4 2 7<br />

Hirst, D. Eric 13 8 3 1 1 24.85 6.17 11.87 T exas-Austin Minnesota 11 9 12 8<br />

Kennedy, S. Jane 12 9 2 1 0 24.60 5.42 11.39 U Washington Duke 14 10 14 9<br />

Glover, Jonathan C. 18 5 10 2 1 30.30 6.62 11.34 Carnegie Mel Ohio St 5 5 9 10<br />

126


1993<br />

Hermanson, Dana R. 46 0 10 13 23 52.65 16.92 18.92 Kennesaw St Wisconsin 1 1 1 1<br />

Subramanyam, K. R. 18 12 4 2 0 34.85 8.42 16.53 So Calif Wisconsin 2 2 3 2<br />

Dechow, Patricia M. 18 10 8 0 0 34.30 7.58 14.52 Cal-Berkeley Rochester 3 3 4 3<br />

Rees, Lynn L. 17 4 6 3 4 26.55 9.17 13.32 Texas A&M Ariz St 4 4 2 4<br />

Salterio, Steven E. 15 3 12 0 0 25.95 7.20 12.28 Queen's Univ Michigan 5 5 5 5<br />

Anderson, Shannon W. 11 2 5 4 0 17.10 6.17 9.72 Rice Harvard 9 9 8 6<br />

Barron, Orie E. 12 8 4 0 0 24.40 4.67 9.53 Penn State Oregon 6 6 13 7<br />

Prawitt, Douglas F. 12 3 4 2 3 18.45 4.83 8.00 Brigham Yg Arizona 7 8 12 8<br />

Frankel, Richard M. 10 9 1 0 0 20.60 3.83 7.87 Wash Univ Sanford 13 7 21 9<br />

Spilker, Brian C. 10 3 3 1 3 15.65 4.33 7.38 Brigham Yg Tx-Austin 14 13 17 10<br />

1994<br />

Hunton, James E. 60 7 8 12 33 74.25 30.08 35.49 Bentley Tx-Arlin 1 1 1 1<br />

Vafeas, Nikos 15 1 6 7 1 21.85 11.42 16.98 Cyprus Kansas 5 7 2 2<br />

Maydew, Edward L. 18 12 3 3 0 35.00 7.83 15.40 No Carolina Iowa 4 2 5 3<br />

Dutta, Sunil 13 8 5 0 0 26.00 6.58 13.35 Cal-Berkeley Minnesota 6 5 7 4<br />

127


Beasley, Mark S. 21 2 6 2 11 26.85 8.33 11.55 N Carol St Mich St 2 4 3 5<br />

Wilkins, Michael S. 19 2 9 5 3 28.25 7.83 11.53 Texas A&M Arizona 3 3 4 6<br />

Schrand, Catherine M. 11 4 6 1 0 20.70 5.75 11.38 Pennsylvania Chicago 15 8 13 7<br />

Hogan, Chris E. 11 4 7 0 0 19.95 5.92 11.12 Michigan St Ohio St 16 9 11 8<br />

Boone, Jeff P. 13 1 3 4 5 17.20 6.58 9.32 Tx-S Antonio North T x 7 14 8 9<br />

Un Hong<br />

Park, Chul W. 10 6 3 1 0 18.65 4.83 8.99 Kong Wash U 20 12 20 10<br />

1995<br />

T homas, Wayne B. 23 7 3 9 4 35.35 9.67 15.10 Oklahoma Okla St 1 1 1 1<br />

Aboody, David 15 11 4 0 0 30.55 7.08 14.57 UCLA Berkeley 4 2 3 2<br />

Kasznik, Ron 15 11 4 0 0 30.15 6.42 13.10 Sanford Berkeley 5 4 6 3<br />

Core, John E. 16 9 7 0 0 30.35 6.67 12.76 Pennsylvania Penn 3 3 5 4<br />

Walther, Beverly R. 15 8 6 1 0 28.50 6.00 11.57 Northwestern Chicago 6 5 10 5<br />

Dichev, Ilia D. 10 6 2 2 0 19.50 6.00 11.33 Emory U Wash 17 10 11 6<br />

DeZoort, F. T odd 17 0 8 7 2 23.25 7.50 10.35 Alabama Alabama 2 6 2 7<br />

Hopkins, Patrick E. 13 7 2 1 3 23.20 5.50 10.07 Indiana Tx-Austin 10 7 12 8<br />

Payne, Jeff L. 11 2 7 1 1 17.95 6.08 9.45 Kentucky Florida 15 13 9 9<br />

Botosan, Christine A. 8 5 1 2 0 15.15 4.83 9.01 Utah Michigan 27 18 19 10<br />

128


1996<br />

Mills, Lillian F. 20 5 8 7 0 33.00 10.39 17.27 Texas-Austin Michigan 1 2 1 1<br />

Erickson, Merle M. 19 11 6 2 0 36.05 8.08 15.57 Chicago Arizona 2 1 4 2<br />

Venkatachalam, Mohan 15 10 5 0 0 30.00 6.75 13.39 Duke Iowa 6 4 8 3<br />

Ayers, Benjamin C. 18 5 11 2 0 31.50 6.98 12.56 Georgia Tx-Austin 3 3 7 4<br />

Narayanan, V. G. 8 4 4 0 0 15.15 5.83 11.48 Harvard Sanford 19 12 10 5<br />

Phillips, Fred 18 1 0 0 17 19.15 10.00 11.21 Saskat chewan Tx-Austin 4 8 2 6<br />

Sprinkle, Geoffrey B. 13 4 4 3 2 20.85 6.25 10.29 Indiana Iowa 8 6 9 7<br />

Kadous, Kathryn 11 4 7 0 0 20.20 5.33 9.83 Emory Illinois 9 7 12 8<br />

Willenborg, Michael 10 9 1 0 0 21.10 4.50 9.51 Connecticut Penn St 11 5 15 9<br />

Hayes, Rachel M. 9 6 3 0 0 17.55 4.50 8.86 Utah Sanford 15 9 17 10<br />

1997<br />

Johnstone, Karla M. 19 4 6 4 5 28.10 8.33 12.62 Wisconsin Conn 1 1 1 1<br />

Bushee, Brian J.<br />

10 9 1 0 0 21.35 5.50 11.52 Pennsylvania Michigan 13 5 9 2<br />

Marquardt, Carol A. 11 6 3 2 0 20.80 5.67 10.78<br />

129<br />

CUNY-Baruch Cornell 9 6 7 3<br />

Mayhew, Brian W. 13 5 8 0 0 24.05 5.33 10.16 Wisconsin Arizona 5 2 10 4


Lehavy, Reuven 11 4 6 0 1 19.90 5.58 9.93 Michigan Nrthwstrn 10 8 8 5<br />

Nelson, Karen K. 10 8 2 0 0 20.70 4.67 9.90 Rice Michigan 14 7 14 6<br />

Skaife, Hollis 13 7 1 2 3 22.30 6.17 9.78 Wisconsin Iowa 4 4 5 7<br />

Leone, Andrew J. 12 9 2 1 0 23.35 4.75 8.75 U Miami Pittsburgh 7 3 13 8<br />

Mauldin, Elaine G. 11 2 1 3 5 14.55 6.92 8.19 Missouri Nebraska 8 14 2 9<br />

Wong, M. H. Franco 9 6 3 0 0 17.80 4.08 8.18 Univ Toronto Penn 18 9 23 10<br />

1998<br />

Guay, Wayne R. 19 10 8 1 0 35.35 9.17 16.95 Pennsylvania Rochester 2 2 1 1<br />

Rajgopal, Shivaram 20 12 7 0 1 37.95 7.75 15.06 U Washington Iowa 1 1 2 2<br />

Zhang, Xiao-Jun 12 9 2 1 0 24.30 6.00 12.18 Cal-Berkeley Columbia 6 3 5 3<br />

Davila, Antonio 14 3 9 1 1 22.90 7.25 11.85 Univ Navarra Harvard 4 4 3 4<br />

Smith, Michael J. 8 2 5 1 0 13.65 6.00 10.12 Boston Univ Stanford 18 16 6 5<br />

Miller, Gregory S. 8 7 1 0 0 17.10 4.33 9.34 Michigan Michigan 19 10 17 6<br />

Krishnan, Ranjani 10 7 2 1 0 19.85 4.42 8.72 Michigan St Pittsburgh 9 5 15 7<br />

Hatfield, Richard C. 13 3 4 2 4 19.15 6.17 8.70 Alabama Florida 5 7 4 8<br />

Liang, Pierre Jinghong 7 4 2 1 0 13.10 4.83 8.35 Carnegie Mel Florida 26 17 10 9<br />

Nissim, Doron 10 2 7 0 1 17.50 4.50 7.94 Columbia Berkeley 10 9.5 14 10<br />

130


1999<br />

Nagar, Venky 12 8 2 2 0 23.20 6.83 13.36 Michigan Penn 3 2 1 1<br />

Ke, Bin 14 11 3 0 0 28.30 6.33 12.93 Penn State Mich St 1 1 3 2<br />

Piot roski, Joseph D. 9 6 2 1 0 18.35 4.67 9.59 Sanford Michigan 6 4 4 3<br />

Liu, Jing 12 6 5 0 1 22.50 4.42 8.28 UCLA Columbia 4 3 7 4<br />

Kohlbeck, Mark J. 13 0 4 2 7 15.55 6.58 7.93 Fla Atlantic Tx-Austin 2 8 2 5<br />

Lo, Kin 7 6 1 0 0 13.85 4.00 7.93 British Colu Nrthwstrn 12 9 11 6<br />

Gu, Zhaoyang 7 4 2 1 0 12.80 4.33 7.61 Minnesota Tulane 13 13 9 7<br />

Hung, Mingyi Y. 7 5 2 0 0 13.70 3.67 7.14 So Calif MIT 14 11 12 8<br />

Wu, Joanna Shuang 8 7 0 0 1 15.70 3.50 6.81 Rochester Tulane 10 7 14 9<br />

Widener, Sally K. 9 1 4 3 1 12.85 4.67 6.80 Rice Colorado 7 12 5 10<br />

2000<br />

Bradshaw, Mark T . 8 6 1 1 0 16.00 5.00 9.74 Boston Coll Michigan 7 4 3 1<br />

Roulstone, Darren T . 6 4 1 1 0 11.50 5.00 9.38 Ohio State Michigan 13 12 4 2<br />

Yetman, Robert J. 10 3 3 4 0 16.70 5.48 9.20 Cal-Davis N Carol 2 3 2 3<br />

Weber, Joseph P. 9 9 0 0 0 19.25 4.00 8.50 MIT Penn St 5 1 10 4<br />

131


Hodge, Frank D. 10 4 5 1 0 18.15 4.75 8.40 U Washington Indiana 3 2 5 5<br />

Sedatole, Karen L. 9 3 2 2 2 14.10 4.08 6.68 Michigan St Michigan 6 5 9 6<br />

Wilks, T. Jeffrey 8 2 3 3 0 12.75 3.75 6.49 Brigham Yg Cornell 8 7 12 7<br />

Mueller, Jennifer M. 12 0 0 3 9 11.80 6.42 6.33 Auburn Va T ech 1 11 1 8<br />

Gore, Angela K. 4 2 0 2 0 7.20 3.50 6.07 George Wash SUNY-Buf 29 25 14 9<br />

Robinson, Dahlia 8 1 3 1 3 10.80 4.50 5.98 South Fla Georgia 9 13 7 10<br />

2001<br />

Hope, Ole-Kristian 15 3 4 6 2 22.85 7.67 11.55 Univ Toronto Nrthwstrn 1 1 1 1<br />

Yee, Kenton K. 8 0 6 1 1 11.95 7.33 10.88 Sanford 6 7 2 2<br />

Louis, Henock 7 4 3 0 0 13.05 4.50 8.58 Penn State Ohio St 9 4 6 3<br />

Mercer, Molly 6 3 1 2 0 10.40 3.67 6.26 Arizona St Tx-Austin 11 9.5 8 4<br />

Krull, Linda K. 6 5 1 0 0 12.60 2.92 6.26 Oregon Arizona 12 5 13 5<br />

Parsons, Linda M. 8 1 1 3 3 10.25 4.67 5.63 Alabama Houston 7 12 5 6<br />

Hodder, Leslie D. 9 5 2 1 1 16.60 3.08 5.57 Indiana Tx-Austin 4 2 12 7<br />

Myring, Mark J. 11 1 1 1 8 12.35 5.08 5.35 Ball State Kent St 2 6 3 8<br />

Janvrin, Diane J. 10 0 1 2 7 10.40 4.83 4.92 Iowa State Iowa 3 9 4 9<br />

Johnston, Derek 5 0 2 3 0 7.25 3.25 4.76 Colorado St Colorado 18 20 11 10<br />

132


2002<br />

Cheng, Qiang 9 5 3 0 1 16.95 5.00 9.61 Wisconsin Wisconsin 3 2 3 1<br />

Mittendorf, Brian 11 5 3 2 1 18.55 5.58 9.40 Ohio State Ohio St 2 1 2 2<br />

Hilary, Gilles 6 4 1 0 1 11.05 3.67 6.09 HEC Paris Chicago 7 5 6 3<br />

Kimbrough, Michael D. 4 4 0 0 0 9.00 2.67 6.00 Indiana Harvard 15 10 12 4<br />

T owry, Kristy L. 7 3 3 0 1 12.40 2.95 5.72 Emory Tx-Austin 5 4 10 5<br />

Hayes, David C. 13 0 0 0 13 12.45 5.67 5.47 Jms Madison S Fla 1 3 1 6<br />

Krische, Susan D. 5 4 1 0 0 11.00 2.25 5.00 Illinois Cornell 9 6 13 7<br />

Hofmann, Mary Ann 5 0 2 2 1 6.65 3.75 4.84 Appalach St Ariz St 10 16 4 8<br />

Markov, Stanimir 5 5 0 0 0 10.50 2.17 4.54 Texas-Dallas Rochester 11 7 14 9<br />

Farber, David B. 4 3 0 1 0 7.90 2.17 4.51 Missouri Cornell 16 13 15 10<br />

2003<br />

Richardson, Scott A. 17 8 7 2 0 31.40 7.58 12.92 Barclays Michigan 1 1 1 1<br />

Hanlon, Michelle 10 7 0 3 0 18.85 5.00 9.10 MIT U Wash 3 3 2 2<br />

Li, Oliver Zhen 12 5 6 1 0 21.85 4.92 8.72 Arizona Arizona 2 2 3 3<br />

Soliman, Mark T . 8 5 3 0 0 15.55 3.17 6.33 U Washington Michigan 5 4 8 4<br />

133


Chen, Shuping 7 4 3 0 0 13.55 2.50 4.89 Texas-Austin S Calif 6 6 10 5<br />

Zhang, Yuan 3 3 0 0 0 6.25 2.33 4.75 Columbia S Calif 22 16 13 6<br />

Hales, Jeffrey W. 4 2 2 0 0 7.70 2.33 4.71 Georgia T ech Cornell 15 12 11 7<br />

T una, Irem 7 5 2 0 0 14.20 2.17 4.38 London Bus Michigan 7 5 15 8<br />

Kang, Tony 7 1 3 2 1 10.65 3.08 4.33 Oklahoma St Illinois 8 8 9 9<br />

Brandon, Duane M. 10 0 2 1 7 10.75 3.92 4.16 Auburn Va T ech 4 7 4 10<br />

2004<br />

McVay, Sarah E. 6 5 1 0 0 12.35 2.67 5.62 Utah Michigan 5 2 5 1<br />

Roychowdhury, Sugata 4 4 0 0 0 8.50 2.50 5.25 MIT Rochester 13 7 9 2<br />

Brazel, Joseph F. 8 2 2 0 4 11.15 3.83 4.84 N Carol St Drexel 1 4 2 3<br />

Sandino, T atiana 5 3 0 0 2 8.60 2.53 4.79 So Calif Harvard 8 6 7 4<br />

Blouin, Jennifer L. 7 4 2 1 0 13.55 2.42 4.78 Pennsylvania N Carol 2 1 10 5<br />

Wang, Dechun 4 2 2 0 0 7.70 2.33 4.60 Texas A&M Missouri 14 8 13 6<br />

Cohen, Daniel A. 6 4 2 0 0 11.45 2.42 4.58 New York U Nrthwstrn 6 3 11 7<br />

Lin, Haijin H. 7 1 2 4 0 10.45 2.73 4.19 Houston Car Mellon 3 5<br />

14.<br />

4 8<br />

T ucker, Jennifer W. 3 3 0 0 0 6.75 1.83 4.12 Florida NYU 18 5 17 9<br />

Srinivasan, Suraj 3 3 0 0 0 6.75 1.83 4.12 Harvard Harvard 19 14. 18 10<br />

134


2005<br />

LaFond, Ryan 9 8 0 1 0 18.85 2.92 6.19 Industry Wisconsin 1 1 1 1<br />

Rogers, Jonathan L. 4 4 0 0 0 8.50 2.33 5.04 Chicago Penn 4 2 3 2<br />

Sadka, Gil 4 2 2 0 0 7.70 2.17 4.33 Columbia Chicago 5 3 5 3<br />

Jiang, John (Xuefeng) 3 2 1 0 0 6.10 1.67 3.53 Michigan St Georgia 10 9 14 4<br />

Dey, Aiyesha 3 3 0 0 0 6.50 1.58 3.50 Chicago Nrthwstrn 11 6 15 5<br />

Williamson, Michael G. 4 1 2 0 1 6.45 2.17 3.38 Texas-Austin Indiana 6 7<br />

18.<br />

6 6<br />

Wynn, Jinyoung P. 2 2 0 0 0 4.25 1.50 3.25 Houston Purdue 23 5 17 7<br />

T ang, Vicki Wei 4 2 2 0 0 7.45 1.67 3.19 Georgetown Michigan 7 5<br />

16.<br />

12 8<br />

Li, Feng 2 2 0 0 0 4.25 1.50 3.12 Michigan Chicago 24 5<br />

23.<br />

18 9<br />

Cassar, Gavin J. 2 1 1 0 0 3.85 1.50 3.05 Pennsylvania Berkeley 25 5 19 10<br />

5. Full credit refers to giving equal credit for each publication in the best 40 journals.<br />

6. Q1 denotes the number of articles adjusted for journal quality per Exhibit 1.<br />

7. Q2 denotes the number of articles adjusted for co-authorship (if n authors, then each author receives 1/n credit).<br />

8. Q1&Q2 denotes the product of Q1 and Q2, i.e., considering both artilces adjusted for journal quality and adjusted for co-authorship.<br />

135<br />

5


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May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

EXHIBIT 7<br />

CORRELATION MATRIX OF PRODUCTIVITY MEASURES<br />

(Spearman Rank Correlations of Non-zero Values, N=3,812)<br />

Full credit<br />

Q1 Adjusted<br />

Full credit 1.000<br />

Q1 Adjusted 0.971 1.000<br />

136<br />

Q2 Adjusted<br />

Q2 Adjusted 0.956 0.928 1.000<br />

Q1&Q2<br />

Adjusted<br />

Q1&Q2 Adjusted 0.935 0.963 0.971 1.000<br />

All Spearman correlation coefficients are significant at


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Teaching Years since Doctorate: 10 or less years since doctorate = 1, 11 years or<br />

more = 0<br />

School* Teaching Years since Doctorate: Interaction term between School and<br />

Years since Doctorate<br />

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May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

The Usefulness of Activity Based Costing and<br />

Traditional Costing in Banking Industry: Evidence<br />

from a Bank in Iran<br />

Nazemi A � .<br />

Assistant Professor of Shiraz University<br />

Eram Sq., Eram Paradise, College of Economics, Management and Social<br />

Sciences, Department of <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Seyedi A.<br />

Abstract<br />

Shandiz Higher Education Institute, Mashad<br />

In this study the results of implementation of two costing systems are<br />

illustrated. These systems are Activity Based Costing (ABC) and<br />

Traditional Costing. In order to analyze the cost structure for the bank<br />

services, an <strong>Iranian</strong> bank (Mehr bank) is chosen as a sample. After<br />

explaining the calculation methods of unit costs of the systems, a<br />

statistical pair-wise comparison is done to find the probably usefulness of<br />

the information. The results show that there is no difference between the<br />

unit costs of two systems. Therefore it suggests doing more research to<br />

explain the reasons of insignificant differences between ABC and<br />

traditional systems.<br />

Keywords: Activity Based Costing, Traditional Costing, Mehr Bank<br />

JEL Classification: G14; G18; M42.<br />

*Corresponding Author: anazemi@rose.shirazu.ac.ir


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

1. Introduction<br />

After reducing direct material and labor costs in the mid-1970s,<br />

organizations recognized that antiquated information systems were not<br />

meeting their ever-changing management information needs. Many<br />

companies embarked on costing initiatives to focus on indirect<br />

product and service costs. By assigning overhead costs, companies<br />

were able to clearly identify, improve, or divest unprofitable products,<br />

inefficient processes, and poorly performing regions.<br />

There are two approaches in cost determination in accounting<br />

systems: Transitional and Activity Based Costing (ABC). The<br />

traditional method allocates some costs incurred in departments and<br />

uses a few cost drivers to allocate overhead costs. This cause<br />

sometimes miss-allocation and error in decisions. On the other hand<br />

ABC improves the precision of cost allocation by increasing the<br />

number of cost drivers and concentrate to all stages in a life cycle of<br />

products or services.<br />

There are some difficulties in determining service centers such as<br />

banks and financial institutions, because the specification of units<br />

object is more discretionary than in manufacturing units. In this article<br />

the calculation of cost of services is considered in banking industry.<br />

The article is organized as follows: Section 2 describes theoretical<br />

background of the ABC philosophy. Section 3 contains the literature<br />

review in <strong>Iranian</strong> banks. Section 4 describes the methodology<br />

overview and hypothesis. Section five presents the unit cost<br />

components for the banks products and compare the result in two<br />

approaches. Finally, section 6 draws conclusions of the results.<br />

The value added concept drives costs in banking industry. It is<br />

expected that each activity (for example open accounts or money<br />

orders) drives value. Some costs are an integral part of value added<br />

process when providing services to costumers. Some supportive<br />

activities are needed for service providing. IT related costs for internet<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

banking is an example of supportive activity. The determination of<br />

cost of services is one of the most strategies for managers in banking<br />

industry. The information influences the net income numbers. Sapp et<br />

al. [1] argued that three factors influences service fees in banks: costs,<br />

customers and competition. The costs of services include various<br />

items that are fixed or variable in nature. Some items also have fix or<br />

variable nature. The determination of costs of services provides a<br />

basis for determining profitable services and bank fees that can be<br />

received from customers. This subject has also various implications in<br />

privatization and improvement of competitive advantages [2].<br />

Activity-Based Costing (ABC) is an accurate method of assigning<br />

costs to work activities, processes, products/services, customers, and<br />

lines of business. It is based on the notion that efforts required to<br />

produce products and services can be quantified and, therefore,<br />

assigned to the product or service.<br />

Kaplan and Cooper [3] and Johnson [4] introduced ABC as a new<br />

dimension of cost analysis. It has been developed in many<br />

organizations such as service industries. ABC addressed deficiencies<br />

in the traditional cost accounting. ABC is a cost measurement system<br />

that provides the cost of each product, service or customer by<br />

analyzing each activity needed to produce a product or service for the<br />

costumer.<br />

ABC allocates the joint costs in two stages. First, the cost of<br />

activities is determined in this stage. Include: [5]<br />

1. The investigation of service and non service costs.<br />

2. The determination of activities related to provide services.<br />

3. The determination of number of activity centers to collect data.<br />

4. The calculation of costs related to each activity center.<br />

Second, the allocation of costs related to each activity center is<br />

done. To separate services this stage includes:<br />

1. The determination of various service and non service basis to<br />

allocate costs.<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

2. The assignment of costs of activity centers to various objects<br />

and the determination of overhead rate, and<br />

3. The allocation of applied over head rate to the services.<br />

The two-dimensional ABC model structure is presented in figure<br />

1. The cost assignment view is constructed from 3 main building<br />

blocks: [6]<br />

1. Resources are economic elements that are applied or directed to<br />

the performance of activities. They are the sources of costs.<br />

2. Resources flow to activities, which are processes or procedures<br />

that cause work to be performed in an organization.<br />

a. Various factors, which are referred to as resource drivers, are<br />

used to assign the costs of resources to activities.<br />

3. Cost object is any activity, organizational units or other work<br />

unit for which a separate measurement of cost is desired.<br />

Figure 1. The two-dimensional ABC model structure [6]<br />

3. Literature review<br />

3.1. Domestic Evidences<br />

There are a few evidences about ABC application in <strong>Iranian</strong> banks.<br />

Obviously, no banks have reported the establishment of cost systems<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

that show the sufficient information about the structure of costs and<br />

banks services. Therefore it is necessary to suggest an efficient cost<br />

system that is based on the last new advances in cost reporting<br />

methods and new technologies.<br />

Arabmazar and Naseri [7] reported some evidence of<br />

implementing ABC in Refah bank. They calculate the costs of short-<br />

term and long- term deposits and showed that the short-term and zerointerest<br />

deposits (also named Quard- Hassan in Islamic based <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

banks) have more actual costs than expected based on ABC approach.<br />

Anvari Rostami and Rezayat [8] compared the cost of three<br />

Islamic loans in <strong>Iranian</strong> Export Development Bank(IEDB) and<br />

showed that traditional based system allocate the costs of products<br />

based on improper cost drivers, and the products will appear less or<br />

more expensive than actually they are.<br />

Namazi and Nazemi[9] computed and compared the cost per<br />

transaction unit in Electronic banking at <strong>Iranian</strong> Agricultural Bank<br />

using two costing systems(traditional and ABC). They found that the<br />

there is a significant difference between the results of two cost units<br />

based on the two systems. They assessed the results by distributing the<br />

results through the financial managers of the bank and found the<br />

similar results.<br />

3.2. Foriegn Evidences<br />

There are some evidences related to implementation of the ABC in<br />

banking industry.<br />

Kaplan and Anderson [10] introduced the second version of ABC<br />

that they called Time-Driven Activity Based Costing (TDABC). In<br />

contrast with traditional ABC systems, TDABC has at least five<br />

significant differences: [11]<br />

1. Time is the primary cost driver for cost object.<br />

2. TDABC eliminates the first step of the traditional ABC<br />

implementation process: the determination of different activities.<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

3. TDABC simplifies the costing process by eliminating the need<br />

to interview and survey employees for allocating resource costs to<br />

activities before deriving them down to costs objects.<br />

4. Unlike conventional ABC, TDABC also determines unused<br />

capacity by basing the predetermined overhead costs rate upon the<br />

practical capacity<br />

5. TDABC can accommodate complexities of actual production or<br />

services.<br />

Kaplan and Anderson [10] showed two cases (ATB and Comption)<br />

in financial services that use TDABC and improve their profitability.<br />

However there are some evidences that the rate of implementation is<br />

not high in some countries, because of unclear objectives, inadequate<br />

training ABC, and weakness in designing the system, weak<br />

participation and personnel resistance. [11]<br />

In this study the aim is to report the evidence of ABC versus<br />

Traditional costing applications in banking and the usefulness of the<br />

information for making decisions.<br />

4. Methodology and hypothesis<br />

In order to focus on the costing implementation issues, a case<br />

study of <strong>Iranian</strong> Banks is chosen. There are 23 active banks in Iran.<br />

Most of these banks are governmental but the number of private banks<br />

has been increased in recent years. We chose the Mehr bank, because<br />

the availability of the information. It is a bank established sine 2008<br />

particularly for Islamic banking. Islamic banking refers to a system of<br />

banking or banking activity that is consistent with Islamic law<br />

(Shariah) principles. Islamic banks use the same tools and procedures<br />

as traditional (i.e. non-Islamic modern banks) in those areas where<br />

there is no conflict between banking operation and Islamic principles<br />

[12]. The major part of the bank is to provide services as Good Loan<br />

(Qard Hassan). This is a loan by which a borrower is obliged to repay<br />

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Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

the lender only the principal sum borrowed on the loan. The bank is<br />

chosen because it is the firs bank that establish only for providing pure<br />

Islamic banking. It has 300 branches in Iran, 50 branches is at<br />

Khorasan razavi province. We chose 14 branches of the province<br />

based on the availability of information.<br />

We argue that the results of the costing systems may differ because<br />

of different drivers used to allocate the indirect costs between cost<br />

objects. Therefore the hypothesis is mentioned as follows:<br />

Hypothesis: There is a significant difference between the results of<br />

Traditional versus ABC for the products.<br />

To calculate unit costs, the information is collected from financial<br />

general ledger and the IT department of the bank. There are five major<br />

categories to provide the services based on the information. These are<br />

personnel, administrative, deposit interests, bad debts expenses and<br />

overhead costs. Some of the costs are traceable to the products. In this<br />

study the products are categorized into two major parts: loans and<br />

deposits. The deposits also divided into four groups (long term, short<br />

term, Qard Hassan and other current deposits). These are deposit<br />

interests and bad debt expenses. Other expenses including personal<br />

and administrative expenses should be allocated to the products. To<br />

allocate the indirect costs we chose two bases: one is the traditional<br />

costing method and the other is Activity based Costing methods. We<br />

calculate the cost of the products using traditional costing methods<br />

using the average balances of the deposits and loans (as suggested<br />

before in the <strong>Iranian</strong> studies). But when we tried to allocate the<br />

indirect costs based on the ABC method, we consider the percentage<br />

of the costs attributed to the cost objects. Since the major part of the<br />

indirect costs is related to personnel, we try to differentiate the share<br />

of the products from the costs based on the observation and<br />

approximation of the provided services. Next, we allocated the<br />

reminding costs based the percentages calculated from the other costs.<br />

Because of the competitive environment we just reported the<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

comparative results and avoided to show the cost per unit information.<br />

Table 1 show the results of the information relating to the relative<br />

importance of the costs per each service provided.<br />

Table 1-the costs descriptive based on the behavior (direct/indirect) in<br />

percent of total costs<br />

Direct<br />

Costs<br />

Indire<br />

ct Costs<br />

Loan<br />

s<br />

12<br />

Curre<br />

nt<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

145<br />

Quard<br />

Hassan<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

Short<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

55<br />

Long<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

As the table shows the major part of the costs are traceable to the<br />

products. However 16 percent of the costs is not traceable (including<br />

personnel and administrative). We try to examine the results of the<br />

two traditional and ABC methods to allocate these costs.<br />

The result of the allocation is reported in table 2. In the first part<br />

the results of the traditional method is reported. In the second part the<br />

ABC method implemented and the results is reported. To compare the<br />

results the pair wise t statistics is used and the results is reported in the<br />

third section of the table 3. There are not significant differences<br />

between the two mean samples. Pearson correlation coefficient shows<br />

that the null hypothesis is not rejected at the %95 significant level.<br />

Table 2-the allocated costs in traditional and ABC methods, in percent of<br />

5. Conclusion<br />

The results show that there is no significant difference between the<br />

traditional and ABC results. Therefore the null hypothesis is not<br />

rejected. There are some possible reasons for these results. Most of the<br />

expenses in banking industry are related to interest paid to costumers.<br />

May be it reduces the importance of other bank costs that are<br />

7<br />

9<br />

17


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

examined in this article. In this article 14 branches are selected as<br />

samples. Although the samples are good cased to calculate the unit<br />

costs, but increasing the number of samples can provide more useful<br />

results and extend to other branches of the bank. total costs<br />

First part: Traditional Method<br />

Direct<br />

Costs<br />

Indirect<br />

Costs<br />

Loans<br />

12<br />

3.45<br />

Second part: ABC Method<br />

Direct<br />

Costs<br />

Indirect<br />

Costs<br />

Loans<br />

12<br />

2.8<br />

Third Part: Comparison<br />

ABC VS<br />

Traditional<br />

Pair<br />

Comparisons<br />

Current<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

0.087<br />

Current<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

0.003<br />

146<br />

Quard<br />

Hassan<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

0.75<br />

Quard<br />

Hassan<br />

Deposits<br />

-<br />

0.8<br />

Correlation Coefficient<br />

Mean<br />

0.28<br />

0.7<br />

STED<br />

0.31<br />

Short<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

55<br />

9.37<br />

Short<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

t<br />

2<br />

55<br />

8.3<br />

Sig.<br />

0.1<br />

Long<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

17<br />

1.903<br />

Long<br />

term<br />

Deposits<br />

Sig.<br />

17<br />

1.65


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

References:<br />

Sapp, R., Crawford, D. and Rebischke S. Activity Based<br />

Information for Financial Institutions, Journal of Performance<br />

Management, Vol. 18, No. 2, (2005) 22-34.<br />

Mays, J. and Sweeney, R. Activity Based Costing in Banking: A<br />

Case Study, CMA Magazine, May, Vol. 68, No. 4, (1994)19-25.<br />

Kaplan, R. S. and Cooper, R. Measures Cost Right; Make the<br />

Right Decision, Harvard Business Review, September-October,<br />

(1988) 96-103.<br />

Johnson, H. Activity Based Information: A Blueprint for World-<br />

Class Management <strong>Accounting</strong>, Management <strong>Accounting</strong>, June,<br />

(1998) 23-30.<br />

Namazi, M. The Investigation of Activity Based Costing and Its<br />

Behavioral Considerations, <strong>Accounting</strong> and Auditing Review, 7<br />

(1999) 71-106.<br />

Lustsik, O. Can E-banking Services Be Profitable, Working Paper,<br />

Tartu University Press, 2004.<br />

Arabmazar Yazdi, M. and Naseri, M. The Possibility of Designing<br />

a Deposit Cost Model Using ABC: Evidence from Refah Bank,<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Auditing Review, 34 (2004) 3-26.<br />

Anvari Rostami, A. and Rezayat, E. A Profitability Comparison of<br />

Islamic Bank Loans Using ABC and Traditional Methods: Evidence<br />

from Export Development Bank in Iran, <strong>Accounting</strong> and Auditing<br />

Review, 48 (2007) 23-42.<br />

Namazi, and A. Nazemi The Usefulness of Activity Based Costing<br />

and Traditional Costing in Banking Industry: Evidence from<br />

Agricultural Bank in Iran, <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> and Auditing Research,<br />

In Press.<br />

Kaplan, R.S. and Anderson, S. Time Driven Activity Based<br />

Costing: A Simpler and more Powerful Path to Higher Profits,<br />

Harvard Business School Press, (2007) First Ed.<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Namazi, M. Designing the Third Version of the Activity Based<br />

Costing: The Performance- Focused ABC System, Cost Management,<br />

Sept- Oct, (2009) 34-46.<br />

Ali, Muazzam, A Framework of Islamic Banking, in John Presley<br />

Directory of Islamic Financial Institutions, (1988) London, Croom<br />

Helm.<br />

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Empirical Examination of the Relationship Between<br />

"Intellectual Capital" with " the Operating Cash Flow<br />

and Weighted Average Cost of Capital"<br />

Ali Asgar Anvary Rostamy �<br />

Associate Professor, Tarbiat Modares University (TMU)<br />

Chair/Head Department of <strong>Accounting</strong>, Tarbiat Modares University (TMU)<br />

Ramin Zamani Amoghin<br />

Abstract<br />

Master's Degree of <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Mostafa Deljou<br />

Master's Degree of <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Nowadays, in order to maximize achieving goals and strategies,<br />

organizations have to identify, measure and manage their Intangible<br />

Assets (IA). Intellectual Capital (IC) is considered as one of the most<br />

important parts of organizations' IA. On the other hand, considering the<br />

fact that corporations' cost of capital is one of the key factors affecting<br />

capital budgeting, financial decision makings and macro assessment of<br />

corporations' functions, and also due to the fact that "cash flow" is the<br />

ultimate and tangible outcome of a profit unit, this paper is to present the<br />

results of an experimental study on the relation between IC with two<br />

important factors affecting on performance (i.e. operating cash flow and<br />

weighted average cost of capital) in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE)<br />

between 2005 to 2009. Two fundamental hypotheses of this research<br />

*Corresponding Author: zrezaee@memphis.edu


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1. Introduction<br />

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suppose a negative significant relationship between IC and WACC but a<br />

positive significant relationship between IC and corporations' operating<br />

cash flow. The findings confirm the above hypotheses. The results imply<br />

that by enhancing and applying efficient and fruitful management of IC,<br />

corporations' WACC can be expected to be cut back due to the<br />

enhancement of knowledge level, intellectual ability and their becoming<br />

more intelligent on one hand, and their increasing of the operating cash<br />

flow on other. Therefore, utilization of this effective IC for obtaining a<br />

higher financial yields and a better future performance could be suggested.<br />

Keywords: knowledge management, intellectual capital, weighted<br />

average cost of capital, operating cash flow, Q Tobin.<br />

JEL Classification: G14; G18; M42.<br />

By passing the industrial economy and entering a knowledge –<br />

based economy refered to by different names and titles, management<br />

systems, too, are experiencing remarkable metamorphosis and a new<br />

literature on knowledge management is emerging. Draker, the famous<br />

management scholar states, "We are entering a knowledge society in<br />

which important economical resources are on longer financial capital,<br />

natural recourses, work force, etc, but rather it would be the<br />

knowledge. Twenty first century would be the century of knowledge<br />

economy in which knowledge or intellectual capital would receive<br />

more preference as a wealth producing factor in comparison to other<br />

tangible and physical assets. » [4, 15]<br />

In 1980s, market value in proportion to the book value of a<br />

corporation (that is the proportion of corporations' capital value in the<br />

market to the net value of the assets which are announced in their<br />

balance sheets) was one of the motives which attracted the attention of<br />

analysts and researchers. Meanwhile, the concept of intellectual<br />

capital or intangible assets emerged in stock markets in order to<br />

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explain the existence of the difference between corporations' book<br />

value and their true value. Between 1980 to 2000 the average<br />

proportion of market value to the book value of the 500 largest<br />

American corporations increased continually and is now 6 times<br />

greater. In the other words, out of every exchanged 6 dollars of a<br />

corporation in the stock mark, only 1 dollar has been announced in the<br />

balance sheet of that corporation and the other 5 is considered as the<br />

intangible assets of that corporation which are not supposed to be<br />

announced in financial reports of that corporation.[13]<br />

Today everybody agrees that organization performance is not<br />

evaluated or interpreted only based on financial aspects, rather, there<br />

are other factors which guarantee not only the improvement of<br />

financial issues but also the non-financial existence of organizations.<br />

[22] The non-financial issues which have become so remarkably<br />

notable nowadays, are entitled as intangible assets, intellectual capitals<br />

and knowledge-based assets. Today, the intangible aspect of economy<br />

has been based upon the intellectual capital and its initial component<br />

is knowledge and information. To be active in today's' markets,<br />

organization are in need of any type of information and knowledge in<br />

order to improve their own performance.[12]<br />

In the end, it could be said that financial management is in fact<br />

decision making and adopting optimized strategies regarding investing<br />

funds on assets and obtaining optimum financial combination in order<br />

to enhance the overall value of the institute covering all of the issues<br />

put forward on intellectual capital or in the other words, blending<br />

financial management with knowledge management would lead to<br />

increasing the efficiency and finally to optimization of management of<br />

the united business affairs.<br />

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2. Research Theoretical Literature<br />

2.1. Knowledge Management<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Francis Beiken refers to knowledge as power. The power of<br />

knowledge is an important source for maintaining the precious<br />

heritage, learning new things, solving problems, creating competition<br />

nucleus and providing new opportunities for the individual and<br />

organization in present and future.<br />

In the past decades and with the advent of industrial revolution, all<br />

the trends have been directed toward industry, mass production and<br />

suggesting strategies for its development. But now advancing toward<br />

knowledge-based societies is an issue discussed everywhere. With the<br />

emergence of information technology and its influence on all<br />

dimensions of human life, new paradigms are being presented, new<br />

viewpoints are being made in which knowledge-as a valuable source<br />

along with the new sources which were previously focused in<br />

economy (job, land, capital)- is put forward as a valuable asset.<br />

In the new viewpoint, focus on industry has given its place to<br />

focus on knowledge. Organizations not being an exception to this<br />

have accordingly undergone many changes and alterations. As a<br />

result, in the era of growing changes and to attain a competitive<br />

privilege, in order to survive and challenge the fluctuating conditions<br />

of the competition setting, organizations have resulted to applying<br />

modern management tools and strategies. The two components of the<br />

phrase "knowledge management", i.e. "knowledge" and<br />

"management" have combined together aided by the two elements of<br />

technology competence as well as organizational culture to control<br />

organization's collective memory. Knowledge management would<br />

help organizations and corporations boost decision making, have more<br />

flexibility, enhancy optimization, creating new job and business<br />

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opportunities, reduce the expenditures and improve employee<br />

motivation.<br />

Knowledge management could be applied to diverse ranges of<br />

activities including normal, logical, complicated, and unexpected. It<br />

involves less emphasis on whatever we possess, rather more emphasis<br />

on whatever we know. Knowledge management is not about<br />

employees hands, rather it's about their minds. Thus, managers<br />

challenge would be establishing suitable environment for human<br />

growth and development in knowledge-based organizations.<br />

2.2. Intellectual Capital<br />

The scientific and practical foundation of intellectual capital can<br />

be traced back in accounting activates of human resources in 1970s<br />

and 1980s and with the advent of a new type of economy in early<br />

1990s-known as "knowledge-based economy". The concept of<br />

intellectual capital was developed by some pioneer writers in 1990s<br />

and many things were written about it.<br />

In early 1990s the concept of intellectual capital or intangible<br />

assets emerged in stock markets to explain the existence of the<br />

difference between the book value of offices and their true value. As<br />

an example, in his best-seller Intellectual capital (Sveiby, Stewart,<br />

1997; Edvinson & Malone, 1997), Thomas Stewart (the former editor<br />

of Fortune Daily), has referred to knowledge as the heating nucleus of<br />

competitive weapons and the new wealth of today's organizations,<br />

considering it to be more precious and powerful than organizations<br />

physical resources. It could be said that the advent of knowledge<br />

economy has led to the enhancement of the popularity of intellectual<br />

capitals as a research topic.<br />

Micheal Haw, in an article published in 2001 entitled "the<br />

emergence of modern technologies and their application in<br />

organization's intellectual capitals" stated; "Cost accounting measures<br />

a creative economy with the tool of a production ". Based economy<br />

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for example, the items on traditional balance sheets are not to be<br />

trusted, for knowledge-based assets would rapidly become outdated.<br />

A large number of management economics and accounting<br />

scholars and scientists have studied intellectual capital and its<br />

different aspects, presenting different definitions about intellectual<br />

asset with some of which we will become acquainted. [8]<br />

Intellectual capital has a transitory and flowing nature and will<br />

assist the organization on entering the competitive environment once<br />

it is discovered and used by the organization. [5]<br />

Intellectual capital consists of the sum of an organization's<br />

members and the conversion of the practical function of the<br />

knowledge of organization's members.<br />

Intellectual capital is obtained by the difference sum of a<br />

commercial unit's market value and its assets substitution costs.[18]<br />

Intellectual capital is the searching and keeping on efficient<br />

application of knowledge in comparison to information. [19]<br />

Intellectual capital consists of a wide organizational knowledge<br />

being exclusive to every single corporation allowing the corporation<br />

to adjust continuously to the fluctuating conditions. [14, 16]<br />

2.3. Components of intellectual capital<br />

Brouking's pattern, is a distinguishing one in the field of<br />

intellectual capital developed in 1996. According to her idea,<br />

intellectual capital consists of: [7]<br />

Market Assets (customer assets): All market's intangible assets<br />

such as business brands, customers, customer's loyalty, distribution<br />

channels, orders, etc.<br />

Human-based Assets: Skills and experiences, problem-solving<br />

abilities, approaches and leadership capabilities, plus every other<br />

property institutionalized in employees.<br />

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Intellectual Ownership assets: Tricks and secrets, business brands,<br />

patents, and every other intangible asset which is capable of being<br />

supported by the law of spiritual ownership rights.<br />

Infrastructural Assets: Includes all technologies, procedures, and<br />

methodologies enabling an organization on proper performance.<br />

Infrastructural<br />

Assets<br />

Organization/Corporation Objevtives<br />

Intellectual Assets<br />

Intellectual<br />

ownership<br />

Assets<br />

155<br />

Humanbased<br />

Assets<br />

Market/customers<br />

Assets<br />

Figure 1: Brouking's classification of intellectual assets<br />

A featured in Figure 1, Brouking has classified intellectual assets<br />

into 4 categories. A list of items classified in each of these categories<br />

will be presented. These components of intellectual assets components<br />

are items frequently referred to as intellectual assets. Unfortunately<br />

the present accounting system recognizes only intellectual ownership<br />

as the component to be mentioned in balance sheet, other components<br />

being simply ignored. However, it should be noted that these ignored<br />

components of the intellectual asset are in fact the same motives<br />

creating value and competition privilege for the corporation or<br />

organization.


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Table1: Four components of Intellectual Assets<br />

Human<br />

Capital<br />

Communication<br />

Capital<br />

(customers)<br />

Organizational (Infrastructure)<br />

Capitals<br />

Intellectua Substructure<br />

l Asset Capitals<br />

- Tricks and - business brands - Patents - Management<br />

secrets - Customers (Names, - Royalty philosophy<br />

- Educations Purchase Records) - Designing - Common culture<br />

- Job<br />

- Customer's loyalty Rights - common values<br />

preparations and Trust<br />

- Business - Management<br />

- Job related - Customer's influence Secrets processes<br />

knowledge and Vastness - Business - Information<br />

-Psychological - Corporations names brand<br />

systems<br />

assessments - In Advance Sales -Product - Network systems<br />

- Job related - Distribution channels appearance - Financial<br />

qualification - Business<br />

relations<br />

- Patterns and Cooperation's<br />

- Corporation's<br />

frameworks (Common<br />

strategies<br />

- Cultural Investments)<br />

- Corporation's<br />

diversity - License grant<br />

methods<br />

Agreements<br />

- Sale tools<br />

- Favorable contracts<br />

- Knowledge Bases<br />

- Agreements of<br />

- Specialized teams<br />

establishment<br />

privileges<br />

and networks<br />

2.4. The concept of weighted Average cost of capital<br />

Conceptually, a corporation's capital cost consists of the cost of<br />

investor's chance for investment on that corporation. The estimate of<br />

weighted average cost of capital in the corporation, is an attempt to<br />

quantify the average preference as expected by all the corporation's<br />

investors, including: the indebtedness related to short term and long<br />

term creditors on which interest is accrued, preferred and common<br />

stockholders. Corporation's cost of capital calculated based on<br />

weighted average whose weights will be determined based on the<br />

values of investment's different resources.<br />

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The concept of investment cost is based on the assumption that the<br />

goal of a corporation equals maximizing stock holder's wealth. Each<br />

corporation has its own risk and preference (of course the kind of<br />

corporation whose aim is obtaining some profit). Each of the investor<br />

groups, for example holders of savings bond, and, preferred and<br />

common stock, are after the amount of productivity rate which is<br />

worth their risk. Cost of capital is the minimum preference rate<br />

obtained by the corporation to supply the corporation investors with<br />

the expected preference. The most important application of cost of<br />

capital could be probably defined as follows:<br />

If a corporation's investment efficiency rate is more than its cost of<br />

capital and if this amount of efficiency increases, investor's wealth<br />

will increase. Its reason is said to be that if the corporation's efficiency<br />

rate becomes more than its cost of capital, the owners of bond and<br />

proffered stock will archive the expected fixed rate of efficiency, then<br />

the remaining rate of efficiency will accrue on common stock holders<br />

which would be more than their expected rate of efficiency.<br />

According to the second definition of cost of capital, it would be<br />

associated to the capital budgeting process. The cost of capital would<br />

be defined as the discount rate which is applied to evaluating and<br />

judging different investment projects. The corporation's value will<br />

increase if those projects with higher efficiency rate than the<br />

corporation's cost of capital are accepted by them. In the same way,<br />

the corporation's value will decrease if project's efficiency rate are less<br />

than the corporation's cost of capital. So, the other application of cost<br />

of capital would be the evaluation of capital projects.<br />

2.5. Cash Flow Statement<br />

Balance sheet shows the financial structure of a business unit<br />

within a specific time frame. Meanwhile the need for a separate<br />

financial statement exhibiting cash management is completely felt.<br />

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Cash flow statement-as one of the main financial statements-plays<br />

this role. Cash flow is the final and tangible result of a profit unit's<br />

performance. On the other hand, according to Disclosure Principle,<br />

providing all the potentially useful data and its advantages is more<br />

necessary than the cost of providing the data. So, providing cash flow<br />

statement as of the beneficial information bases in predicting cash<br />

flows with a low cost of preparation and presentation along with other<br />

basic financial statements have been taken into account. This financial<br />

statement provides useful information in the format of operating cash<br />

flows, investment cash flows, and financing cash flows.<br />

These information would help evaluate future cash flows,<br />

liquidity, solvency, and the financial flexibility of economical units.<br />

The Financial <strong>Accounting</strong> Standards Committee rendered necessary<br />

preparing and reporting the cash flow statement in 1987. Statement of<br />

changes in Financial Position in which changes in account balance, in<br />

debt ness, indebtedness, and the rights of capital owners were<br />

reported, was replaced by cash flow statement. Cash flow statement<br />

depicts the profit unit's cash circulation and is in fact an important step<br />

toward cash flows accountings. Historical information related to cash<br />

flow could have a crucial role in judging about the price, timing and<br />

ambiguities related to future cash flows.<br />

Information mentioned in this basic financial statement indicates<br />

the nature of the relation between economical unit's profit-making and<br />

its capability in making cash. Based on the fact that the items included<br />

on cash flows statement are exposed to changes of accounting's<br />

optional methods, this financial statement enjoys a high unvarying<br />

level among economical units, having a high ability of data<br />

comparison accordingly.<br />

The results of some researches indicates the fact that the<br />

desirability of the information based on cash flows is much higher<br />

than that of the promissory information in predicting and decisionmaking.<br />

The result of more comprehensive researches shows that if<br />

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the data included on cash flow statement are focused and analyzed<br />

simultaneously along with other financial statements, much more<br />

beneficial data will be provided.<br />

2.6. Research Literature<br />

The first experimental study of intellectual capital measurement<br />

was carried out by a Sweden association in mid 1980s, after which<br />

many researches were done within [17, 6] or among [21] countries to<br />

determine corporation's intellectual capital conditions. Joya's<br />

documentary researches showed the attempt to include intellectual<br />

capital on the balance sheet is a logical concept and Joya's researches<br />

proved this to be totally scientific.[11]<br />

Garcia and Martinez (2007) in an experimental study proceeded to<br />

examine the relation between intellectual capital information used in<br />

investment decision-makings on Spanish corporations.[9]<br />

Shen Tai and Chen-Tung (2008) presented a new model for<br />

evaluating intellectual capital performance using a combination of 2tuple<br />

phase approach with Multi-Conversional Decision Making<br />

technique (MCDM) and tested it on specialized advanced corporations<br />

in Taiwan.[20]<br />

Young Chu, et. al (2006) studied the relation between intellectual<br />

capital components with value/performance, specialized advanced<br />

industries of Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI) and<br />

concluded that, first there is a significant positive relationship between<br />

intellectual capital components and corporation's performance, and<br />

second, increasing the intellectual capital involves the process of<br />

creating value and their strategic saving on corporations. [24]<br />

Hong Pew Tan et. al (2007) in their research have examined the<br />

relation between intellectual capital with corporations' financial<br />

efficiency. The results indicate that, first, there is a significant positive<br />

relationship between intellectual capital and corporations' present and<br />

future financial efficiency, second, the effect of intellectual capital on<br />

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corporations' financial efficiency in different industries are different.<br />

[10]<br />

There are a lot of research in Iran on IC. One of them that has been<br />

is implemented by Anvary Rostamy and Rostamy in 2002. They<br />

studied several measurement models of measuring IC. [2]<br />

Based on the above-mentioned issues pointing at examining the<br />

relation of intellectual capital with the activities of commercial units,<br />

we realize that intellectual capital has influence on corporation's<br />

performance evaluation indexes. So by identification of the type and<br />

amount of the effects, we could proceed to have a better management<br />

of the units.<br />

3. Research Methodology<br />

The present study is an applied correlation type research. To<br />

achieve the desired information and to make the research executive,<br />

all the related websites such as those of the stock exchange and bonds<br />

and investment companies were reviewed, also related articles, books<br />

and documents were used.<br />

The time period of the research starts from early 2005 until the end<br />

of the financial year 2009.<br />

3.1. Subjects and Research Theories<br />

The subjects of this research include all Tehran's stock exchange<br />

companies possessing the following qualifications:<br />

The final point of financial year must be in March (Esfand-the last<br />

month of <strong>Iranian</strong> year) to cause increasing or maintaining the ability<br />

of comparison of the achieved financial data.<br />

On the whole, bank industries, credit agencies and other financial<br />

institutes must not be financial mediation or investments because the<br />

kind of their activity is different from that of the other industries.<br />

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No trading pause of more than 3 months must have occurred<br />

during research period so that it wouldn't have been considered as the<br />

cost quotation of the common stock.<br />

The required financial data related to the period between 2005 to<br />

2009 must have been presented and available to stock market.<br />

The hypotheses of this research are as follows:<br />

Hypothesis 1: There is a negative and significant relationship<br />

between intellectual capital (IC) and weighted average cost of capital<br />

(WACC).<br />

Hypothesis 2: There is a positive and significant relationship<br />

between intellectual capital (IC) and cash flow operations (CFO) of<br />

corporations.<br />

3.2. Variable Measurement Methodology<br />

Measuring intellectual capital, "Tobin's q"<br />

"Tobin's q" method was developed by James Tobin (1978)-the<br />

economy Nobel winner. This proportion measures the relation<br />

between the market value of a corporation and its replacement value<br />

(the cost of that corporation's replacement). Theoretically, this<br />

proportion tends toward the unit in the long run, but experimental<br />

evidences show that at the same time, this proportion could be<br />

significantly different with the number one. For example software<br />

companies which highly enjoy intellectual capital, have a proportion<br />

of about 7 or more whereas the companies with abundant physical<br />

capital have a proportion of about one. Q-Tobin proportion is<br />

basically similar to the proportion of market to value, but with this<br />

difference that Tobin while calculating, applies the replacement cost<br />

of the physical assets instead of their book values. The obtained<br />

proportion is used in such a way that if the "q" proportion of a<br />

company is more than the "unit" sum and if it is more than the<br />

competitive "q", then that company has the ability of gaining more<br />

interest than similar companies.[23]<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

naturally are not directly communicable with other classes of cash<br />

flows on statement of cash flows.<br />

Since according to Iran's accounting standards, statements of cash<br />

flows are reported in 5 separate topics, the amount of cash gained<br />

from the operating activities which was applied as the dependent<br />

variable in this research has been extracted from the topic of the<br />

operating activities included on statement of cash flows of the<br />

statistical sample companies.<br />

3.3 Data Analysis and Results of Hypotheses Testing<br />

To analyze the data gained from this study, statistical methods of<br />

"Correlation analysis" and "Regression analysis" were applied; the<br />

former to determine the type and the amount of association among the<br />

variables, and the latter to determine the effect of independent<br />

variables on dependent variables. Also, due to the fact that a large<br />

number of independent variables affect the two assessment indexes of<br />

performance and also because only one of these factors, ie, intellectual<br />

capital has been examined using Dourbin-Watson Test (D.W), the<br />

amount of the correlation of independent factors which affects<br />

variables (weighted average cost of capital and operating cash flow)<br />

were measured. [1,3]<br />

Based on these analyses, the results of hypothesis testing are as<br />

follows:<br />

Hypothesis 1: There is a negative and significant relationship<br />

between intellectual capital (IC) and weighted average cost of capital<br />

(WACC).<br />

sample.<br />

Hypothe<br />

sis<br />

Table 2: Statistical Results of Hypothesis Testing 1 for the whole<br />

Independ<br />

ent<br />

Dependa<br />

nt<br />

Correlati<br />

on Rate<br />

R 2<br />

163<br />

Ttest<br />

B<br />

standa<br />

Sig.<br />

*<br />

D.W Result


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1 IC<br />

Variable Variable rd<br />

WAC<br />

C<br />

-0.335<br />

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164<br />

.09<br />

5<br />

-<br />

2.56<br />

2<br />

-<br />

0.33<br />

5<br />

.01<br />

3<br />

2.20<br />

4<br />

confirm<br />

ed<br />

*<br />

Regression Correlation is significant at 0.05 level.<br />

Based on the results of statistical testing of this hypothesis, it could<br />

be said that «IC» has a negative and significant effect on the<br />

investigated corporation's WACC at the significance level of %5. So,<br />

the research hypothesis is confirmed at the confidence level of 0.95 in<br />

the investigated corporations. Of course, this effect is calculated<br />

weakly, which means %95 of corporations' WACC changes is due to<br />

their IC. On the other hand, DW testing, has been calculated for the<br />

regression model showing number 2.204. since this amount stands<br />

within the numerical interval (1.5-2.5), the lack of correlation in error<br />

components of the regression model confirms the above model.<br />

Hypothesis 2: There is a positive and significant relationship<br />

between intellectual capital (IC) and cash flow operations (CFO) of<br />

corporations.<br />

Table 3: Statistical Results of Hypothesis Testing 2 for the Whole<br />

Sample.<br />

Hypoth<br />

esis<br />

Indepen<br />

dent<br />

Variable<br />

Depen<br />

dant<br />

Variabl<br />

e<br />

Correla<br />

tion<br />

Rate<br />

2 IC OCF 0.583<br />

R 2<br />

0.3<br />

40<br />

Ttest<br />

0.5<br />

83<br />

B<br />

stand<br />

ard<br />

13.35<br />

9<br />

Sig<br />

. *<br />

0.0<br />

00<br />

D.<br />

W<br />

1.7<br />

04<br />

Result<br />

confir<br />

med<br />

* Regression Correlation is significant at 0.05 level.<br />

Based on the results of statistical testing of this hypothesis, it<br />

could be said that IC has a positive and significant effect on the<br />

investigate corporations in Tehran's stock market at %5 level of<br />

significance. Therefore, hypothesis 2 is confirmed at the confidence<br />

level of 0.95 in investigated corporations. The correlation amount<br />

0.583 indicates the existence of a relatively strong and positive<br />

relationship between these two variables, however the determining co


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

efficiency shows a weak effect. This means that %34 of corporations'<br />

OCF changes are due to their IC. The rest would be explained through<br />

variables other than IC. On the other hand, DW test has been<br />

calculated for the regression model of the first hypothesis, showing<br />

number 1.7. since this amount stands within the numerical interval<br />

(1.5-2.5), the lack of correlation in error components of the regression<br />

model confirms the above model.<br />

4. Conclusions and Final Remarks<br />

This research was carried out in order to investigate<br />

experimentally the relationship between (IC) and the two items (OCF)<br />

and (WACC) of performance assessment indexes of admitted<br />

corporations at Tehran's stock market. The results showed that there is<br />

a significant relationship between IC and WACC and also OCF of the<br />

investigate corporations. The results obtained from hypotheses testing<br />

of the study presented briefly on figures 2 and 3, indicates the<br />

significant and reverse relationship between IC and WACC, also the<br />

significant and positive relationship between IC and OCF of the<br />

investigate corporations. This means that changes in the IC of<br />

corporations would result in their WACC changes reversely, and on<br />

the other hand OCFs will increase by IC's increasing, that is, if the<br />

business unit utilizes its available ICs efficiently, it can increase stock<br />

holder's wealth in such a way that the unit's risk would not increase. In<br />

other words, if the preference rate of the investment of a corporation is<br />

more than its cost of capital without the risk level increasing, stock<br />

holders' wealth will increase and this will be due to the increasing of<br />

the cash obtained from corporations' operations. This issue is justified<br />

by the fact that by efficient utilizing of corporations IC, their<br />

preference rate will be more than their cost of capital. (By properly<br />

using business unit's assets, also by decreasing the usage of financial<br />

resources with high interests and finally by proper management, it is<br />

possible to provide low interest financial resources.); thus, bond<br />

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holders and preferred stock holders would gain the desired fixed<br />

preference rate and the remaining of the preference rate will accrue on<br />

common stock holders which will be more than their expected<br />

preference rate. Therefore by using intellectual capitals and applying<br />

knowledge management, the cash gained through unit's operation will<br />

increase, so will stock holders wealth. In the end it can be said that<br />

when corporations' IC increases, OCF increases too, on the contrary,<br />

their WACC decreases.<br />

References<br />

Azar. A; Momeni. M. (2002) "Statistics and Its Application in<br />

Management" , Samt Publication, Tehran, Iran. (In Persian)<br />

Anvary Rostamy, A. A. and Rostamy, M. R. (2002), "Appraising<br />

Companies' Intellectual Capital Models and Methods" The <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Audit Review Journal, No. 34, pp 51-57.<br />

Bazargan, A., Sarmad, Z. and Hejazi. E. (2001), "Research<br />

Methods in Behavioral Science", Nashre Agah Publication Fifth<br />

Edition (In Persian)<br />

Bonits, N. (1998), "Intellectual Capital: An exploratory Study<br />

that Develops Measures and Model", Managing Decision Vol. 36,<br />

No. 2, pp. 63-76.<br />

Bonits, N. (1996), "Managing Intellectual Capital<br />

Strategically", Business Quarterly Summer, pp. 41-47.<br />

Brennan, N. (2001)," Reporting Intellectual Capital in <strong>Annual</strong><br />

Reports: Evidence from Ireland, <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing &<br />

Accountability Journal, 14 (4), pp. 423–436.<br />

Brooking, A. (1997), "Intellectual Capital", International<br />

Thompson Business Press, London.<br />

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Edvinson, L. and Malone, M. (1997).” Intellectual Capital:<br />

Realizing Your Company's True Value by Finding Its Hidden<br />

Brain Power”, Harper Business, New York.<br />

García-Meca, Emma, and Isabel, Martíne Z. (2007), "The Use of<br />

Intellectual Capital Information in Investment Decisions: An<br />

Empirical Study Using Analyst Reports, Available online at:<br />

www.sciencedirect.com , The International Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> 42,<br />

pp. 57–81<br />

Hong Pew Tan, David Plowman and Phil Hancock,( 2007), "<br />

Intellectual Capital and Financial Returns of Companies ,The<br />

Graduate School of Management, University of Western Australia,<br />

Crawley, Australia , The current issue and full text archive of this<br />

journal is available at www.emeraldinsight.com/1469-1930.htm ,<br />

Journal of Intellectual Capital , Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 76-95<br />

Joia, L. A. (2000), “Measuring Intangible Corporate Assets<br />

Linking Business Strategy with Intellectual Capital”, Journal of<br />

Intellectual Capital, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 68-84.<br />

Khavandkar J. and Motaghi A. (2007) "Intellectual Capital,<br />

Management, Development and Evaluation Methods" Iran<br />

Education and Research Center Publication, Second edition (In<br />

Persian)<br />

Lev, B. (2001), "Intangibles: Management, Measurement and<br />

Reporting, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC .<br />

Mouritsen, J. (1998), "Driving growth: Economic Value Added<br />

Versus Intellectual Capital, Management <strong>Accounting</strong> Research,<br />

9(4), pp. 461<br />

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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Marr, B. G. (2003), "Intellectual Capital and Knowledge<br />

Management Effectiveness. Management Decision , Vol. 41, No 3,<br />

pp.771-791.<br />

Mouritesen, J. (2000), "Driving Growth: Economic Value<br />

Added Versus Intellectual Capital", Denmark, Copenhagen,<br />

Business School.<br />

Olsson, B. (2001), "<strong>Annual</strong> Reporting Practices: Information<br />

about Human Resources in Corporate <strong>Annual</strong> Reports in Major<br />

Swedish Companies, Journal of HRCA, 6 (1),pp. 39–52.<br />

Roos, J. (1997), "Intellectual Capital: Navigating in the New<br />

Business Landscape", Macmillan Business London.<br />

Seetharaman, A., Sooria , H., Savavanan, A., (2002),<br />

"Intellectual Capital <strong>Accounting</strong> and Reporting in the Knowledge<br />

Economy", Journal of Intellectual Capital, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 128-<br />

148.<br />

Shen Tai, Wei and Chen, Chen-Tung (2008), " A New Evaluation<br />

Model for Intellectual Capital Based on Computing with<br />

Linguistic Variable, Contents Lists Available at Science Direct<br />

Expert Systems with Applications, Journal homepage:<br />

www.elsevier.com/locate/eswa.<br />

Subbarao A.V., D. Zeghal (1997)," Human Resources<br />

Information Disclosure in <strong>Annual</strong> Reports: An International<br />

Comparison, journal of HRCA , 2 (2), pp. 53–73.<br />

Tehrani, R. Rahnama, R. (2007), "Financial Statement Analysis"<br />

Negahe Danesh Publication (In Persian)<br />

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Tobin, J. (1978), "Monetary Policies and the Economy: The<br />

Transmission Mechanism", Southern Economic Journal, Chapel<br />

Hill.<br />

Young Chu, Ling Lin, Po Yu, Hsing Hwa Hsiung, Tzu Yar Liu ,<br />

(2006) Intellectual Capital: An Empirical Study of ITRI ;<br />

Available online at :www.sciencedirect.com, Technological<br />

Forecasting & Social Change, 73, pp. 886–902 .<br />

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The competitive pricing of audit services in a non-<br />

Big 4 market<br />

Abstract<br />

Azizkhani masoud<br />

Assistant Professor OF Ilam University<br />

This study examines audit pricing in a market characterized by increasing<br />

competition for the supply of audit services but without the presence of large<br />

international audit firms. Using traditional audit fee modelling, we find that, in<br />

the absence of international “brand names”, audit firm size or market power is<br />

still associated with audit fee premia. We also find that increased competition in<br />

the supply side of audit services following regulatory changes resulted in lower<br />

audit prices. These results have implications for the consequences of increasing<br />

the number of audit firms. This study extends the audit fee literature by<br />

examining how increased competition in the audit market affects the pricing of<br />

audit services in emerging markets.<br />

Keywords: Audit fees, Audit fee premium, Auditor competition<br />

JEL Classification: G14; G18; M42.


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

1- Introduction<br />

Studies of the pricing of audit services have documented<br />

significant variations in audit fees in relation to auditor characteristics<br />

and clients’ characteristics in many markets. In the large majority of<br />

countries previously examined, irrespective of their development<br />

status, the market for audit services are lead by, if not dominated by,<br />

international audit firms or their affiliates. We extend this literature by<br />

examining the pricing of audit fees in an audit market from which<br />

international audit firms are excluded by regulation.<br />

The extant audit fee literature is focused on markets that include,<br />

and usually dominated by, Big N audit firms. A persistent feature of<br />

this literature is that Big N auditors earn higher audit fees than non-<br />

Big N auditors, which has long been interpreted as a support for the<br />

“auditor size” hypothesis, whereby actual or perceived audit quality is<br />

differentiated by auditor size (e.g., Francis 1984; Francis and Stokes<br />

1986; Palmrose 1986; Francis and Wilson 1988; Ahmed and<br />

Houghton 1996). Large international accounting firms (Big N) are<br />

excluded from the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market, providing a particularly rich<br />

and interesting natural experiment in which we can examine the<br />

emergence of larger audit firms in an increasingly competitive market,<br />

and how size and reputation affects audit fees. We are able to examine<br />

the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market dynamics in relation to reputation effects and<br />

market power because <strong>Iranian</strong> auditors do not have to price any civil<br />

litigation risk. Prior research argues that when the litigation risk is<br />

high, auditors will continuously assess their exposure to lawsuits and<br />

incorporate that assessment into the audit plan or pricing of audit<br />

services (Seetharaman et al. 2002; Chaney et al 2004). As we explain<br />

in section 2, the legal liability of auditors in Iran is very limited. Their<br />

main legal exposure is prosecution under criminal provisions in the<br />

<strong>Iranian</strong> Trade Law, but to date, there are no reported prosecutions.<br />

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Third, the traditional auditing literature exhibits a major interest in<br />

competition effects. This ranges from the effects of competition on<br />

audit fees and fee consequences of overcapacity in audit firms<br />

(increased competition) following corporate failures during the late<br />

1980s (Beattie and Fearnley 1998b), to the consequences of reduced<br />

competition associated with emergent market domination of Big N<br />

audit firms (e.g., Gilling and Stanton 1978; Wolk et al. 2001;<br />

Kohlbeck et al. 2008; Asthana et al. 2009). This focus on supply-side<br />

phenomenon is complemented by a substantial part of the competition<br />

literature being concerned with declining competition resulted from<br />

increased concentration in supply as the number of Big N firms<br />

declined (e.g., Johnson and Lys 1990; GAO 2003; Wolosky 2003;<br />

Bloom and Schirm 2005). Recently, regulators are concerned about<br />

the consequences of increased concentration in audit markets on the<br />

pricing of audit services and called for increasing the competition in<br />

the audit market (House of Lords Report 2011). Prior research on<br />

audit fees is focused largely on mature audit and capital markets such<br />

as the US, UK and Australia, where competition in these markets is<br />

characterized by relatively stable level, but with increases in<br />

concentration and implied reduction in competition in the large client<br />

sector that is dominated by big international accounting firms (e.g.,<br />

Pong 1999; Wolk et al. 2001). The <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market experienced a<br />

regulatory licensing change in early 2002 which lead to an increase in<br />

the number of audit firms engaged by firms listed on the Tehran Stock<br />

Exchange (hereafter TSE), and in turn, rapid growth in audit market<br />

competition. This provides a novel opportunity to examine how this<br />

increased competition affects the pricing of audit fees.<br />

The main objectives of this study are as follows: (1) examining the<br />

pricing of audit fees in the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market to investigate whether<br />

there is a fee premium for the “size” of the auditor; and (2) examining<br />

the effect of increased level of competition in the audit market on the<br />

pricing of audit services.<br />

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The reminder of this is organized as follows. We next describe the<br />

<strong>Iranian</strong> audit market environment. We then review the prior literature<br />

on audit fees. The fourth section describes the research methodology<br />

and the sample. The findings are summarized in the fifth section.<br />

Finally, the research conclusions and its limitations are presented.<br />

2- The <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market<br />

In general, the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market is different from markets of<br />

emerging economies in the world or even in the region. First, from the<br />

demand side, article 144 of the <strong>Iranian</strong> Trade law requires public<br />

companies to appoint a certified auditor which must be selected from<br />

those accredited auditors authorized by the Economic Ministry 1 . The<br />

TSE was established in 1967 and grew to 105 listed companies at the<br />

time of the Islamic Revolution in February 1979. Following the<br />

revolution, all banks and insurance companies and many heavy<br />

industry companies were fully nationalized. Other not fully<br />

nationalized companies were transferred to, and controlled by the<br />

government when private sector owners abandoned or forfeited their<br />

interests in these companies and through the government-owned banks<br />

acting on debt defaults. All audit services for these government<br />

controlled companies were assigned to government auditors,<br />

culminating with the establishment of the <strong>Iranian</strong> Auditing<br />

Organization (IAO) in 1987. Beside the IAO, there are small private<br />

audit firms which are certified by the Economic Ministry and are<br />

allowed to provide audit services to non-government controlled firms.<br />

Also after the revolution, large International accounting firms are<br />

banned from operating and providing audit services in Iran.<br />

To stimulate economic recovery, the <strong>Iranian</strong> government<br />

implemented a privatization policy to transfer ownership of public<br />

sector companies to the private sector through a series of five-year<br />

Plans (Davani, 2003, TSE, 2003). The first five-year Plan (1989-1993)<br />

required the government to transfer ownership of nationalized and<br />

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State industrial units (excluding strategic industries) to private sector<br />

shareholders (Roudaki, 1996, Ebadi, 1995). This resulted in an<br />

increase in the number of companies listed on the TSE grew from less<br />

than 60 firms prior to 1990 to 201 firms by 1995. The second fiveyear<br />

Plan (1995-1999) was a continuation of the first Plan with the<br />

number of TSE listed firms increased to 296 in 1999. By that time,<br />

and due to the large increase in the demand side, the IAO was unable<br />

to provide audit services to the variety of government controlled<br />

entities and was not suited to audit the increasing number of profitseeking<br />

companies post-1989 (Moulkaraei, 2005). This resulted in a<br />

high audit report delays, especially for government-controlled firms.<br />

In 1993, the Act “Using services of Certified Public Accountants”<br />

which allows certified public accountants to practice and provide audit<br />

services to the public sector was passed by the Parliament but due to<br />

unknown reasons was not effective till late 2001. With the<br />

establishment of the <strong>Iranian</strong> Certified Public Accountants (IACPA) in<br />

late 2001, the audit market experienced a large increase in the number<br />

of audit firms which are allowed to provide audit services to the<br />

market 2 . This Act also allows TSE listed firms to choose their auditor<br />

from the members of the ICPA (either the IAO 3 or private audit<br />

firms), regardless of their ownership structure (Davani 2003).<br />

The establishment of the IACPA in 2001 leads to a change in the<br />

supply side of the audit market by increasing the number of audit<br />

firms providing audit services in the market. In late 2001, from the<br />

402 issued licensed, 309 auditors were sole practitioners, mostly<br />

providing services to small non-listed clients, and 93 were in<br />

partnership, which are more likely potential competitors for the audits<br />

of listed companies (Bagherpour et al. 2011). From 2001-2003, there<br />

was a 38% increase in the number of licensed private sector auditors<br />

who were principals in private sector audit firms (Bagherpour et al.<br />

2011). This trend suggests a substantial increase in competition for<br />

audit clients in the audit market. This provided greater opportunity for<br />

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companies to select an auditor that was a better match to their needs.<br />

As a consequence, the audit market moved from a market dominated<br />

by the IAO to a market with many more auditors, potentially offering<br />

a wider range of quality and services. The market share of the IAO<br />

decreased from 73% in 1998 to 24% in 2004, two years after the<br />

establishment of the IACPA (Azizkhani 2010).<br />

Also, the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market is different from other markets in a<br />

way that it is an emerging market with limited shareholder protection.<br />

Big International accounting firms are not operating in the audit<br />

market and local audit firms are not affiliated with international audit<br />

firms. There is a rapid growth in audit market competition as<br />

evidenced by a 100 percent growth in the number of auditors engaged<br />

by companies listed on the TSE from 2000-2003 (Azizkhani 2010). In<br />

addition, the <strong>Iranian</strong> Code of Law does not expose auditors to a<br />

litigation risk other than prosecution by the State under criminal<br />

provisions, which eliminates the insurance hypothesis.<br />

Third, the litigation risk against auditors in Iran is low. This may<br />

have an impact on the pricing of audit services. Prior research on audit<br />

fees shows that as the expected losses from imposition of legal<br />

liabilities increases, the audit fees will increase (Beaty 1993). In Iran,<br />

there are only two potential risks for auditors, who do not follow the<br />

professional rules set by the IACPA in their audits: 1) a penalty<br />

imposed by the quality control committee of the IACPA that reviews<br />

audit works; and 2) revoking audit firm’s license as the SEO’s<br />

“trusted auditor” by the peer review Audit committee in the SEO who<br />

reviews audit reports of TSE listed firms 4 . Under the IACPA rules, the<br />

quality control committee monitors and reviews the quality of audits<br />

performed by IACPA members on a sample basis and at least one<br />

audit report of any member should be reviewed within a 3 years<br />

period. The penalties applied to auditors with imperfect audits are not<br />

severe and are limited to banning the auditor from audit works for a<br />

number of years 5 . Although the statutory requirements for an audit<br />

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identify shareholders as the intended recipient of reports, they do not<br />

lead to a recognizable duty of care or direct liability from the implied<br />

relationship between auditors and shareholders and <strong>Iranian</strong> law does<br />

not provide for civil action against auditors to recover damages. The<br />

primary legal exposure for auditors in Iran is prosecution under<br />

criminal provisions in the <strong>Iranian</strong> Trade Law; however, we are not<br />

aware of any such prosecutions to date. The absence of civil litigation<br />

risk for <strong>Iranian</strong> auditors may have an impact on the pricing of audit<br />

services. Seetharaman et al. (2002) show that auditors adjust their<br />

audit fees upward to reflect increases in their litigation liability.<br />

3- Literature review<br />

Starting with Simunic innovative paper (1980), there is extant<br />

body of literature examining factors associated with pricing audit<br />

services. The main objective of these studies was to identify factors<br />

that have an impact on the pricing of audit services. The results of<br />

studies in the US (e.g., Simunic 1984; Francis and Simon 1987;<br />

Palmrose 1996; Gist 1992), the UK (Taylor and Baker 1981; Taffler<br />

and Ramalinggam 1982; Chan et al. 1993; Chaney et al. 2004),<br />

Australia (Francis 1984; Francis and Stokes 1986; Craswell and<br />

Francis 1999; Boon et al. 2005), New Zealand (Firth 1985; Johnston<br />

et al. 1995), Canada (Chung and Lindsay 1988; Anderson and Zeghal<br />

1994), Japan (Taylor 1997), Singapore (Low et al. 1990), Hong Kong<br />

(Defond et al. 2000), India (Simon et al. 1986), and Pakistan ( Simon<br />

and Taylor 1997), tried to establish the association between audit fees<br />

and variables related to client’s; size, complexity, and risk.<br />

Findings in prior research indicate that the most important factor in<br />

explaining the level of audit fees is the size of the audittee. The idea is<br />

that auditors of larger companies should have to spend a lot of time<br />

and efforts on testing and analyzing data, information and<br />

management assertions on financial reports (Simunic 1980; Firth<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

1985; Chan et al. 1993; Pong and Whittington 1994; Simon 1995).<br />

Complexity of audittee is also found to be related to the audit fees<br />

(Chan et al. 1993). Prior research shows that as audit clients become<br />

more complex, more time and effort is needed to perform the external<br />

audit work, and hence, audit fees are significantly influenced by the<br />

auditee’s complexity level (e.g., Simunic 1980; Francis 1984; Francis<br />

and Stokes 1986; Maher et al. 1992; Carcello et al. 2002).<br />

Findings in prior research show a relation between auditee’s risk<br />

and audit fees. Simunic (1980) argues that audit fee is a function of<br />

cost of performing the audit (including a normal profit) and the<br />

expected costs of the audit risk. Audit risk is the risk that financial<br />

statements may be materially misstated after the audit is completed<br />

and an unqualified opinion is issued (Arens and Loebbecke 1994).<br />

Audit firms adjust for an increase in the audit risk level by either<br />

increasing their audit effort (to reduce the chance of undetected<br />

misstatements 6 ), or charging a fee premium as a compensation for the<br />

greater risk of audit failure (Brinn et al. 1994; Pratt and Stice 1994;<br />

Seetharaman et al., 2002). Prior studies have provide empirical<br />

evidence that audit firms charge higher audit fees when the client’s<br />

audit risk increases (e.g., Simon and Francis 1988; Palmrose 1996;<br />

Cameran 2005).<br />

Also, prior research has tried to relate audit fee to auditor quality<br />

with the expectation that audit fees might be higher when an auditor is<br />

recognised to be of superior quality (Hey et al. 2006). Prior studies<br />

attempted to use a large number of different proxy variables to<br />

represent auditor quality, with the majority using an indicator variable<br />

for large international accounting firms [Big N] (Simunic 1980;<br />

Francis and Stokes 1986; Palmrose 1996; Chan et al. 1993). These<br />

studies show that Big N audits charge higher audit fees and, on<br />

average, their premium has been around 20% (Francis 2004). The<br />

mostly used explanation for charging this premium is either because<br />

of Big auditors’ “brand name reputation” or due to their “market<br />

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Aturn = auditee’s asset turnover, measured by the ratio<br />

of total sales divided by total assets at the end of fiscal<br />

year;<br />

Lev = financial leverage measured by the ratio of total debts<br />

to total assets at the end of fiscal year;<br />

Switches = 1 if it is the auditor’s first year with the client,<br />

and 0 otherwise;<br />

Peak = 1 if the client’s balance sheet date is at 29/12,<br />

and 0 otherwise;<br />

Loss = 1, if the firm reported a loss for year t-1, and 0<br />

otherwise;<br />

InvRec = firm’s complexity measured as the ratio of sum<br />

of inventories and accounts receivables to total assets t;<br />

Peak*size = the interaction term between peak and client’s<br />

size;<br />

Auditor = 1 if the auditor is the Audit Organisation, and 0<br />

otherwise;<br />

Year = dichotomous indicator variables to control for<br />

fiscal years; and<br />

Ind = dichotomous indicator variables based on twodigit<br />

TSE codes (XX industries)<br />

4-1-1- Test variable<br />

This study use variable Auditor to examine the relation between<br />

auditor type and audit fees. Variable auditor represents the auditor<br />

size. As explained earlier, most prior studies used the indicator<br />

variable of “Big N” to proxy audits performed by large international<br />

accounting firms and provided evidence that audit fees are higher for<br />

these auditors (Simunic 1980; Francis and Stokes 1986; Palmrose<br />

1996; Chan et al. 1993). However, these studies attributed this<br />

premium fee to either the “brand name reputation” or “market power<br />

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(size)” of Big N auditors (see Camerman (2005) for a review). Thus, it<br />

is not clear whether it is the “brand name reputation” or the “market<br />

power (size)” of large international firms that drives their higher audit<br />

fees. As explained, in the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market, the large International<br />

accounting firms or their affiliated firms are not allowed by law to<br />

operate (the brand name reputation is absent), and the IAO is the<br />

largest audit firm operating in the market with a dominant share<br />

comparable to the Big 4 market share (size or market power). Thus,<br />

we use variable Auditor for audits by the IAO, as a proxy for the<br />

“market power (size)” of the auditor, to examine its relation with audit<br />

fees. If it is the auditor’s size (market power) that derives auditor’s<br />

higher fees, then we expect a positive association between auditor<br />

type and audit fees.<br />

4-1-2- Control variables<br />

Following prior research, we control for individual client’s<br />

characteristics that have been shown to affect audit fees. For client’s<br />

size, this study uses ln(Assets) and assets turnover (ATurn). Prior<br />

research (e.g., Simunic 1980; 1984; DeFond et al. 2000; Hay et al.<br />

2006) argues that larger firms typically have more transactions and<br />

larger balances, which requires more audit work (giving rise to higher<br />

number of hours billed). Also, it has been argued that larger firms are<br />

more likely to be subject to public scrutiny, higher agency and<br />

political costs and therefore a higher risk for the auditor (Naser and<br />

Nuseibeh 2007; Caneghem 2009). Thus, as suggested in Hey et al.<br />

(2006), this study uses total assets to proxy for client’s size. It has<br />

been argued that for firms with high sales or transaction volume<br />

relative to assets (e.g. service firms), total assets may not adequately<br />

capture the effort needed to conduct the audits (Caneghem 2009;<br />

Chaney et al. 2004). Therefore, this study also controls for asset<br />

turnover (Aturn) to capture both effects. We expect positive<br />

associations between these variable and audit fees.<br />

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Hey et al. (2006) argue that as client’s complexity increases, its<br />

audit is harder and more time-consuming. Also, the content and/ or<br />

nature of some financial statement items may add to the complexity of<br />

an audit engagement (Caneghem 2009). The nature of transactions,<br />

the accounting criteria for recognition and measurement, and the<br />

degree of necessary professional judgment regarding the potential<br />

importance of the outcome of future events are all factors that may<br />

add to the complexity of the audit (Thinggaard and Kiertzner 2008).<br />

To measure client’s complexity, and consistent with prior research<br />

(Fargher et al. 2001), this study uses variable (InvRec), the ratio of the<br />

sum of inventories and receivables over total assets, and expects a<br />

positive association with audit fees.<br />

Prior research suggests controlling for audit risk in examining<br />

audit fees (Pratt and Stice 1994; Jubb et al. 1996; Seetharam et al.<br />

2002). Consistent with prior studies, two measures are used in this<br />

study to control for audit risk. First, client’s profitability reflects the<br />

extents to which an auditor may be exposed to a loss in the event of a<br />

client is not financially viable and eventually fails (Simunic 1980).<br />

Thus, loss reporting firms expose higher audit risk and are expected to<br />

have a higher audit fees. To capture this, variable loss (loss) is used in<br />

this study. Although a positive relation with audit fee is expected for<br />

this variable, however, some studies report a negative relation<br />

between this variable and audit fees (Neimi 2002) with the<br />

explanation that poor financial condition might increase fee pressure<br />

and prevent auditors to raise audit fees. Second, this study controls for<br />

firm’s leverage (LEV) as a proxy for long-term solvency. Simunic<br />

(1980) argues that leverage problems measure the risk of a client<br />

failing, which potentially exposes a loss to the auditor. Therefore, we<br />

expect positive associations between our client’s risk measures (Lev<br />

and Loss) and audit fees.<br />

Variable peak is included in the model to account for the peakseason<br />

audit staff constraint. It could be expected that audit fees are<br />

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higher during the busy season because of off-peak pricing during the<br />

reminder of the year (Chaney et al. 2004). As the vast majority of<br />

firms listed in the TSE have 29/12 as their financial reporting date<br />

(i.e., Esfand), audits of these clients are considered as peak-season<br />

work, and they are expected to have higher audit fees. Thus, we<br />

include variable Peak in the model and expect a positive association<br />

with audit fees. Chaney et al. (2004) argue that large clients are often<br />

audited throughout the year (interim audits) and the workload around<br />

the balance sheet date may thus, be relatively lower for these firms.<br />

Therefore and consistent with Caneghem (2009), we use an interaction<br />

variable between size and peak (peak*size), to account for the interim<br />

audits of larger clients, and expect a negative association with audit<br />

fees.<br />

Prior research suggests that, because of competition in the audit<br />

market, tendering over audit engagement may lead to low balling<br />

(DeAngelo 1981; Coate and Leob 1997; Camerman 2005). Also, a<br />

new client may be considered as a major inherent risk for the auditor<br />

and therefore, result in a higher audit fee (Camerman 2005). In a<br />

meta-analysis of audit fee studies, Hey et al. (2004) find some support<br />

for the assertion that audit fees are usually lower in audits where the<br />

auditor is relatively new to the engagement. Thus, we control for<br />

auditor’s new client using variable switches and expect a negative<br />

relation with audit fees.<br />

Finally, in examining audit fees, it is also important to control for<br />

industry because of differences in regulations between industries or<br />

differences in their risk levels (Jubb et al. 1996). Also, because of<br />

inflation, audit fees may vary across different years for the same<br />

client. Therefore to control for these effects, variables IND and Year<br />

are included in the regression model.<br />

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4-1-3- Sample selection and data<br />

The sample for this study is selected from all <strong>Iranian</strong> companies listed on<br />

TSE during 2000-2007 which their audit fee data was disclosed on financial<br />

reports 7 . Data on audit fees are collected from annual reports. Other data are<br />

extracted from the <strong>Iranian</strong> securities and Exchanges Organization database<br />

(RDIS 8 ), and TADBIR PARDAZ database. This resulted in a sample of<br />

1340 firm-year observations.<br />

4-2- Descriptive statistics<br />

Table 1 reports the summary statistics of the sample. The<br />

dependent variable, audit fee has mean of IR200.48 (million) with the<br />

standard deviation of 229.89. The mean audit fee for firms audited by<br />

the IAO is IR243.2 (million) and IR168.2 for firms audited by non-<br />

AO auditors. The sample has a high asset turnover of 0.78 and highly<br />

leveraged (mean 0.71). The IAO has a market share of 0.43 of the full<br />

sample which is much lower that the market dominance of Big N audit<br />

firms documented in prior studies. 21% of the sample reported loss<br />

during the study period and 10% of firms have switched to another<br />

auditor during the study period. Interestingly, 78% of the sample has<br />

their audit during the peak season.<br />

Insert Table 1 here<br />

Table 2 reports the Pearson correlation matrix for the dependent<br />

and independent variables. The correlation between AFee and Lev,<br />

peak, lnsize, peak×size is positive and significant suggesting, other<br />

things equal, an increase in the level of audit fees with an increase in<br />

the levels of these variables. The correlation between auditor and<br />

AFee is significant and positive (p-value=0.000), suggesting that<br />

audits by the IAO are associated with higher audit fees. With the<br />

exception of correlation between peak and its interaction with size<br />

(peak×size), correlations among other independent variables are<br />

mostly low (below 0.40), with the highest correlation of 0.32 between<br />

the loss and the Lev independent variables 9 .<br />

Insert Table 2 here<br />

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This study estimates Model 1 as a pooled-cross sectional models<br />

controlling for industry and year fixed effects for the full sample<br />

(column 1) and also for sub-samples of firms with the IAO as the<br />

auditor (column2) and firms with private audit firms (Column 3).<br />

Estimating Model 1 for the full sample allows the intercept to vary<br />

across auditor type (IAO versus non-IAO firms), but restricts the other<br />

coefficients to be the same across both groups. Estimating Model 1 for<br />

two sub-samples allows the coefficients to vary across two subsamples.<br />

All OLS regressions are estimated using robust standard<br />

errors clustered by firm to alleviate serial correlation and<br />

hetroskedasticity issues arising from pooled data (Rogers 1993). The<br />

results are presented in Table 3.<br />

Insert Table 3 here<br />

For the full sample, with the exception of Lev, Loss and InvRec,<br />

the results for all other variables are significant and are in the expected<br />

directions consistent with prior research. Larger firms (lnsize); firms<br />

with higher assets turnover (ATurn); firms with balance sheet date in<br />

the peak season (Peak), and new audit engagement pay higher audit<br />

fees. The result for variable switches contradicts the notion that clients<br />

change their auditors to obtain a lower audit fee (Hay et al. 2006). The<br />

result of the interaction variable (peak*size) is negative and<br />

significant, suggesting that larger firms with balance sheet date at the<br />

peak season pay a lower audit fees. This result is consistent with the<br />

argument that larger clients are often audited throughout the year<br />

(interim audits) and the workload around the balance sheet date may<br />

thus be relatively lower for these firms results in lower audit fees<br />

(Chaney et al. 2004). Also, the results for year indicators variables are<br />

all significant and positive, indicating audit fees, on average, have<br />

increased over time.<br />

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The coefficient of auditor is positive and significant (0.483 and pvalue=0.000).<br />

This suggests that firms audited by the <strong>Iranian</strong> Audit<br />

Organisation (IAO) pay higher audit fees relative to firms audited by<br />

smaller private audit firms. This shows that IAO charges a fee<br />

premium on its audits. The fee premium on audits by Big N auditors<br />

in prior research was attributed to the “brand name reputation” or the<br />

“market power (size)” of Big N auditors (Basioudis and Fifi 2004).<br />

Our result shows that when the auditor’s brand name (reputation) is<br />

absent, it is the auditor’s size (market power) that drives the fee<br />

premium. This is consistent with the market power hypothesis which<br />

argues that large audit firms act as a cartel and impose higher prices<br />

on their clients (Palmrose 1986).<br />

The other two columns in Table 3 present the results for estimating<br />

Model 1 for the sub-sample of the IAO (public sector auditor) and<br />

non-IAO (private sector auditors), respectively. These models allow<br />

the coefficients to vary across two sub-samples. With the exception of<br />

InvRec and Loss, the results for all other variables are consistent with<br />

the results for the full sample with differences in fee structure between<br />

two groups. For example, while audit effort (lnsize and ATurn) and<br />

audit workload measures (peak and Peak×lnsize) all have the<br />

predicted signs in both sub-samples, coefficients are significantly<br />

higher for the sample of the IAO’s firms. For audit risk measures,<br />

while the coefficient of Lev is significant and positive for the IAO’s<br />

sub-sample, it is not significant in the private auditors’ sub-sample,<br />

and the coefficient of variable Loss is only significant and negative for<br />

the sub-sample of private auditors, indicating that loss reporting firms<br />

are able to pressure their auditors to lower their fees due to their<br />

auditors’ lack of market power relative to the public auditor. These<br />

results suggest differences in the pricing of audit risk (as measured by<br />

Lev and Loss) among two groups. Also, the coefficient for variable<br />

switches is significant and positive only for the sub-sample of private<br />

audit firms, indicating that only private auditors are able to charge<br />

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their new clients with higher audit fees. Overall, these results show<br />

differences in the determinants of audit fee between both groups of<br />

auditors.<br />

5-1- Pre-post 2002 regulatory change<br />

There was a regulatory change that directly affected the structure<br />

of the audit market and the supply side of the audit services in Iran in<br />

early 2002. In 1993, the Act of “using professional services of<br />

Certified Public Accountants” was passed by the <strong>Iranian</strong> Parliament.<br />

Due to some issues, this Act was not into force till late 2001. With the<br />

establishment of the <strong>Iranian</strong> Association of Certified Public<br />

Accountants (IACPA) in late 2001, the Act was enforced in 2002.<br />

According to the Act, public companies are allowed seek professional<br />

services from members of the IACPA. This Act has lead to an<br />

increase in the supply side of the audit services, as many audit firms<br />

have been created under this Act, and the public sector is encouraged<br />

to use the professional services of IACPA’s members. Before the<br />

establishment of IACPA, the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market was monopolized<br />

by the <strong>Iranian</strong> Audit Organization (IAO) (MoulkAraei, 2005) 10 . This<br />

Act resulted in a substantive increase in the number of audit firms in<br />

the market, and in turn, increased competition in the market for audit<br />

services. Our data shows that the number of audit firms has increased<br />

from 24 audit firms in 2000 to 59 in 2006. The Act allows listed firms<br />

to appoint an audit firm from licensed IACPA members, but most<br />

government-owned firms need to have the IAO as their auditor. This<br />

indicates that the effect of increased competition seems to be among<br />

private audit firms. This increased level of competition among private<br />

audit firms may affect the pricing of their audit services. To examine<br />

this effect, we restrict our sample to firms with private auditors and<br />

partition the study’s period into 2000-2002 and 2003-2006 subperiods<br />

and re-estimates model (1). The results are reported in Table4.<br />

Insert Table 4 here<br />

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As shown in this table, with the exception of results for switches<br />

and Loss in the pre-2002 period and the results for peak and peak×size<br />

for the 2003-2006 period, the results for all other variables in both<br />

periods are similar to those reported for the full sample. However, the<br />

magnitude of variable coefficients significantly changed after the<br />

regulatory change. For example, the coefficients of variables firm’s<br />

size (lnsize) and asset’s turnover (Aturn) are decreased by 50%. Also,<br />

variables Peak and its interaction firm’s size (peak ×size) are<br />

significant only in prior 2002, indicating that audits during the peak<br />

time of the year are not affecting audit fees after 2002. This may be a<br />

subsequent of an increase in the number of audit firms in the market.<br />

The coefficient for audit firm switches (switches) is positive and<br />

significant only after 2002, indicating that firms that have changed<br />

their auditors after the regulatory change are paying higher audit fees.<br />

This could be due to the new clients higher start-up costs or firms<br />

paying a higher audit fees to the new auditor asking a cleaner audit<br />

report (opinion shopping). This contradicts the documented results in<br />

prior research which shown new clients pay lower fees. 11 Also, the<br />

coefficient of Loss is negative and significant only after 2002 12 . This<br />

shows that after the increased competition in the market, loss making<br />

firms were able to convenience their auditors for a lower audit fees.<br />

This is consistent with the argument that poor financial condition<br />

might increase fee pressure and lead auditors to lower audit fees<br />

(Neimi 2002). The results for variable InvRec which measures firm’s<br />

complexity, differs across two sub-periods. While this variable is not<br />

significant prior 2002, it has a positive impact on audit fees in 2002-<br />

2006 periods, indicating that after the regulatory change, client’s<br />

complexity, as measured by InvRec, is considered as determinant<br />

factor for audit fees.<br />

In overall, the results of the sub-period analyses show that after the<br />

regulatory change in 2002, which leads to an increase in the supply<br />

side of audit services, and in turn, an increased competition in the<br />

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market, there is a shift in the determinants of audit fees in the market.<br />

While before 2002, audit fees are mainly derived by auditing<br />

workload (peak) and firm’s size (lnsize and ATurn), after the<br />

regulatory change the effect of firm’s size proxies on audit fees is<br />

lower, and auditing workload does not have an impact on audit fees.<br />

6- Conclusions and limitations<br />

We examine audit pricing in the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market and tests<br />

whether there is a fee premium for auditor size. We find that the IAO<br />

(the public sector audit firm) receives a fee premium on its audit,<br />

suggesting that it is the market power (size) of large audit firms that<br />

derives the audit fee premium. Prior audit fees studies attribute the fee<br />

premium charged by Big N auditors to their either brand name<br />

reputation or their market power (e.g, Hey et al. 2006). We show that<br />

when the brand name of the auditors is absent, it is the size of the<br />

audit firm that derives the fee premium. Consistent with similar<br />

studies on audit fees, we find that client’s size, auditing workload,<br />

new clients and loss reported clients are able to explain the variations<br />

of audit fee in Iran. The results also show differences in audit fee<br />

structures between public sector and private sector auditors. While<br />

coefficients of variables related to audit efforts and audit workload are<br />

significantly higher for the sub-sample of firms with IAO as the<br />

auditor, private auditors charge their new clients higher fees and loss<br />

making firma are able to pressure their auditors for lower audit fees.<br />

As a result of a regulatory change in Iran in 2002 which leads to<br />

the establishment of the IACPA and an increase in the number of<br />

private audit firms which allows private audit firms to provide audit<br />

services to listed firms in the TSE, the <strong>Iranian</strong> audit market has<br />

experienced an increase in the supply side of the market and, in turn,<br />

an increased level of competition between audit firms. Partitioning the<br />

study period for a sample of private audit firms before and after the<br />

regulatory change allows this study to see how this change in the<br />

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market has affected the pricing of audit services. The results show that<br />

an increase in the supply side of audit services leads to a change in the<br />

determinants of audit fees. While the magnitude of clients’ size in<br />

determining audit fees declines, audit workload time is not a<br />

determinant factor for setting audit fees. Also, as a result of increased<br />

competition in the market, loss making firms are able to increase fee<br />

pressure on their auditors and pay a lower audit fees.<br />

One of the main limitations of this study is that the audit fee data<br />

before 2000 is not publicly available. As a result, the reported results<br />

in the sub-period analysis for pre 2002 period might be affected by the<br />

smaller sample size relative to the post 2002 period. Another<br />

limitation is that, given the very specific <strong>Iranian</strong> setting (presence of<br />

both public and private sector auditors and the lack of Big N auditors),<br />

cautious is needed in generalizing the results to other settings.<br />

The findings in this study have implications for the <strong>Iranian</strong><br />

auditing profession. For example, the documented differences in audit<br />

pricing between two audit sectors may have an impact on the<br />

competitive nature of audit tendering process. Also, the results of the<br />

sub-period analysis may be useful for regulators to see how changes in<br />

the supply side of audit services and an increased competition in the<br />

audit market affect the pricing of audit fees. The findings in this study<br />

also provide some venues for future research. As this study finds that<br />

new clients of private auditors pay higher audit fees, future research is<br />

needed to examine this higher audit fees is related to the higher” startup”<br />

costs associated with new clients or is an indication of that the<br />

new auditor is willing to issue a more favorable audit report (audit<br />

opinion shopping). Also, it would be interesting to study whether there<br />

are differences in audit pricing between industry specialist and nonspecialist<br />

auditors. Given the mandatory audit firm rotation policy<br />

introduced by the <strong>Iranian</strong> Securities and Exchange Organisation<br />

(SEO) introduced in 2006 and the regulatory change in 2002, future<br />

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studies can examine whether auditors engage the policy of lowballing.<br />

Endnotes<br />

1 The law requires the election of the auditor by the shareholders at the<br />

shareholders’ annual general meeting.<br />

2 Based on the IACPA rules, to establish an audit firm, a minimum of 3 CAPs is<br />

required.<br />

3 The IAO and other government auditors are certified members of the IACPA.<br />

4 The SEO has a rule that al l listed firms in TSE must choose their auditors among<br />

“SEO’ trusted auditors” who are members of the IACPA. An audit firm member<br />

of IACPA can be a “SEO’s trusted auditor” when it meets all the requirements<br />

that have been set by the SEO. Even this penalty is not that severe as after few<br />

years, they can re-apply to be listed a “trusted auditor”.<br />

5 According to the IACPA’s disci plinary rules, only under two ci rcumstances the<br />

license of the auditor is revoked: 1) providing fake documents in time of CPA<br />

application, and 2) direct evidence on auditor’s material economic interests<br />

with the cl ient<br />

6 There is evidence that with the increase in the level of audit ri sk, auditors<br />

increase their audit effort to reduce the litigation ri sk (Schwartz 1997;<br />

Radhakrishnan 1999).<br />

7 Until recently (2011), there was not a requirement for firms listed on the TSE to<br />

discl ose audit fees in financial reports. Despite this, many companies voluntarily<br />

discl ose their auditor remunerations.<br />

8 This database is available at :www.rdis.ir<br />

9 This suggests that multi-collinearity does not seem to be a problem in the data.<br />

However, in the regression analysis, other tests like vari ance inflation factor<br />

(VIF), and condition index were considered, showing no effect of multicollinearity.<br />

10 Data in this study shows that the 64% market share of the IAO during 2000-<br />

2001 was decreased to 35% duri ng 2002-2006.<br />

11 The non-significant results for the prior 2002 period could be due to the small<br />

number of audit firm switches in this period. There are only 2 cases of auditor<br />

switches in this period.<br />

12 The results of estimating Model (1) for a sample of firms with the IAO as the<br />

auditor during two sub-periods (not tabulated) show that the coeffici ent for<br />

vari able loss is not significant. This shows that the negative association<br />

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between vari able Loss and audit fees, documented in Table 3, is driven by<br />

sample of firms with private audit firms only after the 2002 period.<br />

References<br />

Ahmed, C.A., K. Houghton. 1996. Audit fee premiums of Big<br />

eight firms: evidence from the market for medium-size U.K., auditees.<br />

Journal of International <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing and Taxation 5(1): 53-<br />

72.<br />

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evidence from a small capital market with a joint audit requirement.<br />

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Practical Accountant 36, 4.<br />

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Table 1: Descriptive statistics<br />

n Mean or % Median St. Dev.<br />

Afee (IR million) * 1435 231.17 150.00 289.38<br />

Aturn 1435 0.79 0.725 0.492<br />

Lev 1435 0.72 0.719 0.341<br />

Switches 1435 11% - -<br />

Peak 1435 71% - -<br />

Loss 1435 21% - -<br />

InvRec 1435 0.43 0.421 0.213<br />

Auditor 1435 41% - -<br />

Size (IR million) * 1435 469,562 165,070 1,201,682<br />

1 million Rials = $US527 in 2000 and $US108 in 2007. Afee: is the audit<br />

fee in millions of Rials. Aturn: auditee’s asset turnover measured as the ratio<br />

of total sales divided by the ending total assets. Lev is the ratio of total debts<br />

to total assets. Switch = 1 is the client switched its auditor in year t, 0<br />

otherwise. Peak = 1 if the client’s balance sheet date us at 29/12, 0<br />

otherwise. Loss = 1 if the client reported loss in year t-1, 0 otherwise. InvRec<br />

is the ratio of sum of inventories and receivables to ending total assets.<br />

Auditor = 1 if the auditor is the IAO, 0 otherwise. Size is the client’s ending<br />

total assets in year t. The raw values for AFee and Size are shown for<br />

descriptive purposes only; logarithmic transformations are used in the<br />

regression model.<br />

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Table 2<br />

Pearson Correlation Coefficients<br />

lnAFee ATurn Lev Switches Peak Loss InvRec Peak*size Auditor lnsize<br />

0.162<br />

Lev 0.017<br />

0.073<br />

Switches 0.029<br />

0.327<br />

Peak 0.154<br />

0.000<br />

Loss -0.096<br />

0.003<br />

InvRec -0.025<br />

0.004<br />

Peak×lnsize 0.254<br />

0.000<br />

Auditor 0.128<br />

0.000<br />

lnsize 0.547<br />

0.000<br />

-0.037<br />

0.076<br />

-.020<br />

0.164<br />

-0.024<br />

0.133<br />

-0.271<br />

0.000<br />

0.261<br />

0.000<br />

-0.047<br />

0.020<br />

0.035<br />

0.036<br />

-0.146<br />

0.000<br />

0.027<br />

0.026<br />

-0.018<br />

0.219<br />

0.264<br />

0.000<br />

0.019<br />

0.250<br />

-0.008<br />

0.382<br />

0.031<br />

0.135<br />

0.048<br />

0.000<br />

-0.005<br />

0.430<br />

0.118<br />

0.000<br />

0.010<br />

0.366<br />

-0.012<br />

0.333<br />

-0.213<br />

0.000<br />

-0.020<br />

0.237<br />

198<br />

0.035<br />

0.108<br />

0.024<br />

0.193<br />

0.973<br />

0.000<br />

0.151<br />

0.000<br />

0.070<br />

0.006<br />

P-values are in parentheses. Correlations are based on 1340 firm-year<br />

observations over 2000-2006. lnAfee: is the natural logarithm of audit fee<br />

(million Rials). Aturn: auditee’s asset turnover measured as the ratio of total<br />

sales divided by the ending total assets. Lev is the ratio of total debts to total<br />

assets. Switch = 1 is the client switched its auditor in year t, 0 otherwise.<br />

Peak = 1 if the client’s balance sheet date us at 29/12, 0 otherwise. Loss = 1<br />

if the client reported loss in year t-1, 0 otherwise. InvRec is the ratio of sum<br />

of inventories and receivables to ending total assets. Peak×lnsize is the<br />

interaction term between peak and client’s size. Auditor = 1 if the auditor is<br />

the IAO, 0 otherwise. lnSize is the natural logarithm of client’s ending total<br />

assets in year t.<br />

-0.102<br />

0.000<br />

0.009<br />

0.108<br />

-0.014<br />

0.304<br />

-0.124<br />

0.000<br />

-0.009<br />

0.193<br />

0.034<br />

0.110<br />

-0.176<br />

0.000<br />

0.150<br />

0.000<br />

0.274<br />

0.000<br />

0.009<br />

0.000


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Year 2008 1.326 0.000 1.505 0.000 1.236 0.000<br />

Year 2009 1.375 0.000 1.540 0.000 1.317 0.000<br />

Industry fixed effect included<br />

F test 93.15 0.000 46.76 0.000<br />

52.54 0.000<br />

Adj.R 2 0.536 0.572<br />

0.507<br />

n 1435 582<br />

853<br />

lnAfee: is the natural logarithm of audit fee (million Rials). Aturn: auditee’s<br />

asset turnover measured as the ratio of total sales divided by the ending total<br />

assets. Lev is the ratio of total debts to total assets. Switch = 1 is the client<br />

switched its auditor in year t, 0 otherwise. Peak = 1 if the client’s balance<br />

sheet date us at 29/12, 0 otherwise. Loss = 1 if the client reported loss in year<br />

t-1, 0 otherwise. InvRec is the ratio of sum of inventories and receivables to<br />

ending total assets. Peak×lnsize is the interaction term between peak and<br />

client’s size. Auditor = 1 if the auditor is the IAO, 0 otherwise. lnSize is the<br />

natural logarithm of client’s ending total assets in year t.<br />

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Market Incentive’s ability to Predict Forecasts<br />

Management<br />

Abstract<br />

Vahid Biglari �<br />

Faculty of Business and Accountancy, University of Malaya<br />

Dr. Ervina Alfan<br />

Faculty of Business and Accountancy, University of Malaya<br />

Dr. Rubi Ahmad<br />

Faculty of Business and Accountancy, University of Malaya<br />

The results of previous studies about forecasts management are mixed.<br />

Some studies find that forecasts are informative and therefore forecasts<br />

restrict future earnings management. Other studies claim that forecasts are<br />

delusive and therefore lead to higher income increasing earnings<br />

management. To contribute in explaining the mixed results in the<br />

literature, this study examines the effect of stock transaction status on<br />

forecasts management. To do the experiment, out of 850 companies in<br />

NYSE, the researchers selected 311 based on availability of their forecasts<br />

information. The selected companies were divided into three groups of<br />

Buy, Hold and Sell. To do the experiment, Management Forecast Error<br />

and Forecasts Management of the abovementioned three groups were<br />

compared. The results indicated that in order to avoid negative earnings<br />

surprises, Sell side companies should engage more in downward Forecast<br />

Management. However, the result did not show any congruence with Bye<br />

and Hold companies. The findings also depicted that stock market<br />

*Corresponding Author: vahidbiglari@siswa.um.edu.my


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

incentives influence management voluntary disclosure. Moreover, the<br />

practical implications of this study can guide regulators to the necessity of<br />

considering market incentives and highlight the importance of voluntary<br />

disclosure.<br />

Keywords: Management Forecast Error – Management’s Forecasts –<br />

Forecasts Management - Stock Market Incentives- Buy - Sell<br />

JEL Classification: G14; G18; M42.<br />

Introduction<br />

Financial reporting is a process of communicating economic<br />

information to permit informed judgements and decisions by users of<br />

information1. Users of information, including investors, analysts and<br />

brokers usually lay emphasis on reported earnings. Investors form<br />

expectations about companies’ future profit. However, management<br />

are tempted to beat the stock market’s expectations(Choi, Walker, &<br />

Young, 2006; Graham, Harvey, & Rajgopal, 2005). Beating<br />

expectations shall produce positive consequences on stock price.<br />

Since management compensation is normally based on the stock price,<br />

the increase in the stock price would result in the interest of<br />

management.<br />

The traditional view about the stock price based compensation or<br />

option based compensation suggest that if management interests are<br />

aligned with the increase in the stock price, then management will<br />

have enough motivation to raise investors’ interests. However, the<br />

weakness of doing so is that it may cause management convey wrong<br />

information to investors and other stock market participants, as they<br />

want to increase stock price (Bundy, 2007). In such a case the increase<br />

in the stock price is not as a result of the company’s actual<br />

performance, but because of the managers’ ‘manipulation’.<br />

Although, there have been efforts to codify strict regulations to place<br />

management’s interest in line with investors’ interest, recent<br />

observations show that management do not fully pursue the investors’<br />

expectations. To support this idea, Burgestahler and Eames(2006)<br />

proposed that managers forgo long-term growth and permanent value<br />

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increasing opportunities to avoid short term negative earnings<br />

surprises. The problem is more serious when it comes to voluntary<br />

disclosure. Gong, Li, & Xie, (2009 ) claim that since there are less<br />

strict regulation in voluntary disclosure, such kind of disclosure could<br />

contain strong bias signals. Earnings prediction (forecast) is among<br />

the well-known forms of voluntary financial disclosure.<br />

Firms often voluntarily provide earnings guidance. A key feature of<br />

this guidance is that the manner in which firms gather and<br />

communicate their forward-looking information is far less regulated<br />

than their mandatorily disclosed financial statement information<br />

(Hutton & Stocken, 2009). There have been some regulations to<br />

encourage management to issue more frequent earnings guidance. For<br />

example, The SEC's Safe Harbor Rule (1979) was enacted to<br />

protect managements from possible legal liability associated with<br />

errors in "good faith" forecasts. Also PSLR Act (1995), which<br />

shelters managers from litigation arising from unattained forwardlooking<br />

statements.<br />

Despite the regulatory encouragement for management to disclose<br />

more forward looking information, several studies claimed that<br />

various elements do induce managers to be bias in prediction of<br />

earnings2, causing increase in market expectations (Frost, 1997;<br />

Koch, 2002; J. Rogers & Buskirk, 2008). Therefore, a need arises to<br />

identify the factors that cause managers to willingly issue imprecise<br />

forecasts. Such forecasts might misguide capital market players and<br />

lead to misallocation of investments, which would result in dangerous<br />

and tragic consequences. A case might be named as Enron which was<br />

directly related to Earnings Management (EM) and opportunistic<br />

forecasts where managers engaged in income increasing activities to<br />

reach to those false optimistic projections.<br />

Enron failure along with other recent financial debacles have<br />

necessitated the improvement of accounting reports (Coffee, 2003;<br />

Healy & Palepu, 2003). Since income is most striking item in<br />

financial statements (Dechow & Scherand, 2004), the increase of its<br />

quality may enhance accounting information. Through the partial<br />

report of earning, EM and Forecast Management (henceforth FM)<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

affect income quality. Being aware of the reason and process of FM<br />

and EM can be considered as the first step of preventing the bias of<br />

reported income (Erickson, Hanlon, & Maydew, 2004; Joshua, Tzur,<br />

& Yaari, 2006; Ronen & Yaari, 2007). This paper is among the<br />

studies that intend to reveal the rationale behind why and how FM<br />

occurs.<br />

Apart from usefulness of this study to identify market incentives of<br />

Management Forecasts Management (MFM) that helps analysts and<br />

investors to do better valuation of the companies stocks, from the<br />

theoretical prespective, this research helps explaining the mixed<br />

results that exists in the managements’ forecasts literature.<br />

From the aspect of informativeness of forecasts there has been two<br />

contraversial views in the literature.<br />

One view is that management use forecasts to convey insider<br />

information to outsiders. In fact, by forecasting earning they reduce<br />

information asymmetry. Indeed, by reducing information asymmetry,<br />

management tend to reduce the firm’s cost of capital (Lev and<br />

Penman, 1990). So when the company’s financial position is<br />

satisfactory, Due to their inclination to convey more positive<br />

information to shareholders, management increase prediction’s<br />

frequency (Kai et al 2009). However, issuing earnings’ prediction<br />

restricts management to do earnings management, i.e. they cannot<br />

manage earnings in a desirable direction. In fact, earnings forecasts<br />

lead to less earnings management (Duta and Gigler 2002).<br />

The other view is that, since stock price is sensitive to management<br />

forecasts (Das et al. 2008), management tends to report their forecast<br />

to an upper level of what it really is. In addition, because stock price is<br />

sensitive to managers’ forecast error (Kasznik and McNichols 2002;<br />

and Bartov et al. 2002), the more negative the forecast error is , that is<br />

reported earnings is less than predicted earnings, the more it is<br />

conceived as a sign of bad news and such bad news lead to dramatic<br />

fall of the stock price (D. Burgstahler & Dichev, 1997; Degeorge,<br />

Patel, & Zeckhauser, 1999). To prevent such stock price’s downfall,<br />

management tend to engage in income decreasing Forecast<br />

Management (FM) and income increasing earnings management to<br />

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beat the forecasts and have positive earnings surprises (Brown &<br />

Caylor, 2005; Gong et al., 2009 ; Ron Kasznik, 1999).<br />

These two views are seemingly contradictory. Because in the first<br />

approach it is believed that by doing sincere forecasts, management<br />

give true information to the market and therefore restrict themselves to<br />

do earnings management. Therefore forecasts are truthful. The second<br />

approach is that management use earnings and forecasts management<br />

as a tool to create positive earnings surprise that lead to stock price<br />

fake appreciation or prevent stock price depreciation. A question that<br />

arises by considering these two contrasting views is that what is the<br />

underlying element that has been overlooked in the previous<br />

literature? This research seeks to find a so far disregarded element that<br />

is the cause of that contradiction. Thus, the main question of this<br />

research is whether there is any form of market incentive that causes<br />

management to do forecasts management to have positive earnings<br />

surprise in some situations but don’t do earnings and forecasts<br />

management when those situations are not present. In other words,<br />

this research suggests that, as a measure of market incentive, the<br />

volume of stock asks and bid can explain why sometimes management<br />

undertake earnings and forecasts management and why sometimes<br />

they don’t do them. In fact, whenever the stock volume of bid is<br />

higher, i.e. the firm has more opportunities for growth and investor’s<br />

preference, management has more opportunities to do income<br />

increasing earnings management to reach their forecasts (Abarbanell<br />

and Lehavy 2002). On the other hand whenever the stock volume of<br />

ask is higher, i.e. there is less opportunities for firm’s growth and<br />

firms has high financial leverage, or is facing financial<br />

distress management has more incentives to do income decreasing<br />

forecasts management to have positive earnings surprise (Ajinkya,<br />

Bhojraj, & Sengupta, 2005; J. L. Rogers & Stocken, 2005). That is<br />

because management is facing with several risks namely risk of<br />

termination of management contract (Stein, 1989) litigation risk<br />

(Brown & Caylor, 2005; Cao & Narayanamoorthy, 2005; R. Kasznik<br />

& Lev, 1995) and takeover risk (Beniluz, 2010; DeAngelo, 1988;<br />

Warner, Watts, & Wruck, 1988; Weisbach, 1988).<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

By focusing on market incentive as a factor that triggers forecasts<br />

management, this paper tries to address the reason for the existing<br />

contradiction in the literature that why sometimes Forecasts are found<br />

to be informative and sometimes forecasts are found to be<br />

opportunistic. Therefore, the focus of this study is to examine the<br />

effect of fundamental market factors on management incentives in<br />

relation to Forecasts Management (FM).This procedure may develop a<br />

framework which could be used as a signaller for delusive financial<br />

reporting.<br />

Companies’ Market Status and Management Forecasts<br />

This section mentions to some of the researches that justify the effect<br />

of market factors on FM. Das, Kyonghee, & Sukesh (2008) suggest<br />

that expectation management will lead to increase in stock prices.<br />

Also Beyer (2009) showed that there is a strong relation between<br />

forecasted earning and stock price. Frankel and McNichols and<br />

Wilson (1995) show that earning forecast lead to deacrease In the<br />

companies cost of capital. Therefore change in the stock price can be a<br />

strong enough incentive for management to manipulate forecasts.<br />

Although changing the stock price and therefore the market status of<br />

the company can be a good enough incentive for management to bias<br />

their forecasts, depending on the financial status of the companies,<br />

they report their forecasts differently. Whereas koch (2002) findings<br />

show that in companies that are financially distressed, management<br />

forecasts are less credible than firms which are not financially<br />

distressed, Miller (2002) found that, companies that have higher<br />

probability of growth are more likely to disclose their information to<br />

market. This is consistent with the results documented by Frankel and<br />

McNichols and Wilson (1995), who found that firms seeking more<br />

external financing tend to issue management forecasts more<br />

frequently,<br />

Consistent with koch (2002) and Miller (2002) in this research we<br />

hypothesise that the companies that have unsatisfactory market<br />

207


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

perspective issue more biased forecasts than the companies who are<br />

satisfactory market perspective.<br />

Research Objective<br />

The aim of this research is to identify the possible market factors that<br />

influence managers to issue biased forecast. These reasons are<br />

captured in a model that examines the occurrence of FM based on the<br />

aspect of managerial motivation.<br />

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. The next section<br />

develops the hypotheses. After that, the methodology for testing the<br />

hypotheses will be discussed. Then findings will be shown. Last<br />

section summarizes and concludes the findings of this paper.<br />

Hypotheses<br />

Prior researches have confirmed that management engage in FM to<br />

create earnings surprise (Ron Kasznik, 1999; Xin, 2007). The reason<br />

for doing so is that, management perceives that the negative price<br />

effect of managing forecasts downward is less than the future positive<br />

price effect of positive earnings surprises (Beyer, 2009; Downing &<br />

Sharpe, 2003). According to the transaction status of companies’<br />

stocks, the call for Buy (Sell) of the stocks may significantly outweigh<br />

the call for Sell (Buy) of the same stocks. Based on whether Buy<br />

(Sell) for stocks outweigh Sell (Buy) the company’s stock transaction<br />

status shall be classified as Buy (Sell). Since sell side companies<br />

suffer from unsatisfactory stock market, it is expected that their<br />

motivation to do downward forecast management be higher. By doing<br />

a downward forecast management the status of stock market is not<br />

affected significantly. However, a positive future earnings surprise<br />

could positively shock the stock market and improve stock market<br />

status. It is expected that Sell companies have higher rate of positive<br />

forecast error (earnings surprises) than Buy companies in a small<br />

period, i.e. close to zero forecast error. Based on the research<br />

208


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

questions and the clarification of the points in the ongoing paragraph<br />

the hypothesis of the study has been formulated as following:<br />

Hypothesis 1: The ratio of positive to negative forecast error<br />

significantly differs among the companies that represent different<br />

stock market status (Buy and Sell).<br />

According to first Hypothesis 1, the sell companies would reflect<br />

higher rate of positive forecast error. As the literature reveals, the<br />

assumption is that management of Sell side companies would either<br />

employ income increasing EM to reach to forecasted earning (Habib<br />

& Hossain, 2008), or may engage in income decreasing forecast<br />

management(Durtschi & Easton, 2005) to reach to zero or positive<br />

forecast error. In other words, if the company is in sell position,<br />

management may issue lower forecast than the real one to lessen the<br />

expectation of outsiders (Wang, 2003). Based on the result of the<br />

firm’s ordinary operation management would then report an earning<br />

which is as equal as or higher than the forecast (report positive<br />

earnings surprise). By doing so, management raise the bids for<br />

company’s stocks, and subsequently the increase of the company’s<br />

stock price.<br />

Stunda (2008) suggested that firms that do meet analysts’ forecasts are<br />

more likely to issue estimations that they could achieve. Therefore<br />

from the first hypothesis, it would be suggested that Sell companies<br />

are more likely to beat their own forecasts. Provided that the first<br />

hypothesis is accepted, and in accordance with Stunda’s (2008)<br />

allegation, it can be implied that the companies that are classified as<br />

Sell are more likely to meet the analysts’ forecasts. This is due to the<br />

downward expectation management of the analysts.<br />

Similarly, it is suggested that the difference between the ratios are<br />

deemed to be related to forecast management. That is, sell firms do<br />

engage more in doing forecast management activities to meet or beat<br />

their forecasts. So, the second hypothesis is developed as follows:<br />

Hypothesis 2: The sell companies engage more in forecasts<br />

management activities than buy companies.<br />

Research method<br />

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<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

of management forecasts. In other words, what factors are shaping<br />

manager’s decisions of precise or imprecise forecasts? It is thought<br />

that stock market status could be a motive that affects manager’s<br />

decisions to issue forecasts. As a result, we found that stock market<br />

status significantly impacts management decision on issuing forecasts.<br />

This study may have both theoretical and practical implications.<br />

Theoretically it may widen the appreciation of opportunistic motives<br />

of management for doing forecasts management. Additionally it may<br />

shed light on some other issues including the necessity to improve<br />

management’s voluntary disclosure and show the gaps which may be<br />

existed in the domain of other studies regarding the counter effects of<br />

downward forecast management and positive earnings surprises.<br />

Practically as it was shown the study addressed the four hypotheses<br />

which illustrated the interrelation of forecasts errors, earnings<br />

management and forecasts management. Finally, in addition to the<br />

fact that the findings are in parallel to other researches in case of<br />

opportunistic earnings and forecasts management (Abarbanell &<br />

Lehavy, 2003; R. Kasznik & Lev, 1995; Ron Kasznik & McNichols,<br />

2002; Matsumato, 2002), the findings contribute to the literature by<br />

documenting that the stock market Bid and Ask information are able<br />

to predict management’s forecasts errors.<br />

The information about asks and bids of stocks not only are not kept<br />

for research or statistical analysis but they are simply swapped with<br />

consecutive new information. A Practically implication of this<br />

research is that not only these types of information have important<br />

implications and should be kept for empirical and statistical analysis,<br />

but also they convey great informational values that can be utilized by<br />

researchers and investors, as it might shed light on invisible attributes<br />

of the stocks.<br />

This study adds new findings to the management forecast literature.<br />

The previous studies suggested that since management’s forecast<br />

convey insider information to the outsiders, it lessen information<br />

asymmetry and decreases costly litigation of stockholders against the<br />

company (Lennox & Park, 2006). In addition, it helps the company to<br />

have clear and transparent financial reporting (Hirst, Koonce, &<br />

217


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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Venkataraman, 2008). The results contributes to the literature since<br />

they document that management’s forecasts contains errors that are<br />

predictable considering to the stock market Bid and Ask. The results<br />

intensely warn investors to evaluate the management’s forecasts<br />

before forming expectations of the company’s profit, especially when<br />

there is great temptation in the market for sale of the company’s<br />

stocks.<br />

Even though this study found that management use downward<br />

forecast management to reach positive earnings surprises, Wang<br />

(2003) suggests that this process should have a short time increasing<br />

effect on stock price, because investors learn from accuracy of the<br />

company’s past financial reporting. If management continues doing<br />

downward forecast management for a number of periods, investors<br />

will lose their trust to the company. However, as long as the short<br />

term increase is considered the scenario of earnings management and<br />

forecast management holds to be valid.<br />

As Hutton & Stocken (2009) mention forward-looking information is<br />

far less regulated than their mandatorily disclosed financial statement<br />

information. Under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the SEC,<br />

it is more burdensome for plaintiffs to successfully litigate when it is<br />

more difficult to detect misrepresentation. Private Securities Litigation<br />

Reform Act of 1995 (PSLR Act) strengthened the 1934 Act provision<br />

by restricting management's liability to forward-looking statements. as<br />

a result of such regulations managers are less prosecuted for issuing<br />

biased forecasts in USA (J. L. Rogers & Stocken, 2005).<br />

It is suggested that by considering market status of the companies as<br />

incentive for management to issue imprecise forecasts standard setters<br />

and regulators can provide better incentive for management for<br />

providing precise forecast. Regulations should keep higher watchdogs<br />

on earning projections of the companies that do not have satisfactory<br />

stock market status. This study focused on the issue of Stock market<br />

incentives for Earnings Management and Forecasts Management in<br />

the context of the United States whereas others may take the findings<br />

of this study as the infrastructure of their work and follow the issue in<br />

218


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

some other parts of the world. The researcher here studied these<br />

market incentives for FM. Other researchers may study on how to<br />

control malevolent EM and FM.<br />

While the present study emphasizes market incentives role on<br />

earnings and forecasts management, the findings should neither be<br />

overestimated nor underestimated. Gathering data from other<br />

regulatory contexts may shed more light on the effect of market<br />

incentives of earnings and forecasts management.<br />

Endnotes:<br />

1. A Statement of Basic <strong>Accounting</strong> Theory, Published June 2001 by<br />

American <strong>Accounting</strong> Association .<br />

2. Some examples of such elements are financial stress (Frost, 1997),<br />

financial distress (Koch, 2002). Also Rogers &Buskirk(2008) report that<br />

when doing forecasts,managers selectively disclose good news.<br />

References:<br />

Abarbanell, J., & Lehavy, R. (2003). Can stock recommendations<br />

predict earnings management and analysts' forcast errors. Journal<br />

of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research 41, 1-31.<br />

Ajinkya, B., Bhojraj, S., & Sengupta, P. (2005). The association<br />

between outside directors, institutional investors and the<br />

properties of management earnings forecasts. Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Research, 43(3), 343−376.<br />

Beniluz, Y. (2010). Management Earnings Forecasts and<br />

Simultaneous Release of Earnings News. Rutgers University.<br />

Beyer, A. (2009). Capital Market Prices, Management Forecasts, and<br />

Earnings Management. <strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 84(6).<br />

Brown, L. D., & Caylor, M. L. (2005). A temporal analysis of<br />

quarterly earnings thresholds: Propensities and valuation<br />

consequences. <strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 80(2), 423-440.<br />

219


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Bundy, H. H. (2007). Aligning Management and Shareholder<br />

Interests. William Blair and Company L.L.C.<br />

Burgstahler, D., & Dichev, I. (1997). Earnings management to avoid<br />

earnings decreases and losses. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and<br />

Economics, 24(1), 99-126.<br />

Burgstahler, D., & Eames, M. (2006). Management of Earnings and<br />

Analysts’ Forecasts to Achieve Zero and Small Positive Earnings<br />

Surprises. Journal of Business Finance & <strong>Accounting</strong>,, 33(5 & 6),<br />

633–652.<br />

Cao, Z., & Narayanamoorthy, G. (2005). The Effect of Litigation Risk<br />

on Management Earnings Forecasts. Yale School of Management.<br />

Choi, Y. S., Walker, M., & Young, S. (2006). Earnings reporting and<br />

analysts’ earnings forecasts: the perceptions of UK analysis and<br />

financial managers’. Lancaster University.<br />

Coffee, J. C. (2003). Gatekeeper failure and reform: The chellenges of<br />

fashioning releavant reforms Columbia Law and Economics.<br />

Das, S., Kyonghee, K., & Sukesh, P. (2008). An Analysis of<br />

Managerial Use and Market Consequences of Earnings<br />

Management and Expectation Management (Publication., from<br />

AAA 2009 Financial <strong>Accounting</strong> and Reporting Section (FARS)<br />

Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1270841:<br />

DeAngelo, L. E. (1988). Managerial competition, information costs<br />

and corporate governance: the use of accounting perforemance<br />

measures in proxy contests. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and<br />

Economics, 10, 3-36.<br />

Dechow, P. M., & Scherand, C. M. (2004). Earnings Quality.<br />

Research Foundation of CFA Institute.<br />

Degeorge, F., Patel, J., & Zeckhauser, R. (1999). Earnings<br />

Management to Exceed Thresholds. Journal of Business Finance<br />

& <strong>Accounting</strong>,, 72 1-33.<br />

220


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Desai, H., Rajgopal, S., & Venkatachalam, M. (2004). Value-Glamour<br />

and Accruals Mispricing: One Anomaly or Two? The <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Review 355-385.<br />

Downing, C., & Sharpe, S. (2003). Getting Bad News Out Early: Does<br />

it Really Help Stock Prices? Federal Reserve.<br />

Durtschi, C., & Easton, P. D. (2005). Earnings management? The<br />

shapes of the frequency of distributions of earnings metrics are<br />

not evidence ipso facto. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research, 43(4),<br />

557-592.<br />

Erickson, M., Hanlon, M., & Maydew, E. L. (2004). How much will<br />

firms pay for earnings that do not exist? Evidence of taxes paid on<br />

allegedly fraudulent earnings. The <strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 79(2),<br />

387-408.<br />

Fang, V. W. (2009). The Role of Management Forecast Precision in<br />

Predicting Management Forecast Error. Rutgers University.<br />

Frankel, R., McNichols, M., & Wilson, G. P. (1995). Discretionary<br />

disclosure and external financing. <strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 70, 135-<br />

150.<br />

Frost, C. (1997). Disclosure policy choices of U.K. firms receiving<br />

modified audit reports. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> and Economics,<br />

23(2), 163–187.<br />

Gong, G., Li, L. Y., & Xie, H. (2009 ). The Association between<br />

Management Earnings Forecast Errors and Accruals. The<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 84(2), 497–530.<br />

Graham, J. R., Harvey, C. R., & Rajgopal, S. (2005). The economic<br />

implications of corporate financial reporting. Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Economics, 40(1-3), 3-73.<br />

Habib, A., & Hossain, M. (2008). Do managers manage earnings to<br />

‘just meet or beat’ analyst forecasts? Evidence from Australia.<br />

Journal of International <strong>Accounting</strong>, Auditing and Taxation, 17,<br />

79–91.<br />

221


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The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Healy, P. M., & Palepu, K. G. (2003). The fall of Enron. Journal of<br />

Economics Perspectives, 17(2), 3-26.<br />

Hirst, E., Koonce, L., & Venkataraman, S. (2008). Management<br />

earnings forecasts: A review and framework. <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Horizons 22(3), 315–338.<br />

Hutton, A. P., & Stocken, P. (2009). Prior Forecasting Accuracy and<br />

Investor Reaction to Management Earnings Forecasts. Boston<br />

College - Carroll School of Management.<br />

Joshua, R., Tzur, J., & Yaari, V. L. (2006). The effect of director's<br />

equity incentives on earnings management Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

and Public Policy, 25(4), 359-389.<br />

Kasznik, R. (1999). On the association between voluntary disclosure<br />

and earnings management. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research,<br />

57(1), 57-81.<br />

Kasznik, R., & Lev, B. (1995). To warn or not to warn: Management<br />

disclosures in the face of an earnings surprise. The <strong>Accounting</strong><br />

Review, 71, 113-134.<br />

Kasznik, R., & McNichols, M. F. (2002). Does meeting earnings<br />

expectations matter? Evidence from analyst forecast revisions and<br />

share prices. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research, 40(3), 727-759.<br />

Koch, A. (2002). Financial distress and the credibility of management<br />

earnings forecasts. Carnegie Mellon University.<br />

Lennox, C. S., & Park, C. W. (2006). The informativeness of earnings<br />

and management’s issuance of earnings forecasts. Journal of<br />

<strong>Accounting</strong> and Economics, 42, 439-458.<br />

Lim, T. (2001). Rationality and Analysts' Forecast Bias. Journal of<br />

Finance, 56(1), 369.<br />

Matsumato, D. A. (2002). Management s incentives to avoid negative<br />

earnings surprises. The <strong>Accounting</strong> Review, 77, 483-514.<br />

Miller, G. S. (2002). Earnings perforemance and discretionary<br />

disclosure. Journal of <strong>Accounting</strong> Research, 40(1), 173-204.<br />

222


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Riley, M. (2007). <strong>Accounting</strong> Information and Analyst Forecast<br />

Errors: A study of teh Explanatory Power of Discretionary<br />

Accruals and Accruals Quality. Texa Tech University, Texas.<br />

Rogers, J., & Buskirk, A. (2008). Bundled forecasts and selective<br />

disclosure of good news. University of Chicago.<br />

Rogers, J. L., & Stocken, P. C. (2005). Credibility of Management<br />

Forecasts. THE ACCOUNTING REVIEW, 80 (4), 1233-1260.<br />

Ronen, J., & Yaari, V. L. (2007). Demand for the truth in principalagent<br />

relationships. Review of <strong>Accounting</strong> Studies, 12(1), 125-<br />

153.<br />

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of myopic corporate behavior. Quarterly Journal of Economics,<br />

104, 655-669.<br />

Stunda, R. A. (2008). The effects of Sarbanes-Oxley on earnings<br />

forecasts Academy of <strong>Accounting</strong> and Financial Studies Journal.<br />

Wang, Q. (2003). Forecast Management: Measurement and Market<br />

Learning. Stanford university.<br />

Warner, J. B., Watts, R. L., & Wruck, K. H. (1988). Stock prices and<br />

top management changes. Journal of Financial Economics, 20,<br />

461-492.<br />

Weisbach, M. S. (1988). Outside directors and CEO turnover. Journal<br />

of Financial Economics, 20, 431-460.<br />

Xin, B. (2007). Earnings Forecast, Earnings Management, and<br />

Asymmetric Price Response. University of Toronto - Joseph L.<br />

Rotman School of Management.<br />

223


Alzahra University<br />

Table 1 - descriptive statistics for MFE<br />

No. of the<br />

companies<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Mean Median Standard<br />

Deviation<br />

224<br />

Kurtosis Skewness<br />

311 -0.4913 -0.1518 1.558 1.410 -0.614<br />

Table 2- The comparison between the ratio of positive to negative<br />

forecast errors in Buy, Hold and Sell groups in large and small<br />

distances around zero.<br />

±25.83 (1stdev)<br />

±4 (0.15stdev)<br />

±1(0.03stdev)<br />

N overall N buy N hold N sell<br />

388 0.64# 130 0.59 136 0.58139<br />

5<br />

293 0.8## 102<br />

197<br />

1.09574<br />

5<br />

0.74576<br />

3<br />

122<br />

0.76811<br />

6<br />

100 0.67*** 91 1.07***<br />

74 1 61 0.79*** 62 1.69***<br />

±0.3 (0.01stdev) 114 1.375 41 1.05** 35 0.94*** 38 2.8¢***<br />

±0.2<br />

(0.007stdev)<br />

76 1.53### 24 1.18* 22 0.83*** 30<br />

3.28£**<br />

*<br />

*test of proportion between the ratio of positive to all forecast error is significant between buy<br />

and sell at .001<br />

**test of proportion between the ratio of positive to all forecast error is significant between<br />

buy and sell at 0.05<br />

***test of proportion between the ratio of positive to all forecast error is significant between


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

hold and sell at .05<br />

#binomial test of difference between the frequency of positive to negative forecast error is<br />

significant at .001 level.<br />

##binomial test of difference between the frequency of positive to negative forecast error is<br />

significant at .001 level.<br />

###binomial test of difference between the frequency of positive to negative forecast error is<br />

significant at 0.1 level.<br />

Table 3 – Statistics related to the distribution of change in income<br />

from first to third quarter after cleaning.<br />

Mean -6.5792<br />

Median -2.2566<br />

Mode .00<br />

Skewness -.794<br />

Kurtosis .958<br />

Table 4 - the result fo running this equation: FR = αICHAN + C + ε<br />

α<br />

0.2531<br />

225<br />

t-statistic<br />

2.1197<br />

probability<br />

0.0364<br />

R-squared 0.04099 Akaike info criterion 8.6727<br />

Adjusted R-squared 0.0409 Durbin-Watson stat 2.2247<br />

F-statistic 4.7266<br />

Table 5 - Test of comparison of mean of FM among companies that<br />

have classifies to three groups of Buy, Hold and sell, according to<br />

their value of SBA<br />

N Mean Minimum Maximum<br />

sell 29 -0.0020 -0.3 0.01<br />

hold 29 0.0036 -0.3 0.04


Alzahra University<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

buy 28 0.0023 -0.2 0.02<br />

Total 86 0.0013 -0.3 0.04<br />

Buy-sell f 1.99 Sig. 0.16<br />

Hold-Sell f 2.63 Sig. 0.11<br />

Buy-Hold f 0.15 Sig. 0.69<br />

Table 6 – Test of comparison of proportion of negative to all forecasts<br />

management among three groups of stocks, namely, Buy, Hold and<br />

Sell.<br />

all<br />

±0.2 MFE<br />

(0.007stdev)<br />

N overall N buy N hold N sell<br />

٨۶ 0.64 ٢٨<br />

83<br />

0.3855<br />

42<br />

٢٧<br />

226<br />

0.28571<br />

4§<br />

0.25925<br />

9¥<br />

٢٩<br />

28<br />

0.3448<br />

28<br />

0.3214<br />

29<br />

٢٩<br />

٢٨<br />

0.55172<br />

4§<br />

٠.۵٧١۴<br />

¥<br />

§test of proportion between the ratio of negative to all forecast management is significant<br />

between buy and sell at .05<br />

¥ test of proportion between the ratio of negative to all forecast management is significant<br />

between buy and sell at .01


<strong>Proceedings</strong><br />

Figure 1 - Distribution of MFE in small distance around Zero for Buy,<br />

Hold and Sell companies.<br />

Mean .4268<br />

Median .0000<br />

Mode .00<br />

Skewness -.656<br />

Kurtosis 1.182<br />

Figure 2- Distribution of FR after cleaning<br />

227


Alzahra University<br />

Figure 3 - Distribution of FM<br />

The 10 th <strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Iranian</strong> <strong>Accounting</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

May 23 and 24, 2012<br />

Figure 4- Summery of Hypothesis 1 and Error! Reference source<br />

not found.<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Stock<br />

Transaction<br />

Groups (Buy,<br />

Hold, Sell)<br />

Forecasts<br />

Management<br />

228<br />

Forecast<br />

s Errors

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