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An Unlikely<br />

When I tell people that I am a<br />

statistician, they mostly tell me<br />

they were never any good at<br />

maths. One person, when told<br />

I was a medical statistician,<br />

asked if I counted hospital beds for a living!<br />

People are always quick to remind me of<br />

the quotation, “There are three kinds of lies:<br />

lies, damned lies and statistics”, a phrase<br />

commonly attributed to Benjamin Disraeli,<br />

but probably of much earlier origin. The<br />

idea that statistics may be used to support<br />

dubious arguments is, of course, not very<br />

fl attering to my profession.<br />

I much prefer the words of an eminent<br />

Victorian social reformer, one of the earliest<br />

recognised statisticians, who said, “To<br />

understand God’s thoughts we must study<br />

statistics, for these are the measure of his<br />

purpose.” Rather surprisingly, this person<br />

was none other than Florence Nightingale,<br />

much better known for her works of<br />

compassion among the injured soldiers of<br />

the Crimean War and for being the founder<br />

of the modern profession of nursing. But<br />

she was also the fi rst female Fellow of the<br />

Royal Statistical Society. To her, statistics,<br />

compassion and faith went side by side.<br />

Always able at mathematics, Florence<br />

believed she was called by God both to<br />

nursing and to the study of statistics. Long<br />

before she went to the Crimea, she came<br />

to believe that studying statistics was the<br />

surest way of learning God’s plan and then<br />

acting in accordance with it. This divine<br />

calling gave much needed respectability<br />

to her study; in those days, intellectual<br />

pursuits like statistics were not regarded<br />

as respectable for an upper-middle class<br />

woman like her (or, indeed, any woman).<br />

On her arrival at Scutari Barracks (now<br />

Üsküdar) in Turkey in 1854, when Britain<br />

entered the Crimean War, Florence was<br />

horrifi ed, not only by the lack of resources<br />

in the military hospitals but also by the<br />

inadequate record keeping that went<br />

S<br />

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Page <strong>10</strong><br />

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website: www.stchads.org

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