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South African Business 2017 edition

South African Business is a unique guide to business and investment in South Africa. In addition to an up-to-date economic overview of the country, analyses of the main industrial sectors, plus profiles of the nine provincial economies, the 2017 edition of South African Business includes special features on key topical issues such as skills development and education, renewable energy and the REIPPPP programme, and trade with Africa.

South African Business is a unique guide to business and investment in South Africa. In addition to an up-to-date economic overview of the country, analyses of the main industrial sectors, plus profiles of the nine provincial economies, the 2017 edition of South African Business includes special features on key topical issues such as skills development and education, renewable energy and the REIPPPP programme, and trade with Africa.

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SPECIAL FEATURE<br />

to have <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> partners. These are often local<br />

energy companies and representatives of residents.<br />

Typically, a community trust is established to represent<br />

the interest of the local community.<br />

Among the international investors active in<br />

the REIPPPP process are Enel Green Power (Italy),<br />

Scatec Solar (Norway), Globeleq (UK), Mainstream<br />

Renewable Power (Ireland), Gestamp Renewable<br />

Energies and Abengoa (Spain), Solar Capital (subsidiary<br />

of Phelan Energy Group Ireland), SunEdison<br />

(USA), ACWA Power (Saudi Arabia), China Longyuan<br />

Power Group (China), Engie (France), juwi Group<br />

(Germany) and Tata Power of India. The lastnamed<br />

company has teamed up with the energy<br />

unit of Exxaro Resources to form a company<br />

called Cennergi.<br />

Partnerships with foreign utilities or power companies<br />

are becoming more common as the REIPPPP<br />

progresses, in part because the competition is bringing<br />

down the price at which bidders are offering to<br />

sell power. This makes it difficult for <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong><br />

firms to compete on their own.<br />

Johannes Horstmann of Arup wrote in Engineering<br />

News in April 2016 that prices have dropped significantly<br />

in the course of the REIPPPP: he cites a 29%<br />

cheaper tariff for solar PV in round three than the<br />

round before (R786/MWh); and a 25% drop in wind<br />

prices (to R619/MWh). This obviously sounds nice<br />

for the consumer, but is it sustainable for investors?<br />

Horstmann notes that the trend suggests that solar<br />

PV prices could further decrease by 19% and wind<br />

by 8% but these are likely to correct to rates closer<br />

to 6% and 3%.<br />

The other factor favouring foreign investors is the<br />

fact that many of them have strong reserves of cash<br />

and don't need to borrow money. The high price of<br />

borrowing makes it difficult for <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong> firms<br />

to compete independently.<br />

The national utility, Eskom, is the only buyer of the<br />

energy that private companies produce. Central to<br />

the business plan of every private producer's bid is<br />

the agreement with Eskom that it can sell what it produces,<br />

at an agreed price. So there was understandable<br />

consternation when senior Eskom executives<br />

started questioning whether they would indeed<br />

continue to buy power from independent producers.<br />

Eskom's single shareholder, the <strong>South</strong> <strong>African</strong><br />

government, quickly assured the markets (through<br />

SOUTH AFRICAN BUSINESS <strong>2017</strong> 26

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