PDF (1.33 MB) - Deutsche Post DHL
PDF (1.33 MB) - Deutsche Post DHL
PDF (1.33 MB) - Deutsche Post DHL
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<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Management Roadshow<br />
Frank Appel, CEO<br />
New York, 18 May 2012
Highlights<br />
Strong operational<br />
performance<br />
• EBIT growth of 10.5% in<br />
Q1 2012<br />
• Increased 2011 guidance<br />
fulfilled<br />
• Dividend increased to €<br />
0.70<br />
• Taking full benefit of<br />
globalization and<br />
outsourcing trends<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Clear strategic<br />
ambitions and targets<br />
• Strategy 2015:<br />
– Provider of choice<br />
– Employer of choice<br />
– Investment of choice<br />
• MAIL: stabilization of<br />
EBIT at ~EUR 1bn, key<br />
driver parcel growth<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong>: 13–15% EBIT<br />
CAGR in 2010–15, key<br />
driver fast growing<br />
regions<br />
Leverage our<br />
growth potential<br />
• Organic growth driven by<br />
a focused business<br />
portfolio<br />
• Leading market position<br />
in key growth regions<br />
• Solid liquidity and<br />
balance sheet position<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
2
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> at a Glance<br />
2011 key figures Group: Sales: EUR 52,829mn; EBIT: EUR 2,436mn; Employees 1) : 423,348<br />
Domestic German Mail<br />
and Parcel<br />
Sales: EUR 13,973mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 1,107mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 147,434<br />
The postal service<br />
for Germany<br />
1) Average FTEs FY 2011<br />
International and<br />
Domestic Express<br />
Sales: EUR 11,766mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 927mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 86,100<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Global Air, Ocean and<br />
Road Freight<br />
Sales: EUR 15,044mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 429mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 42,847<br />
The logistics company for the world<br />
Corporate Center / Other: Sales: EUR 1,260mn; EBIT 1) : EUR -389mn<br />
Global Supply<br />
Chain Solutions<br />
Sales: EUR 13,223mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 362mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 133,615<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
3
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
4
Strategy 2015 on Track<br />
2011 EBIT development in line with our long-term goals<br />
1) On reported figures +55% due to restructuring charges in 2010<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Mail stabilization: at least EUR 1bn through 2015<br />
• 2011 EBIT of EUR 1.11bn is only down -1.2% yoy<br />
• EBIT comparison vs. 2010 impacted by VAT introduction (July 1 st , 2010)<br />
13–15% CAGR for <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT through 2015<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT +18.7% in 2011 (based on EUR 1.45bn EBIT in 2010) 1)<br />
• Double-digit EBIT growth and improved margins in all divisions<br />
Capex 2011 of EUR 1.7bn: investing in growth<br />
• Mail: Parcel 2012 network upgrade<br />
• Express: aviation network<br />
• Forwarding, Freight: IT upgrade<br />
• Supply Chain: emerging market expansion<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
5
Investment of Choice<br />
Dividend development since introduction of new finance policy<br />
88%<br />
0.60<br />
2009<br />
Dividend increased to EUR 0.70<br />
Underlying Payout Ratio 1)<br />
0.65<br />
59%<br />
1) Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects as well as non-recurring items booked in 2009 and 2010<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
0.70<br />
58%<br />
2010 2011<br />
• Increase of the dividend of 7.7%<br />
to EUR 0.70<br />
• Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects<br />
and non-recurring items this<br />
reflects a payout ratio of 58%<br />
(2010: 59%)<br />
• In line with our dividend policy:<br />
target payout ratio of 40 – 60%<br />
and commitment to dividend<br />
continuity<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
6
Full-year 2012 Guidance Confirmed<br />
2012 EBIT guidance: Mail stabilization and double-digit growth in <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Group<br />
Mail<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />
Corp. Center/<br />
Other<br />
EUR 2.5–2.6bn<br />
EUR 1.0–1.1bn<br />
~ EUR 1.9bn<br />
~ EUR -0.4bn<br />
1) Even excluding positive <strong>Post</strong>bank effects of EUR186m in Q1 2012<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Confirmed<br />
• Capex of ~ EUR 1.8bn<br />
• Tax rate expected at around 27%<br />
• Net profit 1) to improve in line with<br />
operating business<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
7
Group P&L FY 2011<br />
Significant EBIT improvement over previous year<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT 1)<br />
t/o Mail<br />
t/o <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Financial result<br />
Taxes<br />
Consolidated<br />
net profit 2)<br />
EPS (in EUR)<br />
FY<br />
2010<br />
51,388<br />
1,835 1)<br />
1,120<br />
1,111<br />
989<br />
-194<br />
2,541<br />
2.10<br />
FY<br />
2011<br />
52,829<br />
2,436<br />
1,107<br />
1,718<br />
-777<br />
-393<br />
1,163<br />
0.96<br />
Chg.<br />
+2.8%<br />
+32.8%<br />
-1.2%<br />
+54.6%<br />
Q1 2012 Highlights<br />
Strategic and Financial Performance Trends intact<br />
Key growth trends<br />
Parcel Germany volumes<br />
Express TDI volumes<br />
Forwarding, Freight revenue<br />
Supply Chain revenue<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>, Q1 EBIT margin by Division<br />
4.2%<br />
2010<br />
yoy change<br />
+13.6%<br />
+9.6%<br />
+2.4%<br />
+6.0%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> emerging markets sales growth<br />
Asia Pacific<br />
Latin America<br />
Africa / Middle East<br />
revenue, yoy change<br />
Express Forwarding, Freight Supply Chain<br />
7.8%<br />
7.6%<br />
2011 2012<br />
1.7%<br />
2.4%<br />
2.0% 1.8%<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
2010<br />
2.4%<br />
2011<br />
+12.1%<br />
+11.9%<br />
+15.1%<br />
2.7%<br />
2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
9
Group P&L Q1 2012<br />
Continued strong performance<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
t/o Mail<br />
t/o <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Financial result<br />
Taxes<br />
Consolidated<br />
net profit 1)<br />
EPS (in EUR)<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
12,807<br />
629<br />
373<br />
363<br />
-161<br />
-117<br />
325<br />
0.27<br />
1) Attributable to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG shareholders<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
13,364<br />
691<br />
393<br />
409<br />
-207<br />
533<br />
0.44<br />
+9.9%<br />
+5.4%<br />
NA<br />
-76.9%<br />
64.0%<br />
63.0%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
76<br />
Chg.<br />
4.3%<br />
+12.7%<br />
• Revenue increase of +4.3% driven by all<br />
divisions with <strong>DHL</strong> Express showing<br />
strongest growth. Organic growth of +3.5%<br />
• EBIT improved strongly in the <strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />
while MAIL also grew supported by solid<br />
business performance and one additional<br />
working day<br />
• Financial result was impacted by final<br />
<strong>Post</strong>bank accounting effect of EUR 186m<br />
compared to EUR -56m last year<br />
• Tax rate at 27%<br />
• Consolidated net profit and EPS improved<br />
strongly due to underlying earnings growth<br />
as well as the deconsolidation effect of<br />
<strong>Post</strong>bank<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
10
<strong>Post</strong>bank Transaction Successfully Completed<br />
Focus on core competencies in mail and global logistics businesses<br />
1) Projected<br />
• Sale of <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong>bank announced September 2008<br />
P&L<br />
effect<br />
Cash<br />
effect<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
2009 2010 2011 2012 1)<br />
4.9bn – – –<br />
∑ EUR<br />
1,095m 1,569m -301m 186m 2.5bn<br />
4.9bn<br />
Transaction completed on 28 February 2012<br />
Expected final P&L effect of EUR 186m to be booked in Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
11
Overview DP<strong>DHL</strong> Finance Strategy<br />
Target balance sheet structure is the leading element of our finance strategy<br />
Fundamental<br />
finance objectives<br />
• Reliability<br />
• Predictability<br />
• Strategic flexibility<br />
• Low cost of capital<br />
• Clear steering<br />
metric<br />
1) Proposal to AGM<br />
Balance sheet<br />
structure<br />
Dividend policy<br />
Priority for use<br />
of excess liquidity<br />
Financial debt<br />
portfolio<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Target / maintain BBB+ rating<br />
• 40–60% of net profit<br />
(cash flow / continuity considered)<br />
• 2010 dividend up 8.3% to EUR 0.65 1)<br />
(pay-out of 59%)<br />
1. Invest in business<br />
2. Fund pensions<br />
3. Increase rating to A-<br />
4. Special dividend, share buyback<br />
• Syndicated bank facilities<br />
• Bonds<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
12
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
13
Mail Target: EBIT Stabilization at EUR 1bn<br />
EBIT stabilization elements being realized<br />
Parcel concept 2012<br />
Long-term union agreement<br />
• Investment in<br />
service quality and<br />
capacity increase<br />
to enable future<br />
parcel<br />
growth<br />
• Comprehensive<br />
package for<br />
improved<br />
productivity and<br />
employee<br />
satisfaction<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
New price-cap formula<br />
Wage agreement<br />
• More headroom<br />
for future price<br />
increases<br />
• 4% wage increase<br />
as of April 1, 2012<br />
• Agreement<br />
reached on<br />
Jan 12,<br />
2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
14
Highlights Mail Q1 2012<br />
Strong parcel growth accelerates even further into the year<br />
Milestones<br />
• Parcel Germany continues to grow strongly<br />
• Mail Communication volume decline in line<br />
with expectations (-2.7% per working day)<br />
• Global Mail: optimization of business<br />
portfolio begins to pay off<br />
• Wage increase effective only as<br />
of April 1, 2012<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Mail communication volumes<br />
m units<br />
2.047<br />
Parcel volumes<br />
m units<br />
206<br />
1.842<br />
194<br />
-1.1%<br />
1.861<br />
205<br />
2.059<br />
265<br />
2.024<br />
Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />
+13.6%<br />
234<br />
Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
15
Strategic Focus: Increased Service for Parcel Customers<br />
Continued strong growth in Parcel business supported by<br />
best-in-class service offering<br />
• New services include upfront Email-/ text-notification ahead of delivery<br />
• Customers can choose to postpone delivery to a more suitable time, to change the<br />
delivery address or can reroute shipments to any Packstation of choice<br />
• Additional Packstations have been deployed – smaller ones have been replaced<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Example:<br />
22m long & 374 shelf XXL-<br />
Packstation installed at<br />
central train station in<br />
Frankfurt a.M. to cater to<br />
growth requirements<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
16
E-Commerce Set to Drive Further Parcel Market Growth<br />
German Parcel market overview<br />
32 million online-shoppers in Germany (48%) 1)<br />
More than 19 million (60%)<br />
Around 10 million (30%)<br />
Growth is expected to continue<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
… order online at least<br />
twice a month<br />
…online shoppers insist on<br />
delivery by <strong>DHL</strong> Parcel<br />
German retail association expects 5% growth until 2020 2)<br />
• E-commerce sales of EUR 32bn in Germany in 2011<br />
• Share of retail spend seen growing from 8% to 20% by 2020<br />
• Increasing penetration, in terms of products and age groups<br />
Need for additional capacity and higher throughput<br />
1) Target group 18+; 2) Source: Bundesverband des Versandhandels, Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
17
We are Upgrading Germany's Leading Parcel Network<br />
Parcel 2012: Investing in capacity, speed and transparency<br />
• Parcel will be as quick as a letter<br />
– 95% nation-wide next-day delivery, up to 100% in the densest areas<br />
• Later pick-up time attractive for business customers<br />
– Latest pick-up at 9 pm allows for pick-up after shop closures<br />
• Full transparency offers real-time tracking possibility<br />
– Based on completely virtual routing slip<br />
• More flexibility further improves the consumer experience<br />
– On-demand day, time and location of delivery, with re-routing option<br />
• Increased efficiency in delivery and routing<br />
– Expected increase of 30% in CO2 efficiency<br />
Also addressing the customer‘s key concern: security<br />
Identification<br />
(age restrictions)<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Payment Research<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
18
Mail Target: EBIT Stabilization at EUR 1bn<br />
Sufficient elements for EBIT stabilization established<br />
EBIT Headwinds<br />
• Structural volume decline due to e-substitution<br />
• Rise in factor cost<br />
• Investments in digital services (near-term)<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Stabilization<br />
EBIT Levers<br />
• Parcel growth<br />
• Digital services (medium-/long-term)<br />
• New pricing regime<br />
• Network flexibility / Productivity improvement<br />
• Labor flexibility / Productivity improvement<br />
• Increased overhead efficiency<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
19
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
20
<strong>DHL</strong> Serves Structural Growth Markets<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> markets outgrow GDP<br />
1.5–2.0X<br />
Real GDP Real trade<br />
Continuous performance improvement<br />
Achieve benchmark/sector leading<br />
operating margins by 2015 or<br />
earlier for each <strong>DHL</strong> unit<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
~ 7%<br />
Outgrowing underlying markets by 1–2% p.a.<br />
Driving double-digit EBIT CAGR in 2010–2015<br />
EUR 1.45 bn<br />
Target revenue CAGR. for 2010–2015<br />
Air ~ 6–8%<br />
Ocean ~ 7–8%<br />
EBIT CAGR<br />
13–15%<br />
~ 8–9%<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
21
Provider of<br />
Choice <strong>DHL</strong> Sector Management Gaining Momentum<br />
Selected Sector Achievements 2011<br />
Life Sciences<br />
& Healthcare Technology Energy Automotive<br />
• Global network of<br />
competence centers<br />
– 26 to date<br />
– Strong presence in<br />
Asia (e.g. Tokyo,<br />
Seoul, Beijing,<br />
Shanghai)<br />
• Tailor-made products<br />
(SmartSensor GSM)<br />
• Now 100% ownership<br />
of LifeConEx<br />
• Centers of Excellence<br />
(e.g. Dubai for Middle<br />
East/ Africa)<br />
• Direct Distribution<br />
product (e.g. from Asian<br />
production to European<br />
customers)<br />
• Collect & Return<br />
(integrated repair & spare<br />
parts operation at hubs;<br />
e.g. for Acer in India)<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
• Launch of first Energy<br />
Center of Excellence<br />
in Houston<br />
(planned in 2012)<br />
• Joint business<br />
development planning<br />
with key customers<br />
• Increasing focus on fast<br />
developing regions for<br />
energy in Brazil and<br />
Africa<br />
EXAMPLES<br />
• Global <strong>DHL</strong> customer<br />
conferences<br />
(Bonn, Shanghai,<br />
Sao Paolo, Pune)<br />
• 1st mover on Electric<br />
vehicle battery logistics<br />
• Local Automotive Dealers<br />
Distribution Centers<br />
(US, LatAm)<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
22
Highlights Express Q1 2012<br />
TDI volumes outgrowing the market<br />
Milestones<br />
• Strong TDI volume growth with increased<br />
weight per shipment<br />
• New non-stop around the world flight linking<br />
Asia, U.S. and EU<br />
• USD 47m investments at Cincinnati Hub to<br />
meet the growing demands of international<br />
shipping customers in the Americas Region<br />
• New Asia hub opening in Q2 2012<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Time Definite International (TDI) –<br />
Revenues per day 1) in EUR m<br />
26.8 29.7 28.2 30.8 29.3<br />
Q1 11<br />
Time Definite International (TDI) –<br />
Shipments per day ‘000s<br />
579<br />
513 550 527 562<br />
Q1 11 Q2 11<br />
1) Currency translation impacts are eliminated. Hence, 2011 and 2012 data are aggregated with the same currency rate<br />
Q2 11<br />
+9.3%<br />
Q3 11<br />
+9.6%<br />
Q3 11<br />
Q4 11<br />
Q4 11<br />
Q1 12<br />
Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
23
<strong>DHL</strong> Express Boosts Intercontinental Services With Second<br />
Round-the-World 777 Linking HKG→LAX→LEJ→HKG<br />
World leading service performance<br />
Hong Kong<br />
(HKG)<br />
Los Angeles<br />
(LAX)<br />
• Additional capacity to meet growing customer demand on key intercontinental trade lanes<br />
• Enhanced service offering on Western U.S. – Europe route:<br />
- Improved latest pick-up times US West Coast - EU<br />
- More next-day services offered<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Cincinnati<br />
(CVG)<br />
Leipzig<br />
(LEJ)<br />
Bahrain<br />
(BAH)<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
24
<strong>DHL</strong> Express: TDI Asia Market Position<br />
Strong presence in key growth markets<br />
Others<br />
27%<br />
TNT<br />
6%<br />
UPS<br />
10%<br />
TDI 1) market share in Asia/Pacific 2)<br />
Asia/Pacific region,<br />
TDI shipments per day<br />
2009<br />
CAGR +10%<br />
Leading market share<br />
2011<br />
FedEx<br />
21%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
36%<br />
some<br />
examples<br />
2009<br />
China,<br />
active since 1986<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Others<br />
Solid long-term growth<br />
CAGR +14%<br />
2011<br />
Inbound<br />
Asia<br />
India,<br />
active since 1979<br />
1) TDI = Time Definite International; 2) Source: Market Intelligence 2011 (FY 2010 data, MRSC); Scope: AU, CN, HK, IN, JP, KR, SG, TW<br />
Strongest exposure<br />
Intra-<br />
Asia<br />
Outbound<br />
Asia<br />
~50%<br />
of global <strong>DHL</strong><br />
TDI shipments<br />
touch Asia<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> TDI global shipment flow, 2011 by origin/destination<br />
2009<br />
CAGR +13%<br />
2011<br />
2009<br />
Singapore,<br />
active since 1972<br />
CAGR +10%<br />
2011<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
25
<strong>DHL</strong> Express: Global Market Positions in TDI<br />
External Research Underlining TDI Leadership across all regions<br />
outside the Americas<br />
Americas [3,914mEUR]<br />
UPS<br />
32%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
13%<br />
Others<br />
4%<br />
EEMEA [360m EUR]<br />
Others<br />
18%<br />
TNT<br />
17%<br />
UPS<br />
12%<br />
FedEx<br />
51%<br />
FedEx<br />
6%<br />
Europe [5,288m EUR]<br />
FedEx<br />
11%<br />
TNT<br />
16%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
47%<br />
Others<br />
12%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Asia Pacific [4,316m EUR]<br />
Others<br />
27%<br />
TNT<br />
6%<br />
UPS<br />
10%<br />
UPS<br />
23%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
38%<br />
FedEx<br />
21%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
36%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
Express‘<br />
Global<br />
Market<br />
Share TDI of<br />
30%<br />
Source: Market Intelligence 2011 (FY 2010 data, MRSC); Scope: BE, CH, DE, ES, FR, IT, NL, PL, SE, UK, IE; AE, RU, TR, ZA; AU, CN, HK, IN, JP, KR, SG, TW; US, CA, MX, BR<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Highlights Global Forwarding, Freight Q1 2012<br />
Profitability focus pays off in a volatile market<br />
Milestones<br />
• Further margin improvement achieved<br />
through efficiency improvements and<br />
focused market development<br />
• Capex is growing due to investments into<br />
new IT environment<br />
• Air and Ocean Gross Profit up +4.6%<br />
and +10.0% respectively. Mix optimization<br />
continued.<br />
1) Twenty Foot Equivalent Unit<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Air freight ‘000s Tons<br />
1.087 1.106 1.080 1.105 992<br />
Q1 11<br />
Ocean freight ‘000s TEU 1)<br />
682<br />
648 686 708 672<br />
Q1 11<br />
Q2 11<br />
Q2 11<br />
-8.7%<br />
Q3 11<br />
+3.7%<br />
Q3 11<br />
Q4 11<br />
Q4 11<br />
Q1 12<br />
Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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<strong>DHL</strong> Global Forwarding, Freight :<br />
Network Expansion in China from 2006–2011<br />
Presence in 2006 …<br />
Urumqi<br />
China North (17)<br />
Branch 22<br />
Office 0<br />
Chengdu<br />
Kunming<br />
Tianjin<br />
Shenyang<br />
Dalian<br />
Qingdao<br />
Suzhou<br />
Shanghai<br />
Ningbo<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Xian<br />
Wuhan<br />
Beijing<br />
Wuxi<br />
Nanjing<br />
Xiamen<br />
Guangzhou Dongguan<br />
Shenzhen<br />
Zhongshan Hongkong<br />
China South (5)<br />
Hangzhou<br />
Note: ( ) = no. of Branches<br />
= Branch Location<br />
= Sales Office Location<br />
… and in 2011<br />
China North (32)<br />
Branch 39<br />
Office 26<br />
China South (7)<br />
Note: ( ) = no. of Branches<br />
= Branch Location<br />
= Sales Office Location<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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<strong>DHL</strong> Global Forwarding, Freight: Service Extension Towards<br />
a Comprehensive Portfolio Connecting China and Beyond<br />
• DGF is the leading provider in China Domestic airfreight and road freight<br />
• Innovative solutions e.g. cross border road freight, multimodal, rail, connect<br />
China to fast growing neighbors, e.g. ASEAN, CIS<br />
What DGF offered in 2006 …<br />
International<br />
Airfreight<br />
International<br />
Ocean freight<br />
Industrial Project<br />
Customer<br />
Program<br />
Management<br />
Customs<br />
Brokerage<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Our current service offering in China 2011 …<br />
International<br />
Airfreight<br />
International<br />
Ocean freight<br />
Industrial<br />
Project &<br />
Chartering<br />
Customs<br />
Brokerage<br />
Control Tower<br />
Management/<br />
LLP<br />
International<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Domestic<br />
Airfreight<br />
Domestic Road<br />
freight<br />
Multimodal-<br />
Rail Segments<br />
Multimodal-<br />
Air Segments<br />
(SeAir, Rail-Air)<br />
Multimodal-<br />
Land Bridge &<br />
Mini Land<br />
Bridge<br />
Multimodal-<br />
Cross-border<br />
Segments<br />
Chinese Desks<br />
At Overseas<br />
Trade<br />
Facilitation<br />
(IOR/EOR)<br />
Shippers<br />
Insurance<br />
Logistics<br />
Management<br />
Services<br />
Value added<br />
service<br />
Carbon Report<br />
& Offsetting<br />
Offering<br />
Ocean Secure<br />
with GPSenabled<br />
devices<br />
Trade/Fair/<br />
Exhibition<br />
Logistics<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Highlights Supply Chain Q1 2012<br />
Solid business growth and further improvement in EBIT margin<br />
Milestones<br />
• Revenue growth especially driven by<br />
Automotive and Life Sciences & Healthcare<br />
sectors<br />
• Strongest regional growth again in Asia<br />
Pacific (+21%)<br />
• New business of around EUR 190m in<br />
annualized revenue won in Q1 2012<br />
(Q1 2011: EUR 320m) driven by the<br />
Retail, Consumer and Technology sectors<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Revenue by sector Q1 2012<br />
Williams Lea<br />
Energy<br />
Automotive<br />
Technology<br />
8%<br />
2%<br />
12%<br />
9%<br />
Others<br />
7%<br />
Life Sciences &<br />
Health Care<br />
18%<br />
25%<br />
19%<br />
Retail<br />
Consumer<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Outsourcing: Simplify Our Customers Supply Chain<br />
End-to-End Supply Chain capability: more than pure warehousing<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain Services<br />
Raw<br />
Materials<br />
Inbound<br />
Transport<br />
Production<br />
Flows<br />
Plan – Laying the foundation for a supply chain<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Outbound<br />
Transport<br />
Source – Getting the materials at the time required<br />
Warehousing<br />
~ 2/3 of SC sales<br />
Make – Supporting product manufacturing<br />
Store & Customize – Getting it ready to sell<br />
Distribution<br />
Deliver – Getting it where it needs to be<br />
Returns<br />
Return – Bringing it back when it’s not needed<br />
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<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain: Global Sector Focus<br />
By focusing on our six global sectors we are getting closer to our<br />
customers, offering sector-specific supply chain solutions<br />
Global Sector Focus<br />
Energy<br />
Retail<br />
Consumer<br />
Automotive<br />
Technology<br />
Life Sciences<br />
& Healthcare<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Our Approach<br />
• Sector approach implemented and<br />
enhanced since several years now;<br />
considered as key to success<br />
• Dedicated Global Sector teams<br />
established to strengthen our approach<br />
for six key industries<br />
• Development of sector-specific,<br />
innovative solutions, ensuring<br />
sustainable competitive advantage for<br />
our customers and <strong>DHL</strong><br />
• Focus on best practice & knowledge<br />
exchange – across regions, <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Divisions, and with our customers<br />
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Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
SUMMARY<br />
Focus on organic profitable growth in structurally growing markets<br />
• Strong start into 2012<br />
• Mail EBIT stabilization levers materializing; benefits from<br />
strong growth in parcel and digital services<br />
• Logistics industry driven by growth in global trade<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong> is market leader in Asia and other growth regions<br />
• Further margin potential due to operating leverage<br />
and efficiency improvements<br />
• Well on track towards Strategy 2015 goals<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
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Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Appendix<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
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Mail – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Strong parcel growth supports top and bottom line<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,520<br />
373<br />
-148<br />
-27.1%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
48<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,557<br />
393<br />
-206<br />
35<br />
Chg.<br />
1.1%<br />
5.4%<br />
-39.2%<br />
• Revenue growth reflects parcel<br />
performance and one additional working<br />
day in Q1 2012<br />
yoy working days in Germany<br />
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />
+1 -1 -1 -2<br />
• EBIT improved due to strong parcel<br />
business and continued cost control<br />
• Operating cash flow contains annual<br />
cash contribution to civil servants pension<br />
fund (EUR 530m) and working capital<br />
effect from discontinuation of a factoring<br />
program (EUR 139m)<br />
• Capex below last year´s level due to<br />
timing effects<br />
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Express – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Robust business development across all regions<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
2,750<br />
214<br />
133<br />
127<br />
54.9%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
82<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,020<br />
231<br />
-45<br />
Chg.<br />
9.8%<br />
7.9%<br />
NA<br />
• Revenues increased primarily due to strong<br />
TDI volume performance driven by positive<br />
development in all regions<br />
• EBIT development slightly below<br />
revenue due to incremental aviation<br />
network investment<br />
• Operating cash flow below last year due to<br />
working capital development and timing of<br />
restructuring cash-out (EUR 88m)<br />
• Higher Capex due to air network investments<br />
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Global Forwarding, Freight – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
EBIT conversion improved despite volatile market environment<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,599<br />
52.4%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
71<br />
121<br />
21<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,686<br />
87<br />
125<br />
32<br />
Chg.<br />
2.4%<br />
22.5%<br />
3.3%<br />
• Modest revenue growth reflects the mixed<br />
volume development<br />
• EBIT increase driven by gross profit growth<br />
and 100bp improvement in GP/EBIT<br />
conversion reflecting increased efficiency<br />
• Cash flow remains on the strong level of<br />
last year<br />
• Capex increase reflects ongoing investments<br />
in IT environment<br />
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Supply Chain – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Operational improvements contribute to EBIT increase<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
New gains<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,216<br />
Contracts won – Annualized revenue<br />
320<br />
190<br />
8.3%<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
78<br />
56<br />
60<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,409<br />
91<br />
39<br />
65<br />
Chg.<br />
6.0%<br />
16.7%<br />
-30.4%<br />
• Revenue above last year due to increased<br />
volumes and new contracts. Organic revenue<br />
growth at 5.7%<br />
• The EBIT rose primarily due to the higher<br />
revenues, further contract mix optimization<br />
and continued cost efficiencies from<br />
operational and overhead leverage<br />
• Operating cash flow comparison influenced<br />
by timing effects on pension cash-outs<br />
• Capex reflects investments in new contracts<br />
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Mail: Long-term Union Agreement<br />
Comprehensive package, agreed until 2015<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
New flexible model for age-based working solutions<br />
• Option to pay proportion of current salary into worktime account<br />
• Partial-retirement program supplemented by working-time<br />
accounts and a demographic fund<br />
Extension of no compulsory redundancy until 2015<br />
Continued outsourcing<br />
• 990 parcel-delivery districts handled by sub-contractors<br />
• Outsourcing of transportation extended by 1,000 drivers<br />
Agreed salary/working condition changes<br />
• 4% lower entry wage for new Mail employees<br />
• New vacation policies based on company service, not age<br />
• Renewal of non-chargeable overtime, work days and<br />
short breaks agreements<br />
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Mail: New Price Cap Set at CPI-0.6%<br />
New price cap regime offering more headroom<br />
1) Federal Network Agency = Bundesnetzagentur; 2) CPI = German Consumer Price Index<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
• <strong>Post</strong>al price cap decision of Federal Network Agency 1)<br />
– New formula: x-factor reduced from 1.8 to 0.6%<br />
– Reference period for relevant CPI2) brought<br />
forward by six months<br />
– Regulation valid until 31 Dec. 2013<br />
• Conclusions for <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
– No price increase for 2012<br />
– Buffer of +1.2% carried over to 2013 (1.8% inflation rate<br />
minus 0.6% x-factor)<br />
Directly impacted Mail revenues of EUR 3.5bn<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Parcel Germany: Strategic Focus<br />
Parcel Germany is shaping eCommerce as the leading<br />
service provider<br />
• DP<strong>DHL</strong> only postal organization<br />
world-wide to offer nation-wide 24/7<br />
access to all shipping needs<br />
– 13,500 retail outlets<br />
– 1,000 Parcel Boxes for 24/7 drop-off<br />
– 2,500 automatic PACKSTATIONs<br />
to drop-off, frank, or use as<br />
delivery address<br />
– Online Franking of all parcel products<br />
– iPhone and Android apps for<br />
all services<br />
Source: Europäisches Handelsinstitut<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
• To date 2mn registered Packstation<br />
customers<br />
• 83% check whether vendor ships to<br />
Packstation before purchase<br />
• 36% increase their online spend<br />
after registration for Packstation<br />
• Target group in age segment 25–50<br />
years with high online affinity<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
41
Ruling by European Commission on State Aid to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
• EU Commission’s decision unjustified<br />
– Clear contradiction to earlier EU decision and results of<br />
similar proceedings<br />
– Unprecedented reach into national regulation<br />
• DP<strong>DHL</strong> to file an appeal with the European Court<br />
of Justice<br />
• Financial treatment<br />
– Payment to be recorded only in balance sheet for 2012<br />
– No effect on company earnings for 2011 and beyond<br />
– Company liquidity / balance sheet remain solid<br />
• No further state aid proceedings involving<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> pending at EU Commission<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
42
<strong>Post</strong>al Market Liberalization in Germany has been a Success<br />
Domestic mail communication<br />
market for business customers<br />
2011 Market volume: EUR 4.3 bn 1)<br />
63.7%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
Source: Company estimate<br />
36.3%<br />
Competition<br />
(incl. consolidator<br />
volumes)<br />
1) Ca. 90% of overall mail communication market<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Leading service and infrastructure level for<br />
customers<br />
• Excellent service quality<br />
– 6-day delivery<br />
– Next-day delivery for 95% of all standard mail<br />
(over-delivery against full postal service obligation)<br />
– Best-in-class service and quality level in Europe<br />
• Prices among the most favorable in Europe<br />
– No price increase for standard letters in 15 years<br />
(last increase in Sept. 1997)<br />
– Average postal services expenditure for German<br />
households below € 5<br />
• State-of-the-art infrastructure<br />
– 20,000 retails outlets and sales points<br />
– EUR 420mn investment in new mail sorting<br />
technology since 2009<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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MAIL: Securing Sustainable Profitability<br />
EUR 1bn EBIT secures Mail as a self-financing unit within the group<br />
Beyond 2011<br />
EBIT<br />
stabilize at<br />
~ EUR 1bn level<br />
Why EUR 1bn?<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
Cash<br />
generation<br />
D&A<br />
~ EUR 0.2 bn<br />
EBIT<br />
~ EUR 1bn<br />
Funding<br />
requirements<br />
Share of:<br />
Corp. costs,<br />
tax, dividend, etc<br />
Pensions in excess<br />
of EBIT expenses<br />
Investments<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Disclaimer<br />
This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported results nor other historical<br />
information. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause<br />
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Many of these<br />
risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG’s ability to control or estimate<br />
precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behavior of other market participants, the<br />
ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies and the actions of<br />
government regulators. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking<br />
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation. <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG does not undertake<br />
any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or<br />
circumstances after the date of this presentation.<br />
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or buy<br />
any security, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of the securities referred to in this<br />
presentation in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law.<br />
Copies of this presentation and any documentation relating to the Offer are not being, and must not be,<br />
directly or indirectly, mailed or otherwise forwarded, distributed or sent in or into or from Australia, Canada<br />
or Japan or any other jurisdiction where to do so would be unlawful.<br />
This document represents the Company‘s judgment as of date of this presentation.<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
45
Investor Relations Contacts<br />
Martin Ziegenbalg, Head of Investor Relations<br />
• +49 228 182 63000<br />
• E-mail: m.ziegenbalg@deutschepost.de<br />
Robert Schneider<br />
• +1 212 672 1729<br />
• E-mail: robert.schneider1@deutschepost.de<br />
Sebastian Slania<br />
• +49 228 182 63203<br />
• E-mail: sebastian.slania@deutschepost.de<br />
Florian Bumberger<br />
• +49 228 182 63208<br />
• E-mail: florian.bumberger@deutschepost.de<br />
Daniel Stengel<br />
• +49 228 182 63202<br />
• E-mail: daniel.stengel@deutschepost.de<br />
Frank Appel, CEO – Management Roadshow New York - 18 May 2012<br />
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