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The Canadian Parvasi - Issue 09

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<strong>The</strong> International News Weekly CANADA<br />

07<br />

August 25, 2017 | Toronto<br />

CIBC expects 'moderation' in new mortgages<br />

as new regulations take shape<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Canadian</strong> Press<br />

TORONTO: Soaring home<br />

prices have been a boon to<br />

the banks' mortgage business,<br />

but recent government<br />

efforts to cool the<br />

housing market could impact<br />

lenders if the economy<br />

falters, the <strong>Canadian</strong> Imperial<br />

Bank of Commerce said<br />

Thursday.<br />

While Canada's economy<br />

is pumping out jobs and<br />

growing at a steady pace, a<br />

potential shock could put<br />

borrowers at risk of foreclosure<br />

— particularly those<br />

who have overextended<br />

themselves to buy homes,<br />

said CIBC chief risk officer<br />

Laura Dottori-Attanasio.<br />

"If house prices do come<br />

off, we need our borrowers<br />

to continue to have their<br />

jobs to service their loans,"<br />

Dottori-Attanasio told investors<br />

on the bank's thirdquarter<br />

conference call.<br />

"But in the event we find<br />

ourselves taking on assets,<br />

we do have — and continue<br />

to have — a good buffer as<br />

it relates to that loan-tovalue."<br />

<strong>The</strong> prospect of more<br />

<strong>Canadian</strong>s missing debt<br />

payments has become a hot<br />

topic of discussion in the<br />

financial sector as Canada<br />

heads into an uncertain<br />

economic climate next year.<br />

Many economists are calling<br />

for slower economic growth<br />

next year, saying the nearly<br />

four per cent pace logged in<br />

the first quarter of this year<br />

is not sustainable.<br />

Moody's Investor Service<br />

said in a report earlier<br />

this week that mortgage<br />

growth is driving record<br />

consumer debt levels, which<br />

had reached $1.69 of debt for<br />

each dollar of disposable income<br />

as of March 31.<br />

Meanwhile, stricter<br />

regulations drafted by the<br />

Office of the Superintendent<br />

of Financial Institutions<br />

(OSFI) last month could<br />

also put the brakes on loan<br />

portfolio growth by curbing<br />

mortgage demand considerably.<br />

An imposed "stress<br />

test" for all uninsured mortgages<br />

would make it harder<br />

to qualify.<br />

CIBC's chief executive<br />

Victor Dodig acknowledged<br />

that higher interest rates<br />

and regulatory changes<br />

would lead to a "moderation"<br />

in new mortgages, but<br />

reassured analysts that the<br />

bank is not concerned about<br />

any imminent impact.<br />

"We're not expecting a<br />

stepwise decline in consumer<br />

lending activity," he said.<br />

CIBC became the second<br />

<strong>Canadian</strong> bank<br />

to boost its quarterly<br />

dividend, following the<br />

path led by Royal Bank<br />

on Wednesday. An increase<br />

of three cents<br />

puts CIBC's payment at<br />

$1.30 per share.<br />

<strong>The</strong> bank posted<br />

net income of $1.1 billion<br />

$2.60 per common<br />

share, which was down<br />

from $3.61 per share in<br />

the 2016 third quarter<br />

when CIBC recorded<br />

an unusual gain from<br />

the sale of its minority<br />

interest in American<br />

Century Investments.<br />

But net income at<br />

its <strong>Canadian</strong> wealth<br />

management arm was<br />

down 73 per cent or<br />

$370 million from last<br />

year, when CIBC recognized<br />

a $383-million<br />

gain from the ACI<br />

transaction.<br />

Excluding that<br />

gain, wealth management's<br />

adjusted net<br />

income was $136 million,<br />

up 10 per cent. At U.S. commercial<br />

banking and wealth<br />

management, adjusted<br />

earnings was up $19 million<br />

at $44 million, mainly due to<br />

the acquisition of Private-<br />

Bank.<br />

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Indo-<strong>Canadian</strong> billionaire Prem<br />

Watsa’s Fairfax sells Singapore<br />

insurance business for $1.6 billion<br />

Continued from page 01<br />

<strong>Canadian</strong> insurance companies have<br />

targeted Asia for growth as burgeoning<br />

middle classes mean increased demand<br />

for protections and benefits that insurers<br />

offer.<br />

"This partnership with MSI its truly<br />

a game changer for Fairfax, a real winwin<br />

opportunity with a long term like<br />

minded-partner," said Prem Watsa, Fairfax<br />

chairman and chief executive officer<br />

told shareholders on a conference call.<br />

Watsa also said the partnership<br />

agreement with MSI also gives it a foothold<br />

in Japan. <strong>The</strong> Toronto-based company<br />

said the sale of First Capital will<br />

net US$900 million of after-tax profit, or<br />

US$33 per share. Fairfax will take a 25<br />

per cent quota share, under which the insurer<br />

will share a certain percentage of<br />

premiums and losses. Fairfax expects its<br />

ongoing vested interest in First Capital's<br />

existing and future business will see significant<br />

returns.<br />

"If First Capital writes $100 million<br />

worth of business, we'll take a quota<br />

share of 25 per cent, which will be $25<br />

million and that $25 million will be going<br />

into one of our companies," Watsa<br />

explained.<br />

"You'll get 25 per cent of the earnings<br />

and you'll get 25 per cent of the growth,<br />

that made it a very unusual and attractive<br />

transaction."<br />

Watsa praised the deal, saying First<br />

Capital is the "undisputed leader" in Singapore.<br />

<strong>The</strong> company provides home, accident,<br />

travel and car insurance, as well<br />

as coverage for theft, industrial, civil<br />

engineering projects and marine cargo<br />

businesses.<br />

Fairfax estimates First Capital will<br />

grow from $400 million in gross premiums<br />

today to over $1 billion over time.<br />

First Capital's current CEO Ramaswamy<br />

Athappan will continue as head of the insurance<br />

provider as well as in his role a<br />

chairman of Fairfax Asia. <strong>The</strong> deal is expected<br />

to close late this year or early next<br />

year. Fairfax is primarily invested in<br />

North American property and casualty<br />

insurance businesses but has diversified<br />

to other regions and industries.<br />

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