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04<br />
Opinion<br />
Saturday, September 9, 2017<br />
This political bout is repeat face-off<br />
The impending 2017 Assembly<br />
elections in the hill state<br />
of Himachal Pradesh (HP)<br />
are being keenly watched. Despite<br />
the variability ofpolitical landscape<br />
across India, the politics of the HP<br />
is characterized by relative stability<br />
owing largely to the bipolarity of the<br />
contest between two dominant parties<br />
- the Indian National Congress<br />
(INC) and the Bhartiya Janata Party<br />
(BJP).<br />
The outcomes of the 2017 elections<br />
however, will be rather significant<br />
and is likely to shape the<br />
political future of the state. With<br />
the incumbent Chief Minister (CM)<br />
Virbhadra Singh staking claim for a<br />
record seventh time and the former<br />
CM Prem Kumar Dhumal attempting<br />
to remain politically relevant,<br />
the elections will certainly define the<br />
political destiny of only one among<br />
them.<br />
The HP Pradesh Congress Committee<br />
(HPPCC) has been marred<br />
with factionalismin in the recent<br />
times. The ongoing tussle between<br />
Virbhadra Singh and the PCC chief<br />
Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu has reverberated<br />
till the INC headquarters in<br />
New Delhi.<br />
With Sushil Kumar Shinde, the<br />
general-secretary in-charge of party<br />
affairs in HP, announcing that elections<br />
in HP would be fought under<br />
collective leadership without a CM<br />
face, the struggle within the HP-<br />
INC has only reiterated. Singh, in<br />
contrast, firstly, added that elections<br />
would be fought under his leadershipand<br />
later,asserted that he would<br />
neither contest the elections nor lead<br />
the party in them.<br />
Given Singh’s stature in HP politics,<br />
the probability of him being<br />
sidelined is rather bleak. Clearly<br />
then, the power politics being played<br />
within the HPINC will impact, if not<br />
the outcomes, but certainly the organizational<br />
prowess of the INC in<br />
HP.<br />
The BJP in HP, on the other hand,<br />
has certain advantages. Firstly, the<br />
HP, on the whole, is witnessing what is sociologically termed as ‘social<br />
change’. Due to rampant urbanization and imitation of lifestyles unknown to<br />
the region fueled by substantial increase in disposable incomes, the state is<br />
undergoing changes, which are fundamental and structural in nature<br />
party and its Hindutva philosophy<br />
is finding wide acceptance across India.<br />
Secondly, the charisma of Prime<br />
Minister Narendra Modi and the organizational<br />
abilities of its President,<br />
Amit Shah will indeed be exploited<br />
by the party.<br />
Thirdly, in comparison to the<br />
INC, decision-making is democratically<br />
centralized within the BJP, and<br />
<strong>final</strong>ly, given that anti-incumbency<br />
has always been a deciding factor in<br />
the state elections, the BJP will definitely<br />
contest with an edge.<br />
Two possible scenarios therefore,<br />
are emerging. One, in which there is<br />
a downturn of political fortunes for<br />
the INC and two, in which the BJP<br />
Morning Essentials<br />
Bhujangasana (Cobra Pose)<br />
Bhujangasana where the upper trunk of the body raises just like as a Hood of Cobra<br />
or snake, that’s why, it is known as Cobra pose yoga. Bhujangasana is one of the few<br />
yogasanas, which gives benefits to the entire body from Toes to head.<br />
• Stretches muscles in the shoulders, chest and abdominals<br />
• Decreases stiffness of the lower back<br />
• Strengthens the arms and shoulders<br />
• Increases flexibility<br />
• Improves menstrual irregularities<br />
• Elevates mood<br />
• Firms and tones the buttocks<br />
• Invigorates the heart<br />
• Stimulates organs in the abdomen, like the kidneys<br />
• Relieves stress and fatigue<br />
• Opens chest and helps to clear the passages of heart and lungs<br />
fares as a majority party. The first<br />
eventuality is likely to engender a<br />
vertical split within the HPINC with<br />
multiple stakeholders claiming for<br />
control of the party and its leadership.<br />
Also, with the party lacking age<br />
dividend and leaders with mass appeal<br />
– questioning Singh’s six-decade<br />
long domination in HP politics<br />
will create <strong>issue</strong>s of legitimacy.<br />
In the second scenario, one must<br />
consider that BJP, as a policy measure,<br />
has not declared its CM candidate<br />
in any of the elections it has<br />
fought recently. Odds are that this<br />
policy will be extended to HP as well.<br />
Adding to the complexity for leadership<br />
claim would be the Nadda factor.<br />
Jagat Prakash Nadda, regarded<br />
as being close to the Rashtriya Swayamsevak<br />
Sangh (RSS), and presently<br />
the Union Minister for Health can be<br />
projected as the face of BJP in HP in<br />
the eventuality of the party winning.<br />
That would certainly not bode well<br />
for Dhumal and his faction.<br />
For both Singh and Dhumal, the<br />
<strong>issue</strong> is merely not of power, but<br />
of its perpetuity and concentration<br />
within their families. Either one in<br />
the eventuality of being voted back<br />
will try to entrench their dynastic<br />
ambitions by locating their political<br />
heirs to power positions.<br />
The question is who would succeed<br />
and whose political career will<br />
subsequently be dependent upon<br />
political exigencies.<br />
Additionally, and perhaps for<br />
the first time in HP, several sociopolitical<br />
and ideological <strong>issue</strong>s are<br />
converging with the elections. The<br />
alleged rape and murder of ‘Gudiya’,<br />
a sixteen-year-old school-going girl,<br />
whose mutilated body was discovered<br />
in Kotkhai on July 6, 2017 resulted<br />
in a huge public outcry.<br />
The matter is simply not of a<br />
heinous crime being committed in<br />
a so-called peaceful state, but of a<br />
breakdown in the moral consciousness<br />
and the subsequent apathy in<br />
the manner in which the <strong>issue</strong> was<br />
handled by the state. The <strong>issue</strong> of<br />
‘Gudiya’ is emphatically linked with<br />
the notion of values, ethics and access<br />
to justice and is likely to have<br />
political implications.<br />
Additionally, there is an <strong>issue</strong> of<br />
communalization of politics, which<br />
was hitherto unknown in HP. Baring<br />
its tentacles in yet another case of alleged<br />
rape in Tissa area of Chamba<br />
district. Since the affected person and<br />
the suspected perpetrator of crime<br />
belong to two different religious<br />
identities, the incident flared up as a<br />
communal incident and created social<br />
fissures.<br />
HP, on the whole, is witnessing<br />
what is sociologically termed<br />
as ‘social change’. Due to rampant<br />
urbanization and imitation of lifestyles<br />
unknown to the region fueled<br />
by substantial increase in disposable<br />
incomes, the state is undergoing<br />
changes, which are fundamental<br />
and structural in nature. Coupled<br />
with such changes are assertions in<br />
the form of political mobilizations,<br />
which will impinge on the 2017 elections.<br />
The results will certainly be<br />
interesting.<br />
Prashant Negi is Joint Director,<br />
Centre for Distance and Open Learning<br />
and Assistant Professor, Dr. K.<br />
R. Narayanan Centre for Dalit and<br />
Minorities Studies, Jamia Millia Islamia,<br />
New Delhi.<br />
• Improves circulation<br />
of blood and oxygen, especially<br />
throughout the spinal and pelvic<br />
regions<br />
• Improves digestion<br />
• Strengthens the spine<br />
• Soothes sciatica<br />
• Helps to ease symptoms<br />
of asthma<br />
Precautions<br />
1) This Yoga asana should not<br />
be attempted by pregnant women<br />
at all cost<br />
2) A person suffering from<br />
Hernia should not practice this<br />
pose.<br />
3) If you have injured your<br />
back please, avoid this posture.