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04<br />

Opinion<br />

Saturday, September 9, 2017<br />

This political bout is repeat face-off<br />

The impending 2017 Assembly<br />

elections in the hill state<br />

of Himachal Pradesh (HP)<br />

are being keenly watched. Despite<br />

the variability ofpolitical landscape<br />

across India, the politics of the HP<br />

is characterized by relative stability<br />

owing largely to the bipolarity of the<br />

contest between two dominant parties<br />

- the Indian National Congress<br />

(INC) and the Bhartiya Janata Party<br />

(BJP).<br />

The outcomes of the 2017 elections<br />

however, will be rather significant<br />

and is likely to shape the<br />

political future of the state. With<br />

the incumbent Chief Minister (CM)<br />

Virbhadra Singh staking claim for a<br />

record seventh time and the former<br />

CM Prem Kumar Dhumal attempting<br />

to remain politically relevant,<br />

the elections will certainly define the<br />

political destiny of only one among<br />

them.<br />

The HP Pradesh Congress Committee<br />

(HPPCC) has been marred<br />

with factionalismin in the recent<br />

times. The ongoing tussle between<br />

Virbhadra Singh and the PCC chief<br />

Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu has reverberated<br />

till the INC headquarters in<br />

New Delhi.<br />

With Sushil Kumar Shinde, the<br />

general-secretary in-charge of party<br />

affairs in HP, announcing that elections<br />

in HP would be fought under<br />

collective leadership without a CM<br />

face, the struggle within the HP-<br />

INC has only reiterated. Singh, in<br />

contrast, firstly, added that elections<br />

would be fought under his leadershipand<br />

later,asserted that he would<br />

neither contest the elections nor lead<br />

the party in them.<br />

Given Singh’s stature in HP politics,<br />

the probability of him being<br />

sidelined is rather bleak. Clearly<br />

then, the power politics being played<br />

within the HPINC will impact, if not<br />

the outcomes, but certainly the organizational<br />

prowess of the INC in<br />

HP.<br />

The BJP in HP, on the other hand,<br />

has certain advantages. Firstly, the<br />

HP, on the whole, is witnessing what is sociologically termed as ‘social<br />

change’. Due to rampant urbanization and imitation of lifestyles unknown to<br />

the region fueled by substantial increase in disposable incomes, the state is<br />

undergoing changes, which are fundamental and structural in nature<br />

party and its Hindutva philosophy<br />

is finding wide acceptance across India.<br />

Secondly, the charisma of Prime<br />

Minister Narendra Modi and the organizational<br />

abilities of its President,<br />

Amit Shah will indeed be exploited<br />

by the party.<br />

Thirdly, in comparison to the<br />

INC, decision-making is democratically<br />

centralized within the BJP, and<br />

<strong>final</strong>ly, given that anti-incumbency<br />

has always been a deciding factor in<br />

the state elections, the BJP will definitely<br />

contest with an edge.<br />

Two possible scenarios therefore,<br />

are emerging. One, in which there is<br />

a downturn of political fortunes for<br />

the INC and two, in which the BJP<br />

Morning Essentials<br />

Bhujangasana (Cobra Pose)<br />

Bhujangasana where the upper trunk of the body raises just like as a Hood of Cobra<br />

or snake, that’s why, it is known as Cobra pose yoga. Bhujangasana is one of the few<br />

yogasanas, which gives benefits to the entire body from Toes to head.<br />

• Stretches muscles in the shoulders, chest and abdominals<br />

• Decreases stiffness of the lower back<br />

• Strengthens the arms and shoulders<br />

• Increases flexibility<br />

• Improves menstrual irregularities<br />

• Elevates mood<br />

• Firms and tones the buttocks<br />

• Invigorates the heart<br />

• Stimulates organs in the abdomen, like the kidneys<br />

• Relieves stress and fatigue<br />

• Opens chest and helps to clear the passages of heart and lungs<br />

fares as a majority party. The first<br />

eventuality is likely to engender a<br />

vertical split within the HPINC with<br />

multiple stakeholders claiming for<br />

control of the party and its leadership.<br />

Also, with the party lacking age<br />

dividend and leaders with mass appeal<br />

– questioning Singh’s six-decade<br />

long domination in HP politics<br />

will create <strong>issue</strong>s of legitimacy.<br />

In the second scenario, one must<br />

consider that BJP, as a policy measure,<br />

has not declared its CM candidate<br />

in any of the elections it has<br />

fought recently. Odds are that this<br />

policy will be extended to HP as well.<br />

Adding to the complexity for leadership<br />

claim would be the Nadda factor.<br />

Jagat Prakash Nadda, regarded<br />

as being close to the Rashtriya Swayamsevak<br />

Sangh (RSS), and presently<br />

the Union Minister for Health can be<br />

projected as the face of BJP in HP in<br />

the eventuality of the party winning.<br />

That would certainly not bode well<br />

for Dhumal and his faction.<br />

For both Singh and Dhumal, the<br />

<strong>issue</strong> is merely not of power, but<br />

of its perpetuity and concentration<br />

within their families. Either one in<br />

the eventuality of being voted back<br />

will try to entrench their dynastic<br />

ambitions by locating their political<br />

heirs to power positions.<br />

The question is who would succeed<br />

and whose political career will<br />

subsequently be dependent upon<br />

political exigencies.<br />

Additionally, and perhaps for<br />

the first time in HP, several sociopolitical<br />

and ideological <strong>issue</strong>s are<br />

converging with the elections. The<br />

alleged rape and murder of ‘Gudiya’,<br />

a sixteen-year-old school-going girl,<br />

whose mutilated body was discovered<br />

in Kotkhai on July 6, 2017 resulted<br />

in a huge public outcry.<br />

The matter is simply not of a<br />

heinous crime being committed in<br />

a so-called peaceful state, but of a<br />

breakdown in the moral consciousness<br />

and the subsequent apathy in<br />

the manner in which the <strong>issue</strong> was<br />

handled by the state. The <strong>issue</strong> of<br />

‘Gudiya’ is emphatically linked with<br />

the notion of values, ethics and access<br />

to justice and is likely to have<br />

political implications.<br />

Additionally, there is an <strong>issue</strong> of<br />

communalization of politics, which<br />

was hitherto unknown in HP. Baring<br />

its tentacles in yet another case of alleged<br />

rape in Tissa area of Chamba<br />

district. Since the affected person and<br />

the suspected perpetrator of crime<br />

belong to two different religious<br />

identities, the incident flared up as a<br />

communal incident and created social<br />

fissures.<br />

HP, on the whole, is witnessing<br />

what is sociologically termed<br />

as ‘social change’. Due to rampant<br />

urbanization and imitation of lifestyles<br />

unknown to the region fueled<br />

by substantial increase in disposable<br />

incomes, the state is undergoing<br />

changes, which are fundamental<br />

and structural in nature. Coupled<br />

with such changes are assertions in<br />

the form of political mobilizations,<br />

which will impinge on the 2017 elections.<br />

The results will certainly be<br />

interesting.<br />

Prashant Negi is Joint Director,<br />

Centre for Distance and Open Learning<br />

and Assistant Professor, Dr. K.<br />

R. Narayanan Centre for Dalit and<br />

Minorities Studies, Jamia Millia Islamia,<br />

New Delhi.<br />

• Improves circulation<br />

of blood and oxygen, especially<br />

throughout the spinal and pelvic<br />

regions<br />

• Improves digestion<br />

• Strengthens the spine<br />

• Soothes sciatica<br />

• Helps to ease symptoms<br />

of asthma<br />

Precautions<br />

1) This Yoga asana should not<br />

be attempted by pregnant women<br />

at all cost<br />

2) A person suffering from<br />

Hernia should not practice this<br />

pose.<br />

3) If you have injured your<br />

back please, avoid this posture.

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