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BUSINESS<br />
Central Coast Economic Forecast 2016-<strong>2017</strong><br />
Bruce M. Curtis<br />
Economically, “things feel pretty<br />
darned good,” declared Economist Chris<br />
Thornberg, but problems we’re avoiding<br />
will come back to bite us, if we don’t talk<br />
about how to fix them.<br />
Much useful data could be gleaned<br />
from leading economists who took a shot<br />
at foretelling the economic future of both<br />
America and San Luis Obispo County,<br />
but their crystal ball became muddied<br />
by advocacy that at times took a pointed<br />
partisan tone.<br />
Economic health was clearly important<br />
to more than 500 business leaders and<br />
elected officials who willingly ponied up<br />
$135 each to attend the November 3rd<br />
summit at Madonna Convention Center<br />
in San Luis Obispo, the largest turnout<br />
the economic summit has ever drawn.<br />
Keynote speakers, Beacon Economists<br />
Robert Kleinhenz and Chris Thornberg<br />
observed that San Luis Obispo had not<br />
just reached 4% unemployment — a figure<br />
economists consider full employment<br />
— the regional economy surpassed our<br />
neighboring counties and blitzed ahead<br />
of the state of California’s overall jobless<br />
number of 4.8%.<br />
Still, job growth remains sluggish, at 1%<br />
over 2016, Kleinhenz revealed. A Beacon<br />
study shows that most if not all employers<br />
on the Central Coast are having trouble<br />
finding and keeping employees, with<br />
jobs going begging.<br />
“Leaders should address housing needs,<br />
develop industries to replace Diablo<br />
Canyon, and get politicians to focus on<br />
long-term economic issues...”<br />
Steady economic growth for the past<br />
five years is credited for the strong economy,<br />
but both Kleinhenz and Thornberg<br />
both predict slower growth and they<br />
blame a lack of housing. That lack of<br />
housing means a lack of employees, ultimately<br />
slowing business growth.<br />
“California is running out of workers;<br />
240,000 to 300,000 new homes are<br />
needed, but only 100,000 are being<br />
built,” Thornberg warned that a shrinking<br />
employee pool will slow business growth<br />
and development.<br />
“Job growth is at the limit,” because of<br />
a lack of employees, warned Kleinhenz,<br />
and while the current economic outlook<br />
for the county remains strong, things<br />
could soon stagnate if leaders fail to address<br />
the lack of workforce housing.<br />
Thornberg pulled no punches when he<br />
put the blame squarely on local leaders<br />
who choose to pursue affordable housing,<br />
instead of building homes the market<br />
demands.<br />
Affordable housing programs don’t<br />
work, because of the affects of “filtering”<br />
i.e, where new home buyers vacate older<br />
homes, which become available to lower<br />
income buyers.<br />
At the moment, they told attendees,<br />
the percentage of people who can afford<br />
homes in San Luis Obispo County is in<br />
the low teens.<br />
“I want to help you connect the dots:”<br />
Kleinhenz explained, “Low labor supply<br />
and slow home building are connected;<br />
there is no labor market if people can’t<br />
GATHERINGS OPENS ‘EMPORIUM’ ON PARK<br />
Since 2013, Alesen Corella and the<br />
Gatherings Thrift team has worked<br />
with a mission to be a light in the<br />
community by using the thrift shop as a<br />
platform to pay-it-forward. The business<br />
model gives patrons the opportunity to<br />
select from a list of local charities that<br />
they would like their purchase to benefit<br />
after shopping at the store — and Corella<br />
opened a Paso location called Gatherings<br />
Emporium on Park Street.<br />
Gatherings Emporium opened its<br />
doors in time for the Elegant Evening in<br />
November. The large space is laid out with<br />
boutique quality clothing on the right with<br />
an eclectic mix of unique decor and gift<br />
items showcased on the left — where local<br />
artisans are given open space to show<br />
off a variety of goods with the theme of<br />
up-cycle and re-purpose throughout.<br />
Corella set the Emporium up with<br />
an open concept where the goods are<br />
blended throughout to give the store an<br />
easy flow. The bottom line for Corella is<br />
how much the new Emporium can give<br />
back to the community in many other dif-<br />
ferent ways as well.<br />
“It is a really unique business model,”<br />
Corella said, “and we are targeting<br />
the locals. It is exciting that every purchase<br />
is a gift back to the community. A<br />
woman today was finding treasures she<br />
liked, and she bought a lot. I know we<br />
will get the tourists, but I want to give<br />
back to the community, and make it a<br />
place the community enjoys coming in<br />
with great stuff at great prices!.”<br />
Visit Gatherings Emporium at 1335<br />
Park Street, or call 369-2599.<br />
42 <strong>PASO</strong> <strong>Magazine</strong>, December <strong>2017</strong>