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8-14 January 2018 - 16-min

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8 - <strong>14</strong> <strong>January</strong>, <strong>2018</strong> 5<br />

World<br />

Kim says US<br />

should know North<br />

Korean nuclear<br />

N<br />

force a reality<br />

orth Korean leader Kim Jong Un said<br />

that the United States should be aware<br />

that his country’s nuclear forces are now a<br />

reality, not a threat.<br />

But he also struck a conciliatory tone in his<br />

New Year’s address, wishing success for<br />

the Winter Olympics set to begin in South<br />

Korea in February and suggesting the North<br />

may send a delegation to participate.<br />

Kim, wearing a Western-style gray suit and<br />

tie, said in his customary annual address that<br />

his country had achieved the historic feat of<br />

“completing” its nuclear forces and added<br />

that he has a nuclear button on his desk.<br />

“The U.S. should know that the button for<br />

nuclear weapons is on my table,” he said<br />

during the speech, as translated by The<br />

Associated Press.<br />

“The entire area of the U.S. mainland is<br />

within our nuclear strike range. ... The<br />

United States can never start a war against<br />

me and our country,” Kim said.<br />

He also called for improved relations with<br />

the South, an idea mentioned in speeches<br />

more often than it is met. He said the<br />

Pyeongchang Winter Olympics would be<br />

a good opportunity to showcase the status<br />

of the Korean nation. He also said the two<br />

Koreas could meet urgently to discuss the<br />

North sending a delegation.<br />

“The Winter Olympic games that will be held<br />

soon in the South will be a good opportunity<br />

to display the status of the Korean nation<br />

and we sincerely wish that the event will be<br />

held with good results,” he said.<br />

South Korea’s presidential office said<br />

it welcomed the proposal to hold talks<br />

between government officials over the issue<br />

of North Korea sending a delegation to the<br />

Olympics. The office of President Moon<br />

Jae-in said the successful hosting of the<br />

Pyeongchang Olympics would contribute to<br />

peace and harmony not only on the Korean<br />

Peninsula and in Northeast Asia, but in the<br />

entire world.<br />

The New Year’s address is an annual event<br />

in North Korea and is watched closely for<br />

indications of the direction and priorities<br />

Kim may adopt in the year ahead.<br />

This year’s speech was seen as particularly<br />

important because of the high tensions over<br />

Pyongyang’s frequent missile launches and<br />

its nuclear test in 2017. The tests were the<br />

focus of fiery verbal exchanges between<br />

North Korea and President Donald Trump,<br />

who has derisively called Kim “little rocket<br />

man.”<br />

Kim also stressed North Korea’s economic<br />

achievements during the speech, and noted<br />

the importance of improving the nation’s<br />

standard of living.<br />

Credit : Associated Press (AP)<br />

Photo Credit : AP Photo<br />

“P<br />

NEW DELHI TIMES<br />

How Iran Protests Play into Middle East<br />

Power Struggles<br />

art of me is feeling hope,” said<br />

Arash Azizi, a New York University<br />

researcher, far from his home in Iran. “We<br />

see the rising up of the downtrodden.”<br />

“But I am even more worried than hopeful,”<br />

he added.<br />

More than 20 people have been killed and<br />

450 arrested since a protest movement in<br />

cities and towns across Iran began in late<br />

December, and analysts say if it continues,<br />

the impact many not just be in Iran, but<br />

across the region.<br />

Mostly peaceful protests could turn into<br />

clashes and Iran’s rivals are watching for<br />

the prospect of a weakened state, according<br />

to Reza Marashi, research director with<br />

the National Iranian American Council.<br />

Protesters are demanding an end to<br />

“mismanagement, nepotism and corruption,”<br />

he said, and have called for the fall of the<br />

government in recent days. Unlike mass<br />

protests in 2009 against an election seen as<br />

illegitimate, the movement is without clear<br />

leadership, and normally outspoken activists<br />

in Iran have been largely silent. It is still not<br />

clear if the demonstrations will continue with<br />

the same velocity as they have in the past<br />

week. And if they do, according to Marashi,<br />

it is too early to predict an outcome.<br />

The 2009 protests lasted for months, but<br />

were ultimately crushed by security forces.<br />

Thousands of people were arrested and<br />

dozens killed. The election results were<br />

upheld. Current protests have attracted<br />

considerably smaller crowds, but in a larger<br />

number of cities and towns, said Marashi.<br />

“It’s more important to see how it plays out<br />

over the weeks and months,” he said.<br />

Iran-Saudi rivalry<br />

Iran is embroiled in proxy wars with Saudi<br />

Arabia in Syria and Yemen, as well as<br />

funding Hezbollah, a Lebanese military and<br />

Israeli archenemy. It is also a key player<br />

in Iraq, and its internal politics have the<br />

potential to impact almost every corner of<br />

the region. Among the protesters’ grievances<br />

are vast sums of money sent abroad while<br />

people are hungry at home.<br />

In the past two years, tensions between<br />

Tehran and Riyadh have become explosive,<br />

and Iranian officials have accused Saudi<br />

Arabia, the United States and Britain of<br />

having a hand in the protests. “This is a<br />

silly claim, with no basis in fact,” said<br />

Mark Fitzpatrick, executive director of the<br />

International Institute for Strategic Studies’<br />

Americas office. “It is farcical because the<br />

Saudis have little influence in Iran.”<br />

In recent days, protesters also began calling<br />

for the collapse of their government,<br />

demanding “Death to the dictator!” and<br />

“Clerics should get lost!” Among Iran’s<br />

main rivals, this sparked speculation — or<br />

perhaps hope — that the Iranian government<br />

will fall or be damaged.<br />

For Saudi Arabia, this could mean a shift<br />

of regional power toward Riyadh as Iran’s<br />

influence and ability to fight regional<br />

conflicts decrease, according to Khaled<br />

Almaeena, a Saudi political and media<br />

analyst based in Jeddah. “For too long, Iran<br />

has been interfering with other states,” he<br />

said.<br />

Do<strong>min</strong>o effect<br />

If the past is an indicator of the future,<br />

these protests are likely to lead to a violent<br />

crackdown if they continue, according to<br />

Azizi of NYU.And while many protesters<br />

have expressed a willingness to risk physical<br />

harm to achieve their aims, there has yet<br />

to emerge any alternative to the current<br />

government.<br />

“Some people say, If we want to bring down<br />

the Islamic Republic, I’m the first to sign<br />

up,’” he said. “’But what’s next?’” Violence<br />

on Iranian streets may also increase the<br />

threat of clashes in other parts of the region,<br />

according to Josepha Ivanka Wessels, a<br />

senior researcher at Lund University in<br />

Sweden.<br />

“The prospect of major bloodshed at the<br />

hands of the state looms large and if that<br />

happens, the ensuing do<strong>min</strong>o effect could<br />

create yet another volatile and explosive<br />

situation in an already stormy and dangerous<br />

region,” she writes in The Conversation, a<br />

journal that features articles written by<br />

academics.<br />

Real change?<br />

Still, many in Iran are hopeful that the<br />

protests will inspire real change at any cost,<br />

according to Azizi. “People ask how long are<br />

we going to keep up this bizarre regime that<br />

takes up our blood and treasure to survive,”<br />

he said.<br />

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, widely<br />

seen as progressive and democratically<br />

elected, has spoken up for the public’s right<br />

to express their grievances, but has also<br />

downplayed the protest movement.<br />

“Our great nation has witnessed a number<br />

of similar incidents in the past and has<br />

comfortably dealt with them. This is<br />

nothing,” he told Iranian members of<br />

parliament.<br />

Other Iranian leaders have stressed that<br />

the death penalty will be applied to some<br />

protest-related arrests. If demonstrators are<br />

not dissuaded by this threat and the lack of<br />

alternate leadership, some analysts say even<br />

continued protests may have no immediate<br />

impact.<br />

“The regime has full control of all<br />

security forces as well as the judiciary, the<br />

communications networks and other sources<br />

of power,” said Fitzpatrick. “So far, it has<br />

been retrained in exercising these tools of<br />

force, but it will not hesitate to do so if the<br />

protests grow to the point where they might<br />

be seen as threatening the regime’s hold on<br />

power.”<br />

In the context of Iranians’ long-term<br />

internal struggle for civil and political<br />

rights, these protests are significant, added<br />

the National Iranian American Council’s<br />

Marashi. “Iranians strive for democracy, not<br />

revolution,” he said.<br />

Credit : Voice of America (VOA)<br />

www.NewDelhiTimes.com

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