E & G Investment market report 2017-2018
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Stuttgart – economy with visions.<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>report</strong> <strong>2017</strong>/<strong>2018</strong>.
Contents.<br />
Stuttgart<br />
Market trends...............................................................................................3<br />
Key figures....................................................................................................4<br />
Outlook for <strong>2018</strong>..........................................................................................6<br />
Your contact partners..................................................................................7<br />
All about real estate.....................................................................................8<br />
E & G Real Estate.........................................................................................9<br />
German Property Partners......................................................................10
The Stuttgart property <strong>market</strong>.<br />
Top-3-deals<br />
Merceces-Benz Bank: The State Foundation of Baden-Württemberg has acquired this<br />
office trophy with long-term lease from Hines for around 120 million euros.<br />
City Plaza: Zurich Group Germany bought this office and business property from a<br />
Spanish family office for ca. 105 million euros.<br />
Mittlerer Pfad 13-15, Weilimdorf: Ceberus receives around 95 million euros from La<br />
Francaise Real Estate Partners for this office property rented by Porsche.<br />
Transaction volume breaks the billion barrier again.<br />
With a transaction volume of 1.42<br />
billion euros in <strong>2017</strong>, the investment<br />
turnover in Stuttgart was significantly<br />
lower than in the previous years.<br />
While 2016 was hailed as a record<br />
year, the transaction volume slumped<br />
in <strong>2017</strong> by 580 million euros or 29 per<br />
cent. Despite this decline, the billion-euro<br />
mark has been exceeded for<br />
the sixth time in succession.<br />
The first quarter of <strong>2017</strong> kicked the<br />
year off with a rather moderate<br />
investment volume of 190 million<br />
euros. Thanks to upbeat activities<br />
in the second quarter (EUR 580 m)<br />
and the third quarter (EUR 360 m),<br />
the property investment <strong>market</strong><br />
was catching up with the extraordinary<br />
run of the previous year. With a<br />
turnover of 330 million euros, the<br />
fourth quarter could unfortunately<br />
not keep pace with the strong finish<br />
in recent years, as several double- and<br />
triple-digit million transactions were<br />
not brought to a close before the end<br />
of the year.<br />
In the <strong>report</strong>ing period, a total of 65<br />
property transactions were concluded,<br />
of which half ranged at double-<br />
and triple-digit million volumes.<br />
Investors were showing a keen interest<br />
in office property. This asset<br />
class alone accounted for around<br />
67 per cent of the total investment<br />
volume – not least due to the top<br />
sales of “Mercedes Bank”, “City Plaza”<br />
and “Porsche Haus”. Residential property<br />
achieved a share of 14 per cent<br />
of the turnover, followed by plots and<br />
development projects with around<br />
8 per cent.<br />
Buyers were predominantly openended<br />
funds/German special funds<br />
with around 23 per cent, as well as<br />
insurances with a 16 per cent share<br />
in the total transaction volume.<br />
11 per cent of the transactions was<br />
generated by private investors/<br />
family offices, while property owners,<br />
opportunity funds and public<br />
investors accounted for 9 per cent of<br />
the transaction volume.<br />
On the vendor side, project and property<br />
developers were the most active<br />
players on the Stuttgart investment<br />
<strong>market</strong> achieving a total share of 21 per<br />
cent. They were followed by private<br />
vendors and family offices with<br />
15 per cent, and opportunity funds, as<br />
well as the vendor group corporates/<br />
owner-occupiers/non-properties -<br />
each with around 11 per cent of the<br />
overall transaction volume.<br />
Compared with 2016, the share of<br />
foreign investors buying property<br />
has decreased moderately, ranging at<br />
around 37 per cent. As vendors,<br />
foreign <strong>market</strong> players have generated<br />
40 per cent of the transaction volume,<br />
a significantly higher share than in<br />
2016.<br />
Fully let office property at inner city<br />
locations reached comparable multipliers<br />
as in the previous year. Top<br />
yields with a multiplier of up to 26.0<br />
corresponded to a gross initial yield<br />
of ca. 3.8 per cent. Also for high<br />
street property, yields have remained<br />
stable on a high level with multipliers<br />
of up to 29.0 (3.4 per cent gross<br />
initial yield). Long-term, fully let<br />
office property in city fringe and<br />
peripheral locations gained multipliers<br />
between 18 and 22 (approx.<br />
5.5 to 4.5 per cent gross initial yield).<br />
In the <strong>report</strong>ing period, the property<br />
investment <strong>market</strong> in Stuttgart<br />
has continued to perform on an<br />
above-average level. By the end of<br />
the year, the projected transaction<br />
volume of 1.5 billion euros was nearly<br />
achieved.<br />
I 3
Transaktionsvolumen/Renditenüberlick I 4<br />
Key figures.<br />
Transaction Volume Stuttgart* in bn euros<br />
1.00<br />
1.15<br />
1.20/1.60**<br />
2.00<br />
1.42<br />
1.80/2.45**<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
<strong>2017</strong><br />
* including Leinfelden-Echterdingen<br />
** including residential portfolios<br />
Top Yields for Commercial Property in Stuttgart in %<br />
7.50<br />
5.25<br />
4.60<br />
4.60 5.25 7.00 7.50<br />
4.25 5.00 6.80 7.25<br />
4.25 4.50 5.70 6.25<br />
3.50 3.80 5.50 5.70<br />
5.00 5.50<br />
3.40 3.80<br />
Retail Centres<br />
Logistics<br />
Office<br />
Highstreet<br />
2012 2013<br />
2014<br />
2015<br />
2016 <strong>2017</strong><br />
Source of both illustrations: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH ©, Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />
4 I
Key figures.<br />
Transaction Volume by Asset Class in %<br />
Residential<br />
14.4 %<br />
Plots/Development<br />
Projects<br />
7.5 %<br />
Mixed-use<br />
4.6%<br />
66.9 %<br />
Office<br />
Hotel<br />
Retail<br />
Others<br />
4.1 %<br />
2.0 %<br />
0.5 %<br />
Transaction Volume by Buyer Group in %<br />
REITs<br />
Opportunity Funds<br />
7.5 %<br />
Asset Managers<br />
Property<br />
Developers<br />
Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />
Non-Properties<br />
Immobilien AGs<br />
Others<br />
5.3 %<br />
2.9 %<br />
1.8 %<br />
0.1 %<br />
6.1 %<br />
8.5 %<br />
8.6 %<br />
Public Institutions<br />
9.2 %<br />
Property Holders<br />
11.4 %<br />
22.7 %<br />
Private Investors/<br />
Family Offices<br />
15.9 %<br />
Transaction Volume by Vendor Group in %<br />
Open-ended Funds/<br />
Special Funds<br />
Insurances<br />
Property Developers<br />
20.7 %<br />
14.5 %<br />
Private Investors/<br />
Family Offices<br />
Others<br />
Pension Funds<br />
Insurances<br />
Property Holders<br />
Public Institutions<br />
Asset Managers<br />
Closed Funds<br />
Immobilien AGs<br />
1.3 %<br />
1.4 %<br />
1.6 %<br />
1.6 %<br />
2.1 %<br />
2.5 %<br />
2.9 %<br />
4.3 %<br />
7.6 %<br />
10.8 %<br />
10.9 %<br />
Opportunity Funds<br />
Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />
Non-Properties<br />
8.9 %<br />
Banks<br />
8.9 %<br />
REITs<br />
Open-ended Funds/German Special Funds<br />
Source of all illustrations: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH © Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />
I 5
Outlook for <strong>2018</strong>.<br />
A decline in demand is not to be<br />
expected in <strong>2018</strong>, as the economic<br />
environment in the Stuttgart Region<br />
and the investment climate on<br />
the property <strong>market</strong> remain highly<br />
positive.<br />
With its low volatility and strategic<br />
situation in one of the strongest economic<br />
regions in Europe, the Stuttgart<br />
property <strong>market</strong> continues to be<br />
attractive for national as well as international<br />
investors. Despite a limited<br />
supply of investment products, yields<br />
are likely to consolidate on a rather<br />
low level in all asset classes.<br />
Due to the fact that many property<br />
deals from <strong>2017</strong> are still in the<br />
pipeline, the first quarter of <strong>2018</strong> will<br />
be starting with a high transaction<br />
volume. In consideration of the supply<br />
side, we expect a comparable result<br />
to <strong>2017</strong> and an overall transaction<br />
volume of 1.5 billion euros.<br />
6 I
Your contact partners.<br />
In the property investment business,<br />
long-standing experience, strategic<br />
thinking and utmost discretion are indispensable<br />
assets. When it comes to<br />
commercial property in Germany, you<br />
can count on our own <strong>market</strong> research,<br />
our professional transaction management<br />
and our deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge.<br />
Our team in Stuttgart looks forward to<br />
your call or visit.<br />
You can reach us at:<br />
Phone +49 711/2148-300<br />
or Fax +49 711/2148-290.<br />
Find us on the internet:<br />
www.eug-immobilien.com<br />
Björn Holzwarth<br />
Managing Director<br />
Phone +49 711/2148-192<br />
Bjoern.Holzwarth@eug-re.de<br />
Simone Wiedmann<br />
Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Phone +49 711/2148-375<br />
Simone.Wiedmann@eug-re.de<br />
Michael Linden<br />
Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Phone +49 711/2148-205<br />
Michael.Linden@eug-re.de<br />
Tobias Schneider<br />
Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Phone +49 711/2148-105<br />
Tobias.Schneider@eug-re.de<br />
Stefan Knödler<br />
Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Phone +49 711/2148-196<br />
Stefan.Knoedler@eug-re.de<br />
Katja Siemer<br />
Sales Assistent<br />
Phone +49 711/2148-252<br />
Katja.Siemer@eug-re.de<br />
I 7
All about real estate.<br />
We are your competent partners for property transactions in all asset classes. From<br />
office, retail and high street products to hotels, project developments and industrial and<br />
logistics real estate – we know what counts when it comes to property investments in<br />
southern Germany.<br />
You will profit from:<br />
Individual support in your property transaction projects<br />
The deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge of our experienced property experts<br />
An accurate valuation of your property according to national and international<br />
standard<br />
On-going <strong>market</strong> research and real estate proficiency<br />
Our investment team looks forward to meeting your individual real estate requirements.<br />
Limitation of liability<br />
This study has been drawn up with the greatest care. We must however ask you to be understanding of the fact that we cannot admit any liability for the<br />
correctness of the estimates given here.<br />
8 I
Entwicklungen 2015/2016 I 15<br />
E & G Real Estate.<br />
E & G Real Estate offers you a one-stop-shop in commercial real estate services. We handle property<br />
matters with a high level of discretion and integrity. With our deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge and decades of<br />
experience, we are able to provide an outstanding quality of service in real estate.<br />
Commercial Real Estate.<br />
At E & G Real Estate, we take good care<br />
of all your property needs. From<br />
tailor-made project consulting and<br />
property valuation to smooth transaction<br />
management and letting<br />
services, we are your trusted partner<br />
all the way. On the basis of our inhouse<br />
research, we provide a realistic<br />
assessment of a property´s <strong>market</strong> potentials.<br />
This knowledge together with<br />
our excellent networks enables us to<br />
achieve best practice yields for your<br />
real estate product – not only on a<br />
regional, but also on a national level.<br />
Our team of experienced property<br />
professionals will support your<br />
property transaction with expertise<br />
and due diligence. Your property needs<br />
are first choice for us. And that is why<br />
E & G Real Estate is first choice for<br />
commercial real estate in southern<br />
Germany.<br />
Our services.<br />
Market research<br />
Property valuation<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> analysis and consulting<br />
Transaction management<br />
Letting services<br />
Residential Real Estate.<br />
As leading real estate agents in the<br />
Stuttgart Region, we know the residential<br />
property <strong>market</strong> inside out.<br />
Our success is based on the professional<br />
competence, commitment and<br />
experience of our property experts.<br />
They will take their time to understand<br />
your individual property needs<br />
and wishes.<br />
With our long-standing experience<br />
in residential real estate, we are able<br />
to provide an accurate valuation of<br />
your property as well as a detailed<br />
analysis of the potential target buyer<br />
group. On this basis, we strive to<br />
achieve the best <strong>market</strong> value for<br />
your property.<br />
Our services.<br />
Market-relevant property valuation<br />
Close analysis of target buyer group<br />
Professional support with contract<br />
negotiations and notarizations<br />
Nationwide network of regional<br />
property companies<br />
Strong <strong>market</strong> presence through our<br />
local shops<br />
Our offices.<br />
Stuttgart, Börsenplatz 1<br />
Phone +49 711/2148-300<br />
München, Herzog-Rudolf-Straße 1<br />
Phone +49 89/17 95 94-0<br />
Esslingen, Pliensaustraße 7<br />
Phone +49 711/310 5939-0<br />
Sindelfingen, Planiestraße 15<br />
Phone +49 7031/73 44 68-0<br />
Waiblingen, Lange Straße 49<br />
Phone +49 7151/98 243-0<br />
Our further publications<br />
Stuttgart Office Market Report<br />
Munich Office & <strong>Investment</strong> Market Report<br />
Stuttgart Industrial & Logistics Market Report<br />
Immobilienmarktbericht Stuttgart & Region<br />
Our <strong>market</strong> <strong>report</strong>s and further information may be obtained free of charge at:<br />
info@eug-re.com or www.eug-immobilien.com<br />
I 9
GERMAN PROPERTY PARTNERS:<br />
LOCAL COMPETENCE NATIONWIDE.<br />
German Property Partners - or GPP is a<br />
nationwide network for commercial real<br />
estate in Germany. GPP bundles the expertise<br />
of leading commercial property<br />
companies in a nationwide alliance for<br />
regional competence. National and international<br />
clients can profit from one<br />
face to the customer and from the local<br />
expertise of our partners. In short: one<br />
contact partner for all Big 7 property<br />
<strong>market</strong>s in Germany.<br />
Your high performance portfolio<br />
for commercial Real Estate<br />
Our services range from property investments<br />
to commercial lettings. For investors,<br />
we buy and sell industrial and<br />
logistics property all over Germany - as<br />
single asset or entire property portfolio.<br />
Due to the banking background of the<br />
founding members ELLWANGER & GEI-<br />
GER (Stuttgart/Munich) and Grossmann<br />
& Berger (Hamburg/Berlin), we are able<br />
to support your project developments<br />
also in financial aspects.<br />
No matter is you are looking for office,<br />
retail, industrial, or logistics space - with<br />
GPP you will always have a competent<br />
partner at your side.<br />
Find out more about the top 7 commercial<br />
real estate locations in our<br />
free-of-charge GPP Commercial Market<br />
Reports at:<br />
http://www.germanpropertypartners.<br />
de/en/<strong>market</strong>-survey/<br />
Munich • Stuttgart • Frankfurt • Cologne • Düsseldorf • Berlin • Hamburg<br />
I 10
E & G Real Estate GmbH<br />
Börsenplatz 1, 70174 Stuttgart<br />
Phone +49 711/2148-300,<br />
stuttgart@eug-re.de<br />
www.eug-immobilien.com<br />
Amtsgericht Stuttgart, HRB 733293, Geschäftsführer: Mario Caroli, Björn Holzwarth