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E & G Investment market report 2017-2018

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Stuttgart – economy with visions.<br />

<strong>Investment</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>report</strong> <strong>2017</strong>/<strong>2018</strong>.


Contents.<br />

Stuttgart<br />

Market trends...............................................................................................3<br />

Key figures....................................................................................................4<br />

Outlook for <strong>2018</strong>..........................................................................................6<br />

Your contact partners..................................................................................7<br />

All about real estate.....................................................................................8<br />

E & G Real Estate.........................................................................................9<br />

German Property Partners......................................................................10


The Stuttgart property <strong>market</strong>.<br />

Top-3-deals<br />

Merceces-Benz Bank: The State Foundation of Baden-Württemberg has acquired this<br />

office trophy with long-term lease from Hines for around 120 million euros.<br />

City Plaza: Zurich Group Germany bought this office and business property from a<br />

Spanish family office for ca. 105 million euros.<br />

Mittlerer Pfad 13-15, Weilimdorf: Ceberus receives around 95 million euros from La<br />

Francaise Real Estate Partners for this office property rented by Porsche.<br />

Transaction volume breaks the billion barrier again.<br />

With a transaction volume of 1.42<br />

billion euros in <strong>2017</strong>, the investment<br />

turnover in Stuttgart was significantly<br />

lower than in the previous years.<br />

While 2016 was hailed as a record<br />

year, the transaction volume slumped<br />

in <strong>2017</strong> by 580 million euros or 29 per<br />

cent. Despite this decline, the billion-euro<br />

mark has been exceeded for<br />

the sixth time in succession.<br />

The first quarter of <strong>2017</strong> kicked the<br />

year off with a rather moderate<br />

investment volume of 190 million<br />

euros. Thanks to upbeat activities<br />

in the second quarter (EUR 580 m)<br />

and the third quarter (EUR 360 m),<br />

the property investment <strong>market</strong><br />

was catching up with the extraordinary<br />

run of the previous year. With a<br />

turnover of 330 million euros, the<br />

fourth quarter could unfortunately<br />

not keep pace with the strong finish<br />

in recent years, as several double- and<br />

triple-digit million transactions were<br />

not brought to a close before the end<br />

of the year.<br />

In the <strong>report</strong>ing period, a total of 65<br />

property transactions were concluded,<br />

of which half ranged at double-<br />

and triple-digit million volumes.<br />

Investors were showing a keen interest<br />

in office property. This asset<br />

class alone accounted for around<br />

67 per cent of the total investment<br />

volume – not least due to the top<br />

sales of “Mercedes Bank”, “City Plaza”<br />

and “Porsche Haus”. Residential property<br />

achieved a share of 14 per cent<br />

of the turnover, followed by plots and<br />

development projects with around<br />

8 per cent.<br />

Buyers were predominantly openended<br />

funds/German special funds<br />

with around 23 per cent, as well as<br />

insurances with a 16 per cent share<br />

in the total transaction volume.<br />

11 per cent of the transactions was<br />

generated by private investors/<br />

family offices, while property owners,<br />

opportunity funds and public<br />

investors accounted for 9 per cent of<br />

the transaction volume.<br />

On the vendor side, project and property<br />

developers were the most active<br />

players on the Stuttgart investment<br />

<strong>market</strong> achieving a total share of 21 per<br />

cent. They were followed by private<br />

vendors and family offices with<br />

15 per cent, and opportunity funds, as<br />

well as the vendor group corporates/<br />

owner-occupiers/non-properties -<br />

each with around 11 per cent of the<br />

overall transaction volume.<br />

Compared with 2016, the share of<br />

foreign investors buying property<br />

has decreased moderately, ranging at<br />

around 37 per cent. As vendors,<br />

foreign <strong>market</strong> players have generated<br />

40 per cent of the transaction volume,<br />

a significantly higher share than in<br />

2016.<br />

Fully let office property at inner city<br />

locations reached comparable multipliers<br />

as in the previous year. Top<br />

yields with a multiplier of up to 26.0<br />

corresponded to a gross initial yield<br />

of ca. 3.8 per cent. Also for high<br />

street property, yields have remained<br />

stable on a high level with multipliers<br />

of up to 29.0 (3.4 per cent gross<br />

initial yield). Long-term, fully let<br />

office property in city fringe and<br />

peripheral locations gained multipliers<br />

between 18 and 22 (approx.<br />

5.5 to 4.5 per cent gross initial yield).<br />

In the <strong>report</strong>ing period, the property<br />

investment <strong>market</strong> in Stuttgart<br />

has continued to perform on an<br />

above-average level. By the end of<br />

the year, the projected transaction<br />

volume of 1.5 billion euros was nearly<br />

achieved.<br />

I 3


Transaktionsvolumen/Renditenüberlick I 4<br />

Key figures.<br />

Transaction Volume Stuttgart* in bn euros<br />

1.00<br />

1.15<br />

1.20/1.60**<br />

2.00<br />

1.42<br />

1.80/2.45**<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

<strong>2017</strong><br />

* including Leinfelden-Echterdingen<br />

** including residential portfolios<br />

Top Yields for Commercial Property in Stuttgart in %<br />

7.50<br />

5.25<br />

4.60<br />

4.60 5.25 7.00 7.50<br />

4.25 5.00 6.80 7.25<br />

4.25 4.50 5.70 6.25<br />

3.50 3.80 5.50 5.70<br />

5.00 5.50<br />

3.40 3.80<br />

Retail Centres<br />

Logistics<br />

Office<br />

Highstreet<br />

2012 2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016 <strong>2017</strong><br />

Source of both illustrations: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH ©, Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />

4 I


Key figures.<br />

Transaction Volume by Asset Class in %<br />

Residential<br />

14.4 %<br />

Plots/Development<br />

Projects<br />

7.5 %<br />

Mixed-use<br />

4.6%<br />

66.9 %<br />

Office<br />

Hotel<br />

Retail<br />

Others<br />

4.1 %<br />

2.0 %<br />

0.5 %<br />

Transaction Volume by Buyer Group in %<br />

REITs<br />

Opportunity Funds<br />

7.5 %<br />

Asset Managers<br />

Property<br />

Developers<br />

Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />

Non-Properties<br />

Immobilien AGs<br />

Others<br />

5.3 %<br />

2.9 %<br />

1.8 %<br />

0.1 %<br />

6.1 %<br />

8.5 %<br />

8.6 %<br />

Public Institutions<br />

9.2 %<br />

Property Holders<br />

11.4 %<br />

22.7 %<br />

Private Investors/<br />

Family Offices<br />

15.9 %<br />

Transaction Volume by Vendor Group in %<br />

Open-ended Funds/<br />

Special Funds<br />

Insurances<br />

Property Developers<br />

20.7 %<br />

14.5 %<br />

Private Investors/<br />

Family Offices<br />

Others<br />

Pension Funds<br />

Insurances<br />

Property Holders<br />

Public Institutions<br />

Asset Managers<br />

Closed Funds<br />

Immobilien AGs<br />

1.3 %<br />

1.4 %<br />

1.6 %<br />

1.6 %<br />

2.1 %<br />

2.5 %<br />

2.9 %<br />

4.3 %<br />

7.6 %<br />

10.8 %<br />

10.9 %<br />

Opportunity Funds<br />

Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />

Non-Properties<br />

8.9 %<br />

Banks<br />

8.9 %<br />

REITs<br />

Open-ended Funds/German Special Funds<br />

Source of all illustrations: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH © Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />

I 5


Outlook for <strong>2018</strong>.<br />

A decline in demand is not to be<br />

expected in <strong>2018</strong>, as the economic<br />

environment in the Stuttgart Region<br />

and the investment climate on<br />

the property <strong>market</strong> remain highly<br />

positive.<br />

With its low volatility and strategic<br />

situation in one of the strongest economic<br />

regions in Europe, the Stuttgart<br />

property <strong>market</strong> continues to be<br />

attractive for national as well as international<br />

investors. Despite a limited<br />

supply of investment products, yields<br />

are likely to consolidate on a rather<br />

low level in all asset classes.<br />

Due to the fact that many property<br />

deals from <strong>2017</strong> are still in the<br />

pipeline, the first quarter of <strong>2018</strong> will<br />

be starting with a high transaction<br />

volume. In consideration of the supply<br />

side, we expect a comparable result<br />

to <strong>2017</strong> and an overall transaction<br />

volume of 1.5 billion euros.<br />

6 I


Your contact partners.<br />

In the property investment business,<br />

long-standing experience, strategic<br />

thinking and utmost discretion are indispensable<br />

assets. When it comes to<br />

commercial property in Germany, you<br />

can count on our own <strong>market</strong> research,<br />

our professional transaction management<br />

and our deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge.<br />

Our team in Stuttgart looks forward to<br />

your call or visit.<br />

You can reach us at:<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-300<br />

or Fax +49 711/2148-290.<br />

Find us on the internet:<br />

www.eug-immobilien.com<br />

Björn Holzwarth<br />

Managing Director<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-192<br />

Bjoern.Holzwarth@eug-re.de<br />

Simone Wiedmann<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-375<br />

Simone.Wiedmann@eug-re.de<br />

Michael Linden<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-205<br />

Michael.Linden@eug-re.de<br />

Tobias Schneider<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-105<br />

Tobias.Schneider@eug-re.de<br />

Stefan Knödler<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-196<br />

Stefan.Knoedler@eug-re.de<br />

Katja Siemer<br />

Sales Assistent<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-252<br />

Katja.Siemer@eug-re.de<br />

I 7


All about real estate.<br />

We are your competent partners for property transactions in all asset classes. From<br />

office, retail and high street products to hotels, project developments and industrial and<br />

logistics real estate – we know what counts when it comes to property investments in<br />

southern Germany.<br />

You will profit from:<br />

Individual support in your property transaction projects<br />

The deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge of our experienced property experts<br />

An accurate valuation of your property according to national and international<br />

standard<br />

On-going <strong>market</strong> research and real estate proficiency<br />

Our investment team looks forward to meeting your individual real estate requirements.<br />

Limitation of liability<br />

This study has been drawn up with the greatest care. We must however ask you to be understanding of the fact that we cannot admit any liability for the<br />

correctness of the estimates given here.<br />

8 I


Entwicklungen 2015/2016 I 15<br />

E & G Real Estate.<br />

E & G Real Estate offers you a one-stop-shop in commercial real estate services. We handle property<br />

matters with a high level of discretion and integrity. With our deep <strong>market</strong> knowledge and decades of<br />

experience, we are able to provide an outstanding quality of service in real estate.<br />

Commercial Real Estate.<br />

At E & G Real Estate, we take good care<br />

of all your property needs. From<br />

tailor-made project consulting and<br />

property valuation to smooth transaction<br />

management and letting<br />

services, we are your trusted partner<br />

all the way. On the basis of our inhouse<br />

research, we provide a realistic<br />

assessment of a property´s <strong>market</strong> potentials.<br />

This knowledge together with<br />

our excellent networks enables us to<br />

achieve best practice yields for your<br />

real estate product – not only on a<br />

regional, but also on a national level.<br />

Our team of experienced property<br />

professionals will support your<br />

property transaction with expertise<br />

and due diligence. Your property needs<br />

are first choice for us. And that is why<br />

E & G Real Estate is first choice for<br />

commercial real estate in southern<br />

Germany.<br />

Our services.<br />

Market research<br />

Property valuation<br />

<strong>Investment</strong> analysis and consulting<br />

Transaction management<br />

Letting services<br />

Residential Real Estate.<br />

As leading real estate agents in the<br />

Stuttgart Region, we know the residential<br />

property <strong>market</strong> inside out.<br />

Our success is based on the professional<br />

competence, commitment and<br />

experience of our property experts.<br />

They will take their time to understand<br />

your individual property needs<br />

and wishes.<br />

With our long-standing experience<br />

in residential real estate, we are able<br />

to provide an accurate valuation of<br />

your property as well as a detailed<br />

analysis of the potential target buyer<br />

group. On this basis, we strive to<br />

achieve the best <strong>market</strong> value for<br />

your property.<br />

Our services.<br />

Market-relevant property valuation<br />

Close analysis of target buyer group<br />

Professional support with contract<br />

negotiations and notarizations<br />

Nationwide network of regional<br />

property companies<br />

Strong <strong>market</strong> presence through our<br />

local shops<br />

Our offices.<br />

Stuttgart, Börsenplatz 1<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-300<br />

München, Herzog-Rudolf-Straße 1<br />

Phone +49 89/17 95 94-0<br />

Esslingen, Pliensaustraße 7<br />

Phone +49 711/310 5939-0<br />

Sindelfingen, Planiestraße 15<br />

Phone +49 7031/73 44 68-0<br />

Waiblingen, Lange Straße 49<br />

Phone +49 7151/98 243-0<br />

Our further publications<br />

Stuttgart Office Market Report<br />

Munich Office & <strong>Investment</strong> Market Report<br />

Stuttgart Industrial & Logistics Market Report<br />

Immobilienmarktbericht Stuttgart & Region<br />

Our <strong>market</strong> <strong>report</strong>s and further information may be obtained free of charge at:<br />

info@eug-re.com or www.eug-immobilien.com<br />

I 9


GERMAN PROPERTY PARTNERS:<br />

LOCAL COMPETENCE NATIONWIDE.<br />

German Property Partners - or GPP is a<br />

nationwide network for commercial real<br />

estate in Germany. GPP bundles the expertise<br />

of leading commercial property<br />

companies in a nationwide alliance for<br />

regional competence. National and international<br />

clients can profit from one<br />

face to the customer and from the local<br />

expertise of our partners. In short: one<br />

contact partner for all Big 7 property<br />

<strong>market</strong>s in Germany.<br />

Your high performance portfolio<br />

for commercial Real Estate<br />

Our services range from property investments<br />

to commercial lettings. For investors,<br />

we buy and sell industrial and<br />

logistics property all over Germany - as<br />

single asset or entire property portfolio.<br />

Due to the banking background of the<br />

founding members ELLWANGER & GEI-<br />

GER (Stuttgart/Munich) and Grossmann<br />

& Berger (Hamburg/Berlin), we are able<br />

to support your project developments<br />

also in financial aspects.<br />

No matter is you are looking for office,<br />

retail, industrial, or logistics space - with<br />

GPP you will always have a competent<br />

partner at your side.<br />

Find out more about the top 7 commercial<br />

real estate locations in our<br />

free-of-charge GPP Commercial Market<br />

Reports at:<br />

http://www.germanpropertypartners.<br />

de/en/<strong>market</strong>-survey/<br />

Munich • Stuttgart • Frankfurt • Cologne • Düsseldorf • Berlin • Hamburg<br />

I 10


E & G Real Estate GmbH<br />

Börsenplatz 1, 70174 Stuttgart<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-300,<br />

stuttgart@eug-re.de<br />

www.eug-immobilien.com<br />

Amtsgericht Stuttgart, HRB 733293, Geschäftsführer: Mario Caroli, Björn Holzwarth

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