E & G Office Market Report Munich 2017-2018
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Investment market significantly<br />
above the 10-year average.<br />
Investment properties. Purchasers & vendors.<br />
Forecast.<br />
Top deals<br />
Kustermannpark: BlackRock purchased the property from Ares Management for approx.<br />
EUR 280 million.<br />
Kap West: Allianz Real Estate paid some EUR 224 million to OFB for the property.<br />
Eastside <strong>Office</strong>s: InfraRed Capital Partners acquired the property from <strong>Office</strong>first for a price in<br />
the region of EUR 235 million.<br />
<strong>Office</strong> properties again the most sought-after asset class.<br />
The investment market for commercial real estate in <strong>Munich</strong> achieved a transaction volume of approx.<br />
EUR 5.9 billion in <strong>2017</strong>. This represents a decrease in turnover of some 7.8% over 2016, which was<br />
an outstanding year. The transaction volume was, however, still significantly above the 10-year average.<br />
13 deals each with a purchase price volume of EUR 100 million or above accounted for around<br />
47% of total turnover.<br />
Transaction volume munich in bn euros<br />
Investment properties<br />
With an approx. 55% market share of<br />
the total transaction volume, office<br />
space once again proved to be the<br />
most sought-after asset class in <strong>2017</strong>.<br />
With the exception of the months April<br />
to June, performance in each quarter<br />
was roughly the same. The fourth<br />
quarter was unable to match the agility<br />
of previous years since the final stage<br />
of a number of major transactions was<br />
postponed until the beginning of <strong>2018</strong>.<br />
The year’s largest deals included the<br />
sale of the “Kap-West” project (Friedenheimer<br />
Brücke) to the Allianz insurance<br />
group in the first quarter for approx.<br />
EUR 225 million and the transfer of the<br />
“Karstadt am Hauptbahnhof” property<br />
from RFR to Signa Holding for significantly<br />
in excess of EUR 300 million. In<br />
<strong>2017</strong> the market share of portfolio sales<br />
in <strong>Munich</strong> was less than 10%.<br />
As expected, the net prime yield for<br />
office space continued to remain under<br />
pressure during the course of the<br />
Top yields for office properties in %<br />
year, ending at 3%. Demand in <strong>2017</strong> remained<br />
at a continued high level across<br />
all asset classes, with competition correspondingly<br />
fierce. The decrease in<br />
transaction turnover is most definitely<br />
not due to falling demand but rather to<br />
the growing scarcity of products.<br />
Purchasers & vendors<br />
In <strong>2017</strong> <strong>Munich</strong>’s investment market<br />
was once again characterized by the<br />
large number of domestic investors,<br />
who accounted for some 60 % of turnover.<br />
Conversely, foreign capital comprised<br />
approx. 40 % of investment in the<br />
market. International investors were<br />
primarily active in transactions above<br />
the EUR 100 million mark, participating<br />
in just under 50 % of these major deals.<br />
On the purchaser side, open funds/<br />
special funds and pension funds were<br />
again the largest groups; were not, however,<br />
as dominant as in previous years.<br />
The situation was the same with<br />
regard to vendors.<br />
Forecast<br />
There are no indications that conditions<br />
on the commercial real estate<br />
market in <strong>Munich</strong> will develop negatively<br />
in <strong>2018</strong>. A high volume of<br />
transactions is already expected in the<br />
first months of the year due to the fact<br />
that the final stage of a number of major<br />
deals in late <strong>2017</strong> was postponed<br />
into the following year. Total commercial<br />
real estate turnover ranging from<br />
approx. EUR 5.5 to EUR 6 billion is forecast<br />
for the entire year..<br />
5.87<br />
3.70<br />
4.15<br />
6.40<br />
4.50<br />
4.40<br />
4.97<br />
5.45<br />
4.00<br />
3.50<br />
3.25<br />
3.00<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
<strong>2017</strong><br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />
<strong>2017</strong><br />
Source: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH © Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />
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