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E & G Office Market Report Munich 2017-2018

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Investment market significantly<br />

above the 10-year average.<br />

Investment properties. Purchasers & vendors.<br />

Forecast.<br />

Top deals<br />

Kustermannpark: BlackRock purchased the property from Ares Management for approx.<br />

EUR 280 million.<br />

Kap West: Allianz Real Estate paid some EUR 224 million to OFB for the property.<br />

Eastside <strong>Office</strong>s: InfraRed Capital Partners acquired the property from <strong>Office</strong>first for a price in<br />

the region of EUR 235 million.<br />

<strong>Office</strong> properties again the most sought-after asset class.<br />

The investment market for commercial real estate in <strong>Munich</strong> achieved a transaction volume of approx.<br />

EUR 5.9 billion in <strong>2017</strong>. This represents a decrease in turnover of some 7.8% over 2016, which was<br />

an outstanding year. The transaction volume was, however, still significantly above the 10-year average.<br />

13 deals each with a purchase price volume of EUR 100 million or above accounted for around<br />

47% of total turnover.<br />

Transaction volume munich in bn euros<br />

Investment properties<br />

With an approx. 55% market share of<br />

the total transaction volume, office<br />

space once again proved to be the<br />

most sought-after asset class in <strong>2017</strong>.<br />

With the exception of the months April<br />

to June, performance in each quarter<br />

was roughly the same. The fourth<br />

quarter was unable to match the agility<br />

of previous years since the final stage<br />

of a number of major transactions was<br />

postponed until the beginning of <strong>2018</strong>.<br />

The year’s largest deals included the<br />

sale of the “Kap-West” project (Friedenheimer<br />

Brücke) to the Allianz insurance<br />

group in the first quarter for approx.<br />

EUR 225 million and the transfer of the<br />

“Karstadt am Hauptbahnhof” property<br />

from RFR to Signa Holding for significantly<br />

in excess of EUR 300 million. In<br />

<strong>2017</strong> the market share of portfolio sales<br />

in <strong>Munich</strong> was less than 10%.<br />

As expected, the net prime yield for<br />

office space continued to remain under<br />

pressure during the course of the<br />

Top yields for office properties in %<br />

year, ending at 3%. Demand in <strong>2017</strong> remained<br />

at a continued high level across<br />

all asset classes, with competition correspondingly<br />

fierce. The decrease in<br />

transaction turnover is most definitely<br />

not due to falling demand but rather to<br />

the growing scarcity of products.<br />

Purchasers & vendors<br />

In <strong>2017</strong> <strong>Munich</strong>’s investment market<br />

was once again characterized by the<br />

large number of domestic investors,<br />

who accounted for some 60 % of turnover.<br />

Conversely, foreign capital comprised<br />

approx. 40 % of investment in the<br />

market. International investors were<br />

primarily active in transactions above<br />

the EUR 100 million mark, participating<br />

in just under 50 % of these major deals.<br />

On the purchaser side, open funds/<br />

special funds and pension funds were<br />

again the largest groups; were not, however,<br />

as dominant as in previous years.<br />

The situation was the same with<br />

regard to vendors.<br />

Forecast<br />

There are no indications that conditions<br />

on the commercial real estate<br />

market in <strong>Munich</strong> will develop negatively<br />

in <strong>2018</strong>. A high volume of<br />

transactions is already expected in the<br />

first months of the year due to the fact<br />

that the final stage of a number of major<br />

deals in late <strong>2017</strong> was postponed<br />

into the following year. Total commercial<br />

real estate turnover ranging from<br />

approx. EUR 5.5 to EUR 6 billion is forecast<br />

for the entire year..<br />

5.87<br />

3.70<br />

4.15<br />

6.40<br />

4.50<br />

4.40<br />

4.97<br />

5.45<br />

4.00<br />

3.50<br />

3.25<br />

3.00<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

2016<br />

<strong>2017</strong><br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

<strong>2017</strong><br />

Source: Research E & G Real Estate GmbH © Stand: 31.12.<strong>2017</strong><br />

10 I<br />

I 11

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