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Insurance Journal (2nd Quarter 2018)

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Guest Contribution<br />

Nasir Siddique<br />

ACII (UK), MBA (I & RM)<br />

Team Lead (Underwriting)<br />

IGI <strong>Insurance</strong> Limited<br />

CPEC's impact on the<br />

<strong>Insurance</strong> Industry<br />

of Pakistan<br />

China Pakistan Economic Corridor<br />

(CPEC) is part of a much bigger One<br />

Belt One Road (OBOR)/Maritime<br />

Silk Route initiative of China worth<br />

US$900bn. Over 20 countries<br />

involved in this grand and ambitious<br />

project. CPEC is being touted as game<br />

changer for Pakistan. Total size of<br />

CPEC is US$45bn, one of the largest<br />

mega projects ever undertaken.<br />

The China-Pakistan Economic<br />

Corridor (CPEC) will provide new<br />

opportunities for the local insurance<br />

industry especially the non-life<br />

sector.<br />

“Pakistan is expected to witness<br />

continued growth in almost all sectors<br />

of the insurance industry with<br />

significant growth expected in the<br />

Takaful segment,” However, the<br />

operations and investment returns of<br />

the insurance industry are subject to<br />

market volatility and macroeconomic<br />

factors.<br />

Investments constitute about 76% of<br />

total insurance industry assets as of<br />

June 30, 2016. Consequently, the<br />

insurance industry may face financial<br />

risks i.e. an adverse change in the<br />

capital markets or a “low for longer”<br />

interest rate environment.<br />

If there is a “low for longer” rate<br />

environment, insurers' investment<br />

income will suffer and they may<br />

invest in higher risk securities in<br />

search of greater profitability.<br />

In addition, while the low yields<br />

affect both sides of the balance sheet,<br />

they generally imply lower capital<br />

ratios for long-term business such as<br />

life insurance. There is potential for<br />

credit risk for some insurers; as of<br />

June 30, 2016, the estimated carrying<br />

a m o u n t o f f i n a n c i a l a s s e t s<br />

representing the maximum credit<br />

exposure for life insurers and non-life<br />

i n s u r e r s i s R s 2 2 2 b i l l i o n<br />

(representing 28% of total life insurer<br />

assets) and Rs67 billion (representing<br />

47% of total non-life insurer assets),<br />

respectively.<br />

However, most insurers continually<br />

need to monitor credit exposure to<br />

mitigate this risk. In addition, insurers<br />

avoid any significant credit risk<br />

exposure to any single counterparty.<br />

In addition, while bancassurance has<br />

helped insurers reach banks'<br />

customers through their large branch<br />

networks, there is<br />

potential for misselling,<br />

which may<br />

lead to compliance<br />

risks.<br />

One of the biggest<br />

r i s k s t h a t t h e<br />

insurance industry<br />

f a c e s i s<br />

concentration risk;<br />

one of the Public<br />

L i f e I n s u r e r<br />

The China-Pakistan Economic<br />

Corridor (CPEC) will provide<br />

new opportunities for the local<br />

insurance industry especially<br />

the non-life sector.<br />

comprises more than 60% of the<br />

insurance industry's Rs955 million<br />

asset base. The financial information<br />

on its size or performance is not<br />

available for the other big public<br />

player in the life insurance sector.<br />

Even the non-life insurance sector has<br />

a prominent public player. All these<br />

entities are significant state-owned<br />

market players which need to be<br />

brought under market discipline to<br />

improve their efficiencies.<br />

Resumption of Electricity will benefit<br />

Export manufacturing industry.<br />

Textile exports, which currently stand<br />

at US$14-15bn can potentially<br />

increase by US$1-2bn due to better<br />

and consistent supply of energy as per<br />

our channel checks. Other goods<br />

<strong>Insurance</strong> <strong>Journal</strong> April, May, June <strong>2018</strong><br />

09<br />

Find us at: www.insurancejournal.com.pk — www.facebook.com/insurancejournalpakistan

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