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Evaluation of desertification hazard in the Jaz_Murian aquifer based on analysis of climate and groundwater criteria

Abstract Desertification is a major concern of this century and occurs as a result of climatic and human induced factors. The current work aims to depict the desertification hazard map in the Jaz_Murian region using an Iranian Model of Desertification Potential Assessment (IMDPA) based on groundwater and climate criteria. For the evaluation of groundwater criterion, four indices included Electrical Conductive (Ec), Sodium Absorption Ratio (SAR), Chloride (CL), and groundwater depletion are usually used. As well as, two climatic (precipitation and aridity) indices were considered. As the groundwater quality data are collected in a much-dispersed network of wells, this problem is moderated by various geostatistical methods that have been developed to predict values at the unmeasured locations. This paper used Kriging's method to interpolate groundwater quality variables. In order to better understanding the groundwater level of Jaz_Murian aquifer, the groundwater hydrograph was generated. The results showed that the groundwater level depleted about 6.8 meter during the last 11 years. Moreover, evaluation of desertification based on climatic indices showed that the Jaz_Murian aquifer faces a critical desertification hazard. Results have shown that about 49% of the area fell into the moderate category and the rest (51%) fell into the high category for desertification hazard. Decrease in precipitation and severe utilization of groundwater particularly in the agricultural sector led to desertification that calls for urgent establishment of watershed management projects in this region.

Abstract
Desertification is a major concern of this century and occurs as a result of climatic and human induced factors. The current work aims to depict the desertification hazard map in the Jaz_Murian region using an Iranian Model of Desertification Potential Assessment (IMDPA) based on groundwater and climate criteria. For the evaluation of groundwater criterion, four indices included Electrical Conductive (Ec), Sodium Absorption Ratio (SAR), Chloride (CL), and groundwater depletion are usually used. As well as, two climatic (precipitation and aridity) indices were considered. As the groundwater quality data are collected in a much-dispersed network of wells, this problem is moderated by various geostatistical methods that have been developed to predict values at the unmeasured locations. This paper used Kriging's method to interpolate groundwater quality variables. In order to better understanding the groundwater level of Jaz_Murian aquifer, the groundwater hydrograph was generated. The results showed that the groundwater level depleted about 6.8 meter during the last 11 years. Moreover, evaluation of desertification based on climatic indices showed that the Jaz_Murian aquifer faces a critical desertification hazard. Results have shown that about 49% of the area fell into the moderate category and the rest (51%) fell into the high category for desertification hazard. Decrease in precipitation and severe utilization of groundwater particularly in the agricultural sector led to desertification that calls for urgent establishment of watershed management projects in this region.

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J. Bio. & Env. Sci. 2016<br />

Introducti<strong>on</strong><br />

Desertificati<strong>on</strong> is a major c<strong>on</strong>cern <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this century <strong>and</strong><br />

occurs as a result <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> climatic <strong>and</strong> human factors.<br />

Desertificati<strong>on</strong> can have a natural orig<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> or can be<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>duced by human activities (Bowyer et al. 2009;<br />

WER, 2009). Desertificati<strong>on</strong> is a complex process <strong>and</strong><br />

many factors c<strong>on</strong>tribute to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> occurrence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this<br />

phenomen<strong>on</strong>. For most scientists, <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> is<br />

known as a natural <str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> capable <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> becom<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g a<br />

disaster (UN-ISDR 2004; Anagnostopoulos, 2006).<br />

In order to prevent disaster, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> is <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> great importance. In this<br />

regard, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Geographic Informati<strong>on</strong> Systems<br />

(GIS) is a tool used to ga<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r large amounts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data<br />

com<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g from different sources such as maps or<br />

measurement stati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> has become a successful<br />

tool <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> disaster management (Van Westen, 2002;<br />

Frantzova, 2010).<br />

Desertificati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> assessment is an important<br />

comp<strong>on</strong>ent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> envir<strong>on</strong>mental management at global<br />

<strong>and</strong> local scales <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> world. Numerous methods<br />

exist to assess l<strong>and</strong> degradati<strong>on</strong>, am<strong>on</strong>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

most significant at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> global level namely LADA (L<strong>and</strong><br />

Degradati<strong>on</strong> Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Dry l<strong>and</strong>s) (O.F.<br />

Nachtergaele <strong>and</strong> Lic<strong>on</strong>a-Manzur, 2008), GLASOD<br />

(Global Assessment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Soil Degradati<strong>on</strong>) (Oldeman et<br />

al., 1990) <strong>and</strong> FAO-UNEP (FAO, 1984) are prom<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ent.<br />

One major effort carried out by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> University <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

Tehran <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2005 to <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>troduce a useful model for<br />

evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Iran entitled<br />

“Iranian Model <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Desertificati<strong>on</strong> Potential Assessment<br />

(IMDPA)”. The pr<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>cipal objective <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> IMDPA<br />

project is to develop tools <strong>and</strong> methods to evaluate <strong>and</strong><br />

quantify <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> severity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> potential. The<br />

IMDPA model is capable <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> generat<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g a <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

map <str<strong>on</strong>g>based</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> expert evaluati<strong>on</strong> (Zehtabian et al.,<br />

2014). Water <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> <strong>criteria</strong> are known as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

major determ<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ant factors <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> IMDPA model.<br />

Water deficiency is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> causes <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sequences <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>and</strong> certa<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ly worsens<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> situati<strong>on</strong>. The shortage is naturally more<br />

important <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> arid <strong>and</strong> semi-arid regi<strong>on</strong>s where water<br />

is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> limit<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g factor <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> l<strong>and</strong> use performance <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ecosystems (Batterbury <strong>and</strong> Warren, 2001).<br />

In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> last few decades, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re has been a high dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for <strong>groundwater</strong> resources due to agricultural<br />

development activities <strong>and</strong> populati<strong>on</strong> growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Iran,<br />

especially <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Jaz</str<strong>on</strong>g>_<str<strong>on</strong>g>Murian</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong>. M<strong>on</strong>itor<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> quantity <strong>and</strong> quality <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>groundwater</strong> is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

important factors <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> evaluati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

potential <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> this regi<strong>on</strong>. Water resources are<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>extricably l<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ked with <strong>climate</strong>. Climate affects<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> phenomen<strong>on</strong> through alterati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

spatial <strong>and</strong> temporal patterns <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> precipitati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

temperature, <strong>and</strong> w<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ds etc. As well as, significant<br />

decrease <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> precipitati<strong>on</strong> is expected <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> most<br />

subtropical l<strong>and</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>s (WMO, 2007). Climate factor<br />

plays a key role <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> almost all <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

factors.<br />

The ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> objective <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this study was to assess<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> IMDPA model <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Jaz</str<strong>on</strong>g>_<str<strong>on</strong>g>Murian</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong> where suffer<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> scarcity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ra<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>fall with l<strong>on</strong>g dry seas<strong>on</strong>s, <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>appropriate human<br />

activity, high growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> populati<strong>on</strong> coupled with<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic weakness <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> lack <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> water availability,<br />

as <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> most critical areas pr<strong>on</strong>e to<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g>. For this purpose, am<strong>on</strong>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>criteria</strong><br />

normally used for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> IMDPA model, water <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>climate</strong> <strong>criteria</strong> were selected <strong>and</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>desertificati<strong>on</strong></str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>hazard</str<strong>on</strong>g> was measured <str<strong>on</strong>g>based</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> six <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dices <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>clud<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g<br />

water (Electrical C<strong>on</strong>ductive (Ec), Sodium Absorpti<strong>on</strong><br />

Ratio (SAR), Chloride (CL) <strong>and</strong> <strong>groundwater</strong><br />

depleti<strong>on</strong>) <strong>and</strong> <strong>climate</strong> (precipitati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> aridity<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dices).<br />

Materials <strong>and</strong> methods<br />

Study Area<br />

The study area is <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>aquifer</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Jaz</str<strong>on</strong>g>_<str<strong>on</strong>g>Murian</str<strong>on</strong>g> bas<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> with an area <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5835 km 2 where is<br />

located at 27°26ʹ 12″ to 28°15′ 21″ N <strong>and</strong> 57˚25′ 00″<br />

to 58°57ʹ 16″ E <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Kerman prov<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ce, sou<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ast <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Iran<br />

(Fig. 1). Accord<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> climatic data recorded at<br />

Shah_Abad stati<strong>on</strong>, from 2002 to 2013 <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> average<br />

precipitati<strong>on</strong> is 113 mm/year (Fig. 2) with an average<br />

annual temperature approximately 26.5°C. Two ma<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

rivers crosscut <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> study area: Halil Roud from northwest<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Jaz</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Murian</str<strong>on</strong>g> depressi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> Bam_Pur<br />

from north east. The major geological formati<strong>on</strong> is<br />

high-level piedm<strong>on</strong>t fan <strong>and</strong> valley terrace deposits<br />

<strong>and</strong> low-level piedm<strong>on</strong>t fan <strong>and</strong> valley terrace<br />

deposits, <strong>and</strong> swamp <strong>and</strong> marsh <strong>and</strong> s<strong>and</strong> sheets.<br />

338 | Soleimani Sardo et al.

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