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NOV DEC 2018

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TRADE CHRONICLE<br />

Ghandhara to assemble<br />

Renault trucks<br />

Ghandhara Nissan Limited (GNL) has<br />

announced its plans to locally<br />

assemble Renault Trucks (RT) by end<br />

of 2019 at the manufacturing site in<br />

Port Qasim, according to a company<br />

release issued recently.<br />

Prior to assembly, RT in partnership<br />

with GNL had launched full range of<br />

Renault trucks. Currently all the<br />

vehicles are being imported in built up<br />

condition from Lyon, France.<br />

GNL is also responsible for the<br />

distribution and after sales service of<br />

three new ranges, notified the<br />

company in a stock filing. Senior Vice<br />

President of RT, Olivier De Saint<br />

Meleuc said Pakistan is an important<br />

market and is developing with large<br />

i n f r a s t r u c t u r e<br />

projects especially<br />

u n d e r C h i n a -<br />

Pakistan Economic<br />

Corridor (CPEC)<br />

w h i c h r e q u i r e s<br />

robust and reliable<br />

trucks to cater to<br />

rising demands.<br />

Chief Executive<br />

Officer GNL, Ahmed<br />

Kuli Khan Khattak<br />

said that local<br />

a s s e m b l y w i l l<br />

generate employment opportunities.<br />

He said that RT would comply 100<br />

per cent with the demanding<br />

specifications in terms of safety<br />

required by all the major oil<br />

companies. GNL officials, however,<br />

refused to comment on the<br />

investment details in the project. He<br />

said that it is not a joint venture but an<br />

extension of the cooperation and<br />

distribution agreement signed<br />

between the two companies in early<br />

<strong>2018</strong>. He said that the company is<br />

planning to assemble 100 units a<br />

year which may create over 100<br />

direct jobs.<br />

Letter to Dawn<br />

‘Kabuli tyres’<br />

Auto Sector Update: Nov'18 volumes tumble<br />

but sedan sales are holding up<br />

I SEE people buying cheap,<br />

second-hand tyres also<br />

known as ‘Kabuli tyres’. The<br />

life of tyres is a maximum<br />

three to five years after<br />

manufacturing. People do<br />

n o t t h i n k a b o u t t h i s<br />

important fact.<br />

They buy a car of about one<br />

or two million rupees but<br />

never pay attention to its<br />

tyres. The car runs on tyres. If<br />

tyres are weak, they can<br />

burst anytime and the vehicle<br />

can overturn, resulting in<br />

injuries or even death. I also<br />

ask motorway police to<br />

check the tyres of the<br />

vehicles and tell the people<br />

about the hazards of using<br />

second-hand tyres. The<br />

g o v e r n m e n t s h o u l d<br />

discourage second-hand,<br />

expired tyre shops.<br />

Muhammad Kareem, Quetta<br />

Pakistan's Auto industry recorded sales of<br />

17,507 units in Nov'18, down 17%yoy, This<br />

takes 5MFY19 volumes to 100,999 units, down<br />

4% yoy. Continued price increases and higher<br />

interest rates are putting the brakes on auto<br />

sales. In addition, commercial vehicle segment<br />

is still feeling the impact of the non-filer ban.<br />

While there is a sharp decline in Nov'18<br />

numbers, player/model wise data suggests<br />

mixed trends. In Nov'18, sedan sales rose by<br />

5% yoy but jeep/pickup category recorded a<br />

44% yoy decline. Indus Motors (INDU)<br />

continue to outperform its peers, with Nov'18<br />

sales of 5,479 units, up 2% yoy. This was<br />

mainly driven by Corolla sales, up 9% yoy,<br />

while Fortuner/Hilux sales continue to exhibit<br />

declines.<br />

Pak Suzuki (PSMC), on the other hand,<br />

remained the laggard as Nov'18 sales dipped<br />

25% yoy to just 8,511 units. The company<br />

continues to suffer from non-filer ban on new<br />

cars, in our view; commercial vehicles<br />

including Bolan and Ravi sales dropped<br />

massively by 39%yoy and 28%yoy,<br />

respectively, in Nov'18. Furthermore, Mehran<br />

saw the sharpest decline of 44%yoy, as the<br />

model will be phased out by Apr'19. We think<br />

the above two factors are also contributing to<br />

poor numbers, in addition to macroeconomic<br />

pressures. Sales of Honda Atlas (HCAR) also<br />

contracted by a significant 23%yoy in Nov'18<br />

to 3,452 units, owing to 76%yoy drop in BR-V<br />

volumes (Civic/City sales decline was more<br />

modest 2% yoy) .<br />

Tractor growth was also in red, with volumes<br />

dropping by 33%yoy to 3,750 units in<br />

Nov'18. Reasons for this include bearish agrioutlook(due<br />

to water shortage), absence of<br />

provincial subsidy schemes and slowdown in<br />

agricultural activity. Truck sales continued on<br />

their declining trajectory (since Jul'18) with<br />

Nov'18 sales of 571 units, down 13% yoy due<br />

to a drop in construction activity. Inline with<br />

our earlier thesis, premium cars look like they<br />

can weather a tougher macro environment.<br />

TRADE CHRONICLE - Nov.~ Dec. <strong>2018</strong> - Page # 34

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