17.12.2012 Views

TA4862-VIE Ho Chi Minh City Metro Rail System - ppiaf

TA4862-VIE Ho Chi Minh City Metro Rail System - ppiaf

TA4862-VIE Ho Chi Minh City Metro Rail System - ppiaf

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Risk<br />

• Inadequate<br />

performance by<br />

concessionaire<br />

• Termination of<br />

concessionaire<br />

Other financial matters<br />

• Exchange rate<br />

movements<br />

• Interest rate<br />

changes<br />

• Changes to tax<br />

legislation affecting<br />

E&M and train<br />

assets<br />

• Changes to tax<br />

legislation affecting<br />

operations<br />

Concession Option (1)<br />

Public Public Train Supply and Build, Operate &<br />

Enterprise Implementation<br />

with Operating<br />

Concession<br />

(PIOC)<br />

Risk remains with the<br />

government because<br />

the concessionaire is<br />

publicly owned.<br />

Government can<br />

terminate the<br />

concession, though<br />

political lobbying may<br />

make this difficult to<br />

achieve.<br />

Risk remains with the<br />

government.<br />

Some risk transfer<br />

through a<br />

patronage-related<br />

payment, but the<br />

concessionaire can<br />

blame poor assets<br />

provided by the<br />

government for<br />

inadequate<br />

performance.<br />

Operating Transfer<br />

Concession (BOT)<br />

(TSOC)<br />

More risk transfer<br />

because of the<br />

patronage-related<br />

payment and<br />

concessionaire<br />

selection of E&M<br />

assets and trains.<br />

Greatest transfer of<br />

risk, though there is<br />

the potential for the<br />

transfer of risk that<br />

the concessionaire<br />

cannot manage –<br />

this would result in<br />

the added costs<br />

through risk<br />

premiums and risk<br />

averse behavior by<br />

the concessionaire.<br />

Government can establish conditions to terminate the<br />

concession in the case of persistent sub-standard performance<br />

by the concessionaire.<br />

Primary risk should be transferred to the concessionaire, which<br />

can use various instruments to mitigate the risk. Government<br />

bears some indirect risk through indexation of future payments<br />

to concessionaires.<br />

While the concessionaire has no influence over these risks,<br />

simplicity of management indicates that the risk for nondiscriminatory<br />

changes to tax should be transferred to the<br />

concessionaire, noting also that indexation will include some<br />

effect of tax changes. Government should bear the risk of tax<br />

changes that primarily affect only concessionaires because the<br />

consequences of the changes can be more easily identified.<br />

31

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!