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Blue Chip Journal - June 2019 edition

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CLIENT COACHING<br />

Meeting the challenge<br />

of investor behaviour<br />

Research shows investments outperform investors<br />

Investor behaviour is a problem.<br />

Arguably, investors are their own<br />

worst enemies. US research company<br />

Dalbar Inc. conducts annual research<br />

to compare the return that investors get<br />

versus the returns of their investments.<br />

No matter the period of measurement,<br />

the story is the same. The average investor<br />

underperforms on their investments.<br />

According to Dalbar, the magnitude of<br />

underperformance is on average around<br />

5% per annum. An extraordinary number.<br />

Investor behaviour is a<br />

perennial challenge<br />

This is not a new phenomenon. As far<br />

back as the 1600s people succumbed<br />

to the so-called Dutch tulip mania.<br />

They believed that there were untold<br />

riches to be made from investing in<br />

tulips. This ended with more people<br />

in rags than riches. The argument that<br />

society, including investors, was not<br />

sophisticated back then is flawed. The<br />

global financial crisis of 2008 was a<br />

more recent case of deluded investors.<br />

They believed property prices only<br />

went up, and interest rates would<br />

always be low. Bitcoin is a story that is<br />

currently playing itself out. Investors<br />

have been their own worst enemies<br />

ever since humans stumbled on the<br />

idea that bartering wasn’t the only way<br />

to exchange value.<br />

Investment results are dependent<br />

on investor behaviour<br />

Dalbar asserts that, “No matter what<br />

the state of the mutual fund industry,<br />

boom or bust: Investment results<br />

are more dependent on investor<br />

behaviour than on fund performance.”<br />

Unlike other markets in which human<br />

beings participate, investment market<br />

participants tend to buy high and sell<br />

low. The more markets rise, the more<br />

optimistic investors become. The more<br />

they fall, the more pessimistic they get.<br />

This problem of investor behaviour has<br />

been addressed by the industry with a<br />

two-pronged approach: firstly, financial<br />

education and secondly, applying a<br />

52 www.bluechipjournal.co.za

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