Blue Chip Journal - June 2019 edition
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CLIENT COACHING<br />
Meeting the challenge<br />
of investor behaviour<br />
Research shows investments outperform investors<br />
Investor behaviour is a problem.<br />
Arguably, investors are their own<br />
worst enemies. US research company<br />
Dalbar Inc. conducts annual research<br />
to compare the return that investors get<br />
versus the returns of their investments.<br />
No matter the period of measurement,<br />
the story is the same. The average investor<br />
underperforms on their investments.<br />
According to Dalbar, the magnitude of<br />
underperformance is on average around<br />
5% per annum. An extraordinary number.<br />
Investor behaviour is a<br />
perennial challenge<br />
This is not a new phenomenon. As far<br />
back as the 1600s people succumbed<br />
to the so-called Dutch tulip mania.<br />
They believed that there were untold<br />
riches to be made from investing in<br />
tulips. This ended with more people<br />
in rags than riches. The argument that<br />
society, including investors, was not<br />
sophisticated back then is flawed. The<br />
global financial crisis of 2008 was a<br />
more recent case of deluded investors.<br />
They believed property prices only<br />
went up, and interest rates would<br />
always be low. Bitcoin is a story that is<br />
currently playing itself out. Investors<br />
have been their own worst enemies<br />
ever since humans stumbled on the<br />
idea that bartering wasn’t the only way<br />
to exchange value.<br />
Investment results are dependent<br />
on investor behaviour<br />
Dalbar asserts that, “No matter what<br />
the state of the mutual fund industry,<br />
boom or bust: Investment results<br />
are more dependent on investor<br />
behaviour than on fund performance.”<br />
Unlike other markets in which human<br />
beings participate, investment market<br />
participants tend to buy high and sell<br />
low. The more markets rise, the more<br />
optimistic investors become. The more<br />
they fall, the more pessimistic they get.<br />
This problem of investor behaviour has<br />
been addressed by the industry with a<br />
two-pronged approach: firstly, financial<br />
education and secondly, applying a<br />
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