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20 — Vanguard, TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021<br />
Bonny Light slides further to $69.77 7 per barrel on Delta variant, others<br />
By Udeme Akpan<br />
THE price of Bonny Light,<br />
Nigeria's premium crude<br />
oil grade, weekend, dropped to<br />
$69.77 per barrel from $72<br />
recorded the previous day, over<br />
fears of increasing United States<br />
stock and the spread of Delta<br />
variant.<br />
The price of Bonny Light and<br />
other crudes, had risen to over<br />
$75 per barrel in July 2021, due<br />
mainly to improved vaccination<br />
during the period.<br />
But the current slide would not<br />
affect the execution of Nigeria's<br />
2021 budget, which was<br />
benchmarked on $57 per barrel<br />
and 1.8 million barrels per day,<br />
(excluding Condensate), as the<br />
nation also produces between<br />
300,000 - 400,000 of Condensate<br />
daily.<br />
The drop in price was mainly<br />
driven by the resurgence of the<br />
Coronavirus pandemic in some<br />
oil consuming nations, including<br />
China and India, expected to<br />
impact negatively on demand,<br />
and by extension price.<br />
It was also influenced by the<br />
report of the U.S. Energy<br />
Information Administration<br />
(EIA), which has it that crude<br />
stockpiles rose by an unexpected<br />
3.6 million barrels last week,<br />
while gasoline inventories fell by<br />
a bigger-than-forecast 5.3<br />
million barrels.<br />
Nevertheless, in its July Oil<br />
Market Report, the Organisation<br />
of Petroleum Exporting<br />
Countries, OPEC, had stated:<br />
"The global economic growth<br />
forecast for 2021 remains<br />
unchanged at 5.5 per cent. In an<br />
initial assessment, global<br />
economic growth for 2022 is<br />
forecast at 4.1 per cent. However,<br />
future global growth continues<br />
to be impacted by uncertainties,<br />
including the spread of COVID-<br />
19 variants and the pace of the<br />
global vaccine rollout.<br />
"In addition, sovereign debt<br />
levels in many regions, together<br />
with inflationary pressures and<br />
central bank responses, remain<br />
key factors that require close<br />
monitoring. Nevertheless,<br />
upside potential could<br />
materialize as ongoing<br />
containment COVID-19<br />
measures in combination with<br />
additional fiscal and monetary<br />
stimulus could turn out to be<br />
more effective than envisaged,<br />
leading to further gains in<br />
consumption and investments."<br />
TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021<br />
Nigeria’s gas flare falls 0.33% in Q1 2021 to<br />
45.33BCF • • 1,720GW power equivalent lost in 2 years<br />
By Obas Esiedesa<br />
AS flare in Nigeria’s oil<br />
Gfields fell by 0.33 percent in<br />
the first quarter of 2021 to 45.33<br />
billion cubic feet, BCF, compared<br />
to 45.48BCF of gas flared in the<br />
fourth quarter of last year, latest<br />
data from the industry have<br />
shown.<br />
Data also showed that on a yearon-year<br />
basis, gas flare dropped<br />
by 21.75 percent in the first quarter<br />
of 2021 from the 57.93BCF<br />
recorded in the first quarter of<br />
2020.<br />
According to the Nigerian<br />
National Petroleum Corporation,<br />
NNPC, monthly report for<br />
February, 2021, data also showed<br />
that in 24 months, from March<br />
2019 to February 2021, a total of<br />
430.97BCF of gas have been<br />
flared.<br />
This is equivalent to 1,720 Giga<br />
Watts of power lost in two years,<br />
according to power generation<br />
expert, Dr. Stephen Ogaji of the<br />
Niger Delta Power Holding<br />
Company Limited.<br />
Gas commercialization<br />
programme<br />
As part of the effort to curb gas<br />
flaring in the country, the Federal<br />
Government in December, 2016,<br />
launched the Nigerian Gas Flare<br />
Commercialisation programme.<br />
The NGFCP was designed as<br />
the strategy to implement the<br />
policy objectives of the<br />
government for the elimination of<br />
gas flares with potentially<br />
enormous multiplier and<br />
development outcomes for<br />
Nigeria. The objective of the<br />
NGFCP is to eliminate gas flaring<br />
through technically and<br />
commercially sustainable gas<br />
utilization projects developed by<br />
competent third-party investors<br />
who will be invited to participate<br />
in a competitive and transparent<br />
bid process for flare sites.<br />
The Department of Petroleum<br />
Resources, DPR, which manages<br />
the programme, in a statement<br />
explained that the<br />
commercialisation approach has<br />
been considered from legal,<br />
technical, economic, commercial<br />
and developmental standpoints.<br />
“It is a unique and historic<br />
opportunity to attract major<br />
investment in economically viable<br />
gas flare capture projects whilst<br />
permanently addressing a 60 year<br />
environmental problem in Nigeria.<br />
“The NGFCP has offered flare<br />
gas for sale through a transparent<br />
and competitive bidding process.<br />
A structure has been devised to<br />
provide project bankability for the<br />
Flare Gas Buyers, which is<br />
essential to the success of the<br />
Programme”.<br />
Latest data from the programme,<br />
according to the Department of<br />
Petroleum Resources, DPR,<br />
showed that so far 203 companies<br />
have been awarded the right to<br />
process flared gas from the 178<br />
gas flared sites.<br />
Speaking on the programme at<br />
the weekend, the Permanent<br />
Secretary, Ministry of Petroleum<br />
Resources, Mr. Bitrus Nabasu<br />
noted that despite the slow pace<br />
of progress, the Federal<br />
Government was determined to<br />
end gas flares in the country.<br />
“The process is still on and our<br />
intention is to reduce gas flaring<br />
as much as possible so that the<br />
environment will be safe for us.<br />
The process is on and very soon it<br />
will be concluded”, he explained.<br />
Gas flare penalty<br />
DPR in its gas flare regulation<br />
stated that “flare payments shall<br />
apply to any natural gas that is<br />
flared and/or vented at the<br />
production facilities of the<br />
producers”.<br />
Figures from the 2019 Oil and<br />
Gas Audit Report of the Nigeria<br />
Extractive Industries Transparency<br />
Initiative, NEITI, showed that<br />
companies paid $307,591 in 2019<br />
as gas flare penalties in the<br />
country.<br />
Experts react<br />
In an interview with Energy<br />
Vanguard, GNPC Petroleum<br />
Commerce Chair in Oil and Gas<br />
Studies, University of Cape Coast,<br />
Ghana, Prof. Wumi Iledare said a<br />
lot of investment was needed to<br />
end gas flaring in the country.<br />
Prof. Iledare however observed<br />
that gas flaring has gradually gone<br />
down in the past few years,<br />
accounting for less than 10 percent<br />
By Ediri Ejoh<br />
THE Chief Operating<br />
Officer, Asharami Energy,<br />
Henry Menkiti, has urged operators<br />
in the upstream sector to develop<br />
Nigeria-specific prorammes<br />
to address the challenge of emissions<br />
in the march towards energy<br />
transition.<br />
Speaking at the Society of Petroleum<br />
Engineers (SPE) International<br />
Conference and Exhibition,<br />
held in Lagos, Menkiti said the<br />
nation has to establish a progressive<br />
strategy that guides the mining<br />
of hydrocarbons more responsibly.<br />
“We must keep doing what we<br />
try to do best; produce hydrocarbons<br />
as we transition, and at the<br />
same time, be aware of the dan-<br />
of total gas production.<br />
He explained that “there are<br />
some gas flaring that cannot be<br />
eliminated if you have to keep<br />
things running but we must give<br />
credit to the Department of<br />
Petroleum Resources with respect<br />
to gas flaring. It is below 10<br />
percent right now. I still<br />
understand that is still the<br />
equivalent of about<br />
3,000megawatts of electricity<br />
generation”.<br />
He noted that “the investment<br />
required to be able to get gas to<br />
OIL MARKET WATCH<br />
Bonny Light $69.77<br />
Brent $69.07<br />
OPEC Basket $71.83<br />
WTI $66.76<br />
MARS $66.28<br />
(As ofAugust 9, 2021)<br />
end-users is massive and it is<br />
going, to begin with, a good<br />
perception of public policy.<br />
Unfortunately, the perception of<br />
the Public Policy Index, PPI, is still<br />
very low. And until governance of<br />
the oil and gas industry is properly<br />
defined and all these amorphous<br />
regulatory agencies well defined,<br />
a risk-averse person will not invest<br />
in this type of business<br />
environment.<br />
“This gas flaring that people are<br />
talking about, the opportunity cost<br />
to taking the gas to end-users is<br />
massive and there must be<br />
guarantee return on investment.<br />
If it is not there nobody will invest”,<br />
he added.<br />
Speaking on the gas flare<br />
situation, the President of the<br />
Nigerian Association of Energy<br />
Economics, NAEE, Prof Yinka<br />
Omorogbe noted that the Federal<br />
Government must demonstrate<br />
the political will to end gas flaring<br />
in the country by first ending the<br />
use of gas flare penalty as a source<br />
of revenue.<br />
Prof. Omorogbe stated that the<br />
penalty must be seen as a punitive<br />
measure and strong enough to<br />
deter companies from flaring gas.<br />
According to her, “We have to<br />
have the political will to not flare<br />
gas even if it means shutting down<br />
certain fields that are producing<br />
right now. Secondly, you have to<br />
seriously pursue your gas<br />
utilization projects and ensure that<br />
the gas utilization projects are<br />
using up associated gas that would<br />
otherwise be flared.<br />
Asharami seeks emission-cutting programme in Nigeria's<br />
upstream operations gers directly related to emissions,”<br />
he said.<br />
Menkiti said as the upstream division<br />
of energy conglomerate,<br />
Sahara Group, Asharami Energy<br />
is committed to aligning its operations<br />
to process and promote environmental<br />
sustainability.<br />
“Ultimately, addressing emission<br />
cutting requires the collective<br />
effort of all stakeholders in the upstream<br />
sector and we believe the<br />
SPE can play a critical role in driving<br />
the conversation. Sahara is<br />
happy to play a leading role in<br />
this regard,” he added.<br />
Urging the SPE to “evangelize<br />
local technical breakthroughs” in<br />
the sector, Menkiti said this would<br />
help fast-track knowledge sharing,<br />
capacity building and efficient operations.<br />
According to him, the sector<br />
needs to highlight the positive engagements<br />
between the Community,<br />
Government, Operator and<br />
Service companies to enhance the<br />
sustainability of the ecosystem.<br />
He noted that internal and foreign<br />
investors read and benchmark<br />
the health of the ecosystem<br />
against their risk portfolios when<br />
making critical decisions.<br />
“Sahara’s positive multi-stakeholder<br />
approach represents an example<br />
– a role model where collaboration<br />
works; enhancing value<br />
across-the-board for all stakeholders.<br />
Where this is not at play,<br />
it runs the risk of stagnating operations,<br />
having lifting costs running<br />
sky-high and making such<br />
ventures difficult to sustain,” he<br />
asserted.