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20 — Vanguard, TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021<br />

Bonny Light slides further to $69.77 7 per barrel on Delta variant, others<br />

By Udeme Akpan<br />

THE price of Bonny Light,<br />

Nigeria's premium crude<br />

oil grade, weekend, dropped to<br />

$69.77 per barrel from $72<br />

recorded the previous day, over<br />

fears of increasing United States<br />

stock and the spread of Delta<br />

variant.<br />

The price of Bonny Light and<br />

other crudes, had risen to over<br />

$75 per barrel in July 2021, due<br />

mainly to improved vaccination<br />

during the period.<br />

But the current slide would not<br />

affect the execution of Nigeria's<br />

2021 budget, which was<br />

benchmarked on $57 per barrel<br />

and 1.8 million barrels per day,<br />

(excluding Condensate), as the<br />

nation also produces between<br />

300,000 - 400,000 of Condensate<br />

daily.<br />

The drop in price was mainly<br />

driven by the resurgence of the<br />

Coronavirus pandemic in some<br />

oil consuming nations, including<br />

China and India, expected to<br />

impact negatively on demand,<br />

and by extension price.<br />

It was also influenced by the<br />

report of the U.S. Energy<br />

Information Administration<br />

(EIA), which has it that crude<br />

stockpiles rose by an unexpected<br />

3.6 million barrels last week,<br />

while gasoline inventories fell by<br />

a bigger-than-forecast 5.3<br />

million barrels.<br />

Nevertheless, in its July Oil<br />

Market Report, the Organisation<br />

of Petroleum Exporting<br />

Countries, OPEC, had stated:<br />

"The global economic growth<br />

forecast for 2021 remains<br />

unchanged at 5.5 per cent. In an<br />

initial assessment, global<br />

economic growth for 2022 is<br />

forecast at 4.1 per cent. However,<br />

future global growth continues<br />

to be impacted by uncertainties,<br />

including the spread of COVID-<br />

19 variants and the pace of the<br />

global vaccine rollout.<br />

"In addition, sovereign debt<br />

levels in many regions, together<br />

with inflationary pressures and<br />

central bank responses, remain<br />

key factors that require close<br />

monitoring. Nevertheless,<br />

upside potential could<br />

materialize as ongoing<br />

containment COVID-19<br />

measures in combination with<br />

additional fiscal and monetary<br />

stimulus could turn out to be<br />

more effective than envisaged,<br />

leading to further gains in<br />

consumption and investments."<br />

TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021<br />

Nigeria’s gas flare falls 0.33% in Q1 2021 to<br />

45.33BCF • • 1,720GW power equivalent lost in 2 years<br />

By Obas Esiedesa<br />

AS flare in Nigeria’s oil<br />

Gfields fell by 0.33 percent in<br />

the first quarter of 2021 to 45.33<br />

billion cubic feet, BCF, compared<br />

to 45.48BCF of gas flared in the<br />

fourth quarter of last year, latest<br />

data from the industry have<br />

shown.<br />

Data also showed that on a yearon-year<br />

basis, gas flare dropped<br />

by 21.75 percent in the first quarter<br />

of 2021 from the 57.93BCF<br />

recorded in the first quarter of<br />

2020.<br />

According to the Nigerian<br />

National Petroleum Corporation,<br />

NNPC, monthly report for<br />

February, 2021, data also showed<br />

that in 24 months, from March<br />

2019 to February 2021, a total of<br />

430.97BCF of gas have been<br />

flared.<br />

This is equivalent to 1,720 Giga<br />

Watts of power lost in two years,<br />

according to power generation<br />

expert, Dr. Stephen Ogaji of the<br />

Niger Delta Power Holding<br />

Company Limited.<br />

Gas commercialization<br />

programme<br />

As part of the effort to curb gas<br />

flaring in the country, the Federal<br />

Government in December, 2016,<br />

launched the Nigerian Gas Flare<br />

Commercialisation programme.<br />

The NGFCP was designed as<br />

the strategy to implement the<br />

policy objectives of the<br />

government for the elimination of<br />

gas flares with potentially<br />

enormous multiplier and<br />

development outcomes for<br />

Nigeria. The objective of the<br />

NGFCP is to eliminate gas flaring<br />

through technically and<br />

commercially sustainable gas<br />

utilization projects developed by<br />

competent third-party investors<br />

who will be invited to participate<br />

in a competitive and transparent<br />

bid process for flare sites.<br />

The Department of Petroleum<br />

Resources, DPR, which manages<br />

the programme, in a statement<br />

explained that the<br />

commercialisation approach has<br />

been considered from legal,<br />

technical, economic, commercial<br />

and developmental standpoints.<br />

“It is a unique and historic<br />

opportunity to attract major<br />

investment in economically viable<br />

gas flare capture projects whilst<br />

permanently addressing a 60 year<br />

environmental problem in Nigeria.<br />

“The NGFCP has offered flare<br />

gas for sale through a transparent<br />

and competitive bidding process.<br />

A structure has been devised to<br />

provide project bankability for the<br />

Flare Gas Buyers, which is<br />

essential to the success of the<br />

Programme”.<br />

Latest data from the programme,<br />

according to the Department of<br />

Petroleum Resources, DPR,<br />

showed that so far 203 companies<br />

have been awarded the right to<br />

process flared gas from the 178<br />

gas flared sites.<br />

Speaking on the programme at<br />

the weekend, the Permanent<br />

Secretary, Ministry of Petroleum<br />

Resources, Mr. Bitrus Nabasu<br />

noted that despite the slow pace<br />

of progress, the Federal<br />

Government was determined to<br />

end gas flares in the country.<br />

“The process is still on and our<br />

intention is to reduce gas flaring<br />

as much as possible so that the<br />

environment will be safe for us.<br />

The process is on and very soon it<br />

will be concluded”, he explained.<br />

Gas flare penalty<br />

DPR in its gas flare regulation<br />

stated that “flare payments shall<br />

apply to any natural gas that is<br />

flared and/or vented at the<br />

production facilities of the<br />

producers”.<br />

Figures from the 2019 Oil and<br />

Gas Audit Report of the Nigeria<br />

Extractive Industries Transparency<br />

Initiative, NEITI, showed that<br />

companies paid $307,591 in 2019<br />

as gas flare penalties in the<br />

country.<br />

Experts react<br />

In an interview with Energy<br />

Vanguard, GNPC Petroleum<br />

Commerce Chair in Oil and Gas<br />

Studies, University of Cape Coast,<br />

Ghana, Prof. Wumi Iledare said a<br />

lot of investment was needed to<br />

end gas flaring in the country.<br />

Prof. Iledare however observed<br />

that gas flaring has gradually gone<br />

down in the past few years,<br />

accounting for less than 10 percent<br />

By Ediri Ejoh<br />

THE Chief Operating<br />

Officer, Asharami Energy,<br />

Henry Menkiti, has urged operators<br />

in the upstream sector to develop<br />

Nigeria-specific prorammes<br />

to address the challenge of emissions<br />

in the march towards energy<br />

transition.<br />

Speaking at the Society of Petroleum<br />

Engineers (SPE) International<br />

Conference and Exhibition,<br />

held in Lagos, Menkiti said the<br />

nation has to establish a progressive<br />

strategy that guides the mining<br />

of hydrocarbons more responsibly.<br />

“We must keep doing what we<br />

try to do best; produce hydrocarbons<br />

as we transition, and at the<br />

same time, be aware of the dan-<br />

of total gas production.<br />

He explained that “there are<br />

some gas flaring that cannot be<br />

eliminated if you have to keep<br />

things running but we must give<br />

credit to the Department of<br />

Petroleum Resources with respect<br />

to gas flaring. It is below 10<br />

percent right now. I still<br />

understand that is still the<br />

equivalent of about<br />

3,000megawatts of electricity<br />

generation”.<br />

He noted that “the investment<br />

required to be able to get gas to<br />

OIL MARKET WATCH<br />

Bonny Light $69.77<br />

Brent $69.07<br />

OPEC Basket $71.83<br />

WTI $66.76<br />

MARS $66.28<br />

(As ofAugust 9, 2021)<br />

end-users is massive and it is<br />

going, to begin with, a good<br />

perception of public policy.<br />

Unfortunately, the perception of<br />

the Public Policy Index, PPI, is still<br />

very low. And until governance of<br />

the oil and gas industry is properly<br />

defined and all these amorphous<br />

regulatory agencies well defined,<br />

a risk-averse person will not invest<br />

in this type of business<br />

environment.<br />

“This gas flaring that people are<br />

talking about, the opportunity cost<br />

to taking the gas to end-users is<br />

massive and there must be<br />

guarantee return on investment.<br />

If it is not there nobody will invest”,<br />

he added.<br />

Speaking on the gas flare<br />

situation, the President of the<br />

Nigerian Association of Energy<br />

Economics, NAEE, Prof Yinka<br />

Omorogbe noted that the Federal<br />

Government must demonstrate<br />

the political will to end gas flaring<br />

in the country by first ending the<br />

use of gas flare penalty as a source<br />

of revenue.<br />

Prof. Omorogbe stated that the<br />

penalty must be seen as a punitive<br />

measure and strong enough to<br />

deter companies from flaring gas.<br />

According to her, “We have to<br />

have the political will to not flare<br />

gas even if it means shutting down<br />

certain fields that are producing<br />

right now. Secondly, you have to<br />

seriously pursue your gas<br />

utilization projects and ensure that<br />

the gas utilization projects are<br />

using up associated gas that would<br />

otherwise be flared.<br />

Asharami seeks emission-cutting programme in Nigeria's<br />

upstream operations gers directly related to emissions,”<br />

he said.<br />

Menkiti said as the upstream division<br />

of energy conglomerate,<br />

Sahara Group, Asharami Energy<br />

is committed to aligning its operations<br />

to process and promote environmental<br />

sustainability.<br />

“Ultimately, addressing emission<br />

cutting requires the collective<br />

effort of all stakeholders in the upstream<br />

sector and we believe the<br />

SPE can play a critical role in driving<br />

the conversation. Sahara is<br />

happy to play a leading role in<br />

this regard,” he added.<br />

Urging the SPE to “evangelize<br />

local technical breakthroughs” in<br />

the sector, Menkiti said this would<br />

help fast-track knowledge sharing,<br />

capacity building and efficient operations.<br />

According to him, the sector<br />

needs to highlight the positive engagements<br />

between the Community,<br />

Government, Operator and<br />

Service companies to enhance the<br />

sustainability of the ecosystem.<br />

He noted that internal and foreign<br />

investors read and benchmark<br />

the health of the ecosystem<br />

against their risk portfolios when<br />

making critical decisions.<br />

“Sahara’s positive multi-stakeholder<br />

approach represents an example<br />

– a role model where collaboration<br />

works; enhancing value<br />

across-the-board for all stakeholders.<br />

Where this is not at play,<br />

it runs the risk of stagnating operations,<br />

having lifting costs running<br />

sky-high and making such<br />

ventures difficult to sustain,” he<br />

asserted.

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