08.11.2021 Views

Global Bank Stress Test-2021-11-08-CEF

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Decomposing Loss Rates into PDs and LGDs<br />

• Why this decomposition:<br />

o<br />

o<br />

“Spillover” to interest income (drop) via less performing business<br />

PD PiT feeds to PD TTC, to obtain risk weight impact for IRB portfolios<br />

• Simple structural model, matching broad behavioral dynamics of LGDs:<br />

Frye and Jacobs (2012, JoCR)<br />

• More complex models found to not easily outperform this model<br />

• FED DFAST uses FJ approach to imply stressed LGDs from stressed PDs<br />

• Here: to decompose loss rates to PDs and LGDs<br />

12

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