08.11.2021 Views

Global Bank Stress Test-2021-11-08-CEF

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Results: Capital Shortfalls in Illustrative Scenario<br />

(Maximum capital shortfall over 2020-2022, as percent of 2019 GDP)<br />

• CET1 ratio threshold = 4.5 percent<br />

Capital Shortfalls, Initial and Minimum CET1 Ratio<br />

Percent of GDP<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

Capital shortfall in percent of GDP<br />

Initial capital ratio (RHS)<br />

Capital ratio at trough (RHS)<br />

Percent<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0.0<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 <strong>11</strong> 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29<br />

0<br />

Sources: IMF staff calculations.<br />

18

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