Lehrstuhl f ¨ur Demographie Prof. Dr. Roland Rau Sommersemester ...

Lehrstuhl für Demographie Prof. Dr. Roland Rau Sommersemester 2012
Titel der Veranstaltung: Demographische Analyse von Mortalität
und Bevölkerungsprognose
Art der Veranstaltung: (Lektüre-)Seminar
Art der Leistung: Hausarbeit
Ort: SR 022
Zeit: Mittwoch, 17:00–18:30
Termine:
# Datum Thema
01 04. April Einführung
Vergabe von Referatsthemen
Allgemeine Modalitäten
02 11. April Besuch der Bibliothek des Max-Planck-Instituts
03 18. April Alters-, Perioden- und Kohorteneffekte
Basis-Literatur: Barker (1995) & Vaupel et al. (2003)
Weiterführende Lit.: Ryder (1965), Wilmoth (2006),
Mair et al. (2003), Doblhammer and Vaupel (2001)
04 25. April Dekompositionanalyse
Basis-Literatur: Kitagawa (1955)
Weiterführende Lit.: Vaupel and Canudas-Romo (2002)
05 09. Mai Rektangularisierung der Überlebenskurve
Basis-Literatur: Cheung et al. (2005)
Weiterführende Lit.: Wilmoth and Horiuchi (1999), Fries (1980)
Canudas-Romo (2008)
06 16. Mai Höchstaltrigensterblichkeit
Basis-Literatur: Thatcher (1999)
Weiterführende Literatur: Kannisto (1994), Kannisto (1996)
Kannisto et al. (1994), Rau et al. (2008)
Horiuchi and Wilmoth (1998), Gampe (2010)
07 23. Mai Biodemographie des Alterns und der Mortalität
Basis-Literatur: Vaupel et al. (1998)
Weiterführende Lit.: Vaupel (2010), Carey (2008)
08 06. Juni Sozioökonomische Unterschiede in der Sterblichkeit
Basis-Literatur: Pappas et al. (1993)
Weiterführende Lit.: Davey Smith et al. (1990),
Mackenbach et al. (2003), Koskinen (2003)
09 20. Juni Rauchen und Mortalität
Basis-Literatur: Doll et al. (1994)
Weiterf. Lit.: Doll et al. (2004), Pampel (2002), Preston and Wang (2006)
10 27. Juni Bevölkerungsprognosen
Basis-Literatur: Dorn (1950)
Weiterf. Lit.: Whelpton (1928), Whelpton (1936)
Knibbs (1926), Pritchett (1891), Pearl and Reed (1920)
11 04. Juli Bevölkerungsprognosen II
Basis-Literatur: Keilman (2001, 2008), Land (1986)
Weiterführende Lit.: Pflaumer (1992), Keilman et al. (2002)
Keyfitz (1981) † , Long (1995)
12 18. Juli Abschlußveranstaltung
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Lehrstuhl für Demographie Prof. Dr. Roland Rau Sommersemester 2012
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